Short Answer

Both the model and the market overwhelmingly agree that the 10Y US Treasury Yield will be Above 4.45% at month-end, with only minor residual uncertainty.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

This prediction market has experienced a strong and rapid upward trend, with the probability surging from an opening price of 11.0% to its current level of 86.0%. The price action has been characterized by two distinct and significant spikes. The first occurred on June 1, when the price jumped 43 percentage points from 11.0% to 54.0%. This movement appears to be driven by geopolitical tensions related to Iran, which contributed to inflationary concerns. The second major spike happened on June 5, with the price increasing another 23 percentage points. This latter surge was reportedly a direct reaction to a stronger-than-expected May employment report, which led to increased expectations that the Federal Reserve might consider raising interest rates.
The trading volume, with a total of 1,397 contracts traded, suggests active participation. A notable volume of 86 contracts was traded on June 4, between the two major price spikes, indicating strong conviction from market participants as the price consolidated its initial gains. The initial 11.0% price served as an early support level before the significant breakout. The subsequent price action has established new, higher floors. The consistent upward movement to a high of 89.0% and the current price of 86.0% reflect a decisive shift in market sentiment. The chart suggests that traders have moved from skepticism to a strong consensus that the 10-year Treasury yield is likely to finish the month above the contract's specified threshold.
  • Stronger May jobs report likely points to upward pressure on 10-year yield.
  • Persistent inflation concerns are expected to contribute to upward yield pressure.
  • Federal Reserve's June statement is anticipated to reveal a hawkish stance.
  • Upcoming June inflation reports may push the 10-year yield above 4.6%.
  • April 2026 JOLTS report revealed a surprising surge in job openings.

Current Context

The 10-year US Treasury yield has recently increased to 4.55% as of June 5, 2026, with other sources reporting 4.52% [1] and 4.532% [2]. This represents an uptick from the previous market day's 4.47% and last year's 4.40%, also surpassing the long-term average of 4.25% [3]. Over the last month, the yield has edged up by 0.17 percentage points [1]. The upward trend is largely attributed to a stronger-than-expected jobs report for May, which has heightened expectations that the Federal Reserve may consider raising interest rates later in the year [1][4]. Ronald Temple, Chief Market Strategist at Lazard, noted that the strong jobs report effectively eliminated hopes for a Fed rate cut [4]. Persistent inflation concerns also contribute, with the Producer Price Index rising 1.4% in April and the annual Consumer Price Index at 3.8% [5]. Core Personal Consumption Expenditures, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, increased 3.3% year-over-year in April [6][5]. Geopolitical factors, including the unresolved conflict in Iran and elevated crude oil prices, are additionally fostering inflationary pressures and impacting interest rate dynamics [4][6][7]. This yield is widely considered the "risk-free" rate for market evaluations [3].
Multiple economic indicators and events will influence future yields. While inflationary pressures are significant, U.S. economic growth for the first quarter of 2026 was slower than anticipated, expanding at a 1.6% annualized rate [6][5]. The Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate currently stands between 3.5% and 3.75% [8][9]. A key event in June is the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and release of the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) on June 17, at 6:00 PM ET [10][8][11][12][13][14], though policymakers are widely expected to keep rates steady at this meeting [4][15]. Furthermore, several significant economic data releases throughout June are poised to impact markets. These include the Consumer Price Index for May on June 10 [16][14], the Producer Price Index for May on June 11 [16][14], the final Q1 2026 GDP figures on June 25 [17], and Personal Income, FHFA Home Price Index, and Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) data on June 30 [17][16].
Analysts and markets offer varied forecasts for the yield's trajectory. The bond market suggests a potential increase of 0.143% by the end of 2026 and up to 0.25% by April 2027 [6]. For the end of June 2026, one forecast anticipates the 10-year Treasury yield to be around 4.504% [18], while Trading Economics' global macro models and analysts predict 4.42% by the end of the current quarter [1]. Looking further ahead, Transamerica forecasts a 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield of 3.75% for year-end 2026 [19]. Market probabilities indicate a 65.5% chance for the 4.6% yield market, whereas the 5.0% market holds a 10.5% probability [7]. The CME FedWatch Tool provides a key resource for detailed probabilities on FOMC rate moves [4][20].
Sources (20)
  1. 1tradingeconomics.com
  2. 2tradingview.com
  3. 3ycharts.com
  4. 4ironmountaindailynews.com
  5. 5welchforbes.com
  6. 6greystone.com
  7. 7perplexity.ai
  8. 8forbes.com
  9. 9tradingeconomics.com
  10. 10calendarx.com
  11. 11federalreserve.gov
  12. 12mnimarkets.com
  13. 13mortgageelements.com
  14. 14guggenheiminvestments.com
  15. 15streetstats.finance
  16. 16bls.gov
  17. 17thomsoninvestmentgroup.com
  18. 18longforecast.com
  19. 19transamerica.com
  20. 20cmegroup.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Significant Price Movements

Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.

Outcome: Above 4.65%

📉 June 06, 2026: 17.0pp drop

Price decreased from 42.0% to 25.0%

What happened: The premise of a 17.0 percentage point drop in the 10-year US Treasury yield is not supported by the provided research. As of June 6, 2026, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield was 4.52%, closing at 4.47% on June 4, 2026 [1][2][3][4]. The research explicitly states there is no report of such a significant drop, indicating an increase of approximately 0.17 percentage points over the past month, or smaller decreases driven by geopolitical hopes and JOLTS data [3][5][6]. Therefore, identifying a primary driver for a prediction market price movement based on an unsubstantiated underlying event is not possible, and social media cannot be assessed as a primary driver.

📈 June 05, 2026: 27.0pp spike

Price increased from 15.0% to 42.0%

What happened: The significant movement in the prediction market price for "10Y US Treasury Yield at month-end? Above 4.65%" on June 05, 2026, was primarily driven by traditional news: the release of a stronger-than-expected May employment (nonfarm payrolls) report [7][8]. This report caused US Treasury yields to jump approximately 5-6 basis points, reaching around 4.53–4.54% on that date, as it spurred expectations of potential Federal Reserve rate hikes [7][8]. The provided information does not contain any evidence of social media activity from key figures or viral narratives contributing to this specific market price movement. Therefore, social media appears to have been irrelevant to this price move based on the available sources.

Outcome: Above 4.50%

📉 June 04, 2026: 14.0pp drop

Price decreased from 64.0% to 50.0%

What happened: The 14.0 percentage point drop in the prediction market price for "Above 4.50%" on June 4, 2026, was primarily driven by a decline in the actual 10-year US Treasury yield, which fell by approximately 4 basis points to around 4.46-4.475% [9][10][11]. This yield drop was largely influenced by renewed optimism for a peace agreement involving Israel, Lebanon, and Iran, which caused oil prices to fall and reduced geopolitical risk and inflation premiums [10][11][12][6]. No significant social media activity from key figures or viral narratives appeared to be a primary driver or contributing accelerant for this market movement based on the available information.

Outcome: Above 4.70%

📉 June 02, 2026: 21.0pp drop

Price decreased from 43.0% to 22.0%

What happened: The primary driver of the 21.0 percentage point drop in the prediction market for the "Above 4.70%" outcome for 10Y US Treasury Yield at month-end on June 2, 2026, was traditional news regarding geopolitical developments. Hopes for an Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire and fluctuating US-Iran diplomatic negotiations caused U.S. Treasury yields to ease on that day [5]. With the 10-year Treasury yield recorded at approximately 4.46% on June 2, 2026 [13], this decline reduced the probability of the yield ending the month above 4.70%. Based on the available information, social media was not identified as a primary driver or contributing accelerant for this market movement.

