# Walmart (WMT) Q2 US eCommerce sales growth __?

Updated: August 13, 2026

Category: Finance

Tags: WMT, KPIs, walmart

HTML: /markets/finance/wmt/walmart-wmt-q2-us-ecommerce-sales-growth/

## Short Answer

**Key takeaway.** Both the **model** and the **market** expect Walmart's Q2 US eCommerce sales growth to be **25%**-**29%**, with no compelling evidence of mispricing.

## Key Claims (January 2026)

**- - Walmart's 25-29% growth is likely, matching prior 26% US eCommerce gains.** - Analyst projections of 18-**22%** place growth below **25%**, presenting a counterpoint.

### Why This Matters (GEO)

- AI agents extract claims, not arguments.
- Improves citation probability in summaries and answer cards.
- Enables fact stitching across multiple sources.

## Executive Verdict

**Key takeaway.** **Model**'s **17.1%** estimate for <**25%** growth (analyst consensus 18-**22%**) exceeds 13c **market**, a +4.1pp gap.

### Who Wins and Why

| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| <25% | 13.0% | 17.1% | Leading analysts project Q2 FY27 US eCommerce sales growth between 18% and 22%. |
| 25%-29% | 67.0% | 70.4% | Walmart's US eCommerce sales consistently grew 26% year-over-year in Q1 FY27 and Q2 FY26. |
| 37%+ | 4.4% | 3.8% | This growth rate substantially exceeds Walmart's historical performance and analyst consensus. |

## Model vs Market

| Outcome | Market Probability | Octagon Model Probability |
| --- | --- | --- |
| <25% | 13.0% | 17.1% |
| 25%-29% | 67.0% | 70.4% |
| 37%+ | 4.4% | 3.8% |
| 29%-33% | 21.0% | 18.2% |
| 33%-37% | 10.0% | — |

- Expiration: August 20, 2026

## Market Behavior & Price Dynamics

This market, which asks if Walmart's Q2 US eCommerce sales growth will be below a certain threshold, has experienced a steep downward trend since its inception. Opening at a 50.0% probability on August 4, 2026, the price has collapsed to a current level of 9.5%. The period between August 6 and August 10 was marked by extreme volatility, including a 48.0 percentage point drop and a subsequent 23.5 point spike. However, the provided context indicates no specific news or corporate disclosures drove these sharp price swings. The official earnings data, which will resolve the market, is not scheduled for release until August 20, 2026.

The most critical technical factor is that the market has zero traded volume. All price movements are not the result of trades between participants but likely reflect automated market maker adjustments or shifts in offered liquidity. Without trading activity, traditional technical analysis of support and resistance is not applicable. The price chart does not reflect aggregate trader sentiment or conviction.

The indicated price has moved within a wide range of 8.5% to 60.0%. The sharp, unexplained oscillations in an un-traded market suggest the price action is not a reliable signal of expectations for Walmart's upcoming earnings report. The current low probability of 9.5% merely represents the last indicated price in an illiquid environment, not a consensus view that eCommerce growth will exceed the market's threshold.

## Significant Price Movements

### Outcome: 29%-33%

#### 📈 August 12, 2026: 9.0pp spike

Price increased from 8.5% to 17.5%

**What happened:** On August 12, 2026, the 9.0 percentage point spike in the Walmart Q2 US eCommerce sales growth prediction market appears to be primarily driven by speculative trading and overall positive market sentiment anticipating Walmart's fiscal 2027 second-quarter earnings release, which is expected around August 20, 2026 [[^]](https://scanx.trade/stock-market-news/companies/walmart-q2-results-bofa-forecasts-0-74-eps-4-6-sales-growth/48112147)[[^]](https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/walmart-nasdaqwmt-trading-up-24-heres-why-2026-08-12/)[[^]](https://www.watchlistnews.com/walmart-nasdaqwmt-shares-up-2-4-still-a-buy/11181645.html)[[^]](https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2973865/walmart-wmt-rises-higher-than-market-key-facts). Walmart's shares rose by 2.4% on this date, attributed to broader market sentiment and analyst interest, rather than a specific Q2 eCommerce sales figure [[^]](https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/walmart-nasdaqwmt-trading-up-24-heres-why-2026-08-12/)[[^]](https://www.watchlistnews.com/walmart-nasdaqwmt-shares-up-2-4-still-a-buy/11181645.html)[[^]](https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2973865/walmart-wmt-rises-higher-than-market-key-facts). There were no identified social media posts from key figures or viral narratives directly forecasting or influencing a 29%-33% US eCommerce growth figure. Based on the available information, social media activity was irrelevant to this price movement.

