Palantir total customers in Q2
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- Since last update (~24h): For "Above 1080" customers, our model increased +3.1pp, flipping the edge (model_led).
- Model conviction for "Above 1070" rose +7.6pp, compressing the edge with no market shift.
- Model's probability for "Above 1060" increased +7.6pp, compressing the edge as market moved +7.0pp.
- Broader probabilities for customer counts above 1075, 1090, and 1100 saw model-led increases.
- Total customers above 1040 appears highly likely from announced Q2 contracts.
- Q1 2026 customer growth of 6% suggests a strong sequential Q2.
- Thresholds above 1065 are more probable given confirmed Q2 expansions.
Current Context
Sources (11)
- 1Palantir Reports Q1 2026 US Revenue Growth of 104% Y...investors.palantir.com
- 2PLTR Q1 FY2026 earnings callfinance.biggo.com
- 3Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:PLTR) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript - Insider Monkeyinsidermonkey.com
- 4Initiation Memo for Palantir Technologies (PLTR) | Hudson Labshudson-labs.com
- 5247wallst.comOctagon Agent
- 6247wallst.comOctagon Agent
- 7247wallst.comOctagon Agent
- 8247wallst.comOctagon Agent
- 9www.fool.comOctagon Agentfool.com
- 10247wallst.comOctagon Agent
- 11Palantir’s AI Platform Is Reshaping American Enterprise — at a Price – USA Business Timesusabusinesstimes.com
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
Outcome: Above 1060
📉 July 10, 2026: 9.0pp drop
Price decreased from 89.0% to 80.0%
📈 July 09, 2026: 13.0pp spike
Price increased from 76.0% to 89.0%
📉 July 07, 2026: 20.0pp drop
Price decreased from 96.0% to 76.0%
📈 July 01, 2026: 45.0pp spike
Price increased from 51.0% to 96.0%
Outcome: Above 1040
📈 July 03, 2026: 13.0pp spike
Price increased from 86.0% to 99.0%
Sources (15)
- 1Palantir total customers in Q2 | Mercati di previsionecoinbase.com
- 2Palantir # of customers above __ in Q1?polymarket.com
- 3Palantir total customers above 1060 in Q1 98% No · Polymarketexplorer.struct.to
- 4Palantir Reports Q1 2026 US Revenue Growth of 104% Y...investors.palantir.com
- 5Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) 10-Q Quarterly Report May 2026last10k.com
- 6reported Q1 2026 revenuesec.gov
- 7Will PLTR Stock Break Above $134 as Palantir’s AI Partnerships Fuel Bullish Calls? - Forex News by FX Leadersfxleaders.com
- 8Palantir Wins Larger Contract With Major Mexican Insurer GNP Seguros. This Could Move the Needle for PLTR Stock.barchart.com
- 9Palantir (PLTR) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript - The Globe and Mailtheglobeandmail.com
- 10Initiation Memo for Palantir Technologies (PLTR) | Hudson Labshudson-labs.com
- 11Why Palantir Stock Plummeted Last Month But Is Soaring in July | The Motley Foolfool.com
- 12Palantir's Business Is Booming. So Why Has the Stock Dropped by More Than a Third? | The Motley Foolfool.com
- 13Palantir Stock Nears Fresh Low Amid Freefallbarrons.com
- 14PLTR Q1 FY2026 earnings callfinance.biggo.com
- 15Palantir Stock Rebounds as Analysts Praise AI Sovereignty Strategy – Azat TVazat.tv
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves YES if Palantir Technologies Inc. reports above 1070 total customers in Q2 2026, and NO if it reports 1070 or fewer. The outcome will be verified by Fiscal.ai. The market, which opened on May 20, 2026, will close and expire early if the event occurs, or by September 2, 2026, at 4:00pm EDT otherwise, with a projected payout 30 minutes after closing.
Market Discussion
Palantir announced a total customer count of 1,007 for Q1 2026 on May 4, 2026, representing a 31% year-over-year and 6% sequential increase [1][2]. As of July 14, 2026, Q2 2026 financial results have not yet been released, though the company provided Q2 revenue guidance of $1.797 billion to $1.801 billion [3][4][5]. Prior prediction markets successfully forecast Palantir's Q1 2026 customer count exceeding 960, with implied probabilities reaching 96.9%-100% [6][7].
Sources (7)
- 1PLTR Q1 FY2026 earnings callfinance.biggo.com
- 2Palantir (PLTR) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript - The Globe and Mailtheglobeandmail.com
- 3Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) 10-Q Quarterly Report May 2026last10k.com
- 4Palantir Reports Q1 2026 US Revenue Growth of 104% Y...investors.palantir.com
- 5reported Q1 2026 revenuesec.gov
- 6Will Palantir Report More Than 960 Customers in Q1 2026?lines.com
- 7Palantir # of customers above __ in Q1? Predictions & Odd... 2026 | Polymarketpolymarket.com
