Above 20 twh
Market Model 75.0% 74.4%
Above 21 twh
Market Model 12.0% 74.4%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Talen Energy TWh generation in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 20 twh | 75.0% | 74.4% | High | 58 | Refresh |
Wendy's US same-restaurant sales growth in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 2.0% | 0.0% | 2.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Frontier Airlines load factor in Q4 2026 Top outcome: Above 75% | 0.0% | 1.0% | High | — | Refresh |
TELUS internet additions in Q4 2026 Top outcome: Above 10,000 | 0.0% | 0.4% | High | — | Refresh |
JetBlue load factor in Q4 2026 Top outcome: Above 78% | 0.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
JetBlue average fare in Q4 2026 Top outcome: Above $210 | 0.0% | 20.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Chime active members in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 11.8 million | 80.0% | 0.7% | High | — | Refresh |
CAVA total restaurants in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 525 | 0.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
BCE mobile phone activations in Q4 2026 Top outcome: Above 20,000 | 0.0% | 20.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Remitly active customers in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 10.5 million | 0.0% | 0.4% | High | — | Refresh |
MercadoLibre items sold in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 1000 million | 0.0% | 2.0% | High | — | Refresh |
MercadoLibre gross merchandise volume in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above $24 billion | 0.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
MercadoLibre fintech monthly active users in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 101 million | 0.0% | 20.0% | High | — | Refresh |
McDonald's global comparable sales growth in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 2.0% | 32.0% | 80.6% | High | — | Refresh |
Lemonade total customers in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 3.75 million | 0.0% | 0.4% | High | — | Refresh |
Klaviyo customers over $50k ARR in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 5000 | 0.0% | 1.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Figma paid customers >$100k arr in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 1850 | 0.0% | 0.7% | High | — | Refresh |
Dave ExtraCash origination volume in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above $2.4 billion | 0.0% | 0.3% | High | — | Refresh |
Coeur Mining gold production in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 140000 ounces | 0.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
CAVA same restaurant sales growth in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.5% | High | — | Refresh |
Dutch Bros same-shop sales growth in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 1.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Dutch Bros total shops in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 1340 | 0.0% | 0.4% | High | — | Refresh |
Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above -4% | 99.0% | 98.8% | High | — | Refresh |
KFC same-store sales growth in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 1% | 99.0% | 98.5% | High | — | Refresh |
Clear+ members in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 9.1 million | 40.0% | 0.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Uber trips in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 4.2 billion | 76.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Toast total locations in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 196 thousand | 84.0% | 0.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above $120 billion | 70.0% | 98.6% | High | — | Refresh |
Ferrari shipments in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 3300 | 81.0% | 99.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Palantir total customers in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 1150 | 99.0% | 98.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Paymentus transactions processed in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 255 million | 4.0% | 0.0% | High | — | Refresh |
New York Times total subscribers in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 14.3 million | 0.0% | 20.0% | High | — | Refresh |
New York Times total subscribers in Q4 2026 Top outcome: Above 14.8 million | 13.0% | 6.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Match total payers in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 12.2 million | 0.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
McDonald's total systemwide restaurants in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 48300 | 34.0% | 0.1% | High | — | Refresh |
Grab monthly transacting users in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 59 million | 0.0% | 10.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Duolingo paid subscribers in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 13.6 million | 0.0% | 0.5% | High | — | Refresh |
Duolingo daily active users in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 70 million | 76.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Datadog customers over $100k ARR in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 5200 | 62.0% | 0.2% | High | — | Refresh |
Apple headcount in 2027 Top outcome: Above 162000 | 0.0% | 0.1% | High | — | Refresh |
Coinbase monthly transacting users in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 9 million | 4.0% | 6.0% | High | — | Refresh |
BrightSpring Health prescriptions filled in Q1 Top outcome: Above 10.8 million | 0.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Wingstop total restaurants in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 3,630 | 17.0% | 25.9% | High | 56 | Refresh |
Starbucks total global stores in 2027 Top outcome: Above 42,400 | 85.0% | 20.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Starbucks comparable transactions growth in 2027 Top outcome: Above -4.0% | 93.0% | 20.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Reddit daily active uniques in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 118 million | 0.0% | 1.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Roblox hours engaged in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 42 billion | 3.0% | 2.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Roblox daily active users in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 130 million | 73.0% | 0.1% | High | — | Refresh |
Marriott International total rooms in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 1.88 million | 39.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Intel headcount in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 78 thousand | 63.0% | 0.2% | High | — | Refresh |
