Wyndham Hotels total rooms in Q1 2027
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- Exceeding 886,000 rooms is likely given management's ex-Revo growth guidance.
- Surpassing 890,000 rooms appears challenging, based on the derived room count range.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 890000 | 32.0% | 27.7% | The derived range's upper end indicates exceeding 890,000 rooms will be challenging. |
| Above 896000 | 7.0% | 5.5% | Projected room count indicates this threshold is very unlikely to be met, consistent with higher thresholds. |
| Above 892000 | 20.0% | 15.0% | The derived range places the likely outcome below 890,000 rooms. |
| Above 894000 | 43.0% | 13.7% | The projected room count indicates this threshold is very unlikely to be met. |
| Above 886000 | 66.0% | 62.1% | Ex-Revo growth and retained Revo rooms suggest a high probability of exceeding 886,000. |
Current Context
Sources (9)
- 1WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG THIRD QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
- 210-Q - 10/22/2026 - Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.investor.wyndhamhotels.com
- 3WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG FIRST QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
- 4wh-20260331investor.wyndhamhotels.com
- 5Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (WH) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript & Audiostockanalysis.com
- 6Wyndham Hotels (WH) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | The Motley Foolfool.com
- 7Wyndham Hotels total rooms next quarter Odds & Predictions 2027kalshi.com
- 8Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc. Research & Ratings | WH | Barron'sbarrons.com
- 9WH Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Earning History and Price Movements Analysisoptionslam.com
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
Outcome: Above 898000
📉 October 27, 2026: 39.0pp drop
Price decreased from 41.0% to 2.0%
Outcome: Above 880000
📈 October 26, 2026: 51.0pp spike
Price increased from 6.0% to 57.0%
Sources (4)
- 1WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG THIRD QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
- 2Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (WH) Stock Slides As Q3 Earnings Sharpen Margin Concerns - Simply Wall St Newssimplywall.st
- 3Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (NYSE:WH) Stock Falls 5.8% After Analyst Downgrademarketbeat.com
- 4Wyndham sees revenue gains from AI initiatives | PhocusWirephocuswire.com
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
For the "Above 888000" contract, a 'YES' resolution occurs if Wyndham Hotels' total reported rooms for Q3 2026 are greater than 888,000; a 'NO' resolution occurs if the total rooms are 888,000 or less. The market closes for trading on April 28 at 4:00 PM EDT, and is scheduled to settle by August 26, 2027. Resolution depends on the official reporting of Wyndham Hotels' total rooms for Q3 2026.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 878000 | $0.94 | $0.07 | 93% |
| Above 880000 | $0.94 | $0.07 | 93% |
| Above 882000 | $0.88 | $0.13 | 87% |
| Above 886000 | $0.66 | $0.35 | 66% |
| Above 894000 | $0.12 | $0.89 | 43% |
| Above 890000 | $0.39 | $0.62 | 32% |
| Above 892000 | $0.20 | $0.81 | 20% |
| Above 896000 | $0.08 | $0.93 | 7% |
| Above 898000 | $0.07 | $0.94 | 2% |
| Above 884000 | $0.80 | $0.21 | 0% |
| Above 888000 | $0.51 | $0.51 | 0% |
| Above 900000 | $0.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
| Above 902000 | $0.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
| Above 904000 | $0.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
Market Discussion
The prediction market suggests Q1 2027 total rooms for Wyndham Hotels will likely fall between 896,000 and 898,000, aligning with a practical base-case prediction [1]. Wyndham reported 869,300 global rooms on March 31, 2026, and management reaffirmed full-year 2026 net room growth of 4.0%–4.5% [2]. While public sentiment includes bullish outlooks and raised analyst targets [3], the potential for Revo insolvency-related terminations introduces material unpredictability to the reported room count [1].
5. Trust Index
Company-reported metric: finance and investor relations know the number before the earnings release
Integrity risk· Information exposure
Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.
Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index
6. How Will Wyndham's Full-Year 2026 Earnings and 2027 Guidance Impact Q1 2027 Room Count Projections?
| Projected Q1 2027 Global Rooms | Approximately 880,000-890,000 (base case near 885,000) [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| Full-Year Room Growth Outlook | 4.0%-4.5% year-over-year [1][3][4] |
| Development Pipeline (Rooms) | Approximately 264,000 [1][3][4] |
Sources (4)
- 1WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG THIRD QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
- 2WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS FOURTH QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
- 3Documentsec.gov
- 410-Q - 10/22/2026 - Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.investor.wyndhamhotels.com
