Heart of the Beast · Rotten Tomatoes score
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- Scores above 65% are highly probable, driven by initial 92-96% critic reports.
- The initial score is provisional and expected to decay as more reviews accrue.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 90 | 17.0% | 24.5% | Anticipated score decay from the provisional rating makes maintaining above 90% less likely. |
| Above 85 | 76.0% | 84.5% | The provisional score is expected to decline slightly as more reviews accumulate. |
| Above 65 | 99.0% | 99.8% | Initial reports indicate a very high Tomatometer score for the film. |
| Above 60 | 99.0% | 99.8% | Initial reports indicate a very high Tomatometer score for the film. |
| Above 70 | 99.0% | 99.7% | Initial reports indicate a very high Tomatometer score for the film. |
Current Context
Sources (19)
- 1Heart of the Beast | Rotten Tomatoesrottentomatoes.com
- 2Heart of the Beast | Cast and Crew | Rotten Tomatoesrottentomatoes.com
- 3Heart of the Beast (2026) - Release info - IMDbimdb.com
- 4Heart of the Beast - Box Office Mojoboxofficemojo.com
- 5Brad Pitt to Headline and Produce ‘Heart of the Beast’ for Paramount - IMDbimdb.com
- 6Brad Pitt to reunite with David Ayer to star in and produce the filmmaker’s survival-adventure film Heart of the Beast - IMDbimdb.com
- 7'Heart Of The Beast' Rotten Tomatoes Reviews Cheer Brad Pitt...forbes.com
- 8Brad Pitt & David Ayer's First Team-Up in 12 Years Scores a Huge Rotten Tomatoes Win Days Before Releasecbr.com
- 9'Heart of the Beast' First Reviews Hail Film As Best Of David Ayer's Careerfeaturefirst.net
- 10Brad Pitt & David Ayer's New Survival Thriller Officially Sets All-Time...screenrant.com
- 11Heart of the Beast (2026) - News - IMDbimdb.com
- 12Critics say Brad Pitt's 'Heart of the Beast' will have you sobbing - IMDbimdb.com
- 13Brad Pitt's 'Heart of the Beast' Debuts to Near-Perfect Rotten... - IMDbimdb.com
- 1412 Years Later, David Ayer and Brad Pitt's Reunion Movie... - IMDbimdb.com
- 15Heart of the Beast · Rotten Tomatoes score - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 16"Heart of the Beast" Rotten Tomatoes Score? - Compare Polymarket vs Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 17September 25, 2026: Heart of the Beast · Rotten Tomatoes score Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 18Heart of the Beast Rotten Tomatoes score?… | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
- 19Heart of the Beast Rotten Tomatoes score? | Paritypredictparity.com
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
Outcome: Above 92
📉 September 23, 2026: 12.0pp drop
Price decreased from 21.0% to 9.0%
Outcome: Above 85
📈 September 22, 2026: 66.0pp spike
Price increased from 13.0% to 79.0%
Outcome: Above 75
📈 September 18, 2026: 9.0pp spike
Price increased from 37.0% to 46.0%
Outcome: Above 55
📈 September 16, 2026: 10.0pp spike
Price increased from 77.0% to 87.0%
Outcome: Above 60
📉 September 13, 2026: 9.0pp drop
Price decreased from 78.0% to 69.0%
Sources (22)
- 1Movies Out Now in Theaters (2026) | Rotten Tomatoesrottentomatoes.com
- 2Best Fresh Movies Out Now in Theaters (2026) | Rotten Tomatoesrottentomatoes.com
- 3Brad Pitt & David Ayer's First Team-Up in 12 Years Scores a Huge Rotten Tomatoes Win Days Before Releasecbr.com
