Short Answer

Wyndham Hotels is likely to report above 878,000 total rooms in Q1 2027, with management's 4.0%-4.5% ex-Revo growth guidance and Revo room retention projecting a total count between 886,000 and 890,000; the market prices this at 93.0%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

The market's primary movement was a 41-point spike on October 26, 2026, driven by an announcement regarding Wyndham's new AI distribution and guest-engagement initiatives. News that inventory would become bookable through new platforms appears to have led traders to sharply increase the probability of Wyndham exceeding 878,000 rooms in Q1 2027, lifting the price from 6.0% to 47.0%.
This optimism was short-lived. The following day, the price dropped 15 points to 32.0% on significant volume. This decline was a reaction to Wyndham's Q3 2026 earnings, which had been released on October 21. Despite positive revenue and EPS figures, the company reduced its 2026 net-room-growth guidance to approximately 4%. The market's delayed reaction suggests the lowered growth forecast eventually overrode the positive sentiment from the AI announcement.
The current 32.0% probability reflects the tension between these conflicting data points. As of September 30, 2026, Wyndham's total room count stood at 877,400, just below the market's strike price. While the development pipeline contains 264,000 rooms, the moderated near-term growth guidance makes hitting the target by Q1 2027 a contested outcome.
  • Exceeding 886,000 rooms is likely given management's ex-Revo growth guidance.
  • Surpassing 890,000 rooms appears challenging, based on the derived room count range.

Who Wins and Why

Outcome Market Model Why
Above 890000 32.0% 27.7% The derived range's upper end indicates exceeding 890,000 rooms will be challenging.
Above 896000 7.0% 5.5% Projected room count indicates this threshold is very unlikely to be met, consistent with higher thresholds.
Above 892000 20.0% 15.0% The derived range places the likely outcome below 890,000 rooms.
Above 894000 43.0% 13.7% The projected room count indicates this threshold is very unlikely to be met.
Above 886000 66.0% 62.1% Ex-Revo growth and retained Revo rooms suggest a high probability of exceeding 886,000.

Current Context

Wyndham reported 877,400 total rooms as of September 2026, forecasting up to 900,000 for Q1 2027. As of September 30, 2026, Wyndham Hotels & Resorts reported 877,400 total system rooms, comprising 500,000 U.S. and 377,400 international rooms. Excluding Revo-related rooms, the comparable base stood at 864,400 rooms [1][2]. The development pipeline on September 30, 2026, included approximately 264,000 rooms across more than 2,200 hotels, a 4% year-over-year increase excluding Revo. This pipeline was 69% midscale-and-above, 17% extended stay, 42% U.S., and 78% new construction [1][2]. A base-case estimate for Q1 2027 quarter-end total rooms is approximately 890,000-900,000 reported rooms, or roughly 877,000-887,000 rooms excluding Revo. This projection extrapolates a 4% room-growth trajectory from the September 2026 comparable base of 864,400 rooms and is a forecast, not company guidance [3][4][1].
Wyndham's Q3 2026 performance was solid, with positive development momentum and a constructive investor outlook. Third-quarter 2026 operating KPIs included global RevPAR of $51.13, up 2% year over year in constant currency, and U.S. RevPAR of $58.35, up 6%. Adjusted EBITDA reached $207 million, adjusted diluted EPS was $1.43, net income was $99 million, and free cash flow totaled $100 million [1][2]. Management's latest 2026 outlook, issued October 21, 2026, anticipates year-over-year room growth of 4.0%-4.5%, global RevPAR growth of 0.0%-1.0%, adjusted EBITDA of $735-$745 million, adjusted net income of $355-$365 million, and adjusted diluted EPS of $4.71-$4.83, all excluding Revo termination effects [1][2]. Expert and investor interpretation is largely constructive on development momentum and fee growth, noting a record pipeline with an approximate 30% FeePAR premium. Risks include Revo insolvency-related room terminations, international RevPAR weakness, and U.S. economy-room attrition [5][1][6]. The Kalshi Wyndham total-rooms market for the next quarter, expiring April 28, 2027, showed a 46% chance above 896,000 rooms, 42% above 898,000 rooms, and less than 1% above 900,000 rooms [7]. Market calendars estimate Wyndham's fiscal-year 2026 earnings release for February 17, 2027; the Q1 2027 earnings date is not yet officially announced in the sources reviewed [8][9].
Sources (9)
  1. 1WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG THIRD QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
  2. 210-Q - 10/22/2026 - Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.investor.wyndhamhotels.com
  3. 3WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG FIRST QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
  4. 4wh-20260331investor.wyndhamhotels.com
  5. 5Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (WH) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript & Audiostockanalysis.com
  6. 6Wyndham Hotels (WH) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | The Motley Foolfool.com
  7. 7Wyndham Hotels total rooms next quarter Odds & Predictions 2027kalshi.com
  8. 8Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc. Research & Ratings | WH | Barron'sbarrons.com
  9. 9WH Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Earning History and Price Movements Analysisoptionslam.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Significant Price Movements

Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.

Outcome: Above 898000

📉 October 27, 2026: 39.0pp drop

Price decreased from 41.0% to 2.0%

What happened: The primary driver of the 39.0 percentage point drop was the release of Wyndham Hotels' Q3 2026 earnings on October 21, 2026 [1]. Despite beating revenue and EPS expectations, the company reduced its 2026 net-room-growth guidance to approximately 4% [1], which, combined with investor concerns over margin compression and an analyst downgrade [2][3], signaled a less optimistic outlook for future room additions. This revised outlook likely made the "Above 898,000" rooms target by Q1 2027 seem less probable to market participants. Social media was mostly irrelevant, as no specific posts from key figures or viral narratives directly impacting future room growth were reported around the price movement date.

Outcome: Above 880000

📈 October 26, 2026: 51.0pp spike

Price increased from 6.0% to 57.0%

What happened: The primary driver of the prediction market price spike on October 26, 2026, was likely the news concerning Wyndham Hotels' AI distribution and guest-engagement initiatives [4]. This announcement, released on the same day, detailed new inventory becoming bookable through platforms like Meta's Muse and OpenAI's Dots, and the generation of tens of millions of dollars in year-to-date franchisee opportunities [4]. Such positive developments would signal a stronger growth trajectory, increasing the perceived likelihood of Wyndham exceeding 880,000 total rooms by Q1 2027 [4]. While described as a "news/social-media catalyst," specific social media posts from key figures or viral narratives are not detailed; therefore, social media was likely a contributing accelerant, amplifying the news, rather than the primary, direct driver.
Sources (4)
  1. 1WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG THIRD QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
  2. 2Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (WH) Stock Slides As Q3 Earnings Sharpen Margin Concerns - Simply Wall St Newssimplywall.st
  3. 3Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (NYSE:WH) Stock Falls 5.8% After Analyst Downgrademarketbeat.com
  4. 4Wyndham sees revenue gains from AI initiatives | PhocusWirephocuswire.com

4. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

For the "Above 888000" contract, a 'YES' resolution occurs if Wyndham Hotels' total reported rooms for Q3 2026 are greater than 888,000; a 'NO' resolution occurs if the total rooms are 888,000 or less. The market closes for trading on April 28 at 4:00 PM EDT, and is scheduled to settle by August 26, 2027. Resolution depends on the official reporting of Wyndham Hotels' total rooms for Q3 2026.

