KPI Newsdesk · market vs Octagon model

Company KPI forecasts from
prediction markets

Market-implied forecasts for the metrics companies are about to report — deliveries, subscribers, orders, DAU — from aggregated prediction markets, measured against Octagon's independent model.

Live 626 KPI events 5,631 markets $22.4M total volume refreshed 18:48 UTC
Model edge = Octagon model − market-implied

The KPI board

  1. Today ~Nov 12 Customers NU · Q3 2026 143M near settled
  2. In 5 days ~Nov 17 Customer Transactions HD · Q3 2026 391M -3.45M · -0.9%
  3. In 5 days ~Nov 17 Active Klarna Consumers KLAR · Q3 2026 123M near settled
  4. In 6 days ~Nov 18 Brand Growth WSM · Q3 2026 5.31% near settled
  5. In 6 days ~Nov 18 Customer Transactions LOW · Q3 2026 183M -48.16K · -0.0%
  6. In 6 days ~Nov 18 Comparable Sales Growth LOW · Q3 2026 0.19% model above
  7. In 6 days ~Nov 18 Comparable Sales Growth TGT · Q3 2026 4.91% -4.16pp · -84.9%
  8. In 6 days ~Nov 18 Transactions Change TGT · Q3 2026 3.92% near settled
  9. In 7 days ~Nov 19 Total Funded Accounts FUTU · Q3 2026 4.04M -24.75K · -0.6%
  10. In 7 days ~Nov 19 Funded Accounts BULL · Q3 2026 5.23M near settled
  11. In 12 days ~Nov 24 Comparable Sales DKS · Q3 2026 2.82% -0.27pp · -9.4%
  12. In 21 days ~Dec 3 Same-store Sales Growth DG · Q3 2026 2.57% -0.76pp · -29.7%
  13. In 21 days ~Dec 3 Comparable Sales ULTA · Q3 2026 3.58% near settled
  14. In 27 days ~Dec 9 Active Customers CHWY · Q3 2026 21.94M -6.61K · -0.0%
  15. Settles Jan 1 How many Tesla semi trucks produced FY 2027 481 +465.00 · +96.8%
  16. In 75 days ~Jan 26 Average Fare JBLU · Q4 2026 254 near settled
  17. In 75 days ~Jan 26 Load Factor JBLU · Q4 2026 79.85% near settled
  18. In 76 days ~Jan 27 Energy Deployment TSLA · Q4 2026 18 near settled
  19. In 84 days ~Feb 4 Mobile Phone Activations BCE · Q4 2026 42.08K near settled
  20. Settles Feb 10 Domestic Parks Attendance Growth DIS · FY 2026 1.53% -1.45pp · -94.5%
  21. In 110 days ~Mar 2 Paying Users SE · Q4 2026 70.34M near settled
  22. Settles Mar 9 Delivered Homes TOL · FY 2026 10.57K near settled
  23. Settles Mar 12 Comparable Sales Growth Canadian Tire · Q3 2026 1.48% near settled
  24. Settles Mar 19 Food Same-store Sales Growth Loblaw · Q3 2026 1.78% -0.06pp · -3.4%
  25. Settles Mar 23 Customers Over $100k In TTM Revenue Zoom · Q3 2027 4.72K near settled
  26. Settles Mar 24 Total Stores URBN · Q3 2027 819 near settled
  27. Settles Mar 24 Best Buy quarter kpi Q3 2027 6 model above
  28. Settles Mar 25 Customers With Trailing 12-month Revenue >$1m SNOW · Q3 2027 866 near settled
  29. Settles Mar 31 Customers Over $100k ARR GTLB · Q3 2027 1.63K near settled
  30. Settles Mar 31 Cardiovascular Growth MDT · Q2 2027 10.79% -1.69pp · -15.7%
  31. Settles Apr 1 Customers With Arr Of At Least $1m PATH · Q3 2027 402 near settled
  32. Settles Apr 1 Tesla deliveries by TSLA · FY 2027 420K +82.85K · +19.7%
  33. Settles Apr 2 Customers Over $100k ARR Samsara · Q3 2027 3.84K +4.00 · +0.1%
  34. Settles Apr 2 Gross Transaction Volume TTAN · Q3 2027 25.1B -570M · -2.3%
  35. Settles Apr 3 Comparable Sales Growth Victoria's Secret · Q3 2026 7.21% near settled
  36. Settles Apr 9 Comparable Sales Growth Lululemon Americas · Q3 2026 -17.04% -6.16pp · +36.1%
  37. Settles Apr 27 Passenger Load Factor ALK · FY 2026 81.39% +0.77pp · +0.9%
  38. Settles Apr 27 Postpaid Phone Net Additions Verizon · FY 2026 975K model above
  39. Settles Apr 27 Comparable Sales Growth MCD · FY 2026 4.21% model below
