Entertainment Markets

Active Markets (79)

Heart of the Beast · Rotten Tomatoes score Kalshi

Above 90

Market Model 17.0% 24.5%

Above 85

Market Model 76.0% 84.5%

342.8K contracts Refresh

CMA Awards: Musical Event of the Year Kalshi

I Can’t Love You Anymore

Market Model 41.0% 40.8%

Horses and Divorces

Market Model 13.0% 10.9%

1.9K contracts Refresh

The Shel Talmy Recordings: First Week Streams Kalshi

Above 500K

Market Model 35.0% 28.5%

Above 10M

Market Model 1.0% 0.6%

11.8K contracts Refresh

How many Followers will clavicular have on Kick this year? Kalshi

At least 500,000

Market Model 48.0% 51.2%

At least 450,000

Market Model 89.0% 90.1%

18.3K contracts Refresh

First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) Up or Down: Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 82.0% 75.3%

1.6K contracts Refresh

Day and Night: First Week Pure Album Sales Kalshi

Above 7K

Market Model 99.0% 99.0%

Above 5K

Market Model 99.0% 99.5%

2.5K contracts Refresh

Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales Kalshi

Above 12K

Market Model 99.0% 88.0%

Above 7K

Market Model 99.0% 88.0%

5.1K contracts Refresh

CONTROL Resonant: Metacritic score Kalshi

Above 95

Market Model 1.0% 0.8%

Above 10

Market Model 99.0% 98.9%

14.4K contracts Refresh

Squirtle Up or Down: Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 4.0% 5.9%

1.1K contracts Refresh

Dancing with the Stars Season 35 · Top 3 Finishers Kalshi

Sarah Jane Nader

Market Model 1.0% 0.3%

Conner Leavitt

Market Model 2.0% 0.7%

25.9K contracts Refresh

When will Manon leave Katseye? Kalshi

Before 2027

Market Model 26.0% 24.7%

Before December

Market Model 32.0% 19.2%

58.7K contracts Refresh

Kendrick Lamar: Highest daily view count in September 2026 Kalshi

Above 6M

Market Model 40.0% 32.2%

Above 6.5M

Market Model 14.0% 15.9%

9.6K contracts Refresh

Sydney Sweeney and Scooter Braun: Engaged this year? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 77.0% 77.0%

13.1K contracts Refresh

Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 70.0% 73.2%

38.0K contracts Refresh

MTV Video Music Awards: Best Dance Kalshi

Tie

Market Model 1.0% 0.6%

Madonna

Market Model 95.0% 81.7%

16.3K contracts Refresh

Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score Kalshi

Above 85

Market Model 68.0% 79.5%

Above 90

Market Model 30.0% 45.0%

55.9K contracts Refresh

KATSEYE: Highest daily view count in September 2026 Kalshi

Above 20M

Market Model 99.0% 98.9%

Above 21M

Market Model 99.0% 98.0%

14.0K contracts Refresh

Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count in September 2026 Kalshi

Above 15.4M

Market Model 99.0% 99.0%

Above 15.3M

Market Model 99.0% 99.0%

43.0K contracts Refresh

Brooklyn Beckham: Seen in public with David or Victoria Beckham in 2026? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 15.0% 11.9%

15.0K contracts Refresh

Verity · Rotten Tomatoes score Kalshi

Above 45

Market Model 82.0% 71.0%

Above 50

Market Model 66.0% 51.4%

19.0K contracts Refresh

Choosin’ Texas weeks at #1: September Kalshi

At least 2 weeks

Market Model 98.0% 97.1%

At least 3 weeks

Market Model 97.0% 95.6%

31.3K contracts Refresh

Vincent van Gogh's artwork break auction record this season? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 20.0% 28.8%

15.5K contracts Refresh

When will Miley Cyrus release a new album? Kalshi

Before Dec 1, 2026

Market Model 81.0% 81.2%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Market Model 77.0% 81.2%

20.3K contracts Refresh

MTV Video Music Awards: Best Collaboration Kalshi

Tie

Market Model 2.0% 0.9%

Madonna & Sabrina Carpenter

Market Model 10.0% 15.7%

12.2K contracts Refresh

Who will perform at Las Vegas Sphere in 2027? Kalshi

Coldplay

Market Model 26.0% 14.5%

Spice Girls

Market Model 25.0% 13.7%

63.8K contracts Refresh

The Last of Us S3: Release date Kalshi

Before Jul 2027

Market Model 17.0% 26.7%

Before Jan 2027

Market Model 7.0% 4.7%

40.1K contracts Refresh

Highest grossing movie in 2026? Polymarket

Scream 7

Market Model 0.1% 0.1%

Wuthering Heights

Market Model 0.1% 0.1%

$16.6M Refresh

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Polymarket

Yes

Market Model 1.3% 1.9%

$64.9M Refresh

Grand Theft Auto VI: Songs on radio at launch Kalshi

Blinding Lights

Market Model 48.0% 35.2%

Despacito

Market Model 30.0% 17.8%

17.4K contracts Refresh

Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date Kalshi

Before 2027

Market Model 91.0% 100.0%

Before November 2026

Market Model 5.0% 0.0%

2.5M contracts Refresh

Will Stranger Things release a new episode this year? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 8.0% 12.3%