Outcome: Above 4.45%

📈 June 01, 2026: 43.0pp spike

Price increased from 11.0% to 54.0%

What happened: The primary driver of the prediction market price spike on June 01, 2026, appears to be geopolitical tensions. Iran's suspension of negotiations with the United States in early June 2026 acted as an earlier catalyst, driving oil prices higher and contributing to inflationary concerns and rising Treasury yields [14][15][16]. This event likely increased the perceived probability of the 10Y US Treasury Yield remaining above 4.45% at month-end, especially since it was already hovering between 4.47% and 4.48% at the end of May 2026 [17][18][19]. Based on the provided information, social media activity was not identified as a primary driver or contributing accelerant for this price movement.
Sources (19)
  1. 1U.S. Treasury Yields — 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate: 4.47%exa.ai
  2. 2Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis | FRED | St. Louis Fedfred.stlouisfed.org
  3. 3US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Quote - Chart - Trading Economicstradingeconomics.com
  4. 4H.15 - Selected Interest Rates (Daily) - June 05, 2026federalreserve.gov
  5. 5Treasury yields fall amid hopes of Israel-Hezbollah ceasefirecnbc.com
  6. 6US Treasury Yields Drop: Bond Markets React To Shock JOLTS Report And Hopeful Iran Peace Talkstechgolly.com
  7. 7US yields rocket as stellar NFP sparks Fed hike betsfxstreet.com
  8. 8Treasury Yields Jump After Jobs Reporttradingeconomics.com
  9. 910-Year Treasury Yield Falls to 4.475% — Data Talk | Morningstarmorningstar.com
  10. 10US 10-Year Yield Holds Firmtradingeconomics.com
  11. 11Treasury Yields Edge Down as Oil Prices Fall — TradingView Newstradingview.com
  12. 12Treasuries Rise as Oil Signals Optimism on Iran Peace Accord - Bloombergbloomberg.com
  13. 13Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis | FRED | St. Louis Fedfred.stlouisfed.org
  14. 14Bonds Analysis: Yields Are Very Sensitive Right Now -a1trading.com
  15. 15US 10-Year Yield Rises on Iran Deal Uncertaintytradingeconomics.com
  16. 16US Stock Market: Treasury yields rise after strong US data, geopolitical risks fuel inflation fears - The Economic Timeseconomictimes.indiatimes.com
  17. 17Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (GS10) | FRED | St. Louis Fedfred.stlouisfed.org
  18. 1810-Year Treasury Yield Long-Term Perspective: May 2026 - dshortadvisorperspectives.com
  19. 1910 Year Treasury Rate - Real-Time & Historical Yield Trendsycharts.com

4. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This market resolves to "Yes" if the 10Y US Treasury Yield for month-end is above 4.50%, as verified by the US Department of the Treasury; otherwise, it resolves to "No." Trading closes on June 30, 2026, at 3:29 PM EDT, with a projected payout on July 7, 2026, at 5:30 PM EDT. Insider trading is prohibited, meaning persons employed by source agencies or holding material non-public information cannot trade.

Market Discussion

The 10Y US Treasury yield was 4.48% at the end of May 2026 [1][2]. Mainstream forecasts and market commentary for June 30, 2026, generally anticipate the yield will remain within the 4.0%-4.75% range, with participants closely watching US employment data, inflation, and potential Treasury debt management changes [3][4][5][6][7][8]. Conversely, some alternative financial commentary warns of a larger US Treasury selloff driven by concerns over fiscal deficits and central bank shifts [9][10].

Sources (10)
  1. 1Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (GS10) | FRED | St. Louis Fedfred.stlouisfed.org
  2. 210 Year Treasury Rate - Real-Time & Historical Yield Trendsycharts.com
  3. 3Good Judgment® Open | What will be the yield for US 10-year Treasury securities on 30 June 2026?gjopen.com
  4. 4UST par yield curve (10Y) at end of Q2 2026? | Prediction Markets | Coinbasecoinbase.com
  5. 510-Year Yield Futures Jun '26 Futures Price - Barchart.combarchart.com
  6. 6while WE slept: USTs bid, belly underperforms as EARL and JGBs lead; #Got5s? S&P 2m RoC +16%, what next (DB on dislocations)thebondbeat.substack.com
  7. 7while WE Slept: USTs bid fades as EARL pops; #Got10s? 2s?; JPOW warns; 1999 meets 1990 (DB); what happens when I A$$umethebondbeat.substack.com
  8. 8Are Bessent’s Hands Tied? – AdvisorAnalyst.comadvisoranalyst.com
  9. 9Robert Kiyosaki Warns Investors Over US Treasury Selloffasatunews.co.id
  10. 10Luke Gromen: The Bond Market Says Tick-Tocktftc.io

5. What specific inflation readings in the upcoming June CPI and PPI reports would likely push the 10-year yield above 4.6%?

