When will Young Thug and Gunna make a song together?
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- Young Thug explicitly communicated feelings of betrayal towards Gunna.
- YSL has publicly distanced itself from Gunna, creating collaboration obstacles.
- Young Thug's ongoing YSL RICO trial lacks a definitive timeline.
- Gunna's recent album "The Last Wun" signals his YSL departure.
- Significant reconciliation is required to overcome current collaboration obstacles.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2027 | 26.0% | 15.4% | Young Thug's betrayal feelings, ongoing trial, and YSL's distancing make near-term collaboration very unlikely. |
| Before 2028 | 45.0% | 28.4% | Significant reconciliation is needed to overcome Young Thug's betrayal and his ongoing legal challenges. |
| Before 2029 | 40.0% | 28.4% | Overcoming Young Thug's betrayal, his trial, and YSL's distancing requires substantial time and effort. |
| Before 2030 | 57.0% | 38.5% | A collaboration requires substantial reconciliation to overcome legal and personal obstacles from the trial. |
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves to YES if Young Thug and Gunna release a song together between September 30, 2025, and January 1, 2030, verifiable by a specified list of music and media sources. If no such song is released within this timeframe, the market resolves to NO. The market closes early upon the event's occurrence, or otherwise by January 1, 2030, at 10:00 am EST.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2027 | $0.36 | $0.74 | 26% |
| Before 2028 | $0.45 | $0.65 | 45% |
| Before 2029 | $0.50 | $0.60 | 40% |
| Before 2030 | $0.56 | $0.54 | 57% |
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
4. Trust Index
Order book is critically thin.
Primary risk· Trade quality
Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.
Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index
5. What is Young Thug's Inner Circle Sentiment Towards Gunna?
| Young Thug's Stance | Explicitly expressed feelings of betrayal [1] |
|---|---|
| Young Thug's Association | Cannot be around Gunna due to situation [2] |
| YSL Records Action | Removed all references to Gunna from Instagram [3] |
6. What is the commercial impact of Gunna and Young Thug's albums, and reunion efforts?
| Gunna Album Debut | No. 3 on the Billboard 200 with 74,000 equivalent album units [1] |
|---|---|
| Young Thug Album Debut | No. 2 on the Billboard 200 with 89,000 equivalent album units [2] |
| Label Reunion Effort | 300 Entertainment CEO Kevin Liles desires reconciliation, but Young Thug rejected it [3] |
Sources (6)
- 1Gunna's 'A Gift & a Curse' Is No. 1 on Top R&B/Hip-Hop Albums Chartbillboard.com
- 2Young Thug's 'Business Is Business' Is No. 1 on Top R&B/Hip-Hop Albumsbillboard.com
- 3Kevin Liles Talks Young Thug and Gunna's Relationship, Rap Lyricsxxlmag.com
- 4A Gift & a Curse - Wikipediaen.wikipedia.com
- 5Young Thug Officially Rejects Gunna Reunionballeralert.com
- 6Gunna Clarifies Relationship With Young Thug's YSL Label Following Controversial Plea Deal - HipHopDXhiphopdx.com
7. What is the Latest Update on Young Thug's YSL RICO Trial?
| Young Thug's Plea Status | Trial ongoing; no plea deal taken [1] |
|---|---|
| Gunna's Plea Status | Entered Alford plea and released (December 2022) [2] |
| Young Thug Trial Timeline | No definitive resolution timeline provided [3] |
Sources (6)
- 1Young Thug to Walk Free After Guilty Plea in Georgia RICO Casemensjournal.com
- 2Gunna Takes Plea in YSL Gang Case, Will Be Released From Jailrollingstone.com
- 3Young Thug's YSL RICO Trial: A Timeline of Eventsbillboard.com
- 4YSL Records racketeering trialen.wikipedia.org
- 5Gunna Pleads Guilty, to Be Released — Says He Won't Flip on Young Thugbillboard.com
- 6Young Thug Allowed To Collab With Gunna After Request In Plea Dealyahoo.com
8. Is Gunna Moving Toward Independence From YSL?
| Album Status | "The Last Wun" characterized as "final YSL album" [1] |
|---|---|
| New Collaborations | Confirmed joint album with Offset [2] |
| Independent Touring | Announced global "Wun World Tour" for 2025/2026 [3] |
Sources (6)
- 1Gunna makes statement with final YSL album 'The Last Wun'revolt.tv
- 2The Source |Gunna Confirms Joint Album With Offset: “It’s Already In The Works”thesource.com
- 3Gunna Announces Dates for 2025/2026 Wun World Tour Global Outingbillboard.com
- 4The Last Wunen.wikipedia.org
- 5Gunna Closes YSL Chapter With "The Last Wun"allhiphop.com
- 6Gunna Is All Alone and Feeling the Pressure on 'The Last Wun'au.rollingstone.com
9. What Are Key Indicators for Young Thug and Gunna's Reconciliation?
| 21 Savage's Mediation Role | Actively attempting to mediate between Young Thug and Gunna, previously resolved Young Thug/YFN Lucci feud [1]. |
|---|---|
| Young Thug's Father's Efforts | Reportedly attempted to mediate the dispute [1]. |
| Strongest Reconciliation Signal | Release of a new track featuring both artists, joint public appearance, or direct co-sign from Young Thug [2]. |
Sources (5)
- 121 Savage & Young Thug’s Dad Try To Mediate His Beef With Gunnarap-up.com
- 2Artist credit “21 Savage & Gunna feat. Young Thug” - MusicBrainzmusicbrainz.org
- 321 Savage Shares Conflicted Thoughts On Young Thug & Gunna Beefhotnewhiphop.com
- 421 Savage Helped Young Thug & YFN Lucci End Their Beefhotnewhiphop.com
- 5Young Thug Removes Gunna Diss From Lil Baby Collabhotnewhiphop.com