Above 95
Market Model 1.0% 0.8%
Above 10
Market Model 99.0% 98.9%
Video games Markets
Active Markets (5)
Blinding Lights
Market Model 48.0% 35.2%
Despacito
Market Model 30.0% 17.8%
Before 2027
Market Model 91.0% 100.0%
Before November 2026
Market Model 5.0% 0.0%
Half-Life 3
Market Model 21.0% 10.8%
Squadron 42
Market Model 68.0% 58.5%
2026 Game of the Year? Kalshi
Crimson Desert
Market Model 8.0% 8.3%
Grand Theft Auto VI
Market Model 47.0% 39.3%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONTROL Resonant: Metacritic score Top outcome: Above 95 | 1.0% | 0.8% | High | 70 | Refresh |
| Grand Theft Auto VI: Songs on radio at launch Top outcome: Blinding Lights | 48.0% | 35.2% | Med | 61 | Refresh |
| Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date Top outcome: Before 2027 | 91.0% | 100.0% | High | 75 | Refresh |
| Which video games will release this year? Top outcome: Half-Life 3 | 21.0% | 10.8% | Med | 71 | Refresh |
| 2026 Game of the Year? Top outcome: Crimson Desert | 8.0% | 8.3% | High | 79 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (2)
Yes
Market Model — —
More than $80
Market Model 1.0% 0.0%
More than $70
Market Model 99.0% 100.0%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | — | ||
| Grand Theft Auto VI: PS5 price Top outcome: More than $80 | 1.0% | 0.0% | High | — |
