Above 194
Market Model 68.0% 60.0%
Above 196
Market Model 53.0% 43.0%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in Q2 Top outcome: Above 194 | 68.0% | 60.0% | High | $605.17 | Refresh |
Clear+ members in Q2 Top outcome: Above 8.6 million | 15.0% | 8.6% | High | $34,958.79 | Refresh |
Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3% | 99.0% | 98.8% | High | $6,911.77 | Refresh |
Wyndham Hotels total rooms in Q2 Top outcome: Above 885 thousand | 13.0% | 8.0% | High | $4,491.74 | Refresh |
Wendy's US same-restaurant sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above -2.5% | 1.0% | 4.7% | High | $22,403.09 | Refresh |
Urban Outfitters total stores in Q2 Top outcome: Above 818 | 5.0% | 2.5% | High | $1,300.99 | Refresh |
Ulta transactions growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 2% | 20.0% | 15.4% | High | $8,736.32 | Refresh |
Uber Trips in Q2? Top outcome: above 3.75 billion | 96.0% | 95.5% | High | $77,076.61 | Refresh |
United Airlines passengers in Q2 Top outcome: Above 47 million | 92.0% | 83.8% | High | $44,050.12 | Refresh |
Tesla total deliveries in Q3 Top outcome: Above 485000 | 44.0% | 38.9% | Med | $202.37 | Refresh |
Toll Brothers delivered homes in Q3 Top outcome: Above 2600 | 82.0% | 83.3% | High | $5,805.52 | Refresh |
Target transactions change in Q2 Top outcome: Above 5% | 8.0% | 4.0% | High | $2,678.47 | Refresh |
How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026? Top outcome: Above 1000 | 50.0% | 47.6% | High | $134,489.54 | Refresh |
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? Top outcome: Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter | 97.0% | 96.5% | High | $30,888.61 | Refresh |
How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year? Top outcome: Above 500000 in a single quarter | 53.0% | 50.4% | High | $97,823.31 | Refresh |
Will NYC subway ridership reach its pre-Covid average? Top outcome: 4.19 million | 57.0% | 27.1% | High | $12,596.38 | Refresh |
Constellation Brands total beer shipments in Q2 Top outcome: Above 124 million | 16.0% | 9.3% | High | $344.2 | Refresh |
Spotify monthly active users in Q2 Top outcome: Above 780 million | 42.0% | 46.1% | High | $17,596.27 | Refresh |
Spotify headcount in Q2 Top outcome: Above 7250 | 71.0% | 47.0% | High | $3,785.13 | Refresh |
Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in Q2 2027 Top outcome: Above 835 | 45.0% | 43.0% | High | $8,522.44 | Refresh |
Snap daily active users in Q2 Top outcome: Above 492 million | 27.0% | 16.0% | High | $15,347.07 | Refresh |
Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q2 Top outcome: Above $116 billion | 48.0% | 18.0% | High | $10,973.72 | Refresh |
Sweetgreen profit margin in Q2 Top outcome: Above 16% | 27.0% | 31.5% | High | $66,994.56 | Refresh |
Sea Garena paying users in Q2 Top outcome: Above 60 million | 96.0% | 98.8% | High | $13,055.1 | Refresh |
Charles Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts in Q2 Top outcome: Above 39.7 million | 87.0% | 88.0% | High | $18,684.89 | Refresh |
Starbucks comparable transactions growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4% | 54.0% | 43.4% | High | $11,262.3 | Refresh |
Starbucks total stores in Q3 Top outcome: Above 41300 | 69.0% | 71.2% | High | $4,169.65 | Refresh |
Roku hours streamed in Q2 Top outcome: above 40 billion | 5.0% | 3.0% | High | $22,085.33 | Refresh |
Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q3 Top outcome: Above 15000 | 62.0% | 64.8% | High | $2,393.78 | Refresh |
Rivian Automotive Inc. total vehicles delivered in Q2 2026 Top outcome: Above 11500 | 0.0% | 20.0% | High | $0 | Refresh |
Zyn US shipment volume in Q2 Top outcome: Above 195 million | 37.0% | 19.9% | High | $16,391.25 | Refresh |
Palantir total customers in Q2 Top outcome: Above 1060 | 87.0% | 85.2% | High | $23,823.96 | Refresh |
Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q2 Top outcome: Above 855 thousand | 31.0% | 19.3% | High | $22,954.94 | Refresh |
Altria cigarette shipments in Q2 Top outcome: Above 15 billion | 67.0% | 44.4% | High | $35,158.29 | Refresh |
Meta headcount in Q2 Top outcome: Above 74500 | 56.0% | 27.9% | High | $20,981.03 | Refresh |
Meta family daily active people in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3.68 billion | 4.0% | 2.7% | High | $8,980.93 | Refresh |
McDonald's Corporation total systemwide restaurants in Q2 2026 Top outcome: Above 45800 | 90.0% | 90.7% | High | $13,566.33 | Refresh |
McDonald's global comparable sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 2% | 40.0% | 16.3% | High | $20,881.83 | Refresh |
Marriott International total rooms in Q2 Top outcome: Above 1.81 million | 80.0% | 91.5% | High | $3,413.9 | Refresh |
