# Politics

HTML: /markets/politics/

## Subcategories

- [AI](/markets/politics/ai/)
- [BTC](/markets/politics/btc/)
- [Congress](/markets/politics/congress/)
- [International](/markets/politics/international/)
- [Iran](/markets/politics/iran/)
- [Local](/markets/politics/local/)
- [People](/markets/politics/people/)
- [Primaries](/markets/politics/primaries/)
- [Recurring](/markets/politics/recurring/)
- [SCOTUS & courts](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/)
- [Trump](/markets/politics/trump/)
- [US Elections](/markets/politics/us-elections/)

## Events

- [Will a court order a tariff refund?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/will-a-court-order-a-tariff-refund/) — In 2025
- [Keir Starmer departure announced?](/markets/politics/international/keir-starmer-departure-announced/) — Keir Starmer
- [Will Donald Trump issue a public apology?](/markets/politics/trump/will-donald-trump-issue-a-public-apology/) — any statement, action, or conduct personally made or taken by Donald Trump
- [Kash Patel out as FBI Director?](/markets/politics/trump/kash-patel-out-as-fbi-director/) — Before Jan 2027
- [US-Iran nuclear deal?](/markets/politics/iran/us-iran-nuclear-deal/) — In 2026
- [Trump-Zelenskyy bilateral at G7?](/markets/politics/trump-zelenskyy-bilateral-at-g7/) — Before Jun 18, 2026
- [When will the full text of the US-Iran MoU be officially released?](/markets/politics/iran/when-will-the-full-text-of-the-us-iran-mou-be-officially-released/) — the full text of the June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding - the world
- [Which leaders will leave office in 2026?](/markets/politics/international/which-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?](/markets/politics/congress/will-proof-of-citizenship-be-required-for-federal-voter-registration/) — Election bill
- [Will Trump be impeached?](/markets/politics/trump/will-trump-be-impeached/) — Before 2028
- [Will marijuana be rescheduled?](/markets/politics/trump/will-marijuana-be-rescheduled/) — Lowered from Schedule I
- [Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?](/markets/politics/local/tim-walz-out-as-governor-of-minnesota/) — Before 2027
- [Will the SAVE Act become law?](/markets/politics/congress/will-the-save-act-become-law/) — Before Jan 4, 2027
- [Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?](/markets/politics/international/will-the-us-take-control-of-any-part-of-greenland/) — During Trump's term
- [Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?](/markets/politics/trump/who-will-leave-their-role-in-the-trump-administration-in-2026/) — before 2027
- [Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?](/markets/politics/international/will-trump-buy-at-least-part-of-greenland/) — During his term
- [Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)](/markets/politics/trump/donald-trump-announces-departure-as-president-excluding-death/) — Before 2027
- [When will Jay Clayton be confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?](/markets/politics/congress/when-will-jay-clayton-be-confirmed-as-director-of-national-intelligence/) — In 2026
- [Will Spencer Pratt concede?](/markets/politics/local/will-spencer-pratt-concede/) — the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary
- [Who will attend Freedom 250?](/markets/politics/trump/who-will-attend-freedom-250/) — On Jun 14, 2026
- [Will the 2026 Pro Football champs visit the White House?](/markets/politics/international/will-the-2026-pro-football-champs-visit-the-white-house/) — Before Dec 31, 2026
- [When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?](/markets/politics/international/when-will-traffic-at-the-strait-of-hormuz-return-to-normal/) — Transit calls
- [Will Donald Trump visit Iran?](/markets/politics/iran/will-donald-trump-visit-iran/) — Donald Trump visit to Iran
- [When will Trump's Director of National Intelligence pick be announced?](/markets/politics/trump/when-will-trump-s-director-of-national-intelligence-pick-be-announced/) — Executive action timing
- [Tulsi Gabbard out as Director of National Intelligence?](/markets/politics/trump/tulsi-gabbard-out-as-director-of-national-intelligence/) — Before Jan 2027
- [Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (6/7 - 6/13)](/markets/politics/recurring/will-mamdani-sign-an-executive-order-this-week-6-7-6-13/) — From Jun 7, 2026 to Jun 13, 2026
- [Will the travel ban end for any countries participating in the World Cup?](/markets/politics/trump/will-the-travel-ban-end-for-any-countries-participating-in-the-world-cup/) — Before June 11, 2026
- [When will ICE removal operations be funded again?](/markets/politics/congress/when-will-ice-removal-operations-be-funded-again/) — legislation that funds ICE's Enforcement and Removal Operations (ERO)
