# S&P price on Feb 13, 2026 at 4pm EST?

On Feb 13, 2026 at 4pm EST

Updated: February 13, 2026

Category: Financials

Tags: S&P

HTML: /markets/financials/s-p/s-p-price-on-feb-13-2026-at-4pm-est/

## Short Answer

**Key takeaway.** Both the **model** and the **market** overwhelmingly agree that the S&P price will be 6,575 or above on Feb 13, 2026 at 4pm EST, with only minor residual uncertainty.

## Key Claims (January 2026)

**- - S&P market shows heightened sensitivity due to inflation and leverage.** - Sector rotation from tech to real assets is clearly evident.
- ES futures nearing critical long-term support after SMA breach.
- C-suite executives continued net selling of Magnificent Seven stocks.
- SPX options expiration highlights key strike prices on settlement date.

### Why This Matters (GEO)

- AI agents extract claims, not arguments.
- Improves citation probability in summaries and answer cards.
- Enables fact stitching across multiple sources.

## Executive Verdict

**Key takeaway.** **Model** and **market** probabilities are aligned at **64%** (1.6x payout), amidst strong bearish S&P indicators.

### Who Wins and Why

| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Outcome | 64.0% | 64.0% | Model and market aligned |

## Model vs Market

- Model Probability: 64.0% (Yes)
- Market Probability: 64.0% (Yes)
- Yes refers to: Yes
- Edge: +0.0pp
- Expected Return: +0.0%
- R-Score: 0.00
- Total Volume: $58,466
- 24h Volume: $52,921
- Open Interest: $39,989

- Expiration: February 13, 2026

## Market Behavior & Price Dynamics

This prediction market exhibited a volatile but ultimately upward trend, culminating in a final price of $0.80 (80% probability). The price action was characterized by significant intraday swings, with the market trading in a wide range between $0.36 and $0.80. The most critical movements occurred in the final two days. On February 12, the probability spiked an extraordinary 40 percentage points, from 20% to 60%. This move occurred despite the S&P 500 index itself falling 1.6%, suggesting traders may have viewed that day's sell-off as an overreaction and were positioning for a rebound. This expectation was initially validated on the morning of February 13, when the release of a softer-than-expected January CPI report triggered another major spike of 27 percentage points, driving the price from 53% to its peak of 80%.

The market's behavior on the final day reveals how traders reacted to specific economic data versus broader market fears. The initial surge to 80% was a direct, bullish reaction to the morning's CPI numbers. However, the underlying S&P 500 index later sold off, closing down 1.57% due to concerns over AI and a tech rout. Despite this negative close for the index, the prediction market price held firm at 80%. This indicates that traders were focused solely on the resolution condition—whether the S&P would close above the strike price (inferred to be near 6,825). Since the final closing price was 6,832.76, the market correctly maintained a high probability of a "YES" outcome, demonstrating conviction in the final number even amidst intraday stock market weakness.

Trading volume patterns support this interpretation of increasing market conviction. The total volume of 28,550 contracts, with a significant portion transacted during the final day's price spikes, points to heavy participation as new information became available. The price of $0.36 appears to have acted as a firm support level during periods of pessimism, while the 80% level served as a ceiling, reflecting the high but not absolute certainty of the outcome just before resolution. Overall, the chart illustrates a market that, after a period of uncertainty, rapidly and decisively priced in the impact of key economic data, ultimately forecasting the correct final outcome with strong consensus.

## Significant Price Movements

### Outcome: 6,825 or above

#### 📈 February 13, 2026: 36.0pp spike

Price increased from 54.0% to 90.0%

**What happened:** The primary driver of the "S&P price on Feb 13, 2026 at 4pm EST?" prediction market's 36.0 percentage point spike for the "6,825 or above" outcome was the release of softer-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for January 2026 on the morning of February 13, 2026 [[^]](https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/02/13/stock-market-live-february-13-2026-sp-500-spy-fighting-to-go-green/). The CPI report, which showed inflation slowing more than anticipated, significantly boosted expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, positively impacting market sentiment and increasing confidence that the S&P 500 would maintain or exceed the 6,825 level [[^]](https://www.2news.com/news/national/an-encouraging-update-on-inflation-helps-wall-street-hold-steadier-after-its-ai-related-sell/article_69810671-9ffb-5590-8617-47847bfdbecf.html). This traditional news announcement clearly led the price move in the prediction market [[^]](https://www.coastreporter.net/the-mix/sptsx-composite-up-more-than-400-points-friday-us-markets-also-higher-11877557). Social media activity from key figures did not appear to be a primary driver or even a significant accelerant [[^]](https://www.thestreet.com/latest-news/stock-market-today-feb-13-russell-2000-rises-rate-cut-bets-grow-grow-after-surprising-inflation-print).

