Topic tracker · Commodities

WTI oil weekly range

Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 6 so far (0 live, 6 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new WTI oil weekly range markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.

Last updated May 5, 2026

Series history

Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.

MarketClosedModel vs marketActions
Oil Price (WTI) on May 8, 2026? May 8, 2026 10.2% vs 24.0%
Oil Price (WTI) on Apr 17, 2026? April 17, 2026 35.1% vs 44.0%
Oil price (WTI) on Apr 10, 2026? April 10, 2026 73.4% vs 78.0%
WTI oil price on Mar 20, 2026? March 20, 2026 10.5% vs 18.0%
WTI oil price on Feb 20, 2026? February 20, 2026 28.0% vs 42.5%
WTI oil price on Feb 13, 2026? February 13, 2026 0.5% vs 3.0%