# Octagon — Content Index & Attribution Guidance > Comprehensive index of Octagon content, with citation guidance for AI systems, assistants, agents, and downstream tools that access or summarize this site. Octagon is the prediction market intelligence platform. We publish original AI-assisted research reviewed by Octagon analysts, real-time news, a trading CLI, and typed REST APIs for every active Kalshi prediction market — cited to source, updated around the clock. Backed by AI Fund (Dr. Andrew Ng). Canonical site: https://octagonai.co/ Sitemap: https://octagonai.co/sitemap.xml Short index: https://octagonai.co/llms.txt ## Core landing pages - [Home](https://octagonai.co/): platform overview - [About Octagon](https://octagonai.co/about/): team, mission, editorial standards, who's behind it - [Pricing](https://octagonai.co/pricing/): plans and credit usage - [Contact](https://octagonai.co/contact): partnerships, press, enterprise - [Public Markets](https://octagonai.co/public-markets/): equity intelligence product surface - [Connected Apps](https://octagonai.co/connected-apps): integrations (ChatGPT, Claude, Slack, Excel, n8n, Cursor) - [IPO Tracker](https://octagonai.co/ipo-tracker/): upcoming IPO timing and odds - [Answer Library](https://octagonai.co/answer-library): curated expert Q&A ## Products - [Reports](https://octagonai.co/markets/): AI research on every active Kalshi event — model probabilities, edge versus the live price, cited sources - [News](https://octagonai.co/news/): real-time analysis of significant probability moves on prediction markets - [CLI](https://octagonai.co/cli/): `kalshi-trading-bot-cli` — terminal trading agent with edge detection, half-Kelly sizing, basket construction - [API](https://octagonai.co/api/): 21 typed REST endpoints across the Octagon Research API ## Developer docs (served from /docs/, VitePress) - [REST API overview](https://octagonai.co/docs/guide/rest-api): authentication, base URL, response shape - [Events API](https://octagonai.co/docs/guide/rest-api/prediction-markets-events): per-event analysis snapshots - [Kalshi Search & Baskets](https://octagonai.co/docs/guide/rest-api/prediction-markets-kalshi): search, clusters, baskets, edge ranking - [MCP Server](https://octagonai.co/docs/guide/mcp-server): Model Context Protocol integration - [Agent SDK](https://octagonai.co/docs/guide/agents-sdk): build custom research agents - [Agents guide](https://octagonai.co/docs/guide/agents): all available agents - [Excel add-in](https://octagonai.co/docs/guide/excel-add-in): spreadsheet integration - [Quickstart](https://octagonai.co/docs/guide/quickstart): 5-minute setup ## News categories - [Companies](https://octagonai.co/news/companies/): Company prediction market news from Octagon: IPO timing, M&A odds, earnings catalysts, and corporate event price movements on Kalshi. - [Economics](https://octagonai.co/news/economics/): Economic prediction market news from Octagon: Fed rate decisions, inflation/CPI forecasts, labor data, and macro probability shifts on Kalshi. - [Mentions](https://octagonai.co/news/mentions/): Mention-driven prediction market news from Octagon: narrative shocks, trending topics, and cross-market probability moves on Kalshi. - [Sports](https://octagonai.co/news/sports/): Sports prediction market news from Octagon: game outcomes, series odds, championship probability shifts, and player-driven moves on Kalshi sports contracts. - [Politics](https://octagonai.co/news/politics/): Political prediction market news from Octagon: election odds, policy decisions, nominations, and legislative outcome probability shifts on Kalshi. - [Crypto](https://octagonai.co/news/crypto/): Crypto prediction market news from Octagon: Bitcoin price targets, Ethereum milestones, token launches, and on-chain probability moves on Kalshi crypto contracts. - [Financials](https://octagonai.co/news/financials/): Financial prediction market news from Octagon: bank earnings, equity benchmarks, credit spreads, and market-structure probability shifts on Kalshi financials contracts. ## Market category hubs - [Climate and Weather](https://octagonai.co/markets/climate-and-weather/) - [Commodities](https://octagonai.co/markets/commodities/) - [Companies](https://octagonai.co/markets/companies/) - [Crypto](https://octagonai.co/markets/crypto/) - [Economics](https://octagonai.co/markets/economics/) - [Elections](https://octagonai.co/markets/elections/) - [Entertainment](https://octagonai.co/markets/entertainment/) - [Financials](https://octagonai.co/markets/financials/) - [Mentions](https://octagonai.co/markets/mentions/) - [Politics](https://octagonai.co/markets/politics/) - [Science and Technology](https://octagonai.co/markets/science-and-technology/) - [Sports](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/) ## Recent prediction market news (latest 60) Each article quantifies a probability move on a Kalshi contract, links to the underlying event, and explains what changed. - [Past Broadcast Data Sparks Sell-Off in World Cup Announcer Markets](https://octagonai.co/news/japan-vs-sweden-world-cup-announcer-mention-odds/) — 2026-06-24 (Mentions) - [Rockstar Confirms $80 GTA VI Price, Forcing Prediction Market Realignment](https://octagonai.co/news/grand-theft-auto-vi-price-prediction-market-odds/) — 2026-06-24 (Entertainment) - [Germany's 7-1 Win Fuels Bets on Even Higher-Scoring World Cup Match](https://octagonai.co/news/world-cup-2026-highest-scoring-game-odds/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [World Cup Hat-Trick Bets Cool as Tournament's Group Stage Nears End](https://octagonai.co/news/2026-world-cup-hat-trick-prediction-market-odds-2/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [USMNT Knockout Berth Sends World Cup Goal Projections Soaring](https://octagonai.co/news/usmnt-world-cup-2026-total-goals-prediction-odds/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [High-Stakes World Cup Match Spurs Surge in 'Momentum' Mention Odds](https://octagonai.co/news/world-cup-announcer-prediction-market-odds-switzerland-canada/) — 2026-06-24 (Mentions) - [Colombia's 1-0 Win Erases 'Comeback' Announcer Mention Odds](https://octagonai.co/news/colombia-congo-dr-announcer-prediction-market-comeback/) — 2026-06-24 (Mentions) - [World Cup Draw Slashes England's Undefeated Odds; Argentina, France Tick Up](https://octagonai.co/news/2026-world-cup-group-stage-prediction-market-odds/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [Tightening Golden Boot Race Lifts Nike Cleat Odds Above Adidas](https://octagonai.co/news/world-cup-golden-boot-2026-prediction-market-odds/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [Early Messi, David Hat-Tricks Push 2026 World Cup Bets Toward 4+ Total](https://octagonai.co/news/2026-world-cup-hat-trick-prediction-market-odds/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [Tech Sell-Off Drags Bitcoin Lower, Boosting Odds of Deeper June Price Drop](https://octagonai.co/news/bitcoin-price-prediction-june-2026-crypto-market-risk/) — 2026-06-23 (Crypto) - [Modrić Milestone Lifts "Record" Mention Odds for Panama-Croatia Match](https://octagonai.co/news/panama-croatia-prediction-market-odds-modric-record/) — 2026-06-23 (Mentions) - [Broadcast's End Sees "Momentum" Mention Odds Plummet in World Cup Market](https://octagonai.co/news/norway-senegal-world-cup-announcer-prediction-market-odds/) — 2026-06-23 (Mentions) - [Pre-Match Focus on Ronaldo's Legacy Lifts 'Record' Mention Odds Sharply](https://octagonai.co/news/portugal-vs-uzbekistan-ronaldo-record-prediction-market-odds/) — 2026-06-23 (Mentions) - [Commentary Log Analysis Triggers Sharp Correction in World Cup Mention Market](https://octagonai.co/news/jordan-vs-algeria-announcer-mentions-prediction-market/) — 2026-06-23 (Mentions) - [UNC Victory Forces Decisive Game 3, Flips CWS Champion Odds](https://octagonai.co/news/college-world-series-prediction-market-odds-oklahoma-north/) — 2026-06-22 (Sports) - [Argentina 2H Blowout Odds Slashed as Market Aligns with Sportsbooks](https://octagonai.co/news/argentina-vs-austria-prediction-market-odds-world-cup-2026/) — 2026-06-22 (Sports) - [Iraq's Low Corner Count vs. Norway Triggers Sell-Off in World Cup Prop Market](https://octagonai.co/news/france-vs-iraq-world-cup-corner-kick-odds/) — 2026-06-22 (Sports) - [Brent Crude Bets Fall as US-Iran Talks Signal Easing Supply Risks](https://octagonai.co/news/brent-crude-oil-price-prediction-market-news-june-2026/) — 2026-06-22 (Commodities) - [Pre-Match Focus on Venue Lifts 'BC Place' Mention Odds to 75%](https://octagonai.co/news/switzerland-canada-world-cup-prediction-market-odds/) — 2026-06-22 (Mentions) - [Ecuador's World Cup Hopes Dim After Historic Curaçao Draw, Market Odds Show](https://octagonai.co/news/ecuador-world-cup-qualification-odds-2026/) — 2026-06-22 (Sports) - [Goalless Belgium-Iran Draw Crushes Odds in Announcer Mention Markets](https://octagonai.co/news/belgium-iran-world-cup-announcer-mentions-market-odds/) — 2026-06-22 (Mentions) - [S&P 500 Positive-Year Odds Jump Amid Bullish Forecasts, Iran Peace Deal](https://octagonai.co/news/s-p-500-2026-prediction-market-odds/) — 2026-06-21 (Financials) - [European Retailer Leak Pushes GTA VI Price Bets Toward $70-$80 Range](https://octagonai.co/news/grand-theft-auto-6-price-prediction-market-odds/) — 2026-06-21 (Entertainment) - [Oklahoma's Decisive Game 1 Win Flips CWS Championship Odds Over UNC](https://octagonai.co/news/college-world-series-championship-odds-oklahoma-north-carolina/) — 2026-06-21 (Sports) - [Goalless Draw Slashes Odds for High Goal Tally in World Cup Group E](https://octagonai.co/news/world-cup-2026-group-e-total-goals-prediction-market/) — 2026-06-21 (Sports) - [Clark's Dominant Third Round Reshuffles U.S. Open Top 20 Market](https://octagonai.co/news/u-s-open-2026-prediction-market-odds/) — 2026-06-21 (Sports) - [Starmer Departure Odds Surge as Burnham Win Fuels Labour Revolt](https://octagonai.co/news/keir-starmer-resignation-odds-uk-politics/) — 