Yes
Market Model 70.0% 73.2%
Movies Markets
Active Markets (11)
Highest grossing movie in 2026? Polymarket
Scream 7
Market Model 0.1% 0.1%
Wuthering Heights
Market Model 0.1% 0.1%
Yes
Market Model 38.0% 30.8%
Yes
Market Model 25.0% 17.1%
Avengers: Doomsday Cast? Kalshi
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?
Market Model 74.0% 66.0%
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?
Market Model 72.0% 63.5%
Glen Powell
Market Model 45.0% 35.6%
Ryan Gosling
Market Model 19.0% 7.0%
Yes
Market Model 48.0% 50.0%
Jodie Turner-Smith
Market Model 4.0% 1.4%
Alison Oliver
Market Model 5.0% 1.8%
John Hoogenakker
Market Model 11.0% 2.9%
Wyatt Russell
Market Model 3.0% 1.0%
Callum Turner
Market Model 50.0% 30.2%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
Market Model 8.0% 3.1%
Addison Rae
Market Model 20.0% 10.0%
Olivia Holt
Market Model 20.0% 38.0%
Expired Markets (5)
Yes
Market Model — —
December 31, 2026
Market Model 3.6% 1.7%
March 31, 2027
Market Model 11.0% 1.7%
Yes
Market Model 99.0% 98.7%
Yes
Market Model 99.0% 99.1%
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | — | ||
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Top outcome: December 31, 2026 | 3.6% | 1.7% | High | 64 | |
| Marvel: Sadie Sink cast as next Jean Grey? Yes refers to: Sadie Sink | 99.0% | 98.7% | Med | — | |
| New Star Wars movie released in theaters before 2027? Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027 | 99.0% | 99.1% | Med | — | |
| — | — | High | — |
