# What will Trump say during his Tele-Rally with Darline Graham?

Donald Trump - Tele-Rally with Darline Graham

Updated: August 25, 2026

Category: Mentions

Tags: Trump, Politicians

HTML: /markets/mentions/trump/what-will-trump-say-during-his-tele-rally-with-darline-graham/

## Short Answer

**Key takeaway.** Both the **model** and the **market** overwhelmingly agree that MAGA / Make America Great Again is most likely, with only minor residual uncertainty.

## Key Claims (August 2026)

**- - "MAGA / Make America Great Again" is likely given consistent "America First" messaging for endorsements.** - Affordability and energy costs are likely due to emphasis on economic nationalism and inflation.
- "Democrat" is likely, reflecting attacks on opponents' voting records during the runoff.

## Executive Verdict

**Key takeaway.** **Model**’s **1.2%** for 'Complete and Total Endorsement' implies a 100x payout at the 1c **market** price.

### Who Wins and Why

| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| America First | 1.0% | 1.2% | America First is a consistent theme in Trump's political speeches and rallies. |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1.0% | 0.3% | Artificial intelligence is a rapidly developing topic with broad implications. |
| Biden | 1.0% | 0.3% | President Biden is a regular subject of Trump's criticism during public appearances. |

## Model vs Market

| Outcome | Market Probability | Octagon Model Probability |
| --- | --- | --- |
| America First | 1.0% | 1.2% |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Biden | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Fraud | 99.0% | 87.0% |
| Transgender | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Save America Act | 99.0% | 99.0% |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 99.0% | 99.0% |
| Stock Market | 99.0% | 99.0% |
| Ceasefire | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Radical Left | 99.0% | 99.0% |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | 99.0% | 99.0% |
| Iran / Iranian | 99.0% | 99.0% |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | 99.0% | 99.0% |
| Fake News | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Tariff | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Communist / Communism | 99.0% | 99.0% |
| Ukraine | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Hottest | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| China / Chinese | 99.0% | 99.0% |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 99.0% | 99.0% |
| Landslide | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Democrat | 99.0% | 99.0% |
| Event does not qualify | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Cheat / Cheater / Cheating | 1.0% | 0.3% |

- Expiration: September 8, 2026

## Market Behavior & Price Dynamics

This market's price action was defined by a single, sharp, event-driven movement. The contract opened at 6.0% on August 24, 2026, before spiking 36.0 percentage points to a high of 42.0% on the same day. This surge was immediately followed by a collapse. By August 25, the price had fallen to 1.0%, where it has since remained. The market's overall price range was 1.0% to 47.0%.

The primary catalyst for the price volatility was Donald Trump's tele-rally for Darline Graham. The spike to 42.0% was a direct reaction to reports that Trump had mentioned the "Save America Act" during the event. This move occurred on significant volume, with over 7,200 contracts traded, indicating strong market participation as the news broke. However, the subsequent price collapse to 1.0% on minimal volume suggests the reported mention did not meet the specific criteria for a "YES" resolution. The market rapidly repriced the probability downwards once the event's details were fully digested, establishing a new floor at 1.0% that reflects a consensus "NO" outcome. The peak near 42% served as firm resistance, as traders never priced in full certainty even at the height of the speculation.

## Significant Price Movements

#### 📈 August 24, 2026: 61.0pp spike

Price increased from 25.0% to 86.0%

**Outcome:** Save America Act

**What happened:** The primary driver of the 61.0 percentage point price spike was President Donald Trump's direct mention of the "Save America Act" during his virtual tele-rally with Senator Darline Graham on August 24, 2026 [[^]](https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-darline-graham-south-carolina-august-24-2026/)[[^]](https://wach.com/news/local/2026-08-24-president-trump-hosts-tele-rally-in-support-of-sen-darline-graham-ahead-of-scgop-runoff-election-south-carolina-voters-special-primary-runoff-republican-candidates). Trump praised Senator Graham during the rally, specifically highlighting her commitment to passing the "SAVE America Act," a Republican-backed legislative priority [[^]](https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-darline-graham-south-carolina-august-24-2026/)[[^]](https://wach.com/news/local/2026-08-24-president-trump-hosts-tele-rally-in-support-of-sen-darline-graham-ahead-of-scgop-runoff-election-south-carolina-voters-special-primary-runoff-republican-candidates)[[^]](https://www.mifairelections.org/post/save-act-update-where-federal-voter-id-and-citizenship-verification-stand-heading-into-recess). This event directly fulfilled the condition of the prediction market, causing the outcome's probability to surge as the statement was confirmed [[^]](https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-tele-rally-with-darline-graham-20260809153916659)[[^]](https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-darline-graham-south-carolina-august-24-2026/)[[^]](https://wach.com/news/local/2026-08-24-president-trump-hosts-tele-rally-in-support-of-sen-darline-graham-ahead-of-scgop-runoff-election-south-carolina-voters-special-primary-runoff-republican-candidates). Social media was not a primary driver; the market movement coincided with the public address itself, which was widely reported by traditional news sources [[^]](https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-darline-graham-south-carolina-august-24-2026/)[[^]](https://www.counton2.com/news/president-trump-holds-tele-rally-for-senator-darline-graham/)[[^]](https://wach.com/news/local/2026-08-24-president-trump-hosts-tele-rally-in-support-of-sen-darline-graham-ahead-of-scgop-runoff-election-south-carolina-voters-special-primary-runoff-republican-candidates).