  40. Settles Apr 27 Total Restaurants MCD · FY 2026 47.53K -44.00 · -0.1%
  41. Settles Apr 27 Passenger Load Factor AAL · FY 2026 82.20% near settled
  42. Settles Apr 27 Average Passenger Fare LUV · FY 2026 233 -5.00 · -2.0%
  43. Settles Apr 28 Advertisement Impressions Growth META · FY 2026 12.68% +0.28pp · +2.2%
  44. Settles Apr 29 Members SOFI · FY 2026 18.33M near settled
  45. Settles May 2 Comparable Sales Growth Canadian Tire · FY 2026 -0.65% +0.56pp · -87.4%
  46. Settles May 2 Passenger Load Factor Air Canada · FY 2026 87.06% near settled
  47. Settles May 2 Same Store Sales Growth DPZ · FY 2026 1.36% -0.01pp · -0.6%
  48. Settles May 2 Total US Stores DPZ · FY 2026 7.35K +131.00 · +1.8%
  49. Settles May 2 Sold First Solar Gigawatts · FY 2026 17 near settled
  50. Settles May 2 Same Store Sales Growth Wingstop US · FY 2026 -1.59% near settled
  51. Settles May 2 Total System-wide Restaurants WING · FY 2026 3.49K +66.00 · +1.9%
  52. Settles May 4 Search Cost-per-click Change GOOGL · FY 2026 3 near settled
  53. Settles May 5 Average Daily Active Users SNAP · FY 2026 497M -5.97M · -1.2%
  54. Settles May 5 Same-store Sales Growth KFC · FY 2026 2.57% -1.33pp · -51.6%
  55. Settles May 5 Same-store Sales Growth Taco Bell · FY 2026 4.21% near settled
  56. Settles May 6 Shipment Volume (pouches) PM · FY 2026 11.77B near settled
  57. Settles May 6 Volumes Venture Global LNG · FY 2026 1.88K near settled
  58. Settles May 9 Net Dollar Retention Rate For The >$100k Arr Cohort MNDY · FY 2026 111.89% near settled
  59. Settles May 12 Event Contracts Total Trading Volume HOOD · FY 2026 59.41B near settled
  60. Settles May 12 Hours Engaged RBLX · FY 2026 122B model below
  61. Settles May 12 Total Rooms WH · FY 2026 884K near settled
  62. Settles May 12 Monthly Transacting Users COIN · FY 2026 7.51M near settled
  63. Settles May 12 Gold Subscribers HOOD · FY 2026 5.5M -553K · -10.1%
  64. Settles May 12 Total Rooms MAR · FY 2026 1.86M near settled
  65. Settles May 12 Daily Active Users RBLX · FY 2026 173M model below
  66. Settles May 13 Nights & Experiences Booked ABNB · FY 2026 605M -32.09M · -5.3%
  67. Settles May 14 Headcount AXP · FY 2026 76.64K near settled
  68. Settles May 14 Sportsbook Margin DKNG · FY 2026 7.33% -0.33pp · -4.5%
  69. Settles May 16 Active Subscribers OTAI · FY 2026 15.82M near settled
  70. Settles May 17 Comparable Restaurant Sales CAKE · FY 2026 6.36% near settled
  71. Settles May 17 Funded Accounts ETOR · FY 2026 4.52M near settled
  72. Settles May 18 Total Restaurants At End Of Fiscal 2026 Cheesecake Factory · FY 2026 391 -7.00 · -1.8%
  73. Settles May 18 Marketplace Gross Merchandise Sales ETSY · FY 2026 11.18B -330M · -3.0%
  74. Settles May 18 Gross Transaction Value Instacart · FY 2026 42.21B near settled
  75. Settles May 19 Comparable Sales Growth (ex-fuel) WMT · FY 2027 3.70% -0.09pp · -2.4%
  76. Settles May 20 Same-shop Sales Growth BROS · FY 2026 5.51% near settled
  77. Settles May 24 Fintech Monthly Active Users MELI · FY 2026 100M near settled
  78. Settles May 25 Customers With Over $100k In TTM Revenue Zoom · FY 2027 4.8K near settled
  79. Settles May 25 Customer Transactions HD · FY 2026 1.62B -31.53M · -1.9%
  80. Settles May 26 Funded Accounts BULL · FY 2026 5.31M -47.35K · -0.9%
  81. Settles May 26 Active Consumers KLAR · FY 2026 127M near settled
  82. Settles May 26 Comparable Sales Growth LOW · FY 2026 0.67% near settled
  83. Settles May 27 Customer Over$100k ARR DDOG · FY 2026 5.09K near settled
  84. Settles May 27 Active Members Chime · FY 2026 11.34M near settled
