Zoom customers over $100k in TTM revenue in Q3
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- Above 4675 customers is likely given 4,625 reported in Q2 FY2027.
- Above 4700 customers aligns with Wall Street's $1.279 billion Q3 revenue forecast.
- Exceeding 4750 customers appears less probable; large enterprise growth remains modest.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4675 | 0.0% | 20.0% | Consistent growth in Zoom's >$100k customers is driven by AI enterprise solutions and stable Q3 FY2027 revenue guidance. |
| Above 4700 | 0.0% | 20.0% | Consistent growth in Zoom's >$100k customers is driven by AI enterprise solutions and stable Q3 FY2027 revenue guidance. |
| Above 4725 | 0.0% | 20.0% | Consistent growth in Zoom's >$100k customers is driven by AI enterprise solutions and stable Q3 FY2027 revenue guidance. |
| Above 4750 | 0.0% | 20.0% | Consistent growth in Zoom's >$100k customers is driven by AI enterprise solutions and stable Q3 FY2027 revenue guidance. |
| Above 4775 | 0.0% | 15.0% | Consistent growth in Zoom's >$100k customers is driven by AI enterprise solutions and stable Q3 FY2027 revenue guidance. |
Current Context
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
📈 August 31, 2026: 90.0pp spike
Price increased from 1.0% to 91.0%
Outcome: Above 4675
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This Kalshi market resolves YES if Zoom reports more than 4,725 customers with over $100,000 in trailing twelve months (TTM) revenue for Q3. It resolves NO if this number is 4,725 or fewer. The market closes on November 23 at 4:00 PM EST, with a maximum payout date of March 23, 2027.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4675 | $0.93 | $0.08 | 0% |
| Above 4700 | $0.83 | $0.21 | 0% |
| Above 4725 | $0.50 | $0.55 | 0% |
| Above 4750 | $0.21 | $0.88 | 0% |
| Above 4775 | $0.06 | $0.98 | 0% |
Market Discussion
Zoom reported 4,625 customers contributing more than $100,000 in trailing twelve-month (TTM) revenue as of July 31, 2026 (Q2 fiscal year 2027), representing an 8.20% year-over-year increase, which management highlighted as part of stronger enterprise momentum driven by product diversification and AI monetization [^]. Despite this positive metric, market sentiment following the August 25, 2026, Q2 earnings release focused on "lukewarm" forward guidance for Q3 fiscal year 2027 profit and concerns over rising AI-related expenses, leading to a decline in stock value [^].
5. Trader Trust Dashboard
6. What do historical reports from FY2025 through Q2 FY2027 reveal about the growth trajectory of Zoom's >$100k customer cohort?
| Customers >$100k TTM (Q2 FY2027) | 4,625 [^][^][^][^] |
|---|---|
| Revenue Contribution | Approximately 33% of total revenue [^][^][^] |
| YoY Growth (Q2 FY2027) | 8.2% [^][^][^] |
7. How do Wall Street analyst forecasts for Zoom's Q3 FY2027 revenue translate to expectations for the >$100k customer count?
| Q3 FY2027 Revenue Consensus | $1.279 billion (analyst consensus as of 2026-08-25) [^][^][^][^][^][^] |
|---|---|
| Zoom's Q3 FY2027 Revenue Guidance | $1.275 billion to $1.280 billion [^][^][^][^][^] |
| Customers with >$100k TTM Revenue (Q2 FY2027) | 4,625 [^][^][^] |
8. What is the anticipated impact of Zoom's AI product suite (e.g., Virtual Agent, AI Companion) on upselling enterprise contracts in Q3 FY2027?
| Q2 FY2027 Enterprise revenue growth | 7.8% year-over-year (as of Q2 FY2027) [^][^][^] |
|---|---|
| Virtual Agent customer count increase | 256% year-over-year (as of Q2 FY2027) [^][^][^] |
| Customers with >$100k TTM revenue | 4,625 (as of Q2 FY2027) [^][^] |
9. How does Zoom's growth rate in large enterprise deals compare to that of its main Unified Communications competitors, Microsoft Teams and Cisco Webex, in 2026?
| Zoom Q3 FY26 customers > $100k revenue growth | 9.2% year-over-year [^][^] |
|---|---|
| Zoom Q2 FY27 enterprise revenue growth | 7.8% year-over-year [^] |
| Microsoft Teams UCaaS market share (2025) | Approximately 22% of seats [^] |
10. Which macroeconomic trends, such as corporate IT budget adjustments reported in H2 2026, pose the biggest risk or opportunity for Zoom's customer growth?
| Worldwide IT Spending Growth (2026 Forecast) | 13.50% [^][^][^][^][^][^] |
|---|---|
| Communications Services Spending Growth (2026 Projected) | 4.80% [^][^][^][^][^][^] |
| Zoom Customers >$100k TTM Revenue (Q2 FY2027 YoY Growth) | 8.2% [^][^][^] |
11. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: March 23, 2027
- Closes: March 23, 2027
12. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: Zoom's second fiscal quarter of 2027, which ended July 31, 2026, saw 4,625 customers contributing over $100,000 in trailing 12-month revenue, an 8.2% year-over-year increase [^] [^] [^] [^] .
- Trigger: Enterprise revenue grew 7.8% year over year, with total revenue up 4.9% and remaining performance obligations increasing 14% [^] [^] [^] [^] [^] [^] .
- Trigger: The net dollar expansion rate stood at 99% [^] [^] [^] [^] [^] [^] .
- Trigger: Bullish indicators also include AI product adoption, share buybacks, and the optionality from its Anthropic stake [^] [^] [^] [^] [^] [^] .
14. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 5 markets in this series
Outcomes: 2 resolved YES, 3 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXZM-26AUGCUST100K-4675: NO (Aug 25, 2026)
- KXZM-26AUGCUST100K-4650: NO (Aug 25, 2026)
- KXZM-26AUGCUST100K-4625: NO (Aug 25, 2026)
- KXZM-26AUGCUST100K-4600: YES (Aug 25, 2026)
- KXZM-26AUGCUST100K-4575: YES (Aug 25, 2026)