## Contract Snapshot

This market resolves to "Yes" for a specific topic if Donald Trump says that topic during his Tele-Rally with Darline Graham; otherwise, it resolves to "No." The exact criteria for what constitutes a "mention" are not detailed in this content. The maximum payout date for this market is September 8, 2026.

## Market Discussion

During a tele-rally on August 24, 2026, Donald Trump urged South Carolina voters to support Darline Graham, praising her as a tough candidate and linking her to his "America First" agenda, specifically mentioning issues like affordability and protecting the unborn [[^]](https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-darline-graham-south-carolina-august-24-2026/)[[^]](https://wach.com/news/local/2026-08-24-president-trump-hosts-tele-rally-in-support-of-sen-darline-graham-ahead-of-scgop-runoff-election-south-carolina-voters-special-primary-runoff-republican-candidates). He further encouraged voters to "pretend" he was on the ballot to boost enthusiasm for the special primary runoff election [[^]](https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-darline-graham-south-carolina-august-24-2026/)[[^]](https://www.cnn.com/2026/08/22/politics/donald-trump-darline-graham-south-carolina)[[^]](https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-darline-graham-south-carolina-runoff/).

## Market Data

| Contract | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | Last Price | Volume | Open Interest |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 99% | 100% | 99% | $12,982.88 | $9,853.45 |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | 1% | 1% | $40,193.91 | $40,071.03 |
| America First | 0% | 1% | 1% | $52,011.02 | $49,688.76 |
| Biden | 0% | 1% | 1% | $27,002.71 | $24,599.48 |
| Ceasefire | 0% | 1% | 1% | $11,158.9 | $9,757.9 |
| Cheat / Cheater / Cheating | 0% | 1% | 1% | $2,940.43 | $2,628.95 |
| China / Chinese | 99% | 100% | 99% | $6,653.38 | $5,463.54 |
| Communist / Communism | 99% | 100% | 99% | $7,152.84 | $4,894.71 |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | 1% | 1% | $14,583.22 | $8,291.22 |
| Democrat | 99% | 100% | 99% | $6,124.09 | $4,713.68 |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | 99% | 100% | 99% | $8,793.73 | $6,752.98 |
| Fake News | 0% | 1% | 1% | $7,845.64 | $7,625.75 |
| Fraud | 99% | 100% | 99% | $25,026.9 | $18,236.34 |
| Hottest | 0% | 1% | 1% | $6,713.13 | $6,630.53 |
| Iran / Iranian | 99% | 100% | 99% | $9,582.14 | $6,603.09 |
| Landslide | 0% | 1% | 1% | $6,401.54 | $6,051.55 |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | 99% | 100% | 99% | $9,964.73 | $6,588.53 |
| Event does not qualify | 0% | 1% | 1% | $5,520.91 | $5,520.91 |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 99% | 100% | 99% | $6,429.56 | $4,510.24 |
| Radical Left | 99% | 100% | 99% | $10,367.08 | $6,508.26 |
| Save America Act | 99% | 100% | 99% | $13,547.52 | $11,334.4 |
| Stock Market | 99% | 100% | 99% | $11,545.66 | $9,936.04 |
| Tariff | 0% | 1% | 1% | $7,555.44 | $7,268.73 |
| Transgender | 0% | 1% | 1% | $14,781.22 | $11,572.6 |
| Ukraine | 0% | 1% | 1% | $6,879.12 | $6,685.37 |

## What key political developments in the week leading up to the August 24 tele-rally could have shaped Donald Trump's key talking points for Darline Graham?

