Short Answer

Pylon is expected to sell above 5,000 pure albums in its first week, driven by its recent release, robust physical media strategy with bundles, and positive early performance indicators, a likelihood priced near 99%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

This market's primary move followed the September 18 release of Beabadoobee's album "Pylon". The contract price rose to 99.0% after the launch, signaling strong market confidence that first-week pure album sales would meet the required threshold. The shift occurred while the official sales tracking period was underway, suggesting that early indicators or market consensus solidified post-release expectations.
A temporary price dip to 84.0% was recorded on September 17, the day prior to the album's debut. The provided information contains no specific news development that would explain this brief downturn. The market's low total volume of 145 contracts suggests that price movements reflect sentiment shifts among a limited number of participants rather than broad, conviction-driven trading activity.
  • Since last update (~21d): Above 15K market probability surged +76.0pp, flipping the edge, though model dipped -6.0pp.
  • Above 7K market probability rose +14.0pp, flipping edge while model decreased -9.5pp.
  • Above 10K model probability dropped -9.0pp (model_led), widening the edge against market's +1.0pp.
  • Above 5K market rose +8.0pp (market_led), compressing the edge while model also increased +1.0pp.
  • Pure sales appear likely to exceed all listed thresholds, driven by robust physical media.
  • 'Pylon' is strongly forecast to surpass 12,000 pure sales, supported by positive early performance.

Current Context

Beabadoobee's "Pylon" launched, with first-week sales tracking underway. Beabadoobee released her fourth studio album, "Pylon," on September 18, 2026, via Dirty Hit and Interscope Records [1][2][3][4]. First-week pure album sales are currently being tracked for the period of September 18, 2026, to September 24, 2026 [5][6][7][8]. As of September 20, 2026, the first-week pure album sales figures for "Pylon" are not yet available, as the tracking week is still in progress [8].
Market sentiment suggests "Pylon" will exceed 12,000 pure sales. Prediction markets, such as Kalshi, tracked the album's performance, with pre-release sentiment indicating a high confidence level, above 95%, that the album would surpass 12,000 pure sales in its first week [6][7]. Official results are expected from Luminate Data, with the market scheduled to resolve on September 27, 2026 [5][6][7].
Sources (8)
  1. 1Pylon | beabadoobeebeabadoobee.bandcamp.com
  2. 2Beabadoobee - Pylon CD. Dirty Hit.store.dirtyhit.co.uk
  3. 3beabadoobee's New Album 'Pylon': Tracklist, Features, Producers...complex.com
  4. 4‎Pylon - Album by beabadoobee - Apple Musicmusic.apple.com
  5. 5Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales Odds & Predictions 2026 - Kalshikalshi.com
  6. 6Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  7. 7Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales - Kalshi noteringen | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  8. 8New Albums in 2026: Calendar of New Music Releases Comingbillboard.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Significant Price Movements

Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.

Outcome: Above 15K

📈 September 20, 2026: 76.0pp spike

Price increased from 23.0% to 99.0%

What happened: The provided research does not contain verifiable evidence of a 76.0 percentage point spike in the "Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales" market for the "Above 15K" outcome on September 20, 2026 [1]. Consequently, there is no information available within the provided sources to identify any primary driver for such a movement, including social media activity [1]. Based on the provided data, social media cannot be assessed as a primary driver, contributing accelerant, mostly noise, or irrelevant due to the absence of evidence for the price movement itself.

Outcome: Above 10K

📈 September 18, 2026: 16.0pp spike

Price increased from 81.0% to 97.0%

What happened: The 16.0 percentage point spike in the "Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales" prediction market on September 18, 2026, appears primarily driven by the album's early performance on Apple Music charts [2]. On its release day, September 18, 2026, "Pylon" appeared in the Apple Music Top 100 in several countries, including #7 in New Zealand and #14 in Australia, indicating strong initial traction [2]. This early, positive charting data likely coincided with increased market confidence in the "Above 10K" pure album sales outcome. Social media was not a primary driver, as there is no verifiable evidence identifying a specific social media catalyst for this market movement [3].

