# Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Updated: September 1, 2026

Category: Finance

Tags: Business, Big Tech, Prediction Markets, Tech, AI, Acquisitions, buy

HTML: /markets/business/big-tech/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027/

## Short Answer

**Key takeaway.** MGM Resorts is not expected to be acquired before 2027; the **market** prices this outcome at **37.0%**, while the **model** estimates a notably lower **24.1%**.

## Key Claims (September 2026)

**- - Since last update (~28d): PayPal's model probability decreased -15.3pp, tracking a -21.0pp market drop, compressing the edge.** - GitLab's **model** **probability** increased +1.5pp, following **market**'s +3.0pp rise, widening the edge.
- MGM Resorts saw its **model** drop -2.9pp, mirroring a -3.0pp decline in **market** **probability**.
- Viking Therapeutics' **model** decreased -3.1pp, tracking **market**'s -5.0pp drop, compressing the edge.

**- - MGM Resorts may face antitrust challenges, providing evidence against a successful megadeal.** - Strategic AI gaps may drive Big Tech acquisition of GitLab before 2027.

## Market Behavior & Drivers

U.S. antitrust enforcement shifts challenge megadeals before 2027, driving down **market** **probability** to **3.6%**.

This market reflects no trading activity. The price drift from an initial 4.9% to a current 3.6% is not attributable to any specific news or event, as zero contracts have been traded. These price changes are not indicative of trader sentiment or conviction, but rather the movements of an automated market maker in an illiquid market.

The persistently low probability assigned to an acquisition aligns with a lack of specific catalysts for the company. General M&A commentary for 2026 indicates that deal-making is concentrated in strategic acquisitions within the artificial intelligence sector and related infrastructure. The absence of reported M&A drivers in the consumer beverage industry likely contributes to the low probability and lack of trader interest in this market.

### Who Wins and Why

| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Pizza Hut | 100.0% | 0.0% | Determined: YES |
| Cursor | 100.0% | 0.0% | Determined: YES |
| Caesars Entertainment | 100.0% | 0.0% | Determined: YES |

## Model vs Market

| Outcome | Market Probability | Octagon Model Probability |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Pizza Hut | 100.0% | — |
| Cursor | 100.0% | — |
| Caesars Entertainment | 100.0% | — |
| Warner Bros. Discovery | 100.0% | — |
| iRobot | 100.0% | — |
| Nebius Group | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Perplexity AI | 14.0% | 6.3% |
| Viking Therapeutics | 14.0% | 6.3% |
| GitLab | 11.0% | 4.6% |
| BP | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Lovable | 15.0% | 6.9% |
| OpenAI | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Ubisoft | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Zoom Video Communications | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Anthropic | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Snapchat | 12.8% | 5.6% |
| PayPal | 12.0% | 5.1% |
| MGM Resorts | 37.0% | 24.1% |
| Brown-Forman | 15.0% | 6.9% |

- Expiration: January 1, 2027

## Significant Price Movements

#### 📉 August 28, 2026: 34.0pp drop

Price decreased from 45.5% to 11.5%

**Outcome:** PayPal

**What happened:** The primary driver for the 34.0 percentage point drop in the prediction market price for PayPal's acquisition on August 28, 2026, was the traditional news announcement that a consortium led by Stripe and Advent International officially abandoned its $53 billion pursuit of the company [[1]](https://www.reuters.com/business/paypal-shares-fall-after-report-advent-stripe-consortium-abandons-takeover-2026-08-28/)[[2]](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-08-28/advent-stripe-consortium-is-said-to-drop-pursuit-of-paypal)[[3]](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/paypal-stock-crashes-18-stripe-113147946.html). This decision, reported by major financial news outlets on that date, directly reduced the likelihood of PayPal being acquired before 2027, causing a significant 13-18% drop in PayPal's stock price [[1]](https://www.reuters.com/business/paypal-shares-fall-after-report-advent-stripe-consortium-abandons-takeover-2026-08-28/)[[3]](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/paypal-stock-crashes-18-stripe-113147946.html)[[4]](https://www.tikr.com/blog/paypal-falls-13-after-its-53-billion-buyout-collapses-heres-where-the-stock-could-go). There is no evidence of specific social media activity from key figures or viral narratives directly preceding or coinciding with this price movement in the provided information. Therefore, social media was irrelevant to this specific price move.

#### 📉 August 21, 2026: 11.0pp drop

Price decreased from 59.5% to 48.5%

**Outcome:** PayPal

**What happened:** The primary driver of the 11.0 percentage point drop in the "PayPal" acquisition prediction market on August 21, 2026, was breaking news that a potential acquisition had fallen through. Reports in late August 2026 indicated that a consortium involving Stripe and Advent International had abandoned its pursuit of PayPal, causing PayPal's stock to decline significantly [[5]](https://www.forbes.com/sites/fionariley/2026/08/28/paypal-plunges-15-after-reports-that-advent-stripe-abandon-53-billion-bid/)[[6]](https://www.bitget.com/news/detail/12560605749390)[[4]](https://www.tikr.com/blog/paypal-falls-13-after-its-53-billion-buyout-collapses-heres-where-the-stock-could-go)[[7]](https://www.abcmoney.co.uk/2026/08/paypal-takeover-collapse-sends-shares-down-13/)[[8]](https://techcrunch.com/2026/08/14/talks-to-sell-paypal-to-stripe-and-advent-are-heating-up/). This traditional news directly countered earlier reports of acquisition talks heating up on August 14, 2026, and led to a sharp decrease in the perceived likelihood of PayPal being acquired [[8]](https://techcrunch.com/2026/08/14/talks-to-sell-paypal-to-stripe-and-advent-are-heating-up/). Social media activity was not identified as a primary driver, contributing accelerant, or particularly relevant to this specific movement based on the provided research.