2.3M contracts Refresh

TIME's Person of the Year for 2026? Kalshi

Market Model 11.0% 4.8%

Donald Trump

Market Model 27.0% 15.3%

330.7K contracts Refresh

How many straight weeks will 'SWAG' be #1? Kalshi

More than 1 weeks

Market Model 1.0% 0.1%

More than 2 weeks

Market Model 1.0% 0.1%

243.8K contracts Refresh

Will Daft Punk have a reunion this year? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 47.0% 44.0%

1 contracts Refresh

Will Cardi B and Stefon Diggs be engaged in 2026? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 19.0% 13.6%

10.0K contracts Refresh

Will Justin Bieber have a #1 hit this year? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 15.0% 22.2%

78.8K contracts Refresh

Will Ye and Travis Scott release a joint album this year? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 24.0% 22.4%

17.1K contracts Refresh

Who will release a new album in 2026? Kalshi

Billie Eilish

Market Model 31.0% 18.6%

Offset

Market Model 63.0% 52.4%

282.9K contracts Refresh

Who will headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show? Kalshi

Kanye West / Ye

Market Model 7.0% 2.7%

JAY-Z

Market Model 34.0% 21.3%

81.7K contracts Refresh

Will Eric Adams go on Dancing with the Stars this year? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 11.0% 7.1%

914 contracts Refresh

2Pac Streams in 2026 Kalshi

Above 3.6B

Market Model 45.0% 39.6%

Above 3.4B

Market Model 27.0% 39.6%

32 contracts Refresh

Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Kalshi

Donald Trump

Market Model 4.0% 1.5%

Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)

Market Model 28.0% 17.2%

486.2K contracts Refresh

Who will be on the cover of Rolling Stone in 2026? Kalshi

Charli XCX

Market Model 54.0% 41.8%

Bad Bunny

Market Model 58.0% 46.4%

13.3K contracts Refresh

Will Nick Bosa and Ella Ailiff be engaged before 2027? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 26.0% 26.0%

880 contracts Refresh

Top Album on Spotify in 2026? Kalshi

DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS

Market Model 65.0% 58.6%

The Life of a Showgirl

Market Model 1.0% 2.7%

24.9K contracts Refresh

Will Ninja reach at least 10k Twitch subscribers this year? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 22.0% 22.0%

3.0K contracts Refresh

When will Playboi Carti release a new song? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 80.0% 80.0%

1.5K contracts Refresh

Will Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version) be announced this year? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 43.0% 38.7%

6.7K contracts Refresh

How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1? Kalshi

More than 7 weeks

Market Model 2.0% 1.6%

More than 8 weeks

Market Model 1.0% 0.8%

3.2K contracts Refresh

Which video games will release this year? Kalshi

Half-Life 3

Market Model 21.0% 10.8%

Squadron 42

Market Model 68.0% 58.5%

109.1K contracts Refresh

2026 Game of the Year? Kalshi

Crimson Desert

Market Model 8.0% 8.3%

Grand Theft Auto VI

Market Model 47.0% 39.3%

612.9K contracts Refresh

Who will go on Jimmy Kimmel? Kalshi

Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson

Market Model 83.0% 77.6%

Harry Styles

Market Model 30.0% 17.8%

15.4K contracts Refresh

Oscar nominations for Best Adapted Screenplay? Kalshi

Project Hail Mary

Market Model 69.0% 64.7%

Dune: Part Three

Market Model 49.0% 42.0%

6.4K contracts Refresh

#2 Song on Spotify in 2026? Kalshi

BIRDS OF A FEATHER

Market Model 7.0% 11.1%

Golden

Market Model 10.0% 15.5%

5.7K contracts Refresh

Will a new season of Stranger Things be announced? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 8.0% 5.1%

20.5K contracts Refresh

When will Young Thug and Gunna make a song together? Kalshi

Before 2027

Market Model 26.0% 15.4%

Before 2028

Market Model 45.0% 28.4%

453 contracts Refresh

Will Drake and Kendrick Lamar make a song together before 2030? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 21.0% 18.5%

943 contracts Refresh

Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 88.0% 88.9%

5.0K contracts Refresh

When will Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz be married? Kalshi

Before Jan 1, 2028

Market Model 43.0% 33.7%

Before Jul 1, 2027

Market Model 33.0% 25.5%

112 contracts Refresh

Will there be an announcement that The Simpsons is ending? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 57.0% 37.0%

6.8K contracts Refresh

When will Prison Break return? Kalshi

Before Jul 1, 2027

Market Model 56.0% 53.3%

Before Jan 1, 2027

Market Model 34.0% 32.9%

2.4K contracts Refresh

Will there be an announcement that Family Guy is ending? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 55.0% 41.1%

1.1K contracts Refresh

Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? Kalshi

Elon Musk

Market Model 29.0% 19.0%

Taylor Swift

Market Model 12.0% 4.1%

33.0K contracts Refresh

Will Tom Cruise be cast in another Film With Ana de Armas? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 38.0% 30.8%

423 contracts Refresh

Will Glen Powell be cast in the next Indiana Jones movie? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 25.0% 17.1%

2.0K contracts Refresh

Avengers: Doomsday Cast? Kalshi

Tom Holland as Spider-Man?