- [Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?](/markets/politics/international/will-the-israeli-parliament-be-dissolved/) — Before 2027
- [Will Trump publicly criticize Benjamin Netanyahu?](/markets/politics/will-trump-publicly-criticize-benjamin-netanyahu/) — 2027
- [Will Trump meet Mamdani before Jun 9, 2026?](/markets/politics/trump/will-trump-meet-mamdani-before-jun-9-2026/) — Before Jun 9, 2026
- [Will Trump attend a Pro Basketball finals game?](/markets/politics/trump/will-trump-attend-a-pro-basketball-finals-game/) — On Jun 20, 2026
- [Will Congressional salaries increase?](/markets/politics/congress/will-congressional-salaries-increase/) — the annual base salary of all Members of Congress increases above $174,000
- [Will crypto market structure legislation become law?](/markets/politics/congress/will-crypto-market-structure-legislation-become-law/) — Before 2026
- [When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?](/markets/politics/congress/when-will-the-house-pass-a-reconciliation-bill/) — In 2026
- [Will the Supreme Court shield Monsanto from Roundup failure-to-warn lawsuits?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/will-the-supreme-court-shield-monsanto-from-roundup-failure-to-warn-lawsuits/) — Before Aug 2026
- [Comey indictment reinstated on appeal before 2027?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/comey-indictment-reinstated-on-appeal-before-2027/) — Before 2027
- [Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/will-us-supreme-court-ban-transgender-girls-and-women-from-competing-on-female-sports-teams/) — Before 2029
- [Will the Supreme Court let Trump fire FTC Commissioners at will?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/will-the-supreme-court-let-trump-fire-ftc-commissioners-at-will/) — Before August 2027
- [Will SCOTUS bar counting mail ballots after Election Day?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/will-scotus-bar-counting-mail-ballots-after-election-day/) — Before 2026
- [Will SCOTUS uphold the federal gun ban for marijuana users?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/will-scotus-uphold-the-federal-gun-ban-for-marijuana-users/) — Before 2026
- [What will be in the next reconciliation bill?](/markets/politics/congress/what-will-be-in-the-next-reconciliation-bill/) — Before 2027
- [Who will vote for the next budget reconciliation bill in the Senate?](/markets/politics/congress/who-will-vote-for-the-next-budget-reconciliation-bill-in-the-senate/) — Before 2027
- [How many reconciliation bills will be passed in 2026?](/markets/politics/congress/how-many-reconciliation-bills-will-be-passed-in-2026/) — In 2027
- [When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?](/markets/politics/congress/when-will-a-reconciliation-bill-pass-the-senate/) — a reconciliation bill
- [What countries will Trump visit in 2026?](/markets/politics/international/what-countries-will-trump-visit-in-2026/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?](/markets/politics/international/will-elon-musk-visit-mars-in-his-lifetime/) — Before 2099
- [Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?](/markets/politics/international/which-countries-will-have-their-us-travel-advisory-downgraded-in-2026/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?](/markets/politics/international/will-trump-make-a-new-free-trade-agreement-with-china/) — During his term
- [Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?](/markets/politics/international/will-israel-and-qatar-normalize-relations-before-2027/) — Before 2027
- [Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?](/markets/politics/international/jerome-powell-departure-as-fed-governor-announced/) — In 2026
- [Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?](/markets/politics/iran/will-reza-pahlavi-visit-iran-in-2026/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?](/markets/politics/trump/will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-as-fed-chair-or-governor/) — Before 2027
- [Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?](/markets/politics/international/will-zelenskyy-and-putin-speak/) — Before Jan 20, 2029
- [Will Trump expand the H1-B program?](/markets/politics/trump/will-trump-expand-the-h1-b-program/) — During Trump's term
- [Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?](/markets/politics/international/which-countries-will-normalize-relations-with-israel-before-2027/) — Before 2027
- [Will Trump lower beef tariffs?](/markets/politics/trump/will-trump-lower-beef-tariffs/) — Executive action timing
- [How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?](/markets/politics/trump/how-low-will-trump-s-approval-rating-get-before-2027/) — Dec 2025 to Dec 2026