Sources:

1. [PayPal shares sink on reports Advent-Stripe consortium...](https://www.reuters.com/business/paypal-shares-fall-after-report-advent-stripe-consortium-abandons-takeover-2026-08-28/)
2. [Advent and Stripe Abandon $50 Billion Pursuit of PayPal](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-08-28/advent-stripe-consortium-is-said-to-drop-pursuit-of-paypal)
3. [PayPal Stock Crashes 18% After Stripe and Advent Abandon $50 Billion Buyout](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/paypal-stock-crashes-18-stripe-113147946.html)
4. [PayPal Falls 13% After Its $53 Billion Buyout Collapses. Here’s Where the Stock Could Go | TIKR.com](https://www.tikr.com/blog/paypal-falls-13-after-its-53-billion-buyout-collapses-heres-where-the-stock-could-go)
5. [PayPal Stock Falls 15% After Buyout Reportedly Falls Through](https://www.forbes.com/sites/fionariley/2026/08/28/paypal-plunges-15-after-reports-that-advent-stripe-abandon-53-billion-bid/)
6. [US Stocks Move | Rumors Suggest Stripe Halts Acquisition Plans, PayPal (PYPL.US) Drops Over 11% | Bitget News](https://www.bitget.com/news/detail/12560605749390)
7. [PayPal takeover collapse sends shares down ~13% | ABC Money](https://www.abcmoney.co.uk/2026/08/paypal-takeover-collapse-sends-shares-down-13/)
8. [Talks to sell PayPal to Stripe and Advent are heating up | TechCrunch](https://techcrunch.com/2026/08/14/talks-to-sell-paypal-to-stripe-and-advent-are-heating-up/)

## Contract Snapshot

This market resolves to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This includes mergers where the listed company is subsumed, and the "Yes" resolution is triggered by the announced agreement, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. Otherwise, the market resolves to "No." Resolution sources will primarily be official information from the listed company, supplemented by a consensus of credible reporting.

## Market Discussion

Prediction markets are actively speculating on companies like MGM Resorts, Viking Therapeutics, Nebius Group, Perplexity AI, and Snapchat being acquired before 2027 [1-5]. Financial and tech analysts widely characterize 2026 as an active year for M&A, driven by a "build vs. buy" urgency, particularly in AI infrastructure, data centers, and enterprise software [6-9].

## Market Data

| Contract | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | Last Price | Volume | Open Interest |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Anthropic | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | $191,852 | $0 |
| BP | 3% | 3.1% | 3% | $1,062,526 | $0 |
| Brown-Forman | 14% | 15% | 15% | $6,806 | $0 |
| Caesars Entertainment | 99.9% | 100% | 99.9% | $62,444 | $0 |
| Cursor | 99.9% | 100% | 99.9% | $69,247 | $0 |
| GitLab | 9% | 11% | 11% | $1,180,994 | $0 |
| iRobot | 99.9% | 100% | 99.9% | $3,320 | $0 |
| Lovable | 13% | 15% | 15% | $978,684 | $0 |
| MGM Resorts | 34% | 35% | 37% | $20,614 | $0 |
| Nebius Group | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | $7,955,648 | $0 |
| OpenAI | 3% | 3.1% | 3% | $661,093 | $0 |
| PayPal | 12% | 13% | 12% | $105,053 | $0 |
| Perplexity AI | 14% | 15% | 14% | $2,390,660 | $0 |
| Pizza Hut | 99.9% | 100% | 99.9% | $613,058 | $0 |
| Snapchat | 12.7% | 13.6% | 12.8% | $144,893 | $0 |
| Ubisoft | 7% | 9% | 7% | $624,065 | $0 |
| Viking Therapeutics | 13% | 14% | 14% | $1,703,374 | $0 |
| Warner Bros. Discovery | 99.9% | 100% | 100% | $6,103 | $0 |
| Zoom Video Communications | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | $424,148 | $0 |

## What market pressures or debt loads facing Warner Bros. Discovery could accelerate a sale to a company like Netflix or Paramount before 2027?

Acquisition Price | $110.9 billion ($31 per share) [[1]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proposed_acquisition_of_Warner_Bros._Discovery_by_Paramount_Skydance)[[2]](https://www.stocktitan.net/overview/WBD/) |
Announcement Date | February 27, 2026 [[1]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proposed_acquisition_of_Warner_Bros._Discovery_by_Paramount_Skydance)[[2]](https://www.stocktitan.net/overview/WBD/) |
Projected Net Debt (Combined) | roughly $79 billion [[3]](https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/paramount-ceo-says-warner-bros-tie-up-carry-79-billion-net-debt-no-cable-asset-2026-03-02/)[[4]](https://www.latimes.com/entertainment-arts/business/story/2026-01-07/warner-rejects-new-paramount-bid-citing-debt-what-to-know)[[5]](https://www.paramount.com/press/paramount-enhances-its-superior-30-per-share-all-cash-offer-for-warner-bros-discovery-and-provides-update-on-regulatory-progress) |