📈 September 17, 2026: 29.0pp spike

Price increased from 52.0% to 81.0%

What happened: Based on the available information, there is no verifiable public record or social media activity identified as the primary driver for the 29.0 percentage point spike in the "Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales" market on September 17, 2026 [4][5][6][7][8][9][1][10]. Beabadoobee's album, "Pylon," was released the following day, September 18, 2026, with some initial charting in a few countries reported on that date [2][9][1][10]. The research explicitly states that such a spike appears to be specific to the internal mechanics or volatility of prediction market odds, rather than externally reported sales data or a social media catalyst [4][5][6][7][8]. Therefore, social media was irrelevant to this specific price movement based on the provided evidence.
Sources (10)
  1. 1New Albums in 2026: Calendar of New Music Releases Comingbillboard.com
  2. 2Pylon by beabadoobee — Apple Music album chart positions: peak #7, charting in 4 countries | ChartStatschartstats.com
  3. 3ADÉLA's 'PRIMA' Debuts at No. 1 on 2 Billboard Album Chartsbillboard.com
  4. 4Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales Odds & Predictions 2026 - Kalshikalshi.com
  5. 5Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  6. 6Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales | Prediction Markets | Coinbasecoinbase.com
  7. 7Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales - Kalshi noteringen | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  8. 8Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets — 149 live | SimpleFunctionssimplefunctions.dev
  9. 9Beabadoobee: New Album 'Pylons' & Tour Announced - Billboardbillboard.com
  10. 10Beabadoobee Sets First Arena Run of Australiabillboard.com

4. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This market resolves YES if beabadoobee's first week pure album sales are above 20,000, and NO if they are 20,000 or below. The maximum payout date for this market is September 27, 2026. A special condition is that contracts accrue 3.25% interest.

Market Discussion

Beabadoobee's fourth studio album, Pylon, was released on September 18, 2026, and is the subject of active prediction markets tracking its first-week pure album sales [1]. As of mid-September 2026, these markets indicated high probabilities (e.g., 97% for >5K pure sales) for the album's commercial performance, despite polarized social media and critical commentary, with official figures not yet reported as of September 20, 2026 [2].

Sources (2)
  1. 1Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales Odds & Predictions 2026 - Kalshikalshi.com
  2. 2Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com

5. Trust Index

This scorecard was computed Sep 26, 2026 and may not reflect current market conditions.

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 77 Good

“Above 5K” made a large jump with almost no trading behind it.

Integrity risk· Thin-volume moves

How it adds up
Integrity80% of score79Good

Market integrity is low (68), but Integrity averages all three scores, so the other two pull it up. Only a critically low score would cap the total.

Trade quality20% of score70Good
Trust score77Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
68Caution

Outcome can be influenced

Thin-volume movesTrade signals · high confidence

“Above 5K” made a large jump with almost no trading behind it.

Screened clean
Large tradesNo single trade dominates the tape. Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
72Tradeable

Fills fine at modest size

6 contracts · worst first · 2 below the volume floor — not scored

Above 5K54
Thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Above 10K54
Thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Above 15K65
Tradeable · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Above 7K65
Tradeable · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Above 12K80
Deep · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Above 20K80
Deep · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Move quality
70Confirmed

Moves came with real volume

6 contracts · worst first · 2 below the volume floor — not scored

Above 7K62
Mostly confirmed · high confidence

Volume opposes the move over 6h

Above 5K67
Mostly confirmed · medium confidence

Volume confirms the move over 24h

Above 10K67
Mostly confirmed · medium confidence

Volume confirms the move over 24h

Above 15K72
Confirmed · medium confidence

Volume is light/neutral for the move over 24h

Above 20K80
Confirmed · medium confidence

Volume confirms the move over 24h

Above 12K—
No significant move (24h)

Price was stable over the last 24 hours.

Rule clarity
100Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

6 contracts · worst first · 2 below the volume floor — not scored

Above 5K100
Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Above 10K100
Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Above 12K100
Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Above 15K100
Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Above 20K100
Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Above 7K100
Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Trade quality
70Good

Order book supports trading

Deep and tight enough to trade efficiently.

