Topic tracker · Commodities
WTI oil on day
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 7 so far (0 live, 7 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new WTI oil on day markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated July 8, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil Price (WTI) on Jul 8, 2026? | July 8, 2026 | 99.3% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| Oil Price (WTI) on May 1, 2026? | May 1, 2026 | 83.2% vs 89.0% | Report → |
| Oil Price (WTI) on Apr 20, 2026? | April 20, 2026 | 98.7% vs 97.0% | Report → |
| Oil Price (WTI) on Apr 16, 2026? | April 16, 2026 | 99.3% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| Oil Price (WTI) on Apr 14, 2026? | April 14, 2026 | 96.3% vs 95.0% | Report → |
| Oil Price (WTI) on Apr 13, 2026? | April 13, 2026 | 97.0% vs 95.0% | Report → |
| WTI oil price on Mar 26, 2026? | March 26, 2026 | 98.5% vs 98.0% | Report → |