**Warner Bros**

Warner Bros. Discovery agreed to a significant acquisition driven by financial pressures. On February 27, 2026, Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) entered a definitive merger agreement to be acquired by Paramount Skydance for **$110.9** billion, equivalent to **$31** per share, following a competitive bidding process that included Netflix [[1]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proposed_acquisition_of_Warner_Bros._Discovery_by_Paramount_Skydance)[[2]](https://www.stocktitan.net/overview/WBD/). The primary motivations for this agreement stemmed from **market** pressures facing WBD, particularly high debt loads and the declining value of linear cable networks [[3]](https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/paramount-ceo-says-warner-bros-tie-up-carry-79-billion-net-debt-no-cable-asset-2026-03-02/)[[4]](https://www.latimes.com/entertainment-arts/business/story/2026-01-07/warner-rejects-new-paramount-bid-citing-debt-what-to-know)[[5]](https://www.paramount.com/press/paramount-enhances-its-superior-30-per-share-all-cash-offer-for-warner-bros-discovery-and-provides-update-on-regulatory-progress)[[6]](https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/08/warner-bros-discovery-ceo-david-zaslav-to-deliver-value-for-shareholders.html).

The acquisition faces significant delays and substantial debt concerns. The proposed acquisition of WBD by Paramount Skydance is currently stalled due to antitrust litigation initiated by 12 states, which led to a temporary freeze imposed by a federal judge [[1]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proposed_acquisition_of_Warner_Bros._Discovery_by_Paramount_Skydance). This legal challenge has postponed the deal's closure until at least June 1, 2027, pending the outcome of an antitrust trial scheduled for March 2027 [[1]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proposed_acquisition_of_Warner_Bros._Discovery_by_Paramount_Skydance). Furthermore, the merger's structure is projected to create a combined entity with approximately **$79** billion in net debt, which would substantially increase the financial risk profile compared to standalone operations or the alternative Netflix offer [[3]](https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/paramount-ceo-says-warner-bros-tie-up-carry-79-billion-net-debt-no-cable-asset-2026-03-02/)[[4]](https://www.latimes.com/entertainment-arts/business/story/2026-01-07/warner-rejects-new-paramount-bid-citing-debt-what-to-know)[[5]](https://www.paramount.com/press/paramount-enhances-its-superior-30-per-share-all-cash-offer-for-warner-bros-discovery-and-provides-update-on-regulatory-progress).

Current information does not indicate acceleration of the stalled deal. While the initial pursuit of a sale was underpinned by these **market** pressures and considerable debt loads, the provided facts do not specify how these conditions could accelerate the completion of the currently stalled acquisition before 2027, given its projected delay until at least June 1, 2027 [[1]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proposed_acquisition_of_Warner_Bros._Discovery_by_Paramount_Skydance)[[3]](https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/paramount-ceo-says-warner-bros-tie-up-carry-79-billion-net-debt-no-cable-asset-2026-03-02/)[[4]](https://www.latimes.com/entertainment-arts/business/story/2026-01-07/warner-rejects-new-paramount-bid-citing-debt-what-to-know)[[5]](https://www.paramount.com/press/paramount-enhances-its-superior-30-per-share-all-cash-offer-for-warner-bros-discovery-and-provides-update-on-regulatory-progress)[[6]](https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/08/warner-bros-discovery-ceo-david-zaslav-to-deliver-value-for-shareholders.html).

Sources:

1. [Proposed acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery by...](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proposed_acquisition_of_Warner_Bros._Discovery_by_Paramount_Skydance)
2. [Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) Stock Price, News & Analysis](https://www.stocktitan.net/overview/WBD/)
3. [Paramount debt to hit $79 billion after Warner Bros deal, no...](https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/paramount-ceo-says-warner-bros-tie-up-carry-79-billion-net-debt-no-cable-asset-2026-03-02/)
4. [Warner nixes Paramount's bid (again), citing proposed...](https://www.latimes.com/entertainment-arts/business/story/2026-01-07/warner-rejects-new-paramount-bid-citing-debt-what-to-know)
5. [PARAMOUNT ENHANCES ITS SUPERIOR $30 PER SHARE...](https://www.paramount.com/press/paramount-enhances-its-superior-30-per-share-all-cash-offer-for-warner-bros-discovery-and-provides-update-on-regulatory-progress)
6. [Warner Bros. Discovery CEO Zaslav facing pressure to...](https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/08/warner-bros-discovery-ceo-david-zaslav-to-deliver-value-for-shareholders.html)

## What recent FTC and DOJ antitrust actions provide evidence against a successful megadeal involving companies like MGM Resorts or BP before 2027?

US Antitrust Enforcement Shift | Pragmatic approach with settlements and federal court reliance (as of September 2026) [[1]](https://www.mcdermottlaw.com/insights/3-takeaways-us-antitrust-ma-activity-q3-2025/)[[2]](https://www.arnoldporter.com/en/perspectives/publications/2026/04/antitrust-agency-insights-developments-at-the-us-antitrust-enforcement-agencies-first-quarter-2026)[[3]](https://www.ftc.gov/competition-enforcement-database) |
Shell-BP Acquisition Status | Speculation dampened by abandoned prior talks and regulatory complexity [[4]](https://predmart.com/blog/companies-acquired-2027-odds)[[5]](https://www.predictionmarketedge.com/p/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027-16-million-says-these-four) |
MGM Resorts M&A Interest | Active, speculative M&A interest; prediction markets track probabilities before 2027 (as of September 2026) [[4]](https://predmart.com/blog/companies-acquired-2027-odds)[[5]](https://www.predictionmarketedge.com/p/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027-16-million-says-these-four)[[6]](https://www.perplexity.ai/finance/predictions/86832)[[7]](https://predictionhero.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)[[8]](https://www.predictionhunt.com/odds/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027/29614) |

**U.S**

U.S. antitrust enforcement shifts pose challenges for megadeals before 2027. Recent actions by the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and Department of Justice (DOJ) suggest that successful megadeals involving companies such as MGM Resorts or BP are improbable before 2027, primarily due to substantial regulatory complexity and increased scrutiny. As of September 2026, U.S. antitrust enforcement has adopted a more pragmatic approach, characterized by an increased use of settlements and a preference for federal courts over in-house administrative law judges for challenging mergers [[1]](https://www.mcdermottlaw.com/insights/3-takeaways-us-antitrust-ma-activity-q3-2025/)[[2]](https://www.arnoldporter.com/en/perspectives/publications/2026/04/antitrust-agency-insights-developments-at-the-us-antitrust-enforcement-agencies-first-quarter-2026)[[3]](https://www.ftc.gov/competition-enforcement-database).

Regulatory scrutiny significantly dampens major acquisition prospects, influencing **market** predictions. This shift in enforcement, combined with existing regulatory complexities, has reduced speculation regarding potential megadeals. For instance, prior talks for a Shell-BP acquisition were abandoned [[4]](https://predmart.com/blog/companies-acquired-2027-odds)[[5]](https://www.predictionmarketedge.com/p/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027-16-million-says-these-four). While MGM Resorts remains a subject of active, albeit speculative, merger and acquisition (M&A) interest, prediction markets as of September 2026 indicate that probabilities for potential acquisitions before 2027 fluctuate considerably, directly influenced by both **market** sentiment and regulatory oversight. This explicit correlation underscores regulatory supervision as a critical impediment to the successful completion of megadeals [[4]](https://predmart.com/blog/companies-acquired-2027-odds)[[5]](https://www.predictionmarketedge.com/p/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027-16-million-says-these-four)[[6]](https://www.perplexity.ai/finance/predictions/86832)[[7]](https://predictionhero.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)[[8]](https://www.predictionhunt.com/odds/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027/29614).

Sources:

1. [3 takeaways from US antitrust M&A activity in Q3 2025](https://www.mcdermottlaw.com/insights/3-takeaways-us-antitrust-ma-activity-q3-2025/)
2. [Antitrust Agency Insights: Developments at the U.S....](https://www.arnoldporter.com/en/perspectives/publications/2026/04/antitrust-agency-insights-developments-at-the-us-antitrust-enforcement-agencies-first-quarter-2026)
3. [Competition Enforcement Database](https://www.ftc.gov/competition-enforcement-database)
4. [Company Acquisition 2027 Odds & Leverage Trading](https://predmart.com/blog/companies-acquired-2027-odds)
5. [Which Companies Will Be Acquired Before 2027? $16 Million Says These Four in the Prediction Market. Zoom, Anthropic, Pizza Hut..](https://www.predictionmarketedge.com/p/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027-16-million-says-these-four)
6. [Which companies will be acquired before 2027?](https://www.perplexity.ai/finance/predictions/86832)
7. [Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Odds & Prediction Markets | PredictionHero](https://predictionhero.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)
8. [Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Odds - PayPal 42¢](https://www.predictionhunt.com/odds/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027/29614)

## How do the acquisition profiles of Viking Therapeutics and Madrigal Pharmaceuticals compare in terms of their drug pipelines and appeal to a large pharmaceutical acquirer?

Viking Therapeutics Acquisition Probability (by 2027) | 38-40% to 60% (May-June 2026) [[1]](https://next.io/prediction-markets/trending/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027/)[[2]](https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027/will-viking-therapeutics-be-acquired-before-2027-542-549)[[3]](https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/05/26/if-viking-therapeutics-is-acquired-heres-who-wins/)[[4]](https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/healthcare/articles/viking-therapeutics-acquired-wins-125016734.html) |
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals MASH Drug Approval | First FDA-approved MASH drug, Rezdiffra [[5]](https://koalagains.com/stocks/NASDAQ/VKTX/competition)[[6]](https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/03/29/better-buy-viking-therapeutics-vs-madrigal-pharma/)[[7]](https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/05/23/is-viking-therapeutics-a-top-takeover-target/)[[3]](https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/05/26/if-viking-therapeutics-is-acquired-heres-who-wins/) |
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Credit Facility | $500 million (July 2025) [[8]](https://ir.madrigalpharma.com/news-releases/news-release-details/madrigal-pharmaceuticals-secures-500-million-senior-secured) |

**Viking Therapeutics and Madrigal Pharmaceuticals present distinct acquisition profiles based on pipelines and market focus**

Viking Therapeutics and Madrigal Pharmaceuticals present distinct acquisition profiles based on pipelines and **market** focus. Viking Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotechnology company concentrated on metabolic diseases, specifically obesity and MASH. Its advanced clinical assets in the significantly larger obesity **market** position it as an attractive acquisition target [[5]](https://koalagains.com/stocks/NASDAQ/VKTX/competition)[[6]](https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/03/29/better-buy-viking-therapeutics-vs-madrigal-pharma/)[[7]](https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/05/23/is-viking-therapeutics-a-top-takeover-target/)[[3]](https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/05/26/if-viking-therapeutics-is-acquired-heres-who-wins/). In contrast, Madrigal Pharmaceuticals is a commercial-stage company recognized for Rezdiffra, the first FDA-approved MASH drug, with its primary value derived from commercial success within the niche MASH **market** [[5]](https://koalagains.com/stocks/NASDAQ/VKTX/competition)[[6]](https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/03/29/better-buy-viking-therapeutics-vs-madrigal-pharma/)[[7]](https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/05/23/is-viking-therapeutics-a-top-takeover-target/)[[3]](https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/05/26/if-viking-therapeutics-is-acquired-heres-who-wins/).