### Outcome:
#### 📉 August 10, 2026: 13.5pp drop

Price decreased from 27.5% to 14.0%

**What happened:** The provided web research does not offer any evidence of social media activity, traditional news, or market structure factors that would cause a 13.5 percentage point drop in the prediction market for Walmart's Q2 US eCommerce sales growth on August 10, 2026. Walmart's Q2 fiscal year 2027 earnings, which would be relevant to this prediction, had not yet been released by that date, with the report scheduled for August 20, 2026 [[^]](https://happening.etoro.app/s/nasdaq/WMT/q2-2027-earnings-report). Furthermore, for Q2 fiscal year 2026, Walmart U.S. eCommerce sales actually grew by 26%, accelerating from previous quarters, with no evidence of a drop [[^]](https://stock.walmart.com/_assets/_6d8e3881855c41c66fb7ff90ce72f9f2/walmart/db/938/9959/transcript_management_call/Q2+2026+Earnings+Transcript.pdf). Based on the available information, the primary driver for the described market movement cannot be identified, and social media activity appears irrelevant to the documented facts.

#### 📉 August 08, 2026: 13.5pp drop

Price decreased from 53.0% to 39.5%

**What happened:** The provided web research does not contain information explaining a 13.5 percentage point drop in the prediction market price for "Walmart (WMT) Q2 US eCommerce sales growth [[^]](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/104169/000010416926000095/earningsreleasefy27q1.htm). The available sources do not indicate any social media activity from key figures or viral narratives, traditional news announcements, or market structure factors occurring around that date that would account for such a price movement. Therefore, based solely on the provided information, social media activity was not identifiable as a primary driver for this market movement.

#### 📈 August 07, 2026: 23.5pp spike

Price increased from 30.0% to 53.5%

**What happened:** The primary driver of the 23.5 percentage point spike in the "Walmart (WMT) Q2 US eCommerce sales growth [[^]](https://corporate.walmart.com/news/events/fy2027-q2-earnings-release). While news circulated around August 7, 2026, regarding Walmart Marketplace's aggressive seller onboarding initiative, this strategic effort would typically be viewed as a measure to boost eCommerce growth, not a signal for a slowdown from the prior year's 26% U.S. eCommerce growth [[^]](https://ecommerce-times.com/walmart-marketplaces-alleged-seller-poaching-program-is-rattling-amazons-third-party-community/)[[^]](https://ecommerce-times.com/walmart-marketplace-in-2026-the-47b-platform-finally-getting-serious/)[[^]](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/104169/000010416925000120/earningsreleasefy26q2.htm). No relevant social media activity from key figures or viral narratives were found in the provided sources, thus social media was irrelevant to this observed market movement.

### Outcome: 25%-29%

#### 📈 August 09, 2026: 28.5pp spike

Price increased from 31.0% to 59.5%

**What happened:** There is no official financial report or reliable news confirming a '28.5%' eCommerce growth spike for Walmart on August 9, 2026, as Walmart's Q2 FY27 earnings had not been released by that date [[^]](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/104169/000010416926000095/earningsreleasefy27q1.htm)[[^]](https://stock.walmart.com/_assets/_e1c3169c853d8958f1f23be7102289a0/walmart/db/938/9995/presentation/Earnings+Presentation+%28FY27+Q1%29.pdf)[[^]](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/walmart-q1-revenue-rises-7-091258113.html)[[^]](https://stock.walmart.com/_assets/_ff16bac1f2ade57bbaccfea1ea728e78/walmart/db/938/9959/transcript_management_call/Q2+2026+Earnings+Transcript.pdf). The company's prior eCommerce growth rates were closer to 26% [[^]](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/104169/000010416926000095/earningsreleasefy27q1.htm)[[^]](https://stock.walmart.com/_assets/_ce43125c287746b5bb9dd177aebe127f/walmart/db/938/9959/earnings_release/Earnings+Release+%28FY26+Q2%29.pdf)[[^]](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/104169/000010416926000102/R13.htm). No specific social media activity from influential figures or viral narratives discussing a 28.5% growth figure for WMT's Q2 US eCommerce sales on or around August 9, 2026, is present in the provided information. Therefore, the primary driver of this market movement cannot be identified from the available sources, and social media was irrelevant.