Current 10-year Treasury Yield4.53%–4.54% (as of June 6, 2026) [1][2]
CPI Trigger for 4.6% YieldAbove 3.8% [3][4][2]
PPI Trigger for 4.6% YieldRe-accelerating from 6.0% [3][4][2]
Upcoming June inflation reports could push 10-year yield above 4.6%. As of June 6, 2026, the 10-year Treasury yield stands at approximately 4.53%–4.54% [1][2]. The market widely anticipates that specific readings from forthcoming June inflation reports have the potential to elevate this yield above 4.6% [3][4][2]. Economic analysis suggests that inflation data is a primary determinant of 10-year yield movements in the present environment, underscoring the critical role these June reports play in potentially surpassing the 4.6% threshold [2].
Key inflation metrics could push the 10-year Treasury yield higher. For the 10-year Treasury yield to surpass 4.6%, key catalysts include a headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) printing above 3.8% or a re-acceleration of the Producer Price Index (PPI) from its 6.0% level [3][4][2]. The bond market is particularly sensitive to what is known as 'pipeline pressure,' which refers to the divergence between producer and consumer inflation [5][6]. For instance, in April 2026, producer inflation registered 6.0% year-over-year, while consumer inflation was 3.8% year-over-year [5][6]. A sustained or expanding gap, combined with strong readings in either metric, is considered a significant factor driving elevated yields [5][6].
Sources (6)
  1. 1172K Jobs: Why a Fed Rate Hike Is Back on the Table | TOPONE Marketstop1markets.com
  2. 2Rising Interest Rates: Why the Narrative Fails Against the Data | Investing.com Canadaca.investing.com
  3. 310-year Treasury yield rises to highest level in 10 months on hotter...finance.yahoo.com
  4. 4Is Inflation Spiraling Again After the Latest PPI Shock?thetradable.com
  5. 5CPI April 2026: Inflation Shock Sends 30-Year Treasury Above 5% - Marimont Capitalmariemontcapital.com
  6. 6The bill is coming - Elevage Partnerselevagepartners.com

6. How do the implied interest rate paths from the CME FedWatch Tool compare with the economic projections from major analyst firms like Lazard?

CME FedWatch Tool FocusMarket-implied policy paths based on 30-Day Fed Funds futures pricing [1][2]
CME FedWatch Tool LimitationNot a direct 10-year US Treasury yield forecast [1][2]
Lazard 2026 Long-Term Yields OutlookUpward pressure on long-term yields due to large sustained fiscal deficits [3][4]
The CME FedWatch Tool quantifies short-term interest rate probabilities, not long-term forecasts. It determines market-implied policy paths by leveraging 30-Day Fed Funds futures pricing to calculate probability distributions for FOMC target-rate changes at upcoming meetings [1][2]. Crucially, this tool is not designed to provide a direct forecast for the 10-year US Treasury yield; its primary function focuses on short-term target-rate changes rather than long-term bond yields [1][2].
In contrast, Lazard anticipates sustained fiscal deficits will push long-term yields higher. Their 2026 Global Outlook suggests that large and sustained fiscal deficits are likely to exert upward pressure on long-term yields, even if short-term rates experience declines [3][4]. This perspective aligns with their projection for a potential steepening of developed-market yield curves.
Direct comparison is challenging given the tools' divergent analytical scopes. A full comparison between the CME FedWatch Tool's implied interest rate paths and Lazard's economic projections for long-term yields cannot be directly drawn from the available information. While Lazard anticipates upward pressure on long-term yields [3][4], the CME FedWatch Tool does not directly forecast the 10-year yield, which is specifically required for the prediction market question resolving on June 30, 2026 [1][2][5][6].
Sources (6)
  1. 1FedWatch - CME Groupcmegroup.com
  2. 2FedWatch API - CME Groupcmegroup.com
  3. 3Global Outlook 2026 | Lazard Asset Managementlazardassetmanagement.com
  4. 4https://www.lazardassetmanagement.com/docs/280074/Global2026Chartbook.pdflazardassetmanagement.com
  5. 5Good Judgment® Open | What will be the yield for US 10-year Treasury securities on 30 June 2026?gjopen.com
  6. 6UST par yield curve (10Y) at end of Q2 2026? | Prediction Markets | Coinbasecoinbase.com

7. What does historical data from the last five years show about the correlation between monthly changes in Core PCE and the 10-year Treasury yield?