Market Model 74.0% 66.0%

Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?

Market Model 72.0% 63.5%

103.3K contracts Refresh

Winds of Winter release date announced this year? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 89.0% 85.5%

7.4K contracts Refresh

Who will be cast in the next Miami Vice? Kalshi

Glen Powell

Market Model 45.0% 35.6%

Ryan Gosling

Market Model 19.0% 7.0%

10.0K contracts Refresh

Who will perform the next James Bond theme? Kalshi

Dua Lipa

Market Model 26.0% 14.5%

Olivia Dean

Market Model 37.0% 24.1%

26.5K contracts Refresh

Will Johnny Depp be cast in the next Pirates of the Caribbean? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 48.0% 50.0%

18.0K contracts Refresh

Who will play Moneypenny in the next James Bond? Kalshi

Jodie Turner-Smith

Market Model 4.0% 1.4%

Alison Oliver

Market Model 5.0% 1.8%

694 contracts Refresh

Will A Court Of Thorns and Roses be released? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 63.0% 43.0%

1.4K contracts Refresh

Who will play Felix Leiter in the next James Bond? Kalshi

John Hoogenakker

Market Model 11.0% 2.9%

Wyatt Russell

Market Model 3.0% 1.0%

472 contracts Refresh

When will IShowSpeed reach 100 million Youtube subscribers? Kalshi

Before 2027

Market Model 15.0% 8.7%

Before 2028

Market Model 55.0% 36.7%

2.3K contracts Refresh

Who will perform at Madison Square Garden 2027? Kalshi

Olivia Rodrigo

Market Model 68.0% 52.9%

Bad Bunny

Market Model 24.0% 8.5%

1.8K contracts Refresh

Who will be the next James Bond? Kalshi

Callum Turner

Market Model 50.0% 30.2%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Market Model 8.0% 3.1%

416.3K contracts Refresh

2026 Grammy nominations for Song of the Year? Kalshi

The Fate of Ophelia

Market Model 92.0% 95.0%

Man I Need

Market Model 82.0% 85.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Who will play Britney Spears in the Jon M. Chu–directed biopic? Kalshi