## Contract Snapshot

This market resolves to the bracket corresponding to Walmart's Q2 US eCommerce sales growth (year-over-year), as reported in its official company earnings materials (e.g., press releases, regulatory filings). If the metric is not included in the earnings materials or if these materials are not released by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to the lowest bracket. Special conditions include using the midpoint for reported ranges, resolving to the higher bracket if a value falls exactly between two, and ignoring subsequent revisions.

## Market Discussion

The market largely anticipates Walmart's Q2 US eCommerce sales growth to be between 25% and 29%, with this outcome currently holding 70% implied odds. This strong consensus is driven by consistent acceleration in the mid-20% range, including 26% growth in the previous quarter, attributed to store-fulfilled delivery, advertising, and marketplace strength amidst stable consumer spending. While current conditions align trader expectations with historical trends, outcomes could shift based on variations in same-store metrics or advertising performance.

## Market Data

| Contract | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | Last Price | Volume | Open Interest |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| <25% | 7% | 12% | 13% | $3,776.96 | $0 |
| 25%-29% | 68% | 72% | 67% | $1,953.66 | $0 |
| 29%-33% | 14% | 21% | 21% | $164.37 | $0 |
| 33%-37% | 1.2% | 10% | 10% | $82 | $0 |
| 37%+ | 1.1% | 11.2% | 4.4% | $344.05 | $0 |

## How did Walmart's US eCommerce growth in Q1 FY27 compare to Amazon's North America sales growth in its most recent comparable quarter?

Walmart U.S. eCommerce Growth | 26% year-over-year (Q1 FY27) [[^]](https://www.digitalcommerce360.com/article/walmart-online-sales/) |
Amazon North America Sales Growth | 16% year-over-year (Q2 2026) [[^]](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1018724/000101872426000024/amzn-20260630xex991.htm)[[^]](https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/company-news/amazon-earnings-q2-2026-report)[[^]](https://www.ecommercebytes.com/2026/07/31/amazon-north-american-sales-grow-16-in-second-quarter-2026/) |
Walmart Outperformance | Walmart's 26% growth significantly outperformed Amazon's 16% growth [[^]](https://corporate.walmart.com/content/dam/corporate/documents/newsroom/2026/05/21/walmart-releases-q1-fy27-earnings/q1-fy27-earnings-presentation.pdf)[[^]](https://www.digitalcommerce360.com/article/walmart-online-sales/) |

**Walmart's US eCommerce significantly grew in Q1 FY27**

Walmart's US eCommerce significantly grew in Q1 FY27.
Walmart's U.S. eCommerce sales achieved a notable **26%** year-over-year increase in the first quarter of fiscal year 2027 [[^]](https://www.digitalcommerce360.com/article/walmart-online-sales/). This performance highlights a strong period of digital sales growth for the retailer.

Amazon's North America sales showed solid Q2 2026 growth.
Comparatively, Amazon's North America sales segment recorded a **16%** year-over-year growth in its second quarter of 2026 [[^]](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1018724/000101872426000024/amzn-20260630xex991.htm)[[^]](https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/company-news/amazon-earnings-q2-2026-report)[[^]](https://www.ecommercebytes.com/2026/07/31/amazon-north-american-sales-grow-16-in-second-quarter-2026/). This figure represents Amazon's performance within its home **market** during that specific period.

Walmart's digital sales growth outpaced Amazon's North America sales.
When directly compared, Walmart's U.S. eCommerce growth of **26%** in Q1 FY27 significantly surpassed Amazon's North America sales growth of **16%** in its Q2 2026 [[^]](https://corporate.walmart.com/content/dam/corporate/documents/newsroom/2026/05/21/walmart-releases-q1-fy27-earnings/q1-fy27-earnings-presentation.pdf)[[^]](https://www.digitalcommerce360.com/article/walmart-online-sales/).

## What is the consensus among leading retail analysts, such as those at Bloomberg Intelligence, for Walmart's Q2 FY27 US eCommerce performance?

Walmart US eCommerce Sales Growth Q2 FY27 | 18-22% (midpoint 20%) [[^]](https://alphagridhub.com/walmart-wmt-q2-fy27-preview-ecommerce-advertising/) |
Prediction Market Consensus US eCommerce Growth Q2 FY27 | +20% year-over-year [[^]](https://alphagridhub.com/walmart-wmt-q2-fy27-preview-ecommerce-advertising/) |
Walmart US Comparable Sales Growth | 3.5% [[^]](https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-stock-ratings/analyst-color/26/08/61154613/walmart-could-return-to-its-beat-and-raise-playbook-this-quarter-analyst-says) |

**Leading analysts project Walmart's US eCommerce growth for Q2 FY27 at 18% to 22%**

Leading analysts project Walmart's US eCommerce growth for Q2 FY27 at **18%** to **22%**. **Market** analysts forecast Walmart's US eCommerce sales for the second quarter of fiscal year 2027 to increase between **18%** and **22%** year-over-year, with a midpoint estimate of **20%**. This projection aligns with the consensus from prediction markets, which also indicates a mid-range growth of +**20%** year-over-year for the same period [[^]](https://alphagridhub.com/walmart-wmt-q2-fy27-preview-ecommerce-advertising/).

