Above 85
Market Model 68.0% 79.5%
Above 90
Market Model 30.0% 45.0%
Topic tracker · Entertainment
Rotten Tomatoes Scores
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 12 so far (3 live, 9 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Rotten Tomatoes Scores markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated September 9, 2026
Live markets
Above 45
Market Model 82.0% 71.0%
Above 50
Market Model 66.0% 51.4%
Above 90
Market Model 43.0% 62.2%
Above 85
Market Model 58.0% 68.5%
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Practical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score | September 14, 2026 | 2.0% vs 2.0% | Report → |
| By Any Means · Rotten Tomatoes score | September 7, 2026 | 99.0% vs 95.0% | Report → |
| Onslaught · Rotten Tomatoes score | September 7, 2026 | 19.0% vs 27.0% | Report → |
| Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score | September 14, 2026 | 99.5% vs 88.0% | Report → |
| The Dog Stars · Rotten Tomatoes score | August 31, 2026 | 1.6% vs 2.0% | Report → |
| The Odyssey: Rotten Tomatoes score | July 20, 2026 | 99.1% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| "Moana" Rotten Tomatoes score? | July 13, 2026 | 99.1% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| Supergirl: Rotten Tomatoes score | June 29, 2026 | 99.0% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| "Michael" Rotten Tomatoes score? | April 27, 2026 | 99.1% vs 99.0% | Report → |
