Above 0%
Market Model 0.0% 0.0%
Above 0.5%
Market Model 0.0% 0.0%
Companies Markets
IPO Tracker Companies preparing to go public, with the market's view on timing.Active Markets (173)
Above $24.4 billion
Market Model 94.0% 88.0%
Above $24.7 billion
Market Model 0.0% 0.0%
Above 13%
Market Model 9.0% 5.5%
Above 12%
Market Model 34.0% 5.5%
Above 7%
Market Model 31.0% 12.0%
Above 6%
Market Model 51.0% 12.0%
Above 1645
Market Model 19.0% 6.0%
Above 1655
Market Model 7.0% 4.0%
Goldman Sachs
Market Model 22.0% 16.5%
Morgan Stanley
Market Model 77.0% 56.7%
Above 3.5%
Market Model 46.0% 7.2%
Above 2%
Market Model 78.0% 31.2%
Above 4700
Market Model 79.0% 20.0%
Above 4675
Market Model 0.0% 20.0%
Above 4%
Market Model 88.0% 20.0%
Above 3%
Market Model 99.0% 20.0%
Above 832
Market Model 84.0% 88.9%
Above 836
Market Model 65.0% 62.0%
Above 0%
Market Model 0.0% 0.9%
Above 10%
Market Model 0.0% 0.1%
Above 5375
Market Model 7.0% 14.4%
Above 5400
Market Model 3.0% 3.0%
Above 0%
Market Model 52.0% 23.2%
Above -1.5%
Market Model 92.0% 23.2%
Above 2%
Market Model 65.0% 65.6%
Above 3%
Market Model 38.0% 37.3%
Above 5%
Market Model 11.0% 18.0%
Above 3%
Market Model 31.0% 25.0%
Above $14 billion
Market Model 78.0% 70.0%
Above $14.25 billion
Market Model 50.0% 12.0%
Above $2.4 billion
Market Model 54.0% 58.0%
Above $2.5 billion
Market Model 33.0% 30.5%
Above 335 million
Market Model 2.0% 10.0%
Above 295 million
Market Model 54.0% 63.2%
Above $2.54 billion
Market Model 80.0% 77.9%
Above $2.5 billion
Market Model 97.0% 94.5%
Above 5.5%
Market Model 84.0% 35.6%
Above 4.5%
Market Model 88.0% 53.2%
SoFi members in Q3 Kalshi
Above 16.9 million
Market Model 46.0% 56.4%
Above 17 million
Market Model 27.0% 34.4%
Chime active members in Q3 Kalshi
Above 10.7 million
Market Model 82.0% 1.0%
Above 10.8 million
Market Model 49.0% 0.8%
Above 2760
Market Model 94.0% 2.0%
Above 2780
Market Model 0.0% 1.5%
Above 460 tbtu
Market Model 56.0% 0.7%
Above 500 tbtu
Market Model 13.0% 0.3%
Above $1.44 billion
Market Model 7.0% 0.3%
Above $1.4 billion
Market Model 27.0% 0.6%
Above 10.4 million
Market Model 98.0% 20.0%
Above 10.5 million
Market Model 99.0% 20.0%
Above 225 million
Market Model 39.0% 0.1%
Above 222.5 million
Market Model 68.0% 0.1%
Nu Holdings customers in Q3 Kalshi
Above 143.5 million
Market Model 29.0% 8.0%
Above 143 million
Market Model 65.0% 10.0%
Natera tests processed in Q3 Kalshi
Above 1025000
Market Model 0.0% 0.0%
Above 1050000
Market Model 0.0% 0.0%
Above 345000
Market Model 10.0% 12.0%
Above 350000
Market Model 17.0% 11.0%
Above 4900
Market Model 86.0% 12.0%
Above 4850
Market Model 0.0% 12.0%
Above 3.5 million
Market Model 51.0% 7.8%
Above 3.52 million
Market Model 42.0% 6.0%
Above 107 million
Market Model 49.0% 38.4%
Above 106.5 million
Market Model 54.0% 50.8%
Above 4875
Market Model 9.0% 10.0%
Above 4825
Market Model 23.0% 20.0%
Above 1.46 million
Market Model 43.0% 30.2%
Above 1.5 million
Market Model 14.0% 26.0%
Above 60
Market Model 69.0% 18.0%
Above 70
Market Model 38.0% 10.0%
Above 4940
Market Model 32.0% 12.0%
Above 4920
Market Model 45.0% 20.0%
Above $2.5 billion
Market Model 45.0% 67.0%
Above $2.3 billion
Market Model 94.0% 72.2%
Above 1%
Market Model 77.0% 1.5%
Above 2%
Market Model 37.0% 0.5%
Above 230000
Market Model 5.0% 10.0%
Above 220000
Market Model 22.0% 12.0%
Above 6%
Market Model 13.0% 59.2%
Above 7%
Market Model 11.0% 9.0%
Above 11.05 million
Market Model 15.0% 10.0%
Above 10.65 million
Market Model 0.0% 12.0%
Above 46800
Market Model 0.0% 0.6%
Above 47000
Market Model 0.0% 0.5%
Above 5%
Market Model 54.0% 8.0%
Above 3.5%
Market Model 98.0% 20.0%
Dutch Bros total shops in Q3 Kalshi
Above 1270
Market Model 61.0% 20.0%
Above 1250
Market Model 97.0% 20.0%
Before Oct 1, 2026
Market Model 27.0% 20.8%
Before Nov 1, 2026
Market Model 66.0% 55.4%
Hims subscribers in Q3 Kalshi
Above 3.15 million
Market Model 27.0% 0.3%
Above 3.1 million
Market Model 40.0% 0.4%
Above $10.4 billion
Market Model 79.0% 70.0%
Above $10.65 billion
Market Model 3.0% 2.0%
eToro funded accounts in Q3 Kalshi
Above 4.35 million
Market Model 86.0% 9.0%
Above 4.3 million
Market Model 94.0% 11.0%
Clear+ members in Q3 Kalshi
Above 8.45 million
Market Model 50.0% 0.9%
Above 8.5 million
Market Model 32.0% 0.8%
Above 4
Market Model 99.0% 0.7%
Above 5
Market Model 0.0% 0.4%
Above 111%
Market Model 94.0% 0.0%
Above 117%
Market Model 6.0% 0.0%
Above $21.5 billion
Market Model 0.0% 0.1%
Above $22 billion
Market Model 0.0% 0.1%
Above 91 million
Market Model 92.0% 20.0%
Above 91.5 million
Market Model 0.0% 20.0%