Addison Rae

Market Model 20.0% 10.0%

Olivia Holt

Market Model 20.0% 38.0%

1.7K contracts Refresh

2026 Grammy nominations for Album of the Year? Kalshi

Lux

Market Model 59.0% 56.5%

Arirang

Market Model 32.0% 28.0%

1.3K contracts Refresh

Event	Market	Model	Conf	TI
Heart of the Beast · Rotten Tomatoes score Top outcome: Above 90	17.0%	24.5%	High	85	Refresh
CMA Awards: Musical Event of the Year Top outcome: I Can’t Love You Anymore	41.0%	40.8%	High	70	Refresh
The Shel Talmy Recordings: First Week Streams Top outcome: Above 500K	35.0%	28.5%	High	70	Refresh
How many Followers will clavicular have on Kick this year? Top outcome: At least 500,000	48.0%	51.2%	High	72	Refresh
First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) Up or Down: Yes refers to: Above $68.79	82.0%	75.3%	Med	74	Refresh
Day and Night: First Week Pure Album Sales Top outcome: Above 7K	99.0%	99.0%	High	75	Refresh
Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales Top outcome: Above 12K	99.0%	88.0%	High	70	Refresh
CONTROL Resonant: Metacritic score Top outcome: Above 95	1.0%	0.8%	High	70	Refresh
Squirtle Up or Down: Yes refers to: Above $27.82	4.0%	5.9%	Med	77	Refresh
Dancing with the Stars Season 35 · Top 3 Finishers Top outcome: Sarah Jane Nader	1.0%	0.3%	Med	77	Refresh
When will Manon leave Katseye? Top outcome: Before 2027	26.0%	24.7%	High	68	Refresh
Kendrick Lamar: Highest daily view count in September 2026 Top outcome: Above 6M	40.0%	32.2%	High	66	Refresh
Sydney Sweeney and Scooter Braun: Engaged this year? Yes refers to: Before 2027	77.0%	77.0%	Med	78	Refresh
Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year? Yes refers to: By Jan 1, 2027	70.0%	73.2%	Med	74	Refresh
MTV Video Music Awards: Best Dance Top outcome: Tie	1.0%	0.6%	Med	69	Refresh
Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score Top outcome: Above 85	68.0%	79.5%	High	80	Refresh
KATSEYE: Highest daily view count in September 2026 Top outcome: Above 20M	99.0%	98.9%	High	66	Refresh
Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count in September 2026 Top outcome: Above 15.4M	99.0%	99.0%	High	79	Refresh
Brooklyn Beckham: Seen in public with David or Victoria Beckham in 2026? Yes refers to: Yes	15.0%	11.9%	Med	75	Refresh
Verity · Rotten Tomatoes score Top outcome: Above 45	82.0%	71.0%	High	80	Refresh
Choosin’ Texas weeks at #1: September Top outcome: At least 2 weeks	98.0%	97.1%	High	—	Refresh
Vincent van Gogh's artwork break auction record this season? Yes refers to: Above $117,180,000	20.0%	28.8%	Med	76	Refresh
When will Miley Cyrus release a new album? Top outcome: Before Dec 1, 2026	81.0%	81.2%	High	—	Refresh
MTV Video Music Awards: Best Collaboration Top outcome: Tie	2.0%	0.9%	High	70	Refresh
Who will perform at Las Vegas Sphere in 2027? Top outcome: Coldplay	26.0%	14.5%	Med	69	Refresh
The Last of Us S3: Release date Top outcome: Before Jul 2027	17.0%	26.7%	High	62	Refresh
Highest grossing movie in 2026? Top outcome: Scream 7	0.1%	0.1%	High	70	Refresh
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes refers to: Yes	1.3%	1.9%	Med	68	Refresh
Grand Theft Auto VI: Songs on radio at launch Top outcome: Blinding Lights	48.0%	35.2%	Med	61	Refresh
Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date Top outcome: Before 2027	91.0%	100.0%	High	75	Refresh
Will Stranger Things release a new episode this year? Yes refers to: Yes	8.0%	12.3%	Med	67	Refresh
TIME's Person of the Year for 2026? Top outcome: AI	11.0%	4.8%	Med	56	Refresh
How many straight weeks will 'SWAG' be #1? Top outcome: More than 1 weeks	1.0%	0.1%	High	70	Refresh
Will Daft Punk have a reunion this year? Yes refers to: Before 2027	47.0%	44.0%	Med	—	Refresh
Will Cardi B and Stefon Diggs be engaged in 2026? Yes refers to: Before 2027	19.0%	13.6%	Med	68	Refresh
Will Justin Bieber have a #1 hit this year? Yes refers to: By Dec 27, 2026	15.0%	22.2%	Med	66	Refresh
Will Ye and Travis Scott release a joint album this year? Yes refers to: Kanye West (Ye) and Travis Scott	24.0%	22.4%	Med	71	Refresh
Who will release a new album in 2026? Top outcome: Billie Eilish	31.0%	18.6%	Med	72	Refresh
Who will headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show? Top outcome: Kanye West / Ye	7.0%	2.7%	Med	67	Refresh
Will Eric Adams go on Dancing with the Stars this year? Yes refers to: Eric Adams	11.0%	7.1%	Med	73	Refresh
2Pac Streams in 2026 Top outcome: Above 3.6B	45.0%	39.6%	High	59	Refresh
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Top outcome: Donald Trump	4.0%	1.5%	Med	57	Refresh
Who will be on the cover of Rolling Stone in 2026? Top outcome: Charli XCX	54.0%	41.8%	Med	65	Refresh
Will Nick Bosa and Ella Ailiff be engaged before 2027? Yes refers to: Before 2027	26.0%	26.0%	Med	68	Refresh
Top Album on Spotify in 2026? Top outcome: DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS	65.0%	58.6%	High	79	Refresh
Will Ninja reach at least 10k Twitch subscribers this year? Yes refers to: 10,000 or more	22.0%	22.0%	Med	75	Refresh
When will Playboi Carti release a new song? Yes refers to: Before November	80.0%	80.0%	High	71	Refresh
Will Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version) be announced this year? Yes refers to: In 2027	43.0%	38.7%	Med	75	Refresh
How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1? Top outcome: More than 7 weeks	2.0%	1.6%	High	67	Refresh
Which video games will release this year? Top outcome: Half-Life 3	21.0%	10.8%	Med	71	Refresh
2026 Game of the Year? Top outcome: Crimson Desert	8.0%	8.3%	High	79	Refresh
Who will go on Jimmy Kimmel? Top outcome: Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson	83.0%	77.6%	Med	68	Refresh
Oscar nominations for Best Adapted Screenplay? Top outcome: Project Hail Mary	69.0%	64.7%	Med	62	Refresh
#2 Song on Spotify in 2026? Top outcome: BIRDS OF A FEATHER	7.0%	11.1%	Med	76	Refresh
Will a new season of Stranger Things be announced? Yes refers to: Before Jan 2027	8.0%	5.1%	Med	69	Refresh
When will Young Thug and Gunna make a song together? Top outcome: Before 2027	26.0%	15.4%	High	72	Refresh
Will Drake and Kendrick Lamar make a song together before 2030? Yes refers to: Before 2030	21.0%	18.5%	Med	72	Refresh
Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030? Yes refers to: Before 2030	88.0%	88.9%	Med	71	Refresh
When will Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz be married? Top outcome: Before Jan 1, 2028	43.0%	33.7%	High	67	Refresh
Will there be an announcement that The Simpsons is ending? Yes refers to: Before 2030	57.0%	37.0%	Med	78	Refresh
When will Prison Break return? Top outcome: Before Jul 1, 2027	56.0%	53.3%	High	56	Refresh
Will there be an announcement that Family Guy is ending? Yes refers to: Before 2030	55.0%	41.1%	Med	72	Refresh
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? Top outcome: Elon Musk	29.0%	19.0%	Med	75	Refresh
Will Tom Cruise be cast in another Film With Ana de Armas? Yes refers to: Tom Cruise	38.0%	30.8%	Med	66	Refresh
Will Glen Powell be cast in the next Indiana Jones movie? Yes refers to: Glen Powell	25.0%	17.1%	Med	67	Refresh
Avengers: Doomsday Cast? Top outcome: Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	74.0%	66.0%	Med	69	Refresh
Winds of Winter release date announced this year? Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027	89.0%	85.5%	Med	63	Refresh
Who will be cast in the next Miami Vice? Top outcome: Glen Powell	45.0%	35.6%	Med	62	Refresh
Who will perform the next James Bond theme? Top outcome: Dua Lipa	26.0%	14.5%	Med	66	Refresh
Will Johnny Depp be cast in the next Pirates of the Caribbean? Yes refers to: Johnny Depp	48.0%	50.0%	Med	78	Refresh
Who will play Moneypenny in the next James Bond? Top outcome: Jodie Turner-Smith	4.0%	1.4%	Med	49	Refresh
Will A Court Of Thorns and Roses be released? Yes refers to: Before Jan 2030	63.0%	43.0%	Med	76	Refresh
Who will play Felix Leiter in the next James Bond? Top outcome: John Hoogenakker	11.0%	2.9%	Med	51	Refresh
When will IShowSpeed reach 100 million Youtube subscribers? Top outcome: Before 2027	15.0%	8.7%	High	60	Refresh
Who will perform at Madison Square Garden 2027? Top outcome: Olivia Rodrigo	68.0%	52.9%	Med	72	Refresh
Who will be the next James Bond? Top outcome: Callum Turner	50.0%	30.2%	Med	65	Refresh
2026 Grammy nominations for Song of the Year? Top outcome: The Fate of Ophelia	92.0%	95.0%	Med	63	Refresh
Who will play Britney Spears in the Jon M. Chu–directed biopic? Top outcome: Addison Rae	20.0%	10.0%	Med	55	Refresh
2026 Grammy nominations for Album of the Year? Top outcome: Lux	59.0%	56.5%	Med	60	Refresh