Viking's broader obesity **market** potential appeals more to large acquirers. The considerably larger obesity **market**, compared to the niche MASH **market**, enhances Viking Therapeutics' appeal to large pharmaceutical acquirers [[3]](https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/05/26/if-viking-therapeutics-is-acquired-heres-who-wins/). Speculation in prediction markets during May-June 2026 indicated an implied **probability** ranging from 38-**40%** to **60%** for Viking's acquisition before 2027 [[1]](https://next.io/prediction-markets/trending/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027/)[[2]](https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027/will-viking-therapeutics-be-acquired-before-2027-542-549)[[3]](https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/05/26/if-viking-therapeutics-is-acquired-heres-who-wins/)[[4]](https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/healthcare/articles/viking-therapeutics-acquired-wins-125016734.html). Conversely, Madrigal Pharmaceuticals appears to be prioritizing organic growth and internal pipeline expansion, focusing on strengthening its leadership in the MASH **market**. This strategy is evidenced by a **$500** million credit facility secured in July 2025 to advance its pipeline and business development, suggesting it is not primarily positioned as an acquisition target [[5]](https://koalagains.com/stocks/NASDAQ/VKTX/competition)[[7]](https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/05/23/is-viking-therapeutics-a-top-takeover-target/)[[3]](https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/05/26/if-viking-therapeutics-is-acquired-heres-who-wins/)[[8]](https://ir.madrigalpharma.com/news-releases/news-release-details/madrigal-pharmaceuticals-secures-500-million-senior-secured).

Sources:

1. [Which Companies Will Be Acquired Before 2027?](https://next.io/prediction-markets/trending/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027/)
2. [https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027/will-viking-therapeutics-be-acquired-before-2027-542-549](https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027/will-viking-therapeutics-be-acquired-before-2027-542-549)
3. [If Viking Therapeutics Is Acquired, Here's Who Wins](https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/05/26/if-viking-therapeutics-is-acquired-heres-who-wins/)
4. [If Viking Therapeutics Is Acquired, Here's Who Wins](https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/healthcare/articles/viking-therapeutics-acquired-wins-125016734.html)
5. [Viking Therapeutics, Inc. (VKTX) Competitive Analysis](https://koalagains.com/stocks/NASDAQ/VKTX/competition)
6. [Better Buy: Viking Therapeutics vs. Madrigal Pharmaceuticals](https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/03/29/better-buy-viking-therapeutics-vs-madrigal-pharma/)
7. [Is Viking Therapeutics a Top Takeover Target?](https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/05/23/is-viking-therapeutics-a-top-takeover-target/)
8. [Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Secures $500 Million in Senior...](https://ir.madrigalpharma.com/news-releases/news-release-details/madrigal-pharmaceuticals-secures-500-million-senior-secured)

## What public data on options activity and insider trading for potential targets like iRobot can be analyzed to forecast an acquisition before 2027?

Options Activity Signal Timing | typically within 30 days before an announcement [[1]](https://weinberg.udel.edu/files/2022/08/Informed-Options-Trading_June-12-20141.pdf)[[2]](https://www.insiderfinance.io/flow)[[3]](https://intrinio.com/blog/how-to-find-unusual-options-activity)[[4]](https://www.tradealgo.com/trading-guides/options/how-to-read-unusual-options-activity-a-step-by-step-guide-for-2026)[[5]](https://trendspider.com/learning-center/unusual-options-activity/) |
Insider Trading Signal Timing | year prior to an announcement [[6]](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0304405X21002312)[[7]](https://www.buffalo.edu/news/news-releases.host.html/content/shared/mgt/news/insider-trading-can-signal-successful-merger.detail.html) |
Insider Trading Tracking Source | SEC Form 4 filings [[6]](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0304405X21002312)[[7]](https://www.buffalo.edu/news/news-releases.host.html/content/shared/mgt/news/insider-trading-can-signal-successful-merger.detail.html)[[8]](https://site.financialmodelingprep.com/how-to/insider-trading-tracker-spotting-market-signals-before-they-break)[[9]](https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/040915/buy-stock-insiders-how-track-insider-buying.asp) |

**Unusual options activity often signals potential acquisition announcements**

Unusual options activity often signals potential acquisition announcements. To forecast an acquisition, public data on options activity can be analyzed by monitoring unusual volume spikes, particularly in out-of-the-money (OTM) calls. 'Sweep' orders, in particular, indicate institutional urgency and frequently occur within 30 days before an announcement [[1]](https://weinberg.udel.edu/files/2022/08/Informed-Options-Trading_June-12-20141.pdf)[[2]](https://www.insiderfinance.io/flow)[[3]](https://intrinio.com/blog/how-to-find-unusual-options-activity)[[4]](https://www.tradealgo.com/trading-guides/options/how-to-read-unusual-options-activity-a-step-by-step-guide-for-2026)[[5]](https://trendspider.com/learning-center/unusual-options-activity/). Additionally, insider trading data serves as a significant signal, especially when target firm insiders show high net purchase ratios in the year prior to an acquisition announcement [[6]](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0304405X21002312)[[7]](https://www.buffalo.edu/news/news-releases.host.html/content/shared/mgt/news/insider-trading-can-signal-successful-merger.detail.html).

