# When will Anduril officially announce an IPO?

Anduril

Updated: June 13, 2026

Category: Financials

Tags: IPOs
Companies

HTML: /markets/financials/ipos/when-will-anduril-officially-announce-an-ipo/

## Short Answer

**Both the model and the market expect Anduril to officially announce an IPO before Jun 1, 2027.** Recent funding rounds appear to push the likely IPO timeline to 2027 or later, influencing this expectation.

## Key Claims (January 2026)

**- - The May 2026 funding round secured substantial private funding.** - This fresh capital likely delays Anduril's immediate IPO plans.
- Executives indicate no immediate need for Anduril to go public.
- Defense tech analysts generally expect an Anduril IPO in late 2026 or 2027.
- Anduril has not officially announced an IPO as of June 13, 2026.
- Anduril likely maintains privacy for long-term innovation and mission objectives.

### Why This Matters (GEO)

- AI agents extract claims, not arguments.
- Improves citation probability in summaries and answer cards.
- Enables fact stitching across multiple sources.

## Executive Verdict

**Key takeaway.** **Model**'s **0.7%** **probability** is below the 1c **market** price, as May 2026 funding delays an immediate IPO.

### Who Wins and Why

| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | 1.0% | 0.7% | The May 2026 funding round suggests an IPO is not imminent, reducing the probability for the near term. |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | 10.0% | 6.9% | The May 2026 funding round suggests an IPO is not imminent, reducing the probability for the near term. |
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | 8.0% | 7.0% | The May 2026 funding round suggests an IPO is not imminent, reducing the probability for the near term. |

## Model vs Market

| Outcome | Market Probability | Octagon Model Probability |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | 10.0% | 6.9% |
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | 8.0% | 7.0% |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 7.0% | 7.1% |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 13.0% | 9.5% |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 1.0% | 9.6% |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 4.0% | 9.7% |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 16.0% | 10.9% |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 20.0% | 13.6% |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 23.0% | 15.6% |
| Before May 1, 2027 | 20.0% | 15.7% |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | 25.0% | 16.9% |

- Expiration: June 1, 2027

## Market Behavior & Price Dynamics

This prediction market has traded in a very narrow, low-probability range, indicating consistently bearish sentiment regarding an imminent Anduril IPO announcement. The price started at 4.0% before experiencing a significant drop to its current level of 1.0%. This downward movement is the most notable event in the chart's history. The drop appears to be a reaction to the news that Anduril closed a $5 billion funding round in May 2026. This massive influx of private capital likely signaled to traders that the company has no immediate need to raise funds through a public offering, thus decreasing the perceived likelihood of an IPO announcement.

Total volume stands at 711 contracts, suggesting moderate but not high levels of trading activity. The price has established a clear resistance level at its starting point of 4.0% and is currently testing a support floor at 1.0%. Overall market sentiment is overwhelmingly negative, with the current 1.0% price suggesting traders believe there is virtually no chance of an IPO announcement in the near term. The recent successful funding round has only served to reinforce this conviction within the market.

## Contract Snapshot

The market resolves "Yes" if Anduril officially announces an IPO before June 1, 2027, based on reports from specified news sources. An IPO is confirmed if the SEC declares Form S-1 effective, the IPO is priced, or a securities exchange assigns a ticker. This market resolves immediately upon such confirmation, even if trading begins after June 1, 2027; otherwise, if no IPO is confirmed by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM EDT, the market resolves "No."

## Market Discussion

As of June 13, 2026, Anduril Industries has not officially announced an IPO or filed an S-1 registration statement, though CEO Palmer Luckey has confirmed the company's eventual intention to go public [[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/10/anduril-palmer-luckey-ipo.html). Following a $5 billion funding round on May 13, 2026, which valued the company at $61 billion, prediction markets and analysts show low probability for a near-term IPO announcement before mid-2027 [[^]](https://fazen.markets/en/anduril-valued-61bn-ipo-expected).