- 4Brad Pitt & David Ayer's New Survival Thriller Officially Sets All-Time...screenrant.com
- 5Brad Pitt's Heart Of The Beast First Reactions Are Officially Inscreenrant.com
- 6Heart Of The Beast Beaver Creek Event - STREAMING MOVIE NIGHTstreamingmovienight.com
- 7Heart of the Beast (2026) - News - IMDbimdb.com
- 8Brad Pitt to Headline and Produce ‘Heart of the Beast’ for Paramount - IMDbimdb.com
- 9‘True Detective’ Actress Anna Lambe Joins Brad Pitt in ‘Heart of the Beast’ (Exclusive) - IMDbimdb.com
- 10'Heart Of The Beast' Rotten Tomatoes Reviews Cheer Brad Pitt...forbes.com
- 11Heart of the Beast reviews: Brad Pitt's dog deserves an Oscargoldderby.com
- 12'Heart of the Beast' Review: Brad Pitt in David Ayer's Tender Dramahollywoodreporter.com
- 13'Heart of the Beast' First Reviews Hail Film As Best Of David Ayer's Careerfeaturefirst.net
- 14Brad Pitt introduced a special Bass Pro Shops premiere of his film...instagram.com
- 15Heart Of The Beast Early Reviews Out: Brad Pitt’s Film Gets Strong First Reactions, But Odin The Dog Is The Real Star!koimoi.com
- 16Brad Pitt's 'Heart of the Beast' Debuts to Near-Perfect Rotten Tomatoes Score Ahead of Its Theatrical Releasecomicbasics.com
- 17Brad Pitt's 'Heart of the Beast' Debuts to Near-Perfect Rotten... - IMDbimdb.com
- 18Brad Pitt Leads the ‘Heart of the Beast’ Premiere as Nashville’s Red Carpet Draws J.K. Simmons and Jana Kramer - Celebrity Stormcelebritystorm.net
- 19Heart of the Beast (2026) Popularity: Viewership Trends & Attention Scoretelevisionstats.com
- 20Domestic Box Office For Sep 13, 2026 - Box Office Mojoboxofficemojo.com
- 21Heart of the Beast | Rotten Tomatoesrottentomatoes.com
- 22Heart of the Beast Reviews Have Critics Shocked By Brad Pitt Dog Movie For This Reasoncomingsoon.net
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves YES if the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score for "Heart of the Beast" is 87% or higher, and NO if it is below 87%. Trading for this market began on Friday, September 25, 12:00 am EDT. The maximum payout date for this market is September 28, 2026, with settlement based on the final Tomatometer score.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 45 | $1.00 | $0.01 | 99% |
| Above 50 | $1.00 | $0.01 | 99% |
| Above 55 | $1.00 | $0.01 | 99% |
| Above 60 | $1.00 | $0.01 | 99% |
| Above 65 | $1.00 | $0.01 | 99% |
| Above 70 | $1.00 | $0.01 | 99% |
| Above 75 | $0.99 | $0.02 | 98% |
| Above 80 | $0.97 | $0.04 | 96% |
| Above 85 | $0.76 | $0.25 | 76% |
| Above 87 | $0.61 | $0.40 | 60% |
| Above 90 | $0.17 | $0.85 | 17% |
| Above 92 | $0.07 | $0.95 | 9% |
| Above 95 | $0.02 | $0.99 | 1% |
Market Discussion
As of September 23, 2026, "Heart of the Beast" is reported at 96% on Rotten Tomatoes from 25 verified critic reviews, earning it Certified Fresh status and marking it as Brad Pitt’s and David Ayer’s highest-rated film to date [1][2][3][4]. Early social media and review commentary is strongly positive, praising the emotional bond between Pitt and the combat dog, the film's survival intensity, and visceral direction, with some reservations about predictable plotting [5][6][7]. A prediction market for the film's Rotten Tomatoes score on September 23 showed high implied probabilities for the score remaining above various thresholds, including 98% for above-45% and 76% for above-65% [8].