Expired Markets (104)

The Weeknd: Highest daily view count (September 14, 2026 - September 20, 2026) Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

29.5K contracts

Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (September 14, 2026 - September 20, 2026) Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

27.0K contracts

Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 14, 2026 - September 20, 2026) Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

41.5K contracts

Drake: Highest daily view count (September 14, 2026 - September 20, 2026) Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

35.9K contracts

Olivia Rodrigo: Highest daily view count (September 14, 2026 - September 20, 2026) Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

7.7K contracts

Distance in Static: First Week Pure Album Sales Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

4.1K contracts

Westside Whimsy: First Week Pure Album Sales Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

15.3K contracts

Westside Whimsy: First Week Album Equivalent Units Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

52.7K contracts

Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026) Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

56.0K contracts

Ow: First Week Album Equivalent Units Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

6.1K contracts

Practical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

120.0K contracts

How many Emmys will 'DTF St. Louis ' win? Kalshi

Exactly 13

Market Model 1.0% 0.0%

Exactly 5

Market Model 1.0% 0.0%

117.8K contracts

Drake: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026) Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

64.1K contracts

Emmy winner: Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series Kalshi

Ernest Harden, Jr.

Market Model 98.0% 100.0%

Colman Domingo

Market Model 1.0% 0.0%

65.1K contracts

I Know Too Much: First Week Pure Album Sales Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

2.5K contracts

Kendrick Lamar: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026) Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

10.0K contracts

NBA YoungBoy: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026) Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

5.2K contracts

Kanye West: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026) Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

10.8K contracts

Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026) Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

23.0K contracts

Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026) Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

26.1K contracts

Ariana Grande: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026) Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

30.8K contracts

By Any Means · Rotten Tomatoes score Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

123.5K contracts

Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026) Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

42.9K contracts

Onslaught · Rotten Tomatoes score Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

500.5K contracts

#2 US Netflix Movie this week? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

17.6K contracts

Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

68.0K contracts

Resident Evil · Rotten Tomatoes score Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

30.3K contracts

Michael Jackson: Highest daily view count in August 2026 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

148.6K contracts

Don’t Look Down: First Week Pure Album Sales Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

7.7K contracts

Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (August 24, 2026 - August 30, 2026) Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

26.1K contracts

Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (August 24, 2026 - August 30, 2026) Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

117.4K contracts

Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count in August 2026 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

248.6K contracts

The Dog Stars · Rotten Tomatoes score Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

235.9K contracts

#2 US Netflix Show this week? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

8.4K contracts

Will Taylor Swift have above 15M daily views in August 2026? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

11.6K contracts

America’s Got Talent Season 21: Quarterfinal 2 Elimination Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

6.4K contracts

Dancing with the Stars S35: Contestants Kalshi

Nic Vansteenberghe

Market Model 5.0% 1.1%

Jenna Dewan

Market Model 97.0% 96.0%

58.3K contracts

Insidious vs Mutiny: Highest Rotten Tomatoes Score Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