  85. Settles May 27 Paid Subscribers DUOL · FY 2026 13.62M -123K · -0.9%
  86. Settles May 27 New Customers Evolv Technologies · FY 2026 227 near settled
  87. Settles May 27 Monthly Active Users LIF · FY 2026 112M near settled
  88. Settles May 27 Tests Processed NTRA · FY 2026 4.28M near settled
  89. Settles May 27 Total Global Stores SBUX · Q1 2027 41.68K model below
  90. Settles May 27 Customers Over $100k ACV WK · FY 2026 2.97K near settled
  91. Settles May 30 Comparable Sales Growth Lululemon Americas · FY 2026 -11.00% model below
  92. Settles May 31 Best Buy annual kpi FY 2027 7 near settled
  93. Settles May 31 Customers With Arr Over $100k GTLB · FY 2027 1.71K near settled
  94. Settles May 31 Transactions Change TGT · FY 2026 3.95% near settled
  95. Settles Jun 1 Domestic Parks Attendance Growth DIS · Q1 2027 3.58% near settled
  96. Settles Jun 2 Sales Growth (excl. Fuel) Kroger · FY 2026 0.92% near settled
  97. Settles Jun 2 Gross Merchandise Sales STUB · FY 2026 10.31B near settled
  98. Settles Jun 2 Comparable Sales Growth TGT · FY 2026 5.22% near settled
  99. Settles Jun 2 Comparable Sales Growth Victoria's Secret · FY 2026 7.55% model above
  100. Settles Jun 8 Customers With Arr Of At Least $1m PATH · FY 2027 423 near settled
  101. Settles Jun 8 Comparable Sales URBN · FY 2027 4.85% near settled
  102. Settles Jun 9 Same-store Sales Growth DG · FY 2026 2.42% near settled
  103. Settles Jun 9 Comparable Store Sales DKS · FY 2026 4.56% near settled
  104. Settles Jun 9 Comparable Sales ULTA · FY 2026 4.33% near settled
  105. Settles Jun 9 Transactions Growth ULTA · FY 2026 0.11% near settled
  106. Settles Jun 10 Occupancy Hilton US · Q4 2026 70.12% near settled
  107. Settles Jun 15 Total Comparable Brand Growth WSM · FY 2026 5.07% near settled
  108. Settles Jun 22 Active Customers CHWY · FY 2026 22.02M near settled
  109. Settles Jun 27 Total Subscribers New York Times · Q4 2026 14.23M near settled
  110. Settles Jun 30 Comparable Store Sales Growth Dollarama · FY 2027 4.88% near settled
  111. Settles Jul 29 Comparable Sales Growth Aritzia · Q3 2027 22.92% near settled
  112. Settles Jul 31 Total Vehicle US Sales F · Q1 2027 467K model below
  113. Settles Jul 31 Energy Deployment TSLA · Q1 2027 14 near settled
  114. Settles Jul 31 Production TSLA · Q1 2027 448K near settled
  115. Settles Aug 6 Comparable Store Sales Growth Dollarama · Q3 2027 4.42% -0.15pp · -3.3%
  116. Settles Aug 19 Shipment Volume (pouches) PM · Q1 2027 3.19B near settled
  117. Settles Aug 19 Seats Flown LUV · Q1 2027 55.59M -2.59M · -4.7%
  118. Settles Aug 19 Policies In Force NP · Q1 2027 376K -7.67K · -2.0%
  119. Settles Aug 20 Cards-in-force AXP · Q1 2027 157M near settled
  120. Settles Aug 20 Deliveries Lockheed Martin F-35 · Q1 2027 34 +0.35 · +1.0%
  121. Settles Aug 24 Postpaid Phone Net Additions Verizon · Q1 2027 525K near settled
  122. Settles Aug 25 Funded Customers HOOD · Q1 2027 29.21M near settled
  123. Settles Aug 25 Gold Subscribers HOOD · Q1 2027 5.84M near settled
  124. Settles Aug 26 Headcount META · Q1 2027 67.05K near settled
  125. Settles Aug 26 Total Rooms WH · Q1 2027 888K -703.00 · -0.1%
  126. Settles Aug 26 Ad Impressions Growth META · Q1 2027 6.21% +0.94pp · +15.2%
  127. Settles Aug 26 Domestic Same Store Sales Growth WING · Q1 2027 -1.05% near settled
  128. Settles Aug 26 Comparable Restaurant Sales CMG · Q1 2027 2.80% near settled
  129. Settles Aug 26 Comparable Restaurant Sales CAKE · Q1 2027 12.33% near settled
