Companies Markets

IPO Tracker Companies preparing to go public, with the market's view on timing.

Active Markets (97)

Talen Energy TWh generation in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 20 twh

Market Model 75.0% 74.4%

Above 21 twh

Market Model 12.0% 74.4%

18.3K contracts Refresh

Wendy's US same-restaurant sales growth in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 2.0%

Market Model 0.0% 2.0%

Above -10.0%

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Frontier Airlines load factor in Q4 2026 Kalshi

Above 75%

Market Model 0.0% 1.0%

Above 76%

Market Model 0.0% 0.9%

0 contracts Refresh

TELUS internet additions in Q4 2026 Kalshi

Above 10,000

Market Model 0.0% 0.4%

Above 15,000

Market Model 0.0% 0.3%

0 contracts Refresh

JetBlue load factor in Q4 2026 Kalshi

Above 78%

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

Above 79%

Market Model 0.0% 11.5%

0 contracts Refresh

JetBlue average fare in Q4 2026 Kalshi

Above $210

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

Above $220

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Chime active members in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 11.8 million

Market Model 80.0% 0.7%

Above 11.2 million

Market Model 0.0% 0.8%

48 contracts Refresh

CAVA total restaurants in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 525

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

Above 530

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

0 contracts Refresh

BCE mobile phone activations in Q4 2026 Kalshi

Above 20,000

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

Above 30,000

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Remitly active customers in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 10.5 million

Market Model 0.0% 0.4%

Above 10.8 million

Market Model 0.0% 0.3%

0 contracts Refresh

MercadoLibre items sold in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 1000 million

Market Model 0.0% 2.0%

Above 1050 million

Market Model 0.0% 1.0%

0 contracts Refresh

MercadoLibre gross merchandise volume in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above $24 billion

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

Above $25 billion

Market Model 0.0% 11.5%

0 contracts Refresh

MercadoLibre fintech monthly active users in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 101 million

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

Above 103 million

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

0 contracts Refresh

McDonald's global comparable sales growth in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 2.0%

Market Model 32.0% 80.6%

Above 0.0%

Market Model 85.0% 80.6%

4.5K contracts Refresh

Lemonade total customers in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 3.75 million

Market Model 0.0% 0.4%

Above 3.8 million

Market Model 0.0% 0.3%

0 contracts Refresh

Klaviyo customers over $50k ARR in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 5000

Market Model 0.0% 1.0%

Above 5200

Market Model 0.0% 0.8%

0 contracts Refresh

Figma paid customers >$100k arr in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 1850

Market Model 0.0% 0.7%

Above 1900

Market Model 0.0% 0.6%

0 contracts Refresh

Dave ExtraCash origination volume in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above $2.4 billion

Market Model 0.0% 0.3%

Above $2.5 billion

Market Model 0.0% 0.2%

0 contracts Refresh

Coeur Mining gold production in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 140000 ounces

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

Above 160000 ounces

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

0 contracts Refresh

CAVA same restaurant sales growth in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 0.0%

Market Model 0.0% 11.5%

Above 10.0%

Market Model 0.0% 1.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Dutch Bros same-shop sales growth in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 1.5%

Market Model 0.0% 1.0%

Above 4.5%

Market Model 0.0% 0.5%

0 contracts Refresh

Dutch Bros total shops in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 1340

Market Model 0.0% 0.4%

Above 1360

Market Model 0.0% 0.3%

0 contracts Refresh

Charles Schwab active brokerage accounts in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 40.9 million

Market Model 88.0% 40.0%

Above 41.5 million

Market Model 40.0% 40.0%

6.6K contracts Refresh

Domino's US same store sales growth in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above -4%

Market Model 95.0% 92.0%

Above 0.5%

Market Model 0.0% 92.0%

1 contracts Refresh

Boeing commercial deliveries in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 150

Market Model 72.0% 60.0%

Above 160

Market Model 51.0% 0.7%

67 contracts Refresh

Aritzia comparable sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 33%

Market Model 2.0% 1.0%

Above 27%

Market Model 14.0% 3.0%

7.7K contracts Refresh

Constellation Brands beer shipments in Q3 Kalshi

Above 86 million

Market Model 98.0% 95.7%

Above 110 million

Market Model 5.0% 10.7%

13.5K contracts Refresh

Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 475,000

Market Model 35.0% 26.0%

Above 300,000

Market Model 93.0% 91.0%

30.0K contracts Refresh

Rivian vehicles delivered in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 25000

Market Model 66.0% 71.2%

Above 29000

Market Model 37.0% 22.0%

8.1K contracts Refresh

Ford total vehicle US sales in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 550,000

Market Model 4.0% 0.4%

Above 480,000

Market Model 29.0% 31.8%

1.6K contracts Refresh

Tesla production in Q4 Kalshi

Above 350,000

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

Above 375,000

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Tesla energy deployment in Q4 Kalshi