Above $22.4 billion
Market Model 99.0% 0.4%
Above $23.4 billion
Market Model 1.0% 0.2%
Above 4.4 gw
Market Model 3.0% 0.3%
Above 4 gw
Market Model 99.0% 0.5%
CoreWeave data centers in Q3 Kalshi
Above 56
Market Model 62.0% 0.0%
Above 59
Market Model 26.0% 0.0%
Above 860
Market Model 75.0% 20.0%
Above 880
Market Model 19.0% 20.0%
Above 218
Market Model 2.0% 1.0%
Above 200
Market Model 0.0% 20.0%
Ulta comparable sales in Q3 Kalshi
Above 4.5%
Market Model 19.0% 2.5%
Above 7%
Market Model 6.0% 0.2%
Toast total locations in Q3 Kalshi
Above 192 thousand
Market Model 15.0% 15.0%
Above 184 thousand
Market Model 98.0% 20.0%
Above 15.5 twh
Market Model 82.0% 0.2%
Above 15 twh
Market Model 97.0% 0.5%
Above 15 million
Market Model 31.0% 7.0%
Above 14 million
Market Model 75.0% 7.0%
Above 75 million
Market Model 29.0% 7.0%
Above 72 million
Market Model 62.0% 11.0%
Above 70 million
Market Model 52.0% 20.0%
Above 74 million
Market Model 17.0% 20.0%
Sea Limited Shopee GMV in Q3 Kalshi
Above $40 billion
Market Model 64.0% 0.0%
Above $36 billion
Market Model 0.0% 0.0%
Match total payers in Q3 Kalshi
Above 13.4 million
Market Model 84.0% 0.1%
Above 13.2 million
Market Model 87.0% 0.2%
Above 0%
Market Model 3.0% 3.2%
Above -1%
Market Model 6.0% 3.2%
Above 4%
Market Model 61.0% 2.0%
Above 5%
Market Model 41.0% 1.0%
Above 3300 mboed
Market Model 85.0% 77.3%
Above 3350 mboed
Market Model 82.0% 59.1%
Before Oct 1, 2026
Market Model 20.0% 100.0%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 67.0% 100.0%
Before Jun 30, 2027
Market Model 13.0% 6.5%
Before May 1, 2027
Market Model 8.0% 5.0%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 29.0% 15.1%
Before Oct 1, 2026
Market Model 4.0% 2.0%
OpenAI
Market Model 24.0% 25.7%
Anthropic
Market Model 70.0% 71.6%
Above 2%
Market Model 47.0% 3.0%
Above 4%
Market Model 11.0% 1.0%
Above 17%
Market Model 1.0% 0.2%
Above 14%
Market Model 3.0% 0.5%
Above 136 million
Market Model 42.0% 0.4%
Above 132 million
Market Model 85.0% 1.0%
Ferrari shipments in Q3 Kalshi
Above 3425
Market Model 21.0% 0.2%
Above 3400
Market Model 19.0% 0.3%
Above 1130
Market Model 13.0% 3.0%
Above 1150
Market Model 7.0% 1.0%
Above 900 thousand
Market Model 70.0% 0.0%
Above 870 thousand
Market Model 86.0% 0.0%
Above 15.5 billion
Market Model 33.0% 0.2%
Above 15.25 billion
Market Model 53.0% 0.3%
Above 1.84 million
Market Model 21.0% 5.0%
Above 1.845 million
Market Model 11.0% 3.0%
Above $16 billion
Market Model 75.0% 20.0%
Above $18 billion
Market Model 37.0% 20.0%
Above 58.5 million
Market Model 7.0% 0.7%
Above 60.5 million
Market Model 9.0% 0.3%
Above 3800 mw
Market Model 95.0% 20.0%
Above 5200 mw
Market Model 1.0% 0.1%
Above 9.5 million
Market Model 5.0% 0.0%
Above 9 million
Market Model 16.0% 0.0%
Amazon headcount in Q3 Kalshi
Above 1.54 million
Market Model 97.0% 1.0%
Above 1.6 million
Market Model 82.0% 0.3%
Above 3360
Market Model 78.0% 65.1%
Above 3380
Market Model 33.0% 28.3%
Above 18%
Market Model 5.0% 1.7%
Above 16%
Market Model 9.0% 9.7%
Above -6%
Market Model 47.0% 59.7%
Above -12%
Market Model 92.0% 94.2%
Above 2%
Market Model 11.0% 5.7%
Above -2%
Market Model 47.0% 25.6%
Above 7%
Market Model 11.0% 9.0%
Above 6%
Market Model 32.0% 20.2%
Above 41800
Market Model 14.0% 15.0%
Above 41500
Market Model 62.0% 73.9%
Meta headcount in Q3 Kalshi
Above 77 thousand
Market Model 4.0% 3.2%
Above 69 thousand
Market Model 40.0% 26.3%
Above 3.69 billion
Market Model 8.0% 38.9%
Above 3.64 billion
Market Model 46.0% 38.9%
Robinhood gold subs in Q3 Kalshi
Above 4.9 million
Market Model 96.0% 93.1%
Above 4.8 million
Market Model 98.0% 93.1%
Above 29 million
Market Model 14.0% 64.1%
Above 29.5 million
Market Model 5.0% 25.9%
Above 215000
Market Model 68.0% 53.6%
Above 220000
Market Model 13.0% 19.0%
Above 4290
Market Model 20.0% 24.0%
Above 4280
Market Model 24.0% 25.9%
Above 2%
Market Model 38.0% 34.2%
Above 0%
Market Model 87.0% 76.8%
Above 3.4%
Market Model 61.0% 81.3%
Above 4%
Market Model 33.0% 49.4%
Uber trips in Q3 Kalshi
Above 4.1 billion
Market Model 58.0% 51.9%
Above 4.15 billion
Market Model 45.0% 49.5%
Above 494 million
Market Model 65.0% 41.4%
Above 500 million
Market Model 27.0% 16.9%
Roblox hours engaged in Q3 Kalshi
Above 33 billion
Market Model 79.0% 95.4%
Above 34 billion
Market Model 31.0% 77.7%
Above 146 million
Market Model 84.0% 23.8%
Above 158 million
Market Model 13.0% 8.6%
Above 3.3 billion
Market Model 58.0% 60.0%
Above 3.2 billion
Market Model 62.0% 78.3%
Lyft total rides in Q3 Kalshi
Above 270 million
Market Model 40.0% 18.5%
Above 272 million
