Short Answer

The model sees potential mispricing for Meta ad impressions growth in Q3 2026 above 8% (51.9% model vs 75.0% market), likely factoring in management's explicit warning of slower Q3 growth.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

This market's price action is defined by a single, sharp movement. After opening at 0.0%, the contract price spiked 75.0 percentage points on July 30, 2026, and has remained static at that level since. The primary driver for this jump was Meta's Q2 2026 earnings report, which announced a 14% year-over-year increase in ad impressions. This strong performance in the preceding quarter appears to have anchored market expectations for Q3.
Despite the decisive price move, trading volume is exceptionally light, with only two contracts traded in total. This thin liquidity suggests the 75.0% price reflects a low-conviction consensus, possibly set by a very small number of participants. The price has established a clear floor at 0.0% and a ceiling at 75.0%, with no trading activity between these levels.
Market sentiment, as indicated by the price, is skewed heavily toward positive ad impression growth in Q3. The price jump immediately following the Q2 report suggests traders weighted recent performance more heavily than management's guidance, which cautioned of a difficult year-over-year comparison for Q3. The lack of subsequent price movement or volume could indicate either a stable consensus or an illiquid market awaiting the next major catalyst, such as the Q3 earnings report scheduled for October 28, 2026.
  • Since last update (~24h): Model probability for "Above 12%" dropped by 11.2pp, a model-led move widening the edge.
  • Headline "Above 8%" model probability decreased by 5.9pp, widening the edge against market.
  • Model probability for "Above 16%" also declined by 5.6pp, a model-led move, widening the edge.
  • Market probability for "Above 18%" decreased by 2.0pp, with the model also dropping 1.7pp.
  • Exceeding 16% ad impression growth in Q3 appears less probable per management warnings.
  • Slower Q3 growth is expected given Q2's 14% and European regulatory headwinds.

Who Wins and Why

Outcome Market Model Why
Above 18% 5.0% 1.7% Market higher by 3.3pp
Above 16% 9.0% 9.7% Model higher by 0.7pp
Above 12% 42.0% 21.2% Market higher by 20.8pp
Above 10% 73.0% 47.0% Market higher by 26.0pp
Above 14% 22.0% 12.5% Market higher by 9.5pp

Current Context

Meta management projects challenging Q3 ad impression growth. The company indicated that Q3 2026 ad impressions growth faces a difficult comparison due to exceptionally strong growth in the same period a year prior [1]. For Q3 2026, Meta provided revenue guidance in the range of $61 billion to $64 billion, which some analysts interpreted as signaling a deceleration in growth compared to previous quarters [2]. Meta is scheduled to report its Q3 2026 financial results on October 28, 2026 [3].
Meta's Q2 ad metrics strengthened, supported by AI products. In Q2 2026, Meta reported a 14% year-over-year increase in ad impressions and a 12% year-over-year increase in the average price per ad [4]. Meta's core advertising business saw improved ad impressions and pricing [5]. The company's advertising performance continues to benefit from AI-powered ad products, including Advantage+ and the new Generative Recommender [1]. However, investor sentiment is strained by substantial AI infrastructure capital expenditures [1].
London Metal Exchange sources lack Meta's Q3 ad impression data. As of August 2, 2026, the provided London Metal Exchange (LME) expert-curated sources contain no data regarding Meta Platforms' Q3 2026 ad impression growth. These LME sources focus exclusively on base metals market performance, financial governance, and exchange operations [6].
Sources (6)
  1. 1Meta touts industry-leading ad revenue growth, but AI...marketingdive.com
  2. 2Meta Platforms (META) Earnings Date and Reports 2026marketbeat.com
  3. 3Meta Earnings Date & Event Calendarwallstreethorizon.com
  4. 4Meta Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results | MarketScreenermarketscreener.com
  5. 5Earnings Roundup: Meta, Microsoft & Qualcomm | Bloomberg Surveillanceyoutube.com
  6. 6P:\WP\ABS\LME.01A\REPORTS\AC00193.CEB [ACCOUNTS]lme.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Significant Price Movements

Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.

