Above 228
Market Model 9.0% 11.7%
Above 220
Market Model 15.0% 52.7%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in 2026 Top outcome: Above 228 | 9.0% | 11.7% | High | $177.08 | Refresh |
Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in Q2 Top outcome: Above 194 | 68.0% | 60.0% | High | $605.17 | Refresh |
Clear+ members in Q2 Top outcome: Above 8.6 million | 15.0% | 8.6% | High | $34,958.79 | Refresh |
Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3% | 99.0% | 98.8% | High | $6,911.77 | Refresh |
Wyndham Hotels total rooms in Q2 Top outcome: Above 885 thousand | 13.0% | 8.0% | High | $4,491.74 | Refresh |
Wendy's US same-restaurant sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above -2.5% | 1.0% | 4.7% | High | $22,403.09 | Refresh |
Urban Outfitters total stores in Q2 Top outcome: Above 818 | 5.0% | 2.5% | High | $1,300.99 | Refresh |
Ulta transactions growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 2% | 20.0% | 15.4% | High | $8,736.32 | Refresh |
Uber Trips in Q2? Top outcome: above 3.75 billion | 96.0% | 95.5% | High | $77,076.61 | Refresh |
United Airlines passengers in Q2 Top outcome: Above 47 million | 92.0% | 83.8% | High | $44,050.12 | Refresh |
Tesla total deliveries in Q3 Top outcome: Above 485000 | 44.0% | 38.9% | Med | $202.37 | Refresh |
Toast total locations in 2026 Top outcome: Above 198 thousand | 30.0% | 28.5% | High | $13,953.5 | Refresh |
Toll Brothers delivered homes in Q3 Top outcome: Above 2600 | 82.0% | 83.3% | High | $5,805.52 | Refresh |
Target transactions change in Q2 Top outcome: Above 5% | 8.0% | 4.0% | High | $2,678.47 | Refresh |
How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026? Top outcome: Above 1000 | 50.0% | 47.6% | High | $134,489.54 | Refresh |
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? Top outcome: Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter | 97.0% | 96.5% | High | $30,888.61 | Refresh |
How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year? Top outcome: Above 500000 in a single quarter | 53.0% | 50.4% | High | $97,823.31 | Refresh |
Will NYC subway ridership reach its pre-Covid average? Top outcome: 4.19 million | 57.0% | 27.1% | High | $12,596.38 | Refresh |
Constellation Brands Beer Shipments in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 430 million | 7.0% | 3.2% | High | $6.04 | Refresh |
Constellation Brands total beer shipments in Q2 Top outcome: Above 124 million | 16.0% | 9.3% | High | $344.2 | Refresh |
Spotify monthly active users in Q2 Top outcome: Above 780 million | 42.0% | 46.1% | High | $17,596.27 | Refresh |
Spotify headcount in Q2 Top outcome: Above 7250 | 71.0% | 47.0% | High | $3,785.13 | Refresh |
Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in Q2 2027 Top outcome: Above 835 | 45.0% | 43.0% | High | $8,522.44 | Refresh |
Snap daily active users in Q2 Top outcome: Above 492 million | 27.0% | 16.0% | High | $15,347.07 | Refresh |
Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q2 Top outcome: Above $116 billion | 48.0% | 18.0% | High | $10,973.72 | Refresh |
Sweetgreen profit margin in Q2 Top outcome: Above 16% | 27.0% | 31.5% | High | $66,994.56 | Refresh |
Sea Garena paying users in Q2 Top outcome: Above 60 million | 96.0% | 98.8% | High | $13,055.1 | Refresh |
Charles Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts in 2026 Top outcome: Above 41.8 million | 7.0% | 17.0% | High | $1 | Refresh |
Charles Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts in Q2 Top outcome: Above 39.7 million | 87.0% | 88.0% | High | $18,684.89 | Refresh |
Starbucks comparable transactions growth in Q3 Top outcome: Above 4% | 54.0% | 43.4% | High | $11,262.3 | Refresh |
Starbucks total stores in Q3 Top outcome: Above 41300 | 69.0% | 71.2% | High | $4,169.65 | Refresh |
Roku hours streamed in Q2 Top outcome: above 40 billion | 5.0% | 3.0% | High | $22,085.33 | Refresh |
Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026 Top outcome: Above 46000 | 83.0% | 86.1% | High | $49,203.59 | Refresh |
Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q3 Top outcome: Above 15000 | 62.0% | 64.8% | High | $2,393.78 | Refresh |
Rivian Automotive Inc. total vehicles delivered in Q2 2026 Top outcome: Above 11500 | 0.0% | 20.0% | High | $0 | Refresh |
Reddit daily active uniques in 2026 Top outcome: Above 138 million | 79.0% | 75.8% | High | $11,588.72 | Refresh |
Ferrari total car shipments in 2026 Top outcome: Above 13900 | 17.0% | 7.9% | High | $25,836.61 | Refresh |
