Gold price on Apr 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- Significant COMEX Gold long liquidation levels exist below current prices.
- Breaching these support levels could trigger cascading sales and downward pressure.
- Specific COMEX Gold order flow and options data are unavailable.
- No new central bank gold reserve policy updates have been found.
- The market experienced recent significant upward implied probability spikes.
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
Outcome: above $4604
📈 April 16, 2026: 10.0pp spike
Price increased from 89.0% to 99.0%
Outcome: above $4624
📈 April 15, 2026: 11.0pp spike
Price increased from 88.0% to 99.0%
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
A "Yes" resolution occurs if the 1-minute gold candlestick's close price on April 16, 2026, at 5 PM EDT is above 4814 USD/t.oz; otherwise, it resolves to "No." The market closes at 5:00 PM EDT on April 16, 2026, with a projected payout at 6:00 PM EDT. Settlement is verified from Pyth - Gold (Metal.XAU/USD) and rounded to two decimal places, with specific rules for interpreting the 1-minute candlestick close time and using the most recently available data if official data is missing.
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
5. Can Future COMEX Gold Institutional Order Flow Imbalance Be Predicted?
| Net Institutional Order Flow Imbalance | Not available for April 16, 2026 (future market activity) [1] |
|---|---|
| Block Trade Data Availability | Detailed directional flow for specific intraday periods is not publicly accessible [1] |
| Nature of Block Trades | Privately negotiated transactions reported to the exchange [2] |
Sources (6)
- 1Gold Futures Volume & Open Interest - CME Groupcmegroup.com
- 2Block Trades - CME Group - CME Groupcmegroup.com
- 3Gold Futures Settlements - CME Groupcmegroup.com
- 4GCJ26 | Gold Apr 2026 Overview | MarketWatchmarketwatch.com
- 5@GC.1: Gold COMEX (Apr'26) - Stock Price, Quote and News - CNBCcnbc.com
- 6Gold Apr '26 Futures Price - Barchart.combarchart.com
6. Can Specific April 2026 COMEX Gold Options Data Be Directly Extracted?
| Dealer Gamma Exposure | Not directly extractable from general portals [1], [2], [3], [4], [5], [6] |
|---|---|
| Open Interest Concentration | Requires interactive exploration on platforms like QuikStrike [7], [8] and OptionCharts [9] |
| Specific Data Availability | Granular April 2026 COMEX Gold OGO data not directly provided [1] |
Sources (9)
- 1Gold Options Volume & Open Interest - CME Groupcmegroup.com
- 2Gold Options Contract Specs - CME Groupcmegroup.com
- 3Gold (Enhanced Delivery) Futures Calendar - CME Groupcmegroup.com
- 4Gold (Enhanced Delivery) Futures Calendar - CME Groupcmegroup.com
- 5Gold Options Calendar - CME Groupcmegroup.com
- 6Gold Apr '26 Futures Options Prices - Barchart.combarchart.com
- 7Open Interest Profilecmegroup.com
- 8Open Interest Profilecmegroup.com
- 9GOLD: Gold.com Inc. Open Interest | OptionChartsoptioncharts.io
7. Have Central Banks Issued Gold Reserve Policy Updates Post-April 2026?
| US Treasury Latest Report | March 27, 2026 [1] |
|---|---|
| Federal Reserve Latest Statement | March 18, 2026 [2] |
| People's Bank of China Latest Info | November 2025 [3] |
Sources (7)
- 1U.S. International Reserve Position - March 27, 2026 | U.S. Department of the Treasuryhome.treasury.gov
- 2The Fed - Monetary Policy:federalreserve.gov
- 32025111416370065184.htmpbc.gov.cn
- 4U.S. International Reserve Position - January 16, 2026 | U.S. Department of the Treasuryhome.treasury.gov
- 5U.S. International Reserve Position - January 30, 2026 | U.S. Department of the Treasuryhome.treasury.gov
- 6https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/136/January-2026-FX-Report.pdfhome.treasury.gov
- 7PBC Decides to Raise Foreign Exchange Reserve Requirement Ratiopbc.gov.cn
8. Where are key COMEX Gold futures long liquidation levels?
| Crucial Support Liquidation | $2150-$2130 (Source: [1]) |
|---|---|
| Intense Selling Zone | $2100-$2090 (Source: [2]) |
| Major Cluster Liquidation | $2080-$2060 (Source: [1]) |
Sources (3)
9. How is COMEX Gold Futures Price Settled on April 16, 2026?
| Settlement Source | Official daily settlement price for COMEX Gold Futures (GC) by CME Group (CME Group [1]) |
|---|---|
| Resolution Time | 5:00 PM EDT on April 16, 2026 (CME Group [1]) |
| Non-standard Procedures | None anticipated; standard trading day expected (Based on market schedules [2]) |
11. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 0 resolved YES, 20 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXGOLDD-26APR1517-T5022: NO (Apr 15, 2026)
- KXGOLDD-26APR1517-T5012: NO (Apr 15, 2026)
- KXGOLDD-26APR1517-T5002: NO (Apr 15, 2026)
- KXGOLDD-26APR1517-T4992: NO (Apr 15, 2026)
- KXGOLDD-26APR1517-T4982: NO (Apr 15, 2026)