Outcome: Above 12%

📉 July 31, 2026: 8.0pp drop

Price decreased from 50.0% to 42.0%

What happened: The primary driver of the prediction market price movement was Meta's official Q2 2026 earnings report and subsequent management guidance. On July 29, 2026, Meta's management explicitly warned of slower ad impression growth for Q3 2026, attributing it to lapping a period of strong prior-year growth [1]. This forward-looking guidance, released two days before the market drop, directly impacted expectations for Q3 ad impression performance. Based on the available information, social media was irrelevant to this specific price movement, with no distinct social posts identified as influencing the market.

Outcome: Above 8%

📈 July 30, 2026: 75.0pp spike

Price increased from 0.0% to 75.0%

What happened: The primary driver for the 75.0 percentage point spike was Meta's Q2 2026 earnings report, released on July 30, 2026 [2][3]. The report announced that ad impressions across its Family of Apps increased by a substantial 14% year-over-year [2][3][4][5]. This strong Q2 performance likely led investors to project continued robust growth, making the "Above 8%" outcome for Q3 ad impressions highly probable. Social media activity was not identified as a primary driver, with no evidence of influential posts or viral narratives preceding or directly causing the move.
Sources (5)
  1. 1Meta touts industry-leading ad revenue growth, but AI...marketingdive.com
  2. 2Meta Reports Second Quarter 2026 Resultsinvestor.atmeta.com
  3. 3Meta Reports Second Quarter 2026 Resultsprnewswire.com
  4. 4Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) Q2 FY2026 earnings call...finance.yahoo.com
  5. 5Meta Platforms (META) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript & Audiostockanalysis.com

4. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

For each contract, a 'YES' resolution occurs if Meta's worldwide ad impressions delivered percentage change in Q3 is strictly above the specified threshold for that contract. A 'NO' resolution occurs if the growth is at or below that threshold. The market ends on October 28, 4:00pm EDT, and no special settlement conditions are explicitly stated.

Available Contracts

Market options and current pricing

Outcome bucket Yes (price) No (price) Last trade probability
Above 8% $0.90 $0.19 75%
Above 10% $0.73 $0.32 73%
Above 12% $0.43 $0.62 42%
Above 14% $0.18 $0.85 22%
Above 16% $0.13 $0.96 9%
Above 18% $0.08 $1.00 5%

Market Discussion

Meta reported a 14% year-over-year increase in ad impressions in Q2 2026, consistent with previous quarters, and financial commentary highlighted ad impression growth and pricing power as primary KPIs for the company's core business [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11]. Despite these strong operational metrics, Meta's Q3 2026 total revenue guidance of $61–$64 billion implies a potential deceleration in growth rates compared to some market expectations [1][2][3][5]. Following the Q2 earnings release, Meta's stock experienced volatility, largely driven by concerns over raised capital expenditure guidance and legal charges [4][6][7].

Sources (11)
  1. 1Meta Reports Second Quarter 2026 Resultsinvestor.atmeta.com
  2. 2Documentsec.gov
  3. 3Meta Reports Second Quarter 2026 Resultsprnewswire.com
  4. 4Meta sinks 9% after Q3 revenue forecast misses Wall...investing.com
  5. 5Meta Update: $60.8 Billion in Revenue, $31.1 Billion in Capital Expenditures, and $784 Million in Free Cash Flow404kresearch.substack.com
  6. 6Meta 2Q26 Business Update: 5 Call Options – Speedwell Researchspeedwellresearch.com
  7. 7Meta Platforms, Inc. $META Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Updatehollertotideinvesmentguide.substack.com
  8. 8Earnings Roundup: Meta, Microsoft & Qualcomm | Bloomberg Surveillanceyoutube.com
  9. 9Earnings Roundup: Meta, Microsoft & Qualcomm | Bloomberg Intelligenceyoutube.com
  10. 10Earnings Roundup: Meta, Microsoft & Qualcomm | Bloomberg Daybreak: US Editionyoutube.com
  11. 11Meta Delivers Lackluster Forecast & Microsoft's Cloud Unit Grows | Bloomberg Businessweekyoutube.com

5. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 47 High Risk

Order book is critically thin.

Primary risk· Trade quality

How it adds up
Integrity80% of score61Caution
Trade quality20% of score5Avoid

Includes the cost to trade: a $1,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.

