Before May 1, 2027
Market Model 32.0% 27.0%
Before Oct 1, 2026
Market Model 8.0% 4.0%
M&A Markets
IPO Tracker Companies preparing to go public, with the market's view on timing.Active Markets (4)
Paramount
Market Model 65.0% 52.5%
Netflix
Market Model 4.0% 4.1%
OpenAI
Market Model 3.0% 19.9%
Meta
Market Model 2.0% 13.4%
Spirit Airlines
Market Model 6.0% 2.2%
Anduril
Market Model 32.0% 19.5%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? Top outcome: Before May 1, 2027 | 32.0% | 27.0% | High | 71 | Refresh |
| Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers? Top outcome: Paramount | 65.0% | 52.5% | High | 83 | Refresh |
| Who will acquire Pinterest this year? Top outcome: OpenAI | 3.0% | 19.9% | High | 59 | Refresh |
| Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? Top outcome: Spirit Airlines | 6.0% | 2.2% | Med | 72 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (1)
Before Oct 1, 2026
Market Model 70.0% 45.8%
Before Apr 1, 2027
Market Model 91.0% 78.2%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| When will EA's take-private acquisition close? Top outcome: Before Oct 1, 2026 | 70.0% | 45.8% | High | — |