## Market Data

| Contract | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | Last Price | Volume | Open Interest |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | 1% | 5% | 10% | $1,282 | $553 |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 1% | 11% | 1% | $3,937.07 | $1,902.07 |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | 0% | 1% | 1% | $1,890 | $739 |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 1% | 11% | 13% | $1,507.12 | $910 |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 1% | 9% | 7% | $723.11 | $221 |
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | 0% | 8% | 8% | $665 | $251 |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 7% | 22% | 23% | $5,071.32 | $1,814.04 |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 6% | 15% | 16% | $10,624.87 | $6,664 |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 6% | 15% | 4% | $5,352.65 | $2,487.65 |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | 15% | 24% | 25% | $35,770.95 | $21,185.05 |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 6% | 19% | 20% | $4,111.23 | $2,861.64 |
| Before May 1, 2027 | 9% | 20% | 20% | $7,206.61 | $3,465.21 |

## What is the consensus among defense tech analysts for an Anduril IPO window?

Predicted IPO Window | Late 2026 or 2027, leaning towards 2027 [[^]](https://altstreet.investments/guides/how-to-buy-anduril-stock-pre-ipo)[[^]](https://www.aol.com/finance/three-hotly-anticipated-ai-ipos-122556997.html)[[^]](https://aedilis.app/top-ipos-to-watch-vol-2-may-2026/) |
Latest Funding Round | $5 billion Series H in May 2026 [[^]](https://altstreet.investments/guides/how-to-buy-anduril-stock-pre-ipo)[[^]](https://www.aol.com/finance/three-hotly-anticipated-ai-ipos-122556997.html)[[^]](https://aedilis.app/top-ipos-to-watch-vol-2-may-2026/) |
Official IPO Status | No official IPO date or S-1 filing as of June 13, 2026 [[^]](https://altstreet.investments/guides/how-to-buy-anduril-stock-pre-ipo)[[^]](https://www.aol.com/finance/three-hotly-anticipated-ai-ipos-122556997.html)[[^]](https://aedilis.app/top-ipos-to-watch-vol-2-may-2026/) |

**Defense tech analysts generally expect Anduril's IPO in late 2026 or 2027**

Defense tech analysts generally expect Anduril's IPO in late 2026 or 2027. **Market** observers largely anticipate an IPO window for Anduril Industries between late 2026 and 2027, with a stronger inclination towards 2027 [[^]](https://altstreet.investments/guides/how-to-buy-anduril-stock-pre-ipo)[[^]](https://www.aol.com/finance/three-hotly-anticipated-ai-ipos-122556997.html)[[^]](https://aedilis.app/top-ipos-to-watch-vol-2-may-2026/). As of June 13, 2026, the company has not released any official statements regarding an IPO date or an S-1 filing [[^]](https://altstreet.investments/guides/how-to-buy-anduril-stock-pre-ipo)[[^]](https://www.aol.com/finance/three-hotly-anticipated-ai-ipos-122556997.html)[[^]](https://aedilis.app/top-ipos-to-watch-vol-2-may-2026/). This projected timeline follows the successful completion of Anduril's **$5** billion Series H funding round in May 2026 [[^]](https://altstreet.investments/guides/how-to-buy-anduril-stock-pre-ipo)[[^]](https://www.aol.com/finance/three-hotly-anticipated-ai-ipos-122556997.html)[[^]](https://aedilis.app/top-ipos-to-watch-vol-2-may-2026/).