Lyft total rides in Q2 Top outcome: above 251 million | 88.0% | 86.3% | High | $6,850.11 | Refresh |
Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q2 Top outcome: Above 58 million | 85.0% | 83.0% | High | $9,617.14 | Refresh |
Lowe's customer transactions in Q2 Top outcome: Above 222 million | 68.0% | 49.6% | High | $11,554.8 | Refresh |
Loblaw food same-store sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 2.5% | 49.0% | 38.9% | Med | $57.47 | Refresh |
Klarna active consumers in Q2 Top outcome: above 125 million | 1.0% | 1.1% | High | $10,703.24 | Refresh |
Intel headcount in Q2 Top outcome: Above 82000 | 51.0% | 22.8% | High | $2,837.86 | Refresh |
Robinhood funded customers in Q2 Top outcome: Above 28 million | 58.0% | 59.1% | High | $238,979.45 | Refresh |
Hims & Hers subscribers in Q2 Top outcome: Above 2.72 million | 78.0% | 75.4% | High | $65,206.07 | Refresh |
Home Depot customer transactions in Q2 Top outcome: Above 450 million | 29.0% | 17.3% | High | $3,662.13 | Refresh |
Grab monthly transacting users in Q2 Top outcome: above 52.5 million | 88.0% | 84.3% | High | $5,802.89 | Refresh |
Futu total funded accounts in Q2 Top outcome: Above 4.1 million | 3.0% | 1.0% | High | $6,326.57 | Refresh |
Figma paid customers >$100k arr in Q2 Top outcome: above 1675 | 18.0% | 23.9% | High | $2,512.27 | Refresh |
eBay gross merchandise volume in Q2 Top outcome: Above $23 billion | 3.0% | 1.0% | High | $39,100.42 | Refresh |
Domino's total US stores in Q2 Top outcome: Above 7220 | 91.0% | 95.4% | High | $7,816.65 | Refresh |
Dollarama comparable store sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 6% | 12.0% | 4.2% | High | $356.47 | Refresh |
DoorDash total orders in Q2 Top outcome: above 1000 million | 9.0% | 14.9% | High | $32,925.83 | Refresh |
Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q2 Top outcome: above 200000 | 23.0% | 22.9% | High | $14,322.52 | Refresh |
Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above -1% | 76.0% | 63.0% | High | $4,251.91 | Refresh |
Coinbase total trading volume in Q2 Top outcome: Above $180 billion | 25.0% | 16.3% | High | $152,620.72 | Refresh |
Coinbase monthly transacting users in Q2 Top outcome: Above 8.5 million | 19.0% | 19.1% | High | $4,574.04 | Refresh |
Chipotle total restaurant count in Q2 Top outcome: Above 4160 | 40.0% | 44.2% | High | $21,099.04 | Refresh |
Chipotle comparable restaurant sales increase in Q2 Top outcome: Above 1% | 86.0% | 79.3% | High | $14,594.09 | Refresh |
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in Q3 Top outcome: Above 25.2 million | 11.0% | 8.6% | High | $6,423.11 | Refresh |
CAVA restaurants in Q2 Top outcome: Above 480 | 12.0% | 5.5% | High | $30,343.89 | Refresh |
CAVA same restaurant sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3% | 99.0% | 99.3% | High | $4,937 | Refresh |
Boeing Deliveries in Q2 Top outcome: Above 160 | 98.0% | 99.0% | High | $122,558.31 | Refresh |
Aritzia comparable sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 15% | 98.0% | 98.6% | High | $156.9 | Refresh |
Amazon headcount in Q2 Top outcome: Above 1555000 | 95.0% | 85.2% | High | $10,095.32 | Refresh |
Tesla deliveries in Q3 Top outcome: Above 400000 | 87.0% | 99.2% | High | $360.71 | Refresh |
Air Canada passenger load factor in Q2 Top outcome: Above 85.5% | 60.0% | 69.2% | High | $2,718.85 | Refresh |
Tesla total production in Q3 Top outcome: Above 465000 | 73.0% | 59.8% | High | $1,793.67 | Refresh |
Toast total locations in Q2 Top outcome: above 184 thousand | 6.0% | 7.4% | High | $16,124.68 | Refresh |
Reddit daily active uniques in Q2 Top outcome: above 136 million | 3.0% | 5.3% | High | $26,541.47 | Refresh |
Roblox hours engaged in Q2 Top outcome: Above 33 billion | 49.0% | 33.0% | High | $9,546.56 | Refresh |
Ferrari total shipments in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3400 | 74.0% | 64.2% | Med | $5,441.76 | Refresh |
Nu Holdings customers in Q2 Top outcome: Above 137 million | 98.0% | 99.0% | High | $12,312.02 | Refresh |
Match total payers in Q2 Top outcome: above 13.45 million | 32.0% | 19.2% | High | $1,677.33 | Refresh |
MercadoLibre items sold in Q2 Top outcome: above 840 million | 9.0% | 10.8% | High | $25,248.48 | Refresh |
Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q2 Top outcome: Above $231 | 43.0% | 26.9% | High | $5,173.06 | Refresh |
Robinhood gold subs in Q2 Top outcome: above 4.4 million | 87.0% | 80.7% | High | $1,743.01 | Refresh |
Google headcount in Q2 Top outcome: Above 197500 | 97.0% | 11.2% | High | $23,135.78 | Refresh |
Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3 Top outcome: Above 510 thousand | 63.0% | 56.2% | High | $5,388.43 | Refresh |