Available Contracts

Market options and current pricing

Outcome bucket Yes (price) No (price) Last trade probability
Above 878000 $0.94 $0.07 93%
Above 880000 $0.94 $0.07 93%
Above 882000 $0.88 $0.13 87%
Above 886000 $0.66 $0.35 66%
Above 894000 $0.12 $0.89 43%
Above 890000 $0.39 $0.62 32%
Above 892000 $0.20 $0.81 20%
Above 896000 $0.08 $0.93 7%
Above 898000 $0.07 $0.94 2%
Above 884000 $0.80 $0.21 0%
Above 888000 $0.51 $0.51 0%
Above 900000 $0.00 $1.00 0%
Above 902000 $0.00 $1.00 0%
Above 904000 $0.00 $1.00 0%

Market Discussion

The prediction market suggests Q1 2027 total rooms for Wyndham Hotels will likely fall between 896,000 and 898,000, aligning with a practical base-case prediction [1]. Wyndham reported 869,300 global rooms on March 31, 2026, and management reaffirmed full-year 2026 net room growth of 4.0%–4.5% [2]. While public sentiment includes bullish outlooks and raised analyst targets [3], the potential for Revo insolvency-related terminations introduces material unpredictability to the reported room count [1].

Sources (3)
  1. 1Wyndham Hotels total rooms next quarter Odds & Predictions 2027kalshi.com
  2. 2wh-20260331investor.wyndhamhotels.com
  3. 3Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. Stock Forum (NYSE:WH) – TradingView Mindstradingview.com

5. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 65 Caution

Company-reported metric: finance and investor relations know the number before the earnings release

Integrity risk· Information exposure

How it adds up
Integrity80% of score66Caution
Trade quality20% of score62Caution

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.

Trust score65Caution

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 3 don't apply · 3 awaiting data

6. How Will Wyndham's Full-Year 2026 Earnings and 2027 Guidance Impact Q1 2027 Room Count Projections?

Projected Q1 2027 Global RoomsApproximately 880,000-890,000 (base case near 885,000) [1][2][3]
Full-Year Room Growth Outlook4.0%-4.5% year-over-year [1][3][4]
Development Pipeline (Rooms)Approximately 264,000 [1][3][4]
Wyndham's full-year 2026 results and 2027 guidance suggest a modestly positive market impact on Q1 2027 room count expectations [1][3]. While the company's record pipeline and 4% growth excluding Revo support continued expansion, the third-quarter guidance reduction in adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS, alongside unresolved Revo insolvency, caution against assuming an acceleration beyond the existing 4%-4.5% growth trajectory [1][3].
A reasonable Q1 2027 projection estimates 880,000-890,000 reported global rooms [1][2][3]. The base case for reported global rooms at quarter end is approximately 885,000; excluding Revo, a range of 875,000-885,000 rooms is considered more defensible [1][2][3]. This projection extrapolates the disclosed 4.0%-4.5% annual growth target from the 2025 year-end base, accounting for normal quarter-to-quarter openings, deletions, and Revo uncertainty [1][2][3]. As of September 30, 2026, Wyndham reported 877,400 global rooms, representing a 3% year-over-year increase; excluding Revo, rooms totaled 864,400, up 4% year-over-year [1][3][4]. The primary downside risk to the reported room count is related to Revo, as the 2026 room-growth outlook explicitly excludes potential room terminations associated with Revo's insolvency [1][2][4].
Sources (4)
  1. 1WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG THIRD QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
  2. 2WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS FOURTH QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
  3. 3Documentsec.gov
  4. 410-Q - 10/22/2026 - Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.investor.wyndhamhotels.com