SCOTUS Mail-in Ballots Ruling | Allowed executive order restricting mail-in ballots (August 24) [[^]](https://www.cnn.com/2026/08/24/politics/supreme-court-mail-ballots-elections)[[^]](https://www.vox.com/politics/500360/supreme-court-trump-executive-order-election-vote-by-mail) |
Trump's Poll Response | Characterized low job-approval polls as 'demoralization operations' [[^]](https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2026/08/24/trump-blames-fake-polls-demoralizing-republicans/91446062007/) |
Trade Tensions | Threatened 50% tariffs on Canadian auto imports starting 2027 (August 24) [[^]](https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/trump-says-he-will-raise-tariffs-all-cars-trucks-50-amid-canada-trade-spat-2026-08-24/) |

**Key political developments influenced Trump's talking points for the tele-rally**

Key political developments influenced Trump's talking points for the tele-rally. In the week leading up to the August 24 tele-rally, significant political events likely shaped Donald Trump's messaging for Darline Graham. On August 24, the Supreme Court allowed Trump's executive order restricting mail-in ballots to proceed [[^]](https://www.cnn.com/2026/08/24/politics/supreme-court-mail-ballots-elections)[[^]](https://www.vox.com/politics/500360/supreme-court-trump-executive-order-election-vote-by-mail). During this period, Trump also vocally rejected low job-approval polls, labeling them as 'demoralization operations' intended to reduce Republican turnout for upcoming midterms [[^]](https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2026/08/24/trump-blames-fake-polls-demoralizing-republicans/91446062007/). Furthermore, on August 24, trade tensions escalated when Trump threatened **50%** tariffs on Canadian auto imports starting in 2027, following a collapse in trade negotiations [[^]](https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/trump-says-he-will-raise-tariffs-all-cars-trucks-50-amid-canada-trade-spat-2026-08-24/).

Trump utilized these events to project strength and endorse Darline Graham. These developments likely framed Trump's emphasis during the tele-rally as he sought to reassert his endorsement power, particularly after several recent losses in GOP primaries [[^]](https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2026/08/24/trump-darline-graham-ralph-normal-senate-runoff-south-carolina/91450076007/)[[^]](https://www.cnn.com/2026/08/22/politics/donald-trump-darline-graham-south-carolina)[[^]](https://www.postandcourier.com/politics/trump-rally-darline-graham-myrtle-beach-sc-runoff/article_3bfd19c2-d4c1-43fb-bd08-bd9058a498ba.html). By framing the election as if he were personally on the ballot, Trump could present the Supreme Court ruling as a policy victory and use his pushback against low polls to counter perceived 'demoralization operations' [[^]](https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-darline-graham-south-carolina-august-24-2026/)[[^]](https://wach.com/news/local/2026-08-24-president-trump-hosts-tele-rally-in-support-of-sen-darline-graham-ahead-of-scgop-runoff-election-south-carolina-voters-special-primary-runoff-republican-candidates)[[^]](https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2026/08/24/trump-blames-fake-polls-demoralizing-republicans/91446062007/). The threat of tariffs on Canadian auto imports also served to demonstrate his 'America First' policy approach, which he aimed for Darline Graham to continue as a candidate carrying on the legacy of her late brother, Senator Lindsey Graham [[^]](https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-darline-graham-south-carolina-august-24-2026/)[[^]](https://wach.com/news/local/2026-08-24-president-trump-hosts-tele-rally-in-support-of-sen-darline-graham-ahead-of-scgop-runoff-election-south-carolina-voters-special-primary-runoff-republican-candidates)[[^]](https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/trump-says-he-will-raise-tariffs-all-cars-trucks-50-amid-canada-trade-spat-2026-08-24/).

## What recurring phrases and themes appear in Donald Trump's speeches when endorsing 'America First' candidates in contentious primary runoffs?