Prediction markets reflect low **confidence** in a near-term 2026 IPO. In June 2026, prediction markets showed limited **confidence** in a 2026 public offering, with probabilities for an IPO before mid-2027 typically in the single-digit to low double-digit range [[^]](https://altstreet.investments/guides/how-to-buy-anduril-stock-pre-ipo)[[^]](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxipoanduril/when-will-anduril-ipo/kxipoanduril)[[^]](https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/06/09/three-hotly-anticipated-ai-ipos-which-one-is-poised-to-list-first/). While Anduril leadership, including co-founder Palmer Luckey, has affirmed that going public is an eventual goal, viewing it as crucial for securing significant defense contracts, they are prioritizing long-term growth, profitability, and expanding their Arsenal-1 manufacturing capabilities over an immediate public debut [[^]](https://altstreet.investments/guides/how-to-buy-anduril-stock-pre-ipo)[[^]](https://www.cvobserver.com/2026/04/21/anduril-stock-in-2026-why-everyone-wants-in-and-why-almost-nobody-can-buy-it/)[[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/10/anduril-palmer-luckey-ipo.html).

## What market shifts or contract wins could accelerate an Anduril IPO before 2027?

IPO "No" Probability | 70% to 90% [[^]](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxipoanduril/when-will-anduril-ipo/kxipoanduril)[[^]](https://explorer.struct.to/markets/anduril-industries-ipo-before-2027)[[^]](https://oddsshift.com/radar/anduril-ipo-before-2027)[[^]](https://www.coinbase.com/predictions/event/KXIPOANDURIL) |
May 2026 Valuation | $61 billion [[^]](https://govcondigest.com/anduril-raises-5b-series-h-round/) |
U.S. Army Contract | $20 billion over 10 years [[^]](https://www.armedforcesnews.com/anduril-is-rewriting-the-rules-of-war-and-the-pentagon-just-handed-them-20-billion/)[[^]](https://techmarketbriefs.com/pre-ipo/anduril/) |

**Prediction markets show significant skepticism regarding Anduril's IPO before 2027**

Prediction markets show significant skepticism regarding Anduril's IPO before 2027. "No" probabilities for this event are consistently high, ranging from **70%** to **90%** [[^]](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxipoanduril/when-will-anduril-ipo/kxipoanduril)[[^]](https://explorer.struct.to/markets/anduril-industries-ipo-before-2027)[[^]](https://oddsshift.com/radar/anduril-ipo-before-2027)[[^]](https://www.coinbase.com/predictions/event/KXIPOANDURIL). While operational successes, including production ramps at the Arsenal-1 facility for Fury aircraft and securing major contracts like the Air Force CCA Increment 1, are recognized as potential accelerators for public **market** readiness [[^]](https://techmarketbriefs.com/pre-ipo/anduril/), these achievements do not currently shift the dominant **market** sentiment. Anduril's Collaborative Combat Aircraft for the U.S. Air Force took its first in 2025 [[^]](https://www.institutionalinvestor.com/article/maritime-defense-ai-could-be-next-big-investment-opportunity-venture-capital).

Anduril's financial strength significantly reduces immediate pressure for an IPO. The company's valuation was substantially bolstered to **$61** billion in its May 2026 Series H funding round [[^]](https://govcondigest.com/anduril-raises-5b-series-h-round/). This capital infusion, coupled with a 10-year, **$20** billion U.S. Army enterprise contract awarded in March 2026 [[^]](https://www.armedforcesnews.com/anduril-is-rewriting-the-rules-of-war-and-the-pentagon-just-handed-them-20-billion/)[[^]](https://techmarketbriefs.com/pre-ipo/anduril/), provides substantial financial resources and long-term revenue visibility. These factors collectively diminish the immediate need for a public offering [[^]](https://techmarketbriefs.com/pre-ipo/anduril/). Although CEO Palmer Luckey has confirmed the company's long-term intention to go public, profitability is not anticipated until 2030, which remains a key consideration for IPO timing [[^]](https://www.armedforcesnews.com/anduril-is-rewriting-the-rules-of-war-and-the-pentagon-just-handed-them-20-billion/).