7. What Does Wyndham's Historical Pipeline Conversion Rate Imply for Its Q1 2027 Room Count?

Q1 2027 Total Rooms Estimate885,000-890,000, centered near 887,000 [1]
Global Rooms (September 30, 2026)877,400 [1][2][3]
Q3 2026 Pipeline Conversion Rateabout 6.8% [4]
Wyndham's Q1 2027 room count projects around 887,000 based on historical trends. A base-case estimate for Wyndham's total rooms in Q1 2027 is approximately 885,000-890,000, with a central figure near 887,000, derived from historical pipeline conversion rates [1]. This projection begins with 877,400 global rooms reported on September 30, 2026 [1][2][3]. In Q3 2026, Wyndham opened over 18,000 rooms from a development pipeline of about 264,000 rooms, indicating a quarterly pipeline-to-openings conversion rate of approximately 6.8% [4]. This rate aligns with the recent historical range of roughly 6.25%-6.97% [4]. Applying the historical conversion rate of approximately 6.3%-7.0% to the Q3 pipeline suggests an estimated 16,500-18,500 gross openings in a comparable quarter [4].
Estimates account for gross openings, though net room count faces material uncertainties. The Q1 2027 base-case estimate includes the addition of roughly 16,000-18,000 gross openings in Q4 and a similar quantity in Q1 [1]. This estimate specifically focuses on gross openings, rather than a direct company forecast, as the market determines total rooms at quarter-end by factoring in both system additions and removals [5][6][2][3]. Consequently, the actual net quarter-end room count could be impacted by terminations, particularly those linked to Revo insolvency, which constitutes a material uncertainty [4][5][6][2][3].
Management anticipates 4% room growth; 900,000 rooms by Q1 is not supported. Management's most recent full-year 2026 outlook projects approximately 4% room growth, not including the effects of Revo [2][3]. While the market currently indicates thresholds of 896,000 and 898,000 for a next-quarter 2027 contract, the available operating data does not support an expectation of 900,000 rooms by Q1 [1].
Sources (6)
  1. 1Wyndham Hotels total rooms next quarter Odds & Predictions 2027kalshi.com
  2. 2WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG THIRD QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
  3. 310-Q - 10/22/2026 - Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.investor.wyndhamhotels.com
  4. 4Wyndham Hotels (WH) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | The Motley Foolfool.com
  5. 5WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG FIRST QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
  6. 6wh-20260331investor.wyndhamhotels.com

8. How Does Wyndham's Net Room Growth Trajectory Compare to Competitors Like Choice Hotels and Marriott Leading into 2027?

Marriott Expected Growth RateMid-single-digit rates leading into 2027 [1][2][3][4]
Wyndham Q3 2026 Ex-Revo Rooms864,400 rooms [1][5]
Choice Hotels 2026 Net Room Growth TargetApproximately 1.5% [2][6]
Marriott International is projected to exhibit the strongest net room growth. The company anticipates mid-single-digit percentage growth leading into 2027 among directly comparable large chains. Marriott concluded Q2 2026 with nearly 1.814 million rooms, having added approximately 17,900 net rooms in that quarter and achieving 4.5% year-over-year net room growth. Despite some construction delays in the Middle East, Marriott expects its 2026 net room growth to be towards the lower end of its 4.5%-5.0% guidance, supported by a robust pipeline of approximately 629,000 rooms, including more than 279,000 under construction [1][2][3][4].
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts' current growth is constrained by portfolio cleanup efforts. While the company targets a long-run growth algorithm of 4%-5%, its growth is presently impacted by Revo-related deletions and ongoing quality-related terminations. Wyndham ended Q3 2026 with 877,400 global rooms; however, excluding the insolvent Revo portfolio, the room count was 864,400, representing a 4% year-over-year increase. Management narrowed its 2026 ex-Revo net room growth guidance to approximately 4% due to these terminations and the anticipated exit of most Revo rooms. The company's Q3 2026 pipeline was approximately 264,000 rooms, up 4% year over year ex-Revo, which supports continued growth into 2027. A reasonable scenario range for March 31, 2027, suggests approximately 875,000-890,000 rooms, with potential upside if retained Revo rooms and pipeline openings offset deletions [1][2][3][4][5][7][8].
Choice Hotels is recovering with a more modest global growth target. The company is in recovery from near-flat U.S. growth, setting a lower global target of about 1.5% for 2026. Choice Hotels finished Q2 2026 with 661,089 global rooms, representing a 2.6% year-over-year increase, and subsequently raised its full-year 2026 global net rooms growth guidance to approximately 1.5%. Choice's pipeline, at 77,300 rooms, is considerably smaller than those of its larger competitors [1][2][6].
Sources (8)
  1. 1WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG THIRD QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
  2. 2Choice Hotels International, Inc. - CHOICE HOTELS INTERNATIONAL REPORTS SECOND QUARTER 2026 RESULTSinvestor.choicehotels.com
  3. 3Marriott International Reports Second Quarter 2026 Resultsmarriott.gcs-web.com
  4. 4Earnings call transcript: Marriott lifts 2026 outlook after Q2 EPS beat By Investing.cominvesting.com
  5. 5Wyndham Hotels (WH) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | The Motley Foolfool.com
  6. 6Choice Hotels (CHH) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | The Motley Foolfool.com
  7. 7Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | Longbridgelongbridge.com
  8. 8Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (WH) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript & Audiostockanalysis.com