Key Endorsement Phrase | Complete and Total Endorsement [[^]](https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/4583091/byron-donalds-trump-endorsement-florida-gubernatorial-run/)[[^]](https://www.nhpr.org/2026-06-23/how-trumps-complete-and-total-endorsement-has-reshaped-the-republican-party) |
Preferred Candidate Labels | America First Patriot[s] or MAGA Warrior[s] [[^]](https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/4583091/byron-donalds-trump-endorsement-florida-gubernatorial-run/)[[^]](https://twiscan.com/en/x/realDonaldTrump/1995898845134303294) |
Recurring Policy Promises | Securing the border, cutting taxes and regulations, 'MADE IN THE U.S.A.', 'American Energy DOMINANCE', protecting the Second Amendment [[^]](https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/4583091/byron-donalds-trump-endorsement-florida-gubernatorial-run/)[[^]](https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/05/27/carlos-de-la-cruz-r-defeated-john-lujan-r-in-the-republican-primary-runoff-for-texas-35th-congressional-district-on-may-26-2026/)[[^]](https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/05/27/ken-paxton-r-defeated-incumbent-john-cornyn-r-in-the-republican-primary-runoff-for-u-s-senate-in-texas-on-may-26-2026/)[[^]](https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/06/30/julia-letlow-r-defeated-john-fleming-r-in-the-republican-primary-runoff-for-u-s-senate-in-louisiana/)[[^]](https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/06/03/major-donors-back-competing-candidates-in-wisconsins-7th-district-republican-primary/) |

**Donald Trump's speeches, when endorsing 'America First' candidates in contentious primary runoffs, consistently feature the phrase 'Complete and Total Endorsement' [[^]](https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/4583091/byron-donalds-trump-endorsement-florida-gubernatorial-run/)[[^]](https://www.nhpr.org/2026-06-23/how-trumps-complete-and-total-endorsement-has-reshaped-the-republican-party)**

Donald Trump's speeches, when endorsing 'America First' candidates in contentious primary runoffs, consistently feature the phrase 'Complete and Total Endorsement' [[^]](https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/4583091/byron-donalds-trump-endorsement-florida-gubernatorial-run/)[[^]](https://www.nhpr.org/2026-06-23/how-trumps-complete-and-total-endorsement-has-reshaped-the-republican-party). He frequently labels his chosen candidates as 'America First Patriot[s]' or 'MAGA Warrior[s]' [[^]](https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/4583091/byron-donalds-trump-endorsement-florida-gubernatorial-run/)[[^]](https://twiscan.com/en/x/realDonaldTrump/1995898845134303294).

Endorsements consistently highlight specific policy priorities and promises. Recurring policy promises emphasized in these endorsements include securing the border [[^]](https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/4583091/byron-donalds-trump-endorsement-florida-gubernatorial-run/)[[^]](https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/05/27/carlos-de-la-cruz-r-defeated-john-lujan-r-in-the-republican-primary-runoff-for-texas-35th-congressional-district-on-may-26-2026/)[[^]](https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/05/27/ken-paxton-r-defeated-incumbent-john-cornyn-r-in-the-republican-primary-runoff-for-u-s-senate-in-texas-on-may-26-2026/)[[^]](https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/06/30/julia-letlow-r-defeated-john-fleming-r-in-the-republican-primary-runoff-for-u-s-senate-in-louisiana/)[[^]](https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/06/03/major-donors-back-competing-candidates-in-wisconsins-7th-district-republican-primary/), cutting taxes and regulations [[^]](https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/4583091/byron-donalds-trump-endorsement-florida-gubernatorial-run/), promoting 'MADE IN THE U.S.A.' products [[^]](https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/4583091/byron-donalds-trump-endorsement-florida-gubernatorial-run/), and unleashing 'American Energy DOMINANCE' [[^]](https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/4583091/byron-donalds-trump-endorsement-florida-gubernatorial-run/). Furthermore, he stresses protecting the Second Amendment [[^]](https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/4583091/byron-donalds-trump-endorsement-florida-gubernatorial-run/) and general calls for energy independence [[^]](https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/05/27/carlos-de-la-cruz-r-defeated-john-lujan-r-in-the-republican-primary-runoff-for-texas-35th-congressional-district-on-may-26-2026/).

