KPIs Markets

Active Markets (322)

Starbucks total global stores in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 41750

Market Model 88.0% 72.2%

Above 41800

Market Model 95.0% 72.2%

3.6K contracts Refresh

Talen Energy TWh generation in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 20 twh

Market Model 75.0% 74.4%

Above 21 twh

Market Model 12.0% 74.4%

18.3K contracts Refresh

Wendy's US same-restaurant sales growth in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 2.0%

Market Model 0.0% 2.0%

Above -10.0%

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Frontier Airlines load factor in Q4 2026 Kalshi

Above 75%

Market Model 0.0% 1.0%

Above 76%

Market Model 0.0% 0.9%

0 contracts Refresh

TELUS internet additions in Q4 2026 Kalshi

Above 10,000

Market Model 0.0% 0.4%

Above 15,000

Market Model 0.0% 0.3%

0 contracts Refresh

JetBlue load factor in Q4 2026 Kalshi

Above 78%

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

Above 79%

Market Model 0.0% 11.5%

0 contracts Refresh

JetBlue average fare in Q4 2026 Kalshi

Above $250

Market Model 68.0% 20.0%

Above $210

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

105 contracts Refresh

Chime active members in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 11.8 million

Market Model 80.0% 0.7%

Above 11.2 million

Market Model 0.0% 0.8%

48 contracts Refresh

CAVA total restaurants in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 525

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

Above 530

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

0 contracts Refresh

BCE mobile phone activations in Q4 2026 Kalshi

Above 20,000

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

Above 30,000

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Remitly active customers in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 10.5 million

Market Model 0.0% 0.4%

Above 10.8 million

Market Model 0.0% 0.3%

0 contracts Refresh

MercadoLibre items sold in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 1000 million

Market Model 0.0% 2.0%

Above 1050 million

Market Model 0.0% 1.0%

0 contracts Refresh

MercadoLibre gross merchandise volume in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above $24 billion

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

Above $25 billion

Market Model 0.0% 11.5%

0 contracts Refresh

MercadoLibre fintech monthly active users in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 101 million

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

Above 103 million

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

0 contracts Refresh

McDonald's global comparable sales growth in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 2.0%

Market Model 35.0% 80.6%

Above 0.0%

Market Model 85.0% 80.6%

4.7K contracts Refresh

Lemonade total customers in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 3.75 million

Market Model 0.0% 0.4%

Above 3.8 million

Market Model 0.0% 0.3%

0 contracts Refresh

Klaviyo customers over $50k ARR in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 5000

Market Model 0.0% 1.0%

Above 5200

Market Model 0.0% 0.8%

0 contracts Refresh

Figma paid customers >$100k arr in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 1850

Market Model 0.0% 0.7%

Above 1900

Market Model 0.0% 0.6%

0 contracts Refresh

Dave ExtraCash origination volume in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above $2.5 billion

Market Model 95.0% 0.2%

Above $2.4 billion

Market Model 0.0% 0.3%

205 contracts Refresh

Coeur Mining gold production in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 140000 ounces

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

Above 160000 ounces

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

0 contracts Refresh

CAVA same restaurant sales growth in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 0.0%

Market Model 0.0% 11.5%

Above 10.0%

Market Model 0.0% 1.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Dutch Bros same-shop sales growth in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 1.5%

Market Model 0.0% 1.0%

Above 4.5%

Market Model 0.0% 0.5%

0 contracts Refresh

Dutch Bros total shops in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 1340

Market Model 0.0% 0.4%

Above 1360

Market Model 0.0% 0.3%

0 contracts Refresh

Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above -4%

Market Model 99.0% 98.8%

Above 0%

Market Model 0.0% 10.0%

1 contracts Refresh

KFC same-store sales growth in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 1%

Market Model 99.0% 98.5%

Above 0%

Market Model 0.0% 99.0%

1 contracts Refresh

Clear+ members in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 9.1 million

Market Model 40.0% 0.0%

Above 8.9 million

Market Model 60.0% 0.1%

2.7K contracts Refresh

Uber trips in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 4.2 billion

Market Model 76.0% 12.0%

Above 4.3 billion

Market Model 57.0% 12.0%

500 contracts Refresh

Toast total locations in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 196 thousand

Market Model 84.0% 0.0%

Above 200 thousand

Market Model 75.0% 0.0%

400 contracts Refresh

Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above $120 billion

Market Model 70.0% 98.6%

Above $134 billion

Market Model 45.0% 5.0%

2.9K contracts Refresh

Ferrari shipments in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 3300

Market Model 81.0% 99.0%

Above 3400

Market Model 69.0% 12.0%

12.8K contracts Refresh

Palantir total customers in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 1150

Market Model 99.0% 98.0%

Above 1125

Market Model 0.0% 98.5%

1 contracts Refresh

Paymentus transactions processed in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 255 million

Market Model 4.0% 0.0%

Above 230 million

Market Model 79.0% 0.3%

9.2K contracts Refresh

New York Times total subscribers in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 14.3 million

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

Above 14.4 million

Market Model 0.0% 18.0%

0 contracts Refresh

New York Times total subscribers in Q4 2026 Kalshi

Above 14.8 million

Market Model 13.0% 6.0%

Above 14.5 million

Market Model 21.0% 12.0%

938 contracts Refresh

Match total payers in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 12.2 million

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

Above 12.4 million

Market Model 0.0% 6.0%

0 contracts Refresh

McDonald's total systemwide restaurants in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 48300

Market Model 34.0% 0.1%

Above 47200

Market Model 93.0% 0.7%

2.1K contracts Refresh

Grab monthly transacting users in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 59 million

Market Model 0.0% 10.0%

Above 60 million

Market Model 0.0% 8.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Duolingo paid subscribers in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 13.6 million

Market Model 0.0% 0.5%

Above 13.8 million

Market Model 0.0% 0.4%

0 contracts Refresh

Duolingo daily active users in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 70 million

Market Model 76.0% 12.0%

Above 64 million

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

1 contracts Refresh

Datadog customers over $100k ARR in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 5200

Market Model 62.0% 0.2%

Above 5100

Market Model 77.0% 0.3%

400 contracts Refresh

Apple headcount in 2027 Kalshi

Above 162000

Market Model 0.0% 0.1%

Above 166000

Market Model 0.0% 0.1%

0 contracts Refresh

Coinbase monthly transacting users in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 9 million

Market Model 4.0% 6.0%

Above 5.5 million

Market Model 92.0% 12.0%

5.4K contracts Refresh

BrightSpring Health prescriptions filled in Q1 Kalshi

Above 10.8 million

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

Above 10.85 million

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Wingstop total restaurants in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 3,630