Sources (8)
- 1Heart of the Beast | Rotten Tomatoesrottentomatoes.com
- 2Brad Pitt & David Ayer's First Team-Up in 12 Years Scores a Huge Rotten Tomatoes Win Days Before Releasecbr.com
- 3Brad Pitt & David Ayer's New Survival Thriller Officially Sets All-Time Rotten Tomatoes Recordscreenrant.com
- 4'Heart of the Beast' First Reviews Hail Film As Best Of David Ayer's Careerfeaturefirst.net
- 5Heart Of The Beast Early Reviews Out: Brad Pitt’s Film Gets Strong First Reactions, But Odin The Dog Is The Real Star!koimoi.com
- 6Brad Pitt's Heart Of The Beast First Reactions Are Officially Inscreenrant.com
- 7David Ayer's 'Heart of the Beast' - Review Thread: r/movies - Redditreddit.com
- 8Heart of the Beast Rotten Tomatoes score?… | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
5. Trust Index
Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index
6. How do the initial critic scores for 'Heart of the Beast' compare to director David Ayer's previous films like 'End of Watch'?
| Heart of the Beast Initial Tomatometer | 92-96% as of September 23, 2026 [1][2][3][4][5] |
|---|---|
| End of Watch Tomatometer | 85% (181 reviews) [6][4][7][8] |
| Heart of the Beast Provisional Status | Score remained provisional prior to release [1][6][2][3][4] |
Sources (8)
- 1Heart of the Beast - Rotten Tomatoesrottentomatoes.com
- 2‘Heart Of The Beast’ Rotten Tomatoes Reviews... - Forbesforbes.com
- 3Brad Pitt & David Ayer's First Team-Up in 12 Years Scores a...cbr.com
- 4Brad Pitt & David Ayer's New Survival Thriller Officially...screenrant.com
- 5HeartOfTheBeast is Fresh at 96% on the Tomatometer, with 25 reviewsfacebook.com
- 6Brad Pitt Dog Movie Heart of the Beast’s RT Score Sets New...comingsoon.net
- 7David Ayer Movies & TV Shows List | Rotten Tomatoesrottentomatoes.com
- 8End of Watch | Rotten Tomatoesrottentomatoes.com
7. What is the typical score decay on Rotten Tomatoes for highly-rated films as review counts increase from the initial embargo lift to the wide release weekend?
| Typical score adjustment | 3-10 point decline for high-rated films [1][2][3][4] |
|---|---|
| Large score decline example | Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania dropped 30-39 percentage points [1] |
| Heart of the Beast settlement estimate | 88-94% [4][5][6] |
Sources (7)
- 1The Decomposition of Rotten Tomatoes - Vulturevulture.com
- 2Embargo dates and Rotten Tomatoes scores: What's the relationship?mashable.com
- 3FAQ - Rotten Tomatoesrottentomatoes.com
- 4'Heart Of The Beast' Rotten Tomatoes Reviews Cheer Brad Pitt...forbes.com
- 5Brad Pitt & David Ayer's First Team-Up in 12 Years Scores a Huge...cbr.com
- 6September 25, 2026: Heart of the Beast · Rotten Tomatoes score Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 7Heart of the Beast | Rotten Tomatoesrottentomatoes.com
8. How do the film's early Metacritic and Letterboxd scores align with its reported 92%-96% Tomatometer?
| Metacritic/Letterboxd Score | Not established as of September 23, 2026 [1] |
|---|---|
| Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer | 0 reviews, 0 audience ratings, 92%-96% figures are unofficial as of September 23, 2026 [2] |
| Wide Theatrical Release | September 25, 2026 [3] |
Sources (8)
- 1David Ayer's 'Heart of the Beast' - Review Thread: r/movies - Redditreddit.com
- 2Heart of the Beast | Rotten Tomatoesrottentomatoes.com
- 3September 25, 2026: Heart of the Beast · Rotten Tomatoes score Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 4Heart of the Beast · Rotten Tomatoes score - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 5Heart of the Beast Rotten Tomatoes score?… | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
- 6Heart of the Beast Rotten Tomatoes score?… | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
- 7Heart of the Beast Rotten Tomatoes score? | Paritypredictparity.com
- 8Heart of the Beast Rotten Tomatoes score? | Paritypredictparity.com
9. What is the typical timeline for Rotten Tomatoes to synchronize its displayed score with all published reviews following a major film's premiere?
