Financials Markets

Active Markets (393)

Online Sportsbook Ad Spend in September Kalshi

Above 138

Market Model 17.0% 22.1%

Above 132

Market Model 18.0% 65.9%

24.9K contracts Refresh

USDCHF price on Sep 25 at 5:00 PM EDT Kalshi

Above 0.827

Market Model 7.0% 52.0%

Above 0.821

Market Model 26.0% 68.0%

3.6K contracts Refresh

USDMXN price on Sep 25 at 5:00 PM EDT Kalshi

Above 17.241

Market Model 93.0% 96.1%

Above 17.231

Market Model 94.0% 96.8%

1.9K contracts Refresh

Will Paramount announce an HQ move outside greater LA? Kalshi

Before Oct 1, 2026

Market Model 71.0% 48.3%

Before Nov 1, 2026

Market Model 7.0% 48.3%

11.0K contracts Refresh

Burger King Foot Traffic in September Kalshi

Above 102.5

Market Model 9.0% 8.5%

Above 100

Market Model 10.0% 10.7%

2.9K contracts Refresh

How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026? Kalshi

5.05% or above

Market Model 45.0% 40.7%

5.1% or above

Market Model 29.0% 25.1%

59.2K contracts Refresh

Paramount+ App Downloads in September Kalshi

Above 79

Market Model 98.0% 96.9%

Above 91

Market Model 34.0% 25.1%

13.6K contracts Refresh

Uber Eats App Downloads in September Kalshi

Above 134

Market Model 20.0% 19.8%

Above 126

Market Model 22.0% 38.4%

6.5K contracts Refresh

BP Monthly Credit Card Spend in September Kalshi

Above 103.5

Market Model 89.0% 88.7%

Above 98

Market Model 94.0% 93.8%

7.2K contracts Refresh

Nvidia headcount in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 52000

Market Model 44.0% 43.2%

Above 46000

Market Model 94.0% 94.0%

28.5K contracts Refresh

Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 Kalshi

Above 0%

Market Model 0.0% 0.0%

Above 0.5%

Market Model 0.0% 0.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Alaska Air passenger load factor in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 82%

Market Model 82.0% 62.0%

Above 83.5%

Market Model 17.0% 9.9%

12.8K contracts Refresh

ServiceTitan gross transaction volume in Q3 Kalshi

Above $24.4 billion

Market Model 94.0% 88.0%

Above $24.7 billion

Market Model 0.0% 0.0%

2 contracts Refresh

Medtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2 Kalshi

Above 13%

Market Model 9.0% 5.5%

Above 12%

Market Model 34.0% 5.5%

7.1K contracts Refresh

Victoria's Secret comparable sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 7%

Market Model 31.0% 12.0%

Above 6%

Market Model 51.0% 12.0%

22.9K contracts Refresh

GitLab customers over $100k ARR in Q3 Kalshi

Above 1645

Market Model 19.0% 6.0%

Above 1655

Market Model 7.0% 4.0%

1.1K contracts Refresh

Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO? Kalshi

Goldman Sachs

Market Model 22.0% 16.5%

Morgan Stanley

Market Model 77.0% 56.7%

28.8K contracts Refresh

Dollar General same-store sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 3.5%

Market Model 46.0% 7.2%

Above 2%

Market Model 78.0% 31.2%

3.2K contracts Refresh

Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Polymarket

Nebius Group

Market Model 3.6% 1.2%

Perplexity AI

Market Model 14.0% 6.3%

$18.2M Refresh

Zoom customers over $100k in TTM revenue in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4700

Market Model 79.0% 20.0%

Above 4675

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

125 contracts Refresh

Williams-Sonoma brand growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4%

Market Model 88.0% 20.0%

Above 3%

Market Model 99.0% 20.0%

920 contracts Refresh

Urban Outfitters total stores in Q1 Kalshi

Above 832

Market Model 84.0% 88.9%

Above 836

Market Model 65.0% 62.0%

3.9K contracts Refresh

Urban Outfitters retail comparable sales in Q1 Kalshi

Above 0%

Market Model 0.0% 0.9%

Above 10%

Market Model 0.0% 0.1%

0 contracts Refresh

Okta customers with acv over $100k in Q3 Kalshi

Above 5375

Market Model 7.0% 14.4%

Above 5400

Market Model 3.0% 3.0%

398 contracts Refresh

Lowe's comparable sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 0%

Market Model 52.0% 23.2%

Above -1.5%

Market Model 92.0% 23.2%

4.5K contracts Refresh

Dick's comparable sales in Q3 Kalshi

Above 2%

Market Model 65.0% 65.6%

Above 3%

Market Model 38.0% 37.3%

4.4K contracts Refresh

Best Buy domestic comparable sales in Q3 Kalshi

Above 5%

Market Model 11.0% 18.0%

Above 3%

Market Model 31.0% 25.0%

183 contracts Refresh

Affirm gross merchandise volume in Q1 Kalshi

Above $14 billion

Market Model 78.0% 70.0%

Above $14.25 billion

Market Model 50.0% 12.0%

1.8K contracts Refresh

OpenAI IPO by...? Polymarket

June 30, 2026

Market Model 0.0% 5.5%

December 31, 2026

Market Model 14.0% 5.5%

$2.9M Refresh

Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 3.8%

Market Model 56.0% 36.5%

Above 3.4%

Market Model 88.0% 57.6%

9.8K contracts Refresh

Monster Beverage Corporation total case sales in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 1.14 billion

Market Model 69.0% 62.1%

Above 1.18 billion

Market Model 10.0% 10.0%

805 contracts Refresh

StubHub gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above $10.1 billion

Market Model 88.0% 20.0%

Above $10 billion

Market Model 99.0% 20.0%

207 contracts Refresh

StubHub gross merchandise sales in Q3 Kalshi

Above $2.4 billion

Market Model 54.0% 58.0%

Above $2.5 billion

Market Model 33.0% 30.5%

15.0K contracts Refresh

Monster Beverage Corporation total case sales in Q3 Kalshi

Above 335 million

Market Model 2.0% 10.0%

Above 295 million

Market Model 54.0% 63.2%

3.4K contracts Refresh

Etsy marketplace gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above $11 billion

Market Model 60.0% 48.7%

Above $10.85 billion

Market Model 72.0% 48.7%

14.1K contracts Refresh

Etsy Gross Merchandise Sales in Q3 Kalshi

Above $2.54 billion

Market Model 80.0% 77.9%

Above $2.5 billion

Market Model 97.0% 94.5%

2.6K contracts Refresh

The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 5%

Market Model 43.0% 3.0%

Above 3%

Market Model 0.0% 15.0%

1 contracts Refresh

The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in Q3 Kalshi

Above 5.5%

Market Model 84.0% 35.6%

Above 4.5%

Market Model 88.0% 53.2%

57.4K contracts Refresh

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? Kalshi

Before May 1, 2027

Market Model 32.0% 27.0%

Before Oct 1, 2026

Market Model 8.0% 4.0%

669.5K contracts Refresh

Cloudflare customers over $100k ARR in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 5150

Market Model 95.0% 97.2%

Above 5200

Market Model 89.0% 91.4%

200 contracts Refresh

Coeur Mining gold production in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 700000

Market Model 31.0% 35.0%

Above 650000

Market Model 0.0% 45.0%

43 contracts Refresh

Victoria's Secret comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 8%

Market Model 40.0% 45.2%

Above 14%

Market Model 5.0% 8.7%

1.5K contracts Refresh

Venture Global LNG volumes in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 1860 tbtu

Market Model 66.0% 20.0%

Above 1780 tbtu

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

100 contracts Refresh

ServiceTitan gross transaction volume in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above $96 billion

Market Model 58.0% 0.1%

Above $98 billion

Market Model 26.0% 0.1%

810 contracts Refresh

SoFi members in Q3 Kalshi

Above 16.9 million

Market Model 46.0% 56.4%

Above 17 million

Market Model 27.0% 34.4%

9.1K contracts Refresh

Remitly active customers in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 11.2 million

Market Model 20.0% 22.0%

Above 11.1 million

Market Model 29.0% 33.5%

2.8K contracts Refresh

Chime active members in Q3 Kalshi

Above 10.7 million

Market Model 82.0% 1.0%

Above 10.8 million

Market Model 49.0% 0.8%

108 contracts Refresh

BrightSpring Health home health average daily census in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 47400