Insider trading is publicly tracked, supplemented by M&A platforms. This insider trading activity is made public through mandated SEC Form 4 filings. Financial tools aggregate this information, providing insights into net buying/selling trends or issuing cluster-buy alerts [[6]](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0304405X21002312)[[7]](https://www.buffalo.edu/news/news-releases.host.html/content/shared/mgt/news/insider-trading-can-signal-successful-merger.detail.html)[[8]](https://site.financialmodelingprep.com/how-to/insider-trading-tracker-spotting-market-signals-before-they-break)[[9]](https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/040915/buy-stock-insiders-how-track-insider-buying.asp). For comprehensive merger and acquisition (M&A) tracking, specialized platforms such as S&P Global or FactSet synthesize regulatory filings, press releases, and **market** news, although many high-fidelity tools are subscription-based [[10]](https://guides.loc.gov/mergers-acquisitions-joint-ventures/current-transaction-data)[[11]](https://www.comparables.ai/data/ma-transactions)[[12]](https://www.beauhurst.com/blog/how-to-find-ma-data/)[[13]](https://www.marketplace.spglobal.com/en/datasets/451-research-m-knowledgebase-(267)).

Prediction markets provide additional insights into acquisition probabilities. **Market** participants can utilize these or financial sentiment trackers to monitor the likelihood of an acquisition. These platforms often incorporate social sentiment and flow data as inputs for their forecasts [[4]](https://www.tradealgo.com/trading-guides/options/how-to-read-unusual-options-activity-a-step-by-step-guide-for-2026)[[8]](https://site.financialmodelingprep.com/how-to/insider-trading-tracker-spotting-market-signals-before-they-break).

Sources:

1. [Informed Options Trading prior to M&A Announcements](https://weinberg.udel.edu/files/2022/08/Informed-Options-Trading_June-12-20141.pdf)
2. [Live Options Flow and Unusual Options Activity](https://www.insiderfinance.io/flow)
3. [How to Identify Unusual Options Activity in the Market](https://intrinio.com/blog/how-to-find-unusual-options-activity)
4. [How to Read Unusual Options Activity: A Step-by-...](https://www.tradealgo.com/trading-guides/options/how-to-read-unusual-options-activity-a-step-by-step-guide-for-2026)
5. [Unusual Options Activity | TrendSpider Learning Center](https://trendspider.com/learning-center/unusual-options-activity/)
6. [Does target firm insider trading signal the target's synergy...](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0304405X21002312)
7. [Insider trading can signal a successful merger](https://www.buffalo.edu/news/news-releases.host.html/content/shared/mgt/news/insider-trading-can-signal-successful-merger.detail.html)
8. [Insider Trading Signals for Market Edge](https://site.financialmodelingprep.com/how-to/insider-trading-tracker-spotting-market-signals-before-they-break)
9. [How to Track Insider Purchasing and Boost Your...](https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/040915/buy-stock-insiders-how-track-insider-buying.asp)
10. [Current Transaction Data - Mergers, Acquisitions, and Joint...](https://guides.loc.gov/mergers-acquisitions-joint-ventures/current-transaction-data)
11. [M&A Transaction Database — Global Deal Intelligence](https://www.comparables.ai/data/ma-transactions)
12. [How to Find M&A Data](https://www.beauhurst.com/blog/how-to-find-ma-data/)
13. [451 Research M&A KnowledgeBase Dataset](https://www.marketplace.spglobal.com/en/datasets/451-research-m-knowledgebase-(267))

## What strategic AI gaps could drive a Big Tech acquisition of a company like GitLab or Zoom before 2027?

GitLab Acquisition Probability | 8-19.5% by 2027 (September 2026) [[1]](https://predmart.com/blog/companies-acquired-2027-odds)[[2]](https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027/will-gitlab-be-acquired-before-2027-944-667)[[3]](https://predictparity.com/markets/p/will-gitlab-be-acquired-before-2027-944-667)[[4]](https://www.frenzycap.com/predictions/polymarket/0x0a38466723190708a5d78ed194ddb097dd690f89a5ec4f73c4e5cc9e0a0fbd98) |
Zoom Acquisition Probability | 10-17.7% by 2027 [[1]](https://predmart.com/blog/companies-acquired-2027-odds)[[5]](https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027/will-zoom-video-communications-be-acquired-before-2027-486-866)[[6]](https://www.predictionmarketedge.com/p/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027-16-million-says-these-four)[[7]](https://predictparity.com/markets/p/will-zoom-video-communications-be-acquired-before-2027-486-866)[[8]](https://www.frenzycap.com/predictions/polymarket/0x5c5ab21c4e4d357ad5fa41a3cff0261728b29099f1a2bf86b40185a339d8e7e6) |
Key AI Acquisition Gaps | Distribution expansion and infrastructure-layer assets [[2]](https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027/will-gitlab-be-acquired-before-2027-944-667)[[9]](https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027) |

**Strategic AI gaps may drive Big Tech acquisitions before 2027**

Strategic AI gaps may drive Big Tech acquisitions before 2027. Acquisitions by Big Tech before 2027 are anticipated to be influenced by strategic AI gaps, primarily focusing on "distribution expansion" to integrate AI capabilities into existing enterprise ecosystems and the pursuit of infrastructure-layer assets. These identified gaps include integrating AI into cloud platforms, developer toolsets, and productivity suites [[2]](https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027/will-gitlab-be-acquired-before-2027-944-667)[[9]](https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027).