Above 10 GWh

Market Model 91.0% 12.0%

Above 8 GWh

Market Model 98.0% 12.0%

6.4K contracts Refresh

Tesla production in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 475,000

Market Model 49.0% 12.0%

Above 450,000

Market Model 40.0% 12.0%

5.6K contracts Refresh

Tesla energy deployment in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 24 GWh

Market Model 5.0% 0.5%

Above 22 GWh

Market Model 13.0% 1.0%

2.5K contracts Refresh

Costco total cardholders in Q1 Kalshi

Above 152.2 million

Market Model 12.0% 9.0%

Above 150.8 million

Market Model 89.0% 90.7%

2.2K contracts Refresh

Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in Q1 Kalshi

Above 23.9 million

Market Model 16.0% 0.0%

Above 23.4 million

Market Model 94.0% 0.0%

13.2K contracts Refresh

Vail Resorts skier visits in Q1 Kalshi

Above 650,000

Market Model 14.0% 0.0%

Above 500,000

Market Model 45.0% 0.0%

13.6K contracts Refresh

Chewy active customers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 22.1 million

Market Model 13.0% 5.0%

Above 21.925 million

Market Model 59.0% 51.8%

2.4K contracts Refresh

Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 Kalshi

Above 0%

Market Model 76.0% 0.0%

Above 1%

Market Model 37.0% 0.0%

214 contracts Refresh

ServiceTitan gross transaction volume in Q3 Kalshi

Above $25.1 billion

Market Model 50.0% 0.0%

Above $24.4 billion

Market Model 75.0% 88.0%

29 contracts Refresh

Medtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2 Kalshi

Above 13%

Market Model 9.0% 5.5%

Above 12%

Market Model 34.0% 5.5%

7.8K contracts Refresh

Victoria's Secret comparable sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 9%

Market Model 17.0% 12.0%

Above 5%

Market Model 81.0% 12.0%

80.1K contracts Refresh

GitLab customers over $100k ARR in Q3 Kalshi

Above 1645

Market Model 20.0% 6.0%

Above 1655

Market Model 7.0% 4.0%

1.2K contracts Refresh

Dollar General same-store sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 3.5%

Market Model 37.0% 7.2%

Above 4.5%

Market Model 8.0% 1.0%

8.3K contracts Refresh

Zoom customers over $100k in TTM revenue in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4700

Market Model 77.0% 20.0%

Above 4675

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

129 contracts Refresh

Williams-Sonoma brand growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4%

Market Model 88.0% 20.0%

Above 3%

Market Model 99.0% 20.0%

920 contracts Refresh

Urban Outfitters total stores in Q1 Kalshi

Above 832

Market Model 84.0% 88.9%

Above 836

Market Model 65.0% 62.0%

3.9K contracts Refresh

Urban Outfitters retail comparable sales in Q1 Kalshi

Above 0%

Market Model 0.0% 0.9%

Above 10%

Market Model 0.0% 0.1%

0 contracts Refresh

Okta customers with acv over $100k in Q3 Kalshi

Above 5375

Market Model 7.0% 14.4%

Above 5400

Market Model 3.0% 3.0%

491 contracts Refresh

Lowe's comparable sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 0%

Market Model 61.0% 23.2%

Above -1.5%

Market Model 92.0% 23.2%

4.8K contracts Refresh

Dick's comparable sales in Q3 Kalshi

Above 2%

Market Model 68.0% 65.6%

Above 4%

Market Model 37.0% 15.1%

5.2K contracts Refresh

Best Buy domestic comparable sales in Q3 Kalshi

Above 3%

Market Model 46.0% 25.0%

Above 4%

Market Model 30.0% 20.0%

2.3K contracts Refresh

StubHub gross merchandise sales in Q3 Kalshi

Above $2.4 billion

Market Model 54.0% 58.0%

Above $2.5 billion

Market Model 25.0% 30.5%

15.2K contracts Refresh

Venture Global LNG volumes in Q3 Kalshi

Above 460 tbtu

Market Model 96.0% 0.7%

Above 480 tbtu

Market Model 4.0% 0.5%

15.0K contracts Refresh

Nu Holdings customers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 143 million

Market Model 38.0% 10.0%

Above 143.5 million

Market Model 21.0% 8.0%

732 contracts Refresh

Life360 monthly active users in Q3 Kalshi

Above 107 million

Market Model 34.0% 38.4%

Above 106.5 million

Market Model 54.0% 50.8%

5.6K contracts Refresh

Evolv Technologies new customers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 70

Market Model 36.0% 10.0%

Above 60

Market Model 69.0% 18.0%

142 contracts Refresh

Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 1%

Market Model 74.0% 1.5%

Above 2%

Market Model 38.0% 0.5%

7.3K contracts Refresh

Hims subscribers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 3.15 million