Direct Numeric CorrelationNot found for monthly Core PCE changes vs 10Y Treasury yield in historical data [1][2][3][4]
10Y Treasury Yield DataAvailable monthly via FRED (GS10) through at least May 2026 [1]
Core PCE Change DataAvailable monthly as percent change from preceding period via FRED/ALFRED (BEA) [2]
Historical data from the last five years, as documented in the reviewed sources, does not include a directly stated numeric correlation, such as Pearson r, for monthly changes in Core PCE and the 10-year Treasury yield [1][2][3][4]. The provided research sources primarily indicate where the necessary monthly data series can be located and offer qualitative or other forms of correlation, rather than an explicit numeric value for this specific relationship over the specified timeframe [1][2][3][4].
Relevant monthly data series are available for conducting an analysis. Despite the absence of an explicit numeric correlation in the reviewed research, appropriate monthly data series are readily accessible for performing such an analysis. For instance, the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) platform offers the 10-year Treasury constant maturity yield (GS10) as a monthly series, with data extending through at least May 2026, which is suitable for a trailing five-year monthly correlation exercise [1]. Additionally, FRED and ALFRED provide core PCE-related series from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), specifically a monthly series expressed as a percent change from the preceding period, which serves as the appropriate input for monthly changes in Core PCE, excluding food and energy [2].
Sources (4)
  1. 1Table Data - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis | FRED | St. Louis Fedfred.stlouisfed.org
  2. 2Real Personal Consumption Expenditures: PCE excluding food and energy | ALFRED | St. Louis Fedalfred.stlouisfed.org
  3. 3What Drives Long-Term Treasury Yields - CME Groupcmegroup.com
  4. 4Rising Interest Rates: Why the Narrative Fails Against the Data | Investing.com Canadaca.investing.com

8. Which labor market indicators in the upcoming JOLTS report could either reinforce or challenge the 'strong jobs market' narrative influencing Fed policy?

Job Openings (April 2026)7.6 million [1][2][3]
Hiring (April 2026)5.1 million [3][4]
10-Year US Treasury Yield Forecast (June 2026)4.4%–4.5% [5][6]
The April 2026 JOLTS report revealed a surprising surge in job openings. Released on June 2, 2026, the report indicated that job openings rose unexpectedly to 7.6 million, up from a revised 6.9 million in March [1][2][3]. This increase suggests underlying labor market resilience, thereby challenging the prevailing narrative of a cooling market [3][7][4]. Such stronger-than-expected data has led some market participants to anticipate a "higher-for-longer" Federal Reserve policy, emphasizing elevated interest rates rather than immediate cuts [7][4].
However, other data temper the strong jobs market narrative. The same report presented a contrasting view, with hiring decreasing to 5.1 million [3][4]. Additionally, the quits rate also ticked down, signaling only a moderate level of labor turnover despite the high demand for labor [3][4]. Furthermore, market forecasts for early June 2026 suggest that the 10-year US Treasury yield for month-end June 2026 is expected to remain elevated, with consensus estimates and futures contracts hovering around 4.4%–4.5% [5][6].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey News Release - 2026 M04 Resultsbls.gov
  2. 2Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary - 2026 M04 Resultsbls.gov
  3. 3April 2026 JOLTS Report: The Bigger They Are, the Harder They Hire - Indeed Hiring Labhiringlab.org
  4. 4Job Openings Jump, But Hiring Slows in April JOLTS | TickerSparktickerspark.ai
  5. 5Good Judgment® Open | What will be the yield for US 10-year Treasury securities on 30 June 2026?gjopen.com
  6. 610-Year Yield Futures Jun '26 Futures Price - Barchart.combarchart.com
  7. 7April JOLTS Report 2026: US Job Openings Soar To 7.62 Million While Hiring Eases And Quits Falltechgolly.com

9. How might the Federal Reserve's June 17 policy statement and Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) influence the 10-year yield?

