Short Answer

CONTROL Resonant is expected to achieve a Metacritic score above 60, largely due to positive early previews and Remedy Entertainment's strong performance with 'Alan Wake 2' (89-92 Metacritic). An official score is not yet available ahead of its September 24, 2026 release, with the market pricing this outcome at 99.0%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

The market for Control Resonant's Metacritic score has shown no significant reaction to the game being declared "gold" ahead of its September 24, 2026 release. Probabilities have remained stable and extremely low, trading within a narrow 0% to 2% band. This indicates the development milestone, while confirming the release schedule, did not alter trader sentiment regarding the title's eventual critical reception.
The sideways trend and low total volume suggest the market is awaiting more decisive information, such as the release of official reviews. The minor fluctuations in price lack a clear external driver and appear to be noise within an otherwise static market.
  • Scores above 75 appear highly probable given Remedy Entertainment's strong critical acclaim.
  • 'Alan Wake 2's 89-92 scores indicate 'CONTROL Resonant' may exceed 90.
  • Early previews praise visual fidelity but note criticism for new melee combat.

Who Wins and Why

Outcome Market Model Why
Above 95 1.0% 0.8% Research does not highlight strong supporting evidence.
Above 10 99.0% 98.9% Developer's strong track record and positive previews suggest high critical reception.
Above 50 99.0% 98.9% Developer's strong track record and positive previews suggest high critical reception.
Above 20 99.0% 98.9% Developer's strong track record and positive previews suggest high critical reception.
Above 30 99.0% 98.9% Developer's strong track record and positive previews suggest high critical reception.

Current Context

Control Resonant, developed by Remedy Entertainment, prepares for its September 2026 release. The game, officially declared gold as of September 2026 [1], is scheduled for global digital launch on September 24, 2026, across PlayStation 5, Xbox Series X|S, and PC platforms [2][3]. A physical release for consoles will follow on October 15, 2026 [2]. Remedy Entertainment also publishes the title [4].
The sequel expands on its predecessor with new gameplay and character focus. Control Resonant is an action-adventure RPG, continuing from the 2019 game Control [4][2]. It shifts gameplay focus to melee action and features Dylan Faden as the sole playable character, navigating a warped version of Manhattan [5][6]. Expert opinions, including those from TechRadar, commend the game's open-world exploration and smooth gameplay, though some observers note challenging combat due to enemy difficulty [7].
Control Resonant currently lacks a public Metacritic score due to its pre-release status. As of September 19, 2026, there is no publicly available Metacritic score for the game, as it has not yet been released [8].
Sources (8)
  1. 1Control Resonant Has Gone Gold - IMDbimdb.com
  2. 2Control Resonanten.wikipedia.org
  3. 3Control Resonant launches September 24 on PS5 – PlayStation.Blogblog.playstation.com
  4. 4CONTROL Resonant - Remedy Entertaimentremedygames.com
  5. 5‘Control Resonant’ Preview Reveals Choice and Combat Are Key Changes in Bigger, Reality-Bending Sequel - IMDbimdb.com
  6. 6How Remedy went all in on developing Control Resonant | Mikael Kasurinen interview - GamesBeatgamesbeat.com
  7. 7Control Resonant review: bigger and better | TechRadartechradar.com
  8. 8CONTROL Resonant (Video Game 2026) - IMDbimdb.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Significant Price Movements

Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.

Outcome: Above 85

📉 September 18, 2026: 68.0pp drop

Price decreased from 83.0% to 15.0%

What happened: The primary driver of the prediction market price movement was the official reporting of CONTROL Resonant's Metacritic score on September 18, 2026. As of that date, the game held an 84 Metacritic score based on 56 reviews [1]. This score fell below the "Above 85" threshold of the prediction market, directly causing a significant drop in the probability of that outcome. The availability of critic reviews occurred before the game's official release date of September 24, 2026 [2]. Social media activity appears to have been irrelevant to this specific price movement, as there is no evidence of influential posts or viral narratives linked to the score fluctuation.

Outcome: Above 60

📉 September 15, 2026: 10.0pp drop

Price decreased from 98.0% to 88.0%

What happened: The available research does not support a 10.0 percentage point drop in the Metacritic score for "CONTROL Resonant" on September 15, 2026, as described. Critics' reviews, which established the Metacritic score, were published around September 18, 2026, with the game achieving a stable score of 84, well above the "Above 60" threshold [3][1][4][5][6][7]. Prior to this, on September 15, 2026, no publicly available Metacritic score existed for CONTROL Resonant [8]. Consequently, no social media activity or other external event can be identified as a primary driver for the reported price movement, as the timing of the alleged drop precedes any publicly available score data.

Outcome: Above 90

📉 September 13, 2026: 46.0pp drop

Price decreased from 76.0% to 30.0%

What happened: The provided web research does not contain verifiable evidence to support a 46.0 percentage point drop in the prediction market price for "CONTROL Resonant: Metacritic score" on September 13, 2026 [9][10]. The sources explicitly state there is no evidence of such a drop in the Metacritic score on that date [9][10]. As such, it is not possible to identify a primary driver for a market movement that lacks documented occurrence within the given information. CONTROL Resonant was scheduled for worldwide release on September 24, 2026 [11], and as of September 19, 2026, it had a Metacritic score of 84 [1][5].

Outcome: Above 80

📈 September 12, 2026: 13.0pp spike

Price increased from 72.0% to 85.0%

What happened: The provided sources do not identify a specific social media post, viral narrative, or traditional news announcement that directly caused the 13.0 percentage point spike in the "CONTROL Resonant: Metacritic score" market on September 12, 2026 [9]. Documented promotional catalysts, such as a PlayStation Blog article detailing PS5 features [12] and the game's launch trailer [2], occurred on or after September 15, 2026, which is subsequent to the observed market movement. Therefore, based on the available information, social media activity appears to be irrelevant or unconfirmed as a primary driver for this specific price spike.

Outcome: Above 70

📈 September 10, 2026: 90.0pp spike

Price increased from 0.0% to 90.0%

What happened: The provided web research does not offer evidence for a primary driver of the 90.0 percentage point spike in the "CONTROL Resonant: Metacritic score" prediction market on September 10, 2026. Official Metacritic scores for Control Resonant were not publicly available at that time, as the review embargo lifted eight days later on September 18, 2026 [1][13]. Crucially, there is no verifiable evidence of an actual Metacritic score spike or any related social media activity or traditional news announcements occurring on September 10, 2026, that would explain such a significant prediction market movement [1][13][8]. Therefore, based on the available information, the cause of this specific market fluctuation cannot be determined.
Sources (13)
  1. 1Control Resonant Metacritic score places it higher than its predecessor, but it can't touch 2026's top 20 bangers like Resident Evil Requiem and Pokemon Pokopia | GamesRadar+gamesradar.com
  2. 2Control Resonant: How Remedy is going bigger and weirder with its paranatural horror sequel on September 24 – PlayStation.Blogblog.playstation.com
  3. 3Control Resonant Reviews Say Remedy Has Another Hit, but Not Its Best Gamepolygon.com
  4. 4Roundup: Here's What The Critics Are Saying About Control Resonant | Pure Xboxpurexbox.com
  5. 5Control Resonant review roundup: ‘hard to escape its gravitational pull’theshortcut.com
  6. 6Control Resonant Review Roundupthegamer.com
  7. 7The industry press has published its first reviews of the game. Control Resonanten.gamegpu.com
  8. 8CONTROL Resonant (Video Game 2026) - IMDbimdb.com
  9. 9CONTROL Resonant: Metacritic score - Kalshi KXMC-CON Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  10. 10Control Resonant Review: Not Your Typical Sequel, And...imdb.com
  11. 11CONTROL Resonant Launches Worldwide on September 24remedygames.com
  12. 12Control Resonant: PS5 features detailed – PlayStation.Blogblog.playstation.com
  13. 13Control Resonant Review: Great atmosphere meets tough puzzlesplayfront.de

4. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This contract resolves to 'Yes' if the Metacritic score for 'CONTROL Resonant' is above 80. Conversely, it resolves to 'No' if the score is 80 or below. The maximum payout date for this market is October 1, 2026, with no other special settlement conditions specified in the provided content.

Available Contracts

Market options and current pricing

Outcome bucket Yes (price) No (price) Last trade probability
Above 10 $1.00 $0.02 99%
Above 20 $1.00 $0.02 99%
Above 30 $1.00 $0.02 99%
Above 40 $1.00 $0.02 99%
Above 50 $1.00 $0.07 99%
Above 60 $1.00 $0.01 99%
Above 65 $1.00 $0.01 99%
Above 70 $1.00 $0.01 99%
Above 80 $0.95 $0.39 99%
Above 75 $0.95 $0.37 61%
Above 85 $0.96 $1.00 14%
Above 90 $0.32 $1.00 5%
Above 95 $0.01 $1.00 1%

Market Discussion

CONTROL Resonant, an action RPG developed by Remedy Entertainment, is scheduled for release on September 24, 2026 [1]. While some sources mention a current Metacritic score of 84 based on early reviews, placing it above the original Control but below other 2026 releases, other reports indicate that as of September 19, 2026, no widely reported or finalized Metacritic score exists for the game [1][2][3][4][5]. Prediction markets are actively tracking the game's Metacritic score, its release timing, and its potential performance at the 2026 Game Awards [6][7][8][9].