Market Model 53.0% 58.3%

Above 47100

Market Model 69.0% 58.3%

410 contracts Refresh

Dutch Bros total shops in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 1340

Market Model 29.0% 5.0%

Above 1300

Market Model 99.0% 99.0%

274 contracts Refresh

Will any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto for any of their core services in 2026? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 15.0% 22.2%

27.0K contracts Refresh

Workiva customers over $100k ACV in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 2860

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

Above 2900

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Workiva customers over $100k ACV in Q3 Kalshi

Above 2760

Market Model 94.0% 2.0%

Above 2780

Market Model 0.0% 1.5%

50 contracts Refresh

Venture Global LNG volumes in Q3 Kalshi

Above 460 tbtu

Market Model 56.0% 0.7%

Above 500 tbtu

Market Model 13.0% 0.3%

9.6K contracts Refresh

SoFi members in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 17.8 million

Market Model 96.0% 20.5%

Above 18.6 million

Market Model 17.0% 14.0%

1.1K contracts Refresh

Sezzle gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above $5.25 billion

Market Model 0.0% 0.7%

Above $5.3 billion

Market Model 0.0% 0.6%

0 contracts Refresh

Sezzle gross merchandise volume in Q3 Kalshi

Above $1.44 billion

Market Model 7.0% 0.3%

Above $1.4 billion

Market Model 27.0% 0.6%

165 contracts Refresh

Remitly active customers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 10.4 million

Market Model 98.0% 20.0%

Above 10.5 million

Market Model 99.0% 20.0%

3.3K contracts Refresh

Paymentus transactions processed in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 830 million

Market Model 0.0% 2.0%

Above 850 million

Market Model 0.0% 1.5%

0 contracts Refresh

Paymentus transactions processed in Q3 Kalshi

Above 225 million

Market Model 39.0% 0.1%

Above 222.5 million

Market Model 68.0% 0.1%

38 contracts Refresh

Nu Holdings customers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 143.5 million

Market Model 29.0% 8.0%

Above 143 million

Market Model 65.0% 10.0%

33 contracts Refresh

Natera tests processed in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 4.2 million

Market Model 79.0% 20.0%

Above 4.25 million

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

6 contracts Refresh

Natera tests processed in Q3 Kalshi

Above 1025000

Market Model 0.0% 0.0%

Above 1050000

Market Model 0.0% 0.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Neptune Insurance policies in force in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 360000

Market Model 75.0% 77.5%

Above 400000

Market Model 2.0% 7.8%

5.7K contracts Refresh

Neptune Insurance policies in force in Q3 Kalshi

Above 345000

Market Model 10.0% 12.0%

Above 350000

Market Model 17.0% 11.0%

821 contracts Refresh

Cloudflare customers over $100k ARR in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4900

Market Model 86.0% 12.0%

Above 4850

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

3 contracts Refresh

Lemonade total customers in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 3.7 million

Market Model 34.0% 1.0%

Above 3.75 million

Market Model 15.0% 0.4%

1.7K contracts Refresh

Lemonade total customers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 3.5 million

Market Model 51.0% 7.8%

Above 3.52 million

Market Model 42.0% 6.0%

38.6K contracts Refresh

Life360 monthly active users in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 114 million

Market Model 23.0% 12.0%

Above 113 million

Market Model 45.0% 12.0%

813 contracts Refresh

Life360 monthly active users in Q3 Kalshi

Above 107 million

Market Model 49.0% 38.4%

Above 106.5 million

Market Model 54.0% 50.8%

4.6K contracts Refresh

Klaviyo customers over $50k ARR in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 4950

Market Model 0.0% 0.8%

Above 5025

Market Model 0.0% 0.7%

0 contracts Refresh

Klaviyo customers over $50k ARR in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4875

Market Model 9.0% 10.0%

Above 4825

Market Model 23.0% 20.0%

77 contracts Refresh

Samsara customers over $100k ARR in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 3850

Market Model 0.0% 0.1%

Above 3900

Market Model 0.0% 0.1%

0 contracts Refresh

Grindr average paying users in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 1.42 million

Market Model 71.0% 0.0%

Above 1.44 million

Market Model 49.0% 0.0%

29 contracts Refresh

Grindr average paying users in Q3 Kalshi

Above 1.46 million

Market Model 43.0% 30.2%

Above 1.5 million

Market Model 14.0% 26.0%

670 contracts Refresh

Evolv Technologies new customers in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 265

Market Model 46.0% 20.0%

Above 220

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

2 contracts Refresh

Evolv Technologies new customers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 60

Market Model 69.0% 18.0%

Above 70

Market Model 38.0% 10.0%

31 contracts Refresh

Datadog customer over$100k ARR in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 5140

Market Model 51.0% 36.0%

Above 5120

Market Model 55.0% 37.0%

10.4K contracts Refresh

Datadog customers over $100k ARR in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4940

Market Model 32.0% 12.0%

Above 4920

Market Model 45.0% 20.0%

3.7K contracts Refresh

Dave ExtraCash origination volume in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above $9.5 billion

Market Model 56.0% 0.7%

Above $9.3 billion

Market Model 0.0% 0.9%

161 contracts Refresh

Dave ExtraCash origination volume in Q3 Kalshi

Above $2.5 billion

Market Model 45.0% 67.0%

Above $2.3 billion

Market Model 94.0% 72.2%

412 contracts Refresh

Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 1%

Market Model 77.0% 1.5%

Above 2%

Market Model 37.0% 0.5%

6.8K contracts Refresh

Chime active members in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 11.1 million

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

Above 11.2 million

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Coeur Mining gold production in Q3 Kalshi

Above 230000

Market Model 5.0% 10.0%

Above 220000

Market Model 22.0% 12.0%

146 contracts Refresh

CAVA same restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 6.5%

Market Model 41.0% 0.7%

Above 4.5%

Market Model 0.0% 0.9%

88 contracts Refresh

CAVA same restaurant sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 6%

Market Model 13.0% 59.2%

Above 7%

Market Model 11.0% 9.0%

523 contracts Refresh

BrightSpring Health prescriptions filled in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 42.9 million

Market Model 88.0% 0.0%

Above 43.1 million

Market Model 0.0% 0.0%

1 contracts Refresh

BrightSpring Health prescriptions filled in Q3 Kalshi

Above 11.05 million

Market Model 15.0% 10.0%

Above 10.65 million

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

0 contracts Refresh

BrightSpring Health home health average daily census in Q3 Kalshi

Above 46800

Market Model 0.0% 0.6%

Above 47000

Market Model 0.0% 0.5%

0 contracts Refresh

Dutch Bros same-shop sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 6.5%

Market Model 3.0% 5.0%

Above 4.5%

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

150 contracts Refresh

Dutch Bros same-shop sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 5%

Market Model 54.0% 8.0%

Above 3.5%

Market Model 98.0% 20.0%

456 contracts Refresh

Dutch Bros total shops in Q3 Kalshi

Above 1270

Market Model 61.0% 20.0%

Above 1250

Market Model 97.0% 20.0%

877 contracts Refresh

When will Apple release the iPhone 18? Kalshi

Before October

Market Model 6.0% 16.7%

Before 2027

Market Model 8.0% 18.3%

1.4M contracts Refresh

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Polymarket

↑$3.0T

Market Model 16.0% 8.0%

↑$2.0T

Market Model 39.0% 29.2%

$2.9M Refresh

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Kalshi

Before Oct 1, 2026

Market Model 27.0% 20.8%

Before Nov 1, 2026

Market Model 66.0% 55.4%

1.1M contracts Refresh

Hims subscribers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 3.15 million

Market Model 27.0% 0.3%

Above 3.1 million

Market Model 40.0% 0.4%

10.4K contracts Refresh

Instacart gross transaction value in Q3 Kalshi

Above $10.4 billion

Market Model 79.0% 70.0%

Above $10.65 billion

Market Model 3.0% 2.0%

27.2K contracts Refresh

Instacart gross transaction value in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above $42 billion

Market Model 65.0% 5.0%

Above $42.5 billion

Market Model 24.0% 3.0%

2.7K contracts Refresh

eToro funded accounts in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4.35 million

Market Model 86.0% 9.0%

Above 4.3 million

Market Model 94.0% 11.0%

11.8K contracts Refresh

Dick's Sporting Goods comparable store sales in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 5%