Market Model 17.0% 25.9%

Above 3,660

Market Model 10.0% 23.3%

1.7K contracts Refresh

Starbucks total global stores in 2027 Kalshi

Above 42,400

Market Model 85.0% 20.0%

Above 42,600

Market Model 82.0% 18.0%

40 contracts Refresh

Starbucks comparable transactions growth in 2027 Kalshi

Above -4.0%

Market Model 93.0% 20.0%

Above -3.0%

Market Model 94.0% 20.0%

5.2K contracts Refresh

Reddit daily active uniques in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 118 million

Market Model 0.0% 1.0%

Above 120 million

Market Model 0.0% 0.5%

0 contracts Refresh

Roblox hours engaged in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 42 billion

Market Model 3.0% 2.0%

Above 26 billion

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

12.9K contracts Refresh

Roblox daily active users in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 130 million

Market Model 73.0% 0.1%

Above 115 million

Market Model 0.0% 0.4%

724 contracts Refresh

Marriott International total rooms in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 1.88 million

Market Model 39.0% 12.0%

Above 1.89 million

Market Model 13.0% 5.0%

6.0K contracts Refresh

Intel headcount in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 78 thousand

Market Model 63.0% 0.2%

Above 81 thousand

Market Model 6.0% 0.1%

6.6K contracts Refresh

First Solar module volume sold in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 2400 mw

Market Model 97.0% 0.0%

Above 3800 mw

Market Model 51.0% 0.0%

39.2K contracts Refresh

Amazon headcount in Q1 Kalshi

Above 1.54 million

Market Model 97.0% 20.0%

Above 1.56 million

Market Model 97.0% 20.0%

5.2K contracts Refresh

Air Canada passenger load factor in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 93.5%

Market Model 3.0% 0.1%

Above 88.5%

Market Model 6.0% 1.0%

13.6K contracts Refresh

Domino's total US stores in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 7,270

Market Model 93.0% 84.3%

Above 7,420

Market Model 30.0% 20.4%

10.9K contracts Refresh

Petrobras total production (Mboed) in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 3800 mboed

Market Model 17.0% 21.1%

Above 3850 mboed

Market Model 11.0% 20.1%

1.9K contracts Refresh

Lowe's customer transactions in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 785 million

Market Model 3.0% 0.0%

Above 775 million

Market Model 6.0% 0.0%

11.9K contracts Refresh

eBay gross merchandise volume in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above $24.1 billion

Market Model 90.0% 6.0%

Above $23.5 billion

Market Model 91.0% 12.0%

1.3K contracts Refresh

Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 270000

Market Model 94.0% 1.0%

Above 265000

Market Model 2.0% 2.0%

1.2K contracts Refresh

The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 14.0%

Market Model 35.0% 4.0%

Above 13.0%

Market Model 42.0% 6.0%

600 contracts Refresh

Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 1070 thousand

Market Model 91.0% 0.0%

Above 1030 thousand

Market Model 91.0% 0.0%

5.2K contracts Refresh

Altria Group cigarette shipments in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 12 billion

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

Above 12.5 billion

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Hilton US occupancy in Q4 2026 Kalshi

Above 70.0%

Market Model 56.0% 20.0%

Above 64.0%

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

9 contracts Refresh

Google headcount in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 209 thousand

Market Model 61.0% 20.0%

Above 203 thousand

Market Model 95.0% 20.0%

1.7K contracts Refresh

Etsy gross merchandise sales in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above $2.53 billion

Market Model 0.0% 0.2%

Above $2.55 billion

Market Model 0.0% 0.2%

0 contracts Refresh

DoorDash total orders in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 1010 million

Market Model 98.0% 12.0%

Above 1170 million

Market Model 97.0% 10.0%

278 contracts Refresh

Chipotle total restaurant count in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 4380

Market Model 94.0% 0.7%

Above 4480

Market Model 24.0% 0.2%

1.7K contracts Refresh

Chipotle comparable restaurant sales in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 0.0%

Market Model 30.0% 12.0%

Above 4.0%

Market Model 34.0% 2.0%

11.0K contracts Refresh

Talen Energy TWh generation in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 50 TWh

Market Model 99.0% 99.1%

Above 53 TWh

Market Model 99.0% 91.7%

9.5K contracts Refresh

Wingstop domestic same store sales growth in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above -8%

Market Model 98.0% 20.0%

Above -10%

Market Model 90.0% 20.0%

348 contracts Refresh

Target transactions change in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 2.0%

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

Above 2.5%

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

0 contracts Refresh

SoFi members in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 19.6 million

Market Model 99.0% 0.2%

Above 18.5 million

Market Model 0.0% 0.5%

18 contracts Refresh

Robinhood gold subscribers in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 5.6 million

Market Model 81.0% 12.0%

Above 5.4 million

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

200 contracts Refresh

Robinhood funded customers in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 29 million

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

Above 29.2 million

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Hilton US occupancy in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 64.0%

Market Model 0.0% 0.6%

Above 68.0%

Market Model 0.0% 0.3%

0 contracts Refresh

Google search cost-per-click change in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 4%

Market Model 13.0% 6.0%

Above 0%

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

1 contracts Refresh

Ulta transactions growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 0.0%

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

Above 0.5%

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Target transactions change in Q3 2026 Kalshi

Above 0%

Market Model 98.0% 97.7%

Above 9%

Market Model 1.0% 1.5%

34.1K contracts Refresh

Meta ad impressions growth in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 14%

Market Model 13.0% 9.3%

Above 18%

Market Model 10.0% 7.8%

3.1K contracts Refresh

Lowe's customer transactions in Q3 2026 Kalshi

Above 179 million

Market Model 97.0% 87.6%

Above 178 million

Market Model 98.0% 96.3%

22.5K contracts Refresh

Cheesecake Factory total restaurants at end of fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 400

Market Model 1.0% 3.0%

Above 390

Market Model 59.0% 33.1%

34.1K contracts Refresh

Cheesecake Factory total restaurants in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 410

Market Model 4.0% 0.1%

Above 385

Market Model 94.0% 1.0%

19.9K contracts Refresh

Verizon postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 750 thousand

Market Model 84.0% 99.0%

Above 1000 thousand

Market Model 8.0% 52.8%

15.5K contracts Refresh

Zscaler customers with arr of at least $1m in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 910

Market Model 55.0% 12.0%

Above 920

Market Model 55.0% 12.0%

7.2K contracts Refresh

Zscaler customers with arr of at least $1m in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 825

Market Model 9.0% 0.1%

Above 815

Market Model 25.0% 0.2%

20.7K contracts Refresh

Wyndham Hotels total rooms in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 890000