Market Model 21.0% 0.3%

Above 3.1 million

Market Model 33.0% 0.4%

11.3K contracts Refresh

eToro funded accounts in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4.35 million

Market Model 89.0% 9.0%

Above 4.4 million

Market Model 38.0% 7.0%

13.7K contracts Refresh

Rocket Lab vehicles launched in Q3 Kalshi

Above 6

Market Model 10.0% 0.2%

Above 7

Market Model 12.0% 0.1%

6.0K contracts Refresh

Monday net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in Q3 Kalshi

Above 115%

Market Model 15.0% 0.0%

Above 114%

Market Model 52.0% 0.0%

649 contracts Refresh

CoreWeave power capacity in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4.4 gw

Market Model 40.0% 0.3%

Above 4 gw

Market Model 96.0% 0.5%

3.0K contracts Refresh

CoreWeave data centers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 56

Market Model 28.0% 0.0%

Above 55

Market Model 43.0% 0.0%

3.4K contracts Refresh

Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in Q3 Kalshi

Above 860

Market Model 69.0% 20.0%

Above 880

Market Model 19.0% 20.0%

996 contracts Refresh

Ulta comparable sales in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4.5%

Market Model 19.0% 2.5%

Above 3.5%

Market Model 53.0% 5.0%

393 contracts Refresh

Sea Limited Garena paying users in Q3 Kalshi

Above 72 million

Market Model 50.0% 11.0%

Above 75 million

Market Model 29.0% 7.0%

635 contracts Refresh

Sea Limited Garena paying users in Q4 Kalshi

Above 70 million

Market Model 52.0% 20.0%

Above 74 million

Market Model 18.0% 20.0%

341 contracts Refresh

Sea Limited Shopee GMV in Q3 Kalshi

Above $40 billion

Market Model 59.0% 0.0%

Above $41 billion

Market Model 28.0% 0.0%

894 contracts Refresh

Target comparable sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4%

Market Model 69.0% 2.0%

Above 5%

Market Model 25.0% 1.0%

13.5K contracts Refresh

Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year? Kalshi

OpenAI

Market Model 24.0% 25.7%

Anthropic

Market Model 70.0% 71.6%

2.1M contracts Refresh

Starbucks comparable transactions growth in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 7%

Market Model 12.0% 9.0%

Above 4%

Market Model 38.0% 93.3%

2.3K contracts Refresh

Starbucks total global stores in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 41750

Market Model 23.0% 20.0%

Above 41500

Market Model 83.0% 73.9%

2.7K contracts Refresh

Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in Q3 Kalshi

Above 3.4%

Market Model 39.0% 81.3%

Above 3.6%

Market Model 26.0% 74.7%

6.0K contracts Refresh

Home Depot customer transactions in Q3 Kalshi

Above 405 million

Market Model 1.0% 3.0%

Above 390 million

Market Model 64.0% 34.8%

2.0K contracts Refresh

Futu total funded accounts in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4.15 million

Market Model 11.0% 7.5%

Above 4.1 million

Market Model 24.0% 15.7%

850 contracts Refresh

Klarna active klarna consumers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 123 million

Market Model 50.0% 62.0%

Above 121 million

Market Model 79.0% 87.0%

3.4K contracts Refresh

Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers? Kalshi

Paramount

Market Model 65.0% 52.5%

Netflix

Market Model 4.0% 4.1%

4.0M contracts Refresh

How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026? Kalshi

Above 1000

Market Model 17.0% 47.6%

Above 5000

Market Model 2.0% 21.0%

178.7K contracts Refresh

How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? Kalshi

Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter

Market Model 62.0% 96.5%

Above 30 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter

Market Model 8.0% 18.5%

39.6K contracts Refresh

How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year? Kalshi

Above 500000 in a single quarter

Market Model 55.0% 50.4%

Above 750000 in a single quarter

Market Model 4.0% 5.5%

119.8K contracts Refresh

Will NYC subway ridership reach its pre-Covid average? Kalshi

4.19 million

Market Model 56.0% 27.1%

4.65 million

Market Model 11.0% 3.9%

11.6K contracts Refresh

Rivian Automotive Inc. total vehicles delivered in Q2 2026 Kalshi

Above 11500

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

Above 12000

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

120.7K contracts Refresh

Tesla deliveries in Q3 Kalshi

Above 400000

Market Model 87.0% 99.2%

Above 380000

Market Model 89.0% 99.4%

361 contracts Refresh

Air Canada passenger load factor in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