12.2K contracts

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Polymarket

December 31, 2026

Market Model 3.6% 1.7%

March 31, 2027

Market Model 11.0% 1.7%

$30.9M

Marvel: Sadie Sink cast as next Jean Grey? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 99.0% 98.7%

629.0K contracts

The Odyssey: Rotten Tomatoes score Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

2.5M contracts

2026 FIFA World Cup Final: Attendance Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

13.2K contracts

Love Island USA Week 6: Elimination Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

1.4M contracts

"Moana" Rotten Tomatoes score? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

686.3K contracts

Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce: Wedding attendees Kalshi

Blake Lively

Market Model 1.0% 0.3%

Selena Gomez

Market Model 99.0% 98.7%

811.3K contracts

2026 ESPYS: Best Tennis Player Kalshi

Tie

Market Model 1.0% 0.5%

Carlos Alcaraz

Market Model 52.0% 49.2%

6.1K contracts

Taylor Swift: Married at Madison Square Garden in 2026? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 65.0% 68.5%

1.3M contracts

Reported GTA VI Preorders: Before July 4, 2026 Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

734.9K contracts

2026 Soccer Cup Final: U.S. Viewership Kalshi

Above 20.0M

Market Model 97.0% 96.5%

Above 24.0M

Market Model 93.0% 94.2%

12.5K contracts

Supergirl: Rotten Tomatoes score Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

1.6M contracts

Who will perform at the World Cup final halftime show? Kalshi

Coldplay

Market Model 59.0% 35.6%

Justin Bieber

Market Model 61.0% 38.0%

254.0K contracts

Grand Theft Auto VI: PS5 price Kalshi

More than $80

Market Model 1.0% 0.0%

More than $70

Market Model 99.0% 100.0%

1.4M contracts

Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce: Wedding location Kalshi

Rhode Island

Market Model 24.0% 10.2%

New York

Market Model 76.0% 66.8%

2.0M contracts

Love Island USA: Thursday elimination Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

288.5K contracts

Will the official FIFA World Cup anthem reach the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

0 contracts

How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

40.9K contracts

2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Character Design? Kalshi

Gachiakuta

Market Model 70.0% 54.7%

The Apothecary Diaries Season 2

Market Model 17.0% 15.6%

2.0K contracts

Who will be featured on 'Iceman'? Kalshi

Future

Market Model 99.0% 100.0%

Sexyy Red

Market Model 2.0% 0.0%

7.3M contracts

2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Anime of the Year? Kalshi

My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON

Market Model 79.0% 56.5%

DAN DA DAN Season 2

Market Model 14.0% 11.7%

25.1K contracts

Who will attend The Met Gala? Kalshi

Sydney Sweeney

Market Model 1.0% 0.3%

Lady Gaga

Market Model 1.0% 0.3%

5.9M contracts

Tyler, The Creator: Weekly Streams Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

31 contracts

2026 Academy of Country Music Award for Album of the Year? Kalshi

Ain't in it For My Health

Market Model 48.0% 81.2%

Tie

Market Model 7.0% 15.5%

800 contracts

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love: First Week Activity (Combined Sales): Hits Daily Double Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

6.1K contracts

The Great Divide: First Week Album Equivalent Units Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

11.6K contracts

New Star Wars movie released in theaters before 2027? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 99.0% 99.1%

186.2K contracts

American Music Award for Best Male R&B Artist? Kalshi

Bruno Mars

Market Model 70.0% 63.9%

Chris Brown

Market Model 3.0% 3.8%

209 contracts

For All The Dogs streams up this week? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

0 contracts

Emmy Award for Movie/Limited Actress Kalshi

Carey Mulligan

Market Model 21.0% 21.9%

Sarah Pidgeon

Market Model 42.0% 39.3%

6.9K contracts

Will Taylor Swift have a top 3 song on spotify global this year? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 76.0% 76.0%

1.7K contracts

Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of May 9, 2026? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

1 contracts

Will Trump attend The World Cup Final? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

48.9K contracts

Bruno Mars vs Fuerza Regida streams this week? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

0 contracts

2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Castilian Spanish)? Kalshi

Tie

Market Model 6.0% 6.0%

Marta Barbará as Kaoruko Waguri

Market Model 19.0% 19.8%

579 contracts

Where will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner’s wedding occur? Kalshi

Italy

Market Model 79.0% 70.0%

United Kingdom

Market Model 23.0% 23.8%

5.3K contracts

Next Netflix Roast Subject? Kalshi

Kevin Hart

Market Model 94.0% 97.8%

Logan Paul

Market Model 1.0% 0.2%

56.3K contracts

Who will be a Bridesmaid for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift? Kalshi

Selena Gomez

Market Model 71.0% 67.7%

Gigi Hadid

Market Model 58.0% 46.4%

99.7K contracts

Who will be Groomsman for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift? Kalshi

Patrick Mahomes

Market Model 87.0% 82.9%

Jason Kelce

Market Model 86.0% 81.5%

32.9K contracts

"Michael" Rotten Tomatoes score? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

