# XRP 15 min ยท $1.31190 target Apr 2 - 11:15PM EDT to 11:30PM EDT Updated: April 3, 2026 Category: Crypto Tags: XRP HTML: /markets/crypto/xrp/xrp-15-min-1-31190-target/ ## Short Answer **Key takeaway.** Both the **model** and the **market** expect XRP to reach the target price of **$1.31190** between 11:15 PM and 11:30 PM EDT on April 2nd, with no compelling evidence of mispricing. ## Key Claims (January 2026) **- - Real-time XRP/USDT order book data is not available from research.** - No significant XRP movements to major exchanges were detected recently. - XRP perpetual futures show prominent liquidation levels in a specific range. - Real-time XRP/BTC price and volume data were not directly available. - Specific XRP Taker Buy-Sell Ratio data was not found. - Key catalyst analysis for this **market** is currently unavailable. ### Why This Matters (GEO) - AI agents extract claims, not arguments. - Improves citation probability in summaries and answer cards. - Enables fact stitching across multiple sources. ## Executive Verdict **Key takeaway.** A **0.0%** gap exists at **66%** (1.5x payout multiple), with prominent XRP liquidation levels identified. ### Who Wins and Why | Outcome | Market | Model | Why | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Outcome | 66.0% | 66.0% | Model and market aligned | ## Model vs Market - Model Probability: 66.0% (Yes) - Market Probability: 66.0% (Yes) - Yes refers to: Yes - Edge: +0.0pp - Expected Return: +0.0% - R-Score: 0.00 - Total Volume: $196 - 24h Volume: $0 - Open Interest: $150 - Expiration: April 3, 2026 ## Market Behavior & Price Dynamics No historical price data available. ## Contract Snapshot This market resolves to "Yes" if the simple average of the 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' XRPUSD_RTI before 11:30 PM EDT on April 2, 2026, is at least $1.31190. It resolves to "No" if this average is less than $1.31190. The outcome is determined by collecting 60 RTI prices from CF Benchmarks in the minute before the 11:30 PM EDT close, with projected payouts occurring five minutes later. ## Market Discussion Limited public discussion available for this market. ## Why Can't Real-Time XRP/USDT Order Book Data Be Provided? Data Type Required | Real-time market order book data [[^]](https://www.cryptometer.io/data/binance/xrp/usdt) | Specific Price Range | 0.5% range around $1.31190 ($1.30534 to $1.31846) [[^]](https://www.cryptometer.io/data/binance/xrp/usdt) | Research Limitation | Cannot provide real-time data from static web research [[^]](https://www.cryptometer.io/data/binance/xrp/usdt), [[^]](https://chartexchange.com/symbol/crypto-xrpusdt/depth/) | **Live order book data is unavailable from static web research** Live order book data is unavailable from static web research. The specific cumulative bid versus ask depth for XRP/USDT on Binance, within a **0.5%** range of the **$1.31190** target price at 11:15 PM EDT on April 2nd, cannot be provided using the available static web research results. This type of request demands specific, time-sensitive data directly from the XRP/USDT order book, which extends beyond the capabilities of static information retrieval. Real-time **market** access is crucial for this specific inquiry. Accurately answering this question would necessitate real-time access to the Binance XRP/USDT order book in the minutes leading up to the specified time. Platforms such as Cryptometer.io or ChartExchange.com are examples of services that could display such live data [[^]](https://www.cryptometer.io/data/binance/xrp/usdt), [[^]](https://chartexchange.com/symbol/crypto-xrpusdt/depth/). The target price of **$1.31190** defines a **0.5%** range, extending from approximately **$1.30534** to **$1.31846**. Without live **market** access at the precise moment, these exact cumulative bid and ask depth figures cannot be extracted from the provided static research materials. ## Were There Significant XRP Movements to Major Exchanges Recently? Transaction Status | No transactions exceeding 5M XRP to/from major exchanges found [[^]](https://whale-alert.io/tx/ripple/49CF12AF6BB89202694CECB136BF661A3385816D3C937FD0A8B051CFD45F5868) | Search Window | April 2, 5:30 PM EDT to 11:30 PM EDT [[^]](https://whale-alert.io/tx/ripple/49CF12AF6BB89202694CECB136BF661A3385816D3C937FD0A8B051CFD45F5868) | Observed Large Transfers | Multiple transactions (20M, 24M, 25M, 28M XRP) occurred outside the window or between unknown wallets [[^]](https://whale-alert.io/tx/ripple/49CF12AF6BB89202694CECB136BF661A3385816D3C937FD0A8B051CFD45F5868) | **No qualifying XRP transactions were detected within the specified six-hour window** No qualifying XRP transactions were detected within the specified six-hour window. Within the six-hour period from April 2, 5:30 PM EDT to 11:30 PM EDT, data from Whale Alert indicated that no single transactions exceeding 5 million XRP moved to or from major exchange wallets such as Binance, Kraken, or Coinbase. Despite reviewing numerous large transactions, none satisfied all the conditions regarding transaction size, timing, and involvement with a major exchange. Several large transactions occurred just outside the designated timeframe. While significant XRP movements were recorded, some took place shortly before the specified 5:30 PM EDT start. These included a 20,000,000 XRP transaction at 5:05:33 PM EDT [[^]](https://whale-alert.io/tx/ripple/49CF12AF6BB89202694CECB136BF661A3385816D3C937FD0A8B051CFD45F5868), a 24,000,000 XRP transaction at 4:53:33 PM EDT [[^]](https://whale-alert.io/tx/ripple/CE1C40D0471691BD9ECD6FCF646A5220DE7144162C1B85B13FF8B44409ACD08E), and a 25,000,000 XRP transaction at 4:41:33 PM EDT [[^]](https://whale-alert.io/transaction/ripple/6CF97EC539DC156DC7FAF909536D30893B2D45CC1DDCA2ADDF1988553871345D). Additionally, multiple 28,000,000 XRP transfers between 4:07:33 PM EDT and 4:25:33 PM EDT were also outside this six-hour analysis window [[^]](https://whale-alert.io/transaction/ripple/C011FEFDAF80ED3C1B17DB8B63CEB2BDBF1E32E04390C4F0C8197C1A84C8DA2A). All identified significant movements involved only 'unknown wallets'. Critically, none of the large XRP transactions identified, including those that were outside the precise timeframe, involved a major exchange wallet as either the source or destination. These transfers were consistently recorded as movements between 'unknown wallets' [[^]](https://whale-alert.io/tx/ripple/49CF12AF6BB89202694CECB136BF661A3385816D3C937FD0A8B051CFD45F5868). Consequently, no transactions fulfilled the combined criteria of exceeding 5 million XRP, occurring within the six-hour window, and involving a major exchange. ## Where Are Key XRP Perpetual Futures Liquidation Levels Located? Primary Liquidation Range | $1.3000 to $1.3250 (across major exchanges) [[^]](https://www.coinglass.com/pro/futures/LiquidationHeatMap?coin=XRP) | Example Short Liquidation Levels | $1.3150, $1.3200, and $1.3240 (primary) [[^]](https://www.coinglass.com/pro/futures/LiquidationHeatMap?coin=XRP) | Example Long Liquidation Levels | $1.3080, $1.3050, and $1.3010 (primary) [[^]](https://www.coinglass.com/pro/futures/LiquidationHeatMap?coin=XRP) | **XRP perpetual futures reveal prominent liquidation levels in a specific range** XRP perpetual futures reveal prominent liquidation levels in a specific range. Analysis of XRP perpetual futures contracts across major exchanges, including Bybit and Binance, indicates prominent liquidation levels within the **$1.3000** to **$1.3250** range [[^]](https://www.coinglass.com/pro/futures/LiquidationHeatMap?coin=XRP). Liquidation heatmaps from platforms such as CoinGlass, CoinAnk, and CoinsKid consistently show significant clusters of both short and long positions vulnerable to price movements in this band [[^]](https://www.coinglass.com/pro/futures/LiquidationHeatMap?coin=XRP). Generally, short liquidation clusters are found above a target price like **$1.31190**, while long liquidation clusters are situated below it, reflecting current **market** positioning [[^]](https://www.coinglass.com/pro/futures/LiquidationHeatMap?coin=XRP). Distinct primary liquidation levels exist for both short and long positions. Specific primary short liquidation levels have been identified around **$1.3150**, **$1.3200**, and **$1.3240**, indicating price points where a substantial volume of short positions would be forced to close if the price ascends [[^]](https://www.coinglass.com/pro/futures/LiquidationHeatMap?coin=XRP). Conversely, primary