New Music Markets

Active Markets (3)

How To Quit Smoking: First Week Album Equivalent Units Kalshi

Above 2K

Market Model 36.0% 42.5%

Above 12K

Market Model 10.0% 25.8%

29.5K contracts Refresh

How To Quit Smoking: First Week Streams Kalshi

Above 2M

Market Model 57.0% 51.0%

Above 1M

Market Model 73.0% 68.0%

22.4K contracts Refresh

The Life of a Showgirl · The Encore: First Week Pure Album Sales Kalshi

Above 200K

Market Model 16.0% 2.6%

Above 900K

Market Model 1.0% 0.2%

10.5K contracts Refresh

Event	Market	Model	Conf	TI
How To Quit Smoking: First Week Album Equivalent Units Top outcome: Above 2K	36.0%	42.5%	High	76	Refresh
How To Quit Smoking: First Week Streams Top outcome: Above 2M	57.0%	51.0%	High	74	Refresh
The Life of a Showgirl · The Encore: First Week Pure Album Sales Top outcome: Above 200K	16.0%	2.6%	High	73	Refresh

Expired Markets (11)

Ride Lonesome: First Week Album Equivalent Units Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

18.6K contracts

The Shel Talmy Recordings: First Week Streams Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

11.8K contracts

Day and Night: First Week Pure Album Sales Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

2.5K contracts

Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

5.1K contracts

Distance in Static: First Week Pure Album Sales Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

4.1K contracts

Westside Whimsy: First Week Pure Album Sales Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

15.3K contracts

Westside Whimsy: First Week Album Equivalent Units Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

52.7K contracts

Ow: First Week Album Equivalent Units Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

6.1K contracts

I Know Too Much: First Week Pure Album Sales Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

2.5K contracts

Don’t Look Down: First Week Pure Album Sales Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

7.7K contracts

The Great Divide: First Week Album Equivalent Units Kalshi

Yes

Market Model — —

11.6K contracts

Event	Market	Model	Conf	TI
Ride Lonesome: First Week Album Equivalent Units	—	—	High	80
The Shel Talmy Recordings: First Week Streams	—	—	High	73
Day and Night: First Week Pure Album Sales	—	—	High	75
Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales	—	—	High	77
Distance in Static: First Week Pure Album Sales	—	—	High	67
Westside Whimsy: First Week Pure Album Sales	—	—	High	65
Westside Whimsy: First Week Album Equivalent Units	—	—	High	81
Ow: First Week Album Equivalent Units	—	—	High	80
I Know Too Much: First Week Pure Album Sales	—	—	High	78
Don’t Look Down: First Week Pure Album Sales	—	—	High	—
The Great Divide: First Week Album Equivalent Units	—	—	High	—

HUMAN MACHINE