5.5% or above
Market Model 38.0% 46.1%
5.42% or above
Market Model 82.0% 87.3%
Topic tracker · Financials
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (2 live) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new 30Y how high monthly markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated September 24, 2026