  130. Settles Aug 26 Retail Vehicle Unit Sales CVNA · Q1 2027 257K near settled
  131. Settles Aug 26 Gross Merchandise Volume EBAY · Q1 2027 24.09B near settled
  132. Settles Aug 26 Headcount GOOGL · Q1 2027 210K near settled
  133. Settles Aug 27 Cigarette Shipments MO · Q1 2027 13.27B near settled
  134. Settles Aug 31 Cardiovascular Organic Growth MDT · FY 2027 9.49% near settled
  135. Settles Aug 31 Daily Active Users DUOL · Q1 2027 71.22M near settled
  136. Settles Aug 31 Monthly Transacting Users GRAB · Q1 2027 61.42M near settled
  137. Settles Sep 1 Total Payers MTCH · Q1 2027 13.26M near settled
  138. Settles Sep 2 Trips UBER · Q1 2027 4.33B near settled
  139. Settles Sep 2 Gold Production CDE · Q1 2027 168K near settled
  140. Settles Sep 2 Total Orders DASH · Q1 2027 1.09B near settled
  141. Settles Sep 3 Global Comparable Sales Growth MCD · Q1 2027 5.42% -2.27pp · -41.9%
  142. Settles Sep 3 Fintech Monthly Active Users MELI · Q1 2027 105M near settled
  143. Settles Sep 3 Gross Merchandise Volume MELI · Q1 2027 23.56B near settled
  144. Settles Sep 3 Items Sold MELI · Q1 2027 975M near settled
  145. Settles Sep 4 Same-restaurant Sales Growth WEN · Q1 2027 -3.17% near settled
  146. Settles Sep 15 Same Restaurant Sales Growth CAVA · Q1 2027 1.92% near settled
  147. Settles Sep 15 Total Restaurants CAVA · Q1 2027 536 near settled
  148. Settles Sep 24 Total Subscribers New York Times · Q1 2027 14.51M near settled
  149. Settles Nov 24 Gross Merchandise Volume AFRM · FY 2027 68.71B near settled
  150. Settles Nov 28 Passenger Load Factor Air Canada · Q1 2027 86.17% near settled
  151. Settles Nov 28 Hours Engaged RBLX · Q1 2027 32.77B near settled
  152. Settles Nov 28 Headcount AMZN · Q1 2027 1.64M near settled
  153. Settles Nov 28 Commercial Airplane Deliveries BA · Q1 2027 161 +9.00 · +5.9%
  154. Settles Nov 28 Prescriptions Filled BTSG · Q1 2027 10.89M near settled
  155. Settles Nov 28 Monthly Transacting Users COIN · Q1 2027 7.09M near settled
  156. Settles Nov 28 Total Rooms MAR · Q1 2027 1.88M near settled
  157. Settles Nov 28 Total US Stores DPZ · Q1 2027 7.35K +9.00 · +0.1%
  158. Settles Dec 1 Customers With Arr Of At Least $1m ZS · FY 2027 915 near settled
  159. Settles Dec 22 Total Cardholders COST · FY 2027 156M near settled
  160. Settles Mar 31 Domestic Cigarette Shipments MO · FY 2026 59.74B -4.5B · -7.5%
  161. Settles Mar 31 Total Restaurant Count CMG · FY 2026 4.38K +7.00 · +0.2%
  162. Settles Mar 31 Retail Vehicle Unit Sales CVNA · FY 2026 825K near settled
  163. Settles Mar 31 Seats Flown LUV · FY 2026 230M -1.78M · -0.8%
  164. Settles Mar 31 Premium Subscribers SPOT · FY 2026 317M model below
  165. Settles Mar 31 Total Payers MTCH · FY 2026 13.18M -411K · -3.1%
  166. Settles Mar 31 Commercial Airplane Deliveries BA · FY 2026 636 +0.41 · +0.1%
  167. Settles Mar 31 Items Sold MELI · FY 2026 3.38B -5.62M · -0.2%
  168. Settles Mar 31 Available Lower Berth Days CCL · FY 2026 97.35M near settled
  169. Settles Mar 31 Passengers Flown UAL · FY 2026 189M -2.4M · -1.3%
  170. Settles Mar 31 Subscribers HIMS · FY 2026 3.02M +29.71K · +1.0%
  171. Settles Mar 31 Total Deliveries TSLA · FY 2026 1.79M near settled
  172. Settles Mar 31 Funded Customers HOOD · FY 2026 29.29M near settled
  173. Settles Mar 31 Vehicle Sales Volume F · FY 2026 2.03M near settled
  174. Settles Mar 31 Total Customer Count PLTR · FY 2026 1.15K +51.00 · +4.4%
  175. Settles Mar 31 Gross Merchandise Volume EBAY · FY 2026 91.89B near settled
  176. Settles Mar 31 Headcount ORCL · FY 2027 132K near settled