First Solar module volume sold in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 2400 mw | 97.0% | 0.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Amazon headcount in Q1 Top outcome: Above 1.54 million | 97.0% | 20.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Air Canada passenger load factor in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 93.5% | 3.0% | 0.1% | High | — | Refresh |
Domino's total US stores in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 7,270 | 93.0% | 84.3% | High | 56 | Refresh |
Petrobras total production (Mboed) in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 3800 mboed | 17.0% | 21.1% | High | 60 | Refresh |
Lowe's customer transactions in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 785 million | 3.0% | 0.0% | High | — | Refresh |
eBay gross merchandise volume in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above $24.1 billion | 90.0% | 6.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 270000 | 94.0% | 1.0% | High | — | Refresh |
The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 14.0% | 35.0% | 4.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 1070 thousand | 91.0% | 0.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Altria Group cigarette shipments in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 12 billion | 0.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Hilton US occupancy in Q4 2026 Top outcome: Above 70.0% | 56.0% | 20.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Google headcount in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 209 thousand | 52.0% | 20.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Etsy gross merchandise sales in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above $2.53 billion | 0.0% | 0.2% | High | — | Refresh |
DoorDash total orders in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 1010 million | 98.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Chipotle total restaurant count in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 4380 | 94.0% | 0.7% | High | — | Refresh |
Chipotle comparable restaurant sales in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 0.0% | 30.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Talen Energy TWh generation in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 50 TWh | 99.0% | 99.1% | High | 56 | Refresh |
Wingstop domestic same store sales growth in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above -8% | 98.0% | 20.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Target transactions change in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 2.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | High | — | Refresh |
SoFi members in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 19.6 million | 99.0% | 0.2% | High | — | Refresh |
Robinhood gold subscribers in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 5.6 million | 81.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Robinhood funded customers in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 29 million | 0.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Hilton US occupancy in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 64.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% | High | — | Refresh |
Google search cost-per-click change in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 0% | 0.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Ulta transactions growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Target transactions change in Q3 2026 Top outcome: Above 0% | 98.0% | 97.7% | High | 68 | Refresh |
Meta ad impressions growth in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 14% | 13.0% | 9.3% | High | 61 | Refresh |
Lowe's customer transactions in Q3 2026 Top outcome: Above 179 million | 97.0% | 87.6% | High | 66 | Refresh |
Cheesecake Factory total restaurants at end of fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 400 | 1.0% | 3.0% | High | 64 | Refresh |
Cheesecake Factory total restaurants in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 410 | 4.0% | 0.1% | High | — | Refresh |
Verizon postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 750 thousand | 84.0% | 99.0% | High | 56 | Refresh |
Which banks will take Anthropic public? Top outcome: Stifel Financial | 1.0% | 0.3% | Med | 70 | Refresh |
Corrugated recyclable paper PPI in November 2026 Top outcome: Above 80 | 87.0% | 92.7% | High | 63 | Refresh |
Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO? Top outcome: Morgan Stanley | 1.0% | 1.1% | High | 72 | Refresh |
Zscaler customers with arr of at least $1m in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 910 | 55.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Zscaler customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 825 | 9.0% | 0.1% | High | — | Refresh |
Wyndham Hotels total rooms in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 890000 | 37.0% | 27.7% | High | 69 | Refresh |
Verizon postpaid phone net additions in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 450,000 | 89.0% | 0.5% | High | — | Refresh |
Urban Outfitters total stores in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 845 | 5.0% | 0.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Urban Outfitters total stores in Q3 2027 Top outcome: Above 845 | 1.0% | 0.5% | High | — | Refresh |
United Airlines passengers in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 46 million | 5.0% | 3.9% | High | 62 | Refresh |
Toll Brothers delivered homes in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 1675 | 0.0% | 0.4% | High | — | Refresh |
Spotify premium subscribers in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 314 million | 98.0% | 87.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Spotify monthly active users in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 832 million | 90.0% | 88.5% | Med | — | Refresh |
Starlink subscribers in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 15.3 million | 96.0% | 1.2% | High | — | Refresh |
Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 3.5 billion | 38.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
UiPath customers with arr of at least $1m in Q3 2027 Top outcome: Above 415 | 9.0% | 7.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Neptune Insurance policies in force in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 382000 | 25.0% | 20.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Meta headcount in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 67000 | 99.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Meta family daily active people in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 3.58 billion | 50.0% | 99.5% | High | 65 | Refresh |
Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 55.5 million | 59.0% | 34.1% | High | 61 | Refresh |
Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above $257.5 | 19.0% | 18.6% | High | 62 | Refresh |
Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in Q3 2026 Top outcome: Above -20% | 76.0% | 37.6% | High | 53 | Refresh |
Loblaw food same-store sales growth in Q3 2026 Top outcome: Above 3% | 4.0% | 12.8% | High | 62 | Refresh |
Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 18 | 91.0% | 84.3% | High | 60 | Refresh |
Samsara customers over $100k ARR in Q3 2027 Top outcome: Above 3900 | 19.0% | 10.1% | High | 70 | Refresh |
Dollarama comparable store sales growth in Q3 2027 Top outcome: Above 8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | High | 65 | Refresh |
Disney domestic parks attendance growth in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 3% | 51.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Costco total cardholders in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 151 million | 0.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Chipotle comparable sales growth in 2026 Top outcome: Above 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% | High | — | Refresh |
American Express cards-in-force in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 155 million | 95.0% | 12.0% | Med | — | Refresh |
Alaska Air passenger load factor in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 76% | 89.0% | 87.0% | High | 66 | Refresh |
Affirm gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above $67.0 billion | 70.0% | 20.0% | High | — | Refresh |
American Airlines passenger load factor in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 75.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | High | — | Refresh |
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 91.0% | 93.6% | High | 71 | Refresh |
When will Starlink officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 30, 2027 | 5.0% | 3.0% | High | 65 | Refresh |
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Top outcome: Anthropic | 41.7% | 35.4% | High | 59 | Refresh |
When will Waymo officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2028 | 27.0% | 23.0% | High | 62 | Refresh |
When will Stripe officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 8.0% | 6.4% | High | 56 | Refresh |
When will Whoop officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 7.0% | 5.5% | High | 63 | Refresh |
When will Rippling officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 12.0% | 18.0% | High | 52 | Refresh |
When will Skims officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Dec 1, 2026 | 11.0% | 6.4% | High | 67 | Refresh |
When will Oura officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 7.0% | 4.7% | High | 64 | Refresh |
When will Ramp officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 24.0% | 16.2% | High | 58 | Refresh |
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 7.0% | 3.5% | High | 65 | Refresh |
When will Olipop officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 12.0% | 6.9% | High | 68 | Refresh |
When will Glean officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 4.0% | 6.7% | High | 62 | Refresh |
When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 18.0% | 8.0% | High | 58 | Refresh |
When will Anduril officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 21.0% | 12.3% | High | 66 | Refresh |
When will Discord officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 6.0% | 4.0% | High | 63 | Refresh |
When will Deel officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 6.0% | 5.2% | High | 63 | Refresh |
When will Cluely officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Apr 1, 2027 | 7.0% | 4.0% | High | 63 | Refresh |
When will Brex officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 7.0% | 41.9% | High | 62 | Refresh |
When will Beast Industries officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 25.0% | 19.2% | High | 60 | Refresh |
When will AppsFlyer officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Apr 1, 2027 | 11.0% | 6.4% | High | 67 | Refresh |
When will Airtable officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2030 | 26.0% | 0.1% | High | 66 | Refresh |
How high will USD/MXN get before 2027? Top outcome: Above 21 | 9.0% | 5.0% | High | 63 | Refresh |
Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in Q3 Top outcome: Above 218 | 1.0% | 4.7% | High | 57 | Refresh |
30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? Top outcome: 2.75% or above | 70.0% | 88.0% | High | 66 | Refresh |
10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027? Top outcome: 3.75% or above | 88.0% | 92.0% | High | 68 | Refresh |
Charles Schwab active brokerage accounts in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 40.9 million | 88.0% | 40.0% | High | 60 | Refresh |
Domino's US same store sales growth in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above -4% | 95.0% | 92.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Boeing commercial deliveries in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 150 | 72.0% | 60.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Aritzia comparable sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 33% | 2.0% | 1.0% | Med | — | Refresh |
How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027? Top outcome: 5.35% or above | 95.0% | 94.2% | High | 67 | Refresh |
Constellation Brands beer shipments in Q3 Top outcome: Above 86 million | 98.0% | 95.7% | High | 71 | Refresh |
How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027? Top outcome: 5.7% or above | 94.0% | 100.0% | High | 68 | Refresh |
Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 475,000 | 35.0% | 26.0% | High | 60 | Refresh |
Rivian vehicles delivered in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 25000 | 66.0% | 71.2% | High | 60 | Refresh |
Ford total vehicle US sales in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 550,000 | 4.0% | 0.4% | Med | — | Refresh |
Tesla production in Q4 Top outcome: Above 350,000 | 0.0% | 12.0% | Med | — | Refresh |
Tesla energy deployment in Q4 Top outcome: Above 10 GWh | 91.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Tesla production in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 475,000 | 49.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Tesla energy deployment in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 24 GWh | 5.0% | 0.5% | Med | — | Refresh |
Costco total cardholders in Q1 Top outcome: Above 152.2 million | 12.0% | 9.0% | High | 54 | Refresh |
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in Q1 Top outcome: Above 23.9 million | 16.0% | 0.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Vail Resorts skier visits in Q1 Top outcome: Above 650,000 | 14.0% | 0.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Chewy active customers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 22.1 million | 13.0% | 5.0% | High | 49 | Refresh |
Will Paramount announce an HQ move outside greater LA? Top outcome: Before Dec 1, 2027 | 29.0% | 48.3% | High | 56 | Refresh |
Nvidia headcount in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 52000 | 34.0% | 43.2% | High | 59 | Refresh |
Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 Top outcome: Above 0% | 76.0% | 0.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Alaska Air passenger load factor in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 82.5% | 6.0% | 23.1% | High | 68 | Refresh |
