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Deep research reports with cited sources and probability analysis. Compare model forecasts against market prices to find mispriced opportunities.
Latest Research Reports
Each report tracks a single market question with cited sources and probability analysis
What nicknames will Trump say before April?
Model probability of 73.1% versus 50c market price, implying a 2.0x payout, notes high nickname correlation with external events.
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Model's 18.3% for Newsom vs 18c market price implies 5.7x payout given his early primary trips.
LIV Golf Singapore Top 5 Finisher
Model matches 10.5% market (9.5x payout), with veterans consistently demonstrating Sentosa success.
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Prediction Markets
Research reports on Kalshi events (Polymarket coming soon). See what's driving prices, compare market vs model probabilities, and find potential mispricings.
Browse Reports →Public Markets
Financials, filings, and fundamentals for 8,000+ public companies. 10 years of history updated in real time.
See Coverage →Private Markets
Funding rounds, M&A, and company data before it hits the news. 3M+ companies, 4M+ people, 500k+ funds, and 2M+ deals tracked.
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See what's driving the odds
Browse our research reports on active Kalshi markets. Find the sources, see the probabilities, spot the edge.