9. Where Can Traders Find Granular Data on Wyndham's U.S. vs. International Room Growth for Q4 2026 and Q1 2027?

Q3 2026 U.S. Rooms500,000 (as of September 30, 2026) [1]
Q3 2026 International Rooms377,400 (as of September 30, 2026) [1]
Q3 2026 International Room Growth YoY7% year over year [1]
Traders can access Wyndham's room growth data from official company filings. Traders can find granular data on Wyndham’s U.S. versus International room growth for Q4 2026 and Q1 2027 by monitoring Wyndham’s Investor Relations quarterly-results archive and SEC filings [2][3]. These sources are expected to provide revenue-driver tables within the 10-Q and earnings releases, which separate beginning rooms, additions, deletions, and ending rooms by U.S. and international for quarter-over-quarter modeling [1][4][5]. Specifically, Q4 2026 results are anticipated to include the December 31, 2026 ending-room table, while Q1 2027 results should provide the March 31, 2027 ending-room table along with subsequent additions and deletions details [2][3].
Historical trends highlight international room growth as a key driver. For instance, the Q3 2026 earnings release, 10-Q, and related materials, published on October 21, 2026, offered granular operating context for that period [6][1][2]. As of September 30, 2026, Wyndham reported 500,000 U.S. rooms and 377,400 international rooms [1]. During this period, international rooms grew by 7% year over year, whereas U.S. rooms experienced a 1% decline; excluding Revo, international growth stood at 11% [1]. The historical trend consistently indicates international room growth as the main contributor to overall expansion [1][4][5].
Traders should note specific exclusions and reporting definitions for accuracy. It is important to note that Wyndham excludes Super 8 China master-license rooms from its reported system-size metrics and presents 2026 growth figures excluding Revo-related rooms due to Revo’s insolvency [1][7]. Therefore, traders should consider that the resolution of prediction markets may depend on the company’s officially reported definition rather than an all-inclusive room count [1][7][8][9]. It is advisable for traders to verify the exact contract wording and resolution source before engaging in any trading activities [1][7][8][9].
Sources (9)
  1. 1wh-20260930investor.wyndhamhotels.com
  2. 2Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
  3. 3Quarterly Earnings Archives - WHG Corporatecorporate.wyndhamhotels.com
  4. 4Documentinvestor.wyndhamhotels.com
  5. 5Documentinvestor.wyndhamhotels.com
  6. 6WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG THIRD QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
  7. 7wh-20260630sec.gov
  8. 8Wyndham Hotels total rooms next quarter Odds & Predictions 2027kalshi.com
  9. 9Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (WH) earnings | Kalshikalshi.com