Expected Federal Funds Rate3.50%–3.75% (June 17, 2026) [1][2][3][4]
Probability of Rate Hold97%–99% [1][2][3][4]
Expected 10-year US Treasury Yield4.25% to 4.75% (end of June 2026) [5][6][7]
The Federal Reserve is overwhelmingly anticipated to maintain the federal funds rate within the 3.50%–3.75% range at its June 17, 2026, FOMC meeting, with market probabilities indicating a 97%–99% likelihood of a hold [1][2][3][4]. This particular meeting is highly significant due to the scheduled release of the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) and an updated dot plot, which will provide crucial insights into the committee's future interest rate outlook and its estimation of the long-run neutral rate [2][8][9].
Market participants will closely monitor the statement for any removal of 'easing bias' language and observe shifts in the updated dot plot's median projections [4][8][9]. A hawkish shift in the dot plot or the sustained retention of high interest rates would likely exert upward pressure on 10-year Treasury yields [4][8][9]. Current prediction markets and futures pricing suggest the 10-year US Treasury yield is expected to remain in the 4.25% to 4.75% range by the end of June 2026, with a strong emphasis on levels around 4.50% [5][6][7].
Sources (9)
  1. 1What to Expect From the June 2026 FOMC Meetingresearch.mental-momentum.ai
  2. 2FOMC June 2026: 25-bps Fed Rate Cut Debate Opens Warsh Era - Pomegra Newspomegra.io
  3. 3June 16 FOMC meeting 2026 Warsh first rate decision previewinvestozora.com
  4. 4June Fed Rate Decision Preview: Next Step Toward a Hawkish Hike?tradingkey.com
  5. 5UST par yield curve (10Y) at end of Q2 2026? | Prediction Markets | Coinbasecoinbase.com
  6. 6Good Judgment® Open | What will be the yield for US 10-year Treasury securities on 30 June 2026?gjopen.com
  7. 710-Year Yield Futures Jun '26 Futures Price - Barchart.combarchart.com
  8. 8FOMC Meeting Tracker Excel: Rate-Cut Probability Dashboard (2026) | MarketXLSmarketxls.com
  9. 9Dot plot explained: the FOMC Summary of Economic Projectionskenmacro.com

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

As of June 5, 2026, the 10Y US Treasury yield was approximately 4.52% [1][2][3][4]. Crowd forecasts from Good Judgment Open for the June 30, 2026, yield suggest a distribution leaning toward the 4.50%–4.75% range (44.6%) and 4.25%–4.50% range (33.8%) [5]. Key drivers for the 10Y yield in June 2026 include the Fed policy path, inflation expectations (breakevens), term premium, and Treasury supply issuance guidance [6][7].
Bullish catalysts for yields, indicating upward pressure, include resilient economic growth, hot jobs data fueling rate hike expectations, and potential inflation re-acceleration [8][9].
Conversely, bearish catalysts for yields, suggesting downward pressure, include a potential recession, cooling inflation, fading geopolitical risk premiums (e.g., related to Iran), and reduced term premium [6][10].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Expiration: July 07, 2026
  • Closes: June 30, 2026
Sources (10)
  1. 1Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis | FRED | St. Louis Fedfred.stlouisfed.org
  2. 2U.S. Treasury Yields — 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate: 4.47%exa.ai
  3. 3US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Quote - Chart - Trading Economicstradingeconomics.com
  4. 4U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note Price & News - WSJ | TMUBMUSD10Ywsj.com
  5. 5Good Judgment® Open | What will be the yield for US 10-year Treasury securities on 30 June 2026?gjopen.com
  6. 610Y Treasury Yield: 4.49% (Jun 3, 2026) | Convexconvextrade.com
  7. 710Y Treasury Yield Forecast 2026 | Convexconvextrade.com
  8. 8Rising yields reshape markets | State Streetssga.com
  9. 9TREASURIES-Hot jobs data fuels Fed rate hike bets, lifts yields | MarketScreenermarketscreener.com
  10. 10US 10-year yield to 4.10% as the Iran inflation premium fades - The Industry Spreadtheindustryspread.com