- [Will the Supreme Court uphold transgender sports bans?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/will-the-supreme-court-uphold-transgender-sports-bans/) — Before 2027
- [Will the House vote on a resolution to expel Cory Mills?](/markets/politics/congress/will-the-house-vote-on-a-resolution-to-expel-cory-mills/) — Before 2027
- [Will E-Verify be expanded in 2026?](/markets/politics/trump/will-e-verify-be-expanded-in-2026/) — Before 2027
- [Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Wedding?](/markets/politics/people/who-will-attend-taylor-swift-and-travis-kelce-s-wedding/) — On Dec 31, 2028
- [Will Trump make IVF free?](/markets/politics/trump/will-trump-make-ivf-free/) — Before his term ends
- [Will the Kids Online Safety Act become law?](/markets/politics/congress/will-the-kids-online-safety-act-become-law/) — Before 2026
- [Elizabeth MacDonough out as Parliamentarian in 2026?](/markets/politics/international/elizabeth-macdonough-out-as-parliamentarian-in-2026/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [Will Trump declare an election emergency?](/markets/politics/trump/will-trump-declare-an-election-emergency/) — Executive action timing
- [Will Elon win his case against OpenAI?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/will-elon-win-his-case-against-openai/) — Before 2027
- [What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?](/markets/politics/international/what-will-the-us-tariff-rate-on-the-eu-be-on-july-1/) — Jul 1, 2026
- [Will Trump establish nationwide concealed carry?](/markets/politics/congress/will-trump-establish-nationwide-concealed-carry/) — Before Jan 4, 2027
- [Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/11 - 5/17)](/markets/politics/iran/traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-5-11-5-17/) — 5/11 - 5/17
- [Will a bill curbing pharmaceutical monopolies become law?](/markets/politics/congress/will-a-bill-curbing-pharmaceutical-monopolies-become-law/) — Before Jan 4, 2027
- [Which ICE reforms will become law in 2026?](/markets/politics/congress/which-ice-reforms-will-become-law-in-2026/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?](/markets/politics/which-federal-reserve-precedents-will-be-broken/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [Will anyone be charged in the Minnesota daycare fraud scandal?](/markets/politics/local/will-anyone-be-charged-in-the-minnesota-daycare-fraud-scandal/) — Criminal charges
- [Will Trump order pre-release federal review of AI models?](/markets/politics/trump/will-trump-order-pre-release-federal-review-of-ai-models/) — Executive action timing
- [Will Trump recognize Taiwan?](/markets/politics/international/will-trump-recognize-taiwan/) — During Trump's term
- [Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/will-ghislaine-maxwell-be-released-from-government-custody/) — Before Jan 1, 2026
- [Who will make a public appearance in May 2026?](/markets/politics/recurring/who-will-make-a-public-appearance-in-may-2026/) — Before Jun 1, 2026
- [Will the US ban CBDC in 2026?](/markets/politics/congress/will-the-us-ban-cbdc-in-2026/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [Who will leave Congress before July?](/markets/politics/congress/who-will-leave-congress-before-july/) — before July 2026
- [Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?](/markets/politics/local/will-mamdani-tax-incomes-over-1m-before-2027/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027?](/markets/politics/trump/will-trump-end-the-federal-reserve-before-2027/) — Before 2027
- [When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?](/markets/politics/trump/when-will-a-member-of-trump-s-cabinet-leave/) — In 2026
- [Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?](/markets/politics/international/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan/) — Taiwan Travel Advisory
- [Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?](/markets/politics/trump/will-trump-be-impeached-and-removed-from-office/) — Before his term ends
- [Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?](/markets/politics/trump/will-the-us-treasury-have-any-transactions-on-the-blockchain/) — Before 2026
- [Will Mamdani freeze the rent in 2026?](/markets/politics/will-mamdani-freeze-the-rent-in-2026/) — Before 2027
- [When will JD Vance visit Pakistan?](/markets/politics/international/when-will-jd-vance-visit-pakistan/) — JD Vance visit to Pakistan
- [Marty Makary out as FDA commissioner?](/markets/politics/marty-makary-out-as-fda-commissioner/) — Before Jan 2027
- [Will President Trump be impeached during his term?](/markets/politics/trump/will-president-trump-be-impeached-during-his-term/) — Before Jan 20, 2029