Outcome quality 70 (notional-weighted across 6 scored legs)

2 below the volume floor — not scored

Above 5K54Market scoreLiquidity54Move quality67Rule clarity100
Why 54
Liquidity
54 · Thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Move quality
67 · Mostly confirmed · medium confidence

Volume confirms the move over 24h

Rule clarity
100 · Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Above 10K54Market scoreLiquidity54Move quality67Rule clarity100
Why 54
Liquidity
54 · Thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Move quality
67 · Mostly confirmed · medium confidence

Volume confirms the move over 24h

Rule clarity
100 · Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Above 12K80Market scoreLiquidity80Move quality–Rule clarity100
Why 80
Liquidity
80 · Deep · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Move quality
No significant move (24h)

Price was stable over the last 24 hours.

Rule clarity
100 · Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Above 15K40Market scoreLiquidity65Move quality72Rule clarity100
Why 40
Liquidity
65 · Tradeable · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Move quality
72 · Confirmed · medium confidence

Volume is light/neutral for the move over 24h

Rule clarity
100 · Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Above 20K80Market scoreLiquidity80Move quality80Rule clarity100
Why 80
Liquidity
80 · Deep · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Move quality
80 · Confirmed · medium confidence

Volume confirms the move over 24h

Rule clarity
100 · Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Above 7K65Market scoreLiquidity65Move quality62Rule clarity100
Why 65
Liquidity
65 · Tradeable · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Move quality
62 · Mostly confirmed · high confidence

Volume opposes the move over 6h

Rule clarity
100 · Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Sep 26, 2026

6. How do the first-week pure sales projections for 'Pylon' compare to Beabadoobee's previous studio albums, 'Fake It Flowers' and 'Beatopia'?

Pylon pure sales projectionOver 5,000, potentially exceeding 12,000 [1]
Beatopia first-week pure sales6,537 copies [2]
Fake It Flowers UK Albums ChartNo. 8 [3][4]
Pylon's first-week pure sales projections appear robust compared to 'Beatopia'. As of September 16, 2026, prediction markets indicated a 97% probability that Beabadoobee's fourth studio album, 'Pylon', would achieve over 5,000 pure album sales. Models further suggested figures potentially exceeding 12,000 for 'Pylon' [1]. In contrast, Beabadoobee's 2022 album, 'Beatopia', sold 6,537 copies in its first week, with the majority (5,585 copies) stemming from physical sales [2].
Direct pure sales comparison with 'Fake It Flowers' is not possible. Beabadoobee's debut studio album, 'Fake It Flowers', released in 2020, reached number 8 on the UK Albums Chart [3][4]. However, specific first-week pure sales figures for 'Fake It Flowers' are not explicitly detailed in the provided sources, which prevents a direct comparison with 'Pylon's' current projections [3][4].
Sources (4)
  1. 1Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  2. 2Jamie Oborne reveals Dirty Hit strategy for 'beautiful... - Music Weekmusicweek.com
  3. 3Filipino-British singer-songwriter #Beabadoobee scores her first UK...facebook.com
  4. 4Beabadoobee - Wikipediaen.wikipedia.org

7. What promotional campaigns are Dirty Hit and Interscope Records running during the September 18-24 release week to drive 'Pylon's' pure album sales?

Album Release DateSeptember 18, 2026 [1][2][3]
Album TitlePylon (Beabadoobee) [1][2][3]
First-week Sales ExpectationAbove 12,000 (Kalshi prediction markets) [4][5]
Beabadoobee released her fourth album 'Pylon' with initial promotional activities. Her fourth studio album, 'Pylon,' was released on September 18, 2026, through Dirty Hit and Interscope Records. Initial promotional efforts included announcing the Powerlines Tour, releasing lead singles "Sun Has Set" and "Switchblade," and making various physical formats like vinyl and CD available for pre-order starting in June 2026 [1][2][3].
Specific release week sales campaigns were not detailed in research. The research provided does not detail specific promotional campaigns by Dirty Hit and Interscope Records explicitly aimed at driving 'Pylon's' pure album sales during the September 18-24, 2026 release week. However, prediction markets on Kalshi tracked the album's first-week pure album sales, with market sentiment prior to release suggesting high expectations and odds favoring sales above 12,000 [4][5].
Sources (5)
  1. 1beabadoobee's New Album 'Pylon': Tracklist, Features, Producers...complex.com
  2. 2Beabadoobee Announces New Album 'Pylon' For Septemberudiscovermusic.com
  3. 3Beabadoobee: New Album 'Pylons' & Tour Announced - Billboardbillboard.com
  4. 4Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  5. 5Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales - Kalshi noteringen | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com

8. What evidence from early sales reports and social media engagement supports the market's forecast that 'Pylon' will exceed 12,000 pure sales?