## How does Anduril's pre-IPO valuation and funding compare to Palantir's before its direct listing?

Anduril Valuation | $61 billion (May 2026) [[^]](https://techcrunch.com/2026/05/13/anduril-raises-5b-doubles-valuation-to-61b/)[[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/13/anduril-valuation-defense-tech-funding-boom.html)[[^]](https://news.crunchbase.com/defense-tech/anduril-5b-valuation-vc-funding-record-data/) |
Anduril Total Funding | over $11 billion [[^]](https://techcrunch.com/2026/05/13/anduril-raises-5b-doubles-valuation-to-61b/)[[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/13/anduril-valuation-defense-tech-funding-boom.html)[[^]](https://news.crunchbase.com/defense-tech/anduril-5b-valuation-vc-funding-record-data/) |
Palantir Pre-Listing Valuation | approximately $10.5 billion to $20 billion [[^]](https://techcrunch.com/2020/07/02/sec-filing-indicates-big-data-provider-palantir-is-raising-961m-550m-of-it-already-secured/)[[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2020/09/09/palantir-valued-at-about-10point5-billion-ahead-of-direct-listing.html)[[^]](https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/palantir-direct-listing-prospectus-valuation-ipo-billion-nyse-stock-market-2020-9-1029590185) |

**Anduril's current valuation and funding significantly surpass Palantir's pre-listing figures**

Anduril's current valuation and funding significantly surpass Palantir's pre-listing figures. As of May 2026, Anduril Industries holds a valuation of **$61** billion, following a **$5** billion Series H funding round. The company has cumulatively raised over **$11** billion in total funding to date [[^]](https://techcrunch.com/2026/05/13/anduril-raises-5b-doubles-valuation-to-61b/)[[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/13/anduril-valuation-defense-tech-funding-boom.html)[[^]](https://news.crunchbase.com/defense-tech/anduril-5b-valuation-vc-funding-record-data/). In contrast, prior to its direct listing in September 2020, Palantir Technologies had estimated valuations ranging from approximately **$10.5** billion to **$20** billion. Palantir's total funding before its listing was approximately **$2.5** billion to **$3.3** billion [[^]](https://techcrunch.com/2020/07/02/sec-filing-indicates-big-data-provider-palantir-is-raising-961m-550m-of-it-already-secured/)[[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2020/09/09/palantir-valued-at-about-10point5-billion-ahead-of-direct-listing.html)[[^]](https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/palantir-direct-listing-prospectus-valuation-ipo-billion-nyse-stock-**market**-2020-9-1029590185).

Anduril's IPO is currently deemed unlikely to occur before 2027. Prediction markets presently assign a low **probability** to an initial public offering (IPO) for Anduril Industries taking place prior to 2027 [[^]](https://explorer.struct.to/markets/anduril-industries-ipo-before-2027)[[^]](https://manifold.markets/DB0NNC0/when-will-anduril-industries-ipo)[[^]](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxipoanduril/when-will-anduril-ipo/kxipoanduril)[[^]](https://www.frenflow.com/polymarket/**market**/anduril-ipo-before-2027)[[^]](https://www.coinbase.com/predictions/event/KXIPOANDURIL).

## How do Anduril's reasons for staying private compare to those of SpaceX?

Current Status | Both Anduril and SpaceX remain private [[^]](https://thebetterwebmovement.com/is-anduril-publicly-traded-ipo-status-explained/)[[^]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_z2YKIBKllQ)[[^]](https://skrivex.com/article/spacex-ipo-what-you-need-to-know)[[^]](https://www.vtmarkets.com/opinion/spacex-ipo-rumours-explained-whats-true-and-whats-not/) |
Anduril IPO Intention | Will go public to compete for trillion-dollar defense contracts [[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/10/anduril-palmer-luckey-ipo.html) |
Anduril IPO Timeline | Unlikely until 2027 or later [[^]](https://techmarketbriefs.com/pre-ipo/anduril/)[[^]](https://www.fool.com/investing/how-to-invest/stocks/how-to-invest-in-anduril-stock/?referring_guid=99bc001e-bfd3-4678-ad32-400953014f77)[[^]](https://allogue.com/palmer-luckey-anduril-stock-why-everyone-is-searching-whats-real-and-whats-not/)[[^]](https://stockanalysis.com/article/invest-in-anduril-stock/) |