Trump employs distinct rhetorical tactics to frame candidates and opposition. Rhetorically, he uses black-and-white framing, depicting opponents as existential threats and frequently employing fear appeals by describing political opposition as adopting 'communism' or 'socialism' to inflate election stakes [[^]](https://www.wichitaliberty.org/politics/trump-marietta-rhetorical-psychological-analysis/). He consistently emphasizes loyalty, the 'MAGA' movement, and opposition to a 'radical left' or 'liberal' agenda [[^]](https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/05/27/carlos-de-la-cruz-r-defeated-john-lujan-r-in-the-republican-primary-runoff-for-texas-35th-congressional-district-on-may-26-2026/)[[^]](https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/05/27/ken-paxton-r-defeated-incumbent-john-cornyn-r-in-the-republican-primary-runoff-for-u-s-senate-in-texas-on-may-26-2026/)[[^]](https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/06/30/julia-letlow-r-defeated-john-fleming-r-in-the-republican-primary-runoff-for-u-s-senate-in-louisiana/)[[^]](https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/06/03/major-donors-back-competing-candidates-in-wisconsins-7th-district-republican-primary/). His endorsement strategy often positions his chosen candidate as a 'warrior' or 'wingman' who will fight for his agenda, while regularly framing opponents as insufficiently loyal or aligned with the establishment [[^]](https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/05/27/carlos-de-la-cruz-r-defeated-john-lujan-r-in-the-republican-primary-runoff-for-texas-35th-congressional-district-on-may-26-2026/)[[^]](https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/05/27/ken-paxton-r-defeated-incumbent-john-cornyn-r-in-the-republican-primary-runoff-for-u-s-senate-in-texas-on-may-26-2026/)[[^]](https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/06/30/julia-letlow-r-defeated-john-fleming-r-in-the-republican-primary-runoff-for-u-s-senate-in-louisiana/). For example, during a tele-rally for Darline Graham, Trump explicitly urged voters to 'get out and vote' for her [[^]](https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-darline-graham-south-carolina-august-24-2026/), which is a recurring call to action [[^]](https://twiscan.com/en/x/realDonaldTrump/1995898845134303294), and described her as 'tough' and 'strong' [[^]](https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-darline-graham-south-carolina-august-24-2026/), aligning with the 'warrior' theme [[^]](https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/05/27/carlos-de-la-cruz-r-defeated-john-lujan-r-in-the-republican-primary-runoff-for-texas-35th-congressional-district-on-may-26-2026/)[[^]](https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/05/27/ken-paxton-r-defeated-incumbent-john-cornyn-r-in-the-republican-primary-runoff-for-u-s-senate-in-texas-on-may-26-2026/)[[^]](https://news.ballotpedia.org/2026/06/30/julia-letlow-r-defeated-john-fleming-r-in-the-republican-primary-runoff-for-u-s-senate-in-louisiana/). His support for Darline Graham also centered on her status as a 'leader who is principled' and her commitment to advancing his conservative goals [[^]](https://www.ap.org/news-highlights/elections/2026/ap-interview-ralph-norman-questions-trumps-endorsement-of-darline-graham-in-south-carolina-runoff/)[[^]](https://newsroom.ap.org/detail/TrumppraisesDarlineGrahamassheadvancestoRepublicanspecialprimaryrunoffinSouthCarolina/2d0bbd9954a546cb885b9736feb1dd59/video).

## How did Donald Trump's messaging for Darline Graham differ between the in-person Myrtle Beach rally on August 21 and the tele-rally on August 24?

Myrtle Beach Rally Date | August 21 [[^]](https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-fires-back-protester-interrupts-myrtle-beach-rally-graham-mom-voting-us)[[^]](https://www.cnn.com/2026/08/22/politics/donald-trump-darline-graham-south-carolina) |
Tele-rally Date | August 24 [[^]](https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-darline-graham-south-carolina-august-24-2026/)[[^]](https://www.news4jax.com/news/politics/2026/08/24/darline-graham-ralph-norman-wrap-up-a-whirlwind-south-carolina-senate-primary-campaign/) |
MAGA Inc. Spending | over $827,000 [[^]](https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-darline-graham-south-carolina-august-24-2026/)[[^]](https://wach.com/news/local/2026-08-24-president-trump-hosts-tele-rally-in-support-of-sen-darline-graham-ahead-of-scgop-runoff-election-south-carolina-voters-special-primary-runoff-republican-candidates)[[^]](https://www.news4jax.com/news/politics/2026/08/24/darline-graham-ralph-norman-wrap-up-a-whirlwind-south-carolina-senate-primary-campaign/) |

**Donald Trump employed distinct messaging strategies to support Darline Graham's campaign**

Donald Trump employed distinct messaging strategies to support Darline Graham's campaign. Trump offered a personal endorsement at his August 21 rally. During an August 21 in-person rally in Myrtle Beach, Donald Trump provided a personal endorsement for Darline Graham, stating his support aimed to honor his late friend Lindsey Graham. He urged voters to cast ballots for Darline Graham as if his own name were on them, intending to boost voter turnout [[^]](https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-fires-back-protester-interrupts-myrtle-beach-rally-graham-mom-voting-us)[[^]](https://www.cnn.com/2026/08/22/politics/donald-trump-darline-graham-south-carolina).