73.2K contracts Refresh

Nu Holdings customers in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

60.7K contracts Refresh

What sector will Anthropic be assigned to? Kalshi

Information Technology

Market Model 81.0% 78.7%

Unassigned

Market Model 10.0% 8.8%

22.0K contracts Refresh

What sector will OpenAI be assigned to? Kalshi

Real Estate

Market Model 1.0% 0.9%

Information Technology

Market Model 90.0% 75.7%

24.1K contracts Refresh

Which brands will advertise during the World Soccer Cup Final Kalshi

Modelo

Market Model 84.0% 84.8%

Coinbase

Market Model 21.0% 8.1%

15.4K contracts Refresh

Who will acquire Pinterest this year? Kalshi

OpenAI

Market Model 3.0% 19.9%

Meta

Market Model 2.0% 13.4%

225.6K contracts Refresh

When will Tim Cook leave Apple? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 96.0% 100.0%

454.1K contracts Refresh

How much will the Steam Machine cost? Kalshi

At least $900

Market Model 83.0% 83.1%

At least $1000

Market Model 51.0% 52.6%

180.8K contracts Refresh

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? Kalshi

Spirit Airlines

Market Model 6.0% 2.2%

Anduril

Market Model 32.0% 19.5%

881.0K contracts Refresh

Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027? Kalshi

Citigroup

Market Model 41.0% 27.9%

Goldman Sachs

Market Model 31.0% 18.6%

104.2K contracts Refresh

When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO? Kalshi

Before Jun 1, 2027

Market Model 99.0% 100.0%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Market Model 99.0% 100.0%

6.7M contracts Refresh

What flavors will JUUL relaunch? Kalshi

Mango

Market Model 9.0% 2.4%

Mint

Market Model 30.0% 11.8%

51.8K contracts Refresh

Event	Market	Model	Conf	TI
Talen Energy TWh generation in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 20 twh	75.0%	74.4%	High	58	Refresh
Wendy's US same-restaurant sales growth in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 2.0%	0.0%	2.0%	High	—	Refresh
Frontier Airlines load factor in Q4 2026 Top outcome: Above 75%	0.0%	1.0%	High	—	Refresh
TELUS internet additions in Q4 2026 Top outcome: Above 10,000	0.0%	0.4%	High	—	Refresh
JetBlue load factor in Q4 2026 Top outcome: Above 78%	0.0%	12.0%	High	—	Refresh
JetBlue average fare in Q4 2026 Top outcome: Above $210	0.0%	20.0%	High	—	Refresh
Chime active members in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 11.8 million	80.0%	0.7%	High	—	Refresh
CAVA total restaurants in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 525	0.0%	12.0%	High	—	Refresh
BCE mobile phone activations in Q4 2026 Top outcome: Above 20,000	0.0%	20.0%	High	—	Refresh
Remitly active customers in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 10.5 million	0.0%	0.4%	High	—	Refresh
MercadoLibre items sold in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 1000 million	0.0%	2.0%	High	—	Refresh
MercadoLibre gross merchandise volume in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above $24 billion	0.0%	12.0%	High	—	Refresh
MercadoLibre fintech monthly active users in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 101 million	0.0%	20.0%	High	—	Refresh
McDonald's global comparable sales growth in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 2.0%	32.0%	80.6%	High	—	Refresh
Lemonade total customers in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 3.75 million	0.0%	0.4%	High	—	Refresh
Klaviyo customers over $50k ARR in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 5000	0.0%	1.0%	High	—	Refresh
Figma paid customers >$100k arr in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 1850	0.0%	0.7%	High	—	Refresh
Dave ExtraCash origination volume in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above $2.4 billion	0.0%	0.3%	High	—	Refresh
Coeur Mining gold production in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 140000 ounces	0.0%	12.0%	High	—	Refresh
CAVA same restaurant sales growth in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 0.0%	0.0%	11.5%	High	—	Refresh
Dutch Bros same-shop sales growth in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 1.5%	0.0%	1.0%	High	—	Refresh
Dutch Bros total shops in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 1340	0.0%	0.4%	High	—	Refresh
Charles Schwab active brokerage accounts in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 40.9 million	88.0%	40.0%	High	60	Refresh
Domino's US same store sales growth in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above -4%	95.0%	92.0%	High	—	Refresh
Boeing commercial deliveries in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 150	72.0%	60.0%	High	—	Refresh
Aritzia comparable sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 33%	2.0%	1.0%	Med	—	Refresh
Constellation Brands beer shipments in Q3 Top outcome: Above 86 million	98.0%	95.7%	High	71	Refresh
Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 475,000	35.0%	26.0%	High	60	Refresh
Rivian vehicles delivered in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 25000	66.0%	71.2%	High	60	Refresh
Ford total vehicle US sales in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 550,000	4.0%	0.4%	Med	—	Refresh
Tesla production in Q4 Top outcome: Above 350,000	0.0%	12.0%	Med	—	Refresh
Tesla energy deployment in Q4 Top outcome: Above 10 GWh	91.0%	12.0%	High	—	Refresh
Tesla production in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 475,000	49.0%	12.0%	High	—	Refresh
Tesla energy deployment in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 24 GWh	5.0%	0.5%	Med	—	Refresh
Costco total cardholders in Q1 Top outcome: Above 152.2 million	12.0%	9.0%	High	54	Refresh
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in Q1 Top outcome: Above 23.9 million	16.0%	0.0%	High	—	Refresh
Vail Resorts skier visits in Q1 Top outcome: Above 650,000	14.0%	0.0%	High	—	Refresh
Chewy active customers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 22.1 million	13.0%	5.0%	High	49	Refresh
Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 Top outcome: Above 0%	76.0%	0.0%	High	—	Refresh
ServiceTitan gross transaction volume in Q3 Top outcome: Above $25.1 billion	50.0%	0.0%	High	—	Refresh
Medtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 13%	9.0%	5.5%	High	65	Refresh
Victoria's Secret comparable sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 9%	17.0%	12.0%	High	66	Refresh
GitLab customers over $100k ARR in Q3 Top outcome: Above 1645	20.0%	6.0%	High	49	Refresh
Dollar General same-store sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 3.5%	37.0%	7.2%	High	66	Refresh
Zoom customers over $100k in TTM revenue in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4700	77.0%	20.0%	High	60	Refresh
Williams-Sonoma brand growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4%	88.0%	20.0%	High	52	Refresh
Urban Outfitters total stores in Q1 Top outcome: Above 832	84.0%	88.9%	High	51	Refresh
Urban Outfitters retail comparable sales in Q1 Top outcome: Above 0%	0.0%	0.9%	High	—	Refresh
Okta customers with acv over $100k in Q3 Top outcome: Above 5375	7.0%	14.4%	High	61	Refresh
Lowe's comparable sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 0%	61.0%	23.2%	High	67	Refresh
Dick's comparable sales in Q3 Top outcome: Above 2%	68.0%	65.6%	High	64	Refresh
Best Buy domestic comparable sales in Q3 Top outcome: Above 3%	46.0%	25.0%	High	—	Refresh
StubHub gross merchandise sales in Q3 Top outcome: Above $2.4 billion	54.0%	58.0%	High	64	Refresh
Venture Global LNG volumes in Q3 Top outcome: Above 460 tbtu	96.0%	0.7%	High	60	Refresh
Nu Holdings customers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 143 million	38.0%	10.0%	High	—	Refresh
Life360 monthly active users in Q3 Top outcome: Above 107 million	34.0%	38.4%	High	62	Refresh
Evolv Technologies new customers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 70	36.0%	10.0%	Med	—	Refresh
Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 1%	74.0%	1.5%	Med	63	Refresh
Hims subscribers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 3.15 million	21.0%	0.3%	Med	62	Refresh
eToro funded accounts in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4.35 million	89.0%	9.0%	High	62	Refresh
Rocket Lab vehicles launched in Q3 Top outcome: Above 6	10.0%	0.2%	Med	—	Refresh
Monday net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in Q3 Top outcome: Above 115%	15.0%	0.0%	High	—	Refresh
CoreWeave power capacity in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4.4 gw	40.0%	0.3%	High	57	Refresh
CoreWeave data centers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 56	28.0%	0.0%	High	63	Refresh
Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in Q3 Top outcome: Above 860	69.0%	20.0%	High	60	Refresh
Ulta comparable sales in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4.5%	19.0%	2.5%	High	63	Refresh
Sea Limited Garena paying users in Q3 Top outcome: Above 72 million	50.0%	11.0%	Med	57	Refresh
Sea Limited Garena paying users in Q4 Top outcome: Above 70 million	52.0%	20.0%	High	52	Refresh
Sea Limited Shopee GMV in Q3 Top outcome: Above $40 billion	59.0%	0.0%	High	57	Refresh
Target comparable sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4%	69.0%	2.0%	High	65	Refresh
Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year? Top outcome: OpenAI	24.0%	25.7%	Med	70	Refresh
Starbucks comparable transactions growth in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 7%	12.0%	9.0%	High	67	Refresh
Starbucks total global stores in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 41750	23.0%	20.0%	High	63	Refresh
Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in Q3 Top outcome: Above 3.4%	39.0%	81.3%	High	70	Refresh
Home Depot customer transactions in Q3 Top outcome: Above 405 million	1.0%	3.0%	High	67	Refresh
Futu total funded accounts in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4.15 million	11.0%	7.5%	High	51	Refresh
Klarna active klarna consumers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 123 million	50.0%	62.0%	High	61	Refresh
Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers? Top outcome: Paramount	65.0%	52.5%	High	—	Refresh
How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026? Top outcome: Above 1000	17.0%	47.6%	High	62	Refresh
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? Top outcome: Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter	62.0%	96.5%	High	72	Refresh
How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year? Top outcome: Above 500000 in a single quarter	55.0%	50.4%	High	72	Refresh
Will NYC subway ridership reach its pre-Covid average? Top outcome: 4.19 million	56.0%	27.1%	High	81	Refresh
Rivian Automotive Inc. total vehicles delivered in Q2 2026 Top outcome: Above 11500	0.0%	20.0%	High	—	Refresh
Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in Q2	—	—	High	—	Refresh
Tesla deliveries in Q3 Top outcome: Above 400000	87.0%	99.2%	High	—	Refresh
Air Canada passenger load factor in Q2	—	—	High	—	Refresh
Nu Holdings customers in Q2	—	—	High	—	Refresh
What sector will Anthropic be assigned to? Top outcome: Information Technology	81.0%	78.7%	High	70	Refresh
What sector will OpenAI be assigned to? Top outcome: Real Estate	1.0%	0.9%	High	79	Refresh
Which brands will advertise during the World Soccer Cup Final Top outcome: Modelo	84.0%	84.8%	Med	—	Refresh
Who will acquire Pinterest this year? Top outcome: OpenAI	3.0%	19.9%	High	59	Refresh
When will Tim Cook leave Apple? Yes refers to: Before 2027	96.0%	100.0%	High	—	Refresh
How much will the Steam Machine cost? Top outcome: At least $900	83.0%	83.1%	High	—	Refresh
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? Top outcome: Spirit Airlines	6.0%	2.2%	Med	73	Refresh
Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027? Top outcome: Citigroup	41.0%	27.9%	Med	68	Refresh
When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027	99.0%	100.0%	High	—	Refresh
What flavors will JUUL relaunch? Top outcome: Mango	9.0%	2.4%	Med	67	Refresh