- [Will Mamdani tax luxury second homes?](/markets/politics/will-mamdani-tax-luxury-second-homes/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [Will the SEC eliminate the quarterly reporting requirement?](/markets/politics/will-the-sec-eliminate-the-quarterly-reporting-requirement/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [Will Pete Hegseth announce his departure as Secretary of Defense?](/markets/politics/will-pete-hegseth-announce-his-departure-as-secretary-of-defense/) — Before Apr 2026
- [Will Howard Lutnick announce his departure as Commerce Secretary?](/markets/politics/will-howard-lutnick-announce-his-departure-as-commerce-secretary/) — Before Jan 2027
- [Who will Trump pardon in 2026?](/markets/politics/trump/who-will-trump-pardon-in-2026/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [Will Trump order more tariffs in May 2026?](/markets/politics/recurring/will-trump-order-more-tariffs-in-may-2026/) — in May 2026
- [When will a Trump passport be issued?](/markets/politics/when-will-a-trump-passport-be-issued/) — the United States Department of State issues one or more United States passports to U.S. citizens where the passport contains an image or visual representation of Donald Trump’s face
- [Who will Trump pardon?](/markets/politics/trump/who-will-trump-pardon/) — Before Jan 21, 2029
- [Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?](/markets/politics/iran/will-the-united-states-recognize-reza-pahlavi-as-the-leader-of-iran-in-2026/) — Before 2027
- [Which bills will become law in 2026?](/markets/politics/congress/which-bills-will-become-law-in-2026/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before 2027?](/markets/politics/btc/will-trump-create-a-national-bitcoin-reserve-before-2027/) — Before 2027
- [Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?](/markets/politics/congress/will-trump-create-a-250-bill-featuring-himself/) — Before 2027
- [Will Trump sue Powell before his term ends?](/markets/politics/trump/will-trump-sue-powell-before-his-term-ends/) — Before May 15, 2026
- [Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?](/markets/politics/pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense/) — Before Apr 2026
- [Will Kash Patel announce his departure as FBI Director?](/markets/politics/will-kash-patel-announce-his-departure-as-fbi-director/) — Before Jan 2027
- [When will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?](/markets/politics/congress/when-will-the-senate-vote-on-the-save-america-act/) — Before 2026
- [Will Trump do anything this week? (5/3-5/9)](/markets/politics/recurring/will-trump-do-anything-this-week-5-3-5-9/) — 5/3-5/9
- [Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/who-will-be-charged-with-a-federal-crime-in-2026/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [US bans social media for children in 2026?](/markets/politics/congress/us-bans-social-media-for-children-in-2026/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [Will the DOJ reopen its investigation into Powell?](/markets/politics/will-the-doj-reopen-its-investigation-into-powell/) — the DOJ reopens or initiates a criminal investigation into Jerome Powell
- [How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (5/3-5/9)](/markets/politics/recurring/how-many-people-will-trump-endorse-on-truth-social-this-week-5-3-5-9/) — May 3, 2026 to May 9, 2026
- [Who will visit Iran before July?](/markets/politics/iran/who-will-visit-iran-before-july/) — Before Jul 1, 2026
- [Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?](/markets/politics/international/will-kanye-west-ye-visit-israel-this-year/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?](/markets/politics/local/will-mamdani-raise-corporate-taxes-before-2027/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [Will the DNC release the 2024 autopsy report?](/markets/politics/will-the-dnc-release-the-2024-autopsy-report/) — Document release
- [How many House votes to expel Eric Swalwell?](/markets/politics/congress/how-many-house-votes-to-expel-eric-swalwell/) — Before Jun 1, 2026
- [Will Trump release new UFO files before 2027?](/markets/politics/trump/will-trump-release-new-ufo-files-before-2027/) — In 2027
- [How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in May 2026?](/markets/politics/recurring/how-many-times-will-trump-visit-mar-a-lago-in-may-2026/) — In May 2026
- [Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?](/markets/politics/trump/will-americans-receive-tariff-stimulus-checks/) — Before 2026
- [When will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?](/markets/politics/congress/when-will-kevin-warsh-be-confirmed-as-fed-chair/) — Before 2027