Probability of exceeding 12,000 pure sales95-96% (as of mid-September 2026) [1]
Previous UK chart positionNo. 1 with 'This Is How Tomorrow Moves' [2]
Key sales driversAlbum-merchandise bundles, tour ticket presales, multiple physical formats [3][4]
Prediction markets strongly forecast 'Pylon' will surpass 12,000 pure sales. As of mid-September 2026, the probability that beabadoobee's album 'Pylon' will exceed 12,000 pure sales in its first week stands at a high 95-96% [1]. This robust forecast is largely driven by various commercial strategies, including the offering of album-merchandise bundles, exclusive access to tour ticket presales tied to album purchases, and the album's release across multiple physical formats, such as CD and indie-exclusive vinyl [3][4].
Strategic collaborations and prior success boost 'Pylon's' commercial appeal. The album's commercial potential is further enhanced by collaborations with notable artists like Hayley Williams, Brendan Yates, and Chino Moreno [3]. Additionally, the positive momentum from her previous UK No. 1 album, 'This Is How Tomorrow Moves,' significantly contributes to its anticipated strong performance [2]. It should be noted that the provided research information does not include early sales reports or social media engagement data to further support this forecast.
Sources (4)
  1. 1Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales - Kalshi noteringen | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  2. 2Beabadoobee Announces New Album 'Pylon' For Septemberudiscovermusic.com
  3. 3beabadoobee's New Album 'Pylon': Tracklist, Features, Producers...complex.com
  4. 4Beabadoobee's new album Pylon listening party at Rainy Day...facebook.com

9. Which data providers, specifically Luminate Data and Billboard, will report the definitive pure sales figures for 'Pylon' and on what timeline?

Album Release DateSeptember 18, 2026 [1][2][3]
First Week Sales PeriodSeptember 18–24, 2026 [4]
Prediction Market ResolutionSeptember 27, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET [4]
'Pylon's' first-week pure sales will be tracked September 18-24, 2026. The album 'Pylon' by beabadoobee was released on September 18, 2026 [1][2][3]. The focus for tracking first-week pure album sales is on the period from September 18 to September 24, 2026 [4]. This aligns with the standard industry tracking week for sales, which typically runs from Friday through the following Thursday [5][6].
Luminate Data will report definitive pure sales figures for 'Pylon.' As the authoritative data source for Billboard charts, Luminate Data will provide the final pure sales figures [5][6][4]. The prediction market is scheduled to resolve on September 27, 2026, with the resolution based on data reported by Luminate's API as of 10:00 AM ET on that Sunday [4].
Sources (6)
  1. 1Beabadoobee Announces New Album 'Pylon' For Septemberudiscovermusic.com
  2. 2beabadoobee's New Album 'Pylon': Tracklist, Features, Producers...complex.com
  3. 3Beabadoobee – 'Pylon' review: making peace with the mess... - NMEnme.com
  4. 4Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  5. 5Report Music Sales and Streaming: Become a Luminate Data Providersupport.luminatedata.com
  6. 6Charts: The data behind the hit rankings - Knowledge Basesupport.luminatedata.com

10. How does 'Pylon's' physical media strategy, including vinyl variants and bundles, compare to recent successful releases from peer artists like Clairo and boygenius?