The tele-rally focused on an urgent get-out-the-vote appeal. On August 24, a tele-rally led by Trump emphasized an urgent get-out-the-vote appeal for the upcoming August 25 primary election. Trump characterized a vote for Darline Graham as one of the best votes citizens could make [[^]](https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-darline-graham-south-carolina-august-24-2026/)[[^]](https://www.news4jax.com/news/politics/2026/08/24/darline-graham-ralph-norman-wrap-up-a-whirlwind-south-carolina-senate-primary-campaign/). This final campaign push also involved over **$827,000** in spending by MAGA Inc. for texts and phone calls to voters on the eve of the election [[^]](https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-darline-graham-south-carolina-august-24-2026/)[[^]](https://wach.com/news/local/2026-08-24-president-trump-hosts-tele-rally-in-support-of-sen-darline-graham-ahead-of-scgop-runoff-election-south-carolina-voters-special-primary-runoff-republican-candidates)[[^]](https://www.news4jax.com/news/politics/2026/08/24/darline-graham-ralph-norman-wrap-up-a-whirlwind-south-carolina-senate-primary-campaign/).

## What were the core campaign issues and attacks central to the South Carolina GOP runoff between Darline Graham and her opponent, Ralph Norman?

Key Policy Issues | Border security, election integrity, restrictions on transgender athletes in sports (South Carolina GOP Senate runoff) [[^]](https://abcnews.com/US/wireStory/darline-graham-ralph-norman-head-head-south-carolinas-135925572)[[^]](https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/graham-and-norman-make-final-push-in-south-carolina-gop-senate-runoff) |
Trump Endorsement Date | August 24, 2026 tele-rally for Darline Graham [[^]](https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-darline-graham-south-carolina-august-24-2026/)[[^]](https://wach.com/news/local/2026-08-24-president-trump-hosts-tele-rally-in-support-of-sen-darline-graham-ahead-of-scgop-runoff-election-south-carolina-voters-special-primary-runoff-republican-candidates) |
Graham's Campaign Strategy | Emphasized newcomer status and Trump's endorsement [[^]](https://abcnews.com/US/wireStory/darline-graham-ralph-norman-head-head-south-carolinas-135925572) |

**The South Carolina GOP runoff centered on conservative issues and candidate backgrounds**

The South Carolina GOP runoff centered on conservative issues and candidate backgrounds. The South Carolina GOP Senate runoff between Darline Graham and Ralph Norman primarily addressed conservative policy priorities such as border security, election integrity, and restrictions on transgender athletes in sports [[^]](https://abcnews.com/US/wireStory/darline-graham-ralph-norman-head-head-south-carolinas-135925572)[[^]](https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/graham-and-norman-make-final-push-in-south-carolina-gop-senate-runoff). Darline Graham, an interim senator, campaigned as a political newcomer, emphasizing her reliance on Donald Trump's endorsement [[^]](https://abcnews.com/US/wireStory/darline-graham-ralph-norman-head-head-south-carolinas-135925572). Her opponent, Rep. Ralph Norman, highlighted his extensive political experience and established conservative legislative record [[^]](https://abcnews.com/US/wireStory/darline-graham-ralph-norman-head-head-south-carolinas-135925572).

Campaigns exchanged attacks, culminating in a crucial Trump endorsement. Attacks targeted Darline Graham for her perceived lack of legislative experience and failure to articulate specific policy positions [[^]](https://abcnews.com/US/wireStory/darline-graham-ralph-norman-head-head-south-carolinas-135925572)[[^]](https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/graham-and-norman-make-final-push-in-south-carolina-gop-senate-runoff). Ralph Norman's campaign faced criticism for his previous challenges to Donald Trump in the 2024 primary and his support for Nikki Haley [[^]](https://abcnews.com/US/wireStory/darline-graham-ralph-norman-head-head-south-carolinas-135925572)[[^]](https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/graham-and-norman-make-final-push-in-south-carolina-gop-senate-runoff). A significant development occurred during an August 24, 2026, tele-rally, where Donald Trump fully endorsed Darline Graham, praising her as the ideal candidate to uphold her brother's legacy and explicitly urging South Carolina voters to support her to advance his agenda [[^]](https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-darline-graham-south-carolina-august-24-2026/)[[^]](https://wach.com/news/local/2026-08-24-president-trump-hosts-tele-rally-in-support-of-sen-darline-graham-ahead-of-scgop-runoff-election-south-carolina-voters-special-primary-runoff-republican-candidates).

## Which national economic or political news stories from August 2026 were most likely to be incorporated into Donald Trump's tele-rally script?

Canada auto and steel tariff | 50% starting Jan. 1, 2027 [[^]](https://www.inquirer.com/news/nation-world/how-us-canada-trade-talks-collapsed-20260825.html)[[^]](https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/economy/2026/08/24/trump-canada-iran-beef-price-impact/91442837007/) |
China goods tariff | 7.5% [[^]](https://www.inquirer.com/news/nation-world/how-us-canada-trade-talks-collapsed-20260825.html)[[^]](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-08-24/us-eyes-china-overcapacity-tariffs-of-7-5-before-xi-trump-talks)[[^]](https://www.wbal.com/trump-moves-toward-levying-new-tariff-on-china-for-flooding-market-with-cheap-goods-ap-sources-say) |
Trump tele-rally date | Monday, August 24, 2026 [[^]](https://wach.com/news/local/2026-08-24-president-trump-hosts-tele-rally-in-support-of-sen-darline-graham-ahead-of-scgop-runoff-election-south-carolina-voters-special-primary-runoff-republican-candidates)[[^]](https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-darline-graham-south-carolina-august-24-2026/)[[^]](https://abcnews4.com/news/local/donald-trump-and-darline-graham-host-joint-tele-rally-ahead-of-gop-special-primary-politics-news-charleston-south-carolina-lowcountry-news-trending-viral-russia-iran-lindsey-graham-campaign-election-tomorrow-vote-polls) |

**President Trump's tele-rally scripts in late August 2026 highlighted aggressive international economic nationalism**

President Trump's tele-rally scripts in late August 2026 highlighted aggressive international economic nationalism. These scripts emphasized economic nationalist policies, including plans for a **50%** tariff on Canadian autos and steel, set to begin on January 1, 2027 [[^]](https://www.inquirer.com/news/nation-world/how-us-canada-trade-talks-collapsed-20260825.html)[[^]](https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/economy/2026/08/24/trump-canada-iran-beef-price-impact/91442837007/). Additionally, the administration was preparing to implement impending **7.5%** tariffs on Chinese goods as a core component of its economic strategy [[^]](https://www.inquirer.com/news/nation-world/how-us-canada-trade-talks-collapsed-20260825.html)[[^]](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-08-24/us-eyes-china-overcapacity-tariffs-of-7-5-before-xi-trump-talks)[[^]](https://www.wbal.com/trump-moves-toward-levying-new-tariff-on-china-for-flooding-**market**-with-cheap-goods-ap-sources-say).

Domestic policies focused on affordability alongside new international sanctions. The administration launched 'Operation Economic Outcast' in late August 2026, a financial offensive aimed at severing Iran's global economic connections through secondary sanctions [[^]](https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/economy/2026/08/24/trump-canada-iran-beef-price-impact/91442837007/)[[^]](https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2026/08/24/bessent-unveil-economic-d-day-sanctions-against-iran/). Domestically, the script prioritized 'affordability' for working families, a theme central to a tele-rally hosted by Donald Trump on Monday, August 24, 2026, in support of U.S. Sen. Darline Graham [[^]](https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/economy/2026/08/24/trump-canada-iran-beef-price-impact/91442837007/)[[^]](https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-darline-graham-south-carolina-runoff/)[[^]](https://wach.com/news/local/2026-08-24-president-trump-hosts-tele-rally-in-support-of-sen-darline-graham-ahead-of-scgop-runoff-election-south-carolina-voters-special-primary-runoff-republican-candidates)[[^]](https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-darline-graham-south-carolina-august-24-2026/)[[^]](https://abcnews4.com/news/local/donald-trump-and-darline-graham-host-joint-tele-rally-ahead-of-gop-special-primary-politics-news-charleston-south-carolina-lowcountry-news-trending-viral-russia-iran-lindsey-graham-campaign-election-tomorrow-vote-polls). Other proposed domestic measures included an executive order offering a **25%** discount on imported foreign ground beef in exchange for tariff relief [[^]](https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/economy/2026/08/24/trump-canada-iran-beef-price-impact/91442837007/)[[^]](https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-darline-graham-south-carolina-runoff/).