5. Trader Dashboard
6. What is the range of analyst estimates for Palantir's total customer count in Q2 2026?
| Q2 2026 Customer Count Estimates | Not widely reported [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 Revenue Guidance | $1.797B–$1.801B [1][2] |
| Q1 2026 Total Customer Count | 1,007 [4][5] |
Sources (5)
- 1What to Expect From Palantir's Q2 2026 Earnings Reportfinance.yahoo.com
- 2Palantir Reports Q1 2026 US Revenue Growth of 104% Y...investors.palantir.com
- 3Palantir Is Down 23% in 2026. The August 10 Number Changes Everything. – Daily Gold Alertsdailygoldalerts.com
- 4PLTR Q1 FY2026 earnings callfinance.biggo.com
- 5Palantir (PLTR) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript - The Globe and Mailtheglobeandmail.com
7. What major new contracts or expansions related to Palantir's AI Platform (AIP) were announced in Q2 2026?
| Wheels Up Contract Value | Up to $12 million over two years with a third-year option [1] [2][3][4][5][6][7] |
|---|---|
| NVIDIA Strategic AI Initiative Date | June 29, 2026 [8] [2][3][4][5][6][7] |
| McCarthy AIP Partnership Date | June 4, 2026 [2] [2][3][4][5][6][7] |
Sources (10)
- 1Palantir - Q1 2026 Business Updateinvestors.palantir.com
- 2www.businesswire.comOctagon Agentbusinesswire.com
- 3www.businesswire.comOctagon Agentbusinesswire.com
- 4www.businesswire.comOctagon Agentbusinesswire.com
- 5www.businesswire.comOctagon Agentbusinesswire.com
- 6www.businesswire.comOctagon Agentbusinesswire.com
- 7www.businesswire.comOctagon Agentbusinesswire.com
- 8PLTR Q1 FY2026 earnings callfinance.biggo.com
- 9Palantir (PLTR) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript | The Motley Foolfool.com
- 10reported Q1 2026 revenuesec.gov
8. How does Palantir's recent customer growth rate compare to that of key data platform competitor Snowflake?
| Palantir Total Customer Count YoY Increase | 31% (Q1 2026) [1][2] |
|---|---|
| Snowflake Net New Customers Added | 616 (Q1 CY2026) [3][4] |
| Palantir Revenue Growth YoY | 85% (Q1 2026) [5][6] |
Sources (6)
- 1Palantir, Duolingo, Shopify Earnings & Grab, Pinterest Q1 2026 Snapshotsergeycyw.substack.com
- 2Palantir (PLTR) Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript - The Globe and Mailtheglobeandmail.com
- 3Palantir vs. Snowflake: Only 1 AI Software Stock Looks...barchart.com
- 4Snowflake (NYSE:SNOW) Exceeds Q1 CY2026 Expectations, Stock Jumps 29.1% - StockStorystockstory.org
- 5AIP Is Turning Palantir Into a Software Monopolyedgen.tech
- 6Is Palantir Stock a Buy Right Now? A Bullish Case Despite the YTD Pullbacktradingkey.com
9. What has been the historical trend in Palantir's government versus commercial customer count leading into Q2 2026?
| Total Customer Count | 1,007 (Q1 2026) [1][2] |
|---|---|
| U.S. Commercial Customers | 615 (Q1 2026) [1][2] |
| U.S. Commercial Customer Growth YOY | 42% (Q1 2026) [1] |
10. Based on macroeconomic indicators from Q2 2026, what is the outlook for enterprise IT and data analytics spending?
| Projected GDP Growth | 2.0% to 2.2% (Q2 2026) [1][2][3][4][5][6] |
|---|---|
| 2026 Hyperscaler CapEx | ~$760 billion [7] |
| Palantir Q2 2026 Customer Forecast | Above 1020 [8] |
Sources (11)
- 1Economic Outlook US Q2 2026: Curb Your Enthusiasmspglobal.com
- 2AI holds the score, - growth slows to +2.5%allianz.com
- 3US economic forecast | Deloitte Insightsdeloitte.com
- 4U.S. Quarterly Economic Forecasteconomics.td.com
- 5Monthly Economic Outlookusbank.com
- 6Mid-Year Outlook 2026 Promise and Pressurejpmorgan.com
- 7The Power Curve 2026 Outlook | The Power Curvebrendanhart.com
- 8Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report above 1020 total… — 95% · Kalshi | SimpleFunctionssimplefunctions.dev
- 9The $400 Billion Gap | Warren Pies on Token Panic, a Trapped Fed and What Murders Bull Marketsyoutube.com
- 10Live at the Pure Accelerate Summit in Las Vegas | Bloomberg Businessweekyoutube.com
- 11More Trillion Dollar IPOs, Anthropic $3T, Zuck's Price War, China Ends Open Source?, Trump Accountsyoutube.com
11. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: September 02, 2026
- Closes: September 02, 2026
Sources (10)
- 1Palantir Announces Date of Second Quarter 2026 Earnings...barchart.com
- 2Palantir sets Aug. 3, 2026 date for Q2 earnings | PLTR Stock Newsstocktitan.net
- 3Palantir Earnings Date & Event Calendarwallstreethorizon.com
- 4Palantir Technologies (PLTR) Earnings Date and Reports...marketbeat.com
- 5What date does Palantir Technologies's (PLTR) report...zacks.com
- 6Palantir Reports Q1 2026 US Revenue Growth of 104% Y...investors.palantir.com
- 7reported Q1 2026 revenuesec.gov
- 8PLTR Q1 FY2026 earnings callfinance.biggo.com
- 9Should You Buy Palantir Stock at $152? A Deep Dive into the Bull, Bear, and Hold Cases (2026)greytastudio.com
- 10Palantir (PLTR) Stock Forecast: 85% Revenue Growth, Rule of 40 at 145% - Worth $129?tradingkey.com