Market Model 21.0% 12.5%
Above 405 million
Market Model 6.0% 3.0%
Above 390 million
Market Model 49.0% 34.8%
Above 4.15 million
Market Model 11.0% 7.5%
Above 3.95 million
Market Model 92.0% 68.6%
Above 1725
Market Model 93.0% 90.0%
Above 1800
Market Model 39.0% 46.9%
Above 13.9 million
Market Model 8.0% 7.5%
Above 13.7 million
Market Model 20.0% 16.3%
Above 60 million
Market Model 78.0% 56.2%
Above 59.5 million
Market Model 83.0% 70.1%
Above 3.6 million
Market Model 88.0% 36.6%
Above 3.4 million
Market Model 95.0% 54.2%
Above 7%
Market Model 64.0% 39.6%
Above 6%
Market Model 83.0% 72.2%
Above 325 thousand
Market Model 21.0% 7.4%
Above 275 thousand
Market Model 43.0% 22.9%
CAVA total restaurants in Q3 Kalshi
Above 494
Market Model 86.0% 47.6%
Above 492
Market Model 99.0% 82.0%
Above 882 thousand
Market Model 34.0% 25.9%
Above 885 thousand
Market Model 19.0% 18.1%
Above 304 million
Market Model 70.0% 78.0%
Above 306 million
Market Model 48.0% 19.0%
Above 802 million
Market Model 16.0% 9.0%
Above 794 million
Market Model 52.0% 43.7%
Above $122 billion
Market Model 24.0% 10.5%
Above $113 billion
Market Model 77.0% 61.1%
Above 46700
Market Model 25.0% 45.8%
Above 46400
Market Model 81.0% 86.3%
Above 2.5%
Market Model 27.0% 38.3%
Above 2%
Market Model 45.0% 38.4%
Above 57.5 million
Market Model 39.0% 22.5%
Above 57 million
Market Model 72.0% 48.4%
Above $185
Market Model 99.0% 97.2%
Above $210
Market Model 92.0% 87.6%
Above 123 million
Market Model 52.0% 62.0%
Above 121 million
Market Model 79.0% 87.0%
Above 15%
Market Model 32.0% 24.0%
Above 14%
Market Model 55.0% 44.4%
DoorDash total orders in Q3 Kalshi
Above 990 million
Market Model 56.0% 61.0%
Above 1000 million
Market Model 38.0% 25.0%
Above 35
Market Model 59.0% 57.4%
Above 55
Market Model 4.0% 2.3%
Intel headcount in Q3 Kalshi
Above 80 thousand
Market Model 70.0% 73.6%
Above 80.5 thousand
Market Model 71.0% 37.6%
Google headcount in Q3 Kalshi
Above 204 thousand
Market Model 75.0% 48.0%
Above 203 thousand
Market Model 62.0% 55.0%
Above 157 million
Market Model 4.0% 43.9%
Above 156 million
Market Model 25.0% 90.2%
Above 84%
Market Model 34.0% 47.6%
Above 84.5%
Market Model 39.0% 31.1%
Above 84%
Market Model 86.0% 70.1%
Above 87%
Market Model 4.0% 4.6%
Paramount
Market Model 65.0% 52.5%
Netflix
Market Model 4.0% 4.1%
Above 41 million
Market Model 4.0% 7.8%
Above 40.8 million
Market Model 13.0% 12.1%
Above 2%
Market Model 34.0% 52.2%
Above 4%
Market Model 15.0% 44.0%
Above 7280
Market Model 7.0% 23.4%
Above 7240
Market Model 94.0% 98.0%
Above 50.5 million
Market Model 37.0% 0.5%
Above 49.5 million
Market Model 93.0% 0.5%
Above 168
Market Model 5.0% 94.0%
Above 192
Market Model 1.0% 8.0%
Tesla total deliveries in Q3 Kalshi
Above 500000
Market Model 16.0% 38.9%
Above 440000
Market Model 84.0% 54.3%
Above 1000
Market Model 29.0% 47.6%
Above 5000
Market Model 7.0% 21.0%
Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter
Market Model 64.0% 96.5%
Above 30 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter
Market Model 3.0% 18.5%
Above 500000 in a single quarter
Market Model 52.0% 50.4%
Above 750000 in a single quarter
Market Model 3.0% 5.5%
4.19 million
Market Model 56.0% 27.1%
4.65 million
Market Model 11.0% 3.9%
Above 120 million
Market Model 44.0% 32.4%
Above 124 million
Market Model 25.0% 9.3%
Above 12000
Market Model 96.0% 91.7%
Above 13500
Market Model 89.0% 66.6%
Above 25.6 million
Market Model 2.0% 4.0%
Above 25 million
Market Model 3.0% 14.7%
Above 30%
Market Model 62.0% 46.3%
Above 36%
Market Model 17.0% 5.3%
Tesla total production in Q3 Kalshi
Above 460000
Market Model 68.0% 59.8%
Above 470000
Market Model 50.0% 40.3%
Above 490 thousand
Market Model 79.0% 56.2%
Above 480 thousand
Market Model 95.0% 56.2%
Information Technology
Market Model 81.0% 78.7%
Unassigned
Market Model 10.0% 8.8%
Before Oct 1, 2026
Market Model 4.0% 2.5%
Before Nov 1, 2026
Market Model 6.0% 3.0%
Real Estate
Market Model 1.0% 0.9%
Information Technology
Market Model 90.0% 75.7%
Before Nov 1, 2026
Market Model 1.0% 0.6%
Before Oct 1, 2026
Market Model 1.0% 0.6%
Before Jan 1, 2028
Market Model 23.0% 13.5%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 11.0% 6.4%
OpenAI
Market Model 3.0% 19.9%
Meta
Market Model 2.0% 13.4%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 10.0% 7.6%
Before Oct 1, 2026
Market Model 14.0% 7.0%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 7.0% 2.0%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 18.0% 17.5%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 25.0% 16.9%