## What Could Change the Odds

**Donald Trump engaged in multiple campaign events to support U.S.** Senator Darline Graham of South Carolina. He participated in a tele-rally with Senator Graham on August 10, 2026, ahead of the special GOP primary [[^]](https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-tele-rally-with-darline-graham-20260809153916659)[[^]](https://polymarket.com/ru/event/what-will-trump-say-during-tele-rally-with-darline-graham-20260809153916659/will-trump-say-biden-during-tele-rally-20260809153916664). Trump also campaigned in-person for Senator Graham at a rally in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, on August 21, 2026, leading up to the August 25, 2026, special GOP primary runoff [[^]](https://www.c-span.org/event/campaign-2026/president-trump-campaigns-for-sen-darline-graham-in-myrtle-beach-sc/446305)[[^]](https://www.c-span.org/program/campaign-2026/sen-darline-graham-campaigns-with-president-trump-in-myrtle-beach-sc/684309)[[^]](https://www.c-span.org/program/campaign-2026/president-trump-campaigns-for-sen-darline-graham-in-myrtle-beach-sc/684307)[[^]](https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-his-rally-with-darline-graham). On August 24, 2026, he hosted a virtual tele-rally to boost support for her in the Republican primary runoff election held the following day [[^]](https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-darline-graham-south-carolina-august-24-2026/)[[^]](https://www.counton2.com/news/president-trump-holds-tele-rally-for-senator-darline-graham/)[[^]](https://wach.com/news/local/2026-08-24-president-trump-hosts-tele-rally-in-support-of-sen-darline-graham-ahead-of-scgop-runoff-election-south-carolina-voters-special-primary-runoff-republican-candidates). Predictive markets tracked Trump's remarks during these specific campaign events to evaluate the likelihood of him mentioning certain political figures or policy themes [[^]](https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-tele-rally-with-darline-graham-20260809153916659)[[^]](https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-his-rally-with-darline-graham).

**During these events, Trump praised Darline Graham's character, experience, and loyalty, positioning her as the ideal candidate to honor her late brother, former Senator Lindsey Graham, and advance the 'America First' agenda [[^]](https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-darline-graham-south-carolina-august-24-2026/)[[^]](https://www.counton2.com/news/president-trump-holds-tele-rally-for-senator-darline-graham/)[[^]](https://wach.com/news/local/2026-08-24-president-trump-hosts-tele-rally-in-support-of-sen-darline-graham-ahead-of-scgop-runoff-election-south-carolina-voters-special-primary-runoff-republican-candidates).** He explicitly stated that he personally asked Darline Graham to run for the Senate seat, highlighting her as a long-time acquaintance he holds in high regard [[^]](https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/transcript/donald-trump-remarks-tele-rally-darline-graham-south-carolina-august-24-2026/)[[^]](https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-darline-graham-rally_n_6a88b513e4b02b0e9648459e). Senator Graham, in turn, pledged to advance Trump's legislative priorities, including the SAVE America Act, protections for the Second Amendment, and efforts regarding women's sports, if elected to a full term [[^]](https://wach.com/news/local/2026-08-24-president-trump-hosts-tele-rally-in-support-of-sen-darline-graham-ahead-of-scgop-runoff-election-south-carolina-voters-special-primary-runoff-republican-candidates).

## Key Dates & Catalysts

- **Expiration:** September 08, 2026
- **Closes:** September 08, 2026

## Decision-Flipping Events

- Donald Trump engaged in multiple campaign events to support U.S.
- Senator Darline Graham of South Carolina.
- He participated in a tele-rally with Senator Graham on August 10, 2026, ahead of the special GOP primary [^] [^] .
- Trump also campaigned in-person for Senator Graham at a rally in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, on August 21, 2026, leading up to the August 25, 2026, special GOP primary runoff [^] [^] [^] [^] .

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## Historical Resolutions

**Historical Resolutions:** 20 markets in this series

**Outcomes:** 8 resolved YES, 12 resolved NO

**Recent resolutions:**

- KXTRUMPMENTION-26AUG24-TUIT: NO (Aug 24, 2026)
- KXTRUMPMENTION-26AUG24-TRAN: YES (Aug 24, 2026)
- KXTRUMPMENTION-26AUG24-TEAC: YES (Aug 24, 2026)
- KXTRUMPMENTION-26AUG24-TAXC: YES (Aug 24, 2026)
- KXTRUMPMENTION-26AUG24-TARI: NO (Aug 24, 2026)

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