Trust score47High Risk

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Market integrity82
Outcome is hard to influenceGood
Info fairness40
High Risk
Trade quality5
Order book is critically thinAvoid
Market integrity
82Good

Outcome is hard to influence

Large tradesTrade signals · medium confidence

Largest single print on KXMETA-26OCTIMPR-18 carried 59% of its $118 tape (print is 49d old)

Screened clean
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsTape too thin Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
40High Risk
Information exposureStructural risk · medium confidence

Company-reported metric: finance and investor relations know the number before the earnings release

4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · data source not connected
Longshot repricing · data source not connected
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · data source not connected
Trade quality
5Avoid

Order book is critically thin

Thin market — entering or exiting at fair value will be difficult.

Liquidity unreadable

No significant moves to grade

$100 order: 6.0c slippage (~15% of a 40.5c contract)

$1,000 order: book too thin to fill

$10,000 order: book too thin to fill

Above 12%–Market scoreLiquidity–Move quality–Rule clarity100
Why this score
Liquidity
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
No trading in 4d

No trades in the last 4d — nothing to confirm

Rule clarity
100 · Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Above 16%–Market scoreLiquidity–Move quality–Rule clarity100
Why this score
Liquidity
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
No trading in 3d

No trades in the last 3d — nothing to confirm

Rule clarity
100 · Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Above 18%–Market scoreLiquidity–Move quality–Rule clarity100
Why this score
Liquidity
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
No trading in 37h

No trades in the last 37h — nothing to confirm

Rule clarity
100 · Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Sep 18, 2026

6. How did Meta's ad impression growth in Q2 2026 compare to key digital advertising competitors like Alphabet and Snap Inc.?

Meta Q2 2026 Ad Impressions Growth14% year-over-year [1][2][3]
Snap Inc. Q1 2026 Ad Impressions Growth17% year-over-year [4][5][6]
Meta Q2 2026 Ad Revenue Growth27% year-over-year [1][3][7]
Meta demonstrated substantial growth in ad impressions and revenue for Q2 2026. In the second quarter of 2026, Meta reported a 14% year-over-year increase in ad impressions across its Family of Apps [1][2][3]. This surge in impression volume, combined with a 12% year-over-year rise in the average price per ad, led to a 27% year-over-year increase in Meta's Q2 2026 ad revenue [1][3][7].
Competitors Snap and Alphabet had varying levels of ad impression data. Snap Inc. disclosed a 17% year-over-year growth in global ad impression volume for Q1 2026 [4][5][6]; however, its Q2 2026 impression data was not reported as of August 2, 2026 [4][5][6]. Alphabet Inc. (Google) does not publicly report ad impression volume metrics in its quarterly earnings [8][9][10][11]. Despite the absence of impression data, Alphabet did announce a 14% year-over-year increase in total Google advertising revenue for Q2 2026 [8][9][10][11].
Sources (11)
  1. 1Meta Reports Second Quarter 2026 Resultsprnewswire.com
  2. 2Documentsec.gov
  3. 3Big Tech Ad Revenue Grows Double Digits in Q2 2026thekeyword.co
  4. 4Snap Inc Q1-2026 Investor Letters25.q4cdn.com
  5. 5Snap Inc. (SNAP UN) Q1 FY2026 Earnings Call Transcript - May 6, 2026 | Roic AIroic.ai
  6. 6snapincq12026investorletsec.gov
  7. 7The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Meta Platforms, Alphabet, Amazon and Snapfinance.yahoo.com
  8. 8Documentsec.gov
  9. 9Alphabet earnings call Q2 2026: Sundar Pichai remarksblog.google
  10. 10Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) Q2 FY2026 Earnings Call Transcript - July 22, 2026 | Roic AIroic.ai
  11. 11Alphabet Q2 2026: Search Ads Grew 17% in AI Overviews Eradigitalapplied.com

7. What has Meta management communicated regarding the adoption and performance of its AI-powered ad products, like Advantage+, during Q3 2026?