ServiceTitan gross transaction volume in Q3 Top outcome: Above $25.1 billion | 50.0% | 0.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Medtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 13% | 9.0% | 5.5% | High | 65 | Refresh |
Victoria's Secret comparable sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 9% | 17.0% | 12.0% | High | 66 | Refresh |
GitLab customers over $100k ARR in Q3 Top outcome: Above 1645 | 20.0% | 6.0% | High | 49 | Refresh |
Dollar General same-store sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 3.5% | 37.0% | 7.2% | High | 66 | Refresh |
Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Top outcome: Nebius Group | 3.6% | 1.2% | Med | 54 | Refresh |
Zoom customers over $100k in TTM revenue in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4700 | 77.0% | 20.0% | High | 60 | Refresh |
Williams-Sonoma brand growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4% | 88.0% | 20.0% | High | 52 | Refresh |
Urban Outfitters total stores in Q1 Top outcome: Above 832 | 84.0% | 88.9% | High | 51 | Refresh |
Urban Outfitters retail comparable sales in Q1 Top outcome: Above 0% | 0.0% | 0.9% | High | — | Refresh |
Okta customers with acv over $100k in Q3 Top outcome: Above 5375 | 7.0% | 14.4% | High | 61 | Refresh |
Lowe's comparable sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 0% | 61.0% | 23.2% | High | 67 | Refresh |
Dick's comparable sales in Q3 Top outcome: Above 2% | 68.0% | 65.6% | High | 64 | Refresh |
Best Buy domestic comparable sales in Q3 Top outcome: Above 3% | 46.0% | 25.0% | High | — | Refresh |
OpenAI IPO by...? Top outcome: June 30, 2026 | 0.0% | 5.5% | Med | 52 | Refresh |
Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 3.8% | 61.0% | 36.5% | High | 59 | Refresh |
Monster Beverage Corporation total case sales in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 1.18 billion | 18.0% | 10.0% | High | 58 | Refresh |
StubHub gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above $10.1 billion | 88.0% | 20.0% | High | 60 | Refresh |
StubHub gross merchandise sales in Q3 Top outcome: Above $2.4 billion | 54.0% | 58.0% | High | 64 | Refresh |
Etsy marketplace gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above $11 billion | 83.0% | 48.7% | High | 67 | Refresh |
The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 5.5% | 32.0% | 15.0% | High | — | Refresh |
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? Top outcome: Before May 1, 2027 | 32.0% | 27.0% | High | 68 | Refresh |
Cloudflare customers over $100k ARR in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 5150 | 95.0% | 97.2% | High | 52 | Refresh |
Coeur Mining gold production in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 650000 | 70.0% | 45.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Victoria's Secret comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 8% | 30.0% | 45.2% | High | 60 | Refresh |
Venture Global LNG volumes in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 1860 tbtu | 67.0% | 20.0% | High | 60 | Refresh |
ServiceTitan gross transaction volume in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above $96 billion | 58.0% | 0.1% | High | 52 | Refresh |
Remitly active customers in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 11.2 million | 20.0% | 22.0% | High | 52 | Refresh |
BrightSpring Health home health average daily census in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 47400 | 53.0% | 58.3% | High | 67 | Refresh |
Dutch Bros total shops in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 1340 | 21.0% | 5.0% | High | 60 | Refresh |
| 15.0% | 22.2% | Med | 76 | Refresh | |
Workiva customers over $100k ACV in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 2860 | 0.0% | 20.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Venture Global LNG volumes in Q3 Top outcome: Above 460 tbtu | 96.0% | 0.7% | High | 60 | Refresh |
SoFi members in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 17.8 million | 82.0% | 20.5% | High | 62 | Refresh |
Sezzle gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above $5.25 billion | 0.0% | 0.7% | Med | — | Refresh |
Paymentus transactions processed in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 830 million | 0.0% | 2.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Nu Holdings customers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 143 million | 38.0% | 10.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Natera tests processed in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 4.4 million | 7.0% | 20.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Neptune Insurance policies in force in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 360000 | 60.0% | 77.5% | High | 59 | Refresh |
Lemonade total customers in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 3.7 million | 38.0% | 1.0% | High | 53 | Refresh |
Life360 monthly active users in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 114 million | 23.0% | 12.0% | High | 52 | Refresh |
Life360 monthly active users in Q3 Top outcome: Above 107 million | 34.0% | 38.4% | High | 62 | Refresh |
Klaviyo customers over $50k ARR in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 5100 | 55.0% | 0.6% | High | — | Refresh |
Samsara customers over $100k ARR in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 4100 | 50.0% | 10.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Grindr average paying users in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 1.42 million | 71.0% | 0.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Evolv Technologies new customers in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 280 | 27.0% | 20.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Evolv Technologies new customers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 70 | 36.0% | 10.0% | Med | — | Refresh |
Datadog customer over$100k ARR in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 5140 | 44.0% | 36.0% | High | 60 | Refresh |
Dave ExtraCash origination volume in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above $9.5 billion | 55.0% | 0.7% | High | 64 | Refresh |
Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 1% | 74.0% | 1.5% | Med | 63 | Refresh |
Chime active members in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 11.3 million | 59.0% | 20.0% | High | — | Refresh |
CAVA same restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 6.5% | 92.0% | 0.7% | High | — | Refresh |
BrightSpring Health prescriptions filled in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 42.9 million | 88.0% | 0.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Dutch Bros same-shop sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | High | 69 | Refresh |
When will Apple release the iPhone 18? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 8.0% | 18.3% | High | 73 | Refresh |
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Top outcome: ↑$3.0T | 16.0% | 8.0% | Med | 56 | Refresh |