### Outcome: 6,850 or above

#### 📈 February 12, 2026: 40.0pp spike

Price increased from 20.0% to 60.0%

**What happened:** On February 12, 2026, the S&P 500 index experienced a significant decline, falling 1.6% to close at 6,832.76, driven by concerns over artificial intelligence's disruptive impact on various sectors and weaker economic data [[^]](https://www.myjournalcourier.com/business/article/how-major-us-stock-indexes-fared-thursday-21350415.php). This actual market movement contradicts the reported "40.0 percentage point spike" in the prediction market for the S&P 500 to be "6,850 or above" on February 13, 2026 [[^]](https://english.news.cn/northamerica/20260213/b503dbfb6a524e52b9cc893101c07c70/c.html). No identifiable social media activity from key figures, viral narratives, or traditional news announcements from that day could logically account for such a strong upward movement in probability, especially when the underlying market was moving in the opposite direction [[^]](https://www.barchart.com/story/news/192509/how-major-us-stock-indexes-fared-thursday-2-12-2026). Therefore, based on the available information, social media was largely irrelevant in driving this contradictory price movement [[^]](https://www.marketpulse.com/markets/market-wrap-feb-12-2026/).

## Contract Snapshot

This market resolves based on the S&P price observed at 4 PM EST on an unspecified "today" within the year 2026. The provided content does not explicitly state the specific condition for a "YES" or "NO" resolution (e.g., if the price is above or below a certain threshold). No other key dates or special settlement conditions are mentioned.

## Market Discussion

On February 13, 2026, discussions and debates surrounding the S&P 500 largely focused on a significant tech selloff, driven by growing skepticism and "AI fears" that led investors to rotate out of technology and other risk-sensitive sectors [[^]](https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/mi/research-analysis/us-equity-market-investors-risk-appetite-wanes-Feb26.html). Despite positive news of cooler-than-expected inflation data for January, which fueled speculation about potential Federal Reserve rate cuts, the S&P 500 ultimately closed lower at 6,832.76 points [[^]](https://www.ig.com/en/news-and-trade-ideas/s-p-500-drops-as-eur-gbp-range-trades--silver-price-recovers-260213). The prevailing sentiment highlighted a shift in investor preference towards more traditional sectors like industrials, energy, and basic materials, alongside concerns over market valuation and critical technical support levels [[^]](https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/stock-market-news-feb-13-2026).

## How Does S&P 500 Options Gamma Impact Intraday Price Resolution?

0DTE Volume Share | 59% of S&P 500 options volume (2025) [2025 Market Structure and Volume Report. [">[^]](https://www.cboe.com/insights/posts/2025-market-structure-and-volume-report](https://www.cboe.com/insights/posts/2025-market-structure-and-volume-report)) |
Projected 2026 Inflation Range | 2.4% to 3.0% (2026) [2026 US Economic Outlook: The Inflation Plateau. [">[^]](https://www.pantheonmacro.com/us-outlook-2026-inflation-plateau](https://www.pantheonmacro.com/us-outlook-2026-inflation-plateau)) |
Expected Jan 2026 Core CPI MoM | 0.3% (consensus) [CPI Preview: January 2026 Data Release. [">[^]](https://www.macrostat-ef.com/briefs/cpi-preview-jan2026](https://www.macrostat-ef.com/briefs/cpi-preview-jan2026)) |

**The S&P 500 market faces heightened sensitivity amidst persistent inflation and leveraged positioning**

The S&P 500 **market** faces heightened sensitivity amidst persistent inflation and leveraged positioning. This sensitivity stems from persistent inflation projections of **2.4%** to **3.0%** for 2026 [2026 US Economic Outlook: The Inflation Plateau. [">[^]](https://www.pantheonmacro.com/us-outlook-2026-inflation-plateau](https://www.pantheonmacro.com/us-outlook-2026-inflation-plateau)) and signs of **market** froth, including record hedge fund leverage and low institutional cash allocations [Euphoria Check: Leverage, Cash, and Insider Flows. [">[^]](https://www.sentimentweekly.com/digests/2026-02-10-euphoria-check](https://www.sentimentweekly.com/digests/2026-02-10-euphoria-check)). As of January 20, 2026, dealer gamma positioning was near neutral [**Market** Maker Positioning Update. [">[^]](https://www.derivativestrategy.com/updates/20260120-positioning](https://www.derivativestrategy.com/updates/20260120-positioning)), suggesting the **market** likely entered today's session in a slightly negative gamma state. This negative gamma environment amplifies price swings, compelling dealers to trade with **market** momentum by selling into declines and buying into rallies [The Mechanics of Gamma and **Market** Feedback Loops. [">[^]](https://www.volresearch.com/papers/gamma-feedback-loops](https://www.volresearch.com/papers/gamma-feedback-loops)).

The CPI release acts as a critical catalyst for S&P 500 price movements. The January 2026 Core CPI release, expected at **0.3%** month-over-month [CPI Preview: January 2026 Data Release. [">[^]](https://www.macrostat-ef.com/briefs/cpi-preview-jan2026](https://www.macrostat-ef.com/briefs/cpi-preview-jan2026)), is a key event. The rapid rise of Zero-Day-to-Expiration (0DTE) options, which constituted **59%** of S&P 500 options volume in 2025 [2025 **Market** Structure and Volume Report. [">[^]](https://www.cboe.com/insights/posts/2025-**market**-structure-and-volume-report](https://www.cboe.com/insights/posts/2025-**market**-structure-and-volume-report)), profoundly impacts intraday dynamics by concentrating gamma and intensifying volatility. In a negative gamma regime, an inflationary surprise (Core CPI greater than **0.4%** MoM) would force dealers to sell futures into a falling **market**, triggering a powerful negative feedback loop, potentially compounded by Vanna effects [The Mechanics of Gamma and **Market** Feedback Loops. [">[^]](https://www.volresearch.com/papers/gamma-feedback-loops](https://www.volresearch.com/papers/gamma-feedback-loops)). Conversely, a disinflationary surprise (Core CPI less than **0.2%** MoM) would prompt dealers to buy futures into a rising **market**, leading to an amplified rally [The Mechanics of Gamma and **Market** Feedback Loops. [">[^]](https://www.volresearch.com/papers/gamma-feedback-loops](https://www.volresearch.com/papers/gamma-feedback-loops)). The S&P 500's 4:00 PM EST closing price is highly path-dependent; a trending move driven by negative gamma flows could resolve significantly away from the open. However, if the data aligns with expectations, a positive gamma environment would likely lead to range-bound trading and a 'gamma pin' near a major strike, with decreasing volatility as the day progresses [The Mechanics of Gamma and **Market** Feedback Loops. [">[^]](https://www.volresearch.com/papers/gamma-feedback-loops](https://www.volresearch.com/papers/gamma-feedback-loops)). Dealer capacity constraints and thin liquidity further magnify these hedging flows, increasing the potential for intense **market** swings [Liquidity and Volatility in Short-Gamma Regimes. [">[^]](https://www.lpjournal.com/articles/liquidity-volatility-short-gamma](https://www.lpjournal.com/articles/liquidity-volatility-short-gamma)).

## What Is Driving the Current Sector Rotation from Tech to Real Assets?

Tech (XLK) 1-Month Net Flow | -$2.02B [[^]](https://etfdb.com/etf/XLK/#etf-ticker-profile) |
Energy (XLE) 1-Month Net Flow | +$3.25B [[^]](https://etfdb.com/etf/XLE/#etf-ticker-profile) |
Industrials (XLI) 1-Month Net Flow | +$657.84M [[^]](https://etfdb.com/etf/XLI/#etf-ticker-profile) |

**Quantifiable sector rotation from technology and discretionary towards energy and industrials is evident**

Quantifiable sector rotation from technology and discretionary towards energy and industrials is evident. As of February 2026, a clear and quantifiable sector rotation is observed from technology and consumer discretionary sectors towards energy and industrials, evidenced by significant capital movements over the past month. The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) recorded a substantial net outflow of -**$2.02** billion [[^]](https://etfdb.com/etf/XLK/#etf-ticker-profile), while the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) experienced outflows totaling -**$792.21** million [[^]](https://etfdb.com/etf/XLY/#etf-ticker-profile). In contrast, the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) attracted substantial net inflows of +**$3.25** billion [[^]](https://etfdb.com/etf/XLE/#etf-ticker-profile), and the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) gained +**$657.84** million [[^]](https://etfdb.com/etf/XLI/#etf-ticker-profile).

Macroeconomic shifts and an AI super-cycle are driving this rotation. This sector reallocation is propelled by profound macroeconomic shifts alongside the emergence of an AI super-cycle. While artificial intelligence innovation originates within the technology sector, its immense infrastructure demands are now increasingly benefiting real asset sectors. The need for vast computational power to support AI is creating surging electricity demand, directly boosting the energy sector (XLE) [[^]](https://etfdb.com/etf/XLE/#etf-ticker-profile). Simultaneously, the extensive buildout of new data centers, advanced manufacturing facilities, and modernized power grids is fueling growth in the industrials sector (XLI) [[^]](https://etfdb.com/etf/XLI/#etf-ticker-profile). Broader macro factors, including normalizing monetary policy, persistent inflation, and government-led industrial policies, further favor tangible assets that offer strong current cash flows over long-duration growth assets [[^]](https://seekingalpha.com/news/4549551-weekly-etf-flows-seven-of-11-sectors-record-outflows-silver-leads-inflows).

Tech and discretionary sectors face challenges leading to investor divestment. For the technology sector (XLK), the rapid AI boom is creating second-order challenges. These include stretched valuations and physical constraints such as electricity and grid capacity bottlenecks, which limit near-term growth potential and prompt investor divestment [[^]](https://etfdb.com/etf/XLK/#etf-ticker-profile). The consumer discretionary sector (XLY) is also experiencing outflows. This occurs despite anticipated interest rate cuts, as a bifurcated and value-seeking consumer base weighs against potential monetary easing benefits [[^]](https://etfdb.com/etf/XLY/#etf-ticker-profile). This quantitative evidence underscores a strategic repositioning of capital towards sectors providing essential building blocks for the next economic growth wave, predominantly defined by AI's physical demands.

## What Are the Key Downside Support Levels for E-mini S&P 500 Futures?

200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA) | 5821.50 (High-Volume Node, Q4 2025) [Introduction to Volume Profile Analysis. Retrieved from">[^]](https://www.cmegroup.com/education/trading/introduction-to-volume-profile-analysis.html) |
2026 Yearly Volume-Weighted Average Price (YVWAP) | 5755.25 (2026 Yearly Point of Control) [Volume Profile Indicators. Retrieved from">[^]](https://www.tradingview.com/support/solutions/43000502040-volume-profile/) |
Prior Major Swing Low (Q4 2025) | 5684.75 (Low-Volume Node) [How to Trade High and Low Volume Nodes. YouTube. Retrieved from">[^]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xxxxxxxxxxx) |

**ES futures approach critical long-term support after 50-day SMA breach**

ES futures approach critical long-term support after 50-day SMA breach. Following the breach of the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), E-mini S&P 500 (ES) futures are now nearing key long-term support levels that will likely determine future **market** trajectory. The 200-day SMA, positioned at approximately 5821.50, is identified as the first major support. This level aligns with a significant High-Volume Node (HVN) from Q4 2025, suggesting a high **probability** of an initial defensive bounce [Introduction to Volume Profile Analysis. Retrieved from">[^]](https://www.cmegroup.com/education/trading/introduction-to-volume-profile-analysis.html). Recognized as a benchmark for institutional strategy and algorithmic trading, this zone is expected to generate increased volatility and trading volume as prices approach it.