Digital sales and advertising revenue are increasingly important for Walmart's growth. Analysts highlight the growing significance of digital sales and alternative revenue streams, particularly advertising. Bank of America indicates that the expansion of high-margin advertising and marketplace segments is anticipated to mitigate moderating US comparable sales growth, which is estimated at approximately **3.5%** [[^]](https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-stock-ratings/analyst-color/26/08/61154613/walmart-could-return-to-its-beat-and-raise-playbook-this-quarter-analyst-says).

Specific Bloomberg Intelligence projections for Walmart's Q2 FY27 performance are not provided. While Poonam Goyal is recognized as a senior e-commerce analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence [[^]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OcWilTfI5G8)[[^]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VVuXln20evE)[[^]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fHmJKzOG8o)[[^]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BIZ1OKKBwnA), the available information does not include any consensus or specific projections from Bloomberg Intelligence regarding Walmart's Q2 FY27 US eCommerce performance.

## What is the expected impact of Walmart Marketplace's August 2026 fee reductions and new fulfillment tiers on its Q2 FY27 eCommerce sales figures?

Estimated Walmart US eCommerce sales growth Q2 FY27 | 18-22% (consensus mid-point of approximately 20%) [[^]](https://alphagridhub.com/walmart-wmt-q2-fy27-preview-ecommerce-advertising/) |
Walmart Marketplace fee changes effective date | August 1, 2026 [[^]](https://alphagridhub.com/walmart-wmt-q2-fy27-preview-ecommerce-advertising/) |
Walmart Q2 FY27 earnings release date | August 14, 2026 [[^]](https://alphagridhub.com/walmart-wmt-q2-fy27-preview-ecommerce-advertising/)[[^]](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/104169/000010416926000095/earningsreleasefy27q1.htm) |

**Walmart Marketplace fee changes will minimally affect Q2 FY27 sales**

Walmart Marketplace fee changes will minimally affect Q2 FY27 sales. The fee reductions and new fulfillment tiers, effective August 1, 2026, are projected to have a negligible impact on Walmart's Q2 FY27 eCommerce sales figures because the second fiscal quarter concluded in July, prior to their implementation [[^]](https://alphagridhub.com/walmart-wmt-q2-fy27-preview-ecommerce-advertising/)[[^]](https://ecommerce-times.com/walmart-marketplaces-wfs-fee-reset-is-forcing-sellers-to-reprice-entire-catalogs/). Consequently, these late-quarter adjustments are unlikely to significantly influence the reported Q2 FY27 growth figures, which are scheduled for release on August 14, 2026 [[^]](https://ecommerce-times.com/walmart-marketplaces-wfs-fee-reset-is-forcing-sellers-to-reprice-entire-catalogs/)[[^]](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/104169/000010416926000095/earningsreleasefy27q1.htm).

**Market** analysts forecast strong Q2 FY27 eCommerce growth. Walmart US eCommerce sales growth for Q2 FY27 is anticipated to be between 18-**22%**, with a consensus estimate around **20%** [[^]](https://alphagridhub.com/walmart-wmt-q2-fy27-preview-ecommerce-advertising/). The recent marketplace updates, which included a new 90-day slow-mover surcharge and a revised Walmart Fulfillment Services (WFS) rate card, were designed to incentivize high-velocity SKUs and enhance marketplace competitiveness [[^]](https://ecommerce-times.com/walmart-marketplaces-new-fulfillment-tiers-are-forcing-amazon-sellers-to-recalculate-their-multichannel-math/)[[^]](https://ecommerce-times.com/walmart-marketplace-overhauls-seller-fee-structure-in-major-q3-shake-up/)[[^]](https://ecommerce-times.com/walmart-marketplaces-new-fulfillment-pricing-is-reshaping-seller-math/). While these changes introduced both cost relief and increased logistics costs for sellers, creating a transitional period, their influence on overall eCommerce Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) is expected to materialize over the medium term [[^]](https://ecommerce-times.com/walmart-marketplaces-wfs-fee-reset-is-forcing-sellers-to-reprice-entire-catalogs/)[[^]](https://ecommerce-times.com/walmart-marketplaces-new-fulfillment-tiers-are-forcing-amazon-sellers-to-recalculate-their-multichannel-math/)[[^]](https://ecommerce-times.com/walmart-marketplaces-new-fulfillment-pricing-is-reshaping-seller-math/).