Hims subscribers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 3.15 million | 21.0% | 0.3% | Med | 62 | Refresh |
Instacart gross transaction value in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above $42 billion | 67.0% | 5.0% | High | 56 | Refresh |
eToro funded accounts in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4.35 million | 89.0% | 9.0% | High | 62 | Refresh |
Dick's Sporting Goods comparable store sales in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 5% | 33.0% | 15.0% | High | 60 | Refresh |
Zoom customers with over $100k in TTM revenue in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 4840 | 12.0% | 20.0% | High | 60 | Refresh |
Williams-Sonoma total comparable brand growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 5% | 53.0% | 20.0% | High | 63 | Refresh |
Rocket Lab vehicles launched in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 24 | 43.0% | 50.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Rocket Lab vehicles launched in Q3 Top outcome: Above 6 | 10.0% | 0.2% | Med | — | Refresh |
UiPath customers with arr of at least $1m in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 420 | 59.0% | 20.0% | High | 63 | Refresh |
Okta customers with acv over $100k in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 5375 | 88.0% | 0.0% | High | 52 | Refresh |
Monday net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 117% | 6.0% | 2.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Monday net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in Q3 Top outcome: Above 115% | 15.0% | 0.0% | High | — | Refresh |
MercadoLibre gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above $95 billion | 6.0% | 0.2% | High | — | Refresh |
MercadoLibre fintech monthly active users in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 100 million | 0.0% | 20.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Medtronic cardiovascular organic growth in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 10% | 39.0% | 20.0% | High | 60 | Refresh |
Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 0.5% | 76.0% | 20.0% | High | 69 | Refresh |
GitLab customers with arr over $100k in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 1640 | 0.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
eToro funded accounts in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 4.5 million | 55.0% | 12.0% | High | 52 | Refresh |
Dollar General same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 1.5% | 93.0% | 20.0% | High | 47 | Refresh |
CoreWeave contracted power capacity in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 5.2 gw | 19.0% | 0.0% | High | — | Refresh |
CoreWeave data centers in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 64 | 63.0% | 0.7% | High | 60 | Refresh |
CoreWeave power capacity in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4.4 gw | 40.0% | 0.3% | High | 57 | Refresh |
CoreWeave data centers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 56 | 28.0% | 0.0% | High | 63 | Refresh |
Chewy active customers in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 22 million | 57.0% | 20.0% | High | 67 | Refresh |
Best Buy domestic comparable store sales in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 2% | 83.0% | 5.0% | High | 55 | Refresh |
Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in Q3 Top outcome: Above 860 | 69.0% | 20.0% | High | 60 | Refresh |
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes refers to: Yes | 12.0% | 12.9% | Med | 53 | Refresh |
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap Yes refers to: No IPO by December 31, 2026 | 84.0% | 87.2% | High | 59 | Refresh |
Richest person on December 31, 2026? Top outcome: Bernard Arnault | 0.3% | 0.4% | High | 62 | Refresh |
AI bubble burst by...? Top outcome: December 31, 2026 | 15.8% | 7.9% | High | 57 | Refresh |
IPOs before 2027? Top outcome: SpaceX | 100.0% | 100.0% | Med | 55 | Refresh |
Urban Outfitters comparable sales in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 5% | 45.0% | 20.0% | High | 59 | Refresh |
Ulta comparable sales in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 4% | 66.0% | 20.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Ulta comparable sales in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4.5% | 19.0% | 2.5% | High | 63 | Refresh |
Toll Brothers delivered homes in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 10500 | 75.0% | 20.0% | High | 52 | Refresh |
Starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 16 million | 49.0% | 12.0% | High | 59 | Refresh |
Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 950 | 51.0% | 0.2% | High | — | Refresh |
Sea Limited Shopee GMV in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above $166 billion | 41.0% | 0.1% | High | 59 | Refresh |
Sea Limited Garena paying users in Q3 Top outcome: Above 72 million | 50.0% | 11.0% | Med | 57 | Refresh |
Sea Limited Garena paying users in Q4 Top outcome: Above 70 million | 52.0% | 20.0% | High | 52 | Refresh |
Sea Limited Shopee GMV in Q3 Top outcome: Above $40 billion | 59.0% | 0.0% | High | 57 | Refresh |
How high will the S&P get this year? Top outcome: 7,800 or above | 98.6% | 98.4% | High | 82 | Refresh |
Target comparable sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4% | 69.0% | 2.0% | High | 65 | Refresh |
Petrobras total production (Mboed) in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 3250 mboed | 89.0% | 80.6% | High | 58 | Refresh |
Wingstop total system-wide restaurants in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 3525 | 38.0% | 78.4% | High | 62 | Refresh |
Starbucks headcount in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 368 thousand | 6.0% | 26.8% | High | 58 | Refresh |
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? Top outcome: Anthropic | 83.0% | 89.6% | Med | 69 | Refresh |
Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year? Top outcome: OpenAI | 24.0% | 25.7% | Med | 70 | Refresh |
Target comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 5% | 37.0% | 1.0% | High | 60 | Refresh |
Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 12.5% | 19.0% | 0.0% | High | 59 | Refresh |
Marriott International total rooms in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 1.86 million | 40.0% | 20.0% | High | 59 | Refresh |
Lowe's comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 0.5% | 55.0% | 20.0% | High | 52 | Refresh |
Robinhood event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above $80 billion | 1.0% | 1.0% | High | 71 | Refresh |
Coinbase monthly transacting users in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 7 million | 76.0% | 12.0% | High | 59 | Refresh |
Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in 2026 Top outcome: Above 216 | 38.0% | 37.4% | High | 52 | Refresh |
Uber trips in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 16 billion | 59.0% | 61.1% | High | 62 | Refresh |
Starbucks comparable transactions growth in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 7% | 12.0% | 9.0% | High | 67 | Refresh |
