Coeur Mining gold production in Q1 2027
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- Gold production likely exceeds 140,000 ounces, driven by new Canadian assets.
- Management anticipates record 2027 gold production, supporting higher Q1 output.
- Q3 2026 production of 161,400 ounces signals capacity for strong Q1 2027.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 140000 ounces | 0.0% | 12.0% | Research does not highlight strong supporting evidence. |
| Above 160000 ounces | 0.0% | 12.0% | Research does not highlight strong supporting evidence. |
| Above 170000 ounces | 0.0% | 12.0% | Research does not highlight strong supporting evidence. |
| Above 180000 ounces | 0.0% | 12.0% | Research does not highlight strong supporting evidence. |
| Above 190000 ounces | 0.0% | 12.0% | Research does not highlight strong supporting evidence. |
Current Context
Sources (12)
- 1Coeur Mining, Inc. | Coeur Reports Third Quarter 2026 Resultscoeur.com
- 2Coeur Mining (CDE) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | The Motley Foolfool.com
- 3cde-20260930sec.gov
- 4Coeur Mining, Inc. | Coeur Reports First Quarter 2026 Resultscoeur.com
- 5Coeur Mining Production Data - Copper, Gold, Silver Output by Quarter | World Mining Monitorkadoa.com
- 6Coeur Mining (CDE) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript & Audiostockanalysis.com
- 7Coeur Mining gold production next quarter Odds & Predictions 2027kalshi.com
- 8How Did Coeur Mining (NYSE:CDE) Build USD 1.2 Billion of Cash While Q3 Profit Eased?kalkine.ca
- 9Coeur Mining earnings on deck as stock tests 52-week lows By Investing.cominvesting.com
- 10Coeur Mining (CDE) Stock Forecast & Analyst Price Targetsstockanalysis.com
- 11CDE.USD.CH | Coeur Mining Inc. Analyst Estimates & Ratings – WSJwsj.com
- 12Coeur Mining price target raised to $28.50 from $27.50 at Scotiabank - TipRanks.comtipranks.com
2. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves YES if Coeur Mining's gold production for the specified quarter is strictly above 140,000 ounces, and NO if it is 140,000 ounces or less. The market is currently launching soon, with trading to commence after it opens. It will officially end on May 5, 4:00 PM EDT; no special settlement conditions are mentioned beyond this.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 140000 ounces | $0.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
| Above 160000 ounces | $0.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
| Above 170000 ounces | $0.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
| Above 180000 ounces | $0.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
| Above 190000 ounces | $0.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
| Above 200000 ounces | $0.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
| Above 220000 ounces | $0.00 | $1.00 | 0% |
Market Discussion
Coeur Mining management expects 2027 to be "another record year," projecting growth due to full-year contributions from Rainy River and New Afton [1][2][3][4]. However, a prediction market suggests Q1 2027 gold production is likely to be below 140,000 oz, assigning less than 1% probability to it exceeding that figure, despite Q3 2026 production reaching 161,400 oz [1][5].
Sources (5)
- 1Coeur Mining, Inc. | Coeur Reports Third Quarter 2026 Resultscoeur.com
- 2Coeur Mining (CDE) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | The Motley Foolfool.com
- 3Coeur Mining (CDE) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript & Audiostockanalysis.com
- 4Coeur Mining (CDE) Transcript: Mining Forum Americas 2026stockanalysis.com
- 5Coeur Mining gold production next quarter Odds & Predictions 2027kalshi.com
3. What operational risks or seasonal production patterns could justify the Kalshi market's sub-1% probability of Coeur Mining exceeding 140,000 gold ounces in Q1 2027?
| Kalshi Q1 2027 Median Implied Production | Approximately 201,282 ounces [1][2] |
|---|---|
| Kalshi Probability 'Above 140k oz' | Less than 1% [1] |
| Kensington Q1 2025 Gold Production | 22,715 gold ounces [3] |
Sources (9)
- 1Coeur Mining gold production next quarter Odds & Predictions 2027kalshi.com
- 2Coeur Mining gold production in fiscal 2026: Odds & Chart | 4Search Finance4search.com
- 3Coeur Mining, Inc. | Coeur Reports First Quarter 2025 Resultscoeur.com
- 4Coeur Mining, Inc. | Coeur Reports First Quarter 2026 Resultscoeur.com
- 5Coeur Mining, Inc. | Coeur Reports Third Quarter 2026 Resultscoeur.com
- 60000215466-26-000004minedocs.com
- 7Coeur Mining (CDE) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript & Audiostockanalysis.com
- 8Coeur Mining (CDE) Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript | The Motley Foolfool.com
- 9Coeur Mining (CDE) Transcript: Mining Forum Americas 2026stockanalysis.com
4. How might the gold and silver price forecasts from firms like Scotiabank for early 2027 influence Coeur Mining's ore grade processing and production decisions in Q1?