Before Feb 1, 2027
Market Model 16.0% 10.9%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 25.0% 16.0%
Before May 1, 2027
Market Model 25.0% 15.0%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 6.0% 0.0%
Before May 1, 2027
Market Model 7.0% 0.0%
Before Apr 1, 2027
Market Model 7.0% 4.0%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 6.0% 4.0%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 12.0% 8.1%
Before Nov 1, 2026
Market Model 3.0% 8.1%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 16.0% 11.9%
Before May 1, 2027
Market Model 18.0% 11.7%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 19.0% 14.7%
Before Jan 1, 2028
Market Model 35.0% 33.8%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 17.0% 8.6%
Before Oct 1, 2026
Market Model 10.0% 5.0%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 55.0% 36.7%
Before Oct 1, 2026
Market Model 23.0% 13.5%
Before Nov 1, 2026
Market Model 15.0% 7.5%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 32.0% 18.1%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 12.0% 8.7%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 6.0% 6.4%
Spirit Airlines
Market Model 6.0% 2.2%
Anduril
Market Model 32.0% 19.5%
Citigroup
Market Model 41.0% 27.9%
Goldman Sachs
Market Model 31.0% 18.6%
Mango
Market Model 9.0% 2.4%
Mint
Market Model 30.0% 11.8%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 29.0% 17.3%
Before Apr 1, 2027
Market Model 17.0% 10.8%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 Top outcome: Above 0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | High | — | Refresh |
| ServiceTitan gross transaction volume in Q3 Top outcome: Above $24.4 billion | 94.0% | 88.0% | High | — | Refresh |
| Medtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 13% | 9.0% | 5.5% | High | 61 | Refresh |
| Victoria's Secret comparable sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 7% | 31.0% | 12.0% | High | 69 | Refresh |
| GitLab customers over $100k ARR in Q3 Top outcome: Above 1645 | 19.0% | 6.0% | High | 57 | Refresh |
| Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO? Top outcome: Goldman Sachs | 22.0% | 16.5% | Med | 69 | Refresh |
| Dollar General same-store sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 3.5% | 46.0% | 7.2% | High | 62 | Refresh |
| Zoom customers over $100k in TTM revenue in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4700 | 79.0% | 20.0% | High | 60 | Refresh |
| Williams-Sonoma brand growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4% | 88.0% | 20.0% | High | 63 | Refresh |
| Urban Outfitters total stores in Q1 Top outcome: Above 832 | 84.0% | 88.9% | High | 52 | Refresh |
| Urban Outfitters retail comparable sales in Q1 Top outcome: Above 0% | 0.0% | 0.9% | High | — | Refresh |
| Okta customers with acv over $100k in Q3 Top outcome: Above 5375 | 7.0% | 14.4% | High | 65 | Refresh |
| Lowe's comparable sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 0% | 52.0% | 23.2% | High | 61 | Refresh |
| Dick's comparable sales in Q3 Top outcome: Above 2% | 65.0% | 65.6% | High | 59 | Refresh |
| Best Buy domestic comparable sales in Q3 Top outcome: Above 5% | 11.0% | 18.0% | High | — | Refresh |
| Affirm gross merchandise volume in Q1 Top outcome: Above $14 billion | 78.0% | 70.0% | High | 58 | Refresh |
| StubHub gross merchandise sales in Q3 Top outcome: Above $2.4 billion | 54.0% | 58.0% | High | 59 | Refresh |
| Monster Beverage Corporation total case sales in Q3 Top outcome: Above 335 million | 2.0% | 10.0% | High | 59 | Refresh |
| Etsy Gross Merchandise Sales in Q3 Top outcome: Above $2.54 billion | 80.0% | 77.9% | High | 60 | Refresh |
| The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in Q3 Top outcome: Above 5.5% | 84.0% | 35.6% | High | 67 | Refresh |
| SoFi members in Q3 Top outcome: Above 16.9 million | 46.0% | 56.4% | High | 64 | Refresh |
| Chime active members in Q3 Top outcome: Above 10.7 million | 82.0% | 1.0% | High | 60 | Refresh |
| Workiva customers over $100k ACV in Q3 Top outcome: Above 2760 | 94.0% | 2.0% | High | — | Refresh |
| Venture Global LNG volumes in Q3 Top outcome: Above 460 tbtu | 56.0% | 0.7% | High | 67 | Refresh |
| Sezzle gross merchandise volume in Q3 Top outcome: Above $1.44 billion | 7.0% | 0.3% | High | 59 | Refresh |
| Remitly active customers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 10.4 million | 98.0% | 20.0% | Med | 62 | Refresh |
| Paymentus transactions processed in Q3 Top outcome: Above 225 million | 39.0% | 0.1% | High | — | Refresh |