long liquidation levels frequently appear near **$1.3080**, **$1.3050**, and **$1.3010**, marking areas where long positions would face similar pressure if the price declines [[^]](https://www.coinglass.com/pro/futures/LiquidationHeatMap?coin=XRP). These levels are often aggregated across various exchanges, with CoinAnk also providing specific Binance XRPUSDT liquidation map data [[^]](https://coinank.com/liqMapChart/binance/xrpusdt/1d). Liquidation concentrations near **$1.31190** depend on price approach direction. Focusing on the **$1.31190** target, liquidation heatmaps highlight concentrations of open interest most susceptible to liquidation. Should XRP's price approach this target from below, a cluster of short liquidations would be anticipated just above **$1.31190** [[^]](https://www.coinglass.com/pro/futures/LiquidationHeatMap?coin=XRP). Conversely, if the price approaches from above, a cluster of long liquidations would likely be positioned just below **$1.31190** [[^]](https://www.coinglass.com/pro/futures/LiquidationHeatMap?coin=XRP). The precise determination of whether there is a larger concentration just above or below **$1.31190** is dynamic, relying on real-time open interest and leverage positions displayed on live heatmaps [[^]](https://www.coinglass.com/pro/futures/LiquidationHeatMap?coin=XRP). ## Did XRP/BTC Show Relative Strength on Binance Apr 2, 11:15 PM EDT? XRP/BTC Trend Outlook | Monthly trend shift confirmed vs. Bitcoin [[^]](https://www.tradingview.com/news/u_today:a1b862f5c094b:0-xrp-confirms-monthly-trend-shift-vs-bitcoin-why-41-drop-is-now-base-case/) | Projected XRP/BTC Movement | 41% drop now base case [[^]](https://www.tradingview.com/news/u_today:a1b862f5c094b:0-xrp-confirms-monthly-trend-shift-vs-bitcoin-why-41-drop-is-now-base-case/) | Current XRP/BTC Status | Downtrend resumes after brief pause [[^]](https://www.newsbtc.com/analysis/xrp/xrp-price-drops-again-1-3250/) | **Real-time price and volume data for XRP/BTC were not directly available** Real-time price and volume data for XRP/BTC were not directly available. Precise figures for the XRP/BTC trading pair on Binance for the hour leading up to Apr 2, 11:15 PM EDT, could not be directly extracted from the provided static web research. While platforms such as TradingView [[^]](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BINANCE-XRPBTC/) and BitcoinWisdom [[^]](https://bitcoinwisdom.io/markets/binance/xrpbtc) offer live charts and historical data for analysis, direct access to future real-time **market** data through these pre-collected links was not possible, precluding a statement of specific price movements or volume spikes for that exact window. XRP generally exhibited weakness, not strength, against Bitcoin during the period. General **market** analysis suggested that XRP recently displayed signs of weakness rather than relative strength when compared to Bitcoin. Reports, such as "XRP Confirms Monthly Trend Shift vs. Bitcoin: Why **41%** Drop Is Now Base Case" [[^]](https://www.tradingview.com/news/u_today:a1b862f5c094b:0-xrp-confirms-monthly-trend-shift-vs-bitcoin-why-41-drop-is-now-base-case/), indicated a bearish outlook. This overall **market** sentiment implied that XRP was likely not breaking recent highs or demonstrating significant relative strength against Bitcoin within the broader **market** context during the specified timeframe. Analysis reinforced XRP's downtrend and **market** pressure against Bitcoin. Further analysis from the provided sources noted that "XRP Slides Deeper Into Danger Zone as **Market** Weakness Accelerates" [[^]](https://news.bitcoin.com/xrp-slides-deeper-into-danger-zone-as-**market**-weakness-accelerates-despite-ripple-strength/) and "XRP Price Drops Again, Downtrend Resumes After Brief Pause" [[^]](https://www.newsbtc.com/analysis/xrp/xrp-price-drops-again-1-3250/). These findings consistently supported the conclusion that XRP was broadly experiencing a downtrend or remaining under pressure against Bitcoin, rather than showing significant strength, despite documented historical instances of substantial increases [[^]](https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:be874ffc7094b:0-the-last-time-xrp-made-this-move-against-bitcoin-it-led-to-a-500-increase-to-3-3/). ## Is XRP Taker Buy-Sell Ratio Data Available? XRP Longs vs Shorts Ratio | Live and historical data available [[^]](https://www.coinglass.com/LongShortRatio/XRP) | XRP Futures and Spot Volume | Dashboards showing overall volume available [[^]](https://www.coinglass.com/currencies/xrp) | XRP/USDT Binance Futures Data | Live order book and trades available [[^]](https://www.cryptometer.io/data/binance_futures/xrp/usdt) | **The specific Taker Buy-Sell Ratio for XRP was not found** The specific Taker Buy-Sell Ratio for XRP was not found. The Taker Buy-Sell Ratio for XRP perpetual contracts on Binance, specifically for the 5-minute and 15-minute candles immediately preceding 11:15 PM EDT, which would indicate net aggressive buying or selling pressure, could not be located in the conducted web research [[^]](https://ca.investing.com/currencies/xrp-usd-perpetual-futures-historical-data). This particular metric for the specified timeframes and intervals was not available [[^]](https://ca.investing.com/currencies/xrp-usd-perpetual-futures-historical-data). Other XRP **market** data, though not specific, is accessible. While the precise Taker Buy-Sell Ratio was unavailable, the reviewed sources did offer various other types of **market** data for XRP. This included live and historical longs vs. shorts ratios [[^]](https://www.coinglass.com/LongShortRatio/XRP), overall futures and spot volume dashboards [[^]](https://www.coinglass.com/currencies/xrp), and general historical price data for perpetual futures [[^]](https://ca.investing.com/currencies/xrp-usd-perpetual-futures-historical-data). Additionally, live order book and trade data for XRP/USDT on Binance Futures was detailed in one source [[^]](https://www.cryptometer.io/data/binance_futures/xrp/usdt), but this information is not aggregated into the specific historical taker buy-sell ratio that was requested. News articles pertaining to XRP on Binance were also examined but did not contain this specific transactional metric [[^]](https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:0743b7c4a094b:0-11-4-billion-in-xrp-has-left-binance-here-is-what-happens-when-demand-returns/). ## What Could Change the Odds **Key takeaway.** Catalyst analysis unavailable. ## Key Dates & Catalysts - **Strike Date:** April 03, 2026 - **Expiration:** April 10, 2026 - **Closes:** April 03, 2026 ## Decision-Flipping Events - Catalyst analysis unavailable. ## Related Research Reports - [BNB price range on Apr 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?](/markets/crypto/hourly/bnb-price-range-on-apr-10-2026-at-5pm-edt/) - [How high will BNB get in April?](/markets/crypto/bnb/how-high-will-bnb-get-in-april/) - [How low will BNB get in May?](/markets/crypto/bnb/how-low-will-bnb-get-in-may/) - [Bitcoin price range on Apr 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT?](/markets/crypto/btc/bitcoin-price-range-on-apr-3-2026-at-5pm-edt/) ## Historical Resolutions **Historical Resolutions:** 20 markets in this series **Outcomes:** 9 resolved YES, 11 resolved NO **Recent resolutions:** - KXXRP15M-26APR022315-15: YES (Apr 03, 2026) - KXXRP15M-26APR022300-00: YES (Apr 03, 2026) - KXXRP15M-26APR022245-45: NO (Apr 03, 2026) - KXXRP15M-26APR022230-30: NO (Apr 03, 2026) - KXXRP15M-26APR022215-15: NO (Apr 03, 2026) ## Disclaimer This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or trading advice. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. We are not affiliated with Kalshi or any prediction market platform. Market data may be delayed or incomplete. ### Data Sources & Model Transparency **Data Sources:** Octagon Deep Research aggregates information from multiple sources including news, filings, and market data. **Freshness:** Analysis is generated periodically and may not reflect the latest developments. Verify critical information from primary sources. ## Attribution Policy When quoting, summarizing, or reproducing Octagon content, attribute it to Octagon and link to the Octagon source URL: https://octagonai.co/markets/crypto/xrp/xrp-15-min-1-31190-target If a specific page was used, cite that page rather than only the site homepage.