Advantage+ Annual Revenue Run RateOver $75 billion (Q2 2026) [1]
Small Businesses Using AI Ad ToolsOver 9 million (Q2 2026) [1]
Q3 2026 Ad Impressions OutlookPotential headwinds for overall ad impressions growth and personalized advertising (Q3 2026) [2]
Meta management has not provided specific Q3 2026 communication regarding its AI-powered ad products. While there is no specific information on the adoption and performance of products like Advantage+ for Q3 2026, Meta has communicated expectations of potential headwinds for overall ad impressions growth and personalized advertising. These anticipated challenges for Q3 2026 are attributed to "lapping" a period of strong ad impressions growth in the previous year and potential policy changes in Europe that may limit personalized advertising [2].
Advantage+ products achieved significant adoption and revenue by Q2 2026. As of that quarter, Meta's Advantage+ AI-powered suite of ad products had an annual revenue run rate exceeding $75 billion [1]. Adoption of Meta's Gen AI ad products was scaling, with over 9 million small businesses utilizing at least one AI ad tool by Q2 2026 [1]. Meta management continues to emphasize the compounding performance gains advertisers experience by adopting multiple Advantage+ tools, such as Advantage+ Audience, Placements, and Budget optimization [1].
Sources (2)
  1. 1META Q2 2026 Prepared Remarkss21.q4cdn.com
  2. 2Meta touts industry-leading ad revenue growth, but AI...marketingdive.com

8. Based on Q3 2025's performance, what does Meta's Q3 2026 revenue guidance imply for its ad impression growth targets?

Q3 2026 Revenue Guidance StatusNot provided as of 2026-08-02 [1][2][3][4][5][6]
Q2 2026 Total Revenue Guidance$42.5B–$45.5B [1][2][3][4][5][6]
Q1 2026 Ad Impressions Growth19% year-over-year [1][2][3][4][5][6]
Meta has not yet provided Q3 2026 revenue guidance. As of August 2, 2026, the absence of this guidance makes it impossible to directly infer the company's Q3 2026 ad-impression growth targets from official company-reported projections [1][2][3][4][5][6]. The most recent financial information identified includes earnings materials for Q1 2026, with the most recent revenue guidance provided for Q2 2026, projected between $42.5 billion and $45.5 billion [1][2][3][4][5][6].
Q1 2026 showed strong ad metrics, but Q3 faces tougher comparisons. During Q1 2026, Meta reported a 19% year-over-year increase in ad impressions and a 12% increase in the average price per ad [1][2][3][4][5][6]. However, this data does not offer insight into Q3 2026. Meta's CFO, Susan Li, observed that the company would be "lapping a period of strong ad impressions growth in Q3" (referring to Q3 2025), which suggests that achieving high year-over-year growth in ad impressions for Q3 2026 might be challenging [7]. Analysts share this cautious market sentiment, pointing to potential policy changes in Europe and the difficult comparison against Q3 2025 as factors that could affect ad growth metrics [7][8]. Without the specific Q3 2026 revenue guidance range and its disclosed drivers, determining the Q3 2026 ad-impression growth remains unfeasible based on currently available research [1][2][3][4][5][6].
Sources (8)
  1. 1www.fool.comOctagon Agentfool.com
  2. 2www.fool.comOctagon Agentfool.com
  3. 3www.fool.comOctagon Agentfool.com
  4. 4www.fool.comOctagon Agentfool.com
  5. 5www.fool.comOctagon Agentfool.com
  6. 6247wallst.comOctagon Agent
  7. 7Meta touts industry-leading ad revenue growth, but AI unease rises | Marketing Divemarketingdive.com
  8. 8Meta Reports Second Quarter 2026 Resultsstocktitan.net

9. Are there reliable third-party datasets available for tracking Meta's platform engagement and advertiser demand during Q3 2026?

