Others Markets

Active Markets (3)

Fed Decision in September? Polymarket

25 bps decrease

Market Model 1.6% 0.9%

No change

Market Model 48.0% 46.4%

$13.9M Refresh

Xi Jinping out before 2027? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model 4.2% 4.2%

$11.7M Refresh

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model 6.0% 3.8%

$10.5M Refresh

Event	Market	Model	Conf	Volume
Fed Decision in September? Top outcome: 25 bps decrease	1.6%	0.9%	Med	$13,869,810.64	Refresh
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes refers to: Yes	4.2%	4.2%	Med	$11,690,014.7	Refresh
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes refers to: Yes	6.0%	3.8%	Med	$10,540,473.38	Refresh

Expired Markets (56)

Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$7.3K

KFC same-store sales growth in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$16.9K

Talen Energy TWh generation in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$83.5K

First Solar megawatts sold in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$7.7K

Wingstop US same store sales growth in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$23.8K

Wingstop total system-wide restaurants in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$23.8K

Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$14.1K

Clear+ members in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$68.3K

Wendy's US same-restaurant sales growth in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$41.4K

Uber Trips in Q2? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$88.0K

United Airlines passengers in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$49.5K

Spotify monthly active users in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$20.2K

Spotify headcount in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$4.9K

Snap daily active users in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$43.8K

Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$34.2K

Sweetgreen profit margin in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$103.6K

Starbucks comparable transactions growth in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$37.7K

Starbucks total stores in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$23.3K

Roku hours streamed in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$24.4K

Zyn US shipment volume in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$173.4K

Palantir total customers in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$38.2K

Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$108.5K

Altria cigarette shipments in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$37.3K

Meta headcount in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$152.0K

Meta family daily active people in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$34.3K

McDonald's Corporation total systemwide restaurants in Q2 2026 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$34.6K

McDonald's global comparable sales growth in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$32.2K

Marriott International total rooms in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$17.3K

Lyft total rides in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$35.9K

Loblaw food same-store sales growth in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$9.7K

Intel headcount in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$16.6K

Robinhood funded customers in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$405.7K

Grab monthly transacting users in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$10.9K

Figma paid customers >$100k arr in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$2.7K

eBay gross merchandise volume in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$46.9K

DoorDash total orders in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$81.0K

Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$41.6K

Coinbase total trading volume in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$310.0K

Chipotle total restaurant count in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$93.1K

Chipotle comparable restaurant sales increase in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$59.5K

Amazon headcount in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$32.6K

Toast total locations in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$29.2K

Reddit daily active uniques in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$65.8K

Roblox hours engaged in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$30.4K

Ferrari total shipments in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$28.7K

Match total payers in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$5.6K

MercadoLibre items sold in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$40.0K

Robinhood gold subs in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$41.7K

Google headcount in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$44.2K

Domino's US same store sales growth in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$23.4K

Airbnb bookings in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$76.0K

Petrobras total production (Mboed) in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$84.0K

Tesla deliveries in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$339.3K

Costco total cardholders in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$11.3K

Tesla production in Q2 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$98.1K

Vail Resorts skier visits in Q3 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

$1.7K

Event	Market	Model	Conf	Volume
Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q2	—	—	High	$7,340.08
KFC same-store sales growth in Q2	—	—	High	$16,895.74
Talen Energy TWh generation in Q2	—	—	High	$83,517.37
First Solar megawatts sold in Q2	—	—	High	$7,734.8
Wingstop US same store sales growth in Q2	—	—	High	$23,823.67
Wingstop total system-wide restaurants in Q2	—	—	High	$23,768.1
Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in Q2	—	—	High	$14,134.84
Clear+ members in Q2	—	—	High	$68,340.6
Wendy's US same-restaurant sales growth in Q2	—	—	High	$41,401.3
Uber Trips in Q2?	—	—	High	$87,973.92
United Airlines passengers in Q2	—	—	High	$49,505.53
Spotify monthly active users in Q2	—	—	High	$20,239.31
Spotify headcount in Q2	—	—	High	$4,871.79
Snap daily active users in Q2	—	—	High	$43,761.49
Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q2	—	—	High	$34,243.91
Sweetgreen profit margin in Q2	—	—	High	$103,601.76
Starbucks comparable transactions growth in Q3	—	—	High	$37,714.07
Starbucks total stores in Q3	—	—	High	$23,293.21
Roku hours streamed in Q2	—	—	High	$24,429.81
Zyn US shipment volume in Q2	—	—	High	$173,371.97
Palantir total customers in Q2	—	—	High	$38,177.8
Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q2	—	—	High	$108,487.37
Altria cigarette shipments in Q2	—	—	High	$37,324.67
Meta headcount in Q2	—	—	High	$151,989.87
Meta family daily active people in Q2	—	—	High	$34,257.44
McDonald's Corporation total systemwide restaurants in Q2 2026	—	—	High	$34,620.38
McDonald's global comparable sales growth in Q2	—	—	High	$32,192.91
Marriott International total rooms in Q2	—	—	High	$17,343.2
Lyft total rides in Q2	—	—	High	$35,918.35
Loblaw food same-store sales growth in Q2	—	—	Med	$9,730.75
Intel headcount in Q2	—	—	High	$16,603.71
Robinhood funded customers in Q2	—	—	High	$405,725.27
Grab monthly transacting users in Q2	—	—	High	$10,860.05
Figma paid customers >$100k arr in Q2	—	—	High	$2,662.4
eBay gross merchandise volume in Q2	—	—	High	$46,851.96
DoorDash total orders in Q2	—	—	High	$80,956.93
Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q2	—	—	High	$41,581.64
Coinbase total trading volume in Q2	—	—	High	$310,026.64
Chipotle total restaurant count in Q2	—	—	High	$93,052.01
Chipotle comparable restaurant sales increase in Q2	—	—	High	$59,529.27
Amazon headcount in Q2	—	—	High	$32,621.78
Toast total locations in Q2	—	—	High	$29,162.01
Reddit daily active uniques in Q2	—	—	High	$65,793.19
Roblox hours engaged in Q2	—	—	High	$30,436.96
Ferrari total shipments in Q2	—	—	Med	$28,742.19
Match total payers in Q2	—	—	High	$5,627.38
MercadoLibre items sold in Q2	—	—	High	$39,989.15
Robinhood gold subs in Q2	—	—	High	$41,699.06
Google headcount in Q2	—	—	High	$44,225.24
Domino's US same store sales growth in Q2	—	—	High	$23,423.72
Airbnb bookings in Q2	—	—	High	$75,961.91
Petrobras total production (Mboed) in Q2	—	—	High	$84,014.94
Tesla deliveries in Q2	—	—	High	$339,313.65
Costco total cardholders in Q3	—	—	High	$11,275.76
Tesla production in Q2	—	—	High	$98,089.91
Vail Resorts skier visits in Q3	—	—	High	$1,741.99

Others Markets

Active Markets (3)

Prediction Markets

Public Markets

Developers

Company