| Nu Holdings customers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 143.5 million | 29.0% | 8.0% | High | — | Refresh |
| Natera tests processed in Q3 Top outcome: Above 1025000 | 0.0% | 0.0% | High | — | Refresh |
| Neptune Insurance policies in force in Q3 Top outcome: Above 345000 | 10.0% | 12.0% | High | 43 | Refresh |
| Cloudflare customers over $100k ARR in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4900 | 86.0% | 12.0% | High | — | Refresh |
| Lemonade total customers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 3.5 million | 51.0% | 7.8% | High | 72 | Refresh |
| Life360 monthly active users in Q3 Top outcome: Above 107 million | 49.0% | 38.4% | High | 61 | Refresh |
| Klaviyo customers over $50k ARR in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4875 | 9.0% | 10.0% | High | — | Refresh |
| Grindr average paying users in Q3 Top outcome: Above 1.46 million | 43.0% | 30.2% | High | 60 | Refresh |
| Evolv Technologies new customers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 60 | 69.0% | 18.0% | Med | — | Refresh |
| Datadog customers over $100k ARR in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4940 | 32.0% | 12.0% | High | 63 | Refresh |
| Dave ExtraCash origination volume in Q3 Top outcome: Above $2.5 billion | 45.0% | 67.0% | High | 59 | Refresh |
| Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 1% | 77.0% | 1.5% | Med | 61 | Refresh |
| Coeur Mining gold production in Q3 Top outcome: Above 230000 | 5.0% | 10.0% | High | 60 | Refresh |
| CAVA same restaurant sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 6% | 13.0% | 59.2% | High | 61 | Refresh |
| BrightSpring Health prescriptions filled in Q3 Top outcome: Above 11.05 million | 15.0% | 10.0% | High | — | Refresh |
| BrightSpring Health home health average daily census in Q3 Top outcome: Above 46800 | 0.0% | 0.6% | High | — | Refresh |
| Dutch Bros same-shop sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 5% | 54.0% | 8.0% | High | 41 | Refresh |
| Dutch Bros total shops in Q3 Top outcome: Above 1270 | 61.0% | 20.0% | High | 61 | Refresh |
| When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Oct 1, 2026 | 27.0% | 20.8% | High | 73 | Refresh |
| Hims subscribers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 3.15 million | 27.0% | 0.3% | Med | 55 | Refresh |
| Instacart gross transaction value in Q3 Top outcome: Above $10.4 billion | 79.0% | 70.0% | High | 70 | Refresh |
| eToro funded accounts in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4.35 million | 86.0% | 9.0% | High | 59 | Refresh |
| Clear+ members in Q3 Top outcome: Above 8.45 million | 50.0% | 0.9% | High | 51 | Refresh |
| Rocket Lab vehicles launched in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4 | 99.0% | 0.7% | Med | — | Refresh |
| Monday net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in Q3 Top outcome: Above 111% | 94.0% | 0.0% | High | — | Refresh |
| MercadoLibre gross merchandise volume in Q3 Top outcome: Above $21.5 billion | 0.0% | 0.1% | High | — | Refresh |
| MercadoLibre fintech monthly active users in Q3 Top outcome: Above 91 million | 92.0% | 20.0% | High | — | Refresh |
| eBay gross merchandise volume in Q3 Top outcome: Above $22.4 billion | 99.0% | 0.4% | High | — | Refresh |
| CoreWeave power capacity in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4.4 gw | 3.0% | 0.3% | High | 62 | Refresh |
| CoreWeave data centers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 56 | 62.0% | 0.0% | High | 68 | Refresh |
| Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in Q3 Top outcome: Above 860 | 75.0% | 20.0% | High | 60 | Refresh |
| Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in Q3 Top outcome: Above 218 | 2.0% | 1.0% | High | 58 | Refresh |
| Ulta comparable sales in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4.5% | 19.0% | 2.5% | High | 62 | Refresh |
| Toast total locations in Q3 Top outcome: Above 192 thousand | 15.0% | 15.0% | High | 59 | Refresh |
| Talen Energy TWh generation in Q3 Top outcome: Above 15.5 twh | 82.0% | 0.2% | Med | 57 | Refresh |
| Starlink active subscribers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 15 million | 31.0% | 7.0% | Med | 64 | Refresh |
| Sea Limited Garena paying users in Q3 Top outcome: Above 75 million | 29.0% | 7.0% | Med | 59 | Refresh |
| Sea Limited Garena paying users in Q4 Top outcome: Above 70 million | 52.0% | 20.0% | High | 60 | Refresh |
| Sea Limited Shopee GMV in Q3 Top outcome: Above $40 billion | 64.0% | 0.0% | High | 60 | Refresh |
