Movies Markets

Active Markets (14)

Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 70.0% 73.2%

38.0K contracts Refresh

Highest grossing movie in 2026? Polymarket

Scream 7

Market Model 0.1% 0.1%

Wuthering Heights

Market Model 0.1% 0.1%

$16.6M Refresh

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Polymarket

December 31, 2026

Market Model 3.6% 1.7%

March 31, 2027

Market Model 11.0% 1.7%

$30.9M Refresh

Marvel: Sadie Sink cast as next Jean Grey? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 99.0% 98.7%

629.0K contracts Refresh

New Star Wars movie released in theaters before 2027? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 99.0% 99.1%

186.2K contracts Refresh

Will Tom Cruise be cast in another Film With Ana de Armas? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 38.0% 30.8%

423 contracts Refresh

Will Glen Powell be cast in the next Indiana Jones movie? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 25.0% 17.1%

2.0K contracts Refresh

Avengers: Doomsday Cast? Kalshi

Tom Holland as Spider-Man?

Market Model 74.0% 66.0%

Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?

Market Model 72.0% 63.5%

103.3K contracts Refresh

Who will be cast in the next Miami Vice? Kalshi

Glen Powell

Market Model 45.0% 35.6%

Ryan Gosling

Market Model 19.0% 7.0%

10.0K contracts Refresh

Will Johnny Depp be cast in the next Pirates of the Caribbean? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 48.0% 50.0%

18.0K contracts Refresh

Who will play Moneypenny in the next James Bond? Kalshi

Jodie Turner-Smith

Market Model 4.0% 1.4%

Alison Oliver

Market Model 5.0% 1.8%

694 contracts Refresh

Who will play Felix Leiter in the next James Bond? Kalshi

John Hoogenakker

Market Model 11.0% 2.9%

Wyatt Russell

Market Model 3.0% 1.0%

472 contracts Refresh

Who will be the next James Bond? Kalshi

Callum Turner

Market Model 50.0% 30.2%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Market Model 8.0% 3.1%

416.3K contracts Refresh

Who will play Britney Spears in the Jon M. Chu–directed biopic? Kalshi

Addison Rae

Market Model 20.0% 10.0%

Olivia Holt

Market Model 20.0% 38.0%

1.7K contracts Refresh

Event	Market	Model	Conf	TI
Marvel: Robert Downey Jr. back as Iron Man this year? Yes refers to: By Jan 1, 2027	70.0%	73.2%	Med	78	Refresh
Highest grossing movie in 2026? Top outcome: Scream 7	0.1%	0.1%	High	70	Refresh
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Top outcome: December 31, 2026	3.6%	1.7%	High	65	Refresh
Marvel: Sadie Sink cast as next Jean Grey? Yes refers to: Sadie Sink	99.0%	98.7%	Med	—	Refresh
New Star Wars movie released in theaters before 2027? Yes refers to: Before Jan 1, 2027	99.0%	99.1%	Med	—	Refresh
Will Tom Cruise be cast in another Film With Ana de Armas? Yes refers to: Tom Cruise	38.0%	30.8%	Med	66	Refresh
Will Glen Powell be cast in the next Indiana Jones movie? Yes refers to: Glen Powell	25.0%	17.1%	Med	66	Refresh
Avengers: Doomsday Cast? Top outcome: Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	74.0%	66.0%	Med	74	Refresh
Who will be cast in the next Miami Vice? Top outcome: Glen Powell	45.0%	35.6%	Med	62	Refresh
Will Johnny Depp be cast in the next Pirates of the Caribbean? Yes refers to: Johnny Depp	48.0%	50.0%	Med	80	Refresh
Who will play Moneypenny in the next James Bond? Top outcome: Jodie Turner-Smith	4.0%	1.4%	Med	49	Refresh
Who will play Felix Leiter in the next James Bond? Top outcome: John Hoogenakker	11.0%	2.9%	Med	51	Refresh
Who will be the next James Bond? Top outcome: Callum Turner	50.0%	30.2%	Med	65	Refresh
Who will play Britney Spears in the Jon M. Chu–directed biopic? Top outcome: Addison Rae	20.0%	10.0%	Med	54	Refresh