2026
Market Model 23.0% 23.0%
2028
Market Model 31.0% 23.0%
Music Markets
Active Markets (20)
Above 8M
Market Model 6.0% 10.2%
Above 6.5M
Market Model 87.0% 89.1%
Yes
Market Model 7.0% 7.0%
Above 240K
Market Model 59.0% 36.2%
Above 80K
Market Model 33.0% 71.0%
ICEMAN
Market Model 13.0% 5.7%
The Fall-Off
Market Model 6.0% 2.8%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 23.0% 24.2%
Before Dec 1, 2026
Market Model 87.0% 85.9%
Blinding Lights
Market Model 48.0% 35.2%
Despacito
Market Model 30.0% 17.8%
More than 1 weeks
Market Model 1.0% 0.1%
More than 2 weeks
Market Model 1.0% 0.1%
Yes
Market Model 47.0% 44.0%
Yes
Market Model 15.0% 22.2%
Yes
Market Model 24.0% 22.4%
Billie Eilish
Market Model 31.0% 18.6%
Offset
Market Model 63.0% 52.4%
DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS
Market Model 65.0% 58.6%
The Life of a Showgirl
Market Model 1.0% 2.7%
Yes
Market Model 43.0% 38.7%
More than 7 weeks
Market Model 2.0% 1.6%
More than 8 weeks
Market Model 1.0% 0.8%
#2 Song on Spotify in 2026? Kalshi
BIRDS OF A FEATHER
Market Model 7.0% 11.1%
Golden
Market Model 10.0% 15.5%
Before 2027
Market Model 26.0% 15.4%
Before 2028
Market Model 45.0% 28.4%
Yes
Market Model 21.0% 18.5%
The Fate of Ophelia
Market Model 92.0% 95.0%
Man I Need
Market Model 82.0% 85.0%
Lux
Market Model 59.0% 56.5%
Arirang
Market Model 32.0% 28.0%
Expired Markets (74)
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Before Dec 1, 2026
Market Model 99.0% 100.0%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 99.0% 100.0%
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Before Dec 1, 2026
Market Model 81.0% 81.2%
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 77.0% 81.2%
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Future
Market Model 99.0% 100.0%
Sexyy Red
Market Model 2.0% 0.0%
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model 76.0% 76.0%
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | 67 | ||
| — | — | High | 65 | ||
| — | — | High | 66 | ||
| — | — | Med | 68 | ||
| — | — | High | 73 | ||
| — | — | High | 80 | ||
| — | — | High | 79 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| When will Drake release a remix of Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas”? Top outcome: Before Dec 1, 2026 | 99.0% | 100.0% | High | — | |
| — | — | High | 71 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 74 | ||
| — | — | High | 83 | ||
| — | — | Med | 69 | ||
| — | — | High | 80 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 65 | ||
| — | — | High | 75 | ||
| — | — | High | 77 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 70 | ||
| — | — | High | 74 | ||
| — | — | High | 67 | ||
| — | — | High | 65 | ||
| — | — | High | 81 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 80 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | 78 | ||
| — | — | High | 67 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| When will Miley Cyrus release a new album? Top outcome: Before Dec 1, 2026 | 81.0% | 81.2% | High | — | |
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| Who will be featured on 'Iceman'? Top outcome: Future | 99.0% | 100.0% | Med | — | |
| — | — | High | 69 | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| Will Taylor Swift have a top 3 song on spotify global this year? Yes refers to: Taylor Swift | 76.0% | 76.0% | Med | — | |
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — |
