Tie
Market Model 1.0% 0.6%
Madonna
Market Model 95.0% 81.7%
Awards Markets
Active Markets (7)
Tie
Market Model 2.0% 0.9%
Madonna & Sabrina Carpenter
Market Model 10.0% 15.7%
AI
Market Model 11.0% 4.8%
Donald Trump
Market Model 27.0% 15.3%
Charli XCX
Market Model 54.0% 41.8%
Bad Bunny
Market Model 58.0% 46.4%
2026 Game of the Year? Kalshi
Crimson Desert
Market Model 8.0% 8.3%
Grand Theft Auto VI
Market Model 47.0% 39.3%
The Fate of Ophelia
Market Model 92.0% 95.0%
Man I Need
Market Model 82.0% 85.0%
Lux
Market Model 59.0% 56.5%
Arirang
Market Model 32.0% 28.0%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTV Video Music Awards: Best Dance Top outcome: Tie | 1.0% | 0.6% | Med | 69 | Refresh |
| MTV Video Music Awards: Best Collaboration Top outcome: Tie | 2.0% | 0.9% | High | 70 | Refresh |
| TIME's Person of the Year for 2026? Top outcome: AI | 11.0% | 4.8% | Med | 56 | Refresh |
| Who will be on the cover of Rolling Stone in 2026? Top outcome: Charli XCX | 54.0% | 41.8% | Med | 65 | Refresh |
| 2026 Game of the Year? Top outcome: Crimson Desert | 8.0% | 8.3% | High | 79 | Refresh |
| 2026 Grammy nominations for Song of the Year? Top outcome: The Fate of Ophelia | 92.0% | 95.0% | Med | 63 | Refresh |
| 2026 Grammy nominations for Album of the Year? Top outcome: Lux | 59.0% | 56.5% | Med | 60 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (8)
Ernest Harden, Jr.
Market Model 98.0% 100.0%
Colman Domingo
Market Model 1.0% 0.0%
Gachiakuta
Market Model 70.0% 54.7%
The Apothecary Diaries Season 2
Market Model 17.0% 15.6%
My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON
Market Model 79.0% 56.5%
DAN DA DAN Season 2
Market Model 14.0% 11.7%
Ain't in it For My Health
Market Model 48.0% 81.2%
Tie
Market Model 7.0% 15.5%
Bruno Mars
Market Model 70.0% 63.9%
Chris Brown
Market Model 3.0% 3.8%
Carey Mulligan
Market Model 21.0% 21.9%
Sarah Pidgeon
Market Model 42.0% 39.3%
Tie
Market Model 6.0% 6.0%
Marta Barbará as Kaoruko Waguri
Market Model 19.0% 19.8%
Emmy Award for Drama Actress Kalshi
Rhea Seehorn
Market Model 50.0% 58.1%
Zendaya
Market Model 31.0% 35.9%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmy winner: Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series Top outcome: Ernest Harden, Jr. | 98.0% | 100.0% | High | — | |
| 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Best Character Design? Top outcome: Gachiakuta | 70.0% | 54.7% | High | — | |
| 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Award for Anime of the Year? Top outcome: My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON | 79.0% | 56.5% | High | — | |
| 2026 Academy of Country Music Award for Album of the Year? Top outcome: Ain't in it For My Health | 48.0% | 81.2% | High | — | |
| American Music Award for Best Male R&B Artist? Top outcome: Bruno Mars | 70.0% | 63.9% | High | — | |
| Emmy Award for Movie/Limited Actress Top outcome: Carey Mulligan | 21.0% | 21.9% | Med | — | |
| 6.0% | 6.0% | High | — | ||
| Emmy Award for Drama Actress Top outcome: Rhea Seehorn | 50.0% | 58.1% | High | — |
