7,800 or above
Market Model 98.6% 98.4%
8,000 or above
Market Model 72.9% 73.3%
Indices Markets
IPO Tracker Companies preparing to go public, with the market's view on timing.Active Markets (10)
5,900 or below
Market Model 6.4% 3.7%
6,300 or below
Market Model 31.7% 21.6%
Yes
Market Model 75.0% 80.5%
At least ₩8,900
Market Model 99.0% 100.0%
At least ₩8,875
Market Model 99.0% 100.0%
18,999.99 or below
Market Model 10.0% 6.4%
33,000.01 or above
Market Model 30.0% 25.3%
S&P close price end of 2026? Kalshi
3,999.99 or below
Market Model 2.0% 1.3%
7,400 to 7,599.99
Market Model 9.0% 6.4%
WTI Crude Oil
Market Model 34.0% 29.9%
Brent Crude Oil
Market Model 55.0% 70.1%
Gold
Market Model 36.0% 28.7%
S&P 500 Total Return Index
Market Model 65.0% 71.3%
S&P 500 Total Return Index
Market Model 75.0% 89.6%
BTC
Market Model 14.0% 10.4%
28,400 or above
Market Model 99.9% 100.0%
29,000 or above
Market Model 98.0% 100.0%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| How high will the S&P get this year? Top outcome: 7,800 or above | 98.6% | 98.4% | High | 85 | Refresh |
| How low will the S&P get this year? Top outcome: 5,900 or below | 6.4% | 3.7% | High | 78 | Refresh |
| Will the S&P finish positive this year? Yes refers to: Positive Growth | 75.0% | 80.5% | Med | 81 | Refresh |
| How high will the KOSPI Composite Index get in 2026? Top outcome: At least ₩8,900 | 99.0% | 100.0% | High | 63 | Refresh |
| Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026? Top outcome: 18,999.99 or below | 10.0% | 6.4% | High | 74 | Refresh |
| S&P close price end of 2026? Top outcome: 3,999.99 or below | 2.0% | 1.3% | High | 79 | Refresh |
| Annual Return: WTI vs. Brent? Top outcome: WTI Crude Oil | 34.0% | 29.9% | High | 73 | Refresh |
| Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. Gold? Top outcome: Gold | 36.0% | 28.7% | High | 78 | Refresh |
| Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. BTC? Top outcome: S&P 500 Total Return Index | 75.0% | 89.6% | High | 78 | Refresh |
| How high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026? Top outcome: 28,400 or above | 99.9% | 100.0% | High | 83 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (10)
Yes
Market Model — —
Greed
Market Model 27.0% 18.6%
Extreme Fear
Market Model 10.0% 18.6%
Yes
Market Model — —
S&P 500 Daily Up/Down Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
NASDAQ-100 Daily Up/Down Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
S&P 500 Daily Up/Down Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | — | ||
| Fear & Greed Index on Sep 18, 2026? Top outcome: Greed | 27.0% | 18.6% | Med | — | |
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — |
