Above 200K
Market Model 16.0% 2.6%
Above 900K
Market Model 1.0% 0.2%
Topic tracker · Entertainment
How many pure album sales will album have
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 7 so far (1 live, 6 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new How many pure album sales will album have markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated September 27, 2026
Live market
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Day and Night: First Week Pure Album Sales | September 27, 2026 | 99.0% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales | September 27, 2026 | 88.0% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| Distance in Static: First Week Pure Album Sales | September 20, 2026 | 70.5% vs 70.0% | Report → |
| Westside Whimsy: First Week Pure Album Sales | September 20, 2026 | 97.0% vs 97.0% | Report → |
| I Know Too Much: First Week Pure Album Sales | September 13, 2026 | 85.7% vs 3.0% | Report → |
| Don’t Look Down: First Week Pure Album Sales | September 6, 2026 | 91.9% vs 99.0% | Report → |
