Topic tracker · Financials
Fear and Greed index
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 3 so far (0 live, 3 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Fear and Greed index markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated September 8, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fear & Greed Index on Sep 11, 2026? | September 18, 2026 | 34.7% vs 64.0% | Report → |
| Fear & Greed Index on Sep 18, 2026? | September 25, 2026 | 18.6% vs 27.0% | Report → |
| Fear & Greed Index on Sep 4, 2026? | September 11, 2026 | 3.7% vs 4.0% | Report → |