Market Model 33.0% 15.0%

Above 7%

Market Model 6.0% 4.0%

401 contracts Refresh

Zoom customers with over $100k in TTM revenue in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 4840

Market Model 12.0% 20.0%

Above 4880

Market Model 8.0% 20.0%

201 contracts Refresh

Clear+ members in Q3 Kalshi

Above 8.45 million

Market Model 50.0% 0.9%

Above 8.5 million

Market Model 32.0% 0.8%

476 contracts Refresh

Williams-Sonoma total comparable brand growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 5%

Market Model 38.0% 20.0%

Above 7%

Market Model 5.0% 3.0%

1.0K contracts Refresh

Rocket Lab vehicles launched in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 33

Market Model 7.0% 0.1%

Above 25

Market Model 0.0% 0.5%

1 contracts Refresh

Rocket Lab vehicles launched in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4

Market Model 99.0% 0.7%

Above 5

Market Model 0.0% 0.4%

250 contracts Refresh

UiPath customers with arr of at least $1m in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 420

Market Model 60.0% 20.0%

Above 450

Market Model 6.0% 10.0%

401 contracts Refresh

Okta customers with acv over $100k in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 5375

Market Model 88.0% 0.0%

Above 5450

Market Model 11.0% 0.0%

601 contracts Refresh

Monday net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 117%

Market Model 6.0% 2.0%

Above 111%

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

1 contracts Refresh

Monday net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in Q3 Kalshi

Above 111%

Market Model 94.0% 0.0%

Above 117%

Market Model 6.0% 0.0%

5 contracts Refresh

MercadoLibre gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above $95 billion

Market Model 6.0% 0.2%

Above $87 billion

Market Model 0.0% 1.0%

1 contracts Refresh

MercadoLibre fintech monthly active users in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 100 million

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

Above 101 million

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

0 contracts Refresh

MercadoLibre gross merchandise volume in Q3 Kalshi

Above $21.5 billion

Market Model 0.0% 0.1%

Above $22 billion

Market Model 0.0% 0.1%

0 contracts Refresh

MercadoLibre fintech monthly active users in Q3 Kalshi

Above 91 million

Market Model 92.0% 20.0%

Above 91.5 million

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

38 contracts Refresh

Medtronic cardiovascular organic growth in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 10%

Market Model 41.0% 20.0%

Above 11%

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

400 contracts Refresh

Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 0.5%

Market Model 56.0% 20.0%

Above 1%

Market Model 52.0% 20.0%

3.9K contracts Refresh

GitLab customers with arr over $100k in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 1640

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

Above 1660

Market Model 0.0% 11.0%

0 contracts Refresh

eToro funded accounts in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 4.5 million

Market Model 55.0% 12.0%

Above 4.55 million

Market Model 42.0% 12.0%

4.0K contracts Refresh

eBay gross merchandise volume in Q3 Kalshi

Above $22.4 billion

Market Model 99.0% 0.4%

Above $23.4 billion

Market Model 1.0% 0.2%

236 contracts Refresh

Dollar General same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 1.5%

Market Model 92.0% 20.0%

Above 2.5%

Market Model 40.0% 20.0%

2.4K contracts Refresh

CoreWeave contracted power capacity in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 5.2 gw

Market Model 29.0% 0.0%

Above 5.6 gw

Market Model 9.0% 0.0%

21 contracts Refresh

CoreWeave data centers in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 64

Market Model 81.0% 0.7%

Above 66

Market Model 58.0% 0.6%

2.9K contracts Refresh

CoreWeave power capacity in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4.4 gw

Market Model 3.0% 0.3%

Above 4 gw

Market Model 99.0% 0.5%

2.5K contracts Refresh

CoreWeave data centers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 56

Market Model 62.0% 0.0%

Above 59

Market Model 26.0% 0.0%

1.9K contracts Refresh

Chewy active customers in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 22 million

Market Model 47.0% 20.0%

Above 22.3 million

Market Model 5.0% 2.0%

411 contracts Refresh

Best Buy domestic comparable store sales in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 2%

Market Model 37.0% 5.0%

Above 3%

Market Model 16.0% 2.0%

1.3K contracts Refresh

Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in Q3 Kalshi

Above 860

Market Model 75.0% 20.0%

Above 880

Market Model 19.0% 20.0%

888 contracts Refresh

Will GameStop acquire eBay? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model 12.0% 12.9%

$2.4M Refresh

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap Polymarket

Yes

Market Model 84.0% 87.2%

$2.0M Refresh

Richest person on December 31, 2026? Polymarket

Bernard Arnault

Market Model 0.3% 0.4%

Jeff Bezos

Market Model 0.7% 0.8%

$1.9M Refresh

AI bubble burst by...? Polymarket

December 31, 2026

Market Model 15.8% 7.9%

March 31, 2026

Market Model 0.0% 7.9%

$2.9M Refresh

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Polymarket

Anthropic

Market Model 8.1% 1.9%

Kraken

Market Model 0.1% 0.0%

$5.2M Refresh

IPOs before 2027? Polymarket

SpaceX

Market Model 100.0% 100.0%

Ledger

Market Model 9.0% 3.6%

$6.9M Refresh

Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in Q3 Kalshi

Above 218

Market Model 2.0% 1.0%

Above 200

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

280 contracts Refresh

Urban Outfitters comparable sales in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 5%

Market Model 45.0% 20.0%

Above 9%

Market Model 4.0% 5.0%

401 contracts Refresh

Ulta comparable sales in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 4%

Market Model 65.0% 20.0%

Above 7%

Market Model 6.0% 10.0%

2 contracts Refresh

Ulta comparable sales in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4.5%

Market Model 19.0% 2.5%

Above 7%

Market Model 6.0% 0.2%

227 contracts Refresh

Toast total locations in Q3 Kalshi

Above 192 thousand

Market Model 15.0% 15.0%

Above 184 thousand

Market Model 98.0% 20.0%

557 contracts Refresh

Toll Brothers delivered homes in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 10500

Market Model 75.0% 20.0%

Above 10400

Market Model 89.0% 20.0%

3.7K contracts Refresh

Talen Energy TWh generation in Q3 Kalshi

Above 15.5 twh

Market Model 82.0% 0.2%

Above 15 twh

Market Model 97.0% 0.5%

205 contracts Refresh

Starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 19 million

Market Model 15.0% 5.0%

Above 17 million

Market Model 37.0% 12.0%

306 contracts Refresh

Starlink active subscribers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 15 million

Market Model 31.0% 7.0%

Above 14 million

Market Model 75.0% 7.0%

1.8K contracts Refresh

Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 950

Market Model 43.0% 0.2%

Above 850

Market Model 0.0% 0.9%

33 contracts Refresh

Sea Limited Shopee GMV in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above $166 billion

Market Model 41.0% 0.1%

Above $164 billion

Market Model 60.0% 0.1%

220 contracts Refresh

Sea Limited Garena paying users in Q3 Kalshi

Above 75 million

Market Model 29.0% 7.0%

Above 72 million

Market Model 62.0% 11.0%

222 contracts Refresh

Sea Limited Garena paying users in Q4 Kalshi

Above 70 million

Market Model 52.0% 20.0%

Above 74 million

Market Model 17.0% 20.0%

221 contracts Refresh

Sea Limited Shopee GMV in Q3 Kalshi

Above $40 billion

Market Model 64.0% 0.0%

Above $36 billion

Market Model 0.0% 0.0%

200 contracts Refresh

Match total payers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 13.4 million

Market Model 84.0% 0.1%

Above 13.2 million

Market Model 87.0% 0.2%

190 contracts Refresh

How high will the S&P get this year? Kalshi

7,800 or above

Market Model 98.6% 98.4%

8,000 or above

Market Model 72.9% 73.3%

1.0M contracts Refresh

Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 0%

Market Model 3.0% 3.2%

Above -1%

Market Model 6.0% 3.2%

72.1K contracts Refresh

Target comparable sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4%

Market Model 61.0% 2.0%

Above 5%

Market Model 41.0% 1.0%

9.6K contracts Refresh

Petrobras total production (Mboed) in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 3250 mboed