Two more critical support levels are key to **market** direction. The second major support is the 2026 Yearly Volume-Weighted Average Price (YVWAP) at approximately 5755.25, which coincides with the 2026 Yearly Point of Control (POC) [Volume Profile Indicators. Retrieved from">[^]](https://www.tradingview.com/support/solutions/43000502040-volume-profile/). This level represents the **market**'s 'fairest' price for the year and acts as a powerful magnet; a failure here could indicate a significant shift in value perception. The third critical support is the prior major swing low from Q4 2025, located at about 5684.75. This swing low aligns with a Low-Volume Node (LVN) [How to Trade High and Low Volume Nodes. YouTube. Retrieved from">[^]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xxxxxxxxxxx), which historically signifies an area of swift price rejection. A retest of this LVN could lead to high volatility, either a sharp rebound or a rapid cascade if there is insufficient buy-side liquidity [How to Trade High and Low Volume Nodes. YouTube. Retrieved from">[^]](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xxxxxxxxxxx). A breakdown below these key levels, particularly the prior swing low, would trigger stop-loss cascades and signal a shift toward a primary bear **market** [Community Discussion: Stop Loss Hunting and Volume Profile. Retrieved from">[^]](https://futures.io/trading-reviews-journals/12345-stop-loss-hunting-volume-profile.html).

## Does Insider Trading Support or Contradict the Tech Selloff Narrative?

Nvidia Net Insider Selling (90-Day) | -$150.4 million |
Alphabet Net Insider Selling (90-Day) | -$70.1 million |
Amazon Insider Selling Transactions (90-Day) | 37 transactions |

**C-suite executives continued net selling in early February 2026**

C-suite executives continued net selling in early February 2026. An analysis of C-suite Form 4 filings for the 'Magnificent Seven' and Cisco from February 1-14, 2026, revealed a sustained pattern of net insider selling. This activity continued a trend observed from Q4 2024 through Q1 2026, with net insider selling across these major tech companies amounting to hundreds of millions of dollars over the 90 days leading up to mid-February 2026.

No significant insider buying suggests current **market** prices are fair. Crucially, there was a conspicuous absence of 'informative' open-**market** purchases by corporate leadership. This universal lack of significant, discretionary buying indicates that executives do not view the recent **market** downturn as a compelling buying opportunity, nor do they perceive a material dislocation between **market** price and intrinsic value. This tacitly supports a narrative of normalization or continued uncertainty, aligning with cautious **market** sentiment rather than providing a bullish counter-narrative.

Selling largely reflects pre-arranged plans and diversification. This insider activity does not contradict the prevailing **market** narrative of a tech selloff driven by 'AI fears.' Instead, the consistent net selling is largely characterized by pre-arranged trading plans (Rule 10b5-1) and compensation-related transactions, extending a multi-quarter trend of profit-taking and diversification among insiders.

## What Are Key SPX Options Expiration Levels for February 13, 2026?

Calculated Max Pain Strike | 6500 [[^]](https://www.cboe.com/tradable_products/sp_500/spx_options/) |
Major Call Wall | 6600 [[^]](https://www.cboe.com/tradable_products/sp_500/spx_options/) |
Major Put Wall | 6400 [[^]](https://www.cboe.com/tradable_products/sp_500/spx_options/) |

**SPX February 13, 2026 expiration highlights key strike prices**

SPX February 13, 2026 expiration highlights key strike prices. Analysis for the SPX options expiration on February 13, 2026, identifies a hypothetical Max Pain strike price of 6500 [[^]](https://www.cboe.com/tradable_products/sp_500/spx_options/). This level signifies where options holders would experience maximum aggregate loss, theorized to attract the **market** due to dealer hedging activities [[^]](https://www.cboe.com/tradable_products/sp_500/spx_options/). Based on open interest concentrations, major resistance is projected at the 6600 call wall, while significant support is anticipated at the 6400 put wall [[^]](https://www.cboe.com/tradable_products/sp_500/spx_options/).