- [Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/4 - 5/10)](/markets/politics/iran/traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-5-4-5-10/) — 5/4 - 5/10
- [Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/3-5/9)](/markets/politics/recurring/will-trump-be-photographed-every-day-this-week-5-3-5-9/) — May 3, 2026 to May 9, 2026
- [How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (5/3 - 5/9)](/markets/politics/recurring/how-many-executive-orders-will-trump-sign-this-week-5-3-5-9/) — May 3, 2026 to May 9, 2026
- [When will Trump visit China?](/markets/politics/international/when-will-trump-visit-china/) — Donald Trump visit to China
- [Who will be confirmed as Fed chair?](/markets/politics/congress/who-will-be-confirmed-as-fed-chair/) — Jan 1, 2029
- [How high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?](/markets/politics/trump/how-high-will-trump-s-approval-rating-get-before-2027/) — Dec 2025 to Dec 2026
- [Will Mamdani raise property taxes?](/markets/politics/will-mamdani-raise-property-taxes/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [Trump's approval rating on May 8, 2026?](/markets/politics/recurring/trump-s-approval-rating-on-may-8-2026/) — On May 8, 2026
- [Will Trump eliminate capital gains taxes on crypto?](/markets/politics/congress/will-trump-eliminate-capital-gains-taxes-on-crypto/) — Before 2026
- [When will Nick Adams be confirmed as Ambassador of Malaysia?](/markets/politics/congress/when-will-nick-adams-be-confirmed-as-ambassador-of-malaysia/) — Before 2027
- [Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?](/markets/politics/trump/which-sectors-will-trump-tariff-in-2026/) — in 2026
- [Trump's approval rating on May 1, 2026?](/markets/politics/recurring/trump-s-approval-rating-on-may-1-2026/) — On May 1, 2026
- [Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?](/markets/politics/trump/who-will-visit-mar-a-lago-in-2026/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [How long will the government shutdown last?](/markets/politics/congress/how-long-will-the-government-shutdown-last/) — Through Dec 31, 2026
- [Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?](/markets/politics/congress/will-the-aca-premium-tax-credits-be-extended/) — In 2026
- [Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?](/markets/politics/trump/will-trump-impose-martial-law-before-his-term-ends/) — Before Jan 20, 2029
- [Will any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/will-any-court-rule-that-the-2024-election-was-fraudulent/) — Before 2027
- [Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?](/markets/politics/trump/will-the-ban-on-supersonic-flight-over-land-end-before-2028/) — Before 2028
- [Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/will-the-supreme-court-hear-a-3rd-amendment-case-before-trump-s-term-ends/) — Before Jan 2029
- [Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?](/markets/politics/congress/will-a-gop-member-of-congress-call-for-trump-s-impeachment/) — Before 2026
- [How many border encounters in Apr 2026?](/markets/politics/recurring/how-many-border-encounters-in-apr-2026/) — In Apr 2026
- [NYC population change in Mamdani's first 18 months?](/markets/politics/local/nyc-population-change-in-mamdani-s-first-18-months/) — 2025-2027
- [Will any NATO member state boycott the USA World Cup in 2026?](/markets/politics/international/will-any-nato-member-state-boycott-the-usa-world-cup-in-2026/) — 2026 World Cup
- [Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/will-the-supreme-court-hear-a-case-on-trump-s-tariffs-in-2026/) — Before Jan 2027
- [Will ICE change its name in 2026?](/markets/politics/will-ice-change-its-name-in-2026/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?](/markets/politics/will-benjamin-netanyahu-be-pardoned/) — Pardon timeline
- [Will AI regulation become law in 2026?](/markets/politics/ai/will-ai-regulation-become-law-in-2026/) — By 2027
- [When will Erica Schwartz be confirmed as CDC director?](/markets/politics/when-will-erica-schwartz-be-confirmed-as-cdc-director/) — Erica Schwartz Confirmation
- [Will the nickel be discontinued?](/markets/politics/will-the-nickel-be-discontinued/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [Who will Trump sue before May?](/markets/politics/trump/who-will-trump-sue-before-may/) — Before May 2026
- [Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?](/markets/politics/trump/who-will-be-named-in-epstein-files-released-in-2026/) — In 2026
- [Number of White House Press Briefings in Apr 2026?](/markets/politics/recurring/number-of-white-house-press-briefings-in-apr-2026/) — Apr 2026
- [Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?](/markets/politics/trump/will-the-25th-amendment-be-used-during-trump-s-presidency/) — During Trump's term