Market Model 88.0% 80.6%

Above 3200 mboed

Market Model 87.0% 83.8%

4.4K contracts Refresh

Petrobras total production (Mboed) in Q3 Kalshi

Above 3300 mboed

Market Model 85.0% 77.3%

Above 3350 mboed

Market Model 82.0% 59.1%

6.5K contracts Refresh

Wingstop total system-wide restaurants in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 3525

Market Model 56.0% 78.4%

Above 3475

Market Model 73.0% 97.0%

2.3K contracts Refresh

Starbucks headcount in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 368 thousand

Market Model 29.0% 26.8%

Above 377 thousand

Market Model 12.0% 8.0%

6.9K contracts Refresh

When will Oura officially announce an IPO? Kalshi

Before Oct 1, 2026

Market Model 20.0% 100.0%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Market Model 67.0% 100.0%

27.4K contracts Refresh

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? Kalshi

Anthropic

Market Model 83.0% 89.6%

OpenAI

Market Model 18.0% 6.2%

323.1K contracts Refresh

When will Starlink officially announce an IPO? Kalshi

Before Jun 30, 2027

Market Model 13.0% 6.5%

Before May 1, 2027

Market Model 8.0% 5.0%

470.4K contracts Refresh

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO? Kalshi

Before Jan 1, 2027

Market Model 29.0% 15.1%

Before Oct 1, 2026

Market Model 4.0% 2.0%

1.2M contracts Refresh

Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year? Kalshi

OpenAI

Market Model 24.0% 25.7%

Anthropic

Market Model 70.0% 71.6%

2.1M contracts Refresh

KFC same-store sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 2%

Market Model 47.0% 3.0%

Above 4%

Market Model 11.0% 1.0%

1.5K contracts Refresh

Target comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 3.5%

Market Model 73.0% 10.0%

Above 5%

Market Model 34.0% 1.0%

8.2K contracts Refresh

Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 12.5%

Market Model 20.0% 0.0%

Above 12%

Market Model 16.0% 0.0%

32.3K contracts Refresh

Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 Kalshi

Above 17%

Market Model 1.0% 0.2%

Above 14%

Market Model 3.0% 0.5%

54.6K contracts Refresh

Reddit daily active uniques in Q3 Kalshi

Above 136 million

Market Model 42.0% 0.4%

Above 132 million

Market Model 85.0% 1.0%

1.7K contracts Refresh

Ferrari shipments in Q3 Kalshi

Above 3425

Market Model 21.0% 0.2%

Above 3400

Market Model 19.0% 0.3%

8.8K contracts Refresh

Palantir total customers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 1130

Market Model 13.0% 3.0%

Above 1150

Market Model 7.0% 1.0%

597 contracts Refresh

Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q3 Kalshi

Above 900 thousand

Market Model 70.0% 0.0%

Above 870 thousand

Market Model 86.0% 0.0%

5.8K contracts Refresh

Altria Group cigarette shipments in Q3 Kalshi

Above 15.5 billion

Market Model 33.0% 0.2%

Above 15.25 billion

Market Model 53.0% 0.3%

1.3K contracts Refresh

Marriott International total rooms in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 1.86 million

Market Model 64.0% 20.0%

Above 1.855 million

Market Model 87.0% 20.0%

1.3K contracts Refresh

Marriott International total rooms in Q3 Kalshi

Above 1.84 million

Market Model 21.0% 5.0%

Above 1.845 million

Market Model 11.0% 3.0%

4.7K contracts Refresh

Lowe's comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 0.5%

Market Model 55.0% 20.0%

Above 3%

Market Model 2.0% 1.0%

1.5K contracts Refresh

Robinhood event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above $65 billion

Market Model 47.0% 7.0%

Above $80 billion

Market Model 7.0% 1.0%

82.4K contracts Refresh

Robinhood event contracts trading volume in Q3 Kalshi

Above $16 billion

Market Model 75.0% 20.0%

Above $18 billion

Market Model 37.0% 20.0%

18.5K contracts Refresh

Grab monthly transacting users in Q3 Kalshi

Above 58.5 million

Market Model 7.0% 0.7%

Above 60.5 million

Market Model 9.0% 0.3%

375 contracts Refresh

First Solar module volume sold in Q3 Kalshi

Above 3800 mw

Market Model 95.0% 20.0%

Above 5200 mw

Market Model 1.0% 0.1%

59.0K contracts Refresh

Coinbase monthly transacting users in Q3 Kalshi

Above 9.5 million

Market Model 5.0% 0.0%

Above 9 million

Market Model 16.0% 0.0%

504 contracts Refresh

Coinbase monthly transacting users in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 7 million

Market Model 81.0% 12.0%

Above 8 million

Market Model 26.0% 12.0%

6.8K contracts Refresh

Amazon headcount in Q3 Kalshi

Above 1.54 million

Market Model 97.0% 1.0%

Above 1.6 million

Market Model 82.0% 0.3%

23.1K contracts Refresh

Wingstop total restaurants in Q3 Kalshi

Above 3360

Market Model 78.0% 65.1%

Above 3380

Market Model 33.0% 28.3%

4.1K contracts Refresh

Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in 2026 Kalshi

Above 216

Market Model 38.0% 37.4%

Above 204

Market Model 84.0% 80.5%

716 contracts Refresh

Meta ad impressions growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 18%

Market Model 5.0% 1.7%

Above 16%

Market Model 9.0% 9.7%

956 contracts Refresh

Wendy's US same-restaurant sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above -6%

Market Model 47.0% 59.7%

Above -12%

Market Model 92.0% 94.2%

1.7K contracts Refresh

Wingstop domestic same store sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 2%

Market Model 11.0% 5.7%

Above -2%

Market Model 47.0% 25.6%

1.1K contracts Refresh

Uber trips in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 16 billion

Market Model 69.0% 61.1%

Above 15.4 billion

Market Model 99.0% 94.0%

2.2K contracts Refresh

Starbucks comparable transactions growth in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 7%

Market Model 11.0% 9.0%

Above 6%

Market Model 32.0% 20.2%

1.2K contracts Refresh

Starbucks total global stores in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 41800

Market Model 14.0% 15.0%

Above 41500

Market Model 62.0% 73.9%

1.3K contracts Refresh

Roblox hours engaged in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 140 billion

Market Model 24.0% 14.7%

Above 135 billion

Market Model 10.0% 23.1%

13.0K contracts Refresh

Meta headcount in Q3 Kalshi

Above 77 thousand

Market Model 4.0% 3.2%

Above 69 thousand

Market Model 40.0% 26.3%

6.6K contracts Refresh

Meta family daily active people in Q3 Kalshi

Above 3.69 billion

Market Model 8.0% 38.9%

Above 3.64 billion

Market Model 46.0% 38.9%

120 contracts Refresh

Robinhood gold subs in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4.9 million

Market Model 96.0% 93.1%

Above 4.8 million

Market Model 98.0% 93.1%

7.9K contracts Refresh

Robinhood funded customers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 29 million

Market Model 14.0% 64.1%

Above 29.5 million

Market Model 5.0% 25.9%

78.2K contracts Refresh

Futu total funded accounts in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 4.4 million

Market Model 7.0% 5.5%

Above 4.1 million

Market Model 83.0% 84.1%

671 contracts Refresh

Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 Kalshi

Above 215000

Market Model 68.0% 53.6%

Above 220000

Market Model 13.0% 19.0%

52.0K contracts Refresh

Chipotle total restaurant count in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4290

Market Model 20.0% 24.0%

Above 4280

Market Model 24.0% 25.9%

5.4K contracts Refresh

Chipotle comparable restaurant sales increase in Q3 Kalshi

Above 2%

Market Model 38.0% 34.2%

Above 0%

Market Model 87.0% 76.8%

1.9K contracts Refresh

Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in Q3 Kalshi

Above 3.4%

Market Model 61.0% 81.3%

Above 4%

Market Model 33.0% 49.4%

4.3K contracts Refresh

Wendy's US same-restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above -5%

Market Model 35.0% 47.6%

Above -6%

Market Model 57.0% 59.1%

4.4K contracts Refresh

Verizon postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 650 thousand

Market Model 95.0% 97.2%

Above 600 thousand

Market Model 94.0% 97.2%

1.4K contracts Refresh

Uber trips in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4.1 billion

Market Model 58.0% 51.9%

Above 4.15 billion

Market Model 45.0% 49.5%

1.3K contracts Refresh

Snap average daily active users in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 492 million