Expired Markets (119)

New York Times total subscribers in Q3 2026 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

11.7K contracts

MercadoLibre items sold in Q3 2026 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

7.4K contracts

Wendy's US same-restaurant sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

26.2K contracts

Lyft total rides in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

11.8K contracts

Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

126.1K contracts

Natera tests processed in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

208 contracts

Workiva customers over $100k ACV in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

2.2K contracts

DraftKings average monthly unique payers in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

22.0K contracts

Snap daily active users in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

8.2K contracts

McDonald's Corporation total systemwide restaurants in Q3 2026 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

5.0K contracts

DraftKings sportsbook margin in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

25.7K contracts

Lemonade total customers in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

117.2K contracts

Clear+ members in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

1.4K contracts

Uber trips in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

2.6K contracts

Cloudflare customers over $100k ARR in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

2.6K contracts

Monster Beverage Corporation total case sales in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

38.9K contracts

Klaviyo customers over $50k ARR in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

354 contracts

Datadog customers over $100k ARR in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

5.5K contracts

Figma paid customers >$100k arr in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

725 contracts

Sezzle gross merchandise volume in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

916 contracts

MercadoLibre gross merchandise volume in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

196 contracts

MercadoLibre fintech monthly active users in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

54 contracts

McDonald's global comparable sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

6.5K contracts

Toast total locations in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

1.2K contracts

Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

7.4K contracts

Marriott International total rooms in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

5.5K contracts

Dutch Bros total shops in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

2.3K contracts

Coeur Mining gold production in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

2.8K contracts

CAVA total restaurants in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

42.4K contracts

Duolingo paid subscribers in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

6.2K contracts

Ferrari shipments in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

13.8K contracts

Duolingo daily active users in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

5.1K contracts

CAVA same restaurant sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

705 contracts

Dutch Bros same-shop sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

1.8K contracts

Palantir total customers in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

3.9K contracts

Match total payers in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

3.1K contracts

Paymentus transactions processed in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

39 contracts

SoFi members in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

16.9K contracts

Domino's US same store sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

10.8K contracts

Ford US total vehicles sales in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

91.3K contracts

Affirm gross merchandise volume in Q1 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

14.8K contracts

FedEx avg daily package volume in Q4 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

0 contracts

Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

0 contracts

Constellation Brands Beer Shipments in Q1 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

16.6K contracts

Best Buy domestic comparable store sales in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

7.0K contracts

Lowe's customer transactions in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

25.2K contracts

Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

22.0K contracts

Target transactions change in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

24.3K contracts

Home Depot customer transactions in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

19.3K contracts

Samsara customers over $100k ARR in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

136 contracts

Chime active members in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

479 contracts

ServiceTitan gross transaction volume in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

44.7K contracts

Remitly active customers in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

4.0K contracts

Neptune Insurance policies in force in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

2.3K contracts

Grindr average paying users in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

1.3K contracts

Dave ExtraCash origination volume in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

498 contracts

Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue above $1 million in Q1 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

0 contracts

Lowe's Customer Transactions in Q1 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

0 contracts

Futu total funded accounts in Q1 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

0 contracts

Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

38.0K contracts

Medtronic cardiovascular organic growth in Q1 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