815.2K contracts

Bruno Mars streams up this week? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

3 contracts

Olivia Dean streams up this week? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

1.1K contracts

Who will attend Trump's crypto & business conference? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

54.4K contracts

Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

38 contracts

#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Apr 18, 2026? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

110.8K contracts

Where will OCTANE chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard 200? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

7.8K contracts

Where will The Way I Am chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard 200? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

9.2K contracts

Where will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard 200? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

3.3K contracts

#2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Apr 18, 2026? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

8.2K contracts

Where will The Art Of Loving chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard 200? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

8.4K contracts

Where will BE HER chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard Hot 100? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

3.2K contracts

Where will Folded chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard Hot 100? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

3.0K contracts

Where will The Life of a Showgirl chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard 200? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

3.3K contracts

Where will THE ROMANTIC chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard 200? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

4.5K contracts

Where will I Just Might chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard Hot 100? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

3.2K contracts

Where will KISS ALL THE TIME. DISCO, OCCASIONALLY. chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard 200? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

5.6K contracts

Where will ARIRANG chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard 200? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

10.4K contracts

Where will Ordinary chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard Hot 100? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

3.6K contracts

Where will One Thing At A Time chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard 200? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

3.6K contracts

Emmy Award for Drama Actress Kalshi

Rhea Seehorn

Market Model 50.0% 58.1%

Zendaya

Market Model 31.0% 35.9%

336 contracts

How many streams will the top song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global have on Apr 10, 2026? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

2.0K contracts

How many streams will the top song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA have on Apr 10, 2026? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

0 contracts

Runner-up USA Song on Spotify on Apr 10, 2026? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

632 contracts

Top Global Song on Spotify on Apr 5, 2026? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

612 contracts

Will Kanye West / Ye release BULLY before Mar 28th? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