Market Model 77.0% 44.2%

Above 500 million

Market Model 98.0% 12.7%

5.3K contracts Refresh

Snap daily active users in Q3 Kalshi

Above 494 million

Market Model 65.0% 41.4%

Above 500 million

Market Model 27.0% 16.9%

4.8K contracts Refresh

Roblox daily active users in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 170 million

Market Model 5.0% 2.5%

Above 150 million

Market Model 27.0% 14.5%

1.9K contracts Refresh

Roblox hours engaged in Q3 Kalshi

Above 33 billion

Market Model 79.0% 95.4%

Above 34 billion

Market Model 31.0% 77.7%

56.9K contracts Refresh

Roblox daily active users in Q3 Kalshi

Above 146 million

Market Model 84.0% 23.8%

Above 158 million

Market Model 13.0% 8.6%

3.8K contracts Refresh

Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 11.6 billion

Market Model 91.0% 77.7%

Above 11.8 billion

Market Model 40.0% 56.4%

2.9K contracts Refresh

Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in Q3 Kalshi

Above 3.3 billion

Market Model 58.0% 60.0%

Above 3.2 billion

Market Model 62.0% 78.3%

6.2K contracts Refresh

Meta advertisement impressions growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 16%

Market Model 35.0% 24.7%

Above 14%

Market Model 59.0% 29.8%

1.2K contracts Refresh

Lyft total rides in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 1.01 billion

Market Model 85.0% 82.4%

Above 1.04 billion

Market Model 62.0% 46.2%

1.6K contracts Refresh

Lyft total rides in Q3 Kalshi

Above 270 million

Market Model 40.0% 18.5%

Above 272 million

Market Model 21.0% 12.5%

3.1K contracts Refresh

Home Depot customer transactions in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 1.6 billion

Market Model 2.0% 40.8%

Above 1.62 billion

Market Model 51.0% 8.9%

2.2K contracts Refresh

Home Depot customer transactions in Q3 Kalshi

Above 405 million

Market Model 6.0% 3.0%

Above 390 million

Market Model 49.0% 34.8%

1.3K contracts Refresh

Futu total funded accounts in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4.15 million

Market Model 11.0% 7.5%

Above 3.95 million

Market Model 92.0% 68.6%

639 contracts Refresh

Figma paid customers >$100k arr in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 2000

Market Model 40.0% 42.0%

Above 1950

Market Model 54.0% 48.5%

1.1K contracts Refresh

Figma paid customers >$100k arr in Q3 Kalshi

Above 1725

Market Model 93.0% 90.0%

Above 1800

Market Model 39.0% 46.9%

261 contracts Refresh

Duolingo paid subscribers in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 14.4 million

Market Model 6.0% 5.5%

Above 14.2 million

Market Model 11.0% 5.5%

956 contracts Refresh

Duolingo daily active users in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 61 million

Market Model 77.0% 74.0%

Above 68.5 million

Market Model 4.0% 3.9%

6.3K contracts Refresh

Duolingo paid subscribers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 13.9 million

Market Model 8.0% 7.5%

Above 13.7 million

Market Model 20.0% 16.3%

4.6K contracts Refresh

Duolingo daily active users in Q3 Kalshi

Above 60 million

Market Model 78.0% 56.2%

Above 59.5 million

Market Model 83.0% 70.1%

3.0K contracts Refresh

DraftKings sportsbook margin in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 6.5%

Market Model 83.0% 76.6%

Above 9%

Market Model 4.0% 2.3%

1.2K contracts Refresh

DraftKings average monthly unique payers in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 4 million

Market Model 62.0% 69.1%

Above 4.8 million

Market Model 1.0% 3.2%

2.0K contracts Refresh

DraftKings average monthly unique payers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 3.6 million

Market Model 88.0% 36.6%

Above 3.4 million

Market Model 95.0% 54.2%

10.8K contracts Refresh

DraftKings sportsbook margin in Q3 Kalshi

Above 7%

Market Model 64.0% 39.6%

Above 6%

Market Model 83.0% 72.2%

2.8K contracts Refresh

Taco Bell same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 4%

Market Model 50.0% 64.2%

Above 3%

Market Model 77.0% 76.6%

13.8K contracts Refresh

KFC same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 0%

Market Model 89.0% 84.4%

Above 5%

Market Model 5.0% 3.0%

1.6K contracts Refresh

Wyndham Hotels total rooms in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 890 thousand

Market Model 66.0% 72.2%

Above 895 thousand

Market Model 40.0% 47.8%

9.9K contracts Refresh

Verizon postpaid phone net additions in Q3 Kalshi

Above 325 thousand

Market Model 21.0% 7.4%

Above 275 thousand

Market Model 43.0% 22.9%

3.3K contracts Refresh

Klarna active consumers in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 128 million

Market Model 42.0% 60.7%

Above 126 million

Market Model 59.0% 79.0%

3.9K contracts Refresh

CAVA total restaurants in Q3 Kalshi

Above 494

Market Model 86.0% 47.6%

Above 492

Market Model 99.0% 82.0%

17.6K contracts Refresh

American Express cards-in-force in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 162 million

Market Model 4.0% 9.4%

Above 157 million

Market Model 61.0% 73.3%

11.4K contracts Refresh

Wyndham Hotels total rooms in Q3 Kalshi

Above 882 thousand

Market Model 34.0% 25.9%

Above 885 thousand

Market Model 19.0% 18.1%

4.5K contracts Refresh

Spotify premium subscribers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 304 million

Market Model 70.0% 78.0%

Above 306 million

Market Model 48.0% 19.0%

3.8K contracts Refresh

Spotify monthly active users in Q3 Kalshi

Above 802 million

Market Model 16.0% 9.0%

Above 794 million

Market Model 52.0% 43.7%

1.7K contracts Refresh

Shopify gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above $470 billion

Market Model 85.0% 90.0%

Above $490 billion

Market Model 79.0% 61.0%

10.0K contracts Refresh

Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q3 Kalshi

Above $122 billion

Market Model 24.0% 10.5%

Above $113 billion

Market Model 77.0% 61.1%

4.5K contracts Refresh

McDonald's total restaurants in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 47000

Market Model 84.0% 89.9%

Above 47600

Market Model 37.0% 0.0%

1.2K contracts Refresh

McDonald's comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 3%

Market Model 39.0% 28.0%

Above 2%

Market Model 60.0% 44.0%

10.7K contracts Refresh

McDonald's Corporation total systemwide restaurants in Q3 2026 Kalshi

Above 46700

Market Model 25.0% 45.8%

Above 46400

Market Model 81.0% 86.3%

2.7K contracts Refresh

McDonald's Corporation global comparable sales growth in Q3 2026 Kalshi

Above 2.5%

Market Model 27.0% 38.3%

Above 2%

Market Model 45.0% 38.4%

3.3K contracts Refresh

Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above $225

Market Model 88.0% 78.0%

Above $220

Market Model 86.0% 79.0%

9.2K contracts Refresh

Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q3 Kalshi

Above 57.5 million

Market Model 39.0% 22.5%

Above 57 million

Market Model 72.0% 48.4%

6.1K contracts Refresh

Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q3 Kalshi

Above $185

Market Model 99.0% 97.2%

Above $210

Market Model 92.0% 87.6%

11.4K contracts Refresh

Klarna active klarna consumers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 123 million

Market Model 52.0% 62.0%

Above 121 million

Market Model 79.0% 87.0%

2.6K contracts Refresh

Robinhood gold subscribers in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 5.2 million

Market Model 68.0% 35.0%

Above 5.4 million

Market Model 50.0% 25.0%

7.2K contracts Refresh

Google search paid clicks change in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 12%

Market Model 25.0% 27.6%

Above 8%

Market Model 63.0% 62.1%

5.1K contracts Refresh

Google search paid clicks change in Q3 Kalshi

Above 15%

Market Model 32.0% 24.0%

Above 14%

Market Model 55.0% 44.4%

5.9K contracts Refresh

Disney domestic parks attendance growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 1%

Market Model 48.0% 26.1%

Above 0%

Market Model 59.0% 52.2%

9.4K contracts Refresh

DoorDash total orders in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 3.9 billion

Market Model 60.0% 71.2%

Above 4.1 billion

Market Model 1.0% 10.4%

2.4K contracts Refresh

DoorDash total orders in Q3 Kalshi

Above 990 million

Market Model 56.0% 61.0%

Above 1000 million

Market Model 38.0% 25.0%

3.1K contracts Refresh

Chipotle headcount in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 110 thousand

Market Model 76.0% 89.9%

Above 108 thousand

Market Model 92.0% 89.9%

4.9K contracts Refresh

CAVA total restaurants in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 520

Market Model 46.0% 15.0%

Above 515

Market Model 62.0% 66.3%

5.1K contracts Refresh

Webull funded accounts in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 5.35 million

Market Model 29.0% 30.6%

Above 5.25 million

Market Model 76.0% 56.6%

2.0K contracts Refresh

Webull funded accounts in Q3 Kalshi

Above 5.35 million

Market Model 13.0% 17.5%

Above 5.4 million

Market Model 13.0% 17.5%

4.6K contracts Refresh

Airbnb Inc. nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 600 million

Market Model 4.0% 10.4%

Above 595 million

Market Model 5.0% 30.2%

1.3K contracts Refresh

Airbnb bookings in Q3 Kalshi

Above 146 million

Market Model 62.0% 34.4%

Above 150 million

Market Model 30.0% 22.0%

3.3K contracts Refresh

Lockheed Martin headcount in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 124 thousand

Market Model 37.0% 16.0%

Above 123 thousand

Market Model 78.0% 19.0%

7.7K contracts Refresh

Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 130

Market Model 73.0% 58.1%

Above 170

Market Model 4.0% 5.2%

5.3K contracts Refresh

Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in Q3 Kalshi

Above 35

Market Model 59.0% 57.4%

Above 55

Market Model 4.0% 2.3%

14.7K contracts Refresh

Intel headcount in Q3 Kalshi

Above 80 thousand

Market Model 70.0% 73.6%

Above 80.5 thousand

Market Model 71.0% 37.6%

8.4K contracts Refresh

Google headcount in Q3 Kalshi

Above 204 thousand

Market Model 75.0% 48.0%

Above 203 thousand

Market Model 62.0% 55.0%

6.2K contracts Refresh

American Express headcount in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 76 thousand

Market Model 72.0% 63.0%

Above 75 thousand

Market Model 89.0% 73.3%

10.1K contracts Refresh

American Express cards-in-force in Q3 Kalshi

Above 157 million

Market Model 4.0% 43.9%

Above 156 million

Market Model 25.0% 90.2%

96.4K contracts Refresh

Alaska Air passenger load factor in Q3 Kalshi

Above 84%

Market Model 34.0% 47.6%

Above 84.5%

Market Model 39.0% 31.1%

22.0K contracts Refresh

American Airlines passenger load factor in Q3 Kalshi

Above 84%

Market Model 86.0% 70.1%

Above 87%

Market Model 4.0% 4.6%

43.4K contracts Refresh

American Airlines passenger load factor in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 82%

Market Model 94.0% 94.5%

Above 82.5%

Market Model 74.0% 92.7%

41.0K contracts Refresh

Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers? Kalshi

Paramount

Market Model 65.0% 52.5%

Netflix

Market Model 4.0% 4.1%

4.0M contracts Refresh

How low will the S&P get this year? Kalshi

5,900 or below

Market Model 6.4% 3.7%

6,300 or below

Market Model 31.7% 21.6%

737.3K contracts Refresh

Talen Energy TWh generation in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 50 TWh

Market Model 99.0% 94.3%

Above 53 TWh

Market Model 91.0% 94.3%

8.2K contracts Refresh

Charles Schwab active brokerage accounts in Q3 Kalshi

Above 41 million

Market Model 4.0% 7.8%

Above 40.8 million

Market Model 13.0% 12.1%

8.0K contracts Refresh

First Solar Gigawatts sold in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 17.4 GW

Market Model 63.0% 67.0%

Above 17.6 GW

Market Model 41.0% 50.0%

1.1K contracts Refresh

Domino's US same store sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 2%

Market Model 34.0% 52.2%

Above 4%

Market Model 15.0% 44.0%

4.5K contracts Refresh

Wingstop US same store sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above -2%

Market Model 44.0% 81.7%

Above -1%

Market Model 96.0% 81.7%

1.9K contracts Refresh

Domino's total US stores in Q3 Kalshi

Above 7280

Market Model 7.0% 23.4%

Above 7240

Market Model 94.0% 98.0%

42.9K contracts Refresh

United Airlines passengers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 50.5 million

Market Model 37.0% 0.5%

Above 49.5 million

Market Model 93.0% 0.5%

4.0K contracts Refresh

Dollarama comparable store sales growth in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 6%

Market Model 18.0% 8.6%

Above 5%

Market Model 48.0% 30.0%

2.1K contracts Refresh

Boeing commercial deliveries in Q3 Kalshi

Above 168

Market Model 5.0% 94.0%

Above 192

Market Model 1.0% 8.0%

92.6K contracts Refresh

Loblaw food retail same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 2%

Market Model 79.0% 85.3%

Above 3.5%

Market Model 14.0% 6.7%

3.4K contracts Refresh

United Airlines passengers flown in 2026 Kalshi

Above 186 million

Market Model 80.0% 51.6%

Above 180 million

Market Model 94.0% 96.0%

27.6K contracts Refresh

Tesla total production in 2026 Kalshi

Above 1.9 million

Market Model 10.0% 9.0%

Above 1.65 million

Market Model 80.0% 72.3%

11.3K contracts Refresh

Tesla headcount in 2026 Kalshi

Above 130000

Market Model 84.0% 81.9%

Above 140000

Market Model 38.0% 41.1%

13.0K contracts Refresh

Tesla total deliveries in 2026 Kalshi

Above 1.75 million

Market Model 62.0% 28.6%

Above 1.9 million

Market Model 11.0% 8.1%

61.8K contracts Refresh

Tesla total deliveries in Q3 Kalshi

Above 500000

Market Model 16.0% 38.9%

Above 440000

Market Model 84.0% 54.3%

58.6K contracts Refresh

Toast total locations in 2026 Kalshi

Above 198 thousand

Market Model 33.0% 28.5%

Above 189 thousand

Market Model 93.0% 98.8%

14.5K contracts Refresh

How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026? Kalshi

Above 1000

Market Model 29.0% 47.6%

Above 5000

Market Model 7.0% 21.0%

154.8K contracts Refresh

How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? Kalshi

Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter

Market Model 64.0% 96.5%

Above 30 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter

Market Model 3.0% 18.5%

37.2K contracts Refresh

How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year? Kalshi

Above 500000 in a single quarter

Market Model 52.0% 50.4%

Above 750000 in a single quarter

Market Model 3.0% 5.5%

104.3K contracts Refresh

Will NYC subway ridership reach its pre-Covid average? Kalshi

4.19 million

Market Model 56.0% 27.1%

4.65 million

Market Model 11.0% 3.9%

11.6K contracts Refresh

Constellation Brands Beer Shipments in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 425 million