Zyn US shipment volume in Q2 Top outcome: Above 195 million | 37.0% | 19.9% | High | $16,391.25 | Refresh |
Palantir total customer count in 2026 Top outcome: Above 1100 | 88.0% | 90.7% | High | $13,571.96 | Refresh |
Palantir total customers in Q2 Top outcome: Above 1060 | 87.0% | 85.2% | High | $23,823.96 | Refresh |
Oracle headcount in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 160000 | 11.0% | 5.1% | High | $8,266.74 | Refresh |
Netflix headcount in 2026 Top outcome: Above 17500 | 58.0% | 59.1% | High | $10,881.1 | Refresh |
Norwegian Cruise passengers carried in 2026 Top outcome: Above 3.25 million | 88.0% | 88.1% | High | $54,042.43 | Refresh |
Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q2 Top outcome: Above 855 thousand | 31.0% | 19.3% | High | $22,954.94 | Refresh |
Match total payers in 2026 Top outcome: Above 13.8 million | 6.0% | 3.0% | High | $24,307.32 | Refresh |
Altria cigarette shipments in Q2 Top outcome: Above 15 billion | 67.0% | 44.4% | High | $35,158.29 | Refresh |
Meta headcount in Q2 Top outcome: Above 74500 | 56.0% | 27.9% | High | $20,981.03 | Refresh |
Meta family daily active people in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3.68 billion | 4.0% | 2.7% | High | $8,980.93 | Refresh |
MercadoLibre items sold in 2026 Top outcome: Above 3 billion | 88.0% | 91.7% | High | $33,620.78 | Refresh |
McDonald's Corporation total systemwide restaurants in Q2 2026 Top outcome: Above 45800 | 90.0% | 90.7% | High | $13,566.33 | Refresh |
McDonald's global comparable sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 2% | 40.0% | 16.3% | High | $20,881.83 | Refresh |
Marriott International total rooms in Q2 Top outcome: Above 1.81 million | 80.0% | 91.5% | High | $3,413.9 | Refresh |
Lyft total rides in Q2 Top outcome: above 251 million | 88.0% | 86.3% | High | $6,850.11 | Refresh |
Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q2 Top outcome: Above 58 million | 85.0% | 83.0% | High | $9,617.14 | Refresh |
Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above -6% | 65.0% | 34.3% | High | $2,589.97 | Refresh |
Lowe's customer transactions in Q2 Top outcome: Above 222 million | 68.0% | 49.6% | High | $11,554.8 | Refresh |
Loblaw food same-store sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 2.5% | 49.0% | 38.9% | Med | $57.47 | Refresh |
Klarna active consumers in Q2 Top outcome: above 125 million | 1.0% | 1.1% | High | $10,703.24 | Refresh |
Intel headcount in 2026 Top outcome: Above 78000 | 83.0% | 72.0% | High | $254.9 | Refresh |
Intel headcount in Q2 Top outcome: Above 82000 | 51.0% | 22.8% | High | $2,837.86 | Refresh |
Robinhood funded customers in Q2 Top outcome: Above 28 million | 58.0% | 59.1% | High | $238,979.45 | Refresh |
Hims subscribers in 2026 Top outcome: Above 2.84 million | 95.0% | 94.0% | Med | $34,670.33 | Refresh |
Hims & Hers subscribers in Q2 Top outcome: Above 2.72 million | 78.0% | 75.4% | High | $65,206.07 | Refresh |
Home Depot customer transactions in Q2 Top outcome: Above 450 million | 29.0% | 17.3% | High | $3,662.13 | Refresh |
Grab monthly transacting users in Q2 Top outcome: above 52.5 million | 88.0% | 84.3% | High | $5,802.89 | Refresh |
Google headcount in 2026 Top outcome: Above 208000 | 19.0% | 2.7% | High | $26,190.01 | Refresh |
Futu total funded accounts in Q2 Top outcome: Above 4.1 million | 3.0% | 1.0% | High | $6,326.57 | Refresh |
Figma paid customers >$100k arr in Q2 Top outcome: above 1675 | 18.0% | 23.9% | High | $2,512.27 | Refresh |
eBay gross merchandise volume in Q2 Top outcome: Above $23 billion | 3.0% | 1.0% | High | $39,100.42 | Refresh |
Domino's total US stores in 2026 Top outcome: Above 7350 | 86.0% | 98.0% | High | $1,564.43 | Refresh |
Domino's total US stores in Q2 Top outcome: Above 7220 | 91.0% | 95.4% | High | $7,816.65 | Refresh |
Dollarama comparable store sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 6% | 12.0% | 4.2% | High | $356.47 | Refresh |
DoorDash total orders in Q2 Top outcome: above 1000 million | 9.0% | 14.9% | High | $32,925.83 | Refresh |
Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q2 Top outcome: above 200000 | 23.0% | 22.9% | High | $14,322.52 | Refresh |
Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above -1% | 76.0% | 63.0% | High | $4,251.91 | Refresh |
Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 3% | 10.0% | 5.0% | High | $545.13 | Refresh |
When will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week? Top outcome: Before 2027 | 82.0% | 79.7% | High | $12,923.71 | Refresh |