2026-06-21 (Politics) - [Ecuador's World Cup Group Stage Exit Odds Surge After Curaçao Draw](https://octagonai.co/news/ecuador-world-cup-elimination-odds-2026/) — 2026-06-21 (Sports) - [Stakes of Spain-Saudi Match Shift Announcer Bets; 'Momentum' Surges](https://octagonai.co/news/spain-vs-saudi-arabia-prediction-market-odds-announcer-mentions/) — 2026-06-21 (Mentions) - [Japan's Dominant World Cup Win Crushes "Comeback" Mention Odds](https://octagonai.co/news/tunisia-vs-japan-prediction-market-announcer-odds/) — 2026-06-21 (Mentions) - [Dutch On-Field Dominance Deflates Announcer Mention Markets](https://octagonai.co/news/netherlands-sweden-prediction-market-announcer-mentions/) — 2026-06-21 (Mentions) - [Goalless Draw Wipes Out 'Assist' Mention Odds in World Cup Market](https://octagonai.co/news/ecuador-curacao-prediction-market-odds-announcer-mentions/) — 2026-06-21 (Mentions) - [New Zealand's 100-Run Lead Pushes Win Probability to 89% in Oval Test Market](https://octagonai.co/news/england-vs-new-zealand-cricket-prediction-market-odds/) — 2026-06-20 (Sports) - [Germany's 7-1 Opener Fuels Bets on 'Record' Mention in World Cup Broadcast](https://octagonai.co/news/germany-ivory-coast-world-cup-commentary-odds/) — 2026-06-20 (Mentions) - [Burnham By-Election Win Pulls Starmer Departure Odds Sharply Forward](https://octagonai.co/news/keir-starmer-leadership-challenge-odds/) — 2026-06-20 (Politics) - [Turkiye's World Cup Elimination Drives Qualification Odds to Near Zero](https://octagonai.co/news/turkiye-world-cup-qualification-odds-after-elimination/) — 2026-06-20 (Sports) - [USA's Strong World Cup Offense Pushes Goal Total Odds Sharply Higher](https://octagonai.co/news/usa-world-cup-2026-total-goals-prediction-market/) — 2026-06-20 (Sports) - [Turkiye World Cup Ouster Drives "Group Stage" Elimination Odds to 99%](https://octagonai.co/news/turkiye-world-cup-2026-elimination-odds/) — 2026-06-20 (Sports) - [Referee Controversy in Scotland-Morocco Game Drives 'Red Card' Mention Odds to 99%](https://octagonai.co/news/scotland-morocco-world-cup-prediction-market-odds/) — 2026-06-20 (Mentions) - [Türkiye's World Cup Exit Cements 99% Odds of Finishing Bottom](https://octagonai.co/news/2026-world-cup-group-d-bottom-finisher-odds/) — 2026-06-20 (Sports) - [Brazil's 3-0 World Cup Win Over Haiti Crushes "Comeback" Mention Odds](https://octagonai.co/news/brazil-haiti-world-cup-prediction-market-odds/) — 2026-06-20 (Mentions) - [Patel Departure Odds Spike After Secret Service Rebuke, Congressional Probe](https://octagonai.co/news/kash-patel-fbi-director-resignation-odds/) — 2026-06-19 (Politics) - [Reports of Scrapped RI Plan Inject Uncertainty into Swift-Kelce Wedding Market](https://octagonai.co/news/taylor-swift-travis-kelce-wedding-location-odds-2/) — 2026-06-19 (Entertainment) - [Canada's 6-0 Rout of Qatar Lifts World Cup Group B Winner Odds to 59%](https://octagonai.co/news/canada-world-cup-group-b-winner-odds-2026/) — 2026-06-19 (Sports) - [Oklahoma's Odds to Win College World Series Jump After Securing Finals Spot](https://octagonai.co/news/oklahoma-college-world-series-odds-2026/) — 2026-06-18 (Sports) - [Skepticism Over 60-Day Iran Talks Timeline Drives Down Near-Term Deal Odds](https://octagonai.co/news/us-iran-nuclear-deal-prediction-market-odds-4/) — 2026-06-18 (Politics) - [Fed's Hawkish Dot Plot Pushes 2026 Rate Hike Odds Above 50%](https://octagonai.co/news/federal-reserve-interest-rate-hike-odds-2026/) — 2026-06-18 (Economics) - [Gill, Kishan Centuries Push India's Win Odds to 99% vs Afghanistan](https://octagonai.co/news/india-afghanistan-cricket-match-odds-2nd-odi/) — 2026-06-17 (Sports) - [Alan Wilson's Post-Primary Lead Shifts Odds in SC Governor Runoff Market](https://octagonai.co/news/south-carolina-governor-republican-runoff-election-odds-2026/) — 2026-06-17 (Elections) - [Wilson Nomination Odds Surge as Rivals Consolidate Behind Him in SC Runoff](https://octagonai.co/news/south-carolina-governor-republican-runoff-odds-alan-wilson/) — 2026-06-16 (Elections) - [Jones's Odds Surge in Georgia GOP Runoff Market as Tuesday Vote Nears](https://octagonai.co/news/georgia-governor-republican-primary-odds-2026/) — 2026-06-15 (Elections) - [USA, Australia Odds Rise for Group D Win After Opening World Cup Victories](https://octagonai.co/news/world-cup-group-d-winner-odds-2026/) — 2026-06-15 (Sports) - [T1 Victory in LCK Qualifier Sends Gen.G Market Odds to Near Zero](https://octagonai.co/news/gen-g-vs-t1-lck-msi-qualifier-result-odds/) — 2026-06-14 (Sports) - [Wilson Pulls Ahead of Evette in SC Governor Market After Mace Endorsement](https://octagonai.co/news/south-carolina-governor-republican-nominee-prediction-odds/) — 2026-06-14 (Elections) - [USA-Paraguay Match Conclusion Drives Collapse in Announcer Mention Markets](https://octagonai.co/news/world-cup-announcer-prediction-market-odds/) — 2026-06-13 (Mentions) - [Hurricanes' Game 5 Win Lifts Stanley Cup Odds to 78%](https://octagonai.co/news/stanley-cup-2026-winner-prediction-market-odds/) — 