Above 1725
Market Model 90.0% 90.0%
Above 1750
Market Model 87.0% 87.1%
Topic tracker · Financials
Figma KPI
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (1 live, 1 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Figma KPI markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated August 6, 2026
Live market
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Figma paid customers >$100k arr in Q2 | August 5, 2026 | — | Report → |