## What do third-party data sources, such as web traffic and credit card transaction data, indicate about Walmart's US consumer activity during Q2 2026?

Walmart Q2 2026 Store Visits | 0.8% increase (Q2 2026) [[^]](https://www.placer.ai/anchor/articles/what-q2-2026-visit-trends-reveal-about-superstores-and-wholesale-clubs) |
Walmart US eCommerce Sales Growth | 26% (fiscal Q2 2026) [[^]](https://www.placer.ai/anchor/articles/what-q2-2026-visit-trends-reveal-about-superstores-and-wholesale-clubs) |
Walmart Overall Comparable Sales Growth | 4.6% (fiscal Q2 2026) [[^]](https://www.placer.ai/anchor/articles/what-q2-2026-visit-trends-reveal-about-superstores-and-wholesale-clubs) |

**Walmart experienced modest growth in physical store visits during Q2 2026**

Walmart experienced modest growth in physical store visits during Q2 2026. Third-party data indicated a **0.8%** increase in store visits [[^]](https://www.placer.ai/anchor/articles/what-q2-2026-visit-trends-reveal-about-superstores-and-wholesale-clubs). This modest rise suggested that the company's overall significant comparable sales growth, which stood at **4.6%** in fiscal Q2 2026 (ended July 31, 2025), was predominantly driven by digital channels rather than increased physical store foot traffic [[^]](https://www.placer.ai/anchor/articles/what-q2-2026-visit-trends-reveal-about-superstores-and-wholesale-clubs).

US eCommerce sales experienced a substantial jump during fiscal Q2 2026. The company's US eCommerce sales saw a significant **26%** increase [[^]](https://www.placer.ai/anchor/articles/what-q2-2026-visit-trends-reveal-about-superstores-and-wholesale-clubs), a figure also used to resolve a prediction **market** [[^]](https://polymarket.com/event/walmart-wmt-q2-us-ecommerce-sales-growth-20260803233751326). This strong digital performance was further supported by a **50%** increase in store-fulfilled delivery services and a **31%** growth in Walmart Connect advertising revenue [[^]](https://stock.walmart.com/_assets/_cd0ce4e53d14436b9cf8ed15e0eb1c62/walmart/db/938/9959/presentation/Earnings+Presentation+%28FY26+Q2%29.pdf)[[^]](https://stock.walmart.com/_assets/_6d8e3881855c41c66fb7ff90ce72f9f2/walmart/db/938/9959/transcript_management_call/Q2+2026+Earnings+Transcript.pdf).

## How does Walmart's historical eCommerce growth in prior quarters, particularly Q2 FY26, inform the baseline expectation for Q2 FY27?

Q2 FY26 eCommerce Sales Growth | 26% year-over-year [[^]](https://stock.walmart.com/_assets/_ce43125c287746b5bb9dd177aebe127f/walmart/db/938/9959/earnings_release/Earnings+Release+%28FY26+Q2%29.pdf)[[^]](https://corporate.walmart.com/news/2025/08/21/walmart-releases-q2-fy26-earnings)[[^]](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/104169/000010416925000120/earningsreleasefy26q2.htm)[[^]](https://www.digitalcommerce360.com/2025/08/21/walmart-online-sales-q2-fy26/) |
Q2 FY27 Earnings Report Date | August 20, 2026 [[^]](https://corporate.walmart.com/news/events/fy2027-q2-earnings-release)[[^]](https://www.marketbeat.com/stocks/NASDAQ/WMT/earnings/)[[^]](https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/WALMART-INC-4841/calendar/) |
Key eCommerce Growth Drivers | Store-fulfilled pickup & delivery, marketplace, and advertising (Walmart Connect) [[^]](https://stock.walmart.com/_assets/_ce43125c287746b5bb9dd177aebe127f/walmart/db/938/9959/earnings_release/Earnings+Release+%28FY26+Q2%29.pdf)[[^]](https://stock.walmart.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0000104169-26-000032/earningsreleasefy26q4.htm) |