Market Model 37.0% 27.7%

Above 896000

Market Model 7.0% 5.5%

7.9K contracts Refresh

Verizon postpaid phone net additions in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 450,000

Market Model 89.0% 0.5%

Above 400,000

Market Model 15.0% 1.0%

15.6K contracts Refresh

Urban Outfitters total stores in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 845

Market Model 5.0% 0.0%

Above 815

Market Model 91.0% 0.1%

13.2K contracts Refresh

Urban Outfitters total stores in Q3 2027 Kalshi

Above 845

Market Model 1.0% 0.5%

Above 835

Market Model 3.0% 0.8%

20.9K contracts Refresh

United Airlines passengers in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 46 million

Market Model 5.0% 3.9%

Above 46.5 million

Market Model 3.0% 2.4%

1.6K contracts Refresh

Toll Brothers delivered homes in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 1675

Market Model 0.0% 0.4%

Above 1725

Market Model 0.0% 0.3%

0 contracts Refresh

Spotify premium subscribers in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 314 million

Market Model 98.0% 87.0%

Above 315 million

Market Model 96.0% 86.0%

220 contracts Refresh

Spotify monthly active users in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 832 million

Market Model 90.0% 88.5%

Above 818 million

Market Model 0.0% 96.8%

1 contracts Refresh

Starlink subscribers in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 15.3 million

Market Model 96.0% 1.2%

Above 16.2 million

Market Model 83.0% 0.8%

18 contracts Refresh

Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 3.5 billion

Market Model 38.0% 12.0%

Above 2.3 billion

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

154 contracts Refresh

UiPath customers with arr of at least $1m in Q3 2027 Kalshi

Above 415

Market Model 9.0% 7.0%

Above 388

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

163 contracts Refresh

Neptune Insurance policies in force in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 382000

Market Model 25.0% 20.0%

Above 367000

Market Model 67.0% 74.0%

539 contracts Refresh

Meta headcount in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 67000

Market Model 99.0% 12.0%

Above 65000

Market Model 80.0% 12.0%

728 contracts Refresh

Meta family daily active people in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 3.58 billion

Market Model 50.0% 99.5%

Above 3.72 billion

Market Model 91.0% 20.0%

3.8K contracts Refresh

Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 55.5 million

Market Model 59.0% 34.1%

Above 55 million

Market Model 68.0% 45.3%

35.9K contracts Refresh

Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above $257.5

Market Model 19.0% 18.6%

Above $242.5

Market Model 67.0% 55.4%

11.7K contracts Refresh

Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in Q3 2026 Kalshi

Above -20%

Market Model 76.0% 37.6%

Above -18%

Market Model 61.0% 12.0%

923 contracts Refresh

Loblaw food same-store sales growth in Q3 2026 Kalshi

Above 3%

Market Model 4.0% 12.8%

Above 2.5%

Market Model 26.0% 23.3%

25.3K contracts Refresh

Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 18

Market Model 91.0% 84.3%

Above 46

Market Model 26.0% 12.0%

1.0K contracts Refresh

Samsara customers over $100k ARR in Q3 2027 Kalshi

Above 3900

Market Model 19.0% 10.1%

Above 3930

Market Model 9.0% 10.1%

14.9K contracts Refresh

Dollarama comparable store sales growth in Q3 2027 Kalshi

Above 8%

Market Model 1.0% 0.6%

Above 6%

Market Model 6.0% 17.6%

29.4K contracts Refresh

Disney domestic parks attendance growth in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 3%

Market Model 51.0% 12.0%

Above 2%

Market Model 71.0% 12.0%

45 contracts Refresh

Costco total cardholders in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 151 million

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

Above 152 million

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Chipotle comparable sales growth in 2026 Kalshi

Above 3.5%

Market Model 2.0% 0.1%

Above 2.5%

Market Model 4.0% 0.2%

29.1K contracts Refresh

American Express cards-in-force in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 155 million

Market Model 95.0% 12.0%

Above 157 million

Market Model 79.0% 12.0%

1.2K contracts Refresh

Alaska Air passenger load factor in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 76%

Market Model 89.0% 87.0%

Above 76.5%

Market Model 92.0% 86.0%

921 contracts Refresh

Affirm gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above $67.0 billion

Market Model 70.0% 20.0%

Above $56.0 billion

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

70 contracts Refresh

American Airlines passenger load factor in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 75.5%

Market Model 0.0% 0.0%

Above 77.5%

Market Model 0.0% 0.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in Q3 Kalshi

Above 218

Market Model 1.0% 4.7%

Above 202

Market Model 84.0% 5.4%

398 contracts Refresh

Charles Schwab active brokerage accounts in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 40.9 million

Market Model 88.0% 40.0%

Above 41.5 million

Market Model 40.0% 40.0%

6.6K contracts Refresh

Domino's US same store sales growth in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above -4%

Market Model 95.0% 92.0%

Above 0.5%

Market Model 0.0% 92.0%

1 contracts Refresh

Boeing commercial deliveries in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 150

Market Model 72.0% 60.0%

Above 160

Market Model 51.0% 0.7%

67 contracts Refresh

Aritzia comparable sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 33%

Market Model 2.0% 1.0%

Above 27%

Market Model 14.0% 3.0%

7.7K contracts Refresh

Constellation Brands beer shipments in Q3 Kalshi

Above 86 million

Market Model 98.0% 95.7%

Above 110 million

Market Model 5.0% 10.7%

13.5K contracts Refresh

Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 475,000

Market Model 35.0% 26.0%

Above 300,000

Market Model 93.0% 91.0%

30.1K contracts Refresh

Rivian vehicles delivered in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 25000

Market Model 66.0% 71.2%

Above 29000

Market Model 37.0% 22.0%

8.1K contracts Refresh

Ford total vehicle US sales in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 550,000

Market Model 4.0% 0.4%

Above 480,000

Market Model 29.0% 31.8%

1.6K contracts Refresh

Tesla energy deployment in Q4 Kalshi

Above 10 GWh

Market Model 91.0% 12.0%

Above 8 GWh

Market Model 98.0% 12.0%

6.4K contracts Refresh

Tesla production in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 475,000

Market Model 49.0% 12.0%

Above 450,000

Market Model 40.0% 12.0%

5.7K contracts Refresh

Tesla energy deployment in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 24 GWh

Market Model 5.0% 0.5%

Above 22 GWh

Market Model 13.0% 1.0%

2.5K contracts Refresh

Costco total cardholders in Q1 Kalshi

Above 152.2 million

Market Model 12.0% 9.0%

Above 150.8 million

Market Model 89.0% 90.7%

2.2K contracts Refresh

Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in Q1 Kalshi

Above 23.9 million

Market Model 16.0% 0.0%

Above 23.4 million

Market Model 94.0% 0.0%

13.2K contracts Refresh

Vail Resorts skier visits in Q1 Kalshi

Above 650,000

Market Model 14.0% 0.0%

Above 500,000

Market Model 45.0% 0.0%

13.6K contracts Refresh

Chewy active customers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 22.1 million