GitLab offers strategic value but shows low acquisition **probability**. Its AI-native DevSecOps platform holds strategic value, aligning with addressing the "distribution expansion" gap by integrating AI into "developer toolsets" within enterprise environments. However, as of September 2026, prediction markets indicate a low **probability**, approximately 8-**19.5%**, of GitLab being acquired before 2027. Despite its strategic relevance, there are no active deal discussions noted [[1]](https://predmart.com/blog/companies-acquired-2027-odds)[[2]](https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027/will-gitlab-be-acquired-before-2027-944-667)[[3]](https://predictparity.com/markets/p/will-gitlab-be-acquired-before-2027-944-667)[[4]](https://www.frenzycap.com/predictions/polymarket/0x0a38466723190708a5d78ed194ddb097dd690f89a5ec4f73c4e5cc9e0a0fbd98).

Zoom faces competitive pressure and also a low acquisition **probability**. The company confronts significant competitive pressure from integrated AI productivity suites, suggesting a potential fit for addressing a "distribution expansion" gap through AI integration into its own productivity offerings. Despite this, prediction markets indicate Zoom's acquisition **probability** before 2027 is similarly low, approximately 10-**17.7%**. This uncertainty is attributed to its stock decline post-pandemic, ongoing competitive pressures, and a complex **$1.2** billion strategic investment in Anthropic [[1]](https://predmart.com/blog/companies-acquired-2027-odds)[[5]](https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027/will-zoom-video-communications-be-acquired-before-2027-486-866)[[6]](https://www.predictionmarketedge.com/p/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027-16-million-says-these-four)[[7]](https://predictparity.com/markets/p/will-zoom-video-communications-be-acquired-before-2027-486-866)[[8]](https://www.frenzycap.com/predictions/polymarket/0x5c5ab21c4e4d357ad5fa41a3cff0261728b29099f1a2bf86b40185a339d8e7e6).

Sources:

1. [Which companies will be acquired before 2027 Odds & Analysis](https://predmart.com/blog/companies-acquired-2027-odds)
2. [https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027/will-gitlab-be-acquired-before-2027-944-667](https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027/will-gitlab-be-acquired-before-2027-944-667)
3. [Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? | Parity](https://predictparity.com/markets/p/will-gitlab-be-acquired-before-2027-944-667)
4. [Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?… | Frenzy Capital](https://www.frenzycap.com/predictions/polymarket/0x0a38466723190708a5d78ed194ddb097dd690f89a5ec4f73c4e5cc9e0a0fbd98)
5. [https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027/will-zoom-video-communications-be-acquired-before-2027-486-866](https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027/will-zoom-video-communications-be-acquired-before-2027-486-866)
6. [Which Companies Will Be Acquired Before 2027? $16 Million Says These Four in the Prediction Market. Zoom, Anthropic, Pizza Hut..](https://www.predictionmarketedge.com/p/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027-16-million-says-these-four)
7. [Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | Parity](https://predictparity.com/markets/p/will-zoom-video-communications-be-acquired-before-2027-486-866)
8. [Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?… | Frenzy Capital](https://www.frenzycap.com/predictions/polymarket/0x5c5ab21c4e4d357ad5fa41a3cff0261728b29099f1a2bf86b40185a339d8e7e6)
9. [Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Predictions... | Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)

## What Could Change the Odds

**Prediction markets track various potential M&A targets for 2026, with iRobot and Caesars Entertainment already resolved as acquired due to prior agreements [[1]](https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)[[2]](https://papermarket.net/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)[[3]](https://predictor.tips/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)[[4]](https://prescient.markets/markets/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)[[5]](https://predictioncircle.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)[[6]](https://predmart.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027).** Current **market**-implied high-**probability** candidates for acquisition before 2027 include MGM Resorts, Warner Bros. Discovery, Viking Therapeutics, and Brown-Forman [[2]](https://papermarket.net/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)[[6]](https://predmart.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027). Broader M&A drivers for 2026 are heavily influenced by AI-related infrastructure needs, strategic portfolio realignments, and the requirement for private equity firms to monetize aging portfolio companies [[7]](https://www.goldmansachs.com/what-we-do/investment-banking/insights/articles/global-ma-in-2h-2026)[[8]](https://www.bcg.com/publications/2026/global-m-and-a-rebound-fueled-by-ai)[[9]](https://www.morganstanley.com/insights/articles/mergers-and-acquisitions-outlook-2026-activity).

**Several specific acquisitions are expected to close in 2026.** Nielsen is expected to complete its acquisition of DoubleVerify by the end of Q4 2026 [[10]](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1819928/000110465926092121/tm2621904d1_ex99-1.htm). Navitas Semiconductor is expected to close its acquisition of Claros before the end of 2026 [[11]](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1821769/000110465926100478/tm2623854d1_ex99-1.htm). Francisco Partners is anticipated to complete its acquisition of Weave Communications in Q4 2026 [[12]](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1609151/000160915126000083/a991-pressrelease.htm). Autodesk's acquisition of MaintainX is expected to close later in fiscal year 2026 [[13]](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/769397/000121390026062125/ea029248301ex99-1.htm). The acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery by Paramount Skydance was expected to close in Q3 2026, with a ticking fee provision if not completed by September 30, 2026 [[14]](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2041610/000110465926021914/tm2533570d75_ex99-1.htm). Tempus AI's acquisition of Personalis is expected to close in late 2026 or early 2027 [[15]](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1527753/000119312526308488/d68794dex991.htm), and Bending Spoons' acquisition of Airtable is expected to close in 2026 [[16]](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2004711/000200471126000009/bsp_ex99-1.htm).