Daily Revenue Estimates Lag12-hour lag for Meta (Oxford Data Plan) [1]
Quarterly Report ReleaseAfter quarter ends (Skai, Tinuiti) [2][3][4]
Meta Q3 2026 Revenue Guidance$61 billion - $64 billion (as of July 29, 2026) [5][6][7]
Reliable third-party datasets track Meta's real-time platform engagement. Oxford Data Plan offers Digital Advertising KPI Estimates that provide daily, real-time revenue projections for Meta, with a short 12-hour delay [1]. This allows for prompt monitoring of market performance and potential inflection points within the quarter.
Quarterly benchmark reports provide additional, albeit delayed, insights. Marketing intelligence firms such as Skai and Tinuiti regularly publish these reports, detailing paid social performance trends [2][3][4]. However, these analyses are typically released after the conclusion of the quarter and represent an agency-managed client mix rather than the full market landscape.
Meta's official Q3 2026 revenue guidance offers context for tracking. As of July 29, 2026, the company projected its revenue for the third quarter of 2026 to be between $61 billion and $64 billion [5][6][7]. Analysts are closely observing key factors such as ad volume, pricing, and the effectiveness of Meta's AI-driven advertising systems to assess performance against this guidance [5][6][7].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Digital Advertising KPI Estimates | 52 KPIs + 10 Tickers (Google, Meta, Snap & More) | Daily 12-Hour Lag | Alternative Data | Dataradedatarade.ai
  2. 2Q2 2026 Quarterly Digital Trends Report Skai Exclusive Data and Insightsskai.io
  3. 3Press Release | Q2 2026 Digital Marketing Quarterly Trends Reportskai.io
  4. 4Q2 2026 Ad Benchmarks: Microsoft CPCs +19%, Amazon DSP +67%digitalapplied.com
  5. 5Meta Update: $60.8 Billion in Revenue, $31.1 Billion in Capital Expenditures, and $784 Million in Free Cash Flow404kresearch.substack.com
  6. 6META Q2 2026 Prepared Remarkss21.q4cdn.com
  7. 7Meta Ads After Q2: Planning for +12% Price Per Addigitalapplied.com

10. What macroeconomic trends during Q3 2026 could most significantly influence advertiser spending on Meta platforms ahead of the October 28 earnings report?

Retail & Food Services Sales GrowthUp 6.70% YoY in June [1][2][3][4][5][6]
PCE Inflation4.10% YoY in May 2026 [1][2][3][4][5][6]
Consumer Confidence90.8 in July (down from 92.2 in June) [1][2][3][4][5][6]
Macroeconomic conditions in Q3 2026 suggest cautious, selective advertiser spending on Meta platforms rather than a broad acceleration. Factors influencing this environment include continued nominal consumer spending, elevated inflation, softening consumer confidence, and a stable but not rapidly accelerating labor market. These trends, alongside the Federal Reserve's restrictive monetary policy, are critical considerations leading up to Meta’s October 28 earnings report, indicating a market where advertisers prioritize efficiency in their budgets [1][2][3][4][5][6].
Key economic indicators show mixed signals, driving cautious but sustained ad investment. Nominal consumer spending remains a positive, with retail and food services sales increasing by 0.20% month-over-month and 6.70% year-over-year in June, supporting advertiser budgets, especially for retail and direct-response campaigns [1][2][3][4][5][6]. However, elevated PCE inflation, recorded at 4.10% year-over-year in May 2026, is likely to reduce real purchasing power, encouraging advertisers to be more selective in their spending. Additionally, softening consumer confidence, which dropped to 90.8 in July from 92.2 in June, may temper optimism for conversions and lead to less aggressive budgeting. The labor market, with June payrolls up 57,000 and unemployment at 4.20%, supports ad demand but lacks the acceleration needed for significant upside. Furthermore, the Federal Reserve's restrictive policy, maintaining rates at 3.50%–3.75%, pressures credit-sensitive categories and ROI-sensitive ad spend [1][2][3][4][5][6].
Meta's Q3 revenue outlook reflects uncertainty despite broader ad market growth. Meta's Q3 2026 revenue guidance of $61B–$64B fell short of analyst consensus due to macroeconomic uncertainty in international advertising markets and potential foreign-exchange headwinds [7][8][9][10]. While advertising spend growth is forecast at 5% in 2026, outpacing global GDP growth of 3.1%, Meta's guidance implies that advertisers will likely prioritize efficiency and selectivity in their budgets over broad expansion, even if ad impression growth remains healthy [1][2][3][4][5][6][7]. Seasonal factors for Q3 2026 include back-to-school campaigns and an increase in political advertising, which consumes inventory and steers other advertisers towards digital video and display formats, with late September typically being the peak period for ad demand [11].
Sources (11)
  1. 1www.fool.comOctagon Agentfool.com
  2. 2www.fool.comOctagon Agentfool.com
  3. 3www.fool.comOctagon Agentfool.com
  4. 4www.fool.comOctagon Agentfool.com
  5. 5www.fool.comOctagon Agentfool.com
  6. 6247wallst.comOctagon Agent
  7. 7Ad Spend Growth Is Projected to Slow to 5.0% in 2026, Still Outpacing Economic Growth | News | dentsudentsu.com
  8. 8Global Macro Outlookalliancebernstein.com
  9. 9Economic and Capital Markets Outlook - Q3 2026 - Letko, Brosseau & Associateslba.ca
  10. 10Meta Slumps 9% on Weak Guidance and Free Cash Flow Collapse - Pomegra Newspomegra.io
  11. 11Q3 Decoded: The Seasonal Forces Shaping Revenue This Quarter - Mediavinemediavine.com

11. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

Meta's Q2 2026 results showed a 14% year-over-year increase in ad impressions across its Family of Apps, contributing to a 27-28% rise in advertising revenue [1][2][3][4]. This followed a 19% year-over-year increase in ad impressions in Q1 2026 [5][6][7][8][9][10]. For Q3 2026, Meta provided revenue guidance of $61 billion to $64 billion, which landed below consensus expectations [1][2][11][12]. Management noted that Q3 involves lapping a period of strong ad impression growth from the prior year and faces potential headwinds from European regulatory changes regarding ad personalization [1][2][11][12]. Meta is expected to report its Q3 2026 financial results on or around October 28, 2026 [13][14][15].
Key bearish catalysts include a raised 2026 capital expenditure guidance to $130 billion–$145 billion [16][12]. Significant legal and restructuring costs are affecting operating margins [16][12]. Investor skepticism also persists regarding the pace of AI monetization versus infrastructure spending [16][12].
Long-term bullish catalysts involve the ongoing optimization of ad targeting via AI [17]. Potential monetization of excess compute capacity also presents an upside [17]. New ventures like Meta Compute and Reality Labs offer speculative value [17].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Expiration: February 26, 2027
  • Closes: February 26, 2027
Sources (17)
  1. 1Meta Reports Second Quarter 2026 Resultsinvestor.atmeta.com
  2. 2Documentsec.gov
  3. 3Meta Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results | MarketScreenermarketscreener.com
  4. 4Meta sinks after Q3 revenue forecast misses Wall Street estimatesfinance.yahoo.com
  5. 5www.fool.comOctagon Agentfool.com
  6. 6www.fool.comOctagon Agentfool.com
  7. 7www.fool.comOctagon Agentfool.com
  8. 8www.fool.comOctagon Agentfool.com
  9. 9www.fool.comOctagon Agentfool.com
  10. 10247wallst.comOctagon Agent
  11. 11Meta touts industry-leading ad revenue growth, but AI...marketingdive.com
  12. 12Meta stock sinks as Q2 earnings disappoint on multiple frontsinvezz.com
  13. 13Meta Platforms (META) Earnings Date & Reportinvesting.com
  14. 14Meta Earnings Date & Event Calendarwallstreethorizon.com
  15. 15Latest Report, Earnings Call & Financials - METApublic.com
  16. 16Meta Platforms (META) Market Outlook Today | Q2 Earnings Miss, AI Capex Surge & Technical Setup | 30 July 2026 – CSFX Blogcapitalstreetfx.news
  17. 17Meta 2Q26 Business Update: 5 Call Options – Speedwell Researchspeedwellresearch.com

13. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 11 resolved YES, 9 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXMETA-26JULDAP-3650000000: NO (Jul 29, 2026)
  • KXMETA-26JULDAP-3630000000.0: NO (Jul 29, 2026)
  • KXMETA-26JULDAP-3630000000: NO (Jul 29, 2026)
  • KXMETA-26JULDAP-3610000000: NO (Jul 29, 2026)
  • KXMETA-26JULDAP-3590000000: YES (Jul 29, 2026)