| Match total payers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 13.4 million | 84.0% | 0.1% | High | — | Refresh |
| Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | High | 61 | Refresh |
| Target comparable sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4% | 61.0% | 2.0% | High | 65 | Refresh |
| Petrobras total production (Mboed) in Q3 Top outcome: Above 3300 mboed | 85.0% | 77.3% | High | 60 | Refresh |
| When will Oura officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Oct 1, 2026 | 20.0% | 100.0% | High | 70 | Refresh |
| When will Starlink officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 30, 2027 | 13.0% | 6.5% | High | 62 | Refresh |
| When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 29.0% | 15.1% | High | 64 | Refresh |
| Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year? Top outcome: OpenAI | 24.0% | 25.7% | Med | 64 | Refresh |
| KFC same-store sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 2% | 47.0% | 3.0% | Med | 50 | Refresh |
| Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 Top outcome: Above 17% | 1.0% | 0.2% | High | 64 | Refresh |
| Reddit daily active uniques in Q3 Top outcome: Above 136 million | 42.0% | 0.4% | Med | 51 | Refresh |
| Ferrari shipments in Q3 Top outcome: Above 3425 | 21.0% | 0.2% | High | 60 | Refresh |
| Palantir total customers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 1130 | 13.0% | 3.0% | High | 62 | Refresh |
| Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q3 Top outcome: Above 900 thousand | 70.0% | 0.0% | Med | 69 | Refresh |
| Altria Group cigarette shipments in Q3 Top outcome: Above 15.5 billion | 33.0% | 0.2% | High | 60 | Refresh |
| Marriott International total rooms in Q3 Top outcome: Above 1.84 million | 21.0% | 5.0% | High | 56 | Refresh |
| Robinhood event contracts trading volume in Q3 Top outcome: Above $16 billion | 75.0% | 20.0% | High | 64 | Refresh |
| Grab monthly transacting users in Q3 Top outcome: Above 58.5 million | 7.0% | 0.7% | High | — | Refresh |
| First Solar module volume sold in Q3 Top outcome: Above 3800 mw | 95.0% | 20.0% | High | 65 | Refresh |
| Coinbase monthly transacting users in Q3 Top outcome: Above 9.5 million | 5.0% | 0.0% | High | 62 | Refresh |
| Amazon headcount in Q3 Top outcome: Above 1.54 million | 97.0% | 1.0% | High | 69 | Refresh |
| Wingstop total restaurants in Q3 Top outcome: Above 3360 | 78.0% | 65.1% | High | 69 | Refresh |
| Meta ad impressions growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 18% | 5.0% | 1.7% | High | 46 | Refresh |
| Wendy's US same-restaurant sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above -6% | 47.0% | 59.7% | High | 60 | Refresh |
| Wingstop domestic same store sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 2% | 11.0% | 5.7% | High | 61 | Refresh |
| Starbucks comparable transactions growth in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 7% | 11.0% | 9.0% | High | 53 | Refresh |
| Starbucks total global stores in Q1 2027 Top outcome: Above 41800 | 14.0% | 15.0% | High | 61 | Refresh |
| Meta headcount in Q3 Top outcome: Above 77 thousand | 4.0% | 3.2% | High | 62 | Refresh |
| Meta family daily active people in Q3 Top outcome: Above 3.69 billion | 8.0% | 38.9% | Med | — | Refresh |
| Robinhood gold subs in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4.9 million | 96.0% | 93.1% | High | 61 | Refresh |
| Robinhood funded customers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 29 million | 14.0% | 64.1% | High | 63 | Refresh |
| Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 Top outcome: Above 215000 | 68.0% | 53.6% | High | 71 | Refresh |
| Chipotle total restaurant count in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4290 | 20.0% | 24.0% | High | 61 | Refresh |
| Chipotle comparable restaurant sales increase in Q3 Top outcome: Above 2% | 38.0% | 34.2% | High | 47 | Refresh |
| Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in Q3 Top outcome: Above 3.4% | 61.0% | 81.3% | High | 60 | Refresh |
| Uber trips in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4.1 billion | 58.0% | 51.9% | High | 67 | Refresh |
| Snap daily active users in Q3 Top outcome: Above 494 million | 65.0% | 41.4% | High | 60 | Refresh |
| Roblox hours engaged in Q3 Top outcome: Above 33 billion | 79.0% | 95.4% | High | 68 | Refresh |
| Roblox daily active users in Q3 Top outcome: Above 146 million | 84.0% | 23.8% | High | 62 | Refresh |
| Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in Q3 Top outcome: Above 3.3 billion | 58.0% | 60.0% | High | 62 | Refresh |
| Lyft total rides in Q3 Top outcome: Above 270 million | 40.0% | 18.5% | High | 62 | Refresh |
| Home Depot customer transactions in Q3 Top outcome: Above 405 million | 6.0% | 3.0% | High | 63 | Refresh |
| Futu total funded accounts in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4.15 million | 11.0% | 7.5% | High | 64 | Refresh |
| Figma paid customers >$100k arr in Q3 Top outcome: Above 1725 | 93.0% | 90.0% | High | 62 | Refresh |
| Duolingo paid subscribers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 13.9 million | 8.0% | 7.5% | High | 48 | Refresh |
| Duolingo daily active users in Q3 Top outcome: Above 60 million | 78.0% | 56.2% | High | 65 | Refresh |
| DraftKings average monthly unique payers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 3.6 million | 88.0% | 36.6% | High | 67 | Refresh |
| DraftKings sportsbook margin in Q3 Top outcome: Above 7% | 64.0% | 39.6% | High | 47 | Refresh |
| Verizon postpaid phone net additions in Q3 Top outcome: Above 325 thousand | 21.0% | 7.4% | High | 64 | Refresh |
| CAVA total restaurants in Q3 Top outcome: Above 494 | 86.0% | 47.6% | High | 64 | Refresh |
| Wyndham Hotels total rooms in Q3 Top outcome: Above 882 thousand | 34.0% | 25.9% | High | 51 | Refresh |
| Spotify premium subscribers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 304 million | 70.0% | 78.0% | High | 62 | Refresh |
| Spotify monthly active users in Q3 Top outcome: Above 802 million | 16.0% | 9.0% | High | 63 | Refresh |
| Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q3 Top outcome: Above $122 billion | 24.0% | 10.5% | High | 60 | Refresh |
| McDonald's Corporation total systemwide restaurants in Q3 2026 Top outcome: Above 46700 | 25.0% | 45.8% | Med | 57 | Refresh |
| McDonald's Corporation global comparable sales growth in Q3 2026 Top outcome: Above 2.5% | 27.0% | 38.3% | High | 66 | Refresh |
| Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q3 Top outcome: Above 57.5 million | 39.0% | 22.5% | High | 59 | Refresh |
| Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q3 Top outcome: Above $185 | 99.0% | 97.2% | High | 66 | Refresh |
| Klarna active klarna consumers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 123 million | 52.0% | 62.0% | High | 64 | Refresh |
| Google search paid clicks change in Q3 Top outcome: Above 15% | 32.0% | 24.0% | High | 65 | Refresh |
| DoorDash total orders in Q3 Top outcome: Above 990 million | 56.0% | 61.0% | High | 60 | Refresh |
| Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in Q3 Top outcome: Above 35 | 59.0% | 57.4% | High | 62 | Refresh |
| Intel headcount in Q3 Top outcome: Above 80 thousand | 70.0% | 73.6% | High | 63 | Refresh |
| Google headcount in Q3 Top outcome: Above 204 thousand | 75.0% | 48.0% | High | 65 | Refresh |
| American Express cards-in-force in Q3 Top outcome: Above 157 million | 4.0% | 43.9% | High | 69 | Refresh |
| Alaska Air passenger load factor in Q3 Top outcome: Above 84% | 34.0% | 47.6% | High | 61 | Refresh |
| American Airlines passenger load factor in Q3 Top outcome: Above 84% | 86.0% | 70.1% | High | 67 | Refresh |
| Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers? Top outcome: Paramount | 65.0% | 52.5% | High | 84 | Refresh |
| Charles Schwab active brokerage accounts in Q3 Top outcome: Above 41 million | 4.0% | 7.8% | High | 65 | Refresh |
| Domino's US same store sales growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 2% | 34.0% | 52.2% | High | 62 | Refresh |
| Domino's total US stores in Q3 Top outcome: Above 7280 | 7.0% | 23.4% | High | 71 | Refresh |
| United Airlines passengers in Q3 Top outcome: Above 50.5 million | 37.0% | 0.5% | High | 60 | Refresh |
| Boeing commercial deliveries in Q3 Top outcome: Above 168 | 5.0% | 94.0% | High | 60 | Refresh |
| Tesla total deliveries in Q3 Top outcome: Above 500000 | 16.0% | 38.9% | Med | 67 | Refresh |
| How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026? Top outcome: Above 1000 | 29.0% | 47.6% | High | 66 | Refresh |
| How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? Top outcome: Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter | 64.0% | 96.5% | High | 73 | Refresh |
| How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year? Top outcome: Above 500000 in a single quarter | 52.0% | 50.4% | High | 73 | Refresh |
| Will NYC subway ridership reach its pre-Covid average? Top outcome: 4.19 million | 56.0% | 27.1% | High | 74 | Refresh |