| Gold Price Forecast 2027 (Scotiabank Base) | $4,150 (Scotiabank, July 2026 analysis) [1][2] |
|---|---|
| Silver Price Forecast 2027 (Median) | $75/oz (across 11 recent forecasts) [3][4] |
| Coeur Mining 2026 Gold Revenue Mix | Approximately 65% [5][6] |
Sources (10)
- 1Gold at $5,000 or $3,150? Scotiabank maps three paths for bullioninvestinglive.com
- 2Scotiabank Gold Price Scenarios 2026-2027: Risk Premiums Drive XAUUSD Outlookasia-fx.com
- 3Silver Price Forecast 2027: Bank Forecasts and Targets (October 2026) — Corganosilverprice.corgano.com
- 4Silver Price Forecast for 2026 and 2027jpmorgan.com
- 5Coeur Mining (CDE) Transcript: Investor updatestockanalysis.com
- 6Coeur Mining, Inc. — Call & Meeting Transcript 2026financialfilings.com
- 7Coeur Mining (CDE) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptfinance.yahoo.com
- 8Earnings Whispers | Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptearningswhispers.com
- 9Coeur Mining (CDE) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript & Audiostockanalysis.com
- 10Coeur Mining, Inc. — Investor Presentation 2026financialfilings.com
5. How do Coeur Mining's internal 2027 production guidances compare with the consensus gold output estimates from financial analysts like Scotiabank and those tracked by the Wall Street Journal?
| FY2026 Gold Production Guidance | 630,000-750,000 ounces [1][2][3][4][5] |
|---|---|
| WSJ FY2027 EPS Consensus | $1.56 [6][7] |
| Kalshi Q1 2027 Gold Production | Expected below 140,000 ounces [8] |
Sources (13)
- 1Coeur Mining, Inc. | Coeur Reports Third Quarter 2026 Resultscoeur.com
- 2Coeur Mining, Inc. | Coeur Reports Second Quarter 2026 Resultscoeur.com
- 3Coeur Mining, Inc. | Coeur Provides Company Update Post-New Gold Closingcoeur.com
- 4Coeur Mining, Inc. — Investor Presentation 2026financialfilings.com
- 5Coeur Mining, Inc. | Coeur Reports Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Resultscoeur.com
- 6CDE.CA | Coeur Mining Inc. Analyst Estimates & Ratings – WSJwsj.com
- 7CDE Earnings — Estimates, Results & Call Transcripts | Backpack Securitiesbackpack.exchange
- 8Coeur Mining gold production next quarter Odds & Predictions 2027kalshi.com
- 9Coeur Mining (CDE) Transcript: Mining Forum Americas 2026stockanalysis.com
- 10Coeur Mining Sees Second-Half Surge as Canadian Mines Ramp Up - Yahoo Finance | Limpid Marketslimpidmarkets.co.uk
- 11Coeur Mining gold production in fiscal 2026: Odds & Chart | 4Search Finance4search.com
- 12Coeur Mining gold production in fiscal 2026 - Probabilidades na Kalshi | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 13Coeur Mining price target raised to $28.50 from $27.50 at Scotiabank - TipRanks.comtipranks.com
6. What are the key milestones and potential risks for the New Afton mine development project slated for H1 2027, and how could they impact Coeur's Q1 gold output?
| First full year of contributions from New Afton under Coeur Mining | 2027 [1][2][3][4][5] |
|---|---|
| Expected average annual gold production from New Afton (2024-2030) | Approximately 90,000 ounces [6][7][8] |
| C-Zone annual mining production | Approximately 5.4-6.0 Mt (2026-2032) [9][10] |
Sources (16)
- 1Underground tunnel work planned as New Afton owner looks beyond current mine plan - CastanetKamloops.netcastanetkamloops.net
- 2Coeur Mining, Inc. — Call & Meeting Transcript 2026financialfilings.com
- 3Coeur Reports Second Quarter 2026 Resultscoeur.com
- 4Coeur Mining, Inc. | Coeur Reports First Quarter 2026 Resultscoeur.com
- 5Coeur Mining (CDE) Transcript: Investor updatestockanalysis.com
- 6NEW AFTON ACHIEVES SIGNIFICANT MILESTONE WITH COMPLETION OF THE FIRST DRAW BELL AT C-ZONE ON TIME AND C-ZONE COMMERCIAL PRODUCTION ON-TRACK FOR SECOND HALF OF 2024sec.gov
- 7New Afton Celebrates Transition to C-Zone Production Ramp-Up Phase - New Afton Minenewafton.newgold.com
- 8Provides Three-Year Operational Outlook and Files Updated Technical Reports fors28.q4cdn.com
- 9New Afton Operations Technical Report Summaryminedocs.com
- 10https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/215466/000114036126010650/ef20066748_ex99-3.htmsec.gov
- 11Coeur Mining, Inc. | Coeur Reports Third Quarter 2026 Resultscoeur.com
- 12Coeur Mining (CDE) Transcript: Mining Forum Americas 2026stockanalysis.com
- 13EarningsCall · CDE Q3 2026earningscall.biz
- 14https://s28.q4cdn.com/380852864/files/doc_news/2024/Oct/29/10-29-2024-Growth-Projects-Update-FINAL.pdfs28.q4cdn.com
- 15NEW AFTON MINEnrs.objectstore.gov.bc.ca
- 16New Afton mine output falls sharply after conveyor failure disrupts operations - CastanetKamloops.netcastanetkamloops.net
7. What production levels from the recently acquired New Afton and Rainy River mines are required in Q1 2027 to support management's guidance for a record-breaking year?
| 2025 Full-Year Gold Production | 419,046 ounces [1][2] |
|---|---|
| 2026 Full-Year Gold Production Target | approximately 630,000 ounces [1][2] |
| Rainy River Average Annual Gold Production (next 3 years) | 287,000 ounces [3] |
Sources (9)
- 1Coeur Mining, Inc. | Coeur Reports Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Resultscoeur.com
- 2Coeur Mining, Inc. — Investor Presentation 2026financialfilings.com
- 3Coeur Mining, Inc. | Coeur Provides Company Update Post-New Gold Closingcoeur.com
- 4Coeur Mining Inc. R (CDM1.DE) Q3 FY2026 earnings call...finance.yahoo.com
- 5Coeur Mining, Inc. | Coeur Reports Third Quarter 2026 Resultscoeur.com
- 6Coeur Mining (CDE) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript & Audiostockanalysis.com
- 7Coeur Mining, Inc. | Coeur Announces Acquisition of New Gold to Create a New, All North American Senior Precious Metals Producercoeur.com
- 8Coeur Mining (CDE) Transcript: Mining Forum Americas 2026stockanalysis.com
- 9Coeur Mining, Inc. — Call & Meeting Transcript 2026financialfilings.com
8. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: September 02, 2027
- Closes: September 02, 2027
Sources (14)
- 1Coeur Mining (CDE) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript | The Motley Foolfool.com
- 2Coeur Mining, Inc. | Coeur Reports Third Quarter 2026 Resultscoeur.com
- 3Coeur Mining, Inc. — Investor Presentation 2026financialfilings.com
- 4Coeur Mining (CDE) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript & Audiostockanalysis.com
- 5Coeur Mining, Inc. | Coeur Provides Company Update Post-New Gold Closingcoeur.com
- 6Coeur Mining, Inc. — Call & Meeting Transcript 2026financialfilings.com
- 7Coeur Mining (CDE) Analysis 2026 | Metal Pilot Blogblog.metalpilot.com
- 8CDE Earnings Date, EPS Estimates & History | The Right Tradertherighttrader.com
- 9COEUR MINING AKTIE AKTIE Termine | Quartalszahlen | Zwischenbericht | A0RNL2finanzen.net
- 10CDE Earnings — Estimates, Results & Call Transcripts | Backpack Securitiesbackpack.exchange
- 11Coeur Mining earnings on deck as stock tests 52-week lows By Investing.cominvesting.com
- 12Coeur Mining (CDE) Drops -25.6% Over 30 Days as Precious Metals Face Headwindstickeron.com
- 13Coeur Mining Stock Analysis 2026: Buy or Sell? - TickerGuardtickerguard.com
- 140000215466-26-000004minedocs.com