10. What Is the Projected Downside Risk From the Revo Insolvency and U.S. Economy-Room Attrition by Q1 2027?

Estimated Q1 2027 Rooms (Revo direct downside)869,000–870,000 rooms [1][2]
Global Rooms at Sep 30, 2026877,400 rooms (including 13,000 Revo-related) [3][4][5][2]
Q1 2027 Conservative Downside (Revo + US economy)864,000–869,000 rooms [3][4][2]
Wyndham faces room count downside from Revo insolvency by Q1 2027. Wyndham Hotels' total global rooms stood at 877,400 as of September 30, 2026, which included 13,000 Revo-related rooms [3][4][5][2]. The most probable direct impact from Revo attrition is an additional loss of 7,000–8,000 rooms, potentially reducing the Q1 2027 total to approximately 869,000–870,000 rooms before accounting for ordinary openings, closures, and other portfolio changes [1][2]. Wyndham management anticipated retaining only about 20%–25% of the roughly 13,000 remaining Revo rooms, with the majority expected to depart in Q4 2026 [3][4].
Conservative estimates project a lower room count when combining risks. Should all 13,000 remaining Revo rooms ultimately terminate, a conservative downside scenario would place Q1 2027 rooms near 864,000, prior to normal net additions [1][6][2]. Separately, U.S. economy-room attrition presents an additional risk; U.S. rooms totaled 500,000 on September 30, 2026, reflecting a 1% year-over-year decline [1][2]. Combining these Revo losses with ongoing U.S. economy-room churn suggests a practical downside range of approximately 864,000–869,000 rooms for Q1 2027, assuming no substantial offset from new openings [3][4][2]. While the financial impact from Revo appears contained, it does not directly restore the count of lost franchised rooms [7][1][2][8][5].
Sources (8)
  1. 1Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc. (via Public) / Quarterly Report for Quarter Ending September 30, 2026 (Form 10-Q)pubt.io
  2. 2wh-20260930investor.wyndhamhotels.com
  3. 3Wyndham Hotels (WH) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | The Motley Foolfool.com
  4. 4Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | TickerTrendstickertrends.io
  5. 5WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG THIRD QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
  6. 6WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS, INC. — Investor Presentation 2026financialfilings.com
  7. 710-Q - 04/30/2026 - Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.investor.wyndhamhotels.com
  8. 8WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG FIRST QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com

11. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

Bullish catalysts include continued midscale-and-above and international growth, pipeline conversion, stronger U.S. demand, and potential upside from Q3 2026 momentum [1][2]. Conversely, bearish risks include Revo insolvency, deletions or legacy affiliated-room losses, China softness, international RevPAR weakness, currency fluctuations, and a lower international royalty rate [1][2].
Key operating drivers entering Q1 2027 include 4% year-over-year comparable room growth in Q3 2026, a record approximately 264,000-room development pipeline, 4% pipeline growth excluding Revo, approximately 78% new construction, and approximately 30% FeePAR premium versus the existing system [1][2][3]. The Kalshi market for total rooms next quarter, resolving around April 28, 2027, displayed 46% probability for above 896,000 rooms, 42% for above 898,000, and less than 1% for above 900,000 [4]. Reaching 896,000 rooms by Q1 2027 would require roughly 18,600 net reported-room additions from the Q3 2026 reported total of 877,400, or approximately 2.1% sequential growth over two quarters. This makes it an aggressive bullish outcome unless reported-room methodology or Revo treatment changes [1][2][4].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Expiration: August 26, 2027
  • Closes: August 26, 2027
Sources (4)
  1. 1WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG THIRD QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
  2. 210-Q - 10/22/2026 - Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.investor.wyndhamhotels.com
  3. 3Investor Presentation - Cloudfront.netd1io3yog0oux5.cloudfront.net
  4. 4Wyndham Hotels total rooms next quarter Odds & Predictions 2027kalshi.com

13. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 8 markets in this series

Outcomes: 1 resolved YES, 7 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXWH-26OCTROOMS-897000: NO (Oct 21, 2026)
  • KXWH-26OCTROOMS-894000: NO (Oct 21, 2026)
  • KXWH-26OCTROOMS-891000: NO (Oct 21, 2026)
  • KXWH-26OCTROOMS-888000: NO (Oct 21, 2026)
  • KXWH-26OCTROOMS-885000: NO (Oct 21, 2026)