| Constellation Brands total beer shipments in Q2 Top outcome: Above 120 million | 44.0% | 32.4% | High | 66 | Refresh |
| Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q3 Top outcome: Above 12000 | 96.0% | 91.7% | High | 69 | Refresh |
| Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in Q3 Top outcome: Above 25.6 million | 2.0% | 4.0% | High | 71 | Refresh |
| Aritzia comparable sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 30% | 62.0% | 46.3% | High | 63 | Refresh |
| Tesla total production in Q3 Top outcome: Above 460000 | 68.0% | 59.8% | High | 66 | Refresh |
| Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3 Top outcome: Above 490 thousand | 79.0% | 56.2% | High | 61 | Refresh |
| What sector will Anthropic be assigned to? Top outcome: Information Technology | 81.0% | 78.7% | High | 77 | Refresh |
| When will Skims officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Oct 1, 2026 | 4.0% | 2.5% | High | 65 | Refresh |
| What sector will OpenAI be assigned to? Top outcome: Real Estate | 1.0% | 0.9% | High | 78 | Refresh |
| When will Waymo officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Nov 1, 2026 | 1.0% | 0.6% | High | 66 | Refresh |
| When will Airtable officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2028 | 23.0% | 13.5% | High | 64 | Refresh |
| Who will acquire Pinterest this year? Top outcome: OpenAI | 3.0% | 19.9% | High | 61 | Refresh |
| When will Glean officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 10.0% | 7.6% | High | 64 | Refresh |
| When will Rippling officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 7.0% | 2.0% | High | 51 | Refresh |
| When will Anduril officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 25.0% | 16.9% | High | 63 | Refresh |
| When will Beast Industries officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 25.0% | 16.0% | High | 65 | Refresh |
| When will Brex officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 6.0% | 0.0% | High | 64 | Refresh |
| When will Cluely officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Apr 1, 2027 | 7.0% | 4.0% | High | 63 | Refresh |
| When will Deel officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 12.0% | 8.1% | High | 67 | Refresh |
| When will Olipop officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 16.0% | 11.9% | High | 66 | Refresh |
| When will Whoop officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 19.0% | 14.7% | High | 68 | Refresh |
| When will Stripe officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 17.0% | 8.6% | High | 63 | Refresh |
| When will Discord officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 55.0% | 36.7% | High | 62 | Refresh |
| When will AppsFlyer officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Nov 1, 2026 | 15.0% | 7.5% | High | 68 | Refresh |
| When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 12.0% | 8.7% | High | 62 | Refresh |
| Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? Top outcome: Spirit Airlines | 6.0% | 2.2% | Med | 71 | Refresh |
| Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027? Top outcome: Citigroup | 41.0% | 27.9% | Med | 68 | Refresh |
| What flavors will JUUL relaunch? Top outcome: Mango | 9.0% | 2.4% | Med | 69 | Refresh |
| When will Ramp officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 29.0% | 17.3% | High | 63 | Refresh |
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CAVA restaurants in Q2 Kalshi
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Boeing Deliveries in Q2 Kalshi
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Tesla deliveries in Q3 Kalshi
Above 400000
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Nu Holdings customers in Q2 Kalshi
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Modelo
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| Rivian Automotive Inc. total vehicles delivered in Q2 2026 Top outcome: Above 11500 | 0.0% | 20.0% | High | — | |
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| Tesla deliveries in Q3 Top outcome: Above 400000 | 87.0% | 99.2% | High | — | |
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| Which brands will advertise during the World Soccer Cup Final Top outcome: Modelo | 84.0% | 84.8% | Med | — | |
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| When will Tim Cook leave Apple? Yes refers to: Before 2027 | 96.0% | 100.0% | High | — | |
| How much will the Steam Machine cost? Top outcome: At least $900 | 83.0% | 83.1% | High | — | |
| When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 99.0% | 100.0% | High | — |
