Prediction Markets Research

Octagon provides deep research and analysis on prediction markets, combining real-time market data with advanced AI models to deliver actionable insights on event outcomes, probabilities, and market trends.

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Active Markets (1695)

Verizon postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 750 thousand

Market Model 56.0% 99.0%

Above 800 thousand

Market Model 74.0% 99.0%

12.6K contracts Refresh

Which banks will take Anthropic public? Kalshi

Stifel Financial

Market Model 1.0% 0.3%

Rothschild & Co

Market Model 19.0% 4.3%

21.4K contracts Refresh

Corrugated recyclable paper PPI in November 2026 Kalshi

Above 80

Market Model 87.0% 92.7%

Above 70

Market Model 11.0% 92.7%

6.3K contracts Refresh

Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag’s Top 100 Clubs List? Kalshi

Savaya

Market Model 23.0% 12.2%

fabric

Market Model 98.0% 97.4%

58.6K contracts Refresh

Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO? Kalshi

Morgan Stanley

Market Model 1.0% 1.1%

Goldman Sachs

Market Model 94.0% 92.6%

69.3K contracts Refresh

Top Text to Speech AI this week Kalshi

ElevenLabs

Market Model 1.0% 1.8%

Amazon

Market Model 3.0% 2.0%

1.1K contracts Refresh

Zscaler customers with arr of at least $1m in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 820

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

Above 860

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Zscaler customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 790

Market Model 0.0% 0.7%

Above 795

Market Model 0.0% 0.6%

0 contracts Refresh

Wyndham Hotels total rooms in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 890000

Market Model 32.0% 27.7%

Above 896000

Market Model 7.0% 5.5%

6.9K contracts Refresh

Verizon postpaid phone net additions in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 150,000

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

Above 200,000

Market Model 0.0% 15.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Urban Outfitters total stores in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 815

Market Model 0.0% 0.1%

Above 820

Market Model 0.0% 0.1%

0 contracts Refresh

Urban Outfitters total stores in Q3 2027 Kalshi

Above 815

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

Above 820

Market Model 0.0% 10.0%

0 contracts Refresh

United Airlines passengers in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 46 million

Market Model 5.0% 3.9%

Above 46.5 million

Market Model 3.0% 2.4%

1.4K contracts Refresh

Toll Brothers delivered homes in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 1675

Market Model 0.0% 0.4%

Above 1725

Market Model 0.0% 0.3%

0 contracts Refresh

Spotify premium subscribers in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 314 million

Market Model 89.0% 87.0%

Above 315 million

Market Model 82.0% 86.0%

110 contracts Refresh

Spotify monthly active users in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 832 million

Market Model 90.0% 88.5%

Above 818 million

Market Model 0.0% 96.8%

1 contracts Refresh

Starlink subscribers in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 15.3 million

Market Model 0.0% 1.2%

Above 15.6 million

Market Model 0.0% 1.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 2.3 billion

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

Above 2.9 billion

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

0 contracts Refresh

UiPath customers with arr of at least $1m in Q3 2027 Kalshi

Above 388

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

Above 391

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

0 contracts Refresh

New York Times total subscribers in Q3 2026 Kalshi

Above 13.2 million

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

Above 13.3 million

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Neptune Insurance policies in force in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 367000

Market Model 66.0% 74.0%

Above 361000

Market Model 83.0% 88.0%

137 contracts Refresh

Meta headcount in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 61000

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

Above 63000

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Meta family daily active people in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 3.58 billion

Market Model 99.0% 99.5%

Above 3.6 billion

Market Model 91.0% 99.0%

1.3K contracts Refresh

MercadoLibre items sold in Q3 2026 Kalshi

Above 760 million

Market Model 99.0% 98.2%

Above 780 million

Market Model 99.0% 98.0%

7.3K contracts Refresh

Expired Markets (2336)

Verizon postpaid phone net additions in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

77.5K contracts

(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on October 26, 2026 at 4pm ET Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

37.3K contracts

#2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

16.4K contracts

BTC price on Oct 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

662.3K contracts

Ole Miss vs Texas Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

1.2M contracts

BTC 15 min · $81,499.21 target Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

627.8K contracts

BTC 15 min · $81,481.46 target Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

781.3K contracts

Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

36.2K contracts

BTC 15 min · $81,686.12 target Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

531.8K contracts

ETH 15 min · $2,404.03 target Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

33.3K contracts

BTC 15 min · $81,665.77 target Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

493.1K contracts

BTC 15 min · $81,744.58 target Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

1.2M contracts

ETH 15 min · $2,407.06 target Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

44.1K contracts

BTC 15 min · $81,710.43 target Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

748.3K contracts

BTC 15 min · $81,641.70 target Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

1.4M contracts

ETH 15 min · $2,404.10 target Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

36.5K contracts

BTC 15 min · $81,471.69 target Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

1.1M contracts

ETH 15 min · $2,398.05 target Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

22.2K contracts

ETH 15 min · $2,403.62 target Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

58.2K contracts

BTC 15 min · $81,631.52 target Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

681.0K contracts

BTC 15 min · $81,698.80 target Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

1.5M contracts

ETH 15 min · $2,406.74 target Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

76.1K contracts

BTC 15 min · $81,779.15 target Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

915.1K contracts

BTC 15 min · $81,768.86 target Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

936.9K contracts

Prediction Markets Research

Active Markets (1695)

Prediction Markets

Public Markets

Developers

Company