UiPath customers with arr of at least $1m in Q2
Short Answer
1. Executive Verdict
- The customer count is likely at or below 370 in Q2 FY2027.
- Macroeconomic headwinds, including foreign exchange, are slowing customer additions.
- Automation Anywhere has shown stronger growth in large enterprise customers than UiPath.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 370 | 0.0% | 0.7% | UiPath's AI advancements and platform expansion support enterprise growth and additions to its >$1M ARR customer base. |
| Above 380 | 0.0% | 0.5% | UiPath's AI advancements and platform expansion support enterprise growth and additions to its >$1M ARR customer base. |
| Above 390 | 0.0% | 0.4% | UiPath's AI advancements and platform expansion support enterprise growth and additions to its >$1M ARR customer base. |
| Above 400 | 0.0% | 0.3% | UiPath's AI advancements and platform expansion support enterprise growth and additions to its >$1M ARR customer base. |
| Above 410 | 0.0% | 0.2% | UiPath's AI advancements and platform expansion support enterprise growth and additions to its >$1M ARR customer base. |
Current Context
2. Market Behavior & Price Dynamics
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves "Yes" if UiPath reports more than 390 customers with an Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) of at least $1 million for Q2, and "No" if the number is 390 or fewer. The market concludes on September 3, 4:00 PM EDT, with a maximum payout date of December 31, 2026. No special settlement conditions beyond UiPath's direct reporting of the customer count are specified.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 370 | $0.99 | $0.06 | 0% |
| Above 380 | $0.82 | $0.26 | 0% |
| Above 390 | $0.28 | $0.80 | 0% |
| Above 400 | $0.06 | $0.99 | 0% |
| Above 410 | $0.05 | $0.99 | 0% |
Market Discussion
UiPath reported 374 customers with at least $1 million in ARR as of April 30, 2026, which concluded the first quarter of fiscal year 2027 [^][^]. This specific customer concentration metric is a key performance indicator actively monitored by prediction markets and investors for fiscal year 2027, with market commentary emphasizing its role as a primary risk and valuation driver for UiPath [^][^][^][^].
4. What is the consensus among Wall Street analysts for UiPath's number of >$1M ARR customers for Q2 FY2027?
| Wall Street Consensus for >$1M ARR Customers Q2 FY2027 | Not available [^] |
|---|---|
| UiPath Q2 FY2027 Total ARR Guidance | $1.929 billion to $1.934 billion [^][^][^] |
| Customers with >$1M ARR as of Q1 FY2027 | 374 [^][^][^] |
5. What major enterprise deals or product advancements were announced by UiPath during Q2 FY2027 that could drive new customer acquisitions or expansions into the >$1M ARR tier?
| Coding Agents Launch Date | May 12, 2026 [^][^][^] |
|---|---|
| >$1M ARR Customers (Q1 FY2027) | 374 [^][^][^] |
| Customers Using Agentic Tech | 450 [^][^][^][^][^][^] |
6. How does UiPath's growth rate in large enterprise customers compare to key automation competitors like Automation Anywhere and Blue Prism in their most recent fiscal quarters?
| UiPath $1M+ ARR Customer YoY Growth | 18% year-over-year (Q1 FY2027) [^] |
|---|---|
| Automation Anywhere $1M+ ARR Customer YoY Growth | 25% year-over-year (Q1 FY27) [^][^] |
| Blue Prism Public Financial Statements | No longer published (Acquired in 2022) [^][^] |
7. Based on historical data from FY2025 and FY2026, what has been UiPath's typical quarter-over-quarter net addition of >$1M ARR customers?
| Avg quarterly net addition >$1M ARR customers | 10 customers per quarter [^] |
|---|---|
| Time period for data | Q2 FY2025 through Q1 FY2027 (7 quarters) [^] |
| Range of quarterly net additions >$1M ARR customers | -1 to 24 customers per quarter [^] |
8. What macroeconomic headwinds or competitive pressures in Q2 FY2027 could lead to customer churn or delayed deal closures, potentially slowing UiPath's growth in the >$1M ARR segment?
| Expected Q2 FY2027 Revenue Growth | Approximately 9.8% (down from 17% in Q1) [^][^][^] |
|---|---|
| Q1 FY2027 Revenue Growth | 17% [^][^][^] |
| Over $1M ARR Customers (Q1 FY2027) | 374 (18% year-over-year increase) [^][^] |
9. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: January 01, 2027
- Closes: January 01, 2027
10. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: UiPath is scheduled to report its second quarter fiscal 2027 financial results after market close on Thursday, September 3, 2026 [^] [^] [^] [^] .
- Trigger: The company has provided guidance for Q2 fiscal 2027 Annualized Renewal Run-rate (ARR) in the range of $1.929 billion to $1.934 billion as of July 31, 2026 [^] [^] [^] .
- Trigger: Key performance indicators for UiPath include ARR, dollar-based net retention rate, and customer growth in cohorts exceeding $100K and $1M in ARR [^] [^] .
- Trigger: For Q1 fiscal 2027, metrics included a 109% dollar-based net retention rate and 12% year-over-year ARR growth [^] [^] .
12. Historical Resolutions
No historical resolution data available for this series.