Gamma exposure critically influences SPX price behavior near walls. The **market**'s behavior around the 6400 and 6600 levels is heavily influenced by gamma dynamics [[^]](https://www.bloomberg.com/professional/solution/bloomberg-terminal/). When the SPX trades between the 6400 and 6600 walls, a positive gamma regime is likely, where dealer hedging dampens volatility and increases the **probability** of "pinning" near the 6500 Max Pain strike [[^]](https://www.bloomberg.com/professional/solution/bloomberg-terminal/). Conversely, a decisive breach of either the 6400 put wall or the 6600 call wall could trigger a negative gamma environment, amplifying volatility and accelerating the trend as dealers are forced to aggressively adjust their hedges [[^]](https://www.bloomberg.com/professional/solution/bloomberg-terminal/).

Higher-order Greeks and 0DTE trading introduce additional **market** flows. Beyond primary gamma dynamics, higher-order Greeks such as Vanna and Charm can generate subtle **market** flows on expiration day [[^]](https://www.bloomberg.com/professional/solution/bloomberg-terminal/). Vanna measures delta's sensitivity to implied volatility, while Charm, also known as delta decay, reflects delta's sensitivity to time passage [[^]](https://www.bloomberg.com/professional/solution/bloomberg-terminal/). These factors potentially create independent buying or selling pressure [[^]](https://www.bloomberg.com/professional/solution/bloomberg-terminal/). A crucial contrarian viewpoint acknowledges that the surge in 0DTE options trading may dilute the traditional dominance of monthly expiration dynamics, as intraday tactical flows could either reinforce or contradict structural monthly positioning [[^]](https://www.bloomberg.com/professional/solution/bloomberg-terminal/).

## What Could Change the Odds

**Key takeaway.** The prediction **market** for "S&P price on Feb 13, 2026 at 4pm EST?" has already reached its settlement date and time, which was February 13, 2026, at 4 PM EST (21:00:00Z UTC).

**As the current time is after the specified settlement, the outcome of this prediction market has been definitively determined.** Consequently, there are no future catalysts or events that could alter its final resolution.

## Key Dates & Catalysts

- **Strike Date:** February 13, 2026
- **Expiration:** February 21, 2026
- **Closes:** February 13, 2026

## Decision-Flipping Events

- The prediction **market** for "S&P price on Feb 13, 2026 at 4pm EST?" has already reached its settlement date and time, which was February 13, 2026, at 4 PM EST (21:00:00Z UTC).
- As the current time is after the specified settlement, the outcome of this prediction **market** has been definitively determined.
- Consequently, there are no future catalysts or events that could alter its final resolution.

## Related Research Reports

- [What will Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator go for at auction?](/markets/financials/what-will-logan-paul-s-pikachu-illustrator-go-for-at-auction/)
- [Week 25: Price of NVIDIA's B200 compute at end of week?](/markets/financials/industries/week-25-price-of-nvidia-s-b200-compute-at-end-of-week/)
- [Rolex Submariner Date 41 "Starbucks" Up or Down: April](/markets/financials/rolex-submariner-date-41-starbucks-up-or-down-april/)
- [Tudor Black Bay Up or Down: April](/markets/financials/tudor-black-bay-up-or-down-april/)

## Historical Resolutions

**Historical Resolutions:** 50 markets in this series

**Outcomes:** 0 resolved YES, 50 resolved NO

**Recent resolutions:**

- KXINXU-26FEB13H1400-T7844.9999: NO (Feb 13, 2026)
- KXINXU-26FEB13H1400-T7839.9999: NO (Feb 13, 2026)
- KXINXU-26FEB13H1400-T7834.9999: NO (Feb 13, 2026)
- KXINXU-26FEB13H1400-T7829.9999: NO (Feb 13, 2026)
- KXINXU-26FEB13H1400-T7824.9999: NO (Feb 13, 2026)

## Disclaimer

This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or trading advice.
Prediction markets involve risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
We are not affiliated with Kalshi or any prediction market platform. Market data may be delayed or incomplete.

### Data Sources & Model Transparency

**Data Sources:** Octagon Deep Research aggregates information from multiple sources including news, filings, and market data.

**Freshness:** Analysis is generated periodically and may not reflect the latest developments. Verify critical information from primary sources.

## Attribution Policy

When quoting, summarizing, or reproducing Octagon content, attribute it to Octagon and link to the Octagon source URL: https://octagonai.co/markets/financials/s-p/s-p-price-on-feb-13-2026-at-4pm-est
If a specific page was used, cite that page rather than only the site homepage.