**Both Anduril and SpaceX maintain privacy to foster long-term innovation and mission objectives**

Both Anduril and SpaceX maintain privacy to foster long-term innovation and mission objectives. Both companies have opted to remain private entities, primarily to cultivate sustained innovation and adhere to their core mission goals, thereby sidestepping the short-term financial pressures frequently linked with public markets [[^]](https://thebetterwebmovement.com/is-anduril-publicly-traded-ipo-status-explained/)[[^]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_z2YKIBKllQ)[[^]](https://skrivex.com/article/spacex-ipo-what-you-need-to-know)[[^]](https://www.vtmarkets.com/opinion/spacex-ipo-rumours-explained-whats-true-and-whats-not/). To support their operations and attract necessary talent, these companies depend on robust private funding, secure government contracts, and offer secondary **market** liquidity options, such as tender offers, for their employees and investors [[^]](https://thebetterwebmovement.com/is-anduril-publicly-traded-ipo-status-explained/)[[^]](https://www.sourcery.vc/p/spacex-stripe-x-ramp-anduril-navigating)[[^]](https://southcoastfp.com/what-spacex-going-public-really-says-about-staying-private-vs-selling-your-business/).

Long-term intentions regarding public markets diverge significantly between the two companies. Anduril's CEO, Palmer Luckey, has explicitly stated the company's intention to go public to pursue trillion-dollar defense contracts [[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/10/anduril-palmer-luckey-ipo.html). However, as of June 13, 2026, an official IPO date for Anduril has not been established, with projections suggesting it is unlikely before 2027 or later, contingent on achieving profitability and expanded government contracts [[^]](https://techmarketbriefs.com/pre-ipo/anduril/)[[^]](https://www.fool.com/investing/how-to-invest/stocks/how-to-invest-in-anduril-stock/?referring_guid=99bc001e-bfd3-4678-ad32-400953014f77)[[^]](https://allogue.com/palmer-luckey-anduril-stock-why-everyone-is-searching-whats-real-and-whats-not/)[[^]](https://stockanalysis.com/article/invest-in-anduril-stock/). Conversely, SpaceX generally intends to resist going public for the foreseeable future, aiming to protect its fundamental mission of Mars colonization [[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/10/anduril-palmer-luckey-ipo.html)[[^]](https://stockanalysis.com/article/invest-in-anduril-stock/).

## What does Anduril's May 2026 funding round imply about its IPO timeline?

Latest Funding Round | $5 billion Series H (May 13, 2026) [[^]](https://www.anduril.com/news/anduril-announces-usd5b-series-h-raise)[[^]](https://techcrunch.com/2026/05/13/anduril-raises-5b-doubles-valuation-to-61b/)[[^]](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-13/anduril-valued-at-61-billion-in-round-led-by-thrive-andreessen)[[^]](https://news.crunchbase.com/defense-tech/anduril-5b-valuation-vc-funding-record-data/)[[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/13/anduril-valuation-defense-tech-funding-boom.html)[[^]](https://fazen.markets/en/anduril-valued-61bn-ipo-expected)[[^]](https://altstreet.investments/guides/how-to-buy-anduril-stock-pre-ipo) |
Latest Valuation | $61 billion [[^]](https://www.anduril.com/news/anduril-announces-usd5b-series-h-raise)[[^]](https://techcrunch.com/2026/05/13/anduril-raises-5b-doubles-valuation-to-61b/)[[^]](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-13/anduril-valued-at-61-billion-in-round-led-by-thrive-andreessen)[[^]](https://news.crunchbase.com/defense-tech/anduril-5b-valuation-vc-funding-record-data/)[[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/13/anduril-valuation-defense-tech-funding-boom.html)[[^]](https://fazen.markets/en/anduril-valued-61bn-ipo-expected)[[^]](https://altstreet.investments/guides/how-to-buy-anduril-stock-pre-ipo) |
Anticipated IPO Timeline | Late 2026 or 2027 [[^]](https://www.anduril.com/news/anduril-announces-usd5b-series-h-raise)[[^]](https://techcrunch.com/2026/05/13/anduril-raises-5b-doubles-valuation-to-61b/)[[^]](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-13/anduril-valued-at-61-billion-in-round-led-by-thrive-andreessen)[[^]](https://news.crunchbase.com/defense-tech/anduril-5b-valuation-vc-funding-record-data/)[[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/13/anduril-valuation-defense-tech-funding-boom.html)[[^]](https://fazen.markets/en/anduril-valued-61bn-ipo-expected)[[^]](https://altstreet.investments/guides/how-to-buy-anduril-stock-pre-ipo) |

