Topic tracker · Commodities
Brent Monthly
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (0 live, 2 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Brent Monthly markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated June 22, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brent crude oil price on June 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? | June 30, 2026 | 59.3% vs 66.0% | Report → |
| Crude oil (Brent) price on Apr 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | April 30, 2026 | 98.8% vs 97.0% | Report → |
