DANDELION
Market Model 1.0% 1.4%
The Art of Loving
Market Model 3.0% 3.4%
Topic tracker · Entertainment
Billboard Top 200 #1
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (1 live, 1 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Billboard Top 200 #1 markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated October 26, 2026
Live market
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Apr 18, 2026? | April 13, 2026 | 72.9% vs 99.0% | Report → |
