Topic tracker · Commodities
Brent Oil
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (0 live, 2 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Brent Oil markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated April 30, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brent crude oil price on May 01, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT? | May 1, 2026 | 98.8% vs 86.0% | Report → |
| Crude oil (Brent) price on Apr 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT? | April 10, 2026 | 81.3% vs 52.0% | Report → |