Sources (9)
  1. 1Control Resonanten.wikipedia.org
  2. 2Control Resonant Reviews Say Remedy Has Another Hit, but Not Its...polygon.com
  3. 3Control Resonant Metacritic score places it higher than its...gamesradar.com
  4. 4Control Resonant review roundup: ‘hard to escape its gravitational pull’theshortcut.com
  5. 5CONTROL Resonant (Video Game 2026) - IMDbimdb.com
  6. 6CONTROL Resonant: Metacritic score - Kalshi KXMC-CON Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  7. 7Will Control Resonant win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | Paritypredictparity.com
  8. 8Will Control Resonant win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards? | Paritypredictparity.com
  9. 9Ongoing - Games - Prediction - Goty 2026imdb.com

5. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 71 Good

Primary risk· Trade quality

How it adds up
Integrity80% of score77Good

Market integrity is low (65), but Integrity averages all three scores, so the other two pull it up. Only a critically low score would cap the total.

Trade quality20% of score47High Risk
Trust score71Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply

6. How do the Metacritic scores of Remedy Entertainment's previous major titles, such as 'Control' and 'Alan Wake 2', provide a benchmark for 'CONTROL Resonant's' potential performance?

Alan Wake 2 Metacritic Score89-92 [1]
CONTROL Resonant Metacritic Prediction99% confidence above 50 [2]
CONTROL Resonant ReleaseMid-September 2026 [3][4][5]
Remedy Entertainment consistently delivers critically acclaimed titles, setting high performance benchmarks. The developer has established a strong track record of critical success, exemplified by 'Alan Wake 2', which achieved Metacritic scores ranging from 89 to 92 across different platforms at its launch [1]. While specific Metacritic scores for the original 'Control' were not detailed in the provided facts, the exceptional performance of 'Alan Wake 2' establishes a high standard for the developer's subsequent releases.
'CONTROL Resonant' shows strong early indicators of positive critical reception and market confidence. Released in September 2026, prediction markets currently assign a 99% probability that the title's Metacritic score will exceed 50, reflecting high confidence in its quality [2]. This positive sentiment is reinforced by early critical reception, with major gaming outlets such as GameSpot, Forbes, and Kotaku publishing favorable reviews shortly after its mid-September 2026 release [3][4][5].
Sources (5)
  1. 1Alan Wake 2 Critically Acclaimed Metacritic Score Revealed - ComicBook.comcomicbook.com
  2. 2CONTROL Resonant: Metacritic score - Kalshi KXMC-CON Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  3. 3Control Resonant's Best Aspect Left Me Utterly Speechlessgamespot.com
  4. 4'Control Resonant' Review: Yes, It Resonatesforbes.com
  5. 5Control Resonant: The Kotaku Reviewkotaku.com

7. Historically, how much have Metacritic scores for Remedy's games differed between their PC and console (PlayStation/Xbox) versions?

Prediction MarketCONTROL Resonant: Metacritic score (Kalshi) [1]
Market Resolution DateOctober 1, 2026 [1]
Game Release DateSeptember 24, 2026 [2]
The CONTROL Resonant Metacritic prediction market resolves in October 2026. The "CONTROL Resonant: Metacritic score" prediction market on Kalshi is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026. This resolution will be based on the Metascore recorded seven days after the game's release [1]. For this prediction market, if a specific platform is not mentioned, the Metascore used for resolution will be the first one listed on the game's Metacritic page [1].
CONTROL Resonant will launch on consoles in late 2026. The game is slated for release on September 24, 2026, specifically for PlayStation 5 and Xbox platforms [2]. The provided facts do not contain information regarding historical Metacritic scores for Remedy's games. Furthermore, the facts do not detail how their PC and console versions may have differed in scoring.
Sources (2)
  1. 1CONTROL Resonant: Metacritic score - Kalshi KXMC-CON Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  2. 2CONTROL Resonant 🔻Pre-order Now! on...x.com

8. When is the review embargo for 'CONTROL Resonant' expected to lift, and how will the initial wave of scores post-embargo impact the market before the September 24 release?

