Above 162 million
Market Model 8.0% 9.4%
Above 157 million
Market Model 69.0% 73.3%
Topic tracker · Financials
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (2 live) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new American Express Annual KPI markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated July 29, 2026