  177. Settles Mar 31 Headcount META · FY 2026 67.25K +3.02K · +4.5%
  178. Settles Mar 31 Headcount INTC · FY 2026 81.43K -2.36K · -2.9%
  179. Settles Mar 31 Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts SCHW · FY 2026 40.8M near settled
  180. Settles Mar 31 Headcount AMZN · FY 2026 1.64M -81.13K · -4.9%
  181. Settles Oct 29 Brands Beer Shipments STZ · FY 2027 420M model below
  182. Settles Jan 1 Comparable Transactions Growth SBUX · FY 2027 1.40% near settled
  183. Settles Jan 1 Total Global Stores SBUX · FY 2027 42.79K near settled
  184. Reported Nov 10 Gross Merchandise Sales STUB · Q3 2026 2.62B near settled
  185. Reported Nov 10 New Customers Evolv Technologies · Q3 2026 51 near settled
  186. Reported Nov 10 Funded Accounts ETOR · Q3 2026 4.39M near settled
  187. Reported Nov 10 Volumes Venture Global LNG · Q3 2026 466 -8.00 · -1.7%
  188. Reported Nov 10 Paying Users SE · Q3 2026 68.6M near settled
  189. Reported Nov 10 Limited Shopee GMV SE · Q3 2026 39.7B model below
  190. Reported Nov 9 Monthly Active Users LIF · Q3 2026 108M -1.26M · -1.2%
  191. Reported Nov 5 Average Monthly Unique Payers DKNG · Q3 2026 4.1M -135K · -3.3%
  192. Reported Nov 5 Gross Merchandise Volume AFRM · Q1 2027 14.4B near settled
  193. Reported Nov 5 Bookings ABNB · Q3 2026 155M near settled
  194. Reported Nov 5 Total Case Sales MNST · Q3 2026 305M near settled
  195. Reported Nov 5 Customers Over $100k ARR NET · Q3 2026 5.01K -49.00 · -1.0%
  196. Reported Nov 5 Average Paying Users Grindr · Q3 2026 1.4M model below
  197. Reported Nov 5 Restaurant-level Profit Margin SG · Q3 2026 10.40% near settled
  198. Reported Nov 5 Total Rides LYFT · Q3 2026 274M near settled
  199. Reported Nov 5 Tests Processed NTRA · Q3 2026 1.09M near settled
  200. Reported Nov 5 Total Customers LMND · Q3 2026 3.52M near settled
  201. Reported Nov 5 Same-restaurant Sales Growth WEN · Q3 2026 -5.70% near settled
  202. Reported Nov 4 Gold Production CDE · Q3 2026 161K +31.3K · +18.9%
  203. Reported Nov 4 Gross Merchandise Volume SEZL · Q3 2026 1.4B model below
  204. Reported Nov 4 Gross Merchandise Volume MELI · Q3 2026 22.82B near settled
  205. Reported Nov 4 Same Restaurant Sales Growth CAVA · Q3 2026 3.10% model below
  206. Reported Nov 4 Total Restaurants CAVA · Q3 2026 500 near settled
  207. Reported Nov 4 Customers Over $50k ARR KVYO · Q3 2026 4.72K near settled
  208. Reported Nov 4 Origination Volume Dave ExtraCash · Q3 2026 2.5B model above
  209. Reported Nov 4 Paid Customers >$100k Arr FIG · Q3 2026 1.72K +30.00 · +1.7%
  210. Reported Nov 4 Fintech Monthly Active Users MELI · Q3 2026 92.9M near settled
  211. Reported Nov 4 Same-shop Sales Growth BROS · Q3 2026 4.40% near settled
  212. Reported Nov 4 Active Customers RELY · Q3 2026 10.3M model below
  213. Reported Nov 4 Daily Active Users SNAP · Q3 2026 495M near settled
  214. Reported Nov 4 Active Members Chime · Q3 2026 10.9M model below
  215. Reported Nov 4 Global Comparable Sales Growth MCD · Q3 2026 1.50% near settled
  216. Reported Nov 4 Total Systemwide Restaurants MCD · Q3 2026 46.55K -4.00 · -0.0%
  217. Reported Nov 4 Total Subscribers New York Times · Q3 2026 13.76M near settled
  218. Reported Nov 4 Customers Over $100k ARR DDOG · Q3 2026 4.86K +43.00 · +0.9%
  219. Reported Nov 4 Trips UBER · Q3 2026 4.06B +74M · +1.8%
  220. Reported Nov 4 Members YOU · Q3 2026 8.47M -28.75K · -0.3%
  221. Reported Nov 3 Daily Active Users DUOL · Q3 2026 64.9M near settled
