Goldman Sachs
Market Model 22.0% 16.5%
Morgan Stanley
Market Model 77.0% 56.7%
IPOs Markets
Active Markets (30)
OpenAI IPO by...? Polymarket
June 30, 2026
Market Model 0.0% 5.5%
December 31, 2026
Market Model 14.0% 5.5%
Before Oct 1, 2026
Market Model 27.0% 20.8%
Before Nov 1, 2026
Market Model 66.0% 55.4%
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap Polymarket
Yes
Market Model 84.0% 87.2%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Polymarket
Anthropic
Market Model 8.1% 1.9%
Kraken
Market Model 0.1% 0.0%
IPOs before 2027? Polymarket
SpaceX
Market Model 100.0% 100.0%
Ledger
Market Model 9.0% 3.6%
Before Oct 1, 2026
Market Model 20.0% 100.0%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 67.0% 100.0%
Before Jun 30, 2027
Market Model 13.0% 6.5%
Before May 1, 2027
Market Model 8.0% 5.0%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 29.0% 15.1%
Before Oct 1, 2026
Market Model 4.0% 2.0%
OpenAI
Market Model 24.0% 25.7%
Anthropic
Market Model 70.0% 71.6%
Information Technology
Market Model 81.0% 78.7%
Unassigned
Market Model 10.0% 8.8%
Before Oct 1, 2026
Market Model 4.0% 2.5%
Before Nov 1, 2026
Market Model 6.0% 3.0%
Real Estate
Market Model 1.0% 0.9%
Information Technology
Market Model 90.0% 75.7%
Before Nov 1, 2026
Market Model 1.0% 0.6%
Before Oct 1, 2026
Market Model 1.0% 0.6%
Before Jan 1, 2028
Market Model 23.0% 13.5%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 11.0% 6.4%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 10.0% 7.6%
Before Oct 1, 2026
Market Model 14.0% 7.0%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 7.0% 2.0%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 18.0% 17.5%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 25.0% 16.9%
Before Feb 1, 2027
Market Model 16.0% 10.9%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 25.0% 16.0%
Before May 1, 2027
Market Model 25.0% 15.0%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 6.0% 0.0%
Before May 1, 2027
Market Model 7.0% 0.0%
Before Apr 1, 2027
Market Model 7.0% 4.0%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 6.0% 4.0%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 12.0% 8.1%
Before Nov 1, 2026
Market Model 3.0% 8.1%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 16.0% 11.9%
Before May 1, 2027
Market Model 18.0% 11.7%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 19.0% 14.7%
Before Jan 1, 2028
Market Model 35.0% 33.8%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 17.0% 8.6%
Before Oct 1, 2026
Market Model 10.0% 5.0%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 55.0% 36.7%
Before Oct 1, 2026
Market Model 23.0% 13.5%
Before Nov 1, 2026
Market Model 15.0% 7.5%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 32.0% 18.1%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 12.0% 8.7%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 6.0% 6.4%
Citigroup
Market Model 41.0% 27.9%
Goldman Sachs
Market Model 31.0% 18.6%
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 29.0% 17.3%
Before Apr 1, 2027
Market Model 17.0% 10.8%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO? Top outcome: Goldman Sachs | 22.0% | 16.5% | Med | $28,810.64 | Refresh |
| OpenAI IPO by...? Top outcome: June 30, 2026 | 0.0% | 5.5% | Med | $2,905,474.66 | Refresh |
| When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Oct 1, 2026 | 27.0% | 20.8% | High | $1,134,176.39 | Refresh |
| OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap Yes refers to: No IPO by December 31, 2026 | 84.0% | 87.2% | High | $1,965,001.29 | Refresh |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Top outcome: Anthropic | 8.1% | 1.9% | High | $5,155,028.15 | Refresh |
| IPOs before 2027? Top outcome: SpaceX | 100.0% | 100.0% | Med | $6,939,754.93 | Refresh |
| When will Oura officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Oct 1, 2026 | 20.0% | 100.0% | High | $27,405.73 | Refresh |
| When will Starlink officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 30, 2027 | 13.0% | 6.5% | High | $470,371.12 | Refresh |
| When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 29.0% | 15.1% | High | $1,170,310.79 | Refresh |
| Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year? Top outcome: OpenAI | 24.0% | 25.7% | Med | $2,123,598.33 | Refresh |
| What sector will Anthropic be assigned to? Top outcome: Information Technology | 81.0% | 78.7% | High | $21,954.1 | Refresh |
| When will Skims officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Oct 1, 2026 | 4.0% | 2.5% | High | $23,338.51 | Refresh |
| What sector will OpenAI be assigned to? Top outcome: Real Estate | 1.0% | 0.9% | High | $24,148.16 | Refresh |
| When will Waymo officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Nov 1, 2026 | 1.0% | 0.6% | High | $30,640.33 | Refresh |
| When will Airtable officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2028 | 23.0% | 13.5% | High | $2,444.19 | Refresh |
| When will Glean officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 10.0% | 7.6% | High | $1,166 | Refresh |
| When will Rippling officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 7.0% | 2.0% | High | $2,878.43 | Refresh |
| When will Anduril officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 25.0% | 16.9% | High | $84,756.93 | Refresh |
| When will Beast Industries officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 25.0% | 16.0% | High | $7,633.29 | Refresh |
| When will Brex officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 6.0% | 0.0% | High | $7,182.29 | Refresh |
| When will Cluely officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Apr 1, 2027 | 7.0% | 4.0% | High | $3,281.11 | Refresh |
| When will Deel officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 12.0% | 8.1% | High | $16,033.34 | Refresh |
| When will Olipop officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 16.0% | 11.9% | High | $3,305.29 | Refresh |
| When will Whoop officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 19.0% | 14.7% | High | $5,992.65 | Refresh |
| When will Stripe officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 17.0% | 8.6% | High | $35,798.04 | Refresh |
| When will Discord officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 55.0% | 36.7% | High | $47,920.22 | Refresh |
| When will AppsFlyer officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Nov 1, 2026 | 15.0% | 7.5% | High | $964.01 | Refresh |
| When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 12.0% | 8.7% | High | $31,729.73 | Refresh |
| Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027? Top outcome: Citigroup | 41.0% | 27.9% | Med | $104,211.74 | Refresh |
| When will Ramp officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 29.0% | 17.3% | High | $5,857.57 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (2)
Before Jun 1, 2027
Market Model 99.0% 100.0%
Before Nov 1, 2026
Market Model 99.0% 100.0%
Citigroup
Market Model 94.0% 92.1%
Bank of America
Market Model 94.0% 90.0%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO? Top outcome: Before Jun 1, 2027 | 99.0% | 100.0% | High | $6,675,610.8 | |
| Which bank will take SpaceX public? Top outcome: Citigroup | 94.0% | 92.1% | Med | $820,815.43 |