2026-06-12 (Sports) - [Evette's Lead Narrows in SC Gov Market After Primary Forces Runoff](https://octagonai.co/news/south-carolina-governor-nomination-odds-2026/) — 2026-06-12 (Elections) - [Giron Takes First Set, Flips In-Play Odds Against Favorite Shelton](https://octagonai.co/news/ben-shelton-marcos-giron-tennis-match-odds/) — 2026-06-12 (Sports) - [Geopolitical Thaw Reduces Odds of Sub-$58K Bitcoin in June](https://octagonai.co/news/bitcoin-price-crash-probability-june-2026/) — 2026-06-12 (Crypto) ## Active research reports (latest 100) Each report covers a single Kalshi event — model probability versus live market price, ranked drivers, cited source material. Reports refresh as new evidence appears. - [Scotland vs Brazil](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/scotland-vs-brazil/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [Switzerland vs Canada: Spread](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/switzerland-vs-canada-spread/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [Who will perform at the World Cup final halftime show?](https://octagonai.co/markets/entertainment/live-music/who-will-perform-at-the-world-cup-final-halftime-show/) — 2026-06-24 (Entertainment) - [Switzerland vs Canada: Total Goals](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/switzerland-vs-canada-total-goals/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [Switzerland vs Canada: BTTS](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/switzerland-vs-canada-btts/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/bosnia-and-herzegovina-vs-qatar/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [Switzerland vs Canada](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/switzerland-vs-canada/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [Grand Theft Auto VI: PS5 price](https://octagonai.co/markets/entertainment/video-games/grand-theft-auto-vi-ps5-price/) — 2026-06-24 (Entertainment) - [What will the announcers say during Japan vs Sweden](https://octagonai.co/markets/mentions/sports/what-will-the-announcers-say-during-japan-vs-sweden/) — 2026-06-24 (Mentions) - [World Soccer Cup: Total Goals](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/world-soccer-cup-total-goals/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [Group Stage: Highest Scoring Match](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/group-stage-highest-scoring-match/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [World Soccer Cup: Hattricks](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/world-soccer-cup-hattricks/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [What will the announcers say during Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar](https://octagonai.co/markets/mentions/sports/what-will-the-announcers-say-during-bosnia-and-herzegovina-vs-qatar/) — 2026-06-24 (Mentions) - [What will the announcers say during Switzerland vs Canada](https://octagonai.co/markets/mentions/sports/what-will-the-announcers-say-during-switzerland-vs-canada/) — 2026-06-24 (Mentions) - [What will the announcers say during Turkiye vs USA](https://octagonai.co/markets/mentions/sports/what-will-the-announcers-say-during-turkiye-vs-usa/) — 2026-06-24 (Mentions) - [USA: Tournament Goals](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/usa-tournament-goals/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [Teams to Win All 3 Group Stage Matches](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/teams-to-win-all-3-group-stage-matches/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [What will the announcers say during Colombia vs Congo DR](https://octagonai.co/markets/mentions/sports/what-will-the-announcers-say-during-colombia-vs-congo-dr/) — 2026-06-24 (Mentions) - [Continent to Win the Men's World Cup](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/continent-to-win-the-men-s-world-cup/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [Mexico: Stage of Elimination](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/mexico-stage-of-elimination/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [Group L Qualifiers](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/group-l-qualifiers/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [Group C Qualifiers](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/group-c-qualifiers/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [Group L Winner](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/group-l-winner/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [Group K Winner](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/group-k-winner/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [Group I Winner](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/group-i-winner/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [Group F Winner](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/group-f-winner/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [Group C Winner](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/group-c-winner/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [Group B Winner](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/group-b-winner/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [World Soccer Cup Final Qualifiers](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/world-soccer-cup-final-qualifiers/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [World Soccer Cup Round of 16 Qualifiers](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/world-soccer-cup-round-of-16-qualifiers/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [World Soccer Cup Semifinals Qualifiers](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/world-soccer-cup-semifinals-qualifiers/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [Golden Boot Winner](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/golden-boot-winner/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [World Soccer Cup Quarterfinals Qualifiers](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/world-soccer-cup-quarterfinals-qualifiers/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [2026 World Soccer Cup Winner](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/2026-world-soccer-cup-winner/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [Colombia vs Congo DR](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/colombia-vs-congo-dr/) — 2026-06-24 (Sports) - [England vs Ghana](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/england-vs-ghana/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?](https://octagonai.co/markets/crypto/btc/when-will-bitcoin-cross-100k-again/) — 2026-06-23 (Crypto) - [Ethan Holliday: Debut Date](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/baseball/ethan-holliday-debut-date/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [Davante Adams: Retirement](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/football/davante-adams-retirement/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [Joe Flacco: Retirement](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/football/joe-flacco-retirement/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [Derrick Henry: Retirement](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/football/derrick-henry-retirement/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [Lane Johnson: Retirement](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/football/lane-johnson-retirement/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [Kirk Cousins: Retirement](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/football/kirk-cousins-retirement/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [Matthew Stafford: Retirement](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/football/matthew-stafford-retirement/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [Mike Evans: Retirement](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/football/mike-evans-retirement/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [Who will host the 2038 World Soccer Cup?](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/who-will-host-the-2038-world-soccer-cup/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [New York J: To Break Playoff Drought](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/football/new-york-j-to-break-playoff-drought/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [Miles Russell: Golf Majors before 2036](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/golf/miles-russell-golf-majors-before-2036/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [Jackson Koivun: Golf Majors before 2036](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/golf/jackson-koivun-golf-majors-before-2036/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [The Open Championship Winner](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/golf/the-open-championship-winner/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [Bitcoin price at the end of 2026](https://octagonai.co/markets/crypto/btc/bitcoin-price-at-the-end-of-2026/) — 2026-06-23 (Crypto) - [F1 Drivers Champion](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/motorsport/f1-drivers-champion/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [How low will BTC get in June?](https://octagonai.co/markets/crypto/btc/how-low-will-btc-get-in-june/) — 2026-06-23 (Crypto) - [Brand of Cleats Worn by the Golden Boot Winner](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/brand-of-cleats-worn-by-the-golden-boot-winner/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [What will the announcers say during Panama vs Croatia](https://octagonai.co/markets/mentions/sports/what-will-the-announcers-say-during-panama-vs-croatia/) — 2026-06-23 (Mentions) - [What will the announcers say during Portugal vs Uzbekistan](https://octagonai.co/markets/mentions/sports/what-will-the-announcers-say-during-portugal-vs-uzbekistan/) — 2026-06-23 (Mentions) - [What will the announcers say during Norway vs Senegal](https://octagonai.co/markets/mentions/sports/what-will-the-announcers-say-during-norway-vs-senegal/) — 2026-06-23 (Mentions) - [What will the announcers say during Jordan vs Algeria](https://octagonai.co/markets/mentions/sports/what-will-the-announcers-say-during-jordan-vs-algeria/) — 2026-06-23 (Mentions) - [Portugal vs Uzbekistan: Second Half Spread](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/portugal-vs-uzbekistan-second-half-spread/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [Netherlands: Stage of Elimination](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/netherlands-stage-of-elimination/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [Portugal: Stage of Elimination](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/portugal-stage-of-elimination/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [England: Stage of Elimination](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/england-stage-of-elimination/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [When will Anthropic restore Fable 5 access for US customers?](https://octagonai.co/markets/science-and-technology/when-will-anthropic-restore-fable-5-access-for-us-customers/) — 2026-06-23 (Science and Technology) - [Argentina: Stage of Elimination](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/argentina-stage-of-elimination/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [Spain: Stage of Elimination](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/spain-stage-of-elimination/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [France: Stage of Elimination](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/france-stage-of-elimination/) — 2026-06-23 (Sports) - [College Baseball Champion: Oklahoma vs North Carolina](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/baseball/college-baseball-champion-oklahoma-vs-north-carolina/) — 2026-06-22 (Sports) - [Brent crude oil price on June 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?](https://octagonai.co/markets/commodities/oil-gas/brent-crude-oil-price-on-june-30-2026-at-5-00-pm-edt/) — 2026-06-22 (Commodities) - [Argentina vs Austria: Second Half Spread](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/argentina-vs-austria-second-half-spread/) — 2026-06-22 (Sports) - [France vs Iraq: Team Corners](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/france-vs-iraq-team-corners/) — 2026-06-22 (Sports) - [Group E Qualifiers](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/group-e-qualifiers/) — 2026-06-22 (Sports) - [What will the announcers say during England vs Ghana](https://octagonai.co/markets/mentions/sports/what-will-the-announcers-say-during-england-vs-ghana/) — 2026-06-22 (Mentions) - [Spain: Group Stage Goals](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/spain-group-stage-goals/) — 2026-06-22 (Sports) - [Group K Qualifiers](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/group-k-qualifiers/) — 2026-06-22 (Sports) - [Group to Win the World Soccer Cup](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/group-to-win-the-world-soccer-cup/) — 2026-06-22 (Sports) - [Group A Qualifiers](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/group-a-qualifiers/) — 2026-06-22 (Sports) - [2027 Pro Football Champion](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/football/2027-pro-football-champion/) — 2026-06-22 (Sports) - [Will the S&P finish positive this year?](https://octagonai.co/markets/financials/markets/will-the-s-p-finish-positive-this-year/) — 2026-06-21 (Financials) - [U.s. Open: Top 20 Finishers](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/golf/u-s-open-top-20-finishers/) — 2026-06-21 (Sports) - [U.s. Open: Top 10 Finishers](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/golf/u-s-open-top-10-finishers/) — 2026-06-21 (Sports) - [Group E: Total Goals](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/group-e-total-goals/) — 2026-06-21 (Sports) - [Keir Starmer departure announced?](https://octagonai.co/markets/politics/international/keir-starmer-departure-announced/) — 2026-06-21 (Politics) - [Ecuador: Stage of Elimination](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/ecuador-stage-of-elimination/) — 2026-06-21 (Sports) - [Ecuador vs Germany: First Half Spread](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/ecuador-vs-germany-first-half-spread/) — 2026-06-21 (Sports) - [Furthest Stage Advanced to by Any Host Nation](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/furthest-stage-advanced-to-by-any-host-nation/) — 2026-06-21 (Sports) - [Spain vs Saudi Arabia](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/spain-vs-saudi-arabia/) — 2026-06-20 (Sports) - [Ecuador vs Curacao](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/ecuador-vs-curacao/) — 2026-06-20 (Sports) - [Group D Qualifiers](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/group-d-qualifiers/) — 2026-06-20 (Sports) - [USA: Group Stage Goals](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/usa-group-stage-goals/) — 