  222. Reported Nov 3 Paid Subscribers DUOL · Q3 2026 13.1M near settled
  223. Reported Nov 3 Total Locations TOST · Q3 2026 189K near settled
  224. Reported Nov 3 Headcount AAPL · FY 2026 167K near settled
  225. Reported Nov 3 Shipments RACE · Q3 2026 3.37K -49.00 · -1.5%
  226. Reported Nov 3 Same-store Sales Growth Taco Bell · Q3 2026 -4.00% near settled
  227. Reported Nov 3 Same-store Sales Growth KFC · Q3 2026 1.00% near settled
  228. Reported Nov 3 Monthly Transacting Users GRAB · Q3 2026 57.2M model below
  229. Reported Nov 2 Total Customers PLTR · Q3 2026 1.09K near settled
  230. Reported Nov 2 Total Payers MTCH · Q3 2026 13.79M -21.19K · -0.2%
  231. Reported Nov 2 Transactions Processed PAY · Q3 2026 219M model below
  232. Reported Oct 30 Prescriptions Filled BTSG · Q3 2026 10.95M -114K · -1.1%
  233. Reported Oct 29 Total Global Stores SBUX · FY 2026 41.61K -30.00 · -0.1%
  234. Reported Oct 29 Comparable Transactions Growth SBUX · FY 2026 3.20% +0.81pp · +22.8%
  235. Reported Oct 29 Search Paid Clicks Change GOOGL · Q3 2026 8.00% +1.72pp · +16.2%
  236. Reported Oct 29 Hours Engaged RBLX · Q3 2026 34B near settled
  237. Reported Oct 29 Headcount INTC · Q3 2026 81.25K -554.00 · -0.7%
  238. Reported Oct 29 Monthly Transacting Users COIN · Q3 2026 7.4M -220K · -3.0%
  239. Reported Oct 29 Module Volume Sold FSLR · Q3 2026 4.13K near settled
  240. Reported Oct 29 Daily Active Uniques RDDT · Q3 2026 130M near settled
  241. Reported Oct 29 Headcount AMZN · Q3 2026 1.64M near settled
  242. Reported Oct 29 Daily Active Users RBLX · Q3 2026 138M +6.21M · +4.5%
  243. Reported Oct 29 Gross Transaction Value Instacart · Q3 2026 10.53B near settled
  244. Reported Oct 29 Passengers Carried NCLH · Q3 2026 983K +9.02K · +1.0%
  245. Reported Oct 29 Cigarette Shipments MO · Q3 2026 15.72B near settled
  246. Reported Oct 28 Total Restaurant Count CMG · Q3 2026 4.27K near settled
  247. Reported Oct 28 Gross Merchandise Volume EBAY · Q3 2026 23.17B -373M · -1.6%
  248. Reported Oct 28 Headcount GOOGL · Q3 2026 205K near settled
  249. Reported Oct 28 Comparable Restaurant Sales Increase CMG · Q3 2026 2.10% near settled
  250. Reported Oct 28 Retail Vehicle Unit Sales CVNA · Q3 2026 217K near settled
  251. Reported Oct 28 Total Restaurants WING · Q3 2026 3.33K model above
  252. Reported Oct 28 Domestic Same Store Sales Growth WING · Q3 2026 -5.40% near settled
  253. Reported Oct 28 Gross Merchandise Sales ETSY · Q3 2026 2.65B near settled
  254. Reported Oct 27 Funded Customers HOOD · Q3 2026 28.7M near settled
  255. Reported Oct 27 Comparable Restaurant Sales CAKE · Q3 2026 15.20% near settled
  256. Reported Oct 27 Members SOFI · Q3 2026 17.07M near settled
  257. Reported Oct 26 Postpaid Phone Net Additions Verizon · Q3 2026 406K model above
  258. Reported Oct 23 Cards-in-force AXP · Q3 2026 155M near settled
  259. Reported Oct 22 Passenger Load Factor AAL · Q3 2026 83.40% near settled
  260. Reported Oct 22 Deliveries Lockheed Martin F-35 · Q3 2026 43 near settled
  261. Reported Oct 22 Premium Subscribers SPOT · Q3 2026 306M near settled
  262. Reported Oct 22 Monthly Active Users SPOT · Q3 2026 788M near settled
  263. Reported Oct 21 Total Rooms WH · Q3 2026 877K near settled
  264. Reported Oct 21 Seats Flown LUV · Q3 2026 57.59M near settled
  265. Reported Oct 21 Average Passenger Fare LUV · Q3 2026 232 near settled
  266. Reported Oct 21 Ad Impressions Growth META · Q3 2026 10.00% near settled
  267. Reported Oct 21 Headcount META · Q3 2026 66.78K near settled