**Anduril secured substantial private funding, delaying its immediate IPO plans**

Anduril secured substantial private funding, delaying its immediate IPO plans. On May 13, 2026, the company announced a significant **$5** billion Series H funding round, which notably valued Anduril at **$61** billion [[^]](https://www.anduril.com/news/anduril-announces-usd5b-series-h-raise)[[^]](https://techcrunch.com/2026/05/13/anduril-raises-5b-doubles-valuation-to-61b/)[[^]](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-13/anduril-valued-at-61-billion-in-round-led-by-thrive-andreessen)[[^]](https://news.crunchbase.com/defense-tech/anduril-5b-valuation-vc-funding-record-data/)[[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/13/anduril-valuation-defense-tech-funding-boom.html)[[^]](https://fazen.markets/en/anduril-valued-61bn-ipo-expected)[[^]](https://altstreet.investments/guides/how-to-buy-anduril-stock-pre-ipo). This substantial infusion of private capital indicates that Anduril does not have an urgent need to access public markets, thus postponing its initial public offering [[^]](https://fazen.markets/en/anduril-valued-61bn-ipo-expected)[[^]](https://altstreet.investments/guides/how-to-buy-anduril-stock-pre-ipo).

The new funding round shifted Anduril's anticipated IPO timeline. This latest funding doubled Anduril's valuation from the previous year, pushing the expected IPO to late 2026 or 2027 [[^]](https://www.anduril.com/news/anduril-announces-usd5b-series-h-raise)[[^]](https://techcrunch.com/2026/05/13/anduril-raises-5b-doubles-valuation-to-61b/)[[^]](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-13/anduril-valued-at-61-billion-in-round-led-by-thrive-andreessen)[[^]](https://news.crunchbase.com/defense-tech/anduril-5b-valuation-vc-funding-record-data/)[[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/13/anduril-valuation-defense-tech-funding-boom.html)[[^]](https://fazen.markets/en/anduril-valued-61bn-ipo-expected)[[^]](https://altstreet.investments/guides/how-to-buy-anduril-stock-pre-ipo). This revised timeline is consistent with earlier **market** sentiment, where the **probability** of a 2026 IPO had already decreased to approximately **19%** by March 2026, as **market** participants correctly foresaw another large private funding round [[^]](https://fazen.markets/en/anduril-valued-61bn-ipo-expected). Anduril's strategic objective is to achieve profitability before entering the public **market**, with the current funds specifically allocated to scale its manufacturing infrastructure, particularly Arsenal-1, to attain this goal [[^]](https://altstreet.investments/guides/how-to-buy-anduril-stock-pre-ipo)[[^]](https://stockscreener.finance/en/news/anduril-doubles-valuation-to-over-60-billion-as-defense-tech-funding-boom-conti/).