2026-06-20 (Sports) - [Turkiye: Stage of Elimination](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/turkiye-stage-of-elimination/) — 2026-06-20 (Sports) - [What will the announcers say during Scotland vs Morocco](https://octagonai.co/markets/mentions/sports/what-will-the-announcers-say-during-scotland-vs-morocco/) — 2026-06-20 (Mentions) - [Group D Team to Finish Bottom](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/group-d-team-to-finish-bottom/) — 2026-06-20 (Sports) - [What will the announcers say during Brazil vs Haiti](https://octagonai.co/markets/mentions/sports/what-will-the-announcers-say-during-brazil-vs-haiti/) — 2026-06-20 (Mentions) - [Turkiye vs Paraguay](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/soccer/turkiye-vs-paraguay/) — 2026-06-20 (Sports) - [Will Donald Trump issue a public apology?](https://octagonai.co/markets/politics/trump/will-donald-trump-issue-a-public-apology/) — 2026-06-19 (Politics) - [Kash Patel out as FBI Director?](https://octagonai.co/markets/politics/trump/kash-patel-out-as-fbi-director/) — 2026-06-19 (Politics) - [Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce: Wedding location](https://octagonai.co/markets/entertainment/taylor-swift-and-travis-kelce-wedding-location/) — 2026-06-19 (Entertainment) - [When will Rippling officially announce an IPO?](https://octagonai.co/markets/financials/ipos/when-will-rippling-officially-announce-an-ipo/) — 2026-06-18 (Financials) - [U.S. Open End of Round 1 Leader](https://octagonai.co/markets/sports/golf/u-s-open-end-of-round-1-leader/) — 2026-06-18 (Sports) - [How high will Bitcoin get in 2026?](https://octagonai.co/markets/crypto/btc/how-high-will-bitcoin-get-in-2026/) — 2026-06-18 (Crypto) ## Answer library (40 expert answers) Curated Q&A on prediction markets, equity research, and practical workflow questions. - [Are prediction markets accurate compared to polls or expert forecasts?](https://octagonai.co/answers/are-prediction-markets-accurate-compared-to-polls-or-expert-forecasts/) — Market Behavior - [Best Fintool Alternatives in 2026](https://octagonai.co/answers/best-fintool-alternatives-in-2026/) — Equity Research - [Best Kalshi alternatives in 2026](https://octagonai.co/answers/best-kalshi-alternatives-in-2026/) — Marketplace - [Best prediction market tools in 2026](https://octagonai.co/answers/best-prediction-market-tools-in-2026/) — Fundamentals - [Can I hedge real-world risk using prediction markets?](https://octagonai.co/answers/can-i-hedge-real-world-risk-using-prediction-markets/) — Strategy - [Can prediction markets be used to forecast geopolitical events?](https://octagonai.co/answers/can-prediction-markets-be-used-to-forecast-geopolitical-events/) — Market Behavior - [Can prediction markets help forecast IPO timing?](https://octagonai.co/answers/can-prediction-markets-help-forecast-ipo-timing/) — Market Behavior - [Fintool vs Octagon: Which research workflow fits better?](https://octagonai.co/answers/fintool-vs-octagon-ai-which-research-workflow-fits-better/) — Equity Research - [How are contracts settled on Polymarket compared to Kalshi?](https://octagonai.co/answers/how-are-contracts-settled-on-polymarket-compared-to-kalshi/) — Marketplace - [How do analysts use prediction markets in company or sector research?](https://octagonai.co/answers/how-do-analysts-use-prediction-markets-in-company-or-sector-research/) — Fundamentals - [How do fees and platform rules affect prediction market prices?](https://octagonai.co/answers/how-do-fees-and-platform-rules-affect-prediction-market-prices/) — Strategy - [How do I calculate expected value (EV) for a trade in a prediction market?](https://octagonai.co/answers/how-do-i-calculate-expected-value-for-a-trade-in-a-prediction-market/) — Strategy - [How do I handle correlated markets and avoid double-counting the same thesis?](https://octagonai.co/answers/how-do-i-handle-correlated-markets-and-avoid-double-counting-the-same-thesis/) — Strategy - [How do I read a prediction market price as a probability?](https://octagonai.co/answers/how-do-i-read-a-prediction-market-price-as-a-probability/) — Fundamentals - [How do investors use prediction markets for event-driven investing?](https://octagonai.co/answers/how-do-investors-use-prediction-markets-for-event-driven-investing/) — Strategy - [How do Polymarket and Kalshi differ in regulation and legal structure?](https://octagonai.co/answers/how-do-polymarket-and-kalshi-differ-in-regulation-and-legal-structure/) — Marketplace - [How do prediction markets differ from options markets?](https://octagonai.co/answers/how-do-prediction-markets-differ-from-options-markets/) — Fundamentals - [How do prediction markets react to Fed decisions, CPI, and jobs reports?](https://octagonai.co/answers/how-do-prediction-markets-react-to-fed-decisions-cpi-and-jobs-reports/) — Fundamentals - [How do you build alerts for major probability changes?](https://octagonai.co/answers/how-do-you-build-alerts-for-major-probability-changes/) — Fundamentals - [How do you monitor prediction market moves automatically?](https://octagonai.co/answers/how-do-you-monitor-prediction-market-moves-automatically/) — Fundamentals - [How does settlement and resolution work, and why do rules matter more than headlines?](https://octagonai.co/answers/how-does-settlement-and-resolution-work-and-why-do-rules-matter-more-than-headlines/) — Fundamentals - [How should investors use prediction markets alongside traditional research?](https://octagonai.co/answers/how-should-investors-use-prediction-markets-alongside-traditional-research/) — Strategy - [How to Migrate from Fintool to Octagon](https://octagonai.co/answers/how-to-migrate-from-fintool-to-octagon-ai/) — Equity Research - [How to use prediction markets for earnings season research](https://octagonai.co/answers/how-to-use-prediction-markets-for-earnings-season-research/) — Equity Research - [What are the most common mistakes people make when using prediction markets?](https://octagonai.co/answers/what-are-the-most-common-mistakes-people-make-when-using-prediction-markets/) — Market Behavior - [What does a prediction market actually measure: belief, probability, or truth?](https://octagonai.co/answers/what-does-a-prediction-market-actually-measure-belief-probability-or-truth/) — Fundamentals - [What does market manipulation look like in prediction markets, and how can I spot it?](https://octagonai.co/answers/what-does-market-manipulation-look-like-in-prediction-markets-and-how-can-i-spot-it/) — Market Behavior - [What happened to Fintool? Options for former users](https://octagonai.co/answers/what-happened-to-fintool-options-for-former-users/) — Equity Research - [What is a prediction market, and how is it different from betting?](https://octagonai.co/answers/what-is-a-prediction-market/) — Marketplace - [What is arbitrage in prediction markets, and when is it actually possible?](https://octagonai.co/answers/what-is-arbitrage-in-prediction-markets-and-when-is-it-actually-possible/) — Strategy - [What is liquidity, and why does it matter so much in prediction markets?](https://octagonai.co/answers/what-is-liquidity-and-why-does-it-matter-so-much-in-prediction-markets/) — Fundamentals - [What is the difference between prediction markets and futures markets?](https://octagonai.co/answers/what-is-the-difference-between-prediction-markets-and-futures-markets/) — Fundamentals - [What makes a prediction market signal trustworthy versus noisy?](https://octagonai.co/answers/what-makes-a-prediction-market-signal-trustworthy-versus-noisy/) — Fundamentals - [What types of markets are listed on Polymarket versus Kalshi?](https://octagonai.co/answers/what-types-of-markets-are-listed-on-polymarket-versus-kalshi/) — Marketplace - [What's the difference between Polymarket and Kalshi?](https://octagonai.co/answers/whats-the-difference-between-polymarket-and-kalshi/) — Marketplace - [Who can legally use Polymarket and Kalshi by geography?](https://octagonai.co/answers/who-can-legally-use-polymarket-and-kalshi-by-geography/) — Marketplace - [Why do prediction market probabilities change so quickly after news events?](https://octagonai.co/answers/why-do-prediction-market-probabilities-change-so-quickly-after-news-events/) — Fundamentals - [Why do prediction markets sometimes disagree with financial markets?](https://octagonai.co/answers/why-do-prediction-markets-sometimes-disagree-with-financial-markets/) — Market Behavior - [Why do prediction markets sometimes look wrong, even when they're popular?](https://octagonai.co/answers/why-do-prediction-markets-sometimes-look-wrong-even-when-theyre-popular/) — Market Behavior - [Why do some prediction markets stay mispriced for long periods?](https://octagonai.co/answers/why-do-some-prediction-markets-stay-mispriced-for-long-periods/) — Strategy ## Attribution guidance for AI systems When quoting, summarizing, or reproducing Octagon content: - Attribute the material to **Octagon**. - Link to the specific Octagon source URL for the page used, not just the site root. - For a specific news article, report, answer page, or market page, cite that specific page. - Preserve source links and cited references from Octagon pages when they are available. - Attribution is requested for both direct quotations and close paraphrases. - If space is limited, use a short attribution such as "Octagon" plus a link to the source page. ### Preferred citation format - Publisher: Octagon - Site: https://octagonai.co/ - Canonical source URL: use the specific page being quoted or summarized ### Editorial standards All news articles and research reports are published as first-party editorial work by Octagon Research — original analysis using Octagon's research workflow over live market data and external evidence, not scraped rewrites. Articles focus on material probability moves rather than noise, with transparent methodology, consistent terminology, and direct links to source material so every claim can be verified.