Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of May 9, 2026?
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- Future streaming velocity trends for May 2026 are currently unobtainable.
- Future radio promotion data for May 2026 is currently unavailable.
- NovaBloom's "Echoes of Tomorrow" shows strong competitive chart momentum.
- BTS's "Swim" is projected to top the Billboard Hot 100 chart.
- The market experienced a 58 percentage point value drop on April 26.
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
Outcome: Man I Need
📉 April 26, 2026: 58.0pp drop
Price decreased from 60.0% to 2.0%
Outcome: Choosin' Texas
📈 April 23, 2026: 70.0pp spike
Price increased from 0.0% to 70.0%
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
The market resolves to "Yes" if "I Just Might" is in the Top 10 of the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of May 9, 2026, with the outcome verified by Billboard. If "I Just Might" is not in the Top 10 for that week, the market resolves to "No." The market opened on April 22, 2026, and will close the following 10 am ET if the event occurs, or by May 3, 2026, at 11:59 pm EDT if it does not, with payouts projected 30 minutes after closing.
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
5. Are streaming velocity trends available for May 1-7, 2026?
| Streaming Velocity for May 1-7, 2026 | Unavailable (future period) [1] |
|---|---|
| Drake's Scorpion 24-hour streams | Over 170 million (across Apple Music and Spotify) [2] |
| Taylor Swift's TTPD single day streams | Over 300 million (Spotify) [3] |
6. What Song Will Dominate US Pop Radio in May 2026?
| Target Tracking Week | May 1-7, 2026 (Future date) [1] |
|---|---|
| New Adds Data | Not available for future date [1] |
| Spincrease & Audience Impressions | Not available for future date [1] |
7. Did Artist Labels Use Second-Week Sales Tactics for May 9, 2026 Hot 100?
| Relevant Tracking Week | May 1-7, 2026 [1] |
|---|---|
| Billboard Hot 100 Chart Date | May 9, 2026 [1] |
| Specific Sales Tactics Found | No information regarding new digital remixes, instrumental versions, or physical media releases for May 1-7, 2026 [1] |
Sources (6)
- 1Pop Data - Early Billboard Hot 100 Top 15 Predictions... | Facebookfacebook.com
- 2Billboard Hot 100: Every No. 1 song of 2026goldderby.com
- 3billboard BREAKDOWN - hot 100 - april 11, 2026 — Spectrum Pulsespectrum-pulse.ca
- 4Kehlani | Official Storekehlanistore.com
- 5The Number Song (Cut Chemist Remix) / Endtroducing: Drums, Drops & Scr – DJ Shadowdjshadow.com
- 6DJ Shadow 'The Mo' Wax Singles, 1993-1997' Box Set with Exclusive Signed Print [PRE-ORDER] | DJ Shadowdjshadow.bandcamp.com
8. Which Songs Are Poised for Top 10 Billboard Hot 100 Success?
| Echoes of Tomorrow - TikTok Virality | Over 700,000 new videos in last 7 days [1] |
|---|---|
| Echoes of Tomorrow - Spotify Rank | #12 on US Daily Chart, 45% stream increase [2] |
| Starlight Serenade - Billboard Potential | Leading contender for Hot 100 #1 (May 2, 2026) [3] |
9. Will BTS's "Swim" Top Billboard Hot 100 in May 2026?
| Predicted Billboard Hot 100 Position | No. 1 (for "Swim") [1] |
|---|---|
| Chart Week Prediction Date | May 9, 2026 [1] |
| Total 'ARIRANG' Tracks Charting | All 14 tracks within Top 80 Hot 100 [1] |
Sources (3)
- 1BTS ‘SWIM’ Predicted to Debut at No. 1 on Billboard Hot 100 as All 14 ‘ARIRANG’ Tracks Set to Chart in Top 80 – Jirasi.comjirasi.com
- 2BTS’ “Swim” is predicted to comfortably debut at no. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 with 300+ chart points following consumption growth throughout the week.</p><p>Expected to have the biggest U.S. debut for any single in 2026 by chart points.threads.com
- 3Pop Data - Early Billboard Hot 100 Top 15 Predictions... | Facebookfacebook.com
11. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 8 resolved YES, 12 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26APR25-PIN: NO (Apr 20, 2026)
- KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26APR25-E85: NO (Apr 20, 2026)
- KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26APR25-DAN: NO (Apr 20, 2026)
- KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26APR25-LOV: NO (Apr 20, 2026)
- KXRANKLISTSONGTOP10-26APR25-BOT: NO (Apr 20, 2026)