6.7K contracts

Dick's Sporting Goods comparable sales in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

3.3K contracts

Zoom customers with over $100k in TTM revenue in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

2.9K contracts

Williams-Sonoma brand growth in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

2.3K contracts

Victoria's Secret comparable sales growth in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

4.8K contracts

UiPath customers with arr of at least $1m in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

1 contracts

Okta customers with acv over $100k in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

674 contracts

GitLab customers with arr over $100k in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

1.6K contracts

Dollar General same-store sales growth in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

4.9K contracts

Chewy active customers in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

34.5K contracts

Urban Outfitters comparable sales in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

421 contracts

Talen Energy TWh generation in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

3.6K contracts

Starlink active subscribers in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

9.3K contracts

Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

97.6K contracts

Futu total funded accounts in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

17.3K contracts

KFC same-store sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

2.4K contracts

Lowe's comparable sales growth in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

10.4K contracts

Grab monthly transacting users in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

1.8K contracts

Meta ad impressions growth in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

3.4K contracts

Meta headcount in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

16.6K contracts

Meta family daily active people in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

1.0K contracts

Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

10.6K contracts

Wyndham Hotels total rooms in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

6.3K contracts

Spotify premium subscribers in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

5.5K contracts

Spotify monthly active users in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

4.7K contracts

Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

144.1K contracts

Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

111.1K contracts

Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

18.7K contracts

American Express cards-in-force in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

218.9K contracts

Alaska Air passenger load factor in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

25.5K contracts

Charles Schwab active brokerage accounts in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

16.7K contracts

Domino's total US stores in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

192.9K contracts

Boeing commercial deliveries in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

351.1K contracts

Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

28.7K contracts

Wyndham Hotels total rooms in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

26.0K contracts

Urban Outfitters total stores in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

8.5K contracts

Ulta transactions growth in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

14.4K contracts

Tesla total deliveries in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

156.1K contracts

Toll Brothers delivered homes in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

18.9K contracts

Constellation Brands total beer shipments in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

3.4K contracts

Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in Q2 2027 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

12.6K contracts

Sea Garena paying users in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

35.8K contracts

Charles Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

166.7K contracts

Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

159.0K contracts

Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

31.1K contracts

Klarna active consumers in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

33.6K contracts

Hims & Hers subscribers in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

93.0K contracts

Domino's total US stores in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

22.0K contracts

Dollarama comparable store sales growth in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

53.2K contracts

Coinbase monthly transacting users in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

24.1K contracts

Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

163.5K contracts

CAVA restaurants in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

85.7K contracts

CAVA same restaurant sales growth in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

29.3K contracts

Boeing Deliveries in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

146.2K contracts

Aritzia comparable sales growth in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