7. What Does Wyndham's Historical Pipeline Conversion Rate Imply for Its Q1 2027 Room Count?
| Q1 2027 Total Rooms Estimate | 885,000-890,000, centered near 887,000 [1] |
|---|---|
| Global Rooms (September 30, 2026) | 877,400 [1][2][3] |
| Q3 2026 Pipeline Conversion Rate | about 6.8% [4] |
Sources (6)
- 1Wyndham Hotels total rooms next quarter Odds & Predictions 2027kalshi.com
- 2WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG THIRD QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
- 310-Q - 10/22/2026 - Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.investor.wyndhamhotels.com
- 4Wyndham Hotels (WH) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | The Motley Foolfool.com
- 5WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG FIRST QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
- 6wh-20260331investor.wyndhamhotels.com
8. How Does Wyndham's Net Room Growth Trajectory Compare to Competitors Like Choice Hotels and Marriott Leading into 2027?
| Marriott Expected Growth Rate | Mid-single-digit rates leading into 2027 [1][2][3][4] |
|---|---|
| Wyndham Q3 2026 Ex-Revo Rooms | 864,400 rooms [1][5] |
| Choice Hotels 2026 Net Room Growth Target | Approximately 1.5% [2][6] |
Sources (8)
- 1WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG THIRD QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
- 2Choice Hotels International, Inc. - CHOICE HOTELS INTERNATIONAL REPORTS SECOND QUARTER 2026 RESULTSinvestor.choicehotels.com
- 3Marriott International Reports Second Quarter 2026 Resultsmarriott.gcs-web.com
- 4Earnings call transcript: Marriott lifts 2026 outlook after Q2 EPS beat By Investing.cominvesting.com
- 5Wyndham Hotels (WH) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | The Motley Foolfool.com
- 6Choice Hotels (CHH) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | The Motley Foolfool.com
- 7Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | Longbridgelongbridge.com
- 8Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (WH) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript & Audiostockanalysis.com
9. Where Can Traders Find Granular Data on Wyndham's U.S. vs. International Room Growth for Q4 2026 and Q1 2027?
| Q3 2026 U.S. Rooms | 500,000 (as of September 30, 2026) [1] |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 International Rooms | 377,400 (as of September 30, 2026) [1] |
| Q3 2026 International Room Growth YoY | 7% year over year [1] |
Sources (9)
- 1wh-20260930investor.wyndhamhotels.com
- 2Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
- 3Quarterly Earnings Archives - WHG Corporatecorporate.wyndhamhotels.com
- 4Documentinvestor.wyndhamhotels.com
- 5Documentinvestor.wyndhamhotels.com
- 6WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG THIRD QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
- 7wh-20260630sec.gov
- 8Wyndham Hotels total rooms next quarter Odds & Predictions 2027kalshi.com
- 9Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (WH) earnings | Kalshikalshi.com
10. What Is the Projected Downside Risk From the Revo Insolvency and U.S. Economy-Room Attrition by Q1 2027?
| Estimated Q1 2027 Rooms (Revo direct downside) | 869,000–870,000 rooms [1][2] |
|---|---|
| Global Rooms at Sep 30, 2026 | 877,400 rooms (including 13,000 Revo-related) [3][4][5][2] |
| Q1 2027 Conservative Downside (Revo + US economy) | 864,000–869,000 rooms [3][4][2] |
Sources (8)
- 1Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc. (via Public) / Quarterly Report for Quarter Ending September 30, 2026 (Form 10-Q)pubt.io
- 2wh-20260930investor.wyndhamhotels.com
- 3Wyndham Hotels (WH) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | The Motley Foolfool.com
- 4Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | TickerTrendstickertrends.io
- 5WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG THIRD QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
- 6WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS, INC. — Investor Presentation 2026financialfilings.com
- 710-Q - 04/30/2026 - Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.investor.wyndhamhotels.com
- 8WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG FIRST QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
11. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: August 26, 2027
- Closes: August 26, 2027
Sources (4)
- 1WYNDHAM HOTELS & RESORTS REPORTS STRONG THIRD QUARTER RESULTS:: Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH)investor.wyndhamhotels.com
- 210-Q - 10/22/2026 - Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.investor.wyndhamhotels.com
- 3Investor Presentation - Cloudfront.netd1io3yog0oux5.cloudfront.net
- 4Wyndham Hotels total rooms next quarter Odds & Predictions 2027kalshi.com
13. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 8 markets in this series
Outcomes: 1 resolved YES, 7 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXWH-26OCTROOMS-897000: NO (Oct 21, 2026)
- KXWH-26OCTROOMS-894000: NO (Oct 21, 2026)
- KXWH-26OCTROOMS-891000: NO (Oct 21, 2026)
- KXWH-26OCTROOMS-888000: NO (Oct 21, 2026)
- KXWH-26OCTROOMS-885000: NO (Oct 21, 2026)