Album Release DateSeptember 18, 2026 [1][2][3][4]
First-week sales probability >5,00097% (as of mid-September 2026) [5][6][7]
First-week sales probability >10,00063% (as of mid-September 2026) [5][6][7]
Beabadoobee's Pylon launched with a robust physical media marketing strategy. The fourth studio album, released on September 18, 2026, prominently features physical media offerings [1][2][3][4]. These include multiple vinyl variants, such as the Standard Sea Foam and the Indie Exclusive Oyster editions, alongside a signed double vinyl bundle [3][4][8][9]. This comprehensive physical release strategy aims to drive pure album sales by providing collectors with diverse purchasing options.
This strategy mirrors successful approaches by peer artists to boost sales. Beabadoobee's approach aligns with modern indie-pop marketing tactics utilized by artists like Clairo and boygenius, specifically designed to increase pure album sales [3][4][8][9]. Prediction markets for Pylon's first-week pure album sales (September 18–24, 2026) indicated strong initial performance. As of mid-September 2026, there was a 97% probability of exceeding 5,000 sales and a 63% probability of surpassing 10,000 sales [5][6][7].
Sources (9)
  1. 1beabadoobee: Pylon (Dirty Hit) 18th September 2026musicrepublicmagazine.com
  2. 2Beabadoobee Announces New Album 'Pylon' For Septemberudiscovermusic.com
  3. 3Pylon - Signed Double Vinyl Bundle - beabadoobeeshopuk.beabadoobee.com
  4. 4Beabadoobee: Pylon - Sea Foam or Indie Exclusive Oyster... - Bscenebscene.co.uk
  5. 5Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales Odds & Predictions 2026 - Kalshikalshi.com
  6. 6Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales | Prediction Markets | Coinbasecoinbase.com
  7. 7Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  8. 8Pylon Vinyl Beabadoobee - TikToktiktok.com
  9. 9BEABADOOBEE PRE-RELEASE LISTENING PARTY! The fourth...facebook.com

11. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

Beabadoobee released her fourth studio album, "Pylon", on September 18, 2026, via Dirty Hit and Interscope Records [1][2][3][4][5][6][7]. Prediction markets on Kalshi and Coinbase are tracking the album's first-week pure sales for the period of September 18, 2026, to September 24, 2026, with the market scheduled to resolve on September 27, 2026 [8][9][10].
As of September 16, 2026, prediction markets indicated a 97% probability that the album would exceed 5,000 pure sales, with lower probabilities for higher thresholds, such as 63% for above 10,000 sales [8][10]. As of September 20, 2026, the first-week pure album sales figures for Beabadoobee's "Pylon" are not yet available, as the tracking week is still in progress [6][11][12].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Expiration: October 01, 2026
  • Closes: September 27, 2026
Sources (12)
  1. 1Pylon | beabadoobeebeabadoobee.bandcamp.com
  2. 2Beabadoobee - Pylon CD. Dirty Hit.store.dirtyhit.co.uk
  3. 3beabadoobee's New Album 'Pylon': Tracklist, Features, Producers...complex.com
  4. 4Beabadoobee: Pylon Album Review | Pitchforkpitchfork.com
  5. 5Beabadoobee: New Album 'Pylons' & Tour Announcedbillboard.com
  6. 6New Albums in 2026: Calendar of New Music Releases Comingbillboard.com
  7. 7beabadoobee Announces New Album Pylon and 2026 Arena Tour...imdb.com
  8. 8Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales Odds & Predictions 2026 - Kalshikalshi.com
  9. 9Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales | Prediction Markets | Coinbasecoinbase.com
  10. 10Pylon: First Week Pure Album Sales - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  11. 11Carly Rae Jepsen Drops Double Album ‘Day and Night’: Stream It Nowbillboard.com
  12. 12Miley Cyrus Announces ‘Vulnerable’ New Album ‘Bass Persuades’ Along With Hollywood Bowl Shows | Billboard Canadaca.billboard.com

13. Related News

+76.0pp
Last updated: September 20, 2026, 12:15 UTC

Beabadoobee's 'Pylon' Bundles Fuel Surge in First-Week Sales Forecasts

The release of Beabadoobee's fourth studio album, 'Pylon', on Friday, September 18, 2026, prompted a dramatic upward revision in first-week sales expectations on prediction markets. In the session on ...

14. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 3 resolved YES, 17 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXPUREALBUMS-IKN26SEP10-6K: NO (Sep 13, 2026)
  • KXPUREALBUMS-IKN26SEP10-3K: NO (Sep 13, 2026)
  • KXPUREALBUMS-IKN26SEP10-4K: NO (Sep 13, 2026)
  • KXPUREALBUMS-THE26SEP10-15K: NO (Sep 13, 2026)
  • KXPUREALBUMS-THE26SEP10-14K: NO (Sep 13, 2026)