Zoom customers over $100k in TTM revenue in Q3
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- Above 4675 customers is likely given 4,625 reported in Q2 FY2027.
- Above 4700 customers aligns with Wall Street's $1.279 billion Q3 revenue forecast.
- Exceeding 4750 customers appears less probable; large enterprise growth remains modest.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4700 | 79.0% | 20.0% | Market higher by 59.0pp |
| Above 4675 | 0.0% | 20.0% | Model higher by 20.0pp |
| Above 4725 | 0.0% | 20.0% | Model higher by 20.0pp |
| Above 4750 | 0.0% | 20.0% | Model higher by 20.0pp |
| Above 4775 | 0.0% | 15.0% | Model higher by 15.0pp |
Current Context
Sources (11)
- 1Zoom Communications Reports Financial Results for the Second Quarter of Fiscal Year 2027barchart.com
- 2Zoom nets $1.54B on $1.28B revenue, Anthropic gain | ZM Quarterly Report (10-Q)stocktitan.net
- 3Documentsec.gov
- 4ZM_Q22026, Page: 2Octagon Agentoctagonai.co
- 5ZM_Q22026, Page: 6Octagon Agentoctagonai.co
- 6www.globenewswire.comOctagon Agentglobenewswire.com
- 7www.globenewswire.comOctagon Agentglobenewswire.com
- 8www.globenewswire.comOctagon Agentglobenewswire.com
- 9www.globenewswire.comOctagon Agentglobenewswire.com
- 10Zoom Video (ZM) Earnings: Latest Report, Earnings Call...public.com
- 11Zoom lifts forecast on stronger enterprise growth & AItelconews.in
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
📈 August 31, 2026: 90.0pp spike
Price increased from 1.0% to 91.0%
Outcome: Above 4675
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This Kalshi market resolves YES if Zoom reports more than 4,725 customers with over $100,000 in trailing twelve months (TTM) revenue for Q3. It resolves NO if this number is 4,725 or fewer. The market closes on November 23 at 4:00 PM EST, with a maximum payout date of March 23, 2027.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4700 | $0.87 | $0.23 | 79% |
| Above 4675 | $0.99 | $0.10 | 0% |
| Above 4725 | $0.53 | $0.57 | 0% |
| Above 4750 | $0.21 | $0.89 | 0% |
| Above 4775 | $0.09 | $0.99 | 0% |
Market Discussion
Zoom reported 4,625 customers contributing more than $100,000 in trailing twelve-month (TTM) revenue as of July 31, 2026 (Q2 fiscal year 2027), representing an 8.20% year-over-year increase, which management highlighted as part of stronger enterprise momentum driven by product diversification and AI monetization [1]. Despite this positive metric, market sentiment following the August 25, 2026, Q2 earnings release focused on "lukewarm" forward guidance for Q3 fiscal year 2027 profit and concerns over rising AI-related expenses, leading to a decline in stock value [2].
5. Trust Index
Order book is critically thin.
Primary risk· Trade quality
Info fairness is low (40), but Integrity averages all three scores, so the other two pull it up. Only a critically low score would cap the total.
Includes the cost to trade: a $1,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.
Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index
6. What do historical reports from FY2025 through Q2 FY2027 reveal about the growth trajectory of Zoom's >$100k customer cohort?
| Customers >$100k TTM (Q2 FY2027) | 4,625 [1][2][3][4] |
|---|---|
| Revenue Contribution | Approximately 33% of total revenue [1][5][6] |
| YoY Growth (Q2 FY2027) | 8.2% [1][7][8] |
Sources (11)
- 1Zoom Communications Q2 FY27 Earningsinvestors.zoom.us
- 2ZM_Q32025, Page: 3Octagon Agentoctagonai.co
- 3ZM_Q32025, Page: 2Octagon Agentoctagonai.co
- 4ZM_Q32025, Page: 5Octagon Agentoctagonai.co
- 5Zoom Video (ZM) Q2 2027 Earnings Call Transcript & Audiostockanalysis.com
- 6Zoom Q2 FY2027 earnings beat but profit outlook disappointsqz.com
- 7Zoom Q2 Earnings: Revenue $1.28B, Enterprise Up 7.8%stocktitan.net
- 8Zoom Communications Reports Financial Results for the Second Quarter of Fiscal Year 2027barchart.com
- 9Zoom Communications Reports Financial Results for the First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2027investors.zoom.us
- 10Documentsec.gov
- 11Documentsec.gov
7. How do Wall Street analyst forecasts for Zoom's Q3 FY2027 revenue translate to expectations for the >$100k customer count?
| Q3 FY2027 Revenue Consensus | $1.279 billion (analyst consensus as of 2026-08-25) [1][2][3][4][5][6] |
|---|---|
| Zoom's Q3 FY2027 Revenue Guidance | $1.275 billion to $1.280 billion [7][8][9][10][11] |
| Customers with >$100k TTM Revenue (Q2 FY2027) | 4,625 [10][12][13] |
Sources (13)
- 1ZM_Q22026, Page: 2Octagon Agentoctagonai.co
- 2ZM_Q22026, Page: 4Octagon Agentoctagonai.co
- 3ZM_Q22026, Page: 9Octagon Agentoctagonai.co
- 4ZM_Q22026, Page: 1Octagon Agentoctagonai.co
- 5Zoom Video Communications, Inc. (10-K) - 2026-FY, Page: 55Octagon Agentoctagonai.co
- 6Zoom Video Communications, Inc. (10-K) - 2026-FY, Page: 60Octagon Agentoctagonai.co
- 7Zoom Communications (NASDAQ:ZM) Updates Q3 2027...marketbeat.com
- 8Zoom Falls 6% as Soft Q3 Profit Guidance Overshadows...247wallst.com
- 9Zoom Shares Slide 5.8% Premarket After EPS Guidance Misses Estimatests2.tech
- 10Documentsec.gov
- 11Zoom Communications, Inc. (ZM) Analyst Ratings, Estimates & Forecasts - Yahoo Financefinance.yahoo.com
- 12Zoom Communications Reports Financial Results for the Second Quarter of Fiscal Year 2027barchart.com
- 13Zoom Communications Reports Financial Results for the First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2027investors.zoom.us
8. What is the anticipated impact of Zoom's AI product suite (e.g., Virtual Agent, AI Companion) on upselling enterprise contracts in Q3 FY2027?
| Q2 FY2027 Enterprise revenue growth | 7.8% year-over-year (as of Q2 FY2027) [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| Virtual Agent customer count increase | 256% year-over-year (as of Q2 FY2027) [4][1][3] |
| Customers with >$100k TTM revenue | 4,625 (as of Q2 FY2027) [5][3] |
Sources (11)
- 1Zoom’s Q2 2027 earnings driven by Enterprise revenue growthnojitter.com
- 2Zoom AI push drives enterprise growth to three-year high — UC Todayuctoday.com
- 3Zoom Video Communications, Inc. (ZM) 10-Q Quarterly Report August 2026last10k.com
- 4Zoom Video (ZM) Q2 2027 Earnings Call Transcript & Audiostockanalysis.com
- 5Zoom Q2 profit jumps to $1.54B on $1.28B revenue | ZM 8-K Filingstocktitan.net
- 6www.zacks.comOctagon Agentzacks.com
- 7seekingalpha.comOctagon Agent
- 8www.benzinga.comOctagon Agentbenzinga.com
- 9www.schaeffersresearch.comOctagon Agentschaeffersresearch.com
- 10www.youtube.comOctagon Agentyoutube.com
- 11247wallst.comOctagon Agent
9. How does Zoom's growth rate in large enterprise deals compare to that of its main Unified Communications competitors, Microsoft Teams and Cisco Webex, in 2026?
| Zoom Q3 FY26 customers > $100k revenue growth | 9.2% year-over-year [1][2] |
|---|---|
| Zoom Q2 FY27 enterprise revenue growth | 7.8% year-over-year [3] |
| Microsoft Teams UCaaS market share (2025) | Approximately 22% of seats [4] |
Sources (7)
- 1Zoom Q3 FY26 Earnings Prepared Remarksinvestors.zoom.us
- 2Zoom Communications Q3 2026: $1.23B Revenue, EPS Up 204%stocktitan.net
- 3Zoom Video Communications, Inc. (ZM) 10-Q Quarterly Report August 2026last10k.com
- 4UCaaS Quarterly Market Share & Forecast Report: 2025 & 4Q25 - Metrigymetrigy.com
- 5Zoom Q2 FY27 Earnings Preview - UC Todayuctoday.com
- 6Zoom vs Microsoft Teams Statistics 2026: Market Share, Usage & Growth Analysis • XtendedViewxtendedview.com
- 7Business VoIP Market Share by Provider and Segment (2026) - Upcisionupcision.com
10. Which macroeconomic trends, such as corporate IT budget adjustments reported in H2 2026, pose the biggest risk or opportunity for Zoom's customer growth?
| Worldwide IT Spending Growth (2026 Forecast) | 13.50% [1][2][3][4][5][6] |
|---|---|
| Communications Services Spending Growth (2026 Projected) | 4.80% [1][2][3][4][5][6] |
| Zoom Customers >$100k TTM Revenue (Q2 FY2027 YoY Growth) | 8.2% [7][8][9] |
Sources (10)
- 1www.zacks.comOctagon Agentzacks.com
- 2www.defenseworld.netOctagon Agentdefenseworld.net
- 3www.zacks.comOctagon Agentzacks.com
- 4seekingalpha.comOctagon Agent
- 5www.gurufocus.comOctagon Agentgurufocus.com
- 6www.schaeffersresearch.comOctagon Agentschaeffersresearch.com
- 7Zoom Q2 FY2027: AI Companion Clears Enterprise… | Pomegra Newspomegra.io
- 8Zoom Communications (ZM) Q2 2027: Enterprise Revenue Growth Hits Three-Year High Amid AI-Driven Platform Expansion | EarningsIQearningsiq.co
- 9Zoom Communications Posts Explosive 352% EPS Surge, Surpassing Analyst Expectations in Q2 2026 Release.:: EarningsReleaseearnings-release.com
- 10Zoom’s enterprise reinvention gains some traction - but softer guidance hits share pricediginomica.com
11. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: March 23, 2027
- Closes: March 23, 2027
Sources (13)
- 1Zoom beats quarterly forecasts and raises full-year outlook...finance.yahoo.com
- 2Zoom Communications Reports Financial Results for the Second Quarter of Fiscal Year 2027au.marketscreener.com
- 3Zoom Communications Reports Financial Results for the Second Quarter of Fiscal Year 2027barchart.com
- 4Documentsec.gov
- 5www.zacks.comOctagon Agentzacks.com
- 6www.defenseworld.netOctagon Agentdefenseworld.net
- 7www.zacks.comOctagon Agentzacks.com
- 8seekingalpha.comOctagon Agent
- 9www.gurufocus.comOctagon Agentgurufocus.com
- 10www.schaeffersresearch.comOctagon Agentschaeffersresearch.com
- 11Transcript: Zoom Communications, Inc., Q2 2027 Earnings Call, Aug 25, 2026 | MarketScreener UAE Emiratesae.marketscreener.com
- 12Zoom Q3 Revenue Guidance Disappoints as Enterprise Growth Accelerates – Minichartminichart.com.sg
- 13Investor Relations | Zoom Communications, Inc.investors.zoom.us
13. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 5 markets in this series
Outcomes: 2 resolved YES, 3 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXZM-26AUGCUST100K-4675: NO (Aug 25, 2026)
- KXZM-26AUGCUST100K-4650: NO (Aug 25, 2026)
- KXZM-26AUGCUST100K-4625: NO (Aug 25, 2026)
- KXZM-26AUGCUST100K-4600: YES (Aug 25, 2026)
- KXZM-26AUGCUST100K-4575: YES (Aug 25, 2026)