  268. Reported Oct 21 Daily Active People META · Q3 2026 3.64B near settled
  269. Reported Oct 21 Passenger Load Factor ALK · Q3 2026 82.80% near settled
  270. Reported Oct 21 Shipment Volume (pouches) PM · Q3 2026 3.2B near settled
  271. Reported Oct 21 Active Subscribers OTAI · Q3 2026 13.6M near settled
  272. Reported Oct 20 Passengers UAL · Q3 2026 49.53M model above
  273. Reported Oct 20 Policies In Force NP · Q3 2026 336K model below
  274. Reported Oct 15 Active Brokerage Accounts SCHW · Q3 2026 40.26M near settled
  275. Reported Oct 13 Commercial Airplane Deliveries BA · Q3 2026 161 near settled
  276. Reported Oct 13 Total US Stores DPZ · Q3 2026 7.26K near settled
  277. Reported Oct 13 Same Store Sales Growth DPZ · Q3 2026 0.30% near settled
  278. Reported Oct 6 Total Beer Shipments STZ · Q2 2027 124M near settled
  279. Reported Oct 2 Total Vehicles US Sales F · Q3 2026 510K near settled
  280. Reported Oct 2 Total Production TSLA · Q3 2026 464K +1.96K · +0.4%
  281. Reported Oct 2 Total Deliveries TSLA · Q3 2026 487K near settled
  282. Reported Oct 2 Total Vehicles Delivered RIVN · Q3 2026 19.25K near settled
  283. Reported Sep 30 Data Centers CRWV · Q3 2026 52 model below
  284. Reported Sep 29 Available Lower Berth Days CCL · Q3 2026 24.9M +46.31K · +0.2%
  285. Reported Sep 16 Comparable Store Sales Growth Dollarama · Q2 2027 5.40% near settled
  286. Reported Sep 11 Sales Growth (excl. Fuel) Kroger · Q2 2026 0.20% near settled
  287. Reported Sep 9 Active Customers CHWY · Q2 2026 21.7M near settled
  288. Reported Sep 8 Gross Transaction Volume TTAN · Q2 2027 26.8B near settled
  289. Reported Sep 8 Customers With Arr Of At Least $1m PATH · Q2 2027 387 -5.00 · -1.3%
  290. Reported Sep 7 Monthly Foot Traffic MCD · FY 2026 100 near settled
  291. Reported Sep 3 Customers With Arr Of At Least $1m ZS · FY 2026 785 model below
  292. Reported Sep 3 Comparable Sales Growth Victoria's Secret · Q2 2026 9.00% model below
  293. Reported Sep 3 Customers With Trailing 12-month Revenue >$1m SNOW · Q2 2027 828 +5.00 · +0.6%
  294. Reported Sep 1 Customers With Arr Over $100k GTLB · Q2 2027 1.57K +2.00 · +0.1%
  295. Reported Sep 1 Cardiovascular Organic Growth MDT · Q1 2027 15.00% near settled
  296. Reported Aug 28 Customer Transactions LOW · Q2 2026 228M near settled
  297. Reported Aug 27 Gross Merchandise Volume AFRM · FY 2026 50.2B model below
  298. Reported Aug 27 Comparable Sales URBN · Q3 2027 6.20% near settled
  299. Reported Aug 27 Total Stores URBN · Q2 2027 810 near settled
  300. Reported Aug 27 Same-store Sales Growth DG · Q2 2026 3.50% near settled
  301. Reported Aug 26 Customers With Acv Over $100k OKTA · Q2 2027 5.25K near settled
  302. Reported Aug 26 Brand Growth WSM · Q2 2026 6.20% near settled
  303. Reported Aug 25 Customers With Over $100k In TTM Revenue Zoom · Q2 2027 4.62K near settled
  304. Reported Aug 25 Comparable Sales DKS · Q2 2026 4.90% model below
  305. Reported Aug 20 Total Funded Accounts FUTU · Q2 2026 3.84M near settled
  306. Reported Aug 20 Comparable Sales Growth (ex-fuel) WMT · Q2 2027 2.60% near settled
  307. Reported Aug 19 Funded Accounts BULL · Q2 2026 5.13M near settled
  308. Reported Aug 19 Comparable Sales Growth LOW · Q2 2026 0.00% near settled
  309. Reported Aug 19 Transactions Change TGT · Q2 2026 3.60% near settled
  310. Reported Aug 18 Delivered Homes TOL · Q3 2026 2.66K +29.00 · +1.1%
  311. Reported Aug 18 Active Consumers KLAR · Q2 2026 120M -539K · -0.4%
  312. Reported Aug 13 Comparable Sales Growth Canadian Tire · Q2 2026 -0.80% model pending