Market Model 13.0% 5.0%

Above 21.925 million

Market Model 59.0% 51.8%

2.4K contracts Refresh

Nvidia headcount in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 52000

Market Model 34.0% 43.2%

Above 46000

Market Model 10.0% 94.0%

34.2K contracts Refresh

Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 Kalshi

Above 0%

Market Model 76.0% 0.0%

Above 0.5%

Market Model 41.0% 0.0%

462 contracts Refresh

Alaska Air passenger load factor in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 82.5%

Market Model 6.0% 23.1%

Above 82%

Market Model 6.0% 62.0%

87.0K contracts Refresh

ServiceTitan gross transaction volume in Q3 Kalshi

Above $25.1 billion

Market Model 50.0% 0.0%

Above $24.4 billion

Market Model 75.0% 88.0%

29 contracts Refresh

Medtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2 Kalshi

Above 13%

Market Model 9.0% 5.5%

Above 12%

Market Model 34.0% 5.5%

7.8K contracts Refresh

Victoria's Secret comparable sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 9%

Market Model 17.0% 12.0%

Above 5%

Market Model 81.0% 12.0%

80.1K contracts Refresh

GitLab customers over $100k ARR in Q3 Kalshi

Above 1645

Market Model 20.0% 6.0%

Above 1655

Market Model 7.0% 4.0%

1.4K contracts Refresh

Dollar General same-store sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 3.5%

Market Model 27.0% 7.2%

Above 4.5%

Market Model 8.0% 1.0%

8.6K contracts Refresh

Zoom customers over $100k in TTM revenue in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4700

Market Model 77.0% 20.0%

Above 4675

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

129 contracts Refresh

Williams-Sonoma brand growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4%

Market Model 88.0% 20.0%

Above 3%

Market Model 99.0% 20.0%

920 contracts Refresh

Urban Outfitters total stores in Q1 Kalshi

Above 832

Market Model 84.0% 88.9%

Above 836

Market Model 65.0% 62.0%

3.9K contracts Refresh

Urban Outfitters retail comparable sales in Q1 Kalshi

Above 0%

Market Model 0.0% 0.9%

Above 10%

Market Model 0.0% 0.1%

0 contracts Refresh

Okta customers with acv over $100k in Q3 Kalshi

Above 5375

Market Model 7.0% 14.4%

Above 5400

Market Model 3.0% 3.0%

491 contracts Refresh

Lowe's comparable sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 0%

Market Model 62.0% 23.2%

Above -1.5%

Market Model 92.0% 23.2%

4.9K contracts Refresh

Dick's comparable sales in Q3 Kalshi

Above 2%

Market Model 68.0% 65.6%

Above 4%

Market Model 37.0% 15.1%

5.2K contracts Refresh

Best Buy domestic comparable sales in Q3 Kalshi

Above 3%

Market Model 46.0% 25.0%

Above 4%

Market Model 30.0% 20.0%

2.5K contracts Refresh

Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 3.8%

Market Model 75.0% 36.5%

Above 3.4%

Market Model 1.0% 57.6%

11.0K contracts Refresh

Monster Beverage Corporation total case sales in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 1.18 billion

Market Model 9.0% 10.0%

Above 1.14 billion

Market Model 60.0% 62.1%

862 contracts Refresh

StubHub gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above $10.1 billion

Market Model 88.0% 20.0%

Above $10.3 billion

Market Model 53.0% 10.0%

248 contracts Refresh

StubHub gross merchandise sales in Q3 Kalshi

Above $2.4 billion

Market Model 54.0% 58.0%

Above $2.5 billion

Market Model 25.0% 30.5%

15.2K contracts Refresh

Etsy marketplace gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above $11 billion

Market Model 83.0% 48.7%

Above $10.85 billion

Market Model 86.0% 48.7%

15.5K contracts Refresh

The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 5.5%

Market Model 32.0% 15.0%

Above 4.5%

Market Model 93.0% 6.0%

5.7K contracts Refresh

Cloudflare customers over $100k ARR in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 5150

Market Model 95.0% 97.2%

Above 5200

Market Model 89.0% 91.4%

200 contracts Refresh

Coeur Mining gold production in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 650000

Market Model 70.0% 45.0%

Above 675000

Market Model 48.0% 40.0%

599 contracts Refresh

Victoria's Secret comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 8%

Market Model 30.0% 45.2%

Above 10%

Market Model 20.0% 8.7%

1.8K contracts Refresh

Venture Global LNG volumes in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 1860 tbtu

Market Model 67.0% 20.0%

Above 1780 tbtu

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

107 contracts Refresh

ServiceTitan gross transaction volume in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above $96 billion

Market Model 58.0% 0.1%

Above $98 billion

Market Model 26.0% 0.1%

810 contracts Refresh

Remitly active customers in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 11.2 million

Market Model 20.0% 22.0%

Above 11.1 million

Market Model 37.0% 33.5%

3.1K contracts Refresh

BrightSpring Health home health average daily census in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 47400

Market Model 53.0% 58.3%

Above 48000

Market Model 19.0% 58.3%

871 contracts Refresh

Dutch Bros total shops in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 1340

Market Model 21.0% 5.0%

Above 1300

Market Model 99.0% 99.0%

279 contracts Refresh

Workiva customers over $100k ACV in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 2860

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

Above 2900

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Venture Global LNG volumes in Q3 Kalshi

Above 460 tbtu

Market Model 96.0% 0.7%

Above 480 tbtu

Market Model 4.0% 0.5%

15.0K contracts Refresh

SoFi members in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 17.8 million

Market Model 82.0% 20.5%

Above 18.2 million

Market Model 61.0% 18.0%

3.7K contracts Refresh

Paymentus transactions processed in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 830 million

Market Model 0.0% 2.0%

Above 850 million

Market Model 0.0% 1.5%

0 contracts Refresh

Nu Holdings customers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 143 million

Market Model 38.0% 10.0%

Above 143.5 million

Market Model 21.0% 8.0%

732 contracts Refresh

Natera tests processed in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 4.4 million

Market Model 7.0% 20.0%

Above 4.2 million

Market Model 72.0% 20.0%

212 contracts Refresh

Neptune Insurance policies in force in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 360000

Market Model 60.0% 77.5%

Above 370000

Market Model 36.0% 63.2%

7.6K contracts Refresh

Lemonade total customers in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 3.7 million