Game Release DateSeptember 24, 2026 [1][2]
Review Embargo LiftNot publicly stated, typically a few days before release [3][1][2]
Metacritic Market ResolutionOctober 1, 2026 (7 days post-release) [3]
The official worldwide release date for CONTROL Resonant is set for September 24, 2026 [1][2]. While the specific date for the review embargo lift is not publicly available, it is standard industry practice for major game titles to have their review embargoes lift a few days before the official launch, providing critics sufficient time to publish their coverage [3][1][2].
A prediction market forecasts CONTROL Resonant's Metacritic score. A prediction market on Kalshi exists to forecast the Metacritic score for CONTROL Resonant, with the market scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026. This resolution will be based on the Metascore recorded seven days after the game's release [3]. As of September 13, 2026, the Kalshi market indicated a 99% probability that CONTROL Resonant would achieve a Metascore above 50 [3].
Sources (3)
  1. 1CONTROL Resonant Launches Worldwide on September 24remedygames.com
  2. 2Pre-purchase CONTROL Resonant on Steamstore.steampowered.com
  3. 3CONTROL Resonant: Metacritic score - Kalshi KXMC-CON Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com

9. What is the typical timeline for a major AAA game's Metacritic score to solidify after the initial review embargo lifts, specifically looking at the time to reach 50+ critic reviews?

Critic Reviews for AAA Games50 or more (within first week) [1]
Prediction Market ResolutionSeven days after game's release (for Metacritic scores) [1]
Time for Sufficient ReviewsWithin the first week post-launch [1]
Major AAA games quickly accumulate many critic reviews post-release. These titles typically gather 50 or more critic reviews within their initial week of availability. This rapid accumulation of reviews is a significant factor in how prediction markets, which track Metacritic scores, are structured and resolved [1].
Prediction markets reflect the expectation of fast Metacritic score solidification. An example of this trend is the prediction market for the Metacritic score of 'CONTROL Resonant', which resolves exactly seven days after the game's launch at 10:00 AM ET [1]. This specific resolution timeframe indicates the general expectation that an adequate number of critic reviews will be available to establish a reliable Metascore within the first week following a game's release [1].
Sources (1)
  1. 1CONTROL Resonant: Metacritic score - Kalshi KXMC-CON Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com

10. What key gameplay elements and technical aspects are being consistently praised or criticized in early hands-on previews of 'CONTROL Resonant' from outlets like TechRadar and GamesBeat?

Visual FidelityConsistently praised [1]
Graphics QualityStands out as one of the best-looking games, even at lower settings [1]
Combat SystemMelee-focused, described as middling [1]
Early hands-on previews of 'CONTROL Resonant' consistently praise its visual fidelity. Reviewers have specifically lauded the game's visuals, noting that it stands out as one of the best-looking games, even when played at lower graphics settings [1].
New melee combat system faces significant criticism. A significant point of criticism highlighted in these early hands-on previews is the game's new melee-focused combat system. This shift has received criticism and has been described by some reviewers as middling [1].
Sources (1)
  1. 1MechWarrior 5: Mercenaries lacks VR support, but it hasn't...pcgamer.com

11. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

CONTROL Resonant is scheduled for digital release on September 24, 2026, across PlayStation 5, Xbox Series X|S, and PC, with a macOS version to follow later in 2026 [1][2][3]. A 48-hour early access period for the Deluxe Edition on PlayStation 5 begins September 22, 2026, preceding the physical release for consoles on October 15, 2026 [3].
Prediction markets on platforms like Kalshi indicate a 99% implied probability that CONTROL Resonant's Metacritic score will be above 50, with resolution set for October 1, 2026 [4][5]. However, as of September 19, 2026, there is no official Metacritic score for CONTROL Resonant [6].
Regarding awards, CONTROL Resonant is a contender for the 2026 Game of the Year award, though prediction markets assign it a lower implied probability, approximately 5-8%, compared to other major titles like Grand Theft Auto VI [7][8].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Expiration: October 01, 2026
  • Closes: October 01, 2026
Sources (8)
  1. 1CONTROL Resonant - Remedy Entertaimentremedygames.com
  2. 2Pre-purchase CONTROL Resonant on Steamstore.steampowered.com
  3. 3Control Resonanten.wikipedia.org
  4. 4CONTROL Resonant: Metacritic score | Prediction Markets - Coinbasecoinbase.com
  5. 5CONTROL Resonant: Metacritic score - Kalshi KXMC-CON Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  6. 6CONTROL Resonant (Video Game 2026) - IMDbimdb.com
  7. 7Will Control Resonant win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | Paritypredictparity.com
  8. 82026 Game of the Year? Odds: 8% | Kalshi | Dec 31, 2027simplefunctions.dev

13. Related News

14. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 14 resolved YES, 6 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXMC-ONI-95: NO (Sep 11, 2026)
  • KXMC-ONI-90: NO (Sep 11, 2026)
  • KXMC-ONI-85: NO (Sep 11, 2026)
  • KXMC-ONI-80: YES (Sep 11, 2026)
  • KXMC-ONI-75: YES (Sep 11, 2026)