4.4K contracts

Tesla total production in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

15.2K contracts

Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

63.8K contracts

Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

73.9K contracts

Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

120.3K contracts

Event	Market	Model	Conf	TI
New York Times total subscribers in Q3 2026	—	—	Med	—
MercadoLibre items sold in Q3 2026	—	—	High	59
Wendy's US same-restaurant sales growth in Q3	—	—	High	67
Lyft total rides in Q3	—	—	High	62
Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in Q3	—	—	High	67
Natera tests processed in Q3	—	—	High	—
Workiva customers over $100k ACV in Q3	—	—	High	—
DraftKings average monthly unique payers in Q3	—	—	High	69
Snap daily active users in Q3	—	—	High	60
McDonald's Corporation total systemwide restaurants in Q3 2026	—	—	High	63
DraftKings sportsbook margin in Q3	—	—	Med	71
Lemonade total customers in Q3	—	—	High	70
Clear+ members in Q3	—	—	High	61
Uber trips in Q3	—	—	High	60
Cloudflare customers over $100k ARR in Q3	—	—	High	69
Monster Beverage Corporation total case sales in Q3	—	—	High	72
Klaviyo customers over $50k ARR in Q3	—	—	High	—
Datadog customers over $100k ARR in Q3	—	—	High	61
Figma paid customers >$100k arr in Q3	—	—	High	63
Sezzle gross merchandise volume in Q3	—	—	High	61
MercadoLibre gross merchandise volume in Q3	—	—	Med	—
MercadoLibre fintech monthly active users in Q3	—	—	High	—
McDonald's global comparable sales growth in Q3	—	—	High	59
Toast total locations in Q3	—	—	High	66
Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q3	—	—	High	63
Marriott International total rooms in Q3	—	—	High	58
Dutch Bros total shops in Q3	—	—	High	60
Coeur Mining gold production in Q3	—	—	High	62
CAVA total restaurants in Q3	—	—	High	67
Duolingo paid subscribers in Q3	—	—	High	64
Ferrari shipments in Q3	—	—	Med	57
Duolingo daily active users in Q3	—	—	High	64
CAVA same restaurant sales growth in Q3	—	—	High	57
Dutch Bros same-shop sales growth in Q3	—	—	High	60
Palantir total customers in Q3	—	—	High	62
Match total payers in Q3	—	—	High	58
Paymentus transactions processed in Q3	—	—	High	—
SoFi members in Q3	—	—	High	—
Domino's US same store sales growth in Q3	—	—	High	62
Ford US total vehicles sales in Q2	—	—	High	—
Affirm gross merchandise volume in Q1	—	—	High	65
FedEx avg daily package volume in Q4	—	—	High	—
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in Q2	—	—	High	—
Constellation Brands Beer Shipments in Q1	—	—	High	—
Best Buy domestic comparable store sales in Q2	—	—	High	—
Lowe's customer transactions in Q2	—	—	High	—
Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in Q2	—	—	High	—
Target transactions change in Q2	—	—	High	—
Home Depot customer transactions in Q2	—	—	High	—
Samsara customers over $100k ARR in Q2	—	—	High	—
Chime active members in Q3	—	—	High	64
ServiceTitan gross transaction volume in Q2	—	—	Med	—
Remitly active customers in Q3	—	—	Med	65
Neptune Insurance policies in force in Q3	—	—	High	57
Grindr average paying users in Q3	—	—	High	61
Dave ExtraCash origination volume in Q3	—	—	High	50
Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue above $1 million in Q1	—	—	High	—
Lowe's Customer Transactions in Q1	—	—	High	—
Futu total funded accounts in Q1	—	—	High	—
Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q2	—	—	High	—
Medtronic cardiovascular organic growth in Q1	—	—	High	—
Dick's Sporting Goods comparable sales in Q2	—	—	High	—
Zoom customers with over $100k in TTM revenue in Q2	—	—	Med	—
Williams-Sonoma brand growth in Q2	—	—	High	—
Victoria's Secret comparable sales growth in Q2	—	—	High	—
UiPath customers with arr of at least $1m in Q2	—	—	High	—
Okta customers with acv over $100k in Q2	—	—	High	—
GitLab customers with arr over $100k in Q2	—	—	High	—
Dollar General same-store sales growth in Q2	—	—	High	—
Chewy active customers in Q2	—	—	High	—
Urban Outfitters comparable sales in Q3	—	—	High	—
Talen Energy TWh generation in Q3	—	—	Med	62
Starlink active subscribers in Q3	—	—	Med	—
Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3	—	—	High	64
Futu total funded accounts in Q2	—	—	High	—
KFC same-store sales growth in Q3	—	—	Med	61
Lowe's comparable sales growth in Q2	—	—	High	—
Grab monthly transacting users in Q3	—	—	High	—
Meta ad impressions growth in Q3	—	—	High	—
Meta headcount in Q3	—	—	High	—
Meta family daily active people in Q3	—	—	Med	—
Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in Q3	—	—	High	—
Wyndham Hotels total rooms in Q3	—	—	High	—
Spotify premium subscribers in Q3	—	—	High	—
Spotify monthly active users in Q3	—	—	High	—
Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q3	—	—	High	—
Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q3	—	—	High	—
Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in Q3	—	—	High	—
American Express cards-in-force in Q3	—	—	High	—
Alaska Air passenger load factor in Q3	—	—	High	—
Charles Schwab active brokerage accounts in Q3	—	—	High	67
Domino's total US stores in Q3	—	—	High	—
Boeing commercial deliveries in Q3	—	—	High	—
Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in Q2	—	—	High	—
Wyndham Hotels total rooms in Q2	—	—	High	—
Urban Outfitters total stores in Q2	—	—	High	—
Ulta transactions growth in Q2	—	—	High	—
Tesla total deliveries in Q3	—	—	Med	—
Toll Brothers delivered homes in Q3	—	—	High	—
Constellation Brands total beer shipments in Q2	—	—	High	—
Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in Q2 2027	—	—	High	—
Sea Garena paying users in Q2	—	—	High	—
Charles Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts in Q2	—	—	High	—
Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q3	—	—	High	—
Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q2	—	—	High	—
Klarna active consumers in Q2	—	—	High	—
Hims & Hers subscribers in Q2	—	—	High	—
Domino's total US stores in Q2	—	—	High	—
Dollarama comparable store sales growth in Q2	—	—	High	—
Coinbase monthly transacting users in Q2	—	—	High	—
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in Q3	—	—	High	—
CAVA restaurants in Q2	—	—	High	—
CAVA same restaurant sales growth in Q2	—	—	High	—
Boeing Deliveries in Q2	—	—	High	—
Aritzia comparable sales growth in Q2	—	—	High	—
Tesla total production in Q3	—	—	High	—
Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q2	—	—	High	—
Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3	—	—	High	—
Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q2	—	—	High	—

Companies Markets

Active Markets (97)

Prediction Markets

Public Markets

Developers

Company