Market Model 38.0% 1.0%

Above 3.75 million

Market Model 15.0% 0.4%

2.9K contracts Refresh

Life360 monthly active users in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 114 million

Market Model 23.0% 12.0%

Above 113 million

Market Model 35.0% 12.0%

845 contracts Refresh

Life360 monthly active users in Q3 Kalshi

Above 107 million

Market Model 44.0% 38.4%

Above 106.5 million

Market Model 54.0% 50.8%

5.9K contracts Refresh

Klaviyo customers over $50k ARR in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 5100

Market Model 54.0% 0.6%

Above 4950

Market Model 0.0% 0.8%

70 contracts Refresh

Samsara customers over $100k ARR in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 4100

Market Model 50.0% 10.0%

Above 3850

Market Model 0.0% 0.1%

4 contracts Refresh

Grindr average paying users in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 1.42 million

Market Model 71.0% 0.0%

Above 1.44 million

Market Model 49.0% 0.0%

29 contracts Refresh

Evolv Technologies new customers in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 280

Market Model 27.0% 20.0%

Above 265

Market Model 46.0% 20.0%

63 contracts Refresh

Evolv Technologies new customers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 70

Market Model 36.0% 10.0%

Above 60

Market Model 69.0% 18.0%

142 contracts Refresh

Datadog customer over$100k ARR in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 5140

Market Model 44.0% 36.0%

Above 5120

Market Model 40.0% 37.0%

12.4K contracts Refresh

Dave ExtraCash origination volume in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above $9.5 billion

Market Model 55.0% 0.7%

Above $9.3 billion

Market Model 0.0% 0.9%

162 contracts Refresh

Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 1%

Market Model 74.0% 1.5%

Above 2%

Market Model 38.0% 0.5%

7.3K contracts Refresh

Chime active members in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 11.3 million

Market Model 59.0% 20.0%

Above 11.1 million

Market Model 92.0% 20.0%

22 contracts Refresh

CAVA same restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 6.5%

Market Model 92.0% 0.7%

Above 4.5%

Market Model 0.0% 0.9%

95 contracts Refresh

BrightSpring Health prescriptions filled in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 42.9 million

Market Model 88.0% 0.0%

Above 43.1 million

Market Model 0.0% 0.0%

1 contracts Refresh

Dutch Bros same-shop sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 6.5%

Market Model 7.0% 5.0%

Above 4.5%

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

350 contracts Refresh

Hims subscribers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 3.15 million

Market Model 21.0% 0.3%

Above 3.1 million

Market Model 31.0% 0.4%

11.9K contracts Refresh

Instacart gross transaction value in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above $42 billion

Market Model 67.0% 5.0%

Above $42.5 billion

Market Model 26.0% 3.0%

3.4K contracts Refresh

eToro funded accounts in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4.35 million

Market Model 89.0% 9.0%

Above 4.4 million

Market Model 38.0% 7.0%

13.8K contracts Refresh

Dick's Sporting Goods comparable store sales in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 5%

Market Model 29.0% 15.0%

Above 7%

Market Model 6.0% 4.0%

401 contracts Refresh

Zoom customers with over $100k in TTM revenue in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 4840

Market Model 12.0% 20.0%

Above 4880

Market Model 8.0% 20.0%

201 contracts Refresh

Williams-Sonoma total comparable brand growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 5%

Market Model 53.0% 20.0%

Above 7%

Market Model 5.0% 3.0%

1.2K contracts Refresh

Rocket Lab vehicles launched in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 24

Market Model 43.0% 50.0%

Above 28

Market Model 13.0% 0.3%

1.6K contracts Refresh

Rocket Lab vehicles launched in Q3 Kalshi

Above 6

Market Model 14.0% 0.2%

Above 7

Market Model 3.0% 0.1%

6.4K contracts Refresh

UiPath customers with arr of at least $1m in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 420

Market Model 59.0% 20.0%

Above 450

Market Model 6.0% 10.0%

433 contracts Refresh

Okta customers with acv over $100k in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 5375

Market Model 88.0% 0.0%

Above 5450

Market Model 11.0% 0.0%

601 contracts Refresh

Monday net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 117%

Market Model 6.0% 2.0%

Above 111%

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

1 contracts Refresh

Monday net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in Q3 Kalshi

Above 115%

Market Model 15.0% 0.0%

Above 114%

Market Model 52.0% 0.0%

649 contracts Refresh

MercadoLibre gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above $95 billion

Market Model 6.0% 0.2%

Above $87 billion

Market Model 0.0% 1.0%

1 contracts Refresh

MercadoLibre fintech monthly active users in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 100 million

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

Above 101 million

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

0 contracts Refresh

Medtronic cardiovascular organic growth in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 10%

Market Model 39.0% 20.0%

Above 11%

Market Model 0.0% 20.0%

503 contracts Refresh

Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 1%

Market Model 45.0% 20.0%

Above 0.5%

Market Model 76.0% 20.0%

6.7K contracts Refresh

GitLab customers with arr over $100k in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 1640

Market Model 0.0% 12.0%

Above 1660

Market Model 0.0% 11.0%

0 contracts Refresh

eToro funded accounts in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 4.5 million

Market Model 55.0% 12.0%

Above 4.55 million

Market Model 42.0% 12.0%

4.0K contracts Refresh

Dollar General same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 1.5%

Market Model 93.0% 20.0%

Above 3%

Market Model 17.0% 5.0%

2.7K contracts Refresh

CoreWeave contracted power capacity in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 5.2 gw

Market Model 19.0% 0.0%

Above 5.6 gw

Market Model 9.0% 0.0%

143 contracts Refresh

CoreWeave data centers in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 64

Market Model 63.0% 0.7%

Above 62

Market Model 71.0% 0.8%

3.7K contracts Refresh

CoreWeave power capacity in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4.4 gw

Market Model 40.0% 0.3%

Above 4 gw

Market Model 96.0% 0.5%

3.1K contracts Refresh

CoreWeave data centers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 56

Market Model 28.0% 0.0%

Above 55

Market Model 43.0% 0.0%

3.4K contracts Refresh

Chewy active customers in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 22 million

Market Model 57.0% 20.0%

Above 21.7 million

Market Model 94.0% 20.0%

724 contracts Refresh

Best Buy domestic comparable store sales in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 2%

Market Model 83.0% 5.0%

Above 3%

Market Model 85.0% 2.0%

3.3K contracts Refresh

Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in Q3 Kalshi

Above 860

Market Model 69.0% 20.0%

Above 880

Market Model 19.0% 20.0%

996 contracts Refresh

Urban Outfitters comparable sales in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 5%