Starbucks total global stores in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 41750 | 23.0% | 20.0% | High | 63 | Refresh |
Roblox hours engaged in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 140 billion | 5.0% | 14.7% | High | 58 | Refresh |
Futu total funded accounts in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 4.4 million | 7.0% | 5.5% | High | 52 | Refresh |
Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in Q3 Top outcome: Above 3.4% | 39.0% | 81.3% | High | 70 | Refresh |
Wendy's US same-restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above -6% | 43.0% | 59.1% | High | 66 | Refresh |
Snap average daily active users in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 492 million | 72.0% | 44.2% | High | 62 | Refresh |
Roblox daily active users in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 145 million | 1.0% | 20.6% | High | 56 | Refresh |
Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 11.6 billion | 73.0% | 77.7% | High | 62 | Refresh |
Meta advertisement impressions growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 14% | 23.0% | 29.8% | High | 61 | Refresh |
Lyft total rides in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 1.01 billion | 85.0% | 82.4% | High | 54 | Refresh |
Home Depot customer transactions in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 1.6 billion | 68.0% | 40.8% | High | 60 | Refresh |
Home Depot customer transactions in Q3 Top outcome: Above 405 million | 1.0% | 3.0% | High | 67 | Refresh |
Futu total funded accounts in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4.15 million | 11.0% | 7.5% | High | 51 | Refresh |
Figma paid customers >$100k arr in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 2000 | 40.0% | 42.0% | High | 64 | Refresh |
Duolingo paid subscribers in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 14.4 million | 2.0% | 5.5% | High | 51 | Refresh |
Duolingo daily active users in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 61 million | 77.0% | 74.0% | High | 62 | Refresh |
DraftKings sportsbook margin in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 6.5% | 83.0% | 76.6% | High | 66 | Refresh |
DraftKings average monthly unique payers in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 4 million | 72.0% | 69.1% | High | 52 | Refresh |
Taco Bell same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 4% | 56.0% | 64.2% | High | 64 | Refresh |
KFC same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 2% | 98.0% | 14.6% | Med | 56 | Refresh |
Wyndham Hotels total rooms in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 900 thousand | 8.0% | 47.8% | High | 54 | Refresh |
Klarna active consumers in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 128 million | 50.0% | 60.7% | High | 64 | Refresh |
American Express cards-in-force in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 162 million | 2.0% | 9.4% | Med | 59 | Refresh |
Shopify gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above $470 billion | 93.0% | 90.0% | High | 65 | Refresh |
McDonald's total restaurants in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 47000 | 85.0% | 89.9% | High | 58 | Refresh |
McDonald's comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 3% | 29.0% | 28.0% | High | 61 | Refresh |
Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above $220 | 97.0% | 79.0% | High | 66 | Refresh |
Klarna active klarna consumers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 123 million | 50.0% | 62.0% | High | 61 | Refresh |
Robinhood gold subscribers in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 5.2 million | 80.0% | 35.0% | High | 64 | Refresh |
Google search paid clicks change in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 12% | 10.0% | 27.6% | High | 62 | Refresh |
Disney domestic parks attendance growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 1% | 61.0% | 26.1% | High | 66 | Refresh |
DoorDash total orders in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 3.9 billion | 84.0% | 71.2% | High | 60 | Refresh |
Chipotle headcount in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 110 thousand | 94.0% | 89.9% | High | 52 | Refresh |
CAVA total restaurants in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 515 | 63.0% | 66.3% | High | 62 | Refresh |
Webull funded accounts in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 5.35 million | 29.0% | 30.6% | High | 52 | Refresh |
Webull funded accounts in Q3 Top outcome: Above 5.35 million | 13.0% | 17.5% | Med | 61 | Refresh |
Airbnb Inc. nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 575 million | 54.0% | 30.2% | High | 53 | Refresh |
Lockheed Martin headcount in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 124 thousand | 62.0% | 16.0% | High | 60 | Refresh |
Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 130 | 67.0% | 58.1% | High | 62 | Refresh |
American Express headcount in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 76 thousand | 72.0% | 63.0% | High | 59 | Refresh |
American Airlines passenger load factor in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 82% | 58.0% | 94.5% | High | 68 | Refresh |
Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers? Top outcome: Paramount | 65.0% | 52.5% | High | — | Refresh |
How low will the S&P get this year? Top outcome: 5,900 or below | 6.4% | 3.7% | High | 78 | Refresh |
First Solar Gigawatts sold in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 17.4 GW | 25.0% | 67.0% | High | 61 | Refresh |
Wingstop US same store sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above -5% | 38.0% | 83.3% | High | 54 | Refresh |
Dollarama comparable store sales growth in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 6% | 18.0% | 8.6% | High | 61 | Refresh |
Loblaw food retail same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 2% | 75.0% | 85.3% | High | 59 | Refresh |
United Airlines passengers flown in 2026 Top outcome: Above 186 million | 88.0% | 51.6% | High | 66 | Refresh |
Tesla total production in 2026 Top outcome: Above 1.9 million | 25.0% | 9.0% | High | 61 | Refresh |
Tesla headcount in 2026 Top outcome: Above 130000 | 90.0% | 81.9% | High | 64 | Refresh |
Tesla total deliveries in 2026 Top outcome: Above 1.75 million | 84.0% | 28.6% | High | 61 | Refresh |
Toast total locations in 2026 Top outcome: Above 198 thousand | 30.0% | 28.5% | High | 57 | Refresh |
How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026? Top outcome: Above 1000 | 17.0% | 47.6% | High | 62 | Refresh |
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? Top outcome: Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter | 62.0% | 96.5% | High | 72 | Refresh |
How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year? Top outcome: Above 500000 in a single quarter | 55.0% | 50.4% | High | 72 | Refresh |
Will NYC subway ridership reach its pre-Covid average? Top outcome: 4.19 million | 56.0% | 27.1% | High | 81 | Refresh |
Constellation Brands Beer Shipments in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 425 million | 19.0% | 26.7% | High | — | Refresh |
Spotify premium subscribers in 2026 Top outcome: Above 316 million | 81.0% | 27.0% | High | 53 | Refresh |
Spotify total monthly active users in 2026 Top outcome: Above 800 million | 94.0% | 91.0% | High | 57 | Refresh |
Spotify headcount in 2026 Top outcome: Above 7350 | 15.0% | 3.5% | High | — | Refresh |
Charles Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts in 2026 Top outcome: Above 41 million | 32.0% | 21.0% | High | 58 | Refresh |
Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026 Top outcome: Above 46000 | 93.0% | 86.1% | High | 61 | Refresh |
Rivian Automotive Inc. total vehicles delivered in Q2 2026 Top outcome: Above 11500 | 0.0% | 20.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Reddit daily active uniques in 2026 Top outcome: Above 138 million | 59.0% | 75.8% | High | 59 | Refresh |
Ferrari total car shipments in 2026 Top outcome: Above 13900 | 13.0% | 7.9% | High | 61 | Refresh |
Palantir total customer count in 2026 Top outcome: Above 1100 | 99.0% | 90.7% | High | 62 | Refresh |
Oracle headcount in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 160000 | 11.0% | 5.1% | High | 62 | Refresh |
Netflix headcount in 2026 Top outcome: Above 17500 | 31.0% | 59.1% | High | 65 | Refresh |
Norwegian Cruise passengers carried in 2026 Top outcome: Above 3.25 million | 98.0% | 88.1% | High | 68 | Refresh |
Match total payers in 2026 Top outcome: Above 13.8 million | 13.0% | 3.0% | High | 59 | Refresh |
Altria domestic cigarette shipments in 2026 Top outcome: Above 54.5 billion | 95.0% | 62.3% | High | 64 | Refresh |
Meta headcount in 2026 Top outcome: Above 65000 | 83.0% | 85.7% | High | 64 | Refresh |
Meta family daily active people in 2026 Top outcome: Above 3.72 billion | 33.0% | 53.3% | High | 60 | Refresh |
MercadoLibre items sold in 2026 Top outcome: Above 3.6 billion | 2.0% | 10.5% | High | 67 | Refresh |
Southwest Airlines seats flown in 2026 Top outcome: Above 229 million | 78.0% | 35.0% | High | 67 | Refresh |
Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above -6% | 25.0% | 34.3% | High | 58 | Refresh |
Intel headcount in 2026 Top outcome: Above 80000 | 70.0% | 31.0% | High | 65 | Refresh |
Hims subscribers in 2026 Top outcome: Above 2.84 million | 94.0% | 94.0% | Med | 61 | Refresh |
Grab monthly transacting users in 2026 Top outcome: Above 62 million | 8.0% | 4.2% | High | 69 | Refresh |
Google headcount in 2026 Top outcome: Above 208000 | 19.0% | 2.7% | High | 61 | Refresh |
Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026 Top outcome: Above 2 million | 83.0% | 56.2% | High | 66 | Refresh |
eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026 Top outcome: Above $92 billion | 43.0% | 9.7% | High | 66 | Refresh |
Domino's total US stores in 2026 Top outcome: Above 7350 | 53.0% | 98.0% | High | 66 | Refresh |
Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026 Top outcome: Above 900 thousand | 10.0% | 2.7% | High | 61 | Refresh |
| — | — | High | — | Refresh | |
Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 0% | 47.0% | 48.5% | High | 66 | Refresh |
When will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 48.0% | 79.7% | High | 80 | Refresh |
Chipotle total restaurant count in 2026 Top outcome: Above 4320 | 97.0% | 98.8% | High | 58 | Refresh |
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in 2026 Top outcome: Above 97.4 million | 13.0% | 6.5% | High | 70 | Refresh |
Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026 Top outcome: Above 680 | 4.0% | 9.3% | High | 72 | Refresh |
Aritzia comparable sales growth in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 24% | 35.0% | 19.9% | High | 59 | Refresh |
Amazon headcount in 2026 Top outcome: Above 1550000 | 91.0% | 66.8% | High | 68 | Refresh |
Tesla deliveries in Q3 Top outcome: Above 400000 | 87.0% | 99.2% | High | — | Refresh |
Air Canada passenger load factor in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 86.5% | 86.0% | 14.7% | Med | 65 | Refresh |
| — | — | High | — | Refresh | |
Clear active clear+ members in 2026 Top outcome: Above 8.7 million | 54.0% | 65.7% | High | 60 | Refresh |
Nu Holdings customers in 2026 Top outcome: Above 143 million | 96.0% | 86.8% | High | 52 | Refresh |
| — | — | High | — | Refresh | |
Robinhood funded customers in 2026 Top outcome: Above 30.2 million | 12.0% | 87.6% | High | 62 | Refresh |
Domino's US same store sales growth in 2026 Top outcome: Above 2.5% | 20.0% | 35.2% | High | 55 | Refresh |
What sector will Anthropic be assigned to? Top outcome: Information Technology | 81.0% | 78.7% | High | 70 | Refresh |
What sector will OpenAI be assigned to? Top outcome: Real Estate | 1.0% | 0.9% | High | 79 | Refresh |
Which brands will advertise during the World Soccer Cup Final Top outcome: Modelo | 84.0% | 84.8% | Med | — | Refresh |
When will EA's take-private acquisition close? Top outcome: Before Apr 1, 2027 | 91.0% | 78.2% | High | — | Refresh |
Who will acquire Pinterest this year? Top outcome: OpenAI | 3.0% | 19.9% | High | 59 | Refresh |
When will Tim Cook leave Apple? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 96.0% | 100.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Will the S&P finish positive this year? Yes refers to: Positive Growth | 75.0% | 80.5% | Med | 82 | Refresh |
How high will the KOSPI Composite Index get in 2026? Top outcome: At least ₩8,900 | 99.0% | 100.0% | High | 75 | Refresh |
Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026? Top outcome: 18,999.99 or below | 10.0% | 6.4% | High | 73 | Refresh |
How much will the Steam Machine cost? Top outcome: At least $900 | 83.0% | 83.1% | High | — | Refresh |
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? Top outcome: Spirit Airlines | 6.0% | 2.2% | Med | 73 | Refresh |
S&P close price end of 2026? Top outcome: 3,999.99 or below | 2.0% | 1.3% | High | 79 | Refresh |
Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027? Top outcome: Citigroup | 41.0% | 27.9% | Med | 68 | Refresh |
When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 99.0% | 100.0% | High | — | Refresh |
What flavors will JUUL relaunch? Top outcome: Mango | 9.0% | 2.4% | Med | 67 | Refresh |
Will Deel or Rippling IPO first? Top outcome: Deel | 60.0% | 72.4% | High | 60 | Refresh |
Annual Return: WTI vs. Brent? Top outcome: WTI Crude Oil | 34.0% | 29.9% | High | 74 | Refresh |
Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. Gold? Top outcome: Gold | 36.0% | 28.7% | High | 76 | Refresh |
Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. BTC? Top outcome: S&P 500 Total Return Index | 75.0% | 89.6% | High | 74 | Refresh |
Will Ramp or Brex IPO first? Top outcome: Brex | 3.0% | 0.0% | Med | 58 | Refresh |
How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026? Top outcome: 28,400 or above | 99.9% | 100.0% | High | 70 | Refresh |
Will Rolex release a steel GMT-Master II with a black and red Bezel this year? Yes refers to: a steel GMT-Master II with a black and red Bezel | 7.0% | 7.0% | Med | 79 | Refresh |
Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026? Yes refers to: In 2026 | 30.5% | 22.3% | Med | 74 | Refresh |
Will xAI release a video game before 2027? Yes refers to: Video Game | 40.0% | 30.5% | Med | 69 | Refresh |
Will Dodge release a new Challenger Hellcat before 2027? Yes refers to: Dodge Challenger Hellcat | 17.0% | 11.2% | Med | 66 | Refresh |
Which bank will take SpaceX public? Top outcome: Citigroup | 94.0% | 92.1% | Med | — | Refresh |
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor this year? Yes refers to: Yes | 74.0% | 74.0% | Med | — | Refresh |
When will Apple announce foldable iPhone? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 79.0% | 79.0% | Med | — | Refresh |
Sam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year? Yes refers to: Hires | 33.0% | 17.5% | Med | 66 | Refresh |
Will BMW release a Fully Electric M3 before 2028? Yes refers to: Fully Electric M3 | 81.0% | 85.4% | Med | 76 | Refresh |
X re-launches Vine this year? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 11.0% | 7.1% | Med | 59 | Refresh |
New Xbox this year? Yes refers to: a new Xbox video game console | 16.0% | 7.6% | Med | 72 | Refresh |
Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026? Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 27.0% | 27.0% | Med | 58 | Refresh |
Will Rolex release a new reference in titanium this year? Yes refers to: a new reference in titanium | 3.0% | 1.9% | Med | 67 | Refresh |
Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year? Yes refers to: a steel Nautilus reference | 10.0% | 12.8% | Med | 76 | Refresh |
Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026? Yes refers to: 25,249.86 or above | 69.9% | 64.8% | Med | 79 | Refresh |
Who will be the next CEO of X? Top outcome: Elon Musk | 15.0% | 50.2% | High | 57 | Refresh |
One-time layoff greater than Block (4,000 employees) in tech? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 96.0% | 96.0% | High | — | Refresh |
Will Sony Pictures Animation release 'KPop Demon Hunters 2" before 2027? Yes refers to: KPop Demon Hunters 2 | 8.0% | 8.0% | Med | 75 | Refresh |
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? Top outcome: Rafael Grossi | 56.0% | 56.9% | High | 74 | Refresh |
Courts consider Apple a monopoly? Yes refers to: Before 2030 | 30.0% | 35.3% | Med | 71 | Refresh |
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030? Yes refers to: Before 2030 | 15.0% | 10.6% | Med | 61 | Refresh |
How much will a Fyre Festival 2 General Admission Ticket cost? Top outcome: At least $100 | 83.0% | 70.0% | High | 76 | Refresh |
Who will replace Jamie Dimon as JPMorgan CEO? Top outcome: Marianne Lake | 49.0% | 24.5% | Med | 55 | Refresh |
When will any company achieve AGI? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 28.0% | 30.8% | High | 74 | Refresh |
USD/BRL high in 2026 Top outcome: 7 or above | 25.0% | 18.0% | High | 73 | Refresh |
| 8.0% | 1.9% | Med | 71 | Refresh | |
Will Elon purchase Ryanair? Yes refers to: Yes | 8.0% | 5.1% | Med | 73 | Refresh |
Tesla Roadsters delivered this year? Top outcome: Before 2027 | 3.0% | 1.1% | Med | 75 | Refresh |
Netflix price increase in 2026? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 76.0% | 81.0% | Med | — | Refresh |
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes refers to: Reza Pahlavi | 21.0% | 21.5% | Med | 68 | Refresh |
Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 9.0% | 6.3% | Med | 40 | Refresh |
Jamie Dimon leaves JPMorgan Chase? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 18.0% | 26.6% | Med | 54 | Refresh |
What will Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator go for at auction? Top outcome: At least $7 million | 81.0% | 1.0% | Med | — | Refresh |
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 60 | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | 59 | ||
| — | — | High | 70 | ||
| — | — | High | 56 | ||
| — | — | High | 74 | ||
| — | — | High | 80 | ||
| — | — | High | 63 | ||
| — | — | High | 67 | ||
| — | — | High | 62 | ||
| — | — | High | 67 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 69 | ||
| — | — | High | 64 | ||
| — | — | High | 60 | ||
| — | — | High | 63 | ||
| — | — | Med | 71 | ||
| — | — | High | 70 | ||
| — | — | High | 61 | ||
| — | — | High | 60 | ||
| — | — | High | 69 | ||
| — | — | High | 72 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 61 | ||
| — | — | High | 63 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 61 | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 59 | ||
| — | — | High | 66 | ||
| — | — | High | 63 | ||
| — | — | High | 58 | ||
| — | — | High | 60 | ||
| — | — | High | 62 | ||
| — | — | High | 67 | ||
| — | — | High | 64 | ||
| — | — | Med | 57 | ||
| — | — | High | 64 | ||
| — | — | High | 57 | ||
| — | — | High | 60 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 62 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 58 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 65 | ||
| — | — | High | 73 | ||
| — | — | High | 69 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 70 | ||
| — | — | High | 68 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | 62 | ||
| — | — | High | 66 | ||
| — | — | High | 62 | ||
| — | — | High | 69 | ||
| — | — | High | 79 | ||
| — | — | High | 75 | ||
| — | — | High | 70 | ||
| — | — | High | 67 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | 70 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 73 | ||
| — | — | High | 75 | ||
| — | — | High | 69 | ||
| — | — | High | 78 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 82 | ||
| — | — | High | 72 | ||
| — | — | High | 68 | ||
| — | — | High | 64 | ||
| — | — | High | 72 | ||
| — | — | High | 67 | ||
| — | — | High | 64 | ||
| — | — | High | 74 | ||
| — | — | High | 74 | ||
| — | — | High | 73 | ||
| — | — | High | 76 | ||
| — | — | High | 76 | ||
| — | — | High | 79 | ||
| — | — | Med | 80 | ||
| — | — | High | 79 | ||
| — | — | High | 69 | ||
| — | — | High | 69 | ||
| — | — | High | 72 | ||
| — | — | High | 75 | ||
| — | — | High | 62 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 65 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 64 | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | 65 | ||
| — | — | High | 57 | ||
| — | — | High | 61 | ||
| — | — | High | 50 | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | 62 | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | 64 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | 61 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 72 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 67 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 64 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
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| — | — | High | — | ||
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| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
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