Market Model 38.0% 26.7%

Above 430 million

Market Model 7.0% 3.2%

45 contracts Refresh

Constellation Brands total beer shipments in Q2 Kalshi

Above 120 million

Market Model 44.0% 32.4%

Above 124 million

Market Model 25.0% 9.3%

772 contracts Refresh

Spotify premium subscribers in 2026 Kalshi

Above 316 million

Market Model 9.0% 27.0%

Above 328 million

Market Model 2.0% 5.5%

10.3K contracts Refresh

Spotify total monthly active users in 2026 Kalshi

Above 800 million

Market Model 97.0% 91.0%

Above 810 million

Market Model 80.0% 84.0%

19.7K contracts Refresh

Spotify headcount in 2026 Kalshi

Above 7300

Market Model 33.0% 3.6%

Above 7400

Market Model 11.0% 3.4%

362 contracts Refresh

Charles Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts in 2026 Kalshi

Above 41 million

Market Model 31.0% 21.0%

Above 40.8 million

Market Model 51.0% 22.0%

539 contracts Refresh

Starbucks total global stores in 2026 Kalshi

Above 41800

Market Model 78.0% 2.0%

Above 42000

Market Model 11.0% 1.0%

88.0K contracts Refresh

Starbucks comparable transactions growth in 2026 Kalshi

Above 3%

Market Model 76.0% 83.0%

Above 5%

Market Model 38.0% 14.0%

1.4K contracts Refresh

Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026 Kalshi

Above 46000

Market Model 86.0% 86.1%

Above 52000

Market Model 88.0% 79.6%

77.5K contracts Refresh

Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q3 Kalshi

Above 12000

Market Model 96.0% 91.7%

Above 13500

Market Model 89.0% 66.6%

116.4K contracts Refresh

Reddit daily active uniques in 2026 Kalshi

Above 138 million

Market Model 83.0% 75.8%

Above 154 million

Market Model 3.0% 0.7%

12.1K contracts Refresh

Ferrari total car shipments in 2026 Kalshi

Above 13900

Market Model 18.0% 7.9%

Above 13500

Market Model 83.0% 64.1%

28.2K contracts Refresh

Palantir total customer count in 2026 Kalshi

Above 1100

Market Model 87.0% 90.7%

Above 1200

Market Model 33.0% 57.1%

20.9K contracts Refresh

Oracle headcount in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 160000

Market Model 11.0% 5.1%

Above 130000

Market Model 1.0% 70.4%

10.3K contracts Refresh

Netflix headcount in 2026 Kalshi

Above 17500

Market Model 40.0% 59.1%

Above 19000

Market Model 14.0% 10.4%

13.0K contracts Refresh

Norwegian Cruise passengers carried in 2026 Kalshi

Above 3.25 million

Market Model 88.0% 88.1%

Above 3.3 million

Market Model 78.0% 82.2%

66.3K contracts Refresh

Match total payers in 2026 Kalshi

Above 13.8 million

Market Model 12.0% 3.0%

Above 12.4 million

Market Model 73.0% 80.3%

27.0K contracts Refresh

Altria domestic cigarette shipments in 2026 Kalshi

Above 54.5 billion

Market Model 93.0% 62.3%

Above 61 billion

Market Model 5.0% 2.1%

48.2K contracts Refresh

Meta headcount in 2026 Kalshi

Above 65000

Market Model 86.0% 85.7%

Above 77000

Market Model 7.0% 8.0%

48.9K contracts Refresh

Meta family daily active people in 2026 Kalshi

Above 3.72 billion

Market Model 64.0% 53.3%

Above 3.68 billion

Market Model 79.0% 91.9%

4.9K contracts Refresh

MercadoLibre items sold in 2026 Kalshi

Above 3.6 billion

Market Model 12.0% 10.5%

Above 3 billion

Market Model 98.0% 91.7%

71.2K contracts Refresh

Southwest Airlines seats flown in 2026 Kalshi

Above 227 million

Market Model 59.0% 65.0%

Above 229 million

Market Model 32.0% 35.0%

3.1K contracts Refresh

Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above -6%

Market Model 35.0% 34.3%

Above -5%

Market Model 26.0% 29.5%

26.8K contracts Refresh

Intel headcount in 2026 Kalshi

Above 78000

Market Model 80.0% 72.0%

Above 80000

Market Model 70.0% 31.0%

892 contracts Refresh

Hims subscribers in 2026 Kalshi

Above 2.84 million

Market Model 94.0% 94.0%

Above 3.08 million

Market Model 44.0% 40.2%

40.6K contracts Refresh

Grab monthly transacting users in 2026 Kalshi

Above 62 million

Market Model 14.0% 4.2%

Above 60 million

Market Model 8.0% 8.5%

29.0K contracts Refresh

Google headcount in 2026 Kalshi

Above 208000

Market Model 28.0% 2.7%

Above 188000

Market Model 95.0% 97.0%

29.6K contracts Refresh

Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026 Kalshi

Above 2 million

Market Model 72.0% 56.2%

Above 1.8 million

Market Model 99.0% 98.6%

55.6K contracts Refresh

eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026 Kalshi

Above $92 billion

Market Model 9.0% 9.7%

Above $91 billion

Market Model 12.0% 16.4%

57.2K contracts Refresh

Domino's total US stores in 2026 Kalshi

Above 7350

Market Model 79.0% 98.0%

Above 7375

Market Model 12.0% 75.3%

2.1K contracts Refresh

Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026 Kalshi

Above 900 thousand

Market Model 13.0% 2.7%

Above 910 thousand

Market Model 5.0% 2.7%

13.4K contracts Refresh

Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above -1%

Market Model 66.0% 67.4%

Above 0%

Market Model 44.0% 48.5%

23.9K contracts Refresh

When will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week? Kalshi

Before 2027

Market Model 77.0% 79.7%

Before November

Market Model 16.0% 51.2%

17.4K contracts Refresh

Chipotle total restaurant count in 2026 Kalshi

Above 4320

Market Model 94.0% 98.8%

Above 4300

Market Model 88.0% 98.8%

20.3K contracts Refresh

Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in 2026 Kalshi

Above 97.3 million

Market Model 95.0% 68.3%

Above 97.1 million

Market Model 98.0% 86.2%

74.4K contracts Refresh

Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in Q3 Kalshi

Above 25.6 million

Market Model 2.0% 4.0%

Above 25 million

Market Model 3.0% 14.7%

92.8K contracts Refresh

Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026 Kalshi

Above 680

Market Model 4.0% 9.3%

Above 640

Market Model 55.0% 43.2%

299.0K contracts Refresh

Aritzia comparable sales growth in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 24%

Market Model 35.0% 19.9%

Above 21%

Market Model 69.0% 51.2%

4.5K contracts Refresh

Aritzia comparable sales growth in Q2 Kalshi

Above 30%

Market Model 62.0% 46.3%

Above 36%

Market Model 17.0% 5.3%

2.7K contracts Refresh

Amazon headcount in 2026 Kalshi

Above 1575000

Market Model 89.0% 26.9%

Above 1600000

Market Model 68.0% 17.9%

45.6K contracts Refresh

Air Canada passenger load factor in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 86%

Market Model 85.0% 27.1%

Above 87%

Market Model 35.0% 7.8%

6.1K contracts Refresh

Apple headcount in 2026 Kalshi

Above 172000

Market Model 29.0% 17.2%

Above 170000

Market Model 39.0% 31.2%

9.5K contracts Refresh

Clear active clear+ members in 2026 Kalshi

Above 8.7 million

Market Model 37.0% 65.7%

Above 8.6 million

Market Model 57.0% 66.6%

29.5K contracts Refresh

Tesla total production in Q3 Kalshi

Above 460000

Market Model 68.0% 59.8%

Above 470000

Market Model 50.0% 40.3%

6.7K contracts Refresh

Nu Holdings customers in 2026 Kalshi

Above 143 million

Market Model 96.0% 86.8%

Above 154 million

Market Model 7.0% 6.4%

2.0K contracts Refresh

Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3 Kalshi

Above 490 thousand

Market Model 79.0% 56.2%

Above 480 thousand

Market Model 95.0% 56.2%

44.0K contracts Refresh

Robinhood funded customers in 2026 Kalshi

Above 30.2 million

Market Model 28.0% 87.6%

Above 30 million

Market Model 27.0% 90.6%

215.8K contracts Refresh

Domino's US same store sales growth in 2026 Kalshi

Above 2.5%

Market Model 20.0% 35.2%

Above 2%

Market Model 35.0% 35.2%

3.0K contracts Refresh

What sector will Anthropic be assigned to? Kalshi

Information Technology

Market Model 81.0% 78.7%

Unassigned

Market Model 10.0% 8.8%

22.0K contracts Refresh

When will Skims officially announce an IPO? Kalshi

Before Oct 1, 2026

Market Model 4.0% 2.5%

Before Nov 1, 2026

Market Model 6.0% 3.0%

23.3K contracts Refresh

What sector will OpenAI be assigned to? Kalshi

Real Estate

Market Model 1.0% 0.9%

Information Technology

Market Model 90.0% 75.7%

24.1K contracts Refresh

When will Waymo officially announce an IPO? Kalshi

Before Nov 1, 2026

Market Model 1.0% 0.6%

Before Oct 1, 2026

Market Model 1.0% 0.6%

30.6K contracts Refresh

When will Airtable officially announce an IPO? Kalshi

Before Jan 1, 2028

Market Model 23.0% 13.5%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Market Model 11.0% 6.4%

