↑$3.0T
Market Model 16.0% 8.0%
↑$2.0T
Market Model 39.0% 29.2%
AI Markets
Active Markets (3)
OpenAI IPO by...? Polymarket
June 30, 2026
Market Model 0.0% 9.3%
December 31, 2026
Market Model 16.0% 9.3%
Nebius Group
Market Model 3.1% 1.0%
Perplexity AI
Market Model 19.0% 9.4%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Top outcome: ↑$3.0T | 16.0% | 8.0% | Med | $2,923,226.04 | Refresh |
| OpenAI IPO by...? Top outcome: June 30, 2026 | 0.0% | 9.3% | High | $2,679,317.69 | Refresh |
| Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Top outcome: Nebius Group | 3.1% | 1.0% | Med | $18,128,261.25 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (3)
$100B
Market Model 7.0% 7.5%
$95B
Market Model 27.0% 28.7%
$16B
Market Model 78.0% 72.0%
$18B
Market Model 6.0% 2.8%
74%-76%
Market Model 88.0% 74.8%
72%-74%
Market Model 0.3% 0.2%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 Data Center Revenue be above __? Top outcome: $100B | 7.0% | 7.5% | High | $2,518.14 | |
| Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 AI revenue be above __? Top outcome: $16B | 78.0% | 72.0% | High | $4,784.08 | |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP)? Top outcome: 74%-76% | 88.0% | 74.8% | High | $4,734.71 |