Sources:

1. [Which companies will be acquired before 2027?](https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)
2. [Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Predictions & Odds | Papermarket | Papermarket](https://papermarket.net/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)
3. [Which companies will be acquired before 2027? — Odds & Predictions | Predictor.tips](https://predictor.tips/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)
4. [Which companies will be acquired before 2027? — Odds & Charts | Prescient](https://prescient.markets/markets/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)
5. [Companies Being Acquired Before 2027 Odds: iRobot at 100%, Is It Settled? | Live Odds](https://predictioncircle.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)
6. [Which companies will be acquired before 2027? | Leverage up to 5x](https://predmart.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)
7. [2H 2026 Global M&A Outlook: Embracing the Volatility Paradox | Goldman Sachs](https://www.goldmansachs.com/what-we-do/investment-banking/insights/articles/global-ma-in-2h-2026)
8. [Global M&A Rebound Fueled by AI in 2026 | BCG](https://www.bcg.com/publications/2026/global-m-and-a-rebound-fueled-by-ai)
9. [5 Forces Driving M&A in 2026](https://www.morganstanley.com/insights/articles/mergers-and-acquisitions-outlook-2026-activity)
10. [https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1819928/000110465926092121/tm2621904d1_ex99-1.htm](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1819928/000110465926092121/tm2621904d1_ex99-1.htm)
11. [https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1821769/000110465926100478/tm2623854d1_ex99-1.htm](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1821769/000110465926100478/tm2623854d1_ex99-1.htm)
12. [Document](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1609151/000160915126000083/a991-pressrelease.htm)
13. [Ea029248301ex99 1.htm](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/769397/000121390026062125/ea029248301ex99-1.htm)
14. [Tm2533570d75 ex99 1.htm](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2041610/000110465926021914/tm2533570d75_ex99-1.htm)
15. [EX-99.1](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1527753/000119312526308488/d68794dex991.htm)
16. [Bending Spoons has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Airtable for $1.285 billion](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2004711/000200471126000009/bsp_ex99-1.htm)

## Key Dates & Catalysts

- **Closes:** January 01, 2027

## Decision-Flipping Events

- Prediction markets track various potential M&A targets for 2026, with iRobot and Caesars Entertainment already resolved as acquired due to prior agreements [[1]](https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)[[2]](https://papermarket.net/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)[[3]](https://predictor.tips/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)[[4]](https://prescient.markets/markets/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)[[5]](https://predictioncircle.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)[[6]](https://predmart.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027).
- Current **market**-implied high-**probability** candidates for acquisition before 2027 include MGM Resorts, Warner Bros.
- Discovery, Viking Therapeutics, and Brown-Forman [[2]](https://papermarket.net/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)[[6]](https://predmart.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027).
- Broader M&A drivers for 2026 are heavily influenced by AI-related infrastructure needs, strategic portfolio realignments, and the requirement for private equity firms to monetize aging portfolio companies [[7]](https://www.goldmansachs.com/what-we-do/investment-banking/insights/articles/global-ma-in-2h-2026)[[8]](https://www.bcg.com/publications/2026/global-m-and-a-rebound-fueled-by-ai)[[9]](https://www.morganstanley.com/insights/articles/mergers-and-acquisitions-outlook-2026-activity).

Sources:

1. [Which companies will be acquired before 2027?](https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)
2. [Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Predictions & Odds | Papermarket | Papermarket](https://papermarket.net/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)
3. [Which companies will be acquired before 2027? — Odds & Predictions | Predictor.tips](https://predictor.tips/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)
4. [Which companies will be acquired before 2027? — Odds & Charts | Prescient](https://prescient.markets/markets/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)
5. [Companies Being Acquired Before 2027 Odds: iRobot at 100%, Is It Settled? | Live Odds](https://predictioncircle.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)
6. [Which companies will be acquired before 2027? | Leverage up to 5x](https://predmart.com/event/which-companies-will-be-acquired-before-2027)
7. [2H 2026 Global M&A Outlook: Embracing the Volatility Paradox | Goldman Sachs](https://www.goldmansachs.com/what-we-do/investment-banking/insights/articles/global-ma-in-2h-2026)
8. [Global M&A Rebound Fueled by AI in 2026 | BCG](https://www.bcg.com/publications/2026/global-m-and-a-rebound-fueled-by-ai)
9. [5 Forces Driving M&A in 2026](https://www.morganstanley.com/insights/articles/mergers-and-acquisitions-outlook-2026-activity)

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## Historical Resolutions

No historical resolution data available for this series.

## Disclaimer

This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or trading advice.
Prediction markets involve risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
We are not affiliated with Kalshi or any prediction market platform. Market data may be delayed or incomplete.

### Data Sources & Model Transparency

**Data Sources:** Octagon Deep Research aggregates information from multiple sources including news, filings, and market data.

**Freshness:** Analysis is generated periodically and may not reflect the latest developments. Verify critical information from primary sources.

## Attribution Policy

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