## What Could Change the Odds

**As of June 13, 2026, Anduril Industries has not officially announced an IPO, nor has it filed a Form S-1 registration statement with the SEC [[^]](https://www.techstackipo.com/company/anduril)[[^]](https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/06/09/three-hotly-anticipated-ai-ipos-which-one-is-poised-to-list-first/)[[^]](https://aedilis.app/top-ipos-to-watch-vol-2-may-2026/)[[^]](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxipoanduril/when-will-anduril-ipo/kxipoanduril).** Co-founder and CEO Palmer Luckey has publicly stated that the company will "definitely" go public, viewing it as a necessary step to secure major government contracts, but he has not provided a specific timeline for the offering [[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/13/anduril-valuation-defense-tech-funding-boom.html)[[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/10/anduril-palmer-luckey-ipo.html)[[^]](https://frontierbeat.com/2026/05/14/anduril-doubles-to-61b-valuation-defense-tech-is-having-its-moment/)[[^]](https://techcrunch.com/2026/05/13/anduril-raises-5b-doubles-valuation-to-61b/)[[^]](https://invezz.com/news/2026/05/27/after-spacex-openai-anthropic-anduril-is-emerging-as-the-next-ipo-giant/).

**In May 2026, Anduril raised $5 billion in a Series H funding round, which valued the company at $61 billion [[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/13/anduril-valuation-defense-tech-funding-boom.html)[[^]](https://tech.shepherdgazette.com/anduril-industries-raises-5-billion-doubling-valuation/)[[^]](https://aedilis.app/top-ipos-to-watch-vol-2-may-2026/)[[^]](https://frontierbeat.com/2026/05/14/anduril-doubles-to-61b-valuation-defense-tech-is-having-its-moment/)[[^]](https://techcrunch.com/2026/05/13/anduril-raises-5b-doubles-valuation-to-61b/).** Financial analysts and **market** observers generally consider this fresh capital infusion as evidence that an IPO is not imminent, with many projections shifting the earliest realistic timeline for a public listing to 2027 or later [[^]](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/13/anduril-valuation-defense-tech-funding-boom.html)[[^]](https://tech.shepherdgazette.com/anduril-industries-raises-5-billion-doubling-valuation/)[[^]](https://aedilis.app/top-ipos-to-watch-vol-2-may-2026/). Prediction markets as of June 2026 reflect significant skepticism regarding a near-term IPO, with some markets pricing the **probability** of a public listing before 2027 at approximately **7%** to **13%** [[^]](https://oddsshift.com/radar/anduril-ipo-before-2027)[[^]](https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/06/09/three-hotly-anticipated-ai-ipos-which-one-is-poised-to-list-first/)[[^]](https://www.aol.com/finance/three-hotly-anticipated-ai-ipos-122556997.html).

## Key Dates & Catalysts

- **Expiration:** May 08, 2026
- **Closes:** June 01, 2027

## Decision-Flipping Events

- As of June 13, 2026, Anduril Industries has not officially announced an IPO, nor has it filed a Form S-1 registration statement with the SEC [^] [^] [^] [^] .
- Co-founder and CEO Palmer Luckey has publicly stated that the company will "definitely" go public, viewing it as a necessary step to secure major government contracts, but he has not provided a specific timeline for the offering [^] [^] [^] [^] [^] .
- In May 2026, Anduril raised **$5** billion in a Series H funding round, which valued the company at **$61** billion [^] [^] [^] [^] [^] .
- Financial analysts and **market** observers generally consider this fresh capital infusion as evidence that an IPO is not imminent, with many projections shifting the earliest realistic timeline for a public listing to 2027 or later [^] [^] [^] .

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## Historical Resolutions

**Historical Resolutions:** 2 markets in this series

**Outcomes:** 0 resolved YES, 2 resolved NO

**Recent resolutions:**

- KXIPOANDURIL-26MAY01: NO (May 01, 2026)
- KXIPOANDURIL-26JUN01: NO (Jun 01, 2026)

## Disclaimer

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Prediction markets involve risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
We are not affiliated with Kalshi or any prediction market platform. Market data may be delayed or incomplete.

### Data Sources & Model Transparency

**Data Sources:** Octagon Deep Research aggregates information from multiple sources including news, filings, and market data.

**Freshness:** Analysis is generated periodically and may not reflect the latest developments. Verify critical information from primary sources.

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