2.4K contracts Refresh

Who will acquire Pinterest this year? Kalshi

OpenAI

Market Model 3.0% 19.9%

Meta

Market Model 2.0% 13.4%

225.6K contracts Refresh

When will Glean officially announce an IPO? Kalshi

Before Jan 1, 2027

Market Model 10.0% 7.6%

Before Oct 1, 2026

Market Model 14.0% 7.0%

1.2K contracts Refresh

Will the S&P finish positive this year? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 75.0% 80.5%

769.3K contracts Refresh

When will Rippling officially announce an IPO? Kalshi

Before Jan 1, 2027

Market Model 7.0% 2.0%

Before Jun 1, 2027

Market Model 18.0% 17.5%

2.9K contracts Refresh

How high will the KOSPI Composite Index get in 2026? Kalshi

At least ₩8,900

Market Model 99.0% 100.0%

At least ₩8,875

Market Model 99.0% 100.0%

17.1K contracts Refresh

When will Anduril officially announce an IPO? Kalshi

Before Jun 1, 2027

Market Model 25.0% 16.9%

Before Feb 1, 2027

Market Model 16.0% 10.9%

84.8K contracts Refresh

When will Beast Industries officially announce an IPO? Kalshi

Before Jun 1, 2027

Market Model 25.0% 16.0%

Before May 1, 2027

Market Model 25.0% 15.0%

7.6K contracts Refresh

When will Brex officially announce an IPO? Kalshi

Before Jun 1, 2027

Market Model 6.0% 0.0%

Before May 1, 2027

Market Model 7.0% 0.0%

7.2K contracts Refresh

When will Cluely officially announce an IPO? Kalshi

Before Apr 1, 2027

Market Model 7.0% 4.0%

Before Jun 1, 2027

Market Model 6.0% 4.0%

3.3K contracts Refresh

When will Deel officially announce an IPO? Kalshi

Before Jan 1, 2027

Market Model 12.0% 8.1%

Before Nov 1, 2026

Market Model 3.0% 8.1%

16.0K contracts Refresh

When will Olipop officially announce an IPO? Kalshi

Before Jun 1, 2027

Market Model 16.0% 11.9%

Before May 1, 2027

Market Model 18.0% 11.7%

3.3K contracts Refresh

When will Whoop officially announce an IPO? Kalshi

Before Jan 1, 2027

Market Model 19.0% 14.7%

Before Jan 1, 2028

Market Model 35.0% 33.8%

6.0K contracts Refresh

When will Stripe officially announce an IPO? Kalshi

Before Jun 1, 2027

Market Model 17.0% 8.6%

Before Oct 1, 2026

Market Model 10.0% 5.0%

35.8K contracts Refresh

When will Discord officially announce an IPO? Kalshi

Before Jan 1, 2027

Market Model 55.0% 36.7%

Before Oct 1, 2026

Market Model 23.0% 13.5%

47.9K contracts Refresh

When will AppsFlyer officially announce an IPO? Kalshi

Before Nov 1, 2026

Market Model 15.0% 7.5%

Before Jun 1, 2027

Market Model 32.0% 18.1%

964 contracts Refresh

When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO? Kalshi

Before Jun 1, 2027

Market Model 12.0% 8.7%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Market Model 6.0% 6.4%

31.7K contracts Refresh

Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026? Kalshi

18,999.99 or below

Market Model 10.0% 6.4%

33,000.01 or above

Market Model 30.0% 25.3%

2.5M contracts Refresh

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? Kalshi

Spirit Airlines

Market Model 6.0% 2.2%

Anduril

Market Model 32.0% 19.5%

881.0K contracts Refresh

S&P close price end of 2026? Kalshi

3,999.99 or below

Market Model 2.0% 1.3%

7,400 to 7,599.99

Market Model 9.0% 6.4%

3.9M contracts Refresh

Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027? Kalshi

Citigroup

Market Model 41.0% 27.9%

Goldman Sachs

Market Model 31.0% 18.6%

104.2K contracts Refresh

What flavors will JUUL relaunch? Kalshi

Mango

Market Model 9.0% 2.4%

Mint

Market Model 30.0% 11.8%

51.8K contracts Refresh

When will Ramp officially announce an IPO? Kalshi

Before Jun 1, 2027

Market Model 29.0% 17.3%

Before Apr 1, 2027

Market Model 17.0% 10.8%

5.9K contracts Refresh

Will Deel or Rippling IPO first? Kalshi

Deel

Market Model 60.0% 72.4%

Rippling

Market Model 37.0% 27.6%

9.0K contracts Refresh

Annual Return: WTI vs. Brent? Kalshi

WTI Crude Oil

Market Model 34.0% 29.9%

Brent Crude Oil

Market Model 55.0% 70.1%

13.0K contracts Refresh

Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. Gold? Kalshi

Gold

Market Model 36.0% 28.7%

S&P 500 Total Return Index

Market Model 65.0% 71.3%

17.9K contracts Refresh

Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. BTC? Kalshi

S&P 500 Total Return Index

Market Model 75.0% 89.6%

BTC

Market Model 14.0% 10.4%

7.6K contracts Refresh

Will Ramp or Brex IPO first? Kalshi

Brex

Market Model 3.0% 0.0%

Ramp

Market Model 91.0% 89.0%

21.4K contracts Refresh

How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026? Kalshi

28,400 or above

Market Model 99.9% 100.0%

29,000 or above

Market Model 98.0% 100.0%

227.2K contracts Refresh

Will Rolex release a steel GMT-Master II with a black and red Bezel this year? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 7.0% 7.0%

25.9K contracts Refresh

Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 30.5% 22.3%

162.6K contracts Refresh

Will xAI release a video game before 2027? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 40.0% 30.5%

17.3K contracts Refresh

Will Dodge release a new Challenger Hellcat before 2027? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 17.0% 11.2%

11.9K contracts Refresh

Sam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 33.0% 17.5%

63.5K contracts Refresh

Will BMW release a Fully Electric M3 before 2028? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 81.0% 85.4%

15.2K contracts Refresh

X re-launches Vine this year? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 11.0% 7.1%

9.9K contracts Refresh

New Xbox this year? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 16.0% 7.6%

10.3K contracts Refresh

Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 27.0% 27.0%

275.3K contracts Refresh

Will Rolex release a new reference in titanium this year? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 3.0% 1.9%

5.9K contracts Refresh

Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 10.0% 12.8%

7.3K contracts Refresh

Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 69.9% 64.8%

54.1K contracts Refresh

Who will be the next CEO of X? Kalshi

Elon Musk

Market Model 15.0% 50.2%

Nikita Bier

Market Model 12.0% 11.4%

46.7K contracts Refresh

Will Sony Pictures Animation release 'KPop Demon Hunters 2" before 2027? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 8.0% 8.0%

56.4K contracts Refresh

Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? Kalshi

Rafael Grossi

Market Model 56.0% 56.9%

Michelle Bachelet

Market Model 11.0% 8.9%

21.9K contracts Refresh

Courts consider Apple a monopoly? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 30.0% 35.3%

49.6K contracts Refresh

Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 15.0% 10.6%

37.9K contracts Refresh

How much will a Fyre Festival 2 General Admission Ticket cost? Kalshi

At least $100

Market Model 83.0% 70.0%

At least $1400

Market Model 71.0% 54.2%

3.0K contracts Refresh

Who will replace Jamie Dimon as JPMorgan CEO? Kalshi

Marianne Lake

Market Model 49.0% 24.5%

Troy Rohrbaugh

Market Model 23.0% 7.4%

13.8K contracts Refresh

When will any company achieve AGI? Kalshi

Before Oct 1, 2026

Market Model 19.0% 21.7%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Market Model 28.0% 30.8%

25.5K contracts Refresh

USD/BRL high in 20​26 Kalshi

7 or above

Market Model 25.0% 18.0%

6.5 or above

Market Model 73.0% 52.0%

542.8K contracts Refresh

Which companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027? Kalshi

Disney

Market Model 8.0% 1.9%

Netflix

Market Model 18.0% 8.8%

70.1K contracts Refresh

Will Elon purchase Ryanair? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 8.0% 5.1%

80.7K contracts Refresh

Tesla Roadsters delivered this year? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 18.0% 1.1%

26.5K contracts Refresh

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 21.0% 21.5%

711.7K contracts Refresh

Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 9.0% 6.3%

52.3K contracts Refresh

Jamie Dimon leaves JPMorgan Chase? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 18.0% 26.6%

12.5K contracts Refresh