Market Model 45.0% 20.0%

Above 9%

Market Model 4.0% 5.0%

401 contracts Refresh

Ulta comparable sales in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 4%

Market Model 66.0% 20.0%

Above 7%

Market Model 6.0% 10.0%

41 contracts Refresh

Ulta comparable sales in Q3 Kalshi

Above 3.5%

Market Model 56.0% 5.0%

Above 4.5%

Market Model 19.0% 2.5%

596 contracts Refresh

Toll Brothers delivered homes in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 10500

Market Model 75.0% 20.0%

Above 10400

Market Model 89.0% 20.0%

4.0K contracts Refresh

Starlink active subscribers in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 16 million

Market Model 49.0% 12.0%

Above 16.5 million

Market Model 22.0% 12.0%

4.6K contracts Refresh

Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 950

Market Model 51.0% 0.2%

Above 940

Market Model 58.0% 0.2%

53 contracts Refresh

Sea Limited Shopee GMV in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above $166 billion

Market Model 41.0% 0.1%

Above $164 billion

Market Model 60.0% 0.1%

220 contracts Refresh

Sea Limited Garena paying users in Q3 Kalshi

Above 72 million

Market Model 50.0% 11.0%

Above 75 million

Market Model 29.0% 7.0%

635 contracts Refresh

Sea Limited Garena paying users in Q4 Kalshi

Above 70 million

Market Model 52.0% 20.0%

Above 74 million

Market Model 18.0% 20.0%

341 contracts Refresh

Sea Limited Shopee GMV in Q3 Kalshi

Above $40 billion

Market Model 59.0% 0.0%

Above $41 billion

Market Model 28.0% 0.0%

907 contracts Refresh

Target comparable sales growth in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4%

Market Model 69.0% 2.0%

Above 5%

Market Model 55.0% 1.0%

13.5K contracts Refresh

Petrobras total production (Mboed) in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 3250 mboed

Market Model 89.0% 80.6%

Above 3200 mboed

Market Model 92.0% 83.8%

6.0K contracts Refresh

Wingstop total system-wide restaurants in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 3525

Market Model 38.0% 78.4%

Above 3475

Market Model 73.0% 97.0%

6.3K contracts Refresh

Starbucks headcount in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 368 thousand

Market Model 6.0% 26.8%

Above 377 thousand

Market Model 12.0% 8.0%

8.0K contracts Refresh

Target comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 5%

Market Model 37.0% 1.0%

Above 4.5%

Market Model 43.0% 3.0%

9.1K contracts Refresh

Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 12.5%

Market Model 19.0% 0.0%

Above 12%

Market Model 33.0% 0.0%

33.4K contracts Refresh

Marriott International total rooms in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 1.86 million

Market Model 40.0% 20.0%

Above 1.855 million

Market Model 87.0% 20.0%

1.8K contracts Refresh

Lowe's comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 0.5%

Market Model 55.0% 20.0%

Above 3%

Market Model 2.0% 1.0%

1.5K contracts Refresh

Robinhood event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above $80 billion

Market Model 1.0% 1.0%

Above $75 billion

Market Model 2.0% 1.5%

165.9K contracts Refresh

Coinbase monthly transacting users in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 7 million

Market Model 76.0% 12.0%

Above 8 million

Market Model 2.0% 12.0%

8.2K contracts Refresh

Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in 2026 Kalshi

Above 216

Market Model 38.0% 37.4%

Above 204

Market Model 75.0% 80.5%

718 contracts Refresh

Uber trips in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 16 billion

Market Model 59.0% 61.1%

Above 15.4 billion

Market Model 99.0% 94.0%

2.3K contracts Refresh

Starbucks comparable transactions growth in Q1 2027 Kalshi

Above 7%

Market Model 12.0% 9.0%

Above 4%

Market Model 38.0% 93.3%

2.3K contracts Refresh

Roblox hours engaged in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 140 billion

Market Model 5.0% 14.7%

Above 135 billion

Market Model 9.0% 23.1%

14.7K contracts Refresh

Futu total funded accounts in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 4.4 million

Market Model 7.0% 5.5%

Above 4.1 million

Market Model 83.0% 84.1%

671 contracts Refresh

Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in Q3 Kalshi

Above 3.4%

Market Model 39.0% 81.3%

Above 3.6%

Market Model 74.0% 74.7%

6.1K contracts Refresh

Wendy's US same-restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above -6%

Market Model 43.0% 59.1%

Above -5%

Market Model 2.0% 47.6%

6.2K contracts Refresh

Snap average daily active users in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 492 million

Market Model 72.0% 44.2%

Above 500 million

Market Model 43.0% 12.7%

5.6K contracts Refresh

Roblox daily active users in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 145 million

Market Model 1.0% 20.6%

Above 150 million

Market Model 74.0% 14.5%

3.6K contracts Refresh

Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 11.6 billion

Market Model 73.0% 77.7%

Above 11.8 billion

Market Model 46.0% 56.4%

4.1K contracts Refresh

Meta advertisement impressions growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 14%

Market Model 23.0% 29.8%

Above 16%

Market Model 16.0% 24.7%

3.3K contracts Refresh

Lyft total rides in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 1.01 billion

Market Model 85.0% 82.4%

Above 1.04 billion

Market Model 54.0% 46.2%

1.7K contracts Refresh

Home Depot customer transactions in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 1.6 billion

Market Model 64.0% 40.8%

Above 1.62 billion

Market Model 55.0% 8.9%

2.9K contracts Refresh

Home Depot customer transactions in Q3 Kalshi

Above 405 million

Market Model 2.0% 3.0%

Above 390 million

Market Model 64.0% 34.8%

2.0K contracts Refresh

Futu total funded accounts in Q3 Kalshi

Above 4.15 million

Market Model 11.0% 7.5%

Above 4.1 million

Market Model 24.0% 15.7%

876 contracts Refresh

Figma paid customers >$100k arr in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 2000

Market Model 40.0% 42.0%

Above 1950

Market Model 46.0% 48.5%

1.3K contracts Refresh

Duolingo paid subscribers in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 14.4 million

Market Model 2.0% 5.5%

Above 13.6 million

Market Model 62.0% 39.4%

1.1K contracts Refresh

Duolingo daily active users in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 61 million

Market Model 77.0% 74.0%

Above 68.5 million

Market Model 4.0% 3.9%

6.7K contracts Refresh

DraftKings sportsbook margin in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 6.5%

Market Model 83.0% 76.6%

Above 9%

Market Model 4.0% 2.3%

1.7K contracts Refresh

DraftKings average monthly unique payers in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 4 million