Coinbase total trading volume in Q2 Top outcome: Above $180 billion | 25.0% | 16.3% | High | $152,620.72 | Refresh |
Coinbase monthly transacting users in Q2 Top outcome: Above 8.5 million | 19.0% | 19.1% | High | $4,574.04 | Refresh |
Chipotle total restaurant count in Q2 Top outcome: Above 4160 | 40.0% | 44.2% | High | $21,099.04 | Refresh |
Chipotle comparable restaurant sales increase in Q2 Top outcome: Above 1% | 86.0% | 79.3% | High | $14,594.09 | Refresh |
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in Q3 Top outcome: Above 25.2 million | 11.0% | 8.6% | High | $6,423.11 | Refresh |
CAVA restaurants in Q2 Top outcome: Above 480 | 12.0% | 5.5% | High | $30,343.89 | Refresh |
CAVA same restaurant sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3% | 99.0% | 99.3% | High | $4,937 | Refresh |
Boeing Deliveries in Q2 Top outcome: Above 160 | 98.0% | 99.0% | High | $122,558.31 | Refresh |
Aritzia comparable sales growth in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 24% | 32.0% | 19.9% | High | $1,726.93 | Refresh |
Aritzia comparable sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 15% | 98.0% | 98.6% | High | $156.9 | Refresh |
Amazon headcount in 2026 Top outcome: Above 1525000 | 86.0% | 76.6% | High | $27,049.92 | Refresh |
Amazon headcount in Q2 Top outcome: Above 1555000 | 95.0% | 85.2% | High | $10,095.32 | Refresh |
Tesla deliveries in Q3 Top outcome: Above 400000 | 87.0% | 99.2% | High | $360.71 | Refresh |
Air Canada passenger load factor in fiscal 2026 Top outcome: Above 84.5% | 75.0% | 54.9% | Med | $573.04 | Refresh |
Air Canada passenger load factor in Q2 Top outcome: Above 85.5% | 60.0% | 69.2% | High | $2,718.85 | Refresh |
Apple headcount in 2026 Top outcome: Above 172000 | 25.0% | 17.2% | High | $6,329.18 | Refresh |
Clear active clear+ members in 2026 Top outcome: Above 8.7 million | 63.0% | 65.7% | High | $23,624.38 | Refresh |
Tesla total production in Q3 Top outcome: Above 465000 | 73.0% | 59.8% | High | $1,793.67 | Refresh |
Toast total locations in Q2 Top outcome: above 184 thousand | 6.0% | 7.4% | High | $16,124.68 | Refresh |
Reddit daily active uniques in Q2 Top outcome: above 136 million | 3.0% | 5.3% | High | $26,541.47 | Refresh |
Roblox hours engaged in Q2 Top outcome: Above 33 billion | 49.0% | 33.0% | High | $9,546.56 | Refresh |
Ferrari total shipments in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3400 | 74.0% | 64.2% | Med | $5,441.76 | Refresh |
Nvidia headcount in fiscal 2027 Top outcome: Above 46000 | 83.0% | 84.2% | High | $16,220.12 | Refresh |
Nu Holdings customers in 2026 Top outcome: Above 143 million | 90.0% | 86.8% | High | $1,741.54 | Refresh |
Nu Holdings customers in Q2 Top outcome: Above 137 million | 98.0% | 99.0% | High | $12,312.02 | Refresh |
Match total payers in Q2 Top outcome: above 13.45 million | 32.0% | 19.2% | High | $1,677.33 | Refresh |
MercadoLibre items sold in Q2 Top outcome: above 840 million | 9.0% | 10.8% | High | $25,248.48 | Refresh |
Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q2 Top outcome: Above $231 | 43.0% | 26.9% | High | $5,173.06 | Refresh |
Robinhood gold subs in Q2 Top outcome: above 4.4 million | 87.0% | 80.7% | High | $1,743.01 | Refresh |
Google headcount in Q2 Top outcome: Above 197500 | 97.0% | 11.2% | High | $23,135.78 | Refresh |
Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3 Top outcome: Above 510 thousand | 63.0% | 56.2% | High | $5,388.43 | Refresh |
Domino's US same store sales growth in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3% | 1.0% | 3.5% | High | $13,556.72 | Refresh |
Webull funded accounts in Q2 Top outcome: Above 5.2 million | 51.0% | 28.1% | High | $4,705.84 | Refresh |
Airbnb bookings in Q2 Top outcome: Above 153 million | 4.0% | 2.0% | High | $19,492.13 | Refresh |
Domino's US same store sales growth in 2026 Top outcome: Above 2.5% | 26.0% | 35.2% | High | $1,454.74 | Refresh |
Petrobras total production (Mboed) in Q2 Top outcome: Above 3250 | 64.0% | 5.0% | High | $0 | Refresh |
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | $383,270.75 | ||
| — | — | High | $841,163.92 | ||
| — | — | High | $16,585.81 | ||
| — | — | High | $19,663.29 | ||
| — | — | High | $120,337.69 | ||
| — | — | High | $74,775.27 | ||
| — | — | High | $28,458.07 | ||
| — | — | High | $28,294.11 | ||
| — | — | High | $71,367.89 | ||
| — | — | High | $91,257.4 | ||
| — | — | High | $205,238.52 | ||
| — | — | High | $43,434.91 | ||
| — | — | High | $29,719.43 |