585.1K contracts

Who will win Survivor Season 50? Kalshi

Aubry Bracco

Market Model 82.0% 72.6%

Jonathan Young

Market Model 4.0% 3.5%

4.6M contracts

Event	Market	Model	Conf	TI
The Weeknd: Highest daily view count (September 14, 2026 - September 20, 2026)	—	—	High	—
Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (September 14, 2026 - September 20, 2026)	—	—	High	—
Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 14, 2026 - September 20, 2026)	—	—	High	65
Drake: Highest daily view count (September 14, 2026 - September 20, 2026)	—	—	High	—
Olivia Rodrigo: Highest daily view count (September 14, 2026 - September 20, 2026)	—	—	High	70
Distance in Static: First Week Pure Album Sales	—	—	High	67
Westside Whimsy: First Week Pure Album Sales	—	—	High	65
Westside Whimsy: First Week Album Equivalent Units	—	—	High	81
Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)	—	—	High	—
Ow: First Week Album Equivalent Units	—	—	High	80
Practical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score	—	—	High	78
How many Emmys will 'DTF St. Louis ' win? Top outcome: Exactly 13	1.0%	0.0%	High	—
Drake: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)	—	—	High	—
Emmy winner: Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series Top outcome: Ernest Harden, Jr.	98.0%	100.0%	High	—
I Know Too Much: First Week Pure Album Sales	—	—	High	78
Kendrick Lamar: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)	—	—	High	—
NBA YoungBoy: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)	—	—	High	—
Kanye West: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)	—	—	High	—
Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)	—	—	High	—
Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)	—	—	High	—
Ariana Grande: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)	—	—	High	—
By Any Means · Rotten Tomatoes score	—	—	High	—
Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)	—	—	High	—
Onslaught · Rotten Tomatoes score	—	—	High	—
#2 US Netflix Movie this week?	—	—	High	—
Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score	—	—	High	80
Resident Evil · Rotten Tomatoes score	—	—	High	83
Michael Jackson: Highest daily view count in August 2026	—	—	High	—
Don’t Look Down: First Week Pure Album Sales	—	—	High	—
Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (August 24, 2026 - August 30, 2026)	—	—	High	—
Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (August 24, 2026 - August 30, 2026)	—	—	High	—
Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count in August 2026	—	—	High	—
The Dog Stars · Rotten Tomatoes score	—	—	High	—
#2 US Netflix Show this week?	—	—	Med	—
Will Taylor Swift have above 15M daily views in August 2026?	—	—	Med	—
America’s Got Talent Season 21: Quarterfinal 2 Elimination	—	—	Med	—
Dancing with the Stars S35: Contestants Top outcome: Nic Vansteenberghe	5.0%	1.1%	Med	—
Insidious vs Mutiny: Highest Rotten Tomatoes Score	—	—	Med	—
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Top outcome: December 31, 2026	3.6%	1.7%	High	64
Marvel: Sadie Sink cast as next Jean Grey? Yes refers to: Sadie Sink	99.0%	98.7%	Med	—
The Odyssey: Rotten Tomatoes score	—	—	High	—
2026 FIFA World Cup Final: Attendance	—	—	Med	—
Love Island USA Week 6: Elimination	—	—	Med	—
"Moana" Rotten Tomatoes score?	—	—	High	—
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce: Wedding attendees Top outcome: Blake Lively	1.0%	0.3%	Med	—
2026 ESPYS: Best Tennis Player Top outcome: Tie	1.0%	0.5%	High	—
Taylor Swift: Married at Madison Square Garden in 2026? Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027	65.0%	68.5%	Med	—
Reported GTA VI Preorders: Before July 4, 2026	—	—	High	—
2026 Soccer Cup Final: U.S. Viewership Top outcome: Above 20.0M	97.0%	96.5%	High	—
Supergirl: Rotten Tomatoes score	—	—	High	—
Who will perform at the World Cup final halftime show? Top outcome: Coldplay	59.0%	35.6%	Med	—
Grand Theft Auto VI: PS5 price Top outcome: More than $80	1.0%	0.0%	High	—
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce: Wedding location Top outcome: Rhode Island	24.0%	10.2%	Med	—
Love Island USA: Thursday elimination	—	—	Med	—
Will the official FIFA World Cup anthem reach the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10?	—	—	Med	—
How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?	—	—	High	—
2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Character Design? Top outcome: Gachiakuta	70.0%	54.7%	High	—
Who will be featured on 'Iceman'? Top outcome: Future	99.0%	100.0%	Med	—
2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Anime of the Year? Top outcome: My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON	79.0%	56.5%	High	—
Who will attend The Met Gala? Top outcome: Sydney Sweeney	1.0%	0.3%	Med	—
Tyler, The Creator: Weekly Streams	—	—	High	—
2026 Academy of Country Music Award for Album of the Year? Top outcome: Ain't in it For My Health	48.0%	81.2%	High	—
you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love: First Week Activity (Combined Sales): Hits Daily Double	—	—	High	—
The Great Divide: First Week Album Equivalent Units	—	—	High	—
New Star Wars movie released in theaters before 2027? Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027	99.0%	99.1%	Med	—
American Music Award for Best Male R&B Artist? Top outcome: Bruno Mars	70.0%	63.9%	High	—
For All The Dogs streams up this week?	—	—	Med	—
Emmy Award for Movie/Limited Actress Top outcome: Carey Mulligan	21.0%	21.9%	Med	—
Will Taylor Swift have a top 3 song on spotify global this year? Yes refers to: Taylor Swift	76.0%	76.0%	Med	—
Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of May 9, 2026?	—	—	Med	—
Will Trump attend The World Cup Final?	—	—	Med	—
Bruno Mars vs Fuerza Regida streams this week?	—	—	High	—
2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Castilian Spanish)? Top outcome: Tie	6.0%	6.0%	High	—
Where will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner’s wedding occur? Top outcome: Italy	79.0%	70.0%	Med	—
Next Netflix Roast Subject? Top outcome: Kevin Hart	94.0%	97.8%	High	—
Who will be a Bridesmaid for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift? Top outcome: Selena Gomez	71.0%	67.7%	Med	—
Who will be Groomsman for the wedding of Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift? Top outcome: Patrick Mahomes	87.0%	82.9%	Med	—
"Michael" Rotten Tomatoes score?	—	—	High	—
Bruno Mars streams up this week?	—	—	Med	—
Olivia Dean streams up this week?	—	—	Med	—
Who will attend Trump's crypto & business conference?	—	—	Med	—
Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?	—	—	Med	—
#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Apr 18, 2026?	—	—	High	—
Where will OCTANE chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard 200?	—	—	High	—
Where will The Way I Am chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard 200?	—	—	High	—
Where will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard 200?	—	—	High	—
#2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Apr 18, 2026?	—	—	High	—
Where will The Art Of Loving chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard 200?	—	—	High	—
Where will BE HER chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard Hot 100?	—	—	High	—
Where will Folded chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard Hot 100?	—	—	High	—
Where will The Life of a Showgirl chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard 200?	—	—	High	—
Where will THE ROMANTIC chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard 200?	—	—	High	—
Where will I Just Might chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard Hot 100?	—	—	Med	—
Where will KISS ALL THE TIME. DISCO, OCCASIONALLY. chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard 200?	—	—	High	—
Where will ARIRANG chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard 200?	—	—	High	—
Where will Ordinary chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard Hot 100?	—	—	High	—
Where will One Thing At A Time chart on the Apr 18, 2026 Billboard 200?	—	—	Med	—
Emmy Award for Drama Actress Top outcome: Rhea Seehorn	50.0%	58.1%	High	—
How many streams will the top song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global have on Apr 10, 2026?	—	—	High	—
How many streams will the top song on Spotify's Daily Top Songs USA have on Apr 10, 2026?	—	—	Med	—
Runner-up USA Song on Spotify on Apr 10, 2026?	—	—	High	—
Top Global Song on Spotify on Apr 5, 2026?	—	—	High	—
Will Kanye West / Ye release BULLY before Mar 28th?	—	—	Med	—
Who will win Survivor Season 50? Top outcome: Aubry Bracco	82.0%	72.6%	High	—

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