| Tomatometer Sync SLA | Not published [1] |
|---|---|
| Major Premiere Review Sync | Several hours to 24 hours (most reviews), 1-3 days (remaining reviews) [2] |
| Prediction Market Resolution Date | September 28, 2026, 10:00 AM ET [3] |
Sources (7)
- 1FAQ - Rotten Tomatoesrottentomatoes.com
- 2Kalshi Rotten Tomatoes Markets: How Contracts Settle - OddsShopperoddsshopper.com
- 3Heart of the Beast · Rotten Tomatoes score - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 4How does Rotten Tomatoes decide when to publish reviews... - Quoraquora.com
- 5Brad Pitt Is 'a Joy to Behold' in Heart of the Beast, First Reviews Saypeople.com
- 6'Heart Of The Beast' Rotten Tomatoes Reviews Cheer Brad Pitt...yahoo.com
- 7September 25, 2026: Heart of the Beast · Rotten Tomatoes score Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
10. How do the Tomatometer scores for Brad Pitt's starring roles since 2015 compare with those of co-star J.K. Simmons over the same period?
| Brad Pitt Average Tomatometer Score | 64.2% (approximate) [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| J.K. Simmons Average Tomatometer Score | 49.5% [3] |
| Brad Pitt Median Tomatometer Score | 62% [1][2][3] |
Sources (8)
- 1Brad Pitt Movies Ranked by Tomatometer | Rotten Tomatoeseditorial.rottentomatoes.com
- 2Heart of the Beast | Rotten Tomatoesrottentomatoes.com
- 3The Essentials: J.K. Simmons Looks Back on His Most Celebrated Roles | Rotten Tomatoeseditorial.rottentomatoes.com
- 4By the Sea (2015) | Rotten Tomatoesrottentomatoes.com
- 5The Bachelors (2017) | Rotten Tomatoesrottentomatoes.com
- 6All Nighter (2017) | Rotten Tomatoesrottentomatoes.com
- 7Brad Pitt & David Ayer's First Team-Up in 12 Years Scores a Huge...cbr.com
- 8'Heart Of The Beast' Rotten Tomatoes Reviews Cheer Brad Pitt...forbes.com
11. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: October 05, 2026
- Closes: September 28, 2026
Sources (16)
- 1Heart of the Beast | Rotten Tomatoesrottentomatoes.com
- 2Brad Pitt & David Ayer's First Team-Up in 12 Years Scores a Huge Rotten Tomatoes Win Days Before Releasecbr.com
- 3Heart of the Beast · Rotten Tomatoes score Odds & Predictions - Kalshikalshi.com
- 4Heart of the Beast · Rotten Tomatoes score - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 5"Heart of the Beast" Rotten Tomatoes Score? - Compare Polymarket vs Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 6Heart of the Beast · Rotten Tomatoes score Culture Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 7Heart of the Beast Rotten Tomatoes score?… | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
- 8Heart of the Beast | Cast and Crew | Rotten Tomatoesrottentomatoes.com
- 9Heart Of The Beast | Official Website | September 25 2026heartofthebeastmovie.com
- 10HEART OF THE BEAST Global Premiere Footage Availablebroadwayworld.com
- 11Heart of the Beast - Box Office Mojoboxofficemojo.com
- 12Heart of the Beast (2026) - Release info - IMDbimdb.com
- 13Heart of the Beast - Box Office Mojoboxofficemojo.com
- 14'Heart Of The Beast' Review: Brad Pitt And His Dog Survival Storydeadline.com
- 15Paramount Brokers 'Compromise Cut' for Heart of the Beast After Ayer-Pitt Disputeasumetech.com
- 16Heart of the Beast Box Office Prediction – All My Life… I Wanted To Be A Blogstertoddmthatcher.com
13. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 11 resolved YES, 9 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXRT-RES-98: NO (Sep 21, 2026)
- KXRT-RES-96: NO (Sep 21, 2026)
- KXRT-RES-94: YES (Sep 21, 2026)
- KXRT-RES-93: YES (Sep 21, 2026)
- KXRT-RES-95: NO (Sep 21, 2026)