Market Model 72.0% 69.1%

Above 4.8 million

Market Model 1.0% 3.2%

2.1K contracts Refresh

Taco Bell same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 4%

Market Model 56.0% 64.2%

Above 3%

Market Model 80.0% 76.6%

14.7K contracts Refresh

KFC same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 2%

Market Model 98.0% 14.6%

Above 0%

Market Model 89.0% 84.4%

1.8K contracts Refresh

Wyndham Hotels total rooms in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 900 thousand

Market Model 8.0% 47.8%

Above 895 thousand

Market Model 1.0% 47.8%

20.5K contracts Refresh

Klarna active consumers in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 128 million

Market Model 50.0% 60.7%

Above 126 million

Market Model 69.0% 79.0%

4.1K contracts Refresh

American Express cards-in-force in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 162 million

Market Model 2.0% 9.4%

Above 157 million

Market Model 32.0% 73.3%

12.7K contracts Refresh

Shopify gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above $470 billion

Market Model 93.0% 90.0%

Above $490 billion

Market Model 78.0% 61.0%

11.8K contracts Refresh

McDonald's total restaurants in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 47000

Market Model 85.0% 89.9%

Above 47600

Market Model 24.0% 0.0%

1.4K contracts Refresh

McDonald's comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 3%

Market Model 29.0% 28.0%

Above 2%

Market Model 24.0% 44.0%

13.7K contracts Refresh

Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above $220

Market Model 97.0% 79.0%

Above $225

Market Model 91.0% 78.0%

41.8K contracts Refresh

Klarna active klarna consumers in Q3 Kalshi

Above 123 million

Market Model 50.0% 62.0%

Above 121 million

Market Model 79.0% 87.0%

3.4K contracts Refresh

Robinhood gold subscribers in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 5.2 million

Market Model 80.0% 35.0%

Above 5.4 million

Market Model 56.0% 25.0%

8.3K contracts Refresh

Google search paid clicks change in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 12%

Market Model 10.0% 27.6%

Above 10%

Market Model 39.0% 46.6%

5.9K contracts Refresh

Disney domestic parks attendance growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 1%

Market Model 58.0% 26.1%

Above 0%

Market Model 77.0% 52.2%

12.8K contracts Refresh

DoorDash total orders in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 3.9 billion

Market Model 84.0% 71.2%

Above 4 billion

Market Model 96.0% 24.7%

5.1K contracts Refresh

Chipotle headcount in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 110 thousand

Market Model 94.0% 89.9%

Above 108 thousand

Market Model 94.0% 89.9%

5.4K contracts Refresh

CAVA total restaurants in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 515

Market Model 63.0% 66.3%

Above 520

Market Model 39.0% 15.0%

5.9K contracts Refresh

Webull funded accounts in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 5.35 million

Market Model 29.0% 30.6%

Above 5.25 million

Market Model 76.0% 56.6%

2.0K contracts Refresh

Webull funded accounts in Q3 Kalshi

Above 5.35 million

Market Model 13.0% 17.5%

Above 5.4 million

Market Model 13.0% 17.5%

5.3K contracts Refresh

Airbnb Inc. nights & experiences booked in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 575 million

Market Model 54.0% 30.2%

Above 580 million

Market Model 28.0% 30.2%

1.8K contracts Refresh

Lockheed Martin headcount in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 124 thousand

Market Model 62.0% 16.0%

Above 123 thousand

Market Model 80.0% 19.0%

8.6K contracts Refresh

Lockheed Martin F-35 deliveries in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 130

Market Model 67.0% 58.1%

Above 170

Market Model 4.0% 5.2%

6.3K contracts Refresh

American Express headcount in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 76 thousand

Market Model 72.0% 63.0%

Above 75 thousand

Market Model 89.0% 73.3%

11.4K contracts Refresh

American Airlines passenger load factor in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 82%

Market Model 58.0% 94.5%

Above 82.5%

Market Model 31.0% 92.7%

76.7K contracts Refresh

First Solar Gigawatts sold in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 17.4 GW

Market Model 25.0% 67.0%

Above 17.6 GW

Market Model 9.0% 50.0%

5.2K contracts Refresh

Wingstop US same store sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above -5%

Market Model 38.0% 83.3%

Above -4%

Market Model 11.0% 83.3%

4.7K contracts Refresh

Dollarama comparable store sales growth in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 6%

Market Model 18.0% 8.6%

Above 5%

Market Model 46.0% 30.0%

2.5K contracts Refresh

Loblaw food retail same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 2%

Market Model 75.0% 85.3%

Above 3%

Market Model 15.0% 23.3%

4.0K contracts Refresh

United Airlines passengers flown in 2026 Kalshi

Above 186 million

Market Model 88.0% 51.6%

Above 188 million

Market Model 69.0% 35.6%

95.0K contracts Refresh

Tesla total production in 2026 Kalshi

Above 1.9 million

Market Model 25.0% 9.0%

Above 1.85 million

Market Model 58.0% 15.9%

14.1K contracts Refresh

Tesla headcount in 2026 Kalshi

Above 130000

Market Model 90.0% 81.9%

Above 140000

Market Model 45.0% 41.1%

13.5K contracts Refresh

Tesla total deliveries in 2026 Kalshi

Above 1.75 million

Market Model 76.0% 28.6%

Above 1.9 million

Market Model 21.0% 8.1%

68.1K contracts Refresh

Toast total locations in 2026 Kalshi

Above 198 thousand

Market Model 30.0% 28.5%

Above 189 thousand

Market Model 93.0% 98.8%

15.0K contracts Refresh

How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026? Kalshi

Above 1000

Market Model 20.0% 47.6%

Above 5000

Market Model 2.0% 21.0%

178.7K contracts Refresh

How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? Kalshi

Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter

Market Model 62.0% 96.5%

Above 30 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter

Market Model 8.0% 18.5%

39.6K contracts Refresh

How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year? Kalshi

Above 500000 in a single quarter

Market Model 45.0% 50.4%

Above 750000 in a single quarter

Market Model 4.0% 5.5%

120.6K contracts Refresh

Will NYC subway ridership reach its pre-Covid average? Kalshi

4.19 million

Market Model 56.0% 27.1%

4.65 million

Market Model 11.0% 3.9%

11.6K contracts Refresh

Constellation Brands Beer Shipments in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 425 million