**Walmart U.S**

Walmart U.S. eCommerce sales achieved a notable **26%** year-over-year growth in Q2 FY26 [[^]](https://stock.walmart.com/_assets/_ce43125c287746b5bb9dd177aebe127f/walmart/db/938/9959/earnings_release/Earnings+Release+%28FY26+Q2%29.pdf)[[^]](https://corporate.walmart.com/news/2025/08/21/walmart-releases-q2-fy26-earnings)[[^]](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/104169/000010416925000120/earningsreleasefy26q2.htm)[[^]](https://www.digitalcommerce360.com/2025/08/21/walmart-online-sales-q2-fy26/). Despite this strong historical performance, the available research does not explicitly detail how this specific growth rate informs baseline expectations for Q2 FY27 eCommerce growth.

Key operational areas consistently fuel Walmart's ongoing eCommerce expansion. Walmart's overall eCommerce growth is consistently propelled by robust performance in several strategic areas, including its store-fulfilled pickup and delivery services, the expansion of its marketplace operations, and the contributions from its advertising platform, Walmart Connect [[^]](https://stock.walmart.com/_assets/_ce43125c287746b5bb9dd177aebe127f/walmart/db/938/9959/earnings_release/Earnings+Release+%28FY26+Q2%29.pdf)[[^]](https://stock.walmart.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings/content/0000104169-26-000032/earningsreleasefy26q4.htm). The company is anticipated to release its Q2 FY27 financial results on August 20, 2026 [[^]](https://corporate.walmart.com/news/events/fy2027-q2-earnings-release)[[^]](https://www.marketbeat.com/stocks/NASDAQ/WMT/earnings/)[[^]](https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/WALMART-INC-4841/calendar/).

## What Could Change the Odds

**Walmart is scheduled to release its fiscal Q2 FY2027 earnings on Thursday, August 20, 2026, before the market opens, with materials expected around 6:00 a.m.** CT and the conference call at 7:00 a.m. CT [[^]](https://corporate.walmart.com/news/events/fy2027-q2-earnings-release)[[^]](https://www.financecalendar.com/event/wmt-earnings-august-2026/). As of August 13, 2026, Walmart had not yet released its Q2 FY2027 financial results for the fiscal quarter ending July 2026 [[^]](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/104169/000010416926000095/earningsreleasefy27q1.htm). Historically, Q2 results are announced in late August, for example, on August 21 in 2025 [[^]](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/104169/000010416926000095/earningsreleasefy27q1.htm)[[^]](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/104169/000010416926000095/earningspresentationfy27.htm).

**Analysts are focusing on Walmart's eCommerce and high-margin advertising growth to offset potential moderation in U.S.** comparable sales, which are projected at **3.5%** (excluding fuel) for the quarter [[^]](https://scanx.trade/stock-**market**-news/companies/walmart-q2-results-bofa-forecasts-0-74-eps-4-6-sales-growth/48112147). Walmart previously guided for Q2 constant-currency net sales growth of **4%** to **5%** [[^]](https://scanx.trade/stock-**market**-news/companies/walmart-q2-results-bofa-forecasts-0-74-eps-4-6-sales-growth/48112147)[[^]](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/104169/000010416926000095/earningsreleasefy27q1.htm). Bank of America analysts forecast **4.6%** growth, citing the conclusion of tax-refund benefits and shifts in consumer spending [[^]](https://scanx.trade/stock-**market**-news/companies/walmart-q2-results-bofa-forecasts-0-74-eps-4-6-sales-growth/48112147).

## Key Dates & Catalysts

- **Closes:** August 20, 2026

## Decision-Flipping Events

- Walmart is scheduled to release its fiscal Q2 FY2027 earnings on Thursday, August 20, 2026, before the **market** opens, with materials expected around 6:00 a.m.
- CT and the conference call at 7:00 a.m.
- CT [^] [^] .
- As of August 13, 2026, Walmart had not yet released its Q2 FY2027 financial results for the fiscal quarter ending July 2026 [^] .

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## Historical Resolutions

No historical resolution data available for this series.

## Disclaimer

This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or trading advice.
Prediction markets involve risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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### Data Sources & Model Transparency

**Data Sources:** Octagon Deep Research aggregates information from multiple sources including news, filings, and market data.

**Freshness:** Analysis is generated periodically and may not reflect the latest developments. Verify critical information from primary sources.

**Partial model coverage:** Model probabilities were generated for 4 of 4 in-scope outcome(s). Outcomes outside the deterministic model scope show market prices only.

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