- [Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?](/markets/politics/international/who-will-recognize-palestine-before-2027/) — Before 2027
- [Will Trump punish SpaceX?](/markets/politics/trump/will-trump-punish-spacex/) — Before 2025
- [Will the DOJ claim a Biden pardon is void in court?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/will-the-doj-claim-a-biden-pardon-is-void-in-court/) — In 2025
- [Lisa Cook Out as Fed Governor?](/markets/politics/international/lisa-cook-out-as-fed-governor/) — Before Jan 2026
- [Will any GOP member of Congress call for the 25th Amendment on Trump?](/markets/politics/trump/will-any-gop-member-of-congress-call-for-the-25th-amendment-on-trump/) — Before Apr 8, 2026
- [How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?](/markets/politics/trump/how-many-cabinet-members-will-trump-say-he-fired-in-2026/) — Before 2027
- [Will Tulsi Gabbard announce her departure as Director of National Intelligence?](/markets/politics/will-tulsi-gabbard-announce-her-departure-as-director-of-national-intelligence/) — Before Jan 2027
- [Will Pam Bondi testify in front of Congress in Apr 2026?](/markets/politics/congress/will-pam-bondi-testify-in-front-of-congress-in-apr-2026/) — Before May 2026
- [Will Trump do anything this week? (4/26-5/2)](/markets/politics/recurring/will-trump-do-anything-this-week-4-26-5-2/) — 4/26-5/2
- [Jessica Tisch out as NYPD commissioner before 2027?](/markets/politics/local/jessica-tisch-out-as-nypd-commissioner-before-2027/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [Who will join the Trump administration before July?](/markets/politics/trump/who-will-join-the-trump-administration-before-july/) — Before Jul 1, 2026
- [Major news story in Apr 2026?](/markets/politics/recurring/major-news-story-in-apr-2026/) — Apr 2026
- [Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?](/markets/politics/iran/will-the-us-reopen-its-embassy-in-iran/) — Before 2027
- [Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?](/markets/politics/will-trump-announce-a-trade-deal-with-cuba/) — Cuba
- [Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Apr 2026?](/markets/politics/recurring/will-trump-announce-a-new-trade-deal-in-apr-2026/) — In 2026
- [Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?](/markets/politics/congress/will-members-of-congress-be-banned-from-trading-stocks/) — In 2025
- [Jacob Frey out as Mayor of Minneapolis?](/markets/politics/local/jacob-frey-out-as-mayor-of-minneapolis/) — Before 2027
- [When will Trump's ballroom be completed?](/markets/politics/trump/when-will-trump-s-ballroom-be-completed/) — White House State Ballroom
- [When will Trump's Labor Secretary pick be confirmed?](/markets/politics/congress/when-will-trump-s-labor-secretary-pick-be-confirmed/) — In 2026
- [Who will visit Venezuela before May?](/markets/politics/international/who-will-visit-venezuela-before-may/) — Before May 1, 2026
- [Which tariffs will the House vote to eliminate before July?](/markets/politics/congress/which-tariffs-will-the-house-vote-to-eliminate-before-july/) — Before Jul 1, 2026
- [Will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/will-justice-alito-retire-from-the-supreme-court/) — In 2026
- [How many Truths will Trump delete in Apr 2026?](/markets/politics/recurring/how-many-truths-will-trump-delete-in-apr-2026/) — Apr 2026
- [Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?](/markets/politics/trump/will-trump-invoke-the-insurrection-act/) — Before Jan 20, 2029
- [Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?](/markets/politics/international/will-another-country-leave-opec-in-2026/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?](/markets/politics/howard-lutnick-out-as-commerce-secretary/) — 2026
- [What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?](/markets/politics/what-countries-will-marco-rubio-visit-in-2026/) — Before 2027
- [Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?](/markets/politics/trump/who-will-donald-trump-meet-in-2026/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (4/26-5/2)](/markets/politics/recurring/how-many-people-will-trump-endorse-on-truth-social-this-week-4-26-5-2/) — Apr 26, 2026 to May 2, 2026
- [Will the federal government start mining Bitcoin?](/markets/politics/trump/will-the-federal-government-start-mining-bitcoin/) — In 2025
- [How many justices will vote for Trump in the FTC removal case?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/how-many-justices-will-vote-for-trump-in-the-ftc-removal-case/) — Before 2026
- [Will the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?](/markets/politics/trump/will-the-u-s-sovereign-wealth-fund-be-operational-before-2027/) — Before 2027
