Above $1.099
Market Model 99.0% 99.0%
Above $0.999
Market Model 89.0% 99.0%
Commodities Markets
Active Markets (6)
$4/MTok or below
Market Model 39.0% 22.5%
$3/MTok or below
Market Model 24.0% 16.4%
120.01 or above
Market Model 18.0% 27.5%
120.51 or above
Market Model 16.0% 27.5%
Crude Oil all time high by...? Polymarket
September 30
Market Model 4.8% 3.8%
December 31
Market Model 12.0% 9.3%
$115.01 or above
Market Model 39.3% 41.6%
$180.01 or above
Market Model 14.2% 16.6%
79.99 or below
Market Model 76.0% 97.0%
69.99 or below
Market Model 50.0% 97.0%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural gas price on September 25, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? Top outcome: Above $1.099 | 99.0% | 99.0% | High | 75 | Refresh |
| How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 input token price get in 2026? Top outcome: $4/MTok or below | 39.0% | 22.5% | High | 65 | Refresh |
| How high will WTI oil get by Sep 30, 2026? Top outcome: 120.01 or above | 18.0% | 27.5% | High | 70 | Refresh |
| Crude Oil all time high by...? Top outcome: September 30 | 4.8% | 3.8% | High | 75 | Refresh |
| How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026? Top outcome: $115.01 or above | 39.3% | 41.6% | High | 79 | Refresh |
| How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year? Top outcome: 79.99 or below | 76.0% | 97.0% | High | 76 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (44)
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