Domino's US same store sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3% | 1.0% | 3.5% | High | $13,556.72 | Refresh |
Webull funded accounts in Q2 Top outcome: Above 5.2 million | 51.0% | 28.1% | High | $4,705.84 | Refresh |
Petrobras total production (Mboed) in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3250 | 64.0% | 5.0% | High | $0 | Refresh |
What sector will Anthropic be assigned to? Top outcome: Information Technology | 81.0% | 78.7% | High | $21,954.1 | Refresh |
When will Skims officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Oct 1, 2026 | 4.0% | 2.5% | High | $23,338.51 | Refresh |
What sector will OpenAI be assigned to? Top outcome: Real Estate | 1.0% | 0.9% | High | $24,148.16 | Refresh |
When will Waymo officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Nov 1, 2026 | 1.0% | 0.6% | High | $30,640.33 | Refresh |
Which brands will advertise during the World Soccer Cup Final Top outcome: Modelo | 84.0% | 84.8% | Med | $15,401.13 | Refresh |
When will Airtable officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2028 | 23.0% | 13.5% | High | $2,444.19 | Refresh |
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Sep 1, 2026 | 2.0% | 1.0% | High | $1,011,518.54 | Refresh |
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Aug 1, 2026 | 2.0% | 1.6% | High | $767,624.55 | Refresh |
Who will acquire Pinterest this year? Top outcome: OpenAI | 3.0% | 19.9% | High | $225,575.05 | Refresh |
Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year? Top outcome: OpenAI | 33.0% | 27.7% | Med | $1,961,744.37 | Refresh |
When will Tim Cook leave Apple? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 96.0% | 100.0% | High | $454,127.67 | Refresh |
When will Glean officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Aug 1, 2026 | 11.0% | 5.5% | High | $1,166 | Refresh |
When will Rippling officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 7.0% | 2.0% | High | $2,878.43 | Refresh |
Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers? Top outcome: Paramount | 84.0% | 81.3% | High | $3,567,970.16 | Refresh |
When will Anduril officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 25.0% | 16.9% | High | $84,756.93 | Refresh |
When will Beast Industries officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 25.0% | 16.0% | High | $7,633.29 | Refresh |
When will Brex officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 6.0% | 0.0% | High | $7,182.29 | Refresh |
When will Cluely officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Apr 1, 2027 | 7.0% | 4.0% | High | $3,281.11 | Refresh |
When will Deel officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 12.0% | 8.1% | High | $16,033.34 | Refresh |
When will Olipop officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Aug 1, 2026 | 3.0% | 3.7% | High | $3,305.29 | Refresh |
When will Whoop officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 19.0% | 14.7% | High | $5,992.65 | Refresh |
When will Stripe officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 17.0% | 8.6% | High | $35,798.04 | Refresh |
When will Discord officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Aug 1, 2026 | 9.0% | 5.2% | High | $47,920.22 | Refresh |
When will AppsFlyer officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Nov 1, 2026 | 15.0% | 7.5% | High | $964.01 | Refresh |
When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 12.0% | 8.7% | High | $31,729.73 | Refresh |
When will Starlink officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 30, 2027 | 9.0% | 0.1% | High | $403,931.12 | Refresh |
How much will the Steam Machine cost? Top outcome: At least $900 | 83.0% | 83.1% | High | $180,787.56 | Refresh |
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? Top outcome: Spirit Airlines | 6.0% | 2.2% | Med | $881,008.69 | Refresh |
Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027? Top outcome: Citigroup | 41.0% | 27.9% | Med | $104,211.74 | Refresh |
When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Aug 1, 2026 | 99.0% | 100.0% | High | $6,675,610.8 | Refresh |
What flavors will JUUL relaunch? Top outcome: Mango | 9.0% | 2.4% | Med | $51,837.22 | Refresh |
When will Ramp officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 29.0% | 17.3% | High | $5,857.57 | Refresh |
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | $383,270.75 | ||
| — | — | High | $841,163.92 | ||
| — | — | High | $16,585.81 | ||
| — | — | High | $19,663.29 | ||
| — | — | High | $120,337.69 | ||
| — | — | High | $74,775.27 | ||
| — | — | High | $28,458.07 | ||
| — | — | High | $28,294.11 | ||
| — | — | High | $71,367.89 | ||
| — | — | High | $91,257.4 | ||
| — | — | High | $205,238.52 | ||
| — | — | High | $43,434.91 | ||
| — | — | High | $29,719.43 |