Market Model 19.0% 26.7%

Above 420 million

Market Model 50.0% 26.7%

664 contracts Refresh

Spotify premium subscribers in 2026 Kalshi

Above 316 million

Market Model 81.0% 27.0%

Above 328 million

Market Model 62.0% 5.5%

12.3K contracts Refresh

Spotify total monthly active users in 2026 Kalshi

Above 800 million

Market Model 94.0% 91.0%

Above 810 million

Market Model 91.0% 84.0%

22.0K contracts Refresh

Spotify headcount in 2026 Kalshi

Above 7350

Market Model 15.0% 3.5%

Above 7300

Market Model 33.0% 3.6%

1.4K contracts Refresh

Charles Schwab Active Brokerage Accounts in 2026 Kalshi

Above 41 million

Market Model 32.0% 21.0%

Above 40.4 million

Market Model 93.0% 24.0%

996 contracts Refresh

Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026 Kalshi

Above 46000

Market Model 93.0% 86.1%

Above 52000

Market Model 88.0% 79.6%

83.5K contracts Refresh

Reddit daily active uniques in 2026 Kalshi

Above 138 million

Market Model 59.0% 75.8%

Above 136 million

Market Model 70.0% 94.0%

14.4K contracts Refresh

Ferrari total car shipments in 2026 Kalshi

Above 13900

Market Model 13.0% 7.9%

Above 13500

Market Model 69.0% 64.1%

29.2K contracts Refresh

Palantir total customer count in 2026 Kalshi

Above 1100

Market Model 99.0% 90.7%

Above 1200

Market Model 36.0% 57.1%

23.8K contracts Refresh

Oracle headcount in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 160000

Market Model 11.0% 5.1%

Above 130000

Market Model 55.0% 70.4%

10.4K contracts Refresh

Netflix headcount in 2026 Kalshi

Above 17500

Market Model 7.0% 59.1%

Above 19000

Market Model 9.0% 10.4%

16.1K contracts Refresh

Norwegian Cruise passengers carried in 2026 Kalshi

Above 3.25 million

Market Model 98.0% 88.1%

Above 3.3 million

Market Model 80.0% 82.2%

69.0K contracts Refresh

Match total payers in 2026 Kalshi

Above 13.8 million

Market Model 13.0% 3.0%

Above 12.4 million

Market Model 91.0% 80.3%

28.9K contracts Refresh

Altria domestic cigarette shipments in 2026 Kalshi

Above 54.5 billion

Market Model 95.0% 62.3%

Above 61 billion

Market Model 6.0% 2.1%

51.5K contracts Refresh

Meta headcount in 2026 Kalshi

Above 65000

Market Model 83.0% 85.7%

Above 77000

Market Model 7.0% 8.0%

53.7K contracts Refresh

Meta family daily active people in 2026 Kalshi

Above 3.72 billion

Market Model 33.0% 53.3%

Above 3.68 billion

Market Model 79.0% 91.9%

5.8K contracts Refresh

MercadoLibre items sold in 2026 Kalshi

Above 3.6 billion

Market Model 2.0% 10.5%

Above 3 billion

Market Model 97.0% 91.7%

115.1K contracts Refresh

Southwest Airlines seats flown in 2026 Kalshi

Above 229 million

Market Model 78.0% 35.0%

Above 227 million

Market Model 90.0% 65.0%

21.4K contracts Refresh

Lululemon Americas comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above -6%

Market Model 25.0% 34.3%

Above -5%

Market Model 3.0% 29.5%

28.3K contracts Refresh

Intel headcount in 2026 Kalshi

Above 80000

Market Model 61.0% 31.0%

Above 78000

Market Model 88.0% 72.0%

1.1K contracts Refresh

Hims subscribers in 2026 Kalshi

Above 2.84 million

Market Model 94.0% 94.0%

Above 3.08 million

Market Model 45.0% 40.2%

41.1K contracts Refresh

Grab monthly transacting users in 2026 Kalshi

Above 62 million

Market Model 8.0% 4.2%

Above 56.5 million

Market Model 21.0% 65.8%

35.5K contracts Refresh

Google headcount in 2026 Kalshi

Above 208000

Market Model 25.0% 2.7%

Above 188000

Market Model 95.0% 97.0%

30.6K contracts Refresh

Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026 Kalshi

Above 2 million

Market Model 83.0% 56.2%

Above 1.8 million

Market Model 99.0% 98.6%

57.6K contracts Refresh

eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026 Kalshi

Above $92 billion

Market Model 43.0% 9.7%

Above $91 billion

Market Model 69.0% 16.4%

67.4K contracts Refresh

Domino's total US stores in 2026 Kalshi

Above 7350

Market Model 53.0% 98.0%

Above 7375

Market Model 21.0% 75.3%

3.6K contracts Refresh

Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026 Kalshi

Above 900 thousand

Market Model 10.0% 2.7%

Above 910 thousand

Market Model 9.0% 2.7%

17.5K contracts Refresh

Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 0%

Market Model 44.0% 48.5%

Above -1%

Market Model 68.0% 67.4%

27.5K contracts Refresh

When will Waymo announce 1 million paid rides per week? Kalshi

Yes

Market Model 37.0% 79.7%

13.5K contracts Refresh

Chipotle total restaurant count in 2026 Kalshi

Above 4320

Market Model 97.0% 98.8%

Above 4300

Market Model 95.0% 98.8%

22.0K contracts Refresh

Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in 2026 Kalshi

Above 97.4 million

Market Model 13.0% 6.5%

Above 98.1 million

Market Model 7.0% 3.0%

165.9K contracts Refresh

Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026 Kalshi

Above 680

Market Model 6.0% 9.3%

Above 660

Market Model 8.0% 27.7%

524.1K contracts Refresh

Aritzia comparable sales growth in fiscal 2027 Kalshi

Above 24%

Market Model 35.0% 19.9%

Above 21%

Market Model 90.0% 51.2%

6.1K contracts Refresh

Amazon headcount in 2026 Kalshi

Above 1550000

Market Model 86.0% 66.8%

Above 1600000

Market Model 87.0% 17.9%

74.2K contracts Refresh

Air Canada passenger load factor in fiscal 2026 Kalshi

Above 86.5%

Market Model 86.0% 14.7%

Above 85.5%

Market Model 94.0% 38.0%

30.5K contracts Refresh

Clear active clear+ members in 2026 Kalshi

Above 8.7 million

Market Model 54.0% 65.7%

Above 8.6 million

Market Model 60.0% 66.6%

29.9K contracts Refresh

Nu Holdings customers in 2026 Kalshi

Above 143 million

Market Model 96.0% 86.8%

Above 154 million

Market Model 7.0% 6.4%

2.1K contracts Refresh

Robinhood funded customers in 2026 Kalshi

Above 30.2 million

Market Model 12.0% 87.6%

Above 30 million

Market Model 9.0% 90.6%

220.1K contracts Refresh

Domino's US same store sales growth in 2026 Kalshi

Above 2.5%

Market Model 20.0% 35.2%

Above 2%

Market Model 32.0% 35.2%

3.8K contracts Refresh