  313. Reported Aug 12 Passenger Load Factor Air Canada · Q2 2026 87.50% model pending
  314. Reported Aug 11 Same Restaurant Sales Growth CAVA · Q2 2026 9.00% model pending
  315. Reported Aug 11 Restaurants CAVA · Q2 2026 476 model pending
  316. Reported Aug 10 Subscribers HIMS · Q2 2026 2.89M model pending
  317. Reported Aug 6 Bookings ABNB · Q2 2026 148M model pending
  318. Reported Aug 5 Total Orders DASH · Q2 2026 970M model pending
  319. Reported Aug 5 Items Sold MELI · Q2 2026 795M model pending
  320. Reported Aug 5 Gross Merchandise Volume EBAY · Q2 2026 22.4B model pending
  321. Reported Aug 4 Total Restaurants MCD · Q2 2026 46.03K model pending
  322. Reported Aug 4 Comparable Sales Growth MCD · Q2 2026 1.30% model pending
  323. Reported Aug 3 Total Rooms MAR · Q2 2026 1.81M model pending
  324. Reported Jul 30 Monthly Transacting Users COIN · Q2 2026 7.6M near settled
  325. Reported Jul 30 Passengers Carried NCLH · Q2 2026 907K model pending
  326. Reported Jul 30 Cigarette Shipments MO · Q2 2026 15.55B model pending
  327. Reported Jul 29 Daily Active People META · Q2 2026 3.6B model pending
  328. Reported Jul 29 Headcount META · Q2 2026 75.47K model pending
  329. Reported Jul 29 Comparable Restaurant Sales Increase CMG · Q2 2026 2.20% model pending
  330. Reported Jul 29 Total Restaurant Count CMG · Q2 2026 4.19K model pending
  331. Reported Jul 29 Retail Vehicle Unit Sales CVNA · Q2 2026 197K model pending
  332. Reported Jul 29 Gold Subs HOOD · Q2 2026 4.8M model pending
  333. Reported Jul 29 Funded Customers HOOD · Q2 2026 28.4M model pending
  334. Reported Jul 27 Shipment Volume PM · FY 2026 794M +3.95M · +0.5%
  335. Reported Jul 22 Total Rooms WH · Q2 2026 873K near settled
  336. Reported Jul 22 Average Passenger Fare LUV · Q2 2026 226 near settled
  337. Reported Jul 22 Headcount GOOGL · Q2 2026 199K model pending
  338. Reported Jul 21 Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts SCHW · Q2 2026 39.8M near settled
  339. Reported Jul 20 Total US Stores DPZ · Q2 2026 7.23K near settled
  340. Reported Jul 14 Commercial Airplane Deliveries BA · Q2 2026 171 near settled
  341. Reported Jul 6 Total Vehicles Sales F · Q2 2026 549K model pending
  342. Reported Jul 2 Total Vehicles Delivered RIVN · Q2 2026 12.19K near settled
  343. Reported Apr 5 Deliveries TSLA · Q1 2026 358K +0.00 · +0.0%
  344. Reported Shipment Volume PM · Q1 2026 188M +785K · +0.4%
  345. Reported Same Store Sales Growth DPZ · Q2 2026 0.50% model pending
  346. Reported Headcount INTC · Q2 2026 82.25K model pending
  347. Reported Headcount AMZN · Q2 2026 1.57M model pending
  348. Reported Total Trading Volume COIN · Q2 2026 153B model pending
  349. Reported Best Buy quarter kpi Q2 2027 0.716981 +3.00 · +388.2%
  350. Reported Transactions Growth ULTA · Q2 2026 0.76% +0.58pp · +77.3%
  351. Reported Passenger Load Factor Air Canada · Q3 2026 89.25% near settled
  352. Reported Generation Talen Energy TWh · Q3 2026 20 near settled
  353. Reported Sportsbook Margin DKNG · Q3 2026 5.78% near settled
  354. Reported Power Capacity CRWV · Q3 2026 5 near settled

model above market model below market in line

Model vs market · biggest gaps

Where Octagon disagrees

Model sees upside model above the market-implied central
Model sees downside model below the market-implied central
Catalyst calendar · nearest first

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# One KPI event — market vs model vs actual + analysis
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