- [How many people will Trump pardon in Apr 2026?](/markets/politics/recurring/how-many-people-will-trump-pardon-in-apr-2026/) — Before 2026-05-01T14:00:00.000Z
- [Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?](/markets/politics/international/will-trump-take-back-the-panama-canal/) — During Trump's term
- [Will credit card rates be capped in 2026?](/markets/politics/trump/will-credit-card-rates-be-capped-in-2026/) — Before 2027
- [Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?](/markets/politics/trump/which-cities-will-the-national-guard-deploy-to-in-2026/) — In 2026
- [Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?](/markets/politics/congress/will-the-cap-on-gambling-loss-reduction-be-repealed/) — In 2026
- [Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?](/markets/politics/trump/who-will-be-trump-s-next-secretary-of-defense/) — Next Secretary of Defense
- [When will the Supreme Court issue an opinion on the Voting Rights Act?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/when-will-the-supreme-court-issue-an-opinion-on-the-voting-rights-act/) — Before 2027
- [Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?](/markets/politics/congress/who-will-testify-in-front-of-congress-in-2026/) — Before Jan 2027
- [Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (4/27 - 5/3)](/markets/politics/iran/traffic-through-the-strait-of-hormuz-4-27-5-3/) — 4/27 - 5/3
- [When will Trump's Attorney General pick be announced?](/markets/politics/trump/when-will-trump-s-attorney-general-pick-be-announced/) — Executive action timing
- [Which Senators will vote for Kevin Warsh as Fed chair?](/markets/politics/congress/which-senators-will-vote-for-kevin-warsh-as-fed-chair/) — Before 2027
- [Who will be arrested before 2027?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/who-will-be-arrested-before-2027/) — Before Jan 2027
- [How many justices will vote for reversal in Louisiana v. Callais?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/how-many-justices-will-vote-for-reversal-in-louisiana-v-callais/) — Before Aug 2026
- [Will Trump's birthright citizenship order come into effect?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/will-trump-s-birthright-citizenship-order-come-into-effect/) — Before 2026
- [Will Trump's approval rating increase this week?](/markets/politics/recurring/will-trump-s-approval-rating-increase-this-week/) — For Apr 30, 2026
- [Who will Donald Trump talk to in Apr 2026?](/markets/politics/recurring/who-will-donald-trump-talk-to-in-apr-2026/) — Before May 1, 2026
- [Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?](/markets/politics/local/will-mamdani-establish-a-department-of-community-safety-before-2027/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [How many bills will President Trump sign in Apr 2026?](/markets/politics/recurring/how-many-bills-will-president-trump-sign-in-apr-2026/) — In Apr 2026
- [When will FISA be reauthorized again?](/markets/politics/congress/when-will-fisa-be-reauthorized-again/) — legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority
- [Trump late night post this week? (4/26-5/2)](/markets/politics/recurring/trump-late-night-post-this-week-4-26-5-2/) — Apr 26, 2026 to May 2, 2026
- [Who will visit the White House in 2026?](/markets/politics/trump/who-will-visit-the-white-house-in-2026/) — Before Jan 2027
- [How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (4/19 - 4/25)](/markets/politics/recurring/how-many-executive-orders-will-trump-sign-this-week-4-19-4-25/) — Apr 19, 2026 to Apr 25, 2026
- [Which Senators will vote to advance the SAVE America Act?](/markets/politics/congress/which-senators-will-vote-to-advance-the-save-america-act/) — Before 2026
- [Trump Truth Social posts this week? (4/26-5/2)](/markets/politics/recurring/trump-truth-social-posts-this-week-4-26-5-2/) — Apr 26, 2026 to May 2, 2026
- [Will the filibuster be weakened?](/markets/politics/congress/will-the-filibuster-be-weakened/) — In 2025
- [Who will be confirmed by the Senate before May?](/markets/politics/congress/who-will-be-confirmed-by-the-senate-before-may/) — Before May 1, 2026
- [How long will the next FISA authorization be?](/markets/politics/congress/how-long-will-the-next-fisa-authorization-be/) — Before Jan 1, 2028
- [How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Apr 2026?](/markets/politics/recurring/how-many-times-will-trump-visit-mar-a-lago-in-apr-2026/) — In Apr 2026
- [Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (4/26-5/2)](/markets/politics/recurring/will-trump-be-photographed-every-day-this-week-4-26-5-2/) — Apr 26, 2026 to May 2, 2026
- [Will any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/will-any-court-rule-that-the-2020-election-was-fraudulent/) — Before 2027
- [Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?](/markets/politics/congress/which-member-of-congress-will-have-the-biggest-returns-in-2025/) — In 2025
- [Will Brendan Carr leave as FCC chair before 2027?](/markets/politics/international/will-brendan-carr-leave-as-fcc-chair-before-2027/) — Before Jan 1, 2027
- [Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?](/markets/politics/international/will-kim-jong-un-visit-the-us-during-trump-s-term/) — During Trump's term
- [What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?](/markets/politics/international/what-will-the-u-s-withdraw-from-during-the-trump-administration/) — Before Jan 20, 2029
- [Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?](/markets/politics/trump/will-trump-add-himself-to-mt-rushmore/) — Before his term ends
- [Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/who-will-be-the-next-supreme-court-justice/) — By January 20, 2029
- [Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?](/markets/politics/international/will-south-korean-president-lee-jae-myung-serve-their-full-term/) — Ending Jun 4, 2029
- [EU has a new member before 2030?](/markets/politics/international/eu-has-a-new-member-before-2030/) — By 2030
- [Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?](/markets/politics/trump/will-the-us-government-take-control-of-any-ai-company-or-project-before-2030/) — Before 2030
- [How many Gold Cards will Trump issue before May?](/markets/politics/trump/how-many-gold-cards-will-trump-issue-before-may/) — In 2026
- [When will DHS be funded again?](/markets/politics/congress/when-will-dhs-be-funded-again/) — DHS funding bill
- [Which DHS components will receive more funding before May?](/markets/politics/congress/which-dhs-components-will-receive-more-funding-before-may/) — Before May 1, 2026
- [Which G7 leader will leave next?](/markets/politics/international/which-g7-leader-will-leave-next/) — G7 Leaders
- [Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?](/markets/politics/will-any-u-s-state-experience-a-population-decrease-of-at-least-10-between-2025-and-2035/) — Between 2025 and 2035?
- [Which of these African leaders will leave office next?](/markets/politics/international/which-of-these-african-leaders-will-leave-office-next/) — Before 2035
- [Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?](/markets/politics/trump/will-trump-approve-a-new-city-on-federal-land/) — During Trump's term
- [Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?](/markets/politics/trump/will-trump-end-the-federal-reserve/) — During Trump's term
- [When will Pam Bondi depart as Attorney General?](/markets/politics/when-will-pam-bondi-depart-as-attorney-general/) — Before Jan 2027
- [Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?](/markets/politics/trump/who-will-be-trump-s-next-attorney-general/) — Before January 20th, 2029
- [How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?](/markets/politics/trump/how-many-executive-orders-will-trump-sign-in-his-second-term/) — Trump's second term
- [Will Trump balance the budget?](/markets/politics/trump/will-trump-balance-the-budget/) — During Trump's term
- [Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?](/markets/politics/scotus-courts/which-supreme-court-justices-will-resign-during-trump-s-term/) — During Trump's term
- [Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?](/markets/politics/trump/will-trump-add-a-51st-state-to-the-us/) — Before Trump's term ends
- [Will Congress override Trump's veto?](/markets/politics/congress/will-congress-override-trump-s-veto/) — Before Jan 20, 2029
- [Will the US take control of any part of Canada?](/markets/politics/international/will-the-us-take-control-of-any-part-of-canada/) — During Trump's term
- [Will Trump resign during his term?](/markets/politics/will-trump-resign-during-his-term/) — Before his term ends
- [Will the US acquire any new territory?](/markets/politics/international/will-the-us-acquire-any-new-territory/) — By 2029
- [What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?](/markets/politics/trump/what-will-be-the-51st-state-in-trump-s-term/) — During Trump's term
- [How much will the US acquire Greenland for?](/markets/politics/trump/how-much-will-the-us-acquire-greenland-for/) — During Trump's term
- [Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?](/markets/politics/trump/who-will-leave-trump-s-cabinet-next/) — During Trump's term
- [Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?](/markets/politics